Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, January 31, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Celtics | 61% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Magic | 64% | 102 | 79 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 36 | Hornets | 30% | 88 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 12 | SuperSonics | 37% | 93 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Knicks | 34% | 93 | 89 |
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Sunday, January 30, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rockets | 35% | 95 | 95 |
 | 8 | Heat | 65% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 68% | 109 | 123 | |
 | 21 | Raptors | 32% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Timberwolves | 63% | 102 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bucks | 41% | 98 | 87 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 33 | Bobcats | 32% | 96 | 90 |
 | 28 | Lakers | 68% | 102 | 101 |
Saturday, January 29, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 46% | 103 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 19% | 87 | 61 |
 | 7 | Pistons | 81% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 11 | Pacers | 69% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 13% | 88 | 83 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 87% | 103 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 40% | 95 | 101 |
 | 26 | Bulls | 60% | 98 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 15% | 96 | 93 |
 | 5 | Mavericks | 85% | 109 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Hornets | 6% | 79 | 83 | |
| 4 | Spurs | 94% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 31% | 91 | 99 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 20 | Clippers | 68% | 99 | 96 |
Friday, January 28, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cavaliers | 52% | 99 | 96 |
| 26 | Knicks | 48% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 62% | 101 | 94 |
| 33 | Bobcats | 38% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 33% | 101 | 101 |
| 14 | Magic | 67% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 62% | 109 | 128 | |
| 16 | Celtics | 38% | 105 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 71% | 103 | 106 |
| 34 | Hawks | 29% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 60% | 96 | 95 |
| 36 | Hornets | 40% | 93 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jazz | 29% | 94 | 91 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 71% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 45% | 99 | 106 |
| 25 | Bucks | 55% | 100 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kings | 35% | 95 | 117 |
| 13 | Rockets | 65% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Clippers | 42% | 93 | 86 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 43% | 93 | 109 | |
| 30 | Lakers | 57% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SuperSonics | 63% | 105 | 88 | |
| 32 | Warriors | 37% | 101 | 85 |
Thursday, January 27, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 44% | 87 | 88 |
| 13 | Pacers | 56% | 89 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Bobcats | 28% | 91 | 93 |
| 26 | Bulls | 72% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kings | 23% | 92 | 80 |
| 4 | Spurs | 77% | 101 | 90 |
Wednesday, January 26, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 52% | 98 | 86 |
| 18 | Celtics | 48% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 51% | 101 | 111 |
| 20 | Raptors | 49% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 47% | 103 | 107 |
| 26 | Wizards | 53% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 43% | 93 | 111 |
| 17 | Cavaliers | 57% | 95 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 29% | 88 | 70 |
| 11 | Pistons | 71% | 95 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 63% | 108 | 121 | |
| 24 | Bucks | 37% | 104 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 63% | 94 | 82 |
| 34 | Hornets | 37% | 90 | 77 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 16% | 91 | 87 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 84% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SuperSonics | 49% | 102 | 100 | |
| 22 | Jazz | 51% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 64% | 103 | 95 |
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 99 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 32% | 92 | 89 |
| 23 | Clippers | 68% | 98 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Nets | 37% | 92 | 113 | |
| 31 | Warriors | 63% | 97 | 99 |
Tuesday, January 25, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 61% | 102 | 97 |
| 33 | Bobcats | 39% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 65% | 108 | 133 | |
| 21 | Knicks | 35% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 28% | 93 | 83 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 72% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 49% | 94 | 107 |
| 29 | Bulls | 51% | 95 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 25% | 92 | 93 | |
| 9 | Kings | 75% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SuperSonics | 60% | 104 | 104 | |
| 30 | Lakers | 40% | 101 | 93 |
Monday, January 24, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 43% | 99 | 98 |
| 17 | 76ers | 57% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Wizards | 34% | 97 | 106 |
| 15 | Cavaliers | 66% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 59% | 96 | 107 |
| 36 | Hawks | 41% | 93 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 42% | 91 | 83 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 58% | 94 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 40% | 96 | 78 |
| 13 | Rockets | 60% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 68% | 95 | 99 |
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 90 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 61% | 101 | 87 |
| 30 | Clippers | 39% | 97 | 97 |
Sunday, January 23, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bobcats | 26% | 94 | 92 |
| 19 | Raptors | 74% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 22% | 97 | 93 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 78% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 37% | 99 | 101 |
| 21 | Knicks | 63% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 17% | 93 | 105 | |
| 4 | Suns | 83% | 105 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 59% | 99 | 103 |
| 8 | Kings | 41% | 96 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 21% | 96 | 105 |
| 6 | SuperSonics | 79% | 107 | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Hornets | 14% | 90 | 68 | |
| 7 | Heat | 86% | 104 | 97 |
Saturday, January 22, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 60% | 102 | 96 |
| 36 | Hawks | 40% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 34% | 99 | 111 |
| 13 | Magic | 66% | 104 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 24% | 84 | 100 |
| 6 | Pistons | 76% | 93 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 28% | 95 | 95 |
| 11 | Pacers | 72% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Clippers | 51% | 94 | 85 |
| 34 | Hornets | 49% | 93 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 44% | 94 | 110 |
| 16 | Jazz | 56% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 49% | 97 | 92 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 56% | 99 | 105 |
| 32 | Warriors | 44% | 97 | 87 |
Friday, January 21, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 47% | 102 | 109 |
| 27 | Wizards | 53% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 72% | 105 | 105 |
| 35 | Bobcats | 28% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 48% | 94 | 98 |
| 26 | Nets | 52% | 95 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 42% | 97 | 92 |
| 23 | Knicks | 58% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 36% | 94 | 106 |
| 9 | Heat | 64% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 29% | 91 | 85 |
| 29 | Bulls | 71% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 59% | 95 | 86 |
| 24 | Bucks | 41% | 92 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 51% | 99 | 128 |
| 5 | Suns | 49% | 98 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 53% | 96 | 82 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 47% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Warriors | 42% | 97 | 101 |
| 30 | Lakers | 58% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 35% | 99 | 112 |
| 6 | SuperSonics | 65% | 104 | 107 | |
Thursday, January 20, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 14% | 93 | 77 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 86% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 38% | 95 | 108 |
| 11 | Magic | 62% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 29% | 98 | 96 |
| 8 | Kings | 71% | 105 | 123 |
Wednesday, January 19, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bulls | 36% | 95 | 83 |
| 19 | Celtics | 64% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 38% | 99 | 81 |
| 18 | Raptors | 62% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 60% | 99 | 107 |
| 35 | Bobcats | 40% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 41% | 93 | 90 |
| 28 | Nets | 59% | 95 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Hawks | 15% | 93 | 92 |
| 7 | Heat | 85% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 54% | 93 | 87 |
| 34 | Hornets | 46% | 92 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 14% | 84 | 79 |
| 2 | Spurs | 86% | 98 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 32% | 99 | 88 |
| 5 | Suns | 68% | 104 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 52% | 97 | 107 |
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 56% | 100 | 90 |
| 29 | Lakers | 44% | 98 | 93 |
Tuesday, January 18, 2005
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 42% | 91 | 101 |
| 13 | Magic | 58% | 94 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 49% | 92 | 87 |
| 19 | Rockets | 51% | 93 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 16% | 99 | 120 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 84% | 111 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 30% | 97 | 107 |
| 9 | Kings | 70% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nuggets | 22% | 98 | 116 |
| 6 | SuperSonics | 78% | 108 | 110 | |