for complete access.
All Games Friday, March 13, 2015
FinalWin Prob.pScore
18
Heat
31%98
92
6
Raptors
69%105
102
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.998103.5
TOR logo TOR
103.09994.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR92
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Dragic 18' Pullup Jump Shot92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0TORPatterson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)90
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)90
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T20)90
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)90
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:02MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10MIAHeat Rebound90
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:12MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 190
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 288
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)88
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:38TORMISS DeRozan 17' Jump Shot88
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 1:58MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)88
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)87
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 2:06MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 2:07TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 286
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 2:07TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)86
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25MIAWade 18' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)86
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 2:35MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36TORMISS Vasquez 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45TORRAPTORS Rebound84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45TORMISS Lowry 14' Fadeaway Jumper84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27TORVasquez 7' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lowry 8 AST)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)82
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 3:56TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)80
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 4:13MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51TORVasquez 28' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Patterson 2 AST)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 5:06TORMISS Patterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 5:21MIAWade 18' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:37TORVasquez 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (DeRozan 6 AST)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 5:57MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot73
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:11TORWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)73
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 6:33MIABeasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)73
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 6:48TORWilliams 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS)70
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:51TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)70
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 6:52TORMISS Williams 11' Running Jump Shot70
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 7:11MIABeasley 4' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)70
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 7:27TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)68
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 7:36TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 7:37MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 7:51TORLowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)68
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 8:16TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 8:17TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 8:31TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 8:32MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot68
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 8:42TORWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)68
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 9:02MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)68
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q4 - 9:06MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 9:08TORMISS Hayes 2' Reverse Layup66
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 9:28TORHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup66
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 9:37MIAJohnson Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (3 PTS)66
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 9:37MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 265
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 9:41MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 9:42TORMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 9:56TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 9:57MIAMISS Beasley 16' Pullup Jump Shot65
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 10:05MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 10:06TORMISS Hayes Free Throw 2 of 265
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 10:06TORHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)65
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 10:06TORHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 10:06TORMISS Hayes 3' Jump Shot65
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 10:20MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)65
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 10:20MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)64
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q4 - 10:20MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 10:21MIAMISS Dragic 18' Jump Shot63
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 10:32TORWilliams Free Throw 3 of 3 (12 PTS)63
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q4 - 10:32TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 3 (11 PTS)63
0.5%
83
99.5%
Q4 - 10:32TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 3 (10 PTS)63
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 10:49TORHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 10:50TORMISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q4 - 11:10TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 11:22TORLowry Foul Turnover (P3.T11)63
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q4 - 11:24MIALowry STEAL (7 STL)63
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 11:40TORLowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)63
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA63
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound63
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Andersen 76' 3PT Jump Shot63
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 263
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)63
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0TORMISS Williams Free Throw Technical63
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIALowry STEAL (6 STL)63
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q3 - 0:24.0TORMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot63
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 0:28.0TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0TORMISS Johnson 2' Jump Shot63
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIALowry STEAL (5 STL)63
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
3.2%
77
96.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0TORMISS Patterson 11' Jump Shot63
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P3.T16)63
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 1:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)63
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q3 - 1:10TORMISS Patterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q3 - 1:31MIAWhiteside Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)63
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 1:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q3 - 1:44TORMISS Williams 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup61
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q3 - 1:58MIABeasley 7' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)61
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q3 - 2:15TORPatterson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)59
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q3 - 2:27TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 259
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 2:28MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 2:43TORPatterson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)58
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 2:55MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)58
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 2:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)58
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 2:59MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
2.8%
73
97.2%
Q3 - 3:17TORJohnson 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 3:29MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)58
4.2%
71
95.8%
Q3 - 3:40TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)58
5.0%
71
95.0%
Q3 - 3:40TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q3 - 3:54MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)58
5.9%
69
94.1%
Q3 - 4:01TORVasquez Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)56
5.4%
69
94.6%
Q3 - 4:20MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)56
4.5%
69
95.5%
Q3 - 4:31TORRoss 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)56
5.4%
69
94.6%
Q3 - 4:48MIAWalker 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)56
7.2%
66
92.8%
Q3 - 4:52MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
6.4%
66
93.6%
Q3 - 4:53TORMISS DeRozan 2' Driving Layup54
6.0%
66
94.0%
Q3 - 5:02TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q3 - 5:03MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot54
5.9%
66
94.1%
Q3 - 5:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
6.7%
66
93.3%
Q3 - 5:19TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
6.3%
66
93.7%
Q3 - 5:41MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)54
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q3 - 6:02TORRoss 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (DeRozan 5 AST)51
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 6:06TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
5.9%
63
94.1%
Q3 - 6:08TORMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot51
6.6%
63
93.4%
Q3 - 6:35MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)51
5.9%
63
94.1%
Q3 - 6:43MIAHeat Rebound48
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 6:43MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
3.9%
63
96.1%
Q3 - 7:01TORHansbrough Dunk (3 PTS) (DeRozan 4 AST)48
4.7%
63
95.3%
Q3 - 7:17TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
5.3%
61
94.7%
Q3 - 7:18MIAMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot48
5.6%
61
94.4%
Q3 - 7:34TORLowry 16' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)48
6.2%
61
93.8%
Q3 - 7:57MIAWade 18' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)48
7.0%
59
93.0%
Q3 - 8:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)46
6.5%
59
93.5%
Q3 - 8:11TORMISS Ross 3PT Jump Shot46
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q3 - 8:31TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
5.5%
59
94.5%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS Wade 21' Pullup Jump Shot46
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q3 - 8:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)46
6.5%
59
93.5%
Q3 - 8:42TORMISS DeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot46
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q3 - 8:56TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
5.5%
59
94.5%
Q3 - 9:01MIARoss BLOCK (1 BLK)46
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q3 - 9:06MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
6.6%
59
93.4%
Q3 - 9:07TORMISS Ross 3PT Jump Shot46
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q3 - 9:19MIAWhiteside 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)46
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q3 - 9:42TORLowry 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)44
5.0%
59
95.0%
Q3 - 9:58MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)44
5.7%
57
94.3%
Q3 - 10:13TORDeRozan Driving Dunk (13 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)41
4.5%
57
95.5%
Q3 - 10:18MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)41
5.1%
55
94.9%
Q3 - 10:33TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)41
5.9%
55
94.1%
Q3 - 10:38MIAHansbrough STEAL (1 STL)41
7.6%
52
92.4%
Q3 - 10:53TORJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)41
8.7%
52
91.3%
Q3 - 10:58TORRAPTORS Rebound41
7.6%
52
92.4%
Q3 - 10:58TORMISS Johnson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot41
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q3 - 11:08MIALowry STEAL (4 STL)41
7.9%
52
92.1%
Q3 - 11:28TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)41
9.0%
52
91.0%
Q3 - 11:28TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
9.1%
51
90.9%
Q3 - 11:38TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
10.1%
50
89.9%
Q3 - 11:39MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
10.5%
50
89.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR41
11.5%
50
88.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
10.8%
50
89.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 30' 3PT Jump Shot41
11.1%
50
88.9%
Q2 - 0:11.0TORJohnson Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)41
11.8%
50
88.2%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
13.6%
48
86.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
13.2%
48
86.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
11.7%
48
88.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 239
11.6%
48
88.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
10.7%
48
89.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)39
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q2 - 1:01TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)37
10.7%
47
89.3%
Q2 - 1:15MIADeng 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)37
10.1%
47
89.9%
Q2 - 1:19TORVasquez Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)35
8.5%
47
91.5%
Q2 - 1:38MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)35
8.0%
47
92.0%
Q2 - 1:55TORHansbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)32
6.0%
47
94.0%
Q2 - 1:55TORMISS Hansbrough Free Throw 1 of 232
6.2%
46
93.8%
Q2 - 2:04TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
6.4%
46
93.6%
Q2 - 2:05MIAMISS Dragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot32
6.6%
46
93.4%
Q2 - 2:17TORLowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)32
7.1%
46
92.9%
Q2 - 2:26TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
9.0%
43
91.0%
Q2 - 2:27MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup32
9.3%
43
90.7%
Q2 - 2:33MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
10.0%
43
90.0%
Q2 - 2:34MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot32
9.3%
43
90.7%
Q2 - 2:48TORJohnson 2' Layup (6 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)32
10.0%
43
90.0%
Q2 - 2:55TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
11.2%
41
88.8%
Q2 - 2:57TORMISS DeRozan 4' Driving Layup32
12.0%
41
88.0%
Q2 - 3:05MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)32
11.3%
41
88.7%
Q2 - 3:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)29
9.3%
41
90.7%
Q2 - 3:20TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot29
8.9%
41
91.1%
Q2 - 3:46MIAWhiteside 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)29
8.2%
41
91.8%
Q2 - 3:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)27
7.5%
41
92.5%
Q2 - 4:00TORMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot27
7.2%
41
92.8%
Q2 - 4:07TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
6.9%
41
93.1%
Q2 - 4:08MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot27
7.2%
41
92.8%
Q2 - 4:27TORWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)27
7.7%
41
92.3%
Q2 - 4:44MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (3 PTS)27
9.5%
38
90.5%
Q2 - 4:46MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)25
8.6%
38
91.4%
Q2 - 4:47MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
7.9%
38
92.1%
Q2 - 4:55TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
8.6%
38
91.4%
Q2 - 4:55TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 225
8.7%
37
91.3%
Q2 - 5:11TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
8.8%
37
91.2%
Q2 - 5:12MIALowry BLOCK (1 BLK)25
9.0%
37
91.0%
Q2 - 5:38TORWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)25
9.7%
37
90.3%
Q2 - 5:49MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T9)25
11.9%
34
88.1%
Q2 - 5:58MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
13.1%
34
86.9%
Q2 - 6:00TORMISS Lowry 3PT Jump Shot25
12.7%
34
87.3%
Q2 - 6:08MIAJohnson STEAL (2 STL)25
12.1%
34
87.9%
Q2 - 6:31TORLowry 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)25
13.5%
34
86.5%
Q2 - 6:45TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
16.0%
31
84.0%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Beasley 6' Turnaround Hook Shot25
16.5%
31
83.5%
Q2 - 6:59TORDeRozan 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)25
17.8%
31
82.2%
Q2 - 7:18TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
19.3%
29
80.7%
Q2 - 7:20MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)25
19.9%
29
80.1%
Q2 - 7:22MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
21.2%
29
78.8%
Q2 - 7:23MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup25
19.9%
29
80.1%
Q2 - 7:39TORJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)25
21.2%
29
78.8%
Q2 - 7:43TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
19.3%
29
80.7%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS Beasley 9' Jump Shot25
19.9%
29
80.1%
Q2 - 7:56TORVasquez Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)25
21.2%
29
78.8%
Q2 - 8:10MIAChalmers 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)25
19.3%
29
80.7%
Q2 - 8:28TORJohnson 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)23
17.8%
29
82.2%
Q2 - 8:37TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
19.3%
27
80.7%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
19.8%
27
80.2%
Q2 - 8:55TORVasquez 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)23
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q2 - 9:00MIALowry STEAL (3 STL)23
22.8%
25
77.2%
Q2 - 9:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
24.5%
25
75.5%
Q2 - 9:13TORMISS Hayes 2' Layup23
23.9%
25
76.1%
Q2 - 9:39MIABeasley Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)23
22.5%
25
77.5%
Q2 - 9:52MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
21.0%
25
79.0%
Q2 - 9:53TORMISS Vasquez 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
20.4%
25
79.6%
Q2 - 9:59MIAHayes STEAL (1 STL)21
19.2%
25
80.8%
Q2 - 10:14TORVasquez 5' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)21
21.2%
25
78.8%
Q2 - 10:28MIALowry STEAL (2 STL)21
22.6%
23
77.4%
Q2 - 10:32TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)21
24.7%
23
75.3%
Q2 - 10:36TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
22.5%
23
77.5%
Q2 - 10:38MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)21
23.2%
23
76.8%
Q2 - 10:57TORWilliams 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hayes 2 AST)21
24.7%
23
75.3%
Q2 - 11:11TORHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
26.3%
21
73.7%
Q2 - 11:12MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup21
26.9%
21
73.1%
Q2 - 11:18MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
28.3%
21
71.7%
Q2 - 11:19TORMISS Vasquez 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
27.7%
21
72.3%
Q2 - 11:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)21
26.3%
21
73.7%
Q2 - 11:31MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 220
25.9%
21
74.1%
Q2 - 11:37MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
26.4%
21
73.6%
Q2 - 11:38TORMISS Lowry 13' Pullup Jump Shot20
25.8%
21
74.2%
Q2 - 11:47MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
24.5%
21
75.5%
Q2 - 11:47MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
24.0%
21
76.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR18
22.8%
21
77.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound18
21.1%
21
78.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
22.2%
21
77.8%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAJohnson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)18
21.4%
21
78.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0TORVasquez Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
19.4%
21
80.6%
Q1 - 0:39.0TORVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
18.3%
21
81.7%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Deng 4' Running Bank Shot16
18.7%
21
81.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
19.4%
21
80.6%
Q1 - 0:48.0TORMISS Johnson 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup16
19.1%
21
80.9%
Q1 - 1:00MIALowry STEAL (1 STL)16
18.3%
21
81.7%
Q1 - 1:11TORJohnson Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)16
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 1:31MIAChalmers 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)16
21.3%
19
78.7%
Q1 - 1:35MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
19.5%
19
80.5%
Q1 - 1:36TORMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
19.1%
19
80.9%
Q1 - 2:00TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
18.4%
19
81.6%
Q1 - 2:01MIAMISS Dragic 17' Jump Shot14
18.7%
19
81.3%
Q1 - 2:17MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
19.7%
19
80.3%
Q1 - 2:18TORMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot14
19.3%
19
80.7%
Q1 - 2:26MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
18.3%
19
81.7%
Q1 - 2:38MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
19.7%
19
80.3%
Q1 - 2:39TORMISS Vasquez 13' Floating Jump Shot14
19.3%
19
80.7%
Q1 - 2:54MIADeng 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)14
18.3%
19
81.7%
Q1 - 2:59MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
16.9%
19
83.1%
Q1 - 3:00TORMISS Johnson 4' Running Hook Shot12
16.6%
19
83.4%
Q1 - 3:10TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
15.7%
19
84.3%
Q1 - 3:11TORMISS Vasquez 19' Jump Shot12
16.7%
19
83.3%
Q1 - 3:35MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
15.7%
19
84.3%
Q1 - 3:35MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
15.5%
19
84.5%
Q1 - 3:57MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
14.7%
19
85.3%
Q1 - 3:59TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 110
14.5%
19
85.5%
Q1 - 4:04MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)10
15.7%
17
84.3%
Q1 - 4:09MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)10
17.1%
17
82.9%
Q1 - 4:11TORMISS DeRozan 15' Jump Shot10
16.7%
17
83.3%
Q1 - 4:27TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
15.7%
17
84.3%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 210
15.9%
17
84.1%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 210
16.5%
17
83.5%
Q1 - 4:28MIAHeat Rebound10
17.1%
17
82.9%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Walker 4' Jump Hook Shot10
16.1%
17
83.9%
Q1 - 4:42TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)10
17.1%
17
82.9%
Q1 - 5:04MIAWade 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
19.7%
14
80.3%
Q1 - 5:21TORPatterson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 5:32TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
19.7%
12
80.3%
Q1 - 5:33MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Turnaround Hook Shot8
20.1%
12
79.9%
Q1 - 5:49MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
21.2%
12
78.8%
Q1 - 5:50TORMISS Ross 3PT Jump Shot8
20.7%
12
79.3%
Q1 - 6:03MIADeng 1' Layup (2 PTS)8
19.8%
12
80.2%
Q1 - 6:05MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 6:07MIAPatterson BLOCK (1 BLK)6
17.7%
12
82.3%
Q1 - 6:13TORPatterson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 6:18TORRAPTORS Rebound6
17.4%
12
82.6%
Q1 - 6:18TORMISS DeRozan 6' Driving Jump Shot6
18.2%
12
81.8%
Q1 - 6:22TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
17.4%
12
82.6%
Q1 - 6:24MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
17.7%
12
82.3%
Q1 - 6:50TORRoss 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)6
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 6:58TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
21.0%
9
79.0%
Q1 - 6:59MIAMISS Walker 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup6
21.5%
9
78.5%
Q1 - 7:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
22.4%
9
77.6%
Q1 - 7:12TORMISS Patterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
22.0%
9
78.0%
Q1 - 7:20MIAWhiteside 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)6
20.9%
9
79.1%
Q1 - 7:57TORLowry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hansbrough 1 AST)6
22.5%
9
77.5%
Q1 - 8:03TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
24.9%
6
75.1%
Q1 - 8:04MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Turnaround Hook Shot6
25.4%
6
74.6%
Q1 - 8:22MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
26.5%
6
73.5%
Q1 - 8:23TORMISS DeRozan 15' Pullup Jump Shot6
26.0%
6
74.0%
Q1 - 8:34MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
24.9%
6
75.1%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 25
24.4%
6
75.6%
Q1 - 8:43TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)5
25.0%
6
75.0%
Q1 - 8:43TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
25.3%
5
74.7%
Q1 - 8:55TORRAPTORS Rebound5
26.4%
4
73.6%
Q1 - 8:56MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot5
26.9%
4
73.1%
Q1 - 9:08TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
27.9%
4
72.1%
Q1 - 9:08TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
28.1%
3
71.9%
Q1 - 9:15TORRAPTORS Rebound5
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 9:16MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot5
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 9:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
31.0%
2
69.0%
Q1 - 9:31TORMISS DeRozan 3PT Jump Shot5
30.5%
2
69.5%
Q1 - 9:43MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)5
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 9:52MIAHeat Rebound2
26.4%
2
73.6%
Q1 - 9:52TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot2
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 10:09MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 10:15TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 10:40TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.0%
2
78.0%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
22.5%
2
77.5%
Q1 - 10:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 10:54TORMISS Ross 16' Pullup Jump Shot0
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 11:05TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.0%
2
78.0%
Q1 - 11:07MIAMISS Walker 28' 3PT Jump Shot0
22.3%
2
77.7%
Q1 - 11:40TORJohnson Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)0
23.2%
2
76.8%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Johnson vs. Whiteside: Tip to Hansbrough0
24.6%
0
75.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.7%
TOR
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
25
38
66%
TOR
12
22
55%
Midrange
MIA
5
18
28%
TOR
10
24
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
23
22%
33%
TOR
12
18.0
33
36%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
17
24
71%
TOR
22
31
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2578%12.5 / 16
G. Dragic1853%9.0 / 17
M. Beasley1150%5.5 / 11
H. Whiteside956%4.5 / 8
L. Deng833%4.0 / 12
H. Walker833%4.0 / 12
M. Chalmers867%4.0 / 6
T. Johnson350%1.5 / 3
C. Andersen233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Lowry1979%9.5 / 12
D. DeRozan1850%9.0 / 18
L. Williams1450%7.0 / 14
A. Johnson1365%6.5 / 10
G. Vasquez1255%6.0 / 11
T. Ross956%4.5 / 8
J. Johnson758%3.5 / 6
P. Patterson643%3.0 / 7
T. Hansbrough375%1.5 / 2
C. Hayes113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+11
-20
89
TOR
82
+13
-17
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.7%
TOR
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
111.2
MIA 93.9 +9.2
TOR 103.0
Pace
91.0
92.8
MIA 103.5 +9.4
TOR 94.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.8
MIA 13.9 +1.4
TOR 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.8%
MIA 47.5%
TOR 50.6% +3.1%
TO %
15.2%
13.0%
MIA 18.3%
TOR 15.5% +2.8%
ORB %
23.3%
25.6%
MIA 17.1%
TOR 19.6% +2.5%
FTrt
30.6
29.5
MIA 30.4
TOR 39.2 +8.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
54.7%
MIA 60.0%
TOR 76.5% +16.5%
STL %
8.6%
8.0%
MIA 11.2%
TOR 12.1% +0.9%
BLK %
8.0%
7.2%
MIA 10.9% +2.0%
TOR 8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
53.8%
MIA 51.7%
TOR 53.7% +2.0%
Rim FG%
59.7%
59.4%
MIA 65.8% +11.3%
TOR 54.5%
Mid FG%
40.9%
40.5%
MIA 27.8%
TOR 41.7% +13.9%
3P %
33.5%
35.2%
MIA 21.7%
TOR 36.4% +14.7%
FT %
74.1%
78.7%
MIA 70.8%
TOR 71.0% +0.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
35.0%
MIA 48.1% +20.3%
TOR 27.8%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
34.9%
MIA 22.8% +7.6%
TOR 30.4%
3P Att. %
26.2%
30.2%
MIA 29.1%
TOR 41.8% +12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9899
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points92102
Rebounds4443
Assists2126
Steals1112
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals35-7934-79
At-the-Rim FG25-3812-22
Midrange FG5-1810-24
2-Point FG30-5622-46
3-Point FG5-2312-33
Free Throws17-2422-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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18 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29
38.7
18
53%
3
5
2
0
2
2
0
3
2-2
100%
8-13
62%
0-4
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
34.7
8
33%
6
3
1
0
2
2
2
4
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-3
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
32.8
25
78%
3
4
1
1
5
1
0
3
6-8
75%
8-11
73%
1-2
50%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
24.5
9
56%
12
0
1
3
3
3
2
10
1-4
25%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 27
22.4
8
33%
2
2
4
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-9
22%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
30.2
8
67%
3
3
0
0
3
4
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
25.6
11
50%
9
1
1
0
2
4
2
7
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
1-2
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
18.7
2
33%
5
2
0
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23
12.5
3
50%
1
1
1
0
2
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
Chris Bosh
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Zoran Dragic
#12 · G-F · 6'5" 200 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
52%
44
21
11
5
20
0
7
37
17-24
71%
30-56
54%
5-23
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.