FinalWin Prob.pScore
1929%99
74
471%107
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
82.29085.0
OKC logo OKC
110.09095.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAOKC
Q4 - 0:00.0OKC74
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)74
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0OKCKanter 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS)71
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)71
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0OKCMISS McGary 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAJohnson 1' Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)71
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 1:14OKCMcGary 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)69
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 1:29OKCPayne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 1:29MIAKanter BLOCK (1 BLK)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38OKCMISS Waiters 19' Step Back Jump Shot69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T21)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23OKCWaiters Driving Dunk (18 PTS)69
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34MIAMISS Johnson 17' Step Back Jump Shot69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:01OKCKanter 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Singler 1 AST)69
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMISS Winslow 19' Jump Shot69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28OKCIbaka 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Roberson 1 AST)69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47MIAJohnson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59OKCMISS Westbrook 14' Pullup Jump Shot67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10OKCMISS Waiters 17' Step Back Jump Shot67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29OKCTHUNDER Rebound67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29MIAMISS Bosh 6' Turnaround Hook Shot67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49OKCSingler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Richardson 2' Driving Layup67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:14MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15OKCMISS Westbrook 18' Pullup Jump Shot67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:37MIABosh 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS)67
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:54OKCWaiters Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)65
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:11MIAWhiteside 3' Hook Bank Shot (14 PTS)65
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS Richardson 10' Pullup Jump Shot63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32OKCWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)63
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32OKCWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)63
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot63
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:04OKCKanter Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)63
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Bosh 13' Pullup Jump Shot63
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34OKCWaiters Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)63
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 7:45MIAPayne STEAL (1 STL)63
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:04OKCKanter 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payne 2 AST)63
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 8:18MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)63
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 8:32OKCWaiters 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Payne 1 AST)60
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 8:37MIAKanter STEAL (1 STL)60
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 8:55MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 8:55OKCMISS Payne 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot60
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 9:02OKCSingler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 9:03MIAMISS Winslow 3PT Jump Shot60
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 9:30OKCSingler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)60
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 9:51MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T18)60
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 10:08MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q4 - 10:08OKCMISS Waiters 18' Jump Shot60
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q4 - 10:17OKCWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 10:17MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot60
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 10:27MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q4 - 10:28OKCMISS Roberson 3PT Jump Shot60
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 10:45MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)60
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 10:45MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 11:00OKCKanter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)58
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 11:12MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)58
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 11:40OKCKanter 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)58
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA58
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0OKCMISS Durant 1' Driving Layup58
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAWhiteside Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T16)58
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot58
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)58
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0OKCWaiters 18' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)58
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 1:03MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q3 - 1:03MIAWhiteside 1' Putback Layup (12 PTS)58
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Richardson 6' Driving Bank Shot56
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q3 - 1:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
1.8%
73
98.2%
Q3 - 1:16OKCMISS Durant 13' Floating Jump Shot56
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q3 - 1:27OKCTHUNDER Rebound56
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q3 - 1:27OKCMISS Adams 1' Layup56
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q3 - 1:27OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q3 - 1:29OKCMISS Waiters 4' Floating Jump Shot56
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q3 - 1:36OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS Winslow 16' Pullup Jump Shot56
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q3 - 1:56OKCIbaka 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Westbrook 15 AST)56
1.8%
73
98.2%
Q3 - 2:19MIAJohnson 13' Step Back Jump Shot (9 PTS)56
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 2:35OKCDurant Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P5.T10)54
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 2:48OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q3 - 2:48OKCMISS Adams 3' Turnaround Hook Shot54
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 3:06MIAAdams STEAL (1 STL)54
1.9%
71
98.1%
Q3 - 3:08OKCDurant Free Throw Technical (24 PTS)54
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 3:08MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 3:09MIAAdams BLOCK (2 BLK)54
2.4%
70
97.6%
Q3 - 3:30OKCDurant 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (23 PTS)54
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 3:42OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)54
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 3:43MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q3 - 3:48MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Whiteside 18' Jump Shot54
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q3 - 4:04OKCAdams Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Westbrook 14 AST)54
4.1%
68
95.9%
Q3 - 4:18MIAWhiteside 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)54
4.7%
66
95.3%
Q3 - 4:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
4.1%
66
95.9%
Q3 - 4:37OKCMISS Durant 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot52
3.9%
66
96.1%
Q3 - 4:58MIAWade 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (22 PTS)52
3.4%
66
96.6%
Q3 - 5:27OKCWestbrook 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)50
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q3 - 5:33OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot50
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q3 - 5:56OKCIbaka 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Durant 3 AST)50
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 6:04OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
7.2%
60
92.8%
Q3 - 6:05MIARoberson BLOCK (3 BLK)50
7.6%
60
92.4%
Q3 - 6:20OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Westbrook 13 AST)50
8.5%
60
91.5%
Q3 - 6:32MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)50
11.1%
57
88.9%
Q3 - 6:48OKCRoberson Layup (6 PTS) (Westbrook 12 AST)48
9.8%
57
90.2%
Q3 - 6:54MIADurant STEAL (3 STL)48
11.1%
55
88.9%
Q3 - 7:20OKCRoberson Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Westbrook 11 AST)48
13.1%
55
86.9%
Q3 - 7:37MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)48
14.7%
53
85.3%
Q3 - 7:37MIAHeat Rebound48
17.0%
53
83.0%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS Deng 6' Driving Bank Shot48
15.4%
53
84.6%
Q3 - 8:01MIAHeat Rebound48
17.0%
53
83.0%
Q3 - 8:02OKCMISS Durant 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot48
16.3%
53
83.7%
Q3 - 8:08OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
14.8%
53
85.2%
Q3 - 8:08MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
15.4%
53
84.6%
Q3 - 8:28OKCRoberson 6' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Adams 1 AST)48
17.0%
53
83.0%
Q3 - 8:49OKCTHUNDER Rebound48
19.0%
51
81.0%
Q3 - 8:50MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot48
19.8%
51
80.2%
Q3 - 9:12OKCIbaka 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Westbrook 10 AST)48
21.3%
51
78.7%
Q3 - 9:28MIAWhiteside 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
23.8%
49
76.2%
Q3 - 9:58OKCIbaka 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS)46
21.4%
49
78.6%
Q3 - 9:59OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
23.8%
47
76.2%
Q3 - 10:00OKCMISS Ibaka 1' Reverse Layup46
25.8%
47
74.2%
Q3 - 10:23MIABosh 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)46
23.5%
47
76.5%
Q3 - 10:42MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
21.2%
47
78.8%
Q3 - 10:44OKCMISS Durant Dunk44
20.5%
47
79.5%
Q3 - 11:02MIAWade 19' Step Back Jump Shot (20 PTS)44
18.6%
47
81.4%
Q3 - 11:21OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)42
16.8%
47
83.2%
Q3 - 11:33OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
20.8%
44
79.2%
Q3 - 11:34MIAMISS Bosh 21' Step Back Jump Shot42
21.5%
44
78.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA42
23.3%
44
76.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
23.3%
44
76.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKCMISS Westbrook 31' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot42
22.5%
44
77.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)42
21.4%
44
78.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0OKCIbaka 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
18.7%
44
81.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)40
21.4%
42
78.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)39
20.9%
42
79.1%
Q2 - 0:40.0OKCDurant Foul Turnover (P4.T9)38
18.7%
42
81.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
17.3%
42
82.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Deng 11' Pullup Jump Shot38
17.7%
42
82.3%
Q2 - 1:00OKCDurant 13' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)38
18.7%
42
81.3%
Q2 - 1:09OKCTHUNDER Rebound38
21.8%
40
78.2%
Q2 - 1:09OKCMISS Ibaka 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 1:15OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)38
21.8%
40
78.2%
Q2 - 1:16OKCMISS Westbrook 14' Pullup Jump Shot38
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 1:34MIAWhiteside 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)38
21.8%
40
78.2%
Q2 - 1:58OKCIbaka 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)36
18.8%
40
81.2%
Q2 - 2:18OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
17.5%
40
82.5%
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 136
17.7%
40
82.3%
Q2 - 2:38OKCDurant 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Westbrook 8 AST)34
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 2:46OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
19.3%
37
80.7%
Q2 - 2:46MIARoberson BLOCK (2 BLK)34
19.9%
37
80.1%
Q2 - 3:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
21.3%
37
78.7%
Q2 - 3:11OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
20.6%
37
79.4%
Q2 - 3:27MIAWaiters STEAL (1 STL)34
19.0%
37
81.0%
Q2 - 3:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
21.3%
37
78.7%
Q2 - 3:34OKCMISS Westbrook 10' Pullup Jump Shot34
20.6%
37
79.4%
Q2 - 3:51MIAWhiteside Dunk (2 PTS)34
19.0%
37
81.0%
Q2 - 3:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
17.6%
37
82.4%
Q2 - 3:52MIAMISS Bosh 8' Floating Jump Shot32
16.2%
37
83.8%
Q2 - 3:54MIAHeat Rebound32
17.6%
37
82.4%
Q2 - 3:54MIARoberson BLOCK (1 BLK)32
16.2%
37
83.8%
Q2 - 4:22OKCWestbrook 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)32
17.5%
37
82.5%
Q2 - 4:34MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)32
19.1%
35
80.9%
Q2 - 4:59OKCIbaka 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Westbrook 7 AST)30
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q2 - 5:02OKCTHUNDER Rebound30
19.1%
33
80.9%
Q2 - 5:03OKCMISS Durant 14' Pullup Jump Shot30
20.4%
33
79.6%
Q2 - 5:12MIARoberson STEAL (1 STL)30
19.1%
33
80.9%
Q2 - 5:14MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
21.0%
33
79.0%
Q2 - 5:14OKCMISS Westbrook 3PT Jump Shot30
20.4%
33
79.6%
Q2 - 5:17OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
19.1%
33
80.9%
Q2 - 5:18OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
20.4%
33
79.6%
Q2 - 5:39MIAWade 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)30
19.1%
33
80.9%
Q2 - 5:45MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
17.5%
33
82.5%
Q2 - 5:46OKCMISS Kanter 1' Layup28
17.0%
33
83.0%
Q2 - 5:52OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)28
15.9%
33
84.1%
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot28
16.4%
33
83.6%
Q2 - 5:56MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
17.5%
33
82.5%
Q2 - 5:56MIAMISS Green 18' Pullup Jump Shot28
16.4%
33
83.6%
Q2 - 6:18OKCWestbrook Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T7)28
17.9%
33
82.1%
Q2 - 6:18OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
15.9%
33
84.1%
Q2 - 6:18OKCMISS Kanter 5' Jump Shot28
17.3%
33
82.7%
Q2 - 6:20OKCKanter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
15.9%
33
84.1%
Q2 - 6:20OKCMISS Westbrook 2' Layup28
17.2%
33
82.8%
Q2 - 6:42MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)28
15.9%
33
84.1%
Q2 - 6:52MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
14.9%
33
85.1%
Q2 - 6:53OKCMISS Kanter 1' Layup26
14.4%
33
85.6%
Q2 - 7:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)26
13.6%
33
86.4%
Q2 - 7:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)25
13.3%
33
86.7%
Q2 - 7:17OKCAdams Foul Turnover (P1.T6)24
12.5%
33
87.5%
Q2 - 7:24MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P2.T9)24
11.3%
33
88.7%
Q2 - 7:42OKCWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Westbrook 6 AST)24
12.5%
33
87.5%
Q2 - 8:03OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
15.0%
30
85.0%
Q2 - 8:03MIAWaiters BLOCK (1 BLK)24
15.4%
30
84.6%
Q2 - 8:24OKCWestbrook Running Dunk (8 PTS)24
16.4%
30
83.6%
Q2 - 8:27MIAWestbrook STEAL (2 STL)24
17.8%
28
82.2%
Q2 - 8:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
19.4%
28
80.6%
Q2 - 8:49OKCMISS Payne 7' Pullup Jump Shot24
18.9%
28
81.1%
Q2 - 9:03MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)24
17.6%
28
82.4%
Q2 - 9:12MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
16.4%
28
83.6%
Q2 - 9:13OKCMISS Kanter 14' Jump Shot22
15.9%
28
84.1%
Q2 - 9:22OKCPayne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q2 - 9:23MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
15.3%
28
84.7%
Q2 - 9:38OKCWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
16.4%
28
83.6%
Q2 - 9:38OKCWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
16.7%
27
83.3%
Q2 - 9:50MIAStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
17.6%
26
82.4%
Q2 - 9:50MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
17.3%
26
82.7%
Q2 - 9:58MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
16.4%
26
83.6%
Q2 - 9:59OKCMISS Kanter 3' Layup20
15.9%
26
84.1%
Q2 - 10:16MIAStoudemire Foul Turnover (P1.T7)20
15.0%
26
85.0%
Q2 - 10:24MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
16.6%
26
83.4%
Q2 - 10:25OKCMISS Ibaka 19' Jump Shot20
16.1%
26
83.9%
Q2 - 10:47OKCSingler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
15.0%
26
85.0%
Q2 - 10:47OKCMISS Ibaka 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
16.1%
26
83.9%
Q2 - 10:57OKCPayne REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
15.0%
26
85.0%
Q2 - 10:59OKCMISS Payne 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot20
16.1%
26
83.9%
Q2 - 11:09MIAGreen Foul Turnover (P1.T6)20
15.2%
26
84.8%
Q2 - 11:18OKCWaiters 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
16.5%
26
83.5%
Q2 - 11:41MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
17.8%
24
82.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA18
16.5%
24
83.5%
Q1 - 0:05.0OKCDurant 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)18
16.3%
24
83.7%
Q1 - 0:21.0OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)18
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Green 15' Pullup Jump Shot18
19.8%
21
80.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
20.6%
21
79.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0OKCMISS Ibaka 20' Jump Shot18
20.3%
21
79.7%
Q1 - 1:05MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)18
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 1:21MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
16.4%
21
83.6%
Q1 - 1:21MIAMISS Green 9' Pullup Bank Shot15
15.8%
21
84.2%
Q1 - 1:41OKCDurant Foul Turnover (P3.T5)15
16.4%
21
83.6%
Q1 - 1:53MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)15
15.5%
21
84.5%
Q1 - 2:07OKCIbaka 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)15
16.6%
21
83.4%
Q1 - 2:11OKCTHUNDER Rebound15
18.0%
19
82.0%
Q1 - 2:11OKCMISS Westbrook 3' Driving Layup15
18.9%
19
81.1%
Q1 - 2:17OKCSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
18.0%
19
82.0%
Q1 - 2:17MIAMISS Bosh 4' Hook Shot15
18.4%
19
81.6%
Q1 - 2:40MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
19.3%
19
80.7%
Q1 - 2:40OKCMISS Westbrook 11' Turnaround Jump Shot15
18.9%
19
81.1%
Q1 - 2:49OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)15
18.0%
19
82.0%
Q1 - 2:50MIADurant BLOCK (1 BLK)15
18.4%
19
81.6%
Q1 - 2:53OKCDurant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)15
19.3%
19
80.7%
Q1 - 2:56MIADurant STEAL (2 STL)15
18.0%
19
82.0%
Q1 - 3:08MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
19.3%
19
80.7%
Q1 - 3:08OKCMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
18.9%
19
81.1%
Q1 - 3:16OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)15
17.8%
19
82.2%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
18.3%
19
81.7%
Q1 - 3:20MIAHeat Rebound15
19.3%
19
80.7%
Q1 - 3:20MIAAdams BLOCK (1 BLK)15
18.3%
19
81.7%
Q1 - 3:31MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
19.3%
19
80.7%
Q1 - 3:31OKCMISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
18.9%
19
81.1%
Q1 - 3:34OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
17.9%
19
82.1%
Q1 - 3:35OKCMISS Ibaka 7' Turnaround Hook Shot15
18.9%
19
81.1%
Q1 - 3:53OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
17.9%
19
82.1%
Q1 - 3:54MIAMISS Green 17' Jump Shot15
18.3%
19
81.7%
Q1 - 4:08OKCWestbrook 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)15
19.3%
19
80.7%
Q1 - 4:15OKCSingler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
20.4%
17
79.6%
Q1 - 4:15OKCMISS Durant 5' Floating Jump Shot15
21.6%
17
78.4%
Q1 - 4:38MIAGreen 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)15
20.4%
17
79.6%
Q1 - 5:00MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
18.0%
17
82.0%
Q1 - 5:00OKCMISS Westbrook 9' Turnaround Jump Shot12
17.5%
17
82.5%
Q1 - 5:11MIAIbaka STEAL (1 STL)12
16.7%
17
83.3%
Q1 - 5:28OKCDurant Dunk (7 PTS) (Westbrook 5 AST)12
17.9%
17
82.1%
Q1 - 5:36MIAWestbrook STEAL (1 STL)12
19.1%
15
80.9%
Q1 - 5:38MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
20.5%
15
79.5%
Q1 - 5:38OKCMISS Roberson 3PT Jump Shot12
20.1%
15
79.9%
Q1 - 5:45OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
19.1%
15
80.9%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup12
19.5%
15
80.5%
Q1 - 6:05OKCAdams Dunk (4 PTS) (Westbrook 4 AST)12
20.4%
15
79.6%
Q1 - 6:24OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
21.7%
13
78.3%
Q1 - 6:25MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
22.1%
13
77.9%
Q1 - 6:44OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
23.1%
13
76.9%
Q1 - 6:44OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)12
23.3%
12
76.7%
Q1 - 6:45MIADurant STEAL (1 STL)12
24.5%
11
75.5%
Q1 - 7:10OKCAdams 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST)12
25.8%
11
74.2%
Q1 - 7:28MIAWade 4' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
27.1%
9
72.9%
Q1 - 7:44MIAHeat Rebound10
25.9%
9
74.1%
Q1 - 7:44OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot10
25.3%
9
74.7%
Q1 - 7:50OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
24.1%
9
75.9%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot10
24.7%
9
75.3%
Q1 - 8:11OKCIbaka 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)10
25.5%
9
74.5%
Q1 - 8:22MIAJohnson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)10
26.8%
7
73.2%
Q1 - 8:35OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
25.5%
7
74.5%
Q1 - 8:38OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
28.4%
4
71.6%
Q1 - 8:39MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot8
28.9%
4
71.1%
Q1 - 9:03OKCWestbrook 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)8
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 9:16MIAWade 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 9:21OKCDurant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)6
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 9:34MIAJohnson 10' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 9:44OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 9:44OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
27.0%
1
73.0%
Q1 - 10:03MIAWade 15' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 10:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.7%
0
73.3%
Q1 - 10:18OKCMISS Durant 10' Floating Jump Shot2
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 10:29MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 10:29MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 10:42OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)0
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 10:59OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 11:00MIAMISS Whiteside 15' Jump Shot0
22.9%
0
77.1%
Q1 - 11:14OKCWestbrook Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
23.5%
0
76.5%
Q1 - 11:19OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 11:20MIAMISS Bosh 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot0
22.7%
0
77.3%
Q1 - 11:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 11:42OKCMISS Roberson 1' Reverse Layup0
23.2%
0
76.8%
Q1 - 12:00OKCJump Ball Adams vs. Whiteside: Tip to Roberson0
22.4%
0
77.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.1%
OKC
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
24
54%
OKC
15
30
50%
Midrange
MIA
13
34
38%
OKC
18
36
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
OKC
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
Free Throws
MIA
10
11
91%
OKC
12
12
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2265%11.0 / 17
T. Johnson1667%8.0 / 12
H. Whiteside1478%7.0 / 9
C. Bosh1235%6.0 / 17
J. Richardson338%1.5 / 4
G. Green321%1.5 / 7
L. Deng217%1.0 / 6
A. Stoudemire2100%1.0 / 1
J. Winslow0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant2457%12.0 / 21
S. Ibaka1963%9.5 / 15
D. Waiters1869%9.0 / 13
R. Westbrook1338%6.5 / 17
E. Kanter844%4.0 / 9
A. Roberson650%3.0 / 6
S. Adams660%3.0 / 5
K. Singler3150%1.5 / 1
M. McGary250%1.0 / 2
C. Payne0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+10
-19
81
OKC
76
+17
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.90 45.1%
OKC
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.0
113.7
MIA 82.2 +27.8
OKC 110.0
Pace
93.7
96.3
MIA 85.0
OKC 95.6 +10.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.8
MIA 16.9
OKC 15.1 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
52.4%
MIA 44.4%
OKC 49.4% +5.0%
TO %
14.0%
16.0%
MIA 21.5%
OKC 13.0% +8.5%
ORB %
23.9%
31.1%
MIA 18.4%
OKC 31.0% +12.6%
FTrt
28.2
29.2
MIA 15.3 +1.7
OKC 13.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
55.8%
MIA 40.0%
OKC 60.0% +20.0%
STL %
7.2%
7.6%
MIA 6.7%
OKC 12.2% +5.5%
BLK %
10.3%
9.3%
MIA 13.6%
OKC 13.8% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.95 and 2.95.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
55.3%
MIA 45.1%
OKC 53.2% +8.1%
Rim FG%
62.3%
58.5%
MIA 54.2% +4.2%
OKC 50.0%
Mid FG%
40.5%
45.7%
MIA 38.2%
OKC 50.0% +11.8%
3P %
33.6%
34.9%
MIA 28.6%
OKC 31.8% +3.2%
FT %
74.4%
78.3%
MIA 90.9%
OKC 100.0% +9.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.0%
38.2%
MIA 33.3%
OKC 34.1% +0.8%
Mid Att. %
40.9%
34.3%
MIA 47.2%
OKC 40.9% +6.3%
3P Att. %
22.1%
27.5%
MIA 19.4%
OKC 25.0% +5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.78 and 2.78.
Game TotalsMIAOKC
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points7499
Rebounds3644
Assists1224
Steals611
Blocks98
Turnovers (Team)19 (2)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)31 (2)
Field Goals30-7240-88
At-the-Rim FG13-2415-30
Midrange FG13-3418-36
2-Point FG26-5833-66
3-Point FG4-147-22
Free Throws10-1112-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
38.9
16
67%
6
4
0
0
4
3
2
4
0-0
-
5-9
56%
2-3
67%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
33.0
14
78%
11
0
1
4
3
1
3
8
0-0
-
7-9
78%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 32
32.5
12
35%
4
2
2
2
1
2
0
4
2-3
67%
5-14
36%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
31.1
2
17%
3
1
2
1
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
28.9
22
65%
2
3
0
0
4
1
0
2
4-4
100%
9-14
64%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
27.0
0
0%
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 22
19.8
3
38%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
13.9
2
100%
2
1
1
1
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
11.8
3
21%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 205 · 34
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'3" 190 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
74
45%
36
12
6
9
19
0
7
29
10-11
91%
26-58
45%
4-14
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.