Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, May 7, 2014

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	11	Wizards	36%	89	82
	9	Pacers	64%	94	86

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
WAS	98.8	83	80.8
IND	100.0	86	88.5

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+12

-9

IND

-7

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.94 47.1%

IND

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	IND
Q4 - 0:00.0	IND		82 0%	86 100%
Q4 - 0:03.0	WAS	MISS Ariza 27' 3PT Jump Shot	82 0.2%	86 99.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0	IND	West Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	82 2.3%	86 97.7%
Q4 - 0:10.0	IND	West Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	82 2.8%	85 97.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0	WAS	Beal 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)	82 5.2%	84 94.8%
Q4 - 0:21.0	IND	Stephenson 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (George 4 AST)	79 1.4%	84 98.6%
Q4 - 0:41.0	IND	G. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	79 5.2%	82 94.8%
Q4 - 0:42.0	WAS	G. Hill BLOCK (1 BLK)	79 6.7%	82 93.3%
Q4 - 0:55.0	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	79 13.0%	82 87.0%
Q4 - 0:56.0	IND	MISS West 10' Fadeaway Jumper	79 10.8%	82 89.2%
Q4 - 1:14	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	79 8.5%	82 91.5%
Q4 - 1:15	WAS	MISS Wall 25' 3PT Jump Shot	79 10.3%	82 89.7%
Q4 - 1:22	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	79 16.1%	82 83.9%
Q4 - 1:24	IND	MISS George 15' Jump Shot	79 13.9%	82 86.1%
Q4 - 1:49	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	79 11.6%	82 88.4%
Q4 - 1:51	WAS	MISS Beal 25' 3PT Jump Shot	79 13.4%	82 86.6%
Q4 - 2:05	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	79 19.8%	82 80.2%
Q4 - 2:06	IND	MISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot	79 17.1%	82 82.9%
Q4 - 2:24	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	79 12.0%	82 88.0%
Q4 - 2:25	WAS	MISS Wall 26' 3PT Jump Shot	79 14.1%	82 85.9%
Q4 - 2:28	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)	79 20.2%	82 79.8%
Q4 - 2:29	WAS	MISS Beal 21' Jump Shot	79 14.1%	82 85.9%
Q4 - 2:57	IND	George 2' Layup (11 PTS)	79 20.8%	82 79.2%
Q4 - 3:23	WAS	Gortat 4' Alley Oop Layup (21 PTS) (Wall 8 AST)	79 27.0%	80 73.0%
Q4 - 3:38	IND	George 3' Driving Slam Dunk (9 PTS)	77 22.5%	80 77.5%
Q4 - 3:58	IND	G. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	77 28.7%	78 71.3%
Q4 - 3:59	WAS	MISS Nene 5' Jump Shot	77 31.3%	78 68.7%
Q4 - 4:19	IND	G. Hill 3' Layup (14 PTS) (Stephenson 5 AST)	77 37.9%	78 62.1%
Q4 - 4:25	WAS	George STEAL (2 STL)	77 46.4%	76 53.6%
Q4 - 4:47	IND	Hibbert 3' Layup (28 PTS)	77 57.0%	76 43.0%
Q4 - 5:01	WAS	Beal 15' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)	77 61.4%	74 38.6%
Q4 - 5:23	IND	West 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (G. Hill 3 AST)	75 54.1%	74 45.9%
Q4 - 5:43	WAS	Nene 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Beal 7 AST)	75 61.7%	72 38.3%
Q4 - 6:05	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	73 52.2%	72 47.8%
Q4 - 6:05	IND	MISS West Free Throw 2 of 2	73 51.1%	72 48.9%
Q4 - 6:05	IND	West Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	73 46.1%	72 53.9%
Q4 - 6:20	WAS	A. Miller 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)	73 51.3%	71 48.7%
Q4 - 6:38	WAS	Beal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	71 44.7%	71 55.3%
Q4 - 6:39	IND	MISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot	71 42.2%	71 57.8%
Q4 - 7:04	WAS	Watson STEAL (2 STL)	71 36.5%	71 63.5%
Q4 - 7:08	WAS	A. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	71 43.9%	71 56.1%
Q4 - 7:09	IND	MISS West 18' Jump Shot	71 41.6%	71 58.4%
Q4 - 7:22	IND	PACERS Rebound	71 36.5%	71 63.5%
Q4 - 7:24	WAS	MISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot	71 38.7%	71 61.3%
Q4 - 7:57	IND	Hibbert 1' Dunk (26 PTS) (George 3 AST)	71 44.0%	71 56.0%
Q4 - 8:17	IND	George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	71 49.5%	69 50.5%
Q4 - 8:18	WAS	MISS A. Miller 18' Jump Shot	71 51.5%	69 48.5%
Q4 - 8:49	WAS	A. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	71 56.0%	69 44.0%
Q4 - 8:50	IND	MISS Scola 20' Jump Shot	71 54.0%	69 46.0%
Q4 - 9:10	WAS	Nene 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Beal 6 AST)	71 48.4%	69 51.6%
Q4 - 9:34	WAS	Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	69 42.5%	69 57.5%
Q4 - 9:36	IND	MISS George 16' Jump Shot	69 40.7%	69 59.3%
Q4 - 9:56	IND	Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	69 36.8%	69 63.2%
Q4 - 9:56	WAS	MISS Gooden Free Throw 2 of 2	69 37.5%	69 62.5%
Q4 - 9:56	WAS	Gooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	69 41.6%	69 58.4%
Q4 - 10:00	WAS	Webster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	68 36.8%	69 63.2%
Q4 - 10:01	IND	MISS George 16' Jump Shot	68 34.8%	69 65.2%
Q4 - 10:21	WAS	Beal 18' Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS)	68 31.3%	69 68.7%
Q4 - 10:35	IND	George Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	66 26.7%	69 73.3%
Q4 - 10:35	IND	MISS George Free Throw 1 of 2	66 27.4%	68 72.6%
Q4 - 10:54	WAS	Gooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	66 26.7%	68 73.3%
Q4 - 10:54	WAS	Gooden 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)	66 26.7%	68 73.3%
Q4 - 10:55	WAS	MISS Wall 2' Layup	64 19.8%	68 80.2%
Q4 - 11:07	WAS	Wizards Rebound	64 23.1%	68 76.9%
Q4 - 11:08	IND	MISS Scola 19' Jump Shot	64 22.0%	68 78.0%
Q4 - 11:23	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	64 19.4%	68 80.6%
Q4 - 11:24	WAS	MISS Beal 13' Jump Shot	64 20.5%	68 79.5%
Q4 - 11:42	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	64 23.1%	68 76.9%
Q4 - 11:43	IND	MISS Watson 18' Jump Shot	64 21.9%	68 78.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0	IND		64 19.4%	68 80.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0	WAS	Gooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	64 23.1%	68 76.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0	IND	MISS G. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot	64 22.5%	68 77.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0	IND	G. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	64 20.2%	68 79.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0	WAS	Gooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	64 23.5%	68 76.5%
Q3 - 0:05.0	WAS	MISS Gooden 2' Tip Shot	64 21.1%	68 78.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0	WAS	MISS Gortat 17' Jump Shot	64 21.1%	68 78.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0	IND	G. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	64 23.5%	68 76.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0	IND	MISS G. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2	64 24.1%	67 75.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0	WAS	Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wall 7 AST)	64 23.6%	67 76.4%
Q3 - 0:51.0	IND	Mahinmi 4' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (George 2 AST)	61 16.9%	67 83.1%
Q3 - 1:14	IND	George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	61 20.5%	65 79.5%
Q3 - 1:14	WAS	MISS Gortat Free Throw 2 of 2	61 20.9%	65 79.1%
Q3 - 1:14	WAS	Gortat Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	61 22.8%	65 77.2%
Q3 - 1:35	IND	West Foul Turnover (P3.T8)	60 20.4%	65 79.6%
Q3 - 1:44	IND	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	60 17.5%	65 82.5%
Q3 - 1:45	WAS	MISS Gortat 15' Jump Shot	60 18.3%	65 81.7%
Q3 - 2:02	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	60 20.8%	65 79.2%
Q3 - 2:03	IND	MISS G. Hill 2' Reverse Layup	60 19.9%	65 80.1%
Q3 - 2:18	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	60 17.8%	65 82.2%
Q3 - 2:20	WAS	MISS Nene 18' Jump Shot	60 18.7%	65 81.3%
Q3 - 2:37	IND	Hibbert 5' Jump Shot (24 PTS)	60 20.8%	65 79.2%
Q3 - 2:40	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	60 23.9%	63 76.1%
Q3 - 2:41	IND	MISS West 20' Jump Shot	60 26.4%	63 73.6%
Q3 - 2:59	WAS	Gortat 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wall 6 AST)	60 23.9%	63 76.1%
Q3 - 3:14	WAS	Wizards Rebound	58 21.3%	63 78.7%
Q3 - 3:14	IND	MISS Hibbert 4' Jump Hook Shot	58 20.3%	63 79.7%
Q3 - 3:39	WAS	Gortat 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS) (Wall 5 AST)	58 18.2%	63 81.8%
Q3 - 3:55	IND	Stephenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (G. Hill 2 AST)	56 15.9%	63 84.1%
Q3 - 4:15	WAS	Beal Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	56 21.1%	60 78.9%
Q3 - 4:15	WAS	MISS Beal Free Throw 1 of 2	55 20.6%	60 79.4%
Q3 - 4:29	IND	Stephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	55 21.8%	60 78.2%
Q3 - 4:29	IND	Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	55 22.5%	59 77.5%
Q3 - 4:37	WAS	Beal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)	55 24.1%	58 75.9%
Q3 - 4:54	IND	Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)	55 28.2%	58 71.8%
Q3 - 5:10	WAS	Gortat 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	55 34.7%	55 65.3%
Q3 - 5:28	IND	Hibbert 5' Running Hook Shot (22 PTS) (George 1 AST)	53 31.6%	55 68.4%
Q3 - 5:48	IND	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	53 34.7%	53 65.3%
Q3 - 5:50	WAS	MISS Wall 25' 3PT Jump Shot	53 36.0%	53 64.0%
Q3 - 5:52	WAS	Beal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	53 39.2%	53 60.8%
Q3 - 5:54	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	53 39.2%	53 60.8%
Q3 - 5:54	WAS	MISS Gortat 1' Tip Shot	53 36.0%	53 64.0%
Q3 - 5:56	WAS	MISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot	53 36.0%	53 64.0%
Q3 - 6:02	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	53 38.6%	53 61.4%
Q3 - 6:03	IND	MISS Stephenson 9' Jump Shot	53 37.3%	53 62.7%
Q3 - 6:18	IND	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	53 34.5%	53 65.5%
Q3 - 6:19	WAS	MISS Beal 25' 3PT Jump Shot	53 35.7%	53 64.3%
Q3 - 6:34	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	53 38.6%	53 61.4%
Q3 - 6:35	IND	MISS G. Hill 10' Jump Shot	53 37.3%	53 62.7%
Q3 - 6:57	WAS	Wizards Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)	53 34.5%	53 65.5%
Q3 - 6:57	WAS	Wizards Rebound	53 38.6%	53 61.4%
Q3 - 6:57	WAS	MISS Wall 28' 3PT Jump Shot	53 35.8%	53 64.2%
Q3 - 7:27	IND	G. Hill 2' Layup (11 PTS)	53 38.1%	53 61.9%
Q3 - 7:31	WAS	G. Hill STEAL (1 STL)	53 41.4%	51 58.6%
Q3 - 7:55	IND	G. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)	53 45.6%	51 54.4%
Q3 - 8:13	WAS	Gortat 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	53 52.2%	48 47.8%
Q3 - 8:32	IND	Stephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	51 49.0%	48 51.0%
Q3 - 8:32	IND	Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	51 50.0%	47 50.0%
Q3 - 8:34	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	51 52.2%	46 47.8%
Q3 - 8:35	WAS	MISS Wall 20' Jump Shot	51 53.5%	46 46.5%
Q3 - 8:50	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	51 56.5%	46 43.5%
Q3 - 8:51	IND	MISS Stephenson 19' Jump Shot	51 55.2%	46 44.8%
Q3 - 9:12	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	51 51.5%	46 48.5%
Q3 - 9:13	IND	MISS Stephenson 18' Jump Shot	51 54.1%	46 45.9%
Q3 - 9:23	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	51 51.5%	46 48.5%
Q3 - 9:24	WAS	MISS Nene 8' Jump Shot	51 52.7%	46 47.3%
Q3 - 9:35	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	51 55.3%	46 44.7%
Q3 - 9:36	IND	MISS Stephenson 19' Jump Shot	51 54.2%	46 45.8%
Q3 - 9:46	WAS	Stephenson STEAL (1 STL)	51 51.6%	46 48.4%
Q3 - 10:05	IND	Stephenson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)	51 54.3%	46 45.7%
Q3 - 10:27	WAS	Beal 12' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)	51 50.8%	46 49.2%
Q3 - 10:38	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)	49 47.3%	46 52.7%
Q3 - 11:02	WAS	Nene 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Beal 5 AST)	49 53.3%	43 46.7%
Q3 - 11:19	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	47 50.0%	43 50.0%
Q3 - 11:20	IND	MISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot	47 49.0%	43 51.0%
Q3 - 11:40	WAS	Gortat 1' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Beal 4 AST)	47 46.5%	43 53.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	IND		45 43.2%	43 56.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0	IND	George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	45 39.7%	43 60.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0	WAS	MISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot	45 40.6%	43 59.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	45 42.3%	43 57.7%
Q2 - 0:05.0	WAS	MISS Wall 4' Driving Slam Dunk	45 40.6%	43 59.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0	WAS	Wizards Rebound	45 42.3%	43 57.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0	IND	MISS Copeland 25' 3PT Jump Shot	45 41.6%	43 58.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0	WAS	Booker 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)	45 39.9%	43 60.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	43 36.1%	43 63.9%
Q2 - 1:00	IND	MISS Hibbert 13' Jump Shot	43 35.3%	43 64.7%
Q2 - 1:26	WAS	Gortat 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Beal 3 AST)	43 34.0%	43 66.0%
Q2 - 1:44	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	41 30.2%	43 69.8%
Q2 - 1:44	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	41 30.8%	42 69.2%
Q2 - 1:44	IND	PACERS Rebound	41 34.0%	41 66.0%
Q2 - 1:44	IND	MISS G. Hill 3' Driving Layup	41 35.3%	41 64.7%
Q2 - 2:07	WAS	Gortat 8' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)	41 33.2%	41 66.8%
Q2 - 2:33	IND	G. Hill 4' Driving Dunk (6 PTS)	39 30.6%	41 69.4%
Q2 - 2:52	WAS	Wall 1' Driving Dunk (6 PTS)	39 33.3%	39 66.7%
Q2 - 3:15	IND	Hibbert 5' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Stephenson 4 AST)	37 30.8%	39 69.2%
Q2 - 3:23	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	37 32.8%	37 67.2%
Q2 - 3:24	WAS	MISS Gortat 9' Hook Shot	37 33.8%	37 66.2%
Q2 - 3:42	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	37 36.1%	37 63.9%
Q2 - 3:42	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	37 36.7%	36 63.3%
Q2 - 3:42	IND	PACERS Rebound	37 38.3%	35 61.7%
Q2 - 3:42	IND	MISS Watson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	37 40.7%	35 59.3%
Q2 - 3:59	WAS	Nene 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wall 4 AST)	37 38.4%	35 61.6%
Q2 - 4:14	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	35 35.5%	35 64.5%
Q2 - 4:16	IND	MISS Hibbert 10' Jump Hook Shot	35 34.7%	35 65.3%
Q2 - 4:32	IND	Watson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	35 32.8%	35 67.2%
Q2 - 4:33	WAS	MISS Beal 20' Pullup Jump Shot	35 33.6%	35 66.4%
Q2 - 4:46	IND	West Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)	35 35.5%	35 64.5%
Q2 - 5:07	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	35 32.9%	35 67.1%
Q2 - 5:07	WAS	MISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 2	35 33.2%	35 66.8%
Q2 - 5:07	WAS	MISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 2	35 34.6%	35 65.4%
Q2 - 5:20	WAS	Beal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	35 35.3%	35 64.7%
Q2 - 5:21	IND	MISS Scola 20' Jump Shot	35 34.6%	35 65.4%
Q2 - 5:29	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	35 32.9%	35 67.1%
Q2 - 5:31	WAS	MISS Nene 22' Jump Shot	35 33.6%	35 66.4%
Q2 - 5:34	WAS	Webster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	35 35.3%	35 64.7%
Q2 - 5:35	WAS	Hibbert BLOCK (2 BLK)	35 33.6%	35 66.4%
Q2 - 5:57	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	35 35.3%	35 64.7%
Q2 - 5:57	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	35 35.9%	34 64.1%
Q2 - 6:21	WAS	A. Miller 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)	35 37.5%	33 62.5%
Q2 - 6:47	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	33 35.5%	33 64.5%
Q2 - 6:49	IND	MISS Stephenson 14' Jump Shot	33 34.6%	33 65.4%
Q2 - 7:07	WAS	Nene 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beal 2 AST)	33 32.5%	33 67.5%
Q2 - 7:26	IND	Watson 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)	31 30.5%	33 69.5%
Q2 - 7:31	WAS	Turner STEAL (1 STL)	31 32.5%	31 67.5%
Q2 - 7:45	IND	Scola Free Throw 1 of 1 (1 PTS)	31 35.2%	31 64.8%
Q2 - 8:14	WAS	Beal 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)	31 39.6%	28 60.4%
Q2 - 8:36	IND	Watson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turner 2 AST)	29 37.2%	28 62.8%
Q2 - 8:43	IND	Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	29 42.1%	25 57.9%
Q2 - 8:44	WAS	MISS Webster 24' 3PT Jump Shot	29 42.9%	25 57.1%
Q2 - 8:51	IND	Watson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	29 44.8%	25 55.2%
Q2 - 9:10	WAS	Gooden 4' Layup (2 PTS)	29 41.4%	25 58.6%
Q2 - 9:26	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	27 39.2%	25 60.8%
Q2 - 9:28	IND	MISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	27 38.4%	25 61.6%
Q2 - 9:46	WAS	A. Miller 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	27 36.7%	25 63.3%
Q2 - 9:58	WAS	Booker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 34.5%	25 65.5%
Q2 - 9:59	IND	MISS Stephenson 20' Jump Shot	25 33.8%	25 66.2%
Q2 - 10:11	IND	Turner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 32.0%	25 68.0%
Q2 - 10:12	WAS	MISS Gooden 21' Jump Shot	25 32.8%	25 67.2%
Q2 - 10:29	IND	Mahinmi 2' Dunk (4 PTS)	25 34.6%	25 65.4%
Q2 - 10:46	IND	Scola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	25 36.5%	23 63.5%
Q2 - 10:47	WAS	MISS Webster 3PT Jump Shot	25 37.3%	23 62.7%
Q2 - 10:50	WAS	Webster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	25 39.2%	23 60.8%
Q2 - 10:52	WAS	MISS A. Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot	25 37.3%	23 62.7%
Q2 - 11:11	WAS	Beal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	25 38.9%	23 61.1%
Q2 - 11:12	IND	MISS Scola 21' Jump Shot	25 38.1%	23 61.9%
Q2 - 11:38	WAS	Webster 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)	25 36.5%	23 63.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0	IND		23 34.4%	23 65.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0	WAS	Watson STEAL (1 STL)	23 32.1%	23 67.9%
Q1 - 0:06.0	IND	George Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)	23 33.9%	23 66.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0	WAS	Webster 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wall 3 AST)	23 32.4%	23 67.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	20 27.9%	23 72.1%
Q1 - 0:34.0	IND	MISS Watson 9' Running Jump Shot	20 27.5%	23 72.5%
Q1 - 0:44.0	IND	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	20 26.5%	23 73.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0	WAS	MISS Ariza 18' Jump Shot	20 27.0%	23 73.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0	IND	West 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)	20 27.9%	23 72.1%
Q1 - 1:12	WAS	Gortat 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Webster 1 AST)	20 30.3%	21 69.7%
Q1 - 1:26	WAS	Webster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 28.0%	21 72.0%
Q1 - 1:27	IND	MISS West 19' Jump Shot	18 27.5%	21 72.5%
Q1 - 1:39	WAS	Gortat 3' Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wall 2 AST)	18 26.6%	21 73.4%
Q1 - 1:52	IND	George 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)	16 24.4%	21 75.6%
Q1 - 1:59	IND	Mahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	16 26.6%	19 73.4%
Q1 - 2:00	IND	MISS George 15' Pullup Jump Shot	16 27.5%	19 72.5%
Q1 - 2:24	IND	PACERS Rebound	16 26.6%	19 73.4%
Q1 - 2:25	WAS	MISS Wall 18' Pullup Jump Shot	16 27.1%	19 72.9%
Q1 - 2:37	IND	PACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)	16 28.2%	19 71.8%
Q1 - 2:37	IND	West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	16 26.6%	19 73.4%
Q1 - 2:37	IND	MISS Mahinmi 3' Layup	16 27.7%	19 72.3%
Q1 - 3:02	WAS	Beal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)	16 26.3%	19 73.7%
Q1 - 3:21	IND	George 12' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)	13 23.2%	19 76.8%
Q1 - 3:25	WAS	George STEAL (1 STL)	13 24.7%	17 75.3%
Q1 - 3:27	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	13 26.5%	17 73.5%
Q1 - 3:28	IND	MISS G. Hill 5' Jump Shot	13 25.9%	17 74.1%
Q1 - 3:41	WAS	Mahinmi STEAL (1 STL)	13 24.7%	17 75.3%
Q1 - 3:56	IND	Mahinmi 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)	13 26.5%	17 73.5%
Q1 - 4:36	WAS	Wall 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)	13 28.0%	15 72.0%
Q1 - 4:54	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	11 26.5%	15 73.5%
Q1 - 4:56	IND	MISS G. Hill 4' Layup	11 25.9%	15 74.1%
Q1 - 5:05	WAS	Nene 4' Driving Bank Hook Shot (4 PTS)	11 24.9%	15 75.1%
Q1 - 5:20	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	9 23.5%	15 76.5%
Q1 - 5:21	IND	MISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	9 23.0%	15 77.0%
Q1 - 5:36	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	9 21.9%	15 78.1%
Q1 - 5:37	WAS	MISS Beal 25' 3PT Jump Shot	9 22.4%	15 77.6%
Q1 - 5:44	IND	George Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	9 23.5%	15 76.5%
Q1 - 6:01	WAS	Beal 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)	9 22.1%	15 77.9%
Q1 - 6:16	WAS	Gortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	7 20.9%	15 79.1%
Q1 - 6:17	WAS	Hibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)	7 19.9%	15 80.1%
Q1 - 6:24	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	7 20.9%	15 79.1%
Q1 - 6:25	IND	MISS George 19' Jump Shot	7 20.5%	15 79.5%
Q1 - 6:33	IND	G. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 19.5%	15 80.5%
Q1 - 6:34	WAS	MISS Nene 19' Jump Shot	7 19.9%	15 80.1%
Q1 - 6:51	IND	Hibbert 5' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)	7 20.9%	15 79.1%
Q1 - 7:03	IND	George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	7 22.2%	13 77.8%
Q1 - 7:04	WAS	MISS Nene 3' Layup	7 22.7%	13 77.3%
Q1 - 7:21	IND	West Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	7 23.8%	13 76.2%
Q1 - 7:40	WAS	Nene 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Beal 1 AST)	7 22.2%	13 77.8%
Q1 - 8:01	IND	G. Hill 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)	5 21.2%	13 78.8%
Q1 - 8:06	IND	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	5 22.4%	11 77.6%
Q1 - 8:07	WAS	MISS Gortat 19' Jump Shot	5 22.8%	11 77.2%
Q1 - 8:17	WAS	Ariza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	5 23.8%	11 76.2%
Q1 - 8:17	WAS	MISS Wall 17' Jump Shot	5 22.8%	11 77.2%
Q1 - 8:35	IND	George 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	5 23.8%	11 76.2%
Q1 - 8:52	IND	Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	5 25.1%	9 74.9%
Q1 - 8:53	WAS	MISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot	5 25.5%	9 74.5%
Q1 - 9:10	IND	G. Hill 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)	5 26.8%	9 73.2%
Q1 - 9:24	WAS	Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wall 1 AST)	5 28.0%	7 72.0%
Q1 - 9:31	WAS	Wall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 25.4%	7 74.6%
Q1 - 9:35	IND	MISS West 15' Jump Shot	2 24.9%	7 75.1%
Q1 - 9:49	WAS	Wall Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	2 23.9%	7 76.1%
Q1 - 9:49	WAS	Wall Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	1 23.7%	7 76.3%
Q1 - 10:05	IND	West 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST)	0 23.1%	7 76.9%
Q1 - 10:21	IND	Stephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 24.2%	5 75.8%
Q1 - 10:23	WAS	MISS Beal 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot	0 24.6%	5 75.4%
Q1 - 10:28	WAS	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 25.6%	5 74.4%
Q1 - 10:29	IND	MISS Stephenson 2' Layup	0 25.1%	5 74.9%
Q1 - 10:50	IND	George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0 24.2%	5 75.8%
Q1 - 10:50	WAS	MISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 2	0 24.3%	5 75.7%
Q1 - 10:50	WAS	MISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 2	0 25.0%	5 75.0%
Q1 - 11:04	IND	Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	0 25.4%	5 74.6%
Q1 - 11:11	IND	George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 28.1%	2 71.9%
Q1 - 11:13	WAS	MISS Beal 2' Layup	0 28.5%	2 71.5%
Q1 - 11:14	WAS	Beal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 29.4%	2 70.6%
Q1 - 11:15	WAS	MISS Nene 19' Jump Shot	0 28.5%	2 71.5%
Q1 - 11:33	IND	Hibbert 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)	0 29.4%	2 70.6%
Q1 - 12:00	IND	Jump Ball Hibbert vs. Gortat: Tip to G. Hill	0 30.9%	0 69.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.94 47.1%

IND

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

61%

IND

72%

Midrange

WAS

47%

IND

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

7.5

24%

36%

IND

6.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

WAS

42%

IND

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Gortat	21	66%	10.5 / 16
B. Beal	17	53%	8.5 / 16
Nene	14	44%	7.0 / 16
T. Ariza	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Wall	6	21%	3.0 / 14
A. Miller	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Gooden	5	50%	2.5 / 5
M. Webster	5	63%	2.5 / 4
T. Booker	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Hibbert	28	93%	14.0 / 15
G. Hill	14	54%	7.0 / 13
L. Stephenson	12	43%	6.0 / 14
P. George	11	39%	5.5 / 14
D. West	9	45%	4.5 / 10
I. Mahinmi	6	75%	3.0 / 4
C. Watson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
L. Scola	1	10%	0.5 / 5
C. Copeland	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+12

-9

IND

-7

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

0.94 47.1%

IND

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	101.9 102.7	WAS 98.8 +1.2 IND 100.0
Pace	87.9 89.3	WAS 80.8 IND 88.5 +7.7
Avg. Poss. Time	16.1 16.3	WAS 17.8 IND 16.3 +1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	46.8% 50.0%	WAS 48.1% +0.9% IND 47.2%
TO %	13.8% 14.2%	WAS 10.5% IND 9.0% +1.5%
ORB %	28.0% 21.2%	WAS 24.4% +13.3% IND 11.1%
FTrt	28.5 31.4	WAS 15.0 IND 29.2 +14.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	56.7% 55.9%	WAS 55.6% +2.5% IND 53.1%
STL %	8.4% 8.0%	WAS 6.0% IND 9.3% +3.3%
BLK %	9.5% 8.1%	WAS 5.0% IND 5.1% +0.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	49.0% 51.7%	WAS 47.1% IND 50.0% +2.9%
Rim FG%	55.8% 59.3%	WAS 60.9% IND 72.0% +11.1%
Mid FG%	38.1% 38.4%	WAS 47.2% +18.6% IND 28.6%
3P %	33.5% 38.0%	WAS 23.8% IND 33.3% +9.5%
FT %	69.6% 72.7%	WAS 41.7% IND 85.7% +44.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	34.3% 32.8%	WAS 28.7% IND 34.7% +6.0%
Mid Att. %	44.6% 41.4%	WAS 45.0% +3.6% IND 48.6%
3P Att. %	21.1% 25.8%	WAS 26.3% +9.6% IND 16.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	IND
Possessions	83	86
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	82	86
Rebounds	43	38
Assists	20	17
Steals	5	8
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (1)	4 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	34 (2)
Field Goals	36-80	32-72
At-the-Rim FG	14-23	18-25
Midrange FG	17-36	10-35
2-Point FG	31-59	28-60
3-Point FG	5-21	4-12
Free Throws	5-12	18-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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11 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 21	43.8	17	53%	5	7	2	0	4	4	2	3	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	2-6	33%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 30	36.6	21	66%	11	1	0	0	0	3	3	8	1-2	50%	10-15	67%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 29	36.6	6	38%	8	0	2	0	1	0	2	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-7	29%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 24	36.5	6	21%	1	8	1	1	1	4	0	1	2-2	100%	2-9	22%	0-4	0%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 32	35.9	14	44%	5	2	0	1	1	2	0	5	0-4	0%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 33	16.0	5	50%	4	1	0	0	1	4	2	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Martell Webster F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27	15.9	5	63%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 38	11.5	6	50%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Trevor Booker F · 6'8" 228 · 26	7.2	2	100%	3	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 28	0.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 21
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 34
Chris Singleton #31 · F · 6'9" 228 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kevin Seraphin F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24
Glen Rice #14 · G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	47%	43	20	5	3	9	0	11	32	5-12	42%	31-59	53%	5-21	24%

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11 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 21	43.8	17	53%	5	7	2	0	4	4	2	3	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	2-6	33%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 30	36.6	21	66%	11	1	0	0	0	3	3	8	1-2	50%	10-15	67%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 29	36.6	6	38%	8	0	2	0	1	0	2	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-7	29%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 24	36.5	6	21%	1	8	1	1	1	4	0	1	2-2	100%	2-9	22%	0-4	0%
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 32	35.9	14	44%	5	2	0	1	1	2	0	5	0-4	0%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 33	16.0	5	50%	4	1	0	0	1	4	2	2	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Martell Webster F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27	15.9	5	63%	4	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 38	11.5	6	50%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Trevor Booker F · 6'8" 228 · 26	7.2	2	100%	3	0	0	1	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 28	0.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 21
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 34
Chris Singleton #31 · F · 6'9" 228 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kevin Seraphin F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24
Glen Rice #14 · G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	47%	43	20	5	3	9	0	11	32	5-12	42%	31-59	53%	5-21	24%

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9 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lance Stephenson G · 6'6" 230 · 24	43.8	12	43%	7	5	1	0	1	1	0	7	4-4	100%	1-8	13%	2-4	50%
Paul George F · 6'8" 220 · 24	41.3	11	39%	6	4	2	0	2	3	0	6	1-2	50%	5-10	50%	0-3	0%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 34	37.2	9	45%	6	2	0	0	3	3	1	5	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 27	33.5	28	93%	9	1	0	2	0	2	2	7	8-8	100%	10-13	77%	0-0	-
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 28	32.6	14	54%	4	3	1	1	0	2	0	4	1-2	50%	5-10	50%	1-2	50%
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 30	18.2	5	50%	1	0	2	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Ian Mahinmi C · 6'11" 262 · 28	14.3	6	75%	2	0	1	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Luis Scola F · 6'9" 241 · 34	10.8	1	10%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Evan Turner F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26	8.1	0	0%	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Copeland F · 6'9" 239 · 30	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Donald Sloan G · 6'3" 205 · 26
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 35
Lavoy Allen F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25
Solomon Hill #9 · F · 6'7" 225 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Andrew Bynum #17 · C · 7'0" 285 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	86	50%	38	17	8	3	7	0	4	34	18-21	86%	28-60	47%	4-12	33%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg

BOXSCORE