FinalWin Prob.pScore
958%106
126
2342%103
129
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
124.810196.9
DEN logo DEN
127.7101105.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0IND126
0%
129
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDMudiay BLOCK (1 BLK)126
0.9%
129
99.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENBarton Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)126
5.6%
129
94.4%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENBarton Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)126
6.6%
128
93.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)126
17.7%
127
82.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)125
15.4%
127
84.6%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)124
8.7%
127
91.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDMISS George 24' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot124
3.8%
127
96.2%
Q4 - 0:14.0INDTurner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)124
10.6%
127
89.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENMISS Barton 1' Layup124
7.6%
127
92.4%
Q4 - 0:15.0DENBarton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)124
3.5%
127
96.5%
Q4 - 0:17.0DENMISS Foye Free Throw 2 of 2124
9.7%
127
90.3%
Q4 - 0:17.0DENFoye Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)124
5.2%
127
94.8%
Q4 - 0:17.0INDEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)124
9.1%
126
90.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0INDMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 2123
7.7%
126
92.3%
Q4 - 0:20.0DENFoye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Barton 3 AST)123
11.1%
126
88.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)123
44.1%
123
55.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0INDMISS George 16' Jump Shot123
50.8%
123
49.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0DENBarton 5' Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)123
63.7%
123
36.3%
Q4 - 1:05INDGeorge 15' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)123
74.4%
121
25.6%
Q4 - 1:21INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)121
63.3%
121
36.7%
Q4 - 1:22DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 1 of 1121
61.3%
121
38.7%
Q4 - 1:32DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)121
73.0%
119
27.0%
Q4 - 1:32INDMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 2121
74.5%
119
25.5%
Q4 - 1:32INDMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 2121
80.4%
119
19.6%
Q4 - 1:49INDEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)121
81.7%
119
18.3%
Q4 - 1:50DENMISS Barton 25' 3PT Jump Shot121
79.2%
119
20.8%
Q4 - 2:02DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)121
72.3%
119
27.7%
Q4 - 2:04INDMISS Ellis 23' Jump Shot121
75.9%
119
24.1%
Q4 - 2:16INDPacers Rebound121
83.0%
119
17.0%
Q4 - 2:16INDFoye BLOCK (1 BLK)121
75.9%
119
24.1%
Q4 - 2:21INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)121
83.0%
119
17.0%
Q4 - 2:23DENMISS Barton 1' Layup121
80.2%
119
19.8%
Q4 - 2:28DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)121
72.1%
119
27.9%
Q4 - 2:29INDMISS George 10' Jump Shot121
75.9%
119
24.1%
Q4 - 2:46INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)121
83.2%
119
16.8%
Q4 - 2:47DENMISS Arthur 20' Jump Shot121
80.3%
119
19.7%
Q4 - 3:06INDEllis 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Turner 2 AST)121
70.4%
119
29.6%
Q4 - 3:20DENBarton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Foye 6 AST)119
64.7%
119
35.3%
Q4 - 3:39INDTurner Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)119
76.6%
116
23.4%
Q4 - 3:39INDMISS Turner Free Throw 1 of 2118
74.9%
116
25.1%
Q4 - 3:53DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)118
77.4%
116
22.6%
Q4 - 4:10INDEllis 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)118
87.6%
113
12.4%
Q4 - 4:24DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)116
83.5%
113
16.5%
Q4 - 4:24DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)116
84.0%
112
16.0%
Q4 - 4:43INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)116
87.7%
111
12.3%
Q4 - 4:43INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)115
87.2%
111
12.8%
Q4 - 4:52DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)114
83.6%
111
16.4%
Q4 - 4:52DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)114
84.2%
110
15.8%
Q4 - 4:55INDMudiay STEAL (3 STL)114
87.8%
109
12.2%
Q4 - 5:07DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)114
89.2%
109
10.8%
Q4 - 5:07DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 2114
90.1%
108
9.9%
Q4 - 5:08DENNUGGETS Rebound114
89.0%
108
11.0%
Q4 - 5:08INDMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 2114
89.5%
108
10.5%
Q4 - 5:08INDHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)114
91.2%
108
8.8%
Q4 - 5:26DENGallinari Foul Turnover (P4.T17)113
89.3%
108
10.7%
Q4 - 5:36INDGeorge Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)113
85.5%
108
14.5%
Q4 - 5:36INDGeorge Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)112
84.9%
108
15.1%
Q4 - 5:47DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T16)111
81.3%
108
18.7%
Q4 - 5:59INDHill 2' Layup (8 PTS) (George 5 AST)111
75.3%
108
24.7%
Q4 - 6:16DENBarton 1' Driving Reverse Layup (14 PTS)109
68.9%
108
31.1%
Q4 - 6:39INDAllen 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (George 4 AST)109
74.2%
106
25.8%
Q4 - 6:50INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)107
68.8%
106
31.2%
Q4 - 6:50INDMISS Turner Free Throw 1 of 1107
62.2%
106
37.8%
Q4 - 6:50INDTurner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)105
54.7%
106
45.3%
Q4 - 6:50INDMISS Ellis 2' Layup105
48.7%
106
51.3%
Q4 - 6:58DENBarton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mudiay 6 AST)105
54.7%
106
45.3%
Q4 - 7:03INDMudiay STEAL (2 STL)105
68.1%
103
31.9%
Q4 - 7:05INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)105
74.3%
103
25.7%
Q4 - 7:09INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
70.1%
103
29.9%
Q4 - 7:20INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)105
74.4%
103
25.6%
Q4 - 7:21DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 1 of 1105
73.6%
103
26.4%
Q4 - 7:28DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)105
78.8%
101
21.2%
Q4 - 7:30INDMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
80.4%
101
19.6%
Q4 - 7:43INDPacers Rebound105
83.5%
101
16.5%
Q4 - 7:43DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
82.2%
101
17.8%
Q4 - 7:57INDYoung 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)105
78.9%
101
21.1%
Q4 - 8:05INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
72.9%
101
27.1%
Q4 - 8:08DENMISS Mudiay 2' Driving Layup103
71.4%
101
28.6%
Q4 - 8:13INDGallinari STEAL (2 STL)103
67.7%
101
32.3%
Q4 - 8:23INDYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)103
73.0%
101
27.0%
Q4 - 8:25DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 2 of 2103
72.3%
101
27.7%
Q4 - 8:25DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 1 of 2103
69.0%
101
31.0%
Q4 - 8:33DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)103
67.8%
101
32.3%
Q4 - 8:35INDMISS Young 19' Jump Shot103
69.4%
101
30.6%
Q4 - 8:46DENMudiay 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)103
73.0%
101
27.0%
Q4 - 9:02INDTurner 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (S. Hill 2 AST)103
76.8%
99
23.2%
Q4 - 9:18DENHarris 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)101
72.4%
99
27.6%
Q4 - 9:21DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)101
80.8%
96
19.2%
Q4 - 9:24DENMISS Barton 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot101
83.3%
96
16.7%
Q4 - 9:29DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
80.8%
96
19.2%
Q4 - 9:33INDLauvergne BLOCK (1 BLK)101
82.0%
96
18.0%
Q4 - 9:48DENFaried Dunk (12 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)101
84.4%
96
15.6%
Q4 - 9:57DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)101
87.2%
94
12.8%
Q4 - 9:59INDMISS S. Hill 6' Hook Shot101
88.1%
94
11.9%
Q4 - 10:17DENFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)101
88.8%
94
11.2%
Q4 - 10:32INDTurner Dunk (20 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)101
92.5%
91
7.5%
Q4 - 10:46DENBarton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Foye 5 AST)99
91.0%
91
9.0%
Q4 - 10:56INDYoung Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)99
94.0%
88
6.0%
Q4 - 11:02DENFoye 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)96
89.9%
88
10.1%
Q4 - 11:12INDTurner Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)96
91.6%
86
8.4%
Q4 - 11:21DENHarris 15' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)93
87.8%
86
12.2%
Q4 - 11:47INDTurner 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Young 7 AST)93
89.9%
84
10.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN91
87.9%
84
12.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound91
85.3%
84
14.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Foye 12' Jump Shot91
87.1%
84
12.9%
Q3 - 0:08.0INDYoung 23' Jump Shot (10 PTS)91
84.4%
84
15.6%
Q3 - 0:30.0DENFoye 19' Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS)89
81.6%
84
18.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0DENNUGGETS Rebound89
84.5%
82
15.5%
Q3 - 0:37.0DENMISS Barton 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup89
86.3%
82
13.7%
Q3 - 0:47.0INDTurner 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Young 6 AST)89
84.5%
82
15.5%
Q3 - 0:58.0DENBarton 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS)87
81.6%
82
18.4%
Q3 - 1:15INDTurner 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Young 5 AST)87
83.7%
80
16.3%
Q3 - 1:32INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
81.0%
80
19.0%
Q3 - 1:33DENMISS Foye 3PT Jump Shot85
80.0%
80
20.0%
Q3 - 1:52INDGeorge 16' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)85
77.7%
80
22.3%
Q3 - 2:09DENLauvergne Foul Turnover (P1.T15)83
73.4%
80
26.6%
Q3 - 2:28INDMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)83
69.4%
80
30.6%
Q3 - 2:28INDMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)82
68.7%
80
31.3%
Q3 - 2:36INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
65.6%
80
34.4%
Q3 - 2:37DENMISS Barton 10' Jump Shot81
64.2%
80
35.8%
Q3 - 2:40DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
61.0%
80
39.0%
Q3 - 2:43DENMISS Barton 17' Jump Shot81
64.2%
80
35.8%
Q3 - 2:59INDS. Hill 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) (George 3 AST)81
61.0%
80
39.0%
Q3 - 3:04INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
52.8%
80
47.2%
Q3 - 3:07DENMISS Arthur 10' Fadeaway Jumper78
51.3%
80
48.7%
Q3 - 3:26DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
47.9%
80
52.1%
Q3 - 3:27INDMISS Turner 14' Turnaround Jump Shot78
49.4%
80
50.6%
Q3 - 3:40INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
52.7%
80
47.3%
Q3 - 3:42DENMISS Jokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
51.2%
80
48.8%
Q3 - 3:48INDJokic STEAL (4 STL)78
47.9%
80
52.1%
Q3 - 4:01DENHarris 1' Cutting Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Jokic 3 AST)78
53.2%
80
46.8%
Q3 - 4:14INDEllis 5' Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)78
56.7%
78
43.3%
Q3 - 4:26DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)76
53.2%
78
46.8%
Q3 - 4:26DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)76
54.1%
77
45.9%
Q3 - 4:30INDArthur STEAL (2 STL)76
56.7%
76
43.3%
Q3 - 4:49DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)76
61.6%
76
38.4%
Q3 - 4:49DENJokic 1' Tip Layup Shot (16 PTS)76
61.6%
76
38.4%
Q3 - 4:51DENMISS Mudiay 1' Layup76
68.0%
74
32.0%
Q3 - 4:56DENArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
64.9%
74
35.1%
Q3 - 4:57INDMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
66.3%
74
33.7%
Q3 - 5:08DENJokic 1' Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (Arthur 2 AST)76
68.7%
74
31.3%
Q3 - 5:33INDMudiay STEAL (1 STL)76
71.8%
72
28.2%
Q3 - 5:48DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)76
75.4%
72
24.6%
Q3 - 5:50DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
80.7%
69
19.3%
Q3 - 5:51INDBarton BLOCK (1 BLK)76
81.6%
69
18.4%
Q3 - 5:58DENMudiay Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T14)76
83.4%
69
16.6%
Q3 - 6:09INDRobinson III Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
80.1%
69
19.9%
Q3 - 6:09INDMISS Robinson III Free Throw 1 of 275
79.5%
69
20.5%
Q3 - 6:27DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)75
80.4%
69
19.6%
Q3 - 6:33DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
77.5%
69
22.5%
Q3 - 6:34INDMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
78.4%
69
21.6%
Q3 - 6:50DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)75
80.4%
69
19.6%
Q3 - 6:50DENMISS Jokic Free Throw 1 of 275
81.0%
68
19.0%
Q3 - 6:50DENNUGGETS Rebound75
80.2%
68
19.8%
Q3 - 6:51DENMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
82.0%
68
18.0%
Q3 - 6:59DENNUGGETS Rebound75
80.2%
68
19.8%
Q3 - 6:59DENMISS Jokic Layup75
82.1%
68
17.9%
Q3 - 7:12INDHill 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)75
79.5%
68
20.5%
Q3 - 7:36DENMudiay 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)73
77.3%
68
22.7%
Q3 - 8:00INDEllis 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)73
79.6%
66
20.4%
Q3 - 8:14DENFaried 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)71
77.2%
66
22.8%
Q3 - 8:15DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)71
79.4%
64
20.6%
Q3 - 8:19DENMISS Jokic 1' Cutting Layup Shot71
81.3%
64
18.7%
Q3 - 8:34INDRobinson III Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)71
79.4%
64
20.6%
Q3 - 8:34INDRobinson III Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)70
78.7%
64
21.3%
Q3 - 8:38DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)69
77.2%
64
22.8%
Q3 - 8:52DENNUGGETS Rebound69
74.1%
64
25.9%
Q3 - 8:55INDMISS Robinson III 22' Jump Shot69
75.0%
64
25.0%
Q3 - 9:11DENJokic Cutting Dunk Shot (11 PTS) (Mudiay 5 AST)69
76.5%
64
23.5%
Q3 - 9:22DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
79.0%
62
21.0%
Q3 - 9:25INDMISS Robinson III 6' Floating Jump Shot69
79.7%
62
20.3%
Q3 - 9:32DENHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)69
81.4%
62
18.6%
Q3 - 9:36INDJokic STEAL (3 STL)69
79.0%
62
21.0%
Q3 - 9:59DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)69
81.4%
62
18.6%
Q3 - 9:59DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)69
81.7%
61
18.3%
Q3 - 10:05DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
83.0%
60
17.0%
Q3 - 10:08INDMISS Ellis 6' Floating Jump Shot69
83.7%
60
16.3%
Q3 - 10:19DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)69
85.0%
60
15.0%
Q3 - 10:19DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)69
85.2%
59
14.8%
Q3 - 10:35INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)69
86.6%
58
13.4%
Q3 - 10:59DENHarris 5' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
83.2%
58
16.8%
Q3 - 11:13DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
84.7%
56
15.3%
Q3 - 11:16INDMISS Robinson III 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot66
85.2%
56
14.8%
Q3 - 11:30DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)66
86.5%
56
13.5%
Q3 - 11:30DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)66
87.0%
55
13.0%
Q3 - 11:30DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)66
87.9%
54
12.1%
Q3 - 11:30DENMISS Gallinari 7' Floating Jump Shot66
88.9%
54
11.1%
Q3 - 11:38DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
87.9%
54
12.1%
Q3 - 11:40DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 2 of 266
89.2%
54
10.8%
Q3 - 11:40DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 1 of 266
88.3%
54
11.7%
Q3 - 11:45DENNUGGETS Rebound66
87.9%
54
12.1%
Q3 - 11:45DENMISS Jokic 2' Layup66
88.9%
54
11.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND66
87.9%
54
12.1%
Q2 - 0:16.0INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
88.5%
54
11.5%
Q2 - 0:22.0DENMISS Faried 8' Driving Hook Shot66
88.2%
54
11.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)66
87.5%
54
12.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0INDMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot66
87.8%
54
12.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0DENJokic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)66
88.5%
54
11.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0INDBudinger 3' Putback Layup (4 PTS)66
87.5%
54
12.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0INDBudinger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
85.6%
54
14.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0INDMISS Hill 1' Finger Roll Layup64
84.8%
54
15.2%
Q2 - 1:12INDPacers Rebound64
85.0%
54
15.0%
Q2 - 1:14DENMISS Mudiay 1' Cutting Layup Shot64
84.7%
54
15.3%
Q2 - 1:37INDEllis 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)64
84.1%
54
15.9%
Q2 - 1:43DENGallinari 20' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)62
81.5%
54
18.5%
Q2 - 2:01INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)62
83.2%
52
16.8%
Q2 - 2:09DENHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)62
84.8%
52
15.2%
Q2 - 2:14DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
87.7%
49
12.3%
Q2 - 2:15INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
88.1%
49
11.9%
Q2 - 2:39DENGallinari 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)62
89.0%
49
11.0%
Q2 - 2:51INDEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)62
90.2%
47
9.8%
Q2 - 3:07INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
87.4%
47
12.6%
Q2 - 3:08DENMISS Jokic 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
86.9%
47
13.1%
Q2 - 3:24INDEllis 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (George 2 AST)59
85.8%
47
14.2%
Q2 - 3:36DENMudiay Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T9)57
84.6%
47
15.4%
Q2 - 3:49INDEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)57
82.7%
47
17.3%
Q2 - 4:00INDHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
79.3%
47
20.7%
Q2 - 4:01INDMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot54
77.2%
47
22.8%
Q2 - 4:09INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
78.7%
47
21.3%
Q2 - 4:12DENMISS Harris 2' Cutting Layup Shot54
78.1%
47
21.9%
Q2 - 4:23INDEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)54
76.6%
47
23.4%
Q2 - 4:38INDBudinger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
72.4%
47
27.6%
Q2 - 4:41DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 151
72.1%
47
27.9%
Q2 - 4:41DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)51
74.5%
45
25.5%
Q2 - 4:42DENMISS Barton 2' Running Layup51
76.1%
45
23.9%
Q2 - 4:52INDS. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)51
74.5%
45
25.5%
Q2 - 5:19DENMudiay Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)48
70.1%
45
29.9%
Q2 - 5:29INDBudinger 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (S. Hill 1 AST)48
67.6%
45
32.4%
Q2 - 5:40INDPacers Rebound46
65.2%
45
34.8%
Q2 - 5:42INDMISS S. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
63.3%
45
36.7%
Q2 - 5:56DENBarton 19' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
65.2%
45
34.8%
Q2 - 6:42INDYoung Dunk (8 PTS) (Budinger 1 AST)46
67.3%
43
32.7%
Q2 - 6:46DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)44
65.5%
43
34.5%
Q2 - 7:01INDYoung 8' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)44
62.7%
43
37.3%
Q2 - 7:12INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
60.4%
43
39.6%
Q2 - 7:13DENMISS Foye 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot42
59.5%
43
40.5%
Q2 - 7:23DENArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
57.6%
43
42.4%
Q2 - 7:26INDMISS Turner 1' Hook Shot42
58.5%
43
41.5%
Q2 - 7:28INDTurner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
60.4%
43
39.6%
Q2 - 7:29INDMISS Young 22' Jump Shot42
58.5%
43
41.5%
Q2 - 7:50DENFoye Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)42
60.4%
43
39.6%
Q2 - 7:50DENMISS Foye Free Throw 1 of 242
60.7%
42
39.3%
Q2 - 8:00INDYoung 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
60.1%
42
39.9%
Q2 - 8:13DENArthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Foye 4 AST)40
57.8%
42
42.2%
Q2 - 8:24DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
62.6%
39
37.4%
Q2 - 8:27INDMISS S. Hill Running Layup40
63.4%
39
36.6%
Q2 - 8:32DENKilpatrick Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)40
65.1%
39
34.9%
Q2 - 8:47INDTurner 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Young 4 AST)40
62.6%
39
37.4%
Q2 - 8:59DENBarton 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)38
60.3%
39
39.7%
Q2 - 9:06DENNUGGETS Rebound38
62.6%
37
37.4%
Q2 - 9:06DENMISS Arthur 1' Layup38
64.4%
37
35.6%
Q2 - 9:16INDTurner Dunk (7 PTS) (Young 3 AST)38
62.6%
37
37.4%
Q2 - 9:26DENLauvergne 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Foye 3 AST)36
60.6%
37
39.4%
Q2 - 9:35DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
64.9%
34
35.1%
Q2 - 9:36DENMISS Arthur 22' Jump Shot36
66.7%
34
33.3%
Q2 - 9:55INDMiles 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Young 2 AST)36
64.9%
34
35.1%
Q2 - 10:03INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
60.4%
34
39.6%
Q2 - 10:04DENMISS Barton 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
59.5%
34
40.5%
Q2 - 10:07DENArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
57.5%
34
42.5%
Q2 - 10:08DENMISS Kilpatrick 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
59.5%
34
40.5%
Q2 - 10:12DENKilpatrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
57.5%
34
42.5%
Q2 - 10:15DENMISS Arthur 1' Layup33
59.5%
34
40.5%
Q2 - 10:18DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
57.5%
34
42.5%
Q2 - 10:19DENMISS Lauvergne 3' Layup33
59.5%
34
40.5%
Q2 - 10:42INDMiles 23' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)33
57.6%
34
42.4%
Q2 - 10:48INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
55.6%
34
44.4%
Q2 - 10:51DENMISS Foye 3' Running Jump Shot31
54.7%
34
45.3%
Q2 - 11:08INDTurner Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
52.9%
34
47.1%
Q2 - 11:08INDMISS Turner Free Throw 1 of 230
52.3%
34
47.7%
Q2 - 11:22DENLauvergne 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)30
53.0%
34
47.0%
Q2 - 11:34DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
55.3%
32
44.7%
Q2 - 11:37INDMISS Young 1' Cutting Layup Shot30
56.0%
32
44.0%
Q2 - 11:48DENArthur 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)30
57.7%
32
42.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN30
60.0%
30
40.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound30
60.0%
30
40.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Lauvergne 24' 3PT Running Jump Shot30
61.6%
30
38.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0INDMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)30
60.4%
30
39.6%
Q1 - 0:05.0INDMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)29
60.0%
30
40.0%
Q1 - 0:07.0DENBarton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)28
57.4%
30
42.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0DENLauvergne REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
55.7%
30
44.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0INDMISS Young 18' Pullup Jump Shot28
56.3%
30
43.7%
Q1 - 0:29.0INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
57.4%
30
42.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0DENMISS Kilpatrick 3PT Jump Shot28
56.9%
30
43.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0INDYoung 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)28
55.7%
30
44.3%
Q1 - 1:04DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)26
53.1%
30
46.9%
Q1 - 1:07DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
58.3%
27
41.7%
Q1 - 1:10DENMISS Lauvergne 2' Hook Shot26
59.4%
27
40.6%
Q1 - 1:28INDTurner 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Young 1 AST)26
58.3%
27
41.7%
Q1 - 1:45DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)24
55.3%
27
44.7%
Q1 - 1:45DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
55.6%
26
44.4%
Q1 - 1:51DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
58.3%
25
41.7%
Q1 - 1:51INDMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
58.7%
25
41.3%
Q1 - 2:03DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
60.3%
25
39.7%
Q1 - 2:03DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
60.8%
24
39.2%
Q1 - 2:06INDGallinari STEAL (1 STL)24
62.7%
23
37.3%
Q1 - 2:33DENGallinari Dunk (6 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)24
64.6%
23
35.4%
Q1 - 2:37INDArthur STEAL (1 STL)24
66.8%
21
33.2%
Q1 - 2:40INDTurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
68.6%
21
31.4%
Q1 - 2:42DENMISS Gallinari 2' Driving Layup24
68.1%
21
31.9%
Q1 - 2:56INDTurner 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
66.8%
21
33.2%
Q1 - 3:14DENGallinari Dunk (4 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)22
64.8%
21
35.2%
Q1 - 3:18DENNUGGETS Rebound22
66.6%
19
33.4%
Q1 - 3:18DENMISS Mudiay 2' Driving Layup22
68.1%
19
31.9%
Q1 - 3:32DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
66.6%
19
33.4%
Q1 - 3:33INDMISS Miles Free Throw 2 of 222
66.9%
19
33.1%
Q1 - 3:33INDMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
68.3%
19
31.7%
Q1 - 3:55DENArthur 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)21
66.8%
19
33.2%
Q1 - 4:13DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)21
68.4%
17
31.6%
Q1 - 4:13DENMISS Faried 1' Tip Layup Shot21
69.9%
17
30.1%
Q1 - 4:13DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
68.4%
17
31.6%
Q1 - 4:14DENMISS Harris 21' Jump Shot21
69.9%
17
30.1%
Q1 - 4:25INDAllen 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)21
68.4%
17
31.6%
Q1 - 4:35DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)19
66.8%
17
33.2%
Q1 - 4:43INDFaried STEAL (1 STL)19
64.5%
17
35.5%
Q1 - 5:01DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)19
66.4%
17
33.6%
Q1 - 5:01DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)19
66.8%
16
33.2%
Q1 - 5:17INDHill Dunk (4 PTS)19
68.1%
15
31.9%
Q1 - 5:30DENHarris Running Layup (2 PTS)17
66.4%
15
33.6%
Q1 - 5:34INDJokic STEAL (2 STL)17
68.2%
13
31.8%
Q1 - 5:49DENFaried 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)17
70.0%
13
30.0%
Q1 - 6:01INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)17
71.2%
11
28.8%
Q1 - 6:10DENHarris Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T3)14
68.0%
11
32.0%
Q1 - 6:20INDEllis Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T3)14
66.1%
11
33.9%
Q1 - 6:42DENJokic 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (7 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)14
68.0%
11
32.0%
Q1 - 7:00INDEllis Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
69.6%
9
30.4%
Q1 - 7:06INDEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
71.3%
9
28.7%
Q1 - 7:07DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
70.7%
9
29.3%
Q1 - 7:15DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
69.4%
9
30.6%
Q1 - 7:18DENMISS Mudiay 4' Fadeaway Jumper14
70.7%
9
29.3%
Q1 - 7:30INDRobinson III Running Alley Oop Dunk Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)14
69.4%
9
30.6%
Q1 - 7:36DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
68.0%
9
32.0%
Q1 - 7:58INDGeorge 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
66.0%
9
34.0%
Q1 - 8:11DENFaried Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)10
65.0%
9
35.0%
Q1 - 8:16INDJokic STEAL (1 STL)10
66.5%
7
33.5%
Q1 - 8:25DENJokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)10
68.4%
7
31.6%
Q1 - 8:44INDEllis 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
71.4%
4
28.6%
Q1 - 8:52INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
70.0%
4
30.0%
Q1 - 8:53INDMISS Robinson III 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
68.7%
4
31.3%
Q1 - 9:04DENGallinari Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)8
70.0%
4
30.0%
Q1 - 9:14DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
68.1%
4
31.9%
Q1 - 9:15INDMISS Robinson III 22' Jump Shot8
68.6%
4
31.4%
Q1 - 9:32INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
70.0%
4
30.0%
Q1 - 9:34DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
69.4%
4
30.6%
Q1 - 9:47INDGeorge 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)8
68.1%
4
31.9%
Q1 - 10:13DENJokic 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)5
64.9%
4
35.1%
Q1 - 10:28INDRobinson III 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (George 1 AST)5
66.3%
2
33.7%
Q1 - 10:43INDHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
63.2%
2
36.8%
Q1 - 10:44DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
62.6%
2
37.4%
Q1 - 11:05DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
61.4%
2
38.6%
Q1 - 11:06INDMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot2
61.8%
2
38.2%
Q1 - 11:23DENGallinari Dunk (2 PTS)2
62.9%
2
37.1%
Q1 - 11:29DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
64.7%
0
35.3%
Q1 - 11:31DENMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot2
65.7%
0
34.3%
Q1 - 11:45INDHill 3' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)2
64.7%
0
35.3%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Jokic vs. Hill: Tip to Ellis0
62.9%
0
37.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.30 64.9%
DEN
1.18 59.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
17
25
68%
DEN
27
47
57%
Midrange
IND
22
37
59%
DEN
9
18
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
DEN
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
Free Throws
IND
21
30
70%
DEN
27
38
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Turner2583%12.5 / 15
M. Ellis2463%12.0 / 19
P. George1968%9.5 / 14
J. Young1568%7.5 / 11
C. Miles1267%6.0 / 9
J. Hill975%4.5 / 6
G. Robinson III840%4.0 / 10
S. Hill660%3.0 / 5
L. Allen467%2.0 / 3
C. Budinger467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari2372%11.5 / 16
W. Barton2158%10.5 / 18
G. Harris2083%10.0 / 12
N. Jokić1864%9.0 / 14
K. Faried1372%6.5 / 9
R. Foye1260%6.0 / 10
E. Mudiay1038%5.0 / 13
D. Arthur744%3.5 / 8
J. Lauvergne550%2.5 / 5
S. Kilpatrick0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
86
+11
-15
97
DEN
84
+25
-17
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.30 64.9%
DEN
1.18 59.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.6
106.2
IND 124.8
DEN 127.7 +3.0
Pace
96.7
95.3
IND 96.9
DEN 105.5 +8.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
14.9
IND 14.9
DEN 13.7 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
48.9%
IND 64.0% +8.0%
DEN 56.0%
TO %
14.7%
14.8%
IND 13.6%
DEN 13.6%
ORB %
23.4%
25.8%
IND 26.5%
DEN 41.5% +15.0%
FTrt
26.8
28.2
IND 36.6
DEN 41.8 +5.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.4%
60.1%
IND 56.3% +2.0%
DEN 54.3%
STL %
9.3%
7.7%
IND 9.9%
DEN 11.9% +2.0%
BLK %
7.9%
8.1%
IND 9.2% +2.7%
DEN 6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
51.7%
IND 64.9% +5.7%
DEN 59.2%
Rim FG%
60.5%
54.8%
IND 68.0% +10.6%
DEN 57.4%
Mid FG%
38.9%
38.8%
IND 59.5% +9.5%
DEN 50.0%
3P %
35.1%
33.8%
IND 45.0% +6.5%
DEN 38.5%
FT %
76.4%
76.6%
IND 70.0%
DEN 71.1% +1.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.1%
42.5%
IND 30.5%
DEN 51.6% +21.2%
Mid Att. %
39.9%
29.8%
IND 45.1%
DEN 19.8% +25.3%
3P Att. %
27.0%
27.7%
IND 24.4%
DEN 28.6% +4.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDDEN
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points126129
Rebounds3342
Assists2725
Steals1012
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)17 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)25 (3)
Field Goals48-8246-91
At-the-Rim FG17-2527-47
Midrange FG22-379-18
2-Point FG39-6236-65
3-Point FG9-2010-26
Free Throws21-3027-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 220 · 26
36.0
19
68%
3
5
3
0
4
3
1
2
4-4
100%
3-5
60%
3-7
43%
G · 6'3" 185 · 30
31.9
24
63%
2
5
1
1
4
4
0
2
2-5
40%
8-14
57%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 260 · 27
19.9
4
67%
4
2
0
0
1
5
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 240 · 28
19.4
9
75%
3
1
1
0
2
4
1
2
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 22
16.5
8
40%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 20
28.8
25
83%
7
2
1
2
1
3
3
4
3-6
50%
11-13
85%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 25
27.6
6
60%
6
2
1
2
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
G · 6'6" 220 · 29
25.3
12
67%
5
1
1
0
1
3
1
4
7-8
88%
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 185 · 24
18.0
15
68%
1
7
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 209 · 28
16.6
4
67%
2
2
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 30
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
G · 6'5" 205 · 30
#42 · F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
126
65%
33
27
10
6
15
0
9
24
21-30
70%
39-62
63%
9-20
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.