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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 11, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Magic47%9695
1676ers53%9785
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.3
34.3
21.0
19
56%
13
4
2
1
3
4
2
11
7-9
78%
6-12
4-7
50%
59%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.2
33.0
33.6
19
68%
3
7
2
1
0
5
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
4-9
20%
49%
5-8
63%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.9
31.1
33.5
8
36%
7
0
0
1
1
3
0
7
0-0
-
4-11
5-10
36%
51%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.1
31.0
33.9
7
58%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
46%
1-4
25%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
30.7
30.2
12
51%
2
5
3
1
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.6
27.2
12.8
5
32%
7
4
0
0
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
2-5
1-1
40%
44%
0-2
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.9
22.2
27.1
18
76%
14
1
2
1
1
1
7
7
1-2
50%
4-6
2-3
67%
49%
3-5
60%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.2
22.1
7.5
7
40%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
3-4
75%
2-7
1-2
29%
46%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.8
8.5
11.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.3
23.1
1
2-4
45%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.0
10.9
0
1-1
43%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.8
7.4
0
1-1
47%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.8
38.3
36.1
15
47%
4
11
0
1
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
6-14
5-10
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.1
37.5
34.6
22
66%
5
3
2
1
1
0
4
1
4-4
100%
9-15
6-12
60%
51%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 23.0
28.2
22.7
4
25%
2
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
4-7
29%
50%
0-1
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
27.9
33.6
7
44%
3
1
3
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-5
20%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.5
25.3
22.7
7
42%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
46%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.4
33.9
6.8
13
59%
6
1
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.8
28.1
29.2
9
35%
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
4-11
7-13
36%
54%
0-1
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 36.1
13.6
4.7
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.7
7.2
5.8
6
77%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.2
3.0
0
0-1
47%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 33.2
2.9
0
0-1
49%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.2
2.2
0
0-0
45%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.5
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.