Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, January 11, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Bucks | 29% | 94 | 89 |
 | 8 | Pistons | 71% | 101 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Knicks | 54% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 49% | 94 | 80 | |
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Friday, January 10, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Celtics | 21% | 97 | 78 |
 | 1 | Mavericks | 79% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 35% | 94 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 33% | 96 | 104 |
| 14 | Wizards | 67% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 43% | 101 | 101 |
 | 11 | Magic | 57% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 64% | 96 | 94 | |
 | 25 | Raptors | 36% | 92 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 57% | 97 | 75 |
| 24 | Hawks | 43% | 94 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Timberwolves | 46% | 100 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 52% | 92 | 101 |
| 20 | Hornets | 48% | 91 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Bulls | 26% | 99 | 85 |
| 13 | Bucks | 74% | 107 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 29 | Nuggets | 27% | 85 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Heat | 15% | 84 | 76 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Lakers | 85% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 12 | SuperSonics | 63% | 100 | 88 | |
Thursday, January 9, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 39% | 95 | 118 |
| 3 | Nets | 61% | 99 | 82 | |
Wednesday, January 8, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 57% | 95 | 106 |
| 15 | SuperSonics | 43% | 93 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 52% | 92 | 103 |
| 20 | 76ers | 48% | 91 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 23% | 93 | 98 |
| 12 | Wizards | 77% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 31% | 97 | 91 |
| 10 | Magic | 69% | 103 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 26% | 95 | 87 |
| 9 | Pacers | 74% | 103 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 70% | 105 | 117 |
| 22 | Hawks | 30% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 46% | 95 | 93 |
| 18 | Hornets | 54% | 97 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 53% | 84 | 76 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 47% | 83 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 23% | 91 | 93 |
| 4 | Jazz | 77% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 38% | 101 | 95 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 62% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 31% | 97 | 95 |
| 17 | Clippers | 69% | 103 | 103 |
Tuesday, January 7, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | SuperSonics | 32% | 96 | 98 | |
| 6 | Lakers | 68% | 102 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 29% | 91 | 88 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 71% | 98 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 38% | 97 | 86 |
| 16 | Rockets | 62% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kings | 56% | 103 | 101 |
| 12 | Bucks | 44% | 101 | 76 |
Monday, January 6, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 39% | 94 | 100 |
| 11 | Celtics | 61% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 52% | 97 | 105 |
| 20 | 76ers | 48% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 24% | 97 | 100 |
| 10 | Magic | 76% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 65% | 105 | 106 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 35% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nets | 67% | 99 | 101 | |
| 22 | Hawks | 33% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 13% | 85 | 74 |
| 8 | Pistons | 87% | 98 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 48% | 97 | 102 | |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 52% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 74% | 103 | 98 |
| 27 | Bulls | 26% | 95 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 6% | 86 | 71 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 94% | 105 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Heat | 28% | 92 | 85 |
| 21 | Warriors | 72% | 99 | 99 |
Sunday, January 5, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 31% | 94 | 97 |
| 8 | Lakers | 69% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Heat | 19% | 87 | 70 |
| 3 | Kings | 81% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 98 | 92 |
| 23 | Knicks | 40% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 55% | 96 | 94 |
| 19 | Clippers | 45% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 58% | 95 | 99 | |
| 26 | Raptors | 42% | 92 | 84 |
Saturday, January 4, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pacers | 44% | 94 | 104 |
| 13 | Wizards | 56% | 96 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 17% | 94 | 83 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 83% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nets | 49% | 100 | 88 | |
| 10 | Magic | 51% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 60% | 95 | 90 |
| 22 | Hawks | 40% | 92 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 51% | 100 | 105 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 49% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 31% | 99 | 79 |
| 27 | Bulls | 69% | 105 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 24% | 96 | 86 |
| 14 | Rockets | 76% | 105 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 86% | 100 | 87 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 14% | 86 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 46% | 97 | 93 |
| 19 | Suns | 54% | 98 | 107 |
Friday, January 3, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 17% | 86 | 94 |
| 12 | SuperSonics | 83% | 98 | 82 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 22% | 94 | 95 |
| 4 | Spurs | 78% | 104 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 52% | 100 | 118 |
| 16 | Bucks | 48% | 99 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 42% | 99 | 89 |
| 13 | Hornets | 58% | 101 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 47% | 98 | 111 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 53% | 99 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 64% | 93 | 100 | |
| 22 | Heat | 36% | 88 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pacers | 61% | 100 | 96 |
| 24 | Knicks | 39% | 96 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 96 | 108 |
| 11 | Celtics | 53% | 97 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 33% | 95 | 81 |
| 26 | Raptors | 67% | 101 | 80 |
Thursday, January 2, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 43% | 93 | 78 |
| 20 | Suns | 57% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 58% | 99 | 107 |
| 27 | Bulls | 42% | 96 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Clippers | 16% | 96 | 92 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 84% | 109 | 102 |
Wednesday, January 1, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 35% | 95 | 75 |
| 24 | Knicks | 65% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 41% | 91 | 107 |
| 21 | Hawks | 59% | 94 | 73 |
Tuesday, December 31, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 33% | 98 | 80 |
| 15 | Rockets | 67% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 32% | 94 | 83 |
| 16 | Clippers | 68% | 99 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pacers | 44% | 96 | 89 |
| 13 | Hornets | 56% | 98 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 51% | 92 | 103 |
| 17 | Wizards | 49% | 91 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 101 | 87 |
| 27 | Bulls | 32% | 96 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 23% | 93 | 89 |
| 9 | Celtics | 77% | 103 | 96 |
Monday, December 30, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 35% | 96 | 95 |
| 12 | Magic | 65% | 101 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 62% | 97 | 95 |
| 24 | Knicks | 38% | 93 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 8% | 89 | 88 |
| 3 | Nets | 92% | 107 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 43% | 91 | 84 |
| 22 | Heat | 57% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 92 | 85 |
| 8 | Pistons | 57% | 94 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Suns | 32% | 95 | 98 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 68% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 18% | 100 | 110 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 82% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SuperSonics | 76% | 97 | 79 | |
| 29 | Nuggets | 24% | 88 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 13% | 88 | 85 |
| 5 | Jazz | 87% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 43% | 99 | 98 |
| 20 | Warriors | 57% | 101 | 104 |
Sunday, December 29, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 39% | 94 | 85 | |
| 17 | Rockets | 61% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 24% | 94 | 88 |
| 7 | Lakers | 76% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Suns | 57% | 98 | 103 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 43% | 96 | 84 |