FinalWin Prob.pScore
164%97
98
1936%93
90
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
112.68785.3
ATL logo ATL
104.78688.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Teague 9' Driving Jump Shot98
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)98
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Crawford 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAJames 1' Layup (34 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)98
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 1:05ATLPowell Foul Turnover (P2.T14)96
98.9%
90
1.1%
Q4 - 1:07ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
97.9%
90
2.1%
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
98.0%
90
2.0%
Q4 - 1:28ATLTeague Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)96
98.3%
90
1.7%
Q4 - 1:41MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)96
96.2%
90
3.8%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 295
95.8%
90
4.2%
Q4 - 1:54ATLTeague 1' Running Layup (10 PTS)95
96.1%
90
3.9%
Q4 - 1:58ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
97.5%
88
2.5%
Q4 - 2:00MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot95
97.9%
88
2.1%
Q4 - 2:23MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)95
98.7%
88
1.3%
Q4 - 2:24ATLMISS Wilkins 16' Jump Shot95
98.4%
88
1.6%
Q4 - 2:41MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)95
97.4%
88
2.6%
Q4 - 2:52ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)92
92.8%
88
7.2%
Q4 - 2:52ATLHAWKS Rebound92
88.0%
88
12.0%
Q4 - 2:52ATLMISS Powell 2' Layup92
91.6%
88
8.4%
Q4 - 2:58ATLHAWKS Rebound92
88.1%
88
11.9%
Q4 - 2:58ATLMISS Crawford 2' Driving Layup92
91.7%
88
8.3%
Q4 - 3:16MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)92
88.1%
88
11.9%
Q4 - 3:28ATLCrawford Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)88
68.5%
88
31.5%
Q4 - 3:29ATLPachulia 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)88
77.6%
87
22.4%
Q4 - 3:54MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)88
80.5%
85
19.5%
Q4 - 3:54MIAIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)87
79.3%
85
20.7%
Q4 - 4:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)86
74.4%
85
25.6%
Q4 - 4:11ATLMISS Teague 7' Jump Shot86
71.9%
85
28.1%
Q4 - 4:14ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
65.6%
85
34.4%
Q4 - 4:16ATLMISS Powell 20' Jump Shot86
71.9%
85
28.1%
Q4 - 4:30ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)86
65.6%
85
34.4%
Q4 - 4:32ATLMISS Crawford 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
72.0%
85
28.0%
Q4 - 4:55ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
65.7%
85
34.3%
Q4 - 4:57MIAMISS Ilgauskas 19' Jump Shot86
68.5%
85
31.5%
Q4 - 5:16ATLPowell 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)86
73.1%
85
26.9%
Q4 - 5:33ATLJump Ball Powell vs. James: Tip to Pachulia86
78.9%
83
21.1%
Q4 - 5:51ATLPowell 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)86
84.4%
83
15.6%
Q4 - 6:03MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)86
86.8%
81
13.2%
Q4 - 6:03MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)85
86.1%
81
13.9%
Q4 - 6:21ATLWilkins 4' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)84
83.3%
81
16.7%
Q4 - 6:24ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)84
86.8%
79
13.2%
Q4 - 6:25ATLMISS Powell 1' Layup84
89.2%
79
10.8%
Q4 - 6:39ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
86.9%
79
13.1%
Q4 - 6:41MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
88.0%
79
12.0%
Q4 - 6:55ATLWilkins 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)84
90.2%
79
9.8%
Q4 - 7:08ATLHAWKS Rebound84
91.4%
77
8.6%
Q4 - 7:08ATLMISS Powell 7' Turnaround Bank Shot84
92.9%
77
7.1%
Q4 - 7:27ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
91.5%
77
8.5%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot84
92.2%
77
7.8%
Q4 - 7:51ATLPowell Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T11)84
93.6%
77
6.4%
Q4 - 7:55MIATeague STEAL (3 STL)84
91.5%
77
8.5%
Q4 - 8:05MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)84
92.5%
77
7.5%
Q4 - 8:08ATLMISS Crawford 21' Jump Shot84
91.9%
77
8.1%
Q4 - 8:18MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)84
90.6%
77
9.4%
Q4 - 8:18MIAHeat Rebound84
92.5%
77
7.5%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot84
91.2%
77
8.8%
Q4 - 8:43ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)84
92.6%
77
7.4%
Q4 - 8:50MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)84
90.6%
77
9.4%
Q4 - 8:50MIAHeat Rebound84
92.6%
77
7.4%
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot84
91.3%
77
8.7%
Q4 - 9:21ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)84
91.6%
77
8.4%
Q4 - 9:33MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)84
94.7%
74
5.3%
Q4 - 9:33MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)83
94.4%
74
5.6%
Q4 - 9:57ATLCrawford 1' Running Layup (9 PTS)82
93.3%
74
6.7%
Q4 - 10:04MIAWilkins STEAL (2 STL)82
94.0%
72
6.0%
Q4 - 10:15ATLWilkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)82
95.2%
72
4.8%
Q4 - 10:15ATLMISS Wilkins Free Throw 1 of 282
95.4%
71
4.6%
Q4 - 10:20MIAPachulia STEAL (1 STL)82
95.1%
71
4.9%
Q4 - 10:44ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Wilkins 1 AST)82
96.1%
71
3.9%
Q4 - 10:58MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)82
96.9%
69
3.1%
Q4 - 11:21ATLPachulia 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)79
94.6%
69
5.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA79
95.6%
67
4.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLWilkins 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS)79
96.4%
67
3.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
97.1%
65
2.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Teague 11' Floating Jump Shot79
97.1%
65
2.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAAnthony Dunk (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)79
96.7%
65
3.3%
Q3 - 0:28.0ATLCrawford Foul Turnover (P2.T9)77
95.9%
65
4.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0ATLHAWKS Rebound77
95.1%
65
4.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 277
95.8%
65
4.2%
Q3 - 0:42.0ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 277
95.3%
65
4.7%
Q3 - 1:00ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
95.1%
65
4.9%
Q3 - 1:01MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
94.9%
65
5.1%
Q3 - 1:04MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
95.5%
65
4.5%
Q3 - 1:06MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot77
95.0%
65
5.0%
Q3 - 1:24ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)77
95.5%
65
4.5%
Q3 - 1:36ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
96.4%
63
3.6%
Q3 - 1:37MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
96.6%
63
3.4%
Q3 - 1:56ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)77
97.0%
63
3.0%
Q3 - 1:56ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)77
97.1%
62
2.9%
Q3 - 2:03ATLPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
97.1%
61
2.9%
Q3 - 2:06ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot77
97.5%
61
2.5%
Q3 - 2:21ATLHAWKS Rebound77
97.1%
61
2.9%
Q3 - 2:22MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 277
97.2%
61
2.8%
Q3 - 2:22MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)77
97.5%
61
2.5%
Q3 - 2:38ATLSmith 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)76
97.1%
61
2.9%
Q3 - 2:51MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T13)76
97.6%
59
2.4%
Q3 - 3:18ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)76
97.8%
59
2.2%
Q3 - 3:32MIABibby 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)76
98.5%
56
1.5%
Q3 - 3:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)74
98.2%
56
1.8%
Q3 - 3:44ATLMISS Johnson 10' Driving Jump Shot74
98.1%
56
1.9%
Q3 - 3:51ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
97.8%
56
2.2%
Q3 - 3:52MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot74
97.9%
56
2.1%
Q3 - 4:15MIAHeat Rebound74
98.0%
56
2.0%
Q3 - 4:16ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot74
97.9%
56
2.1%
Q3 - 4:24ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
97.6%
56
2.4%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS Bibby Free Throw 2 of 274
97.6%
56
2.4%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 274
97.9%
56
2.1%
Q3 - 4:42MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
98.0%
56
2.0%
Q3 - 4:44ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 174
98.0%
56
2.0%
Q3 - 4:51MIAJames 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (23 PTS)74
98.3%
54
1.7%
Q3 - 5:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
97.7%
54
2.3%
Q3 - 5:14ATLMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
97.6%
54
2.4%
Q3 - 5:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)72
97.3%
54
2.7%
Q3 - 5:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)71
97.2%
54
2.8%
Q3 - 5:36ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)70
96.8%
54
3.2%
Q3 - 6:00MIABibby 1' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (James 5 AST)70
96.2%
54
3.8%
Q3 - 6:13ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)68
95.2%
54
4.8%
Q3 - 6:14ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)68
94.4%
54
5.6%
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
94.7%
54
5.3%
Q3 - 6:32ATLSmith 1' Running Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)68
95.3%
54
4.7%
Q3 - 6:38MIASmith STEAL (1 STL)68
95.9%
52
4.1%
Q3 - 6:57ATLHorford 1' Putback Layup (7 PTS)68
96.5%
52
3.5%
Q3 - 6:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
97.0%
50
3.0%
Q3 - 6:59ATLMISS Horford 8' Hook Shot68
97.3%
50
2.7%
Q3 - 7:24MIAWade Slam Dunk (19 PTS)68
96.6%
50
3.4%
Q3 - 7:29ATLHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)66
96.1%
50
3.9%
Q3 - 7:53MIABosh 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)66
95.4%
50
4.6%
Q3 - 8:10MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)64
94.5%
50
5.5%
Q3 - 8:11ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot64
94.3%
50
5.7%
Q3 - 8:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
93.6%
50
6.4%
Q3 - 8:37MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
93.9%
50
6.1%
Q3 - 8:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
94.5%
50
5.5%
Q3 - 8:47ATLMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot64
94.3%
50
5.7%
Q3 - 8:57MIABibby Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T11)64
93.6%
50
6.4%
Q3 - 9:05MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
94.2%
50
5.8%
Q3 - 9:07ATLMISS Hinrich 3PT Jump Shot64
94.0%
50
6.0%
Q3 - 9:18ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
93.4%
50
6.6%
Q3 - 9:21ATLMISS Hinrich 2' Running Layup64
94.0%
50
6.0%
Q3 - 9:25ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
93.4%
50
6.6%
Q3 - 9:27MIAHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)64
93.7%
50
6.3%
Q3 - 9:43ATLJohnson 1' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)64
94.3%
50
5.7%
Q3 - 9:48MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)64
95.0%
48
5.0%
Q3 - 10:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
95.4%
48
4.6%
Q3 - 10:11ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot64
95.2%
48
4.8%
Q3 - 10:31ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
94.7%
48
5.3%
Q3 - 10:32MIAMISS James 19' Fadeaway Jumper64
94.9%
48
5.1%
Q3 - 10:57ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)64
95.4%
48
4.6%
Q3 - 11:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
95.7%
46
4.3%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
95.9%
46
4.1%
Q3 - 11:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
96.3%
46
3.7%
Q3 - 11:23MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot64
95.9%
46
4.1%
Q3 - 11:32MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
96.3%
46
3.7%
Q3 - 11:34ATLMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
96.1%
46
3.9%
Q3 - 11:50MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)64
95.7%
46
4.3%
Q3 - 11:50MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)63
95.6%
46
4.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL62
95.2%
46
4.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)62
94.4%
46
5.6%
Q2 - 0:21.0ATLWilliams 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)60
93.2%
46
6.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)60
94.2%
44
5.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
93.2%
44
6.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
93.4%
43
6.6%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAWade Running Dunk (15 PTS)58
94.2%
42
5.8%
Q2 - 1:00ATLHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)56
93.2%
42
6.8%
Q2 - 1:11MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Layup (19 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)56
92.3%
42
7.7%
Q2 - 1:23ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)54
91.1%
42
8.9%
Q2 - 1:23ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 254
91.3%
41
8.7%
Q2 - 1:45MIAJames 19' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)54
91.4%
41
8.6%
Q2 - 2:04ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)52
89.8%
41
10.2%
Q2 - 2:24MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)52
90.9%
39
9.1%
Q2 - 2:35ATLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)49
88.6%
39
11.4%
Q2 - 3:01MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)49
90.7%
36
9.3%
Q2 - 3:09MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
88.6%
36
11.4%
Q2 - 3:10ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot46
88.2%
36
11.8%
Q2 - 3:29MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)46
87.1%
36
12.9%
Q2 - 3:43ATLJohnson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)44
85.9%
36
14.1%
Q2 - 3:56ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)44
84.0%
36
16.0%
Q2 - 3:59ATLMISS Hinrich 19' Fadeaway Jumper44
85.3%
36
14.7%
Q2 - 4:15ATLHinrich Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)44
83.8%
36
16.2%
Q2 - 4:24ATLHAWKS Rebound44
85.4%
35
14.6%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
85.9%
35
14.1%
Q2 - 4:38ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)44
87.0%
35
13.0%
Q2 - 4:46MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)44
85.4%
35
14.6%
Q2 - 4:59ATLJohnson 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)44
87.0%
35
13.0%
Q2 - 5:02ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
88.0%
33
12.0%
Q2 - 5:03MIAMISS James 6' Driving Jump Shot44
88.4%
33
11.6%
Q2 - 5:13ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)44
89.2%
33
10.8%
Q2 - 5:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)44
90.3%
31
9.7%
Q2 - 5:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
88.0%
31
12.0%
Q2 - 5:38MIAMISS Ilgauskas 1' Layup41
87.1%
31
12.9%
Q2 - 5:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
88.0%
31
12.0%
Q2 - 5:46ATLMISS Pachulia 18' Jump Shot41
87.6%
31
12.4%
Q2 - 5:55ATLHAWKS Rebound41
86.7%
31
13.3%
Q2 - 5:55ATLMISS Wilkins 21' Jump Shot41
87.6%
31
12.4%
Q2 - 6:12MIAWade 1' Running Dunk (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)41
86.1%
31
13.9%
Q2 - 6:17ATLCrawford Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)39
84.9%
31
15.1%
Q2 - 6:26MIAWade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)39
83.1%
31
16.9%
Q2 - 6:39ATLWilkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)37
81.8%
31
18.2%
Q2 - 6:39ATLMISS Wilkins Free Throw 1 of 237
82.1%
30
17.9%
Q2 - 6:43MIAWilkins STEAL (1 STL)37
81.5%
30
18.5%
Q2 - 6:53MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
83.4%
30
16.6%
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot37
82.1%
30
17.9%
Q2 - 7:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
83.2%
30
16.8%
Q2 - 7:04ATLMISS Teague 12' Floating Jump Shot37
82.7%
30
17.3%
Q2 - 7:20MIATeague STEAL (2 STL)37
81.5%
30
18.5%
Q2 - 7:28MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
83.2%
30
16.8%
Q2 - 7:30ATLMISS Wilkins 19' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot37
82.7%
30
17.3%
Q2 - 8:02MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)37
81.3%
30
18.7%
Q2 - 8:10MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
79.6%
30
20.4%
Q2 - 8:13ATLMISS Teague 18' Jump Shot35
79.1%
30
20.9%
Q2 - 8:19MIATeague STEAL (1 STL)35
77.8%
30
22.2%
Q2 - 8:38ATLTeague 11' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
79.7%
30
20.3%
Q2 - 8:43ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
81.3%
28
18.7%
Q2 - 8:46MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
81.8%
28
18.2%
Q2 - 8:55MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
82.9%
28
17.1%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot35
81.8%
28
18.2%
Q2 - 9:07MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
82.6%
28
17.4%
Q2 - 9:09ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
82.1%
28
17.9%
Q2 - 9:20ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
81.0%
28
19.0%
Q2 - 9:22MIAMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot35
81.5%
28
18.5%
Q2 - 9:40ATLTeague 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
82.6%
28
17.4%
Q2 - 9:57MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)35
84.0%
26
16.0%
Q2 - 10:12ATLTeague Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)32
80.7%
26
19.3%
Q2 - 10:34MIABosh Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)32
78.9%
26
21.1%
Q2 - 11:02ATLCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)30
77.0%
26
23.0%
Q2 - 11:27MIAAnthony 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)30
80.3%
23
19.7%
Q2 - 11:30MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
78.7%
23
21.3%
Q2 - 11:34MIAMISS Bosh 19' Fadeaway Jumper28
77.5%
23
22.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
78.8%
23
21.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)28
78.2%
23
21.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLPachulia 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)28
78.2%
23
21.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Wilkins 5' Driving Jump Shot28
81.0%
21
19.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T5)28
80.1%
21
19.9%
Q1 - 0:39.0ATLTeague 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
81.4%
21
18.6%
Q1 - 0:43.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
83.1%
19
16.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0ATLMISS Crawford 18' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot28
83.8%
19
16.2%
Q1 - 1:09MIAJames 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)28
82.9%
19
17.1%
Q1 - 1:14MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
81.1%
19
18.9%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot26
80.4%
19
19.6%
Q1 - 1:37ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
81.1%
19
18.9%
Q1 - 1:37ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
81.5%
18
18.5%
Q1 - 1:51MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)26
82.9%
17
17.1%
Q1 - 1:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
79.6%
17
20.4%
Q1 - 1:58ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
79.3%
17
20.7%
Q1 - 2:15MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)23
78.2%
17
21.8%
Q1 - 2:20MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
74.7%
17
25.3%
Q1 - 2:21ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup20
74.3%
17
25.7%
Q1 - 2:40MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
73.2%
17
26.8%
Q1 - 2:54ATLCrawford 8' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
71.1%
17
28.9%
Q1 - 3:23MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)18
73.2%
15
26.8%
Q1 - 3:43ATLCrawford 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)16
71.4%
15
28.6%
Q1 - 3:59MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
73.2%
13
26.8%
Q1 - 3:59MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
72.8%
13
27.2%
Q1 - 4:13ATLWilliams 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)14
71.5%
13
28.5%
Q1 - 4:30MIABosh 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)14
73.2%
11
26.8%
Q1 - 4:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
71.5%
11
28.5%
Q1 - 4:34MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot12
70.1%
11
29.9%
Q1 - 4:57ATLJohnson 6' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)12
71.5%
11
28.5%
Q1 - 5:17MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)12
72.7%
9
27.3%
Q1 - 5:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
74.6%
9
25.4%
Q1 - 5:39ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 212
74.4%
9
25.6%
Q1 - 5:39ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 212
73.4%
9
26.6%
Q1 - 5:44MIAHorford STEAL (1 STL)12
72.8%
9
27.2%
Q1 - 5:57ATLHorford 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)12
74.6%
9
25.4%
Q1 - 6:17MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
76.0%
7
24.0%
Q1 - 6:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
74.5%
7
25.5%
Q1 - 6:28ATLMISS Hinrich 19' Jump Shot10
74.0%
7
26.0%
Q1 - 6:47MIABibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)10
72.8%
7
27.2%
Q1 - 6:50MIAIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
69.5%
7
30.5%
Q1 - 6:51MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Reverse Layup7
68.1%
7
31.9%
Q1 - 7:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
69.5%
7
30.5%
Q1 - 7:02ATLMISS Johnson 1' Layup7
69.1%
7
30.9%
Q1 - 7:17ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
67.8%
7
32.2%
Q1 - 7:19MIAMISS Bibby 2' Driving Layup7
68.4%
7
31.6%
Q1 - 7:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
69.7%
7
30.3%
Q1 - 7:40ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot7
69.1%
7
30.9%
Q1 - 7:53MIABosh Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)7
67.8%
7
32.2%
Q1 - 8:07ATLHorford 2' Running Layup (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)5
66.5%
7
33.5%
Q1 - 8:12ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
68.3%
5
31.7%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMISS Bibby 11' Floating Jump Shot5
68.8%
5
31.2%
Q1 - 8:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
69.9%
5
30.1%
Q1 - 8:28ATLMISS Johnson 11' Hook Shot5
69.4%
5
30.6%
Q1 - 8:54ATLHAWKS Rebound5
68.2%
5
31.8%
Q1 - 8:54MIAMISS Wade 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot5
68.7%
5
31.3%
Q1 - 9:06MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
70.3%
5
29.7%
Q1 - 9:07ATLMISS Smith 2' Putback Layup5
69.8%
5
30.2%
Q1 - 9:08ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)5
68.7%
5
31.3%
Q1 - 9:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)5
68.7%
5
31.3%
Q1 - 9:09ATLMISS Smith 1' Tip Shot5
69.8%
5
30.2%
Q1 - 9:11ATLMISS Johnson 1' Driving Layup5
69.8%
5
30.2%
Q1 - 9:27MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)5
68.7%
5
31.3%
Q1 - 9:50ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
70.3%
5
29.7%
Q1 - 9:50ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 25
70.6%
4
29.4%
Q1 - 9:50ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
70.3%
4
29.7%
Q1 - 9:50ATLMISS Williams 1' Running Layup5
71.4%
4
28.6%
Q1 - 9:53MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)5
70.3%
4
29.7%
Q1 - 9:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
71.8%
4
28.2%
Q1 - 9:59MIAMISS James 2' Alley Oop Layup5
70.8%
4
29.2%
Q1 - 10:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
71.8%
4
28.2%
Q1 - 10:13ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot5
71.3%
4
28.7%
Q1 - 10:36MIAIlgauskas Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
70.1%
4
29.9%
Q1 - 11:04ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)3
68.9%
4
31.1%
Q1 - 11:07ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)3
70.4%
2
29.6%
Q1 - 11:08ATLMISS Smith 2' Reverse Layup3
71.3%
2
28.7%
Q1 - 11:24MIABibby Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
70.4%
2
29.6%
Q1 - 11:43ATLSmith 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)0
67.4%
2
32.6%
Q1 - 11:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
68.9%
0
31.1%
Q1 - 11:46ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot0
69.9%
0
30.1%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Hinrich0
68.9%
0
31.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.18 59.0%
ATL
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
24
79%
ATL
18
30
60%
Midrange
MIA
11
28
39%
ATL
15
41
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
ATL
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
20
24
83%
ATL
12
21
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3463%17.0 / 27
D. Wade2166%10.5 / 16
C. Bosh1575%7.5 / 10
M. Bibby1056%5.0 / 9
J. Jones770%3.5 / 5
Z. Ilgauskas450%2.0 / 4
J. Anthony4100%2.0 / 2
M. Chalmers375%1.5 / 2
M. Miller0-0.0 / 2
J. Howard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith1761%8.5 / 14
J. Crawford1354%6.5 / 12
M. Williams1169%5.5 / 8
J. Johnson1042%5.0 / 12
J. Teague1045%5.0 / 11
Z. Pachulia964%4.5 / 7
D. Wilkins844%4.0 / 9
A. Horford750%3.5 / 7
J. Powell433%2.0 / 6
K. Hinrich18%0.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+12
-17
82
ATL
73
+20
-13
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.18 59.0%
ATL
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
105.9
MIA 112.6 +8.0
ATL 104.7
Pace
91.3
89.5
MIA 85.3
ATL 88.8 +3.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.4
MIA 16.9
ATL 16.2 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
50.1%
MIA 56.5% +9.5%
ATL 47.0%
TO %
14.4%
14.2%
MIA 19.3%
ATL 13.2% +6.1%
ORB %
25.2%
23.5%
MIA 33.3%
ATL 34.9% +1.6%
FTrt
36.3
26.9
MIA 34.8 +9.5
ATL 25.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
60.7%
MIA 66.7%
ATL 67.6% +0.9%
STL %
7.3%
6.8%
MIA 5.7%
ATL 12.8% +7.1%
BLK %
8.5%
6.6%
MIA 4.2% +2.3%
ATL 1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
52.8%
MIA 59.0% +11.1%
ATL 47.9%
Rim FG%
64.7%
60.0%
MIA 79.2% +19.2%
ATL 60.0%
Mid FG%
42.2%
42.5%
MIA 39.3% +2.7%
ATL 36.6%
3P %
37.0%
35.2%
MIA 35.3% +2.0%
ATL 33.3%
FT %
76.9%
78.0%
MIA 83.3% +26.2%
ATL 57.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
30.4%
MIA 34.8%
ATL 36.1% +1.4%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
47.4%
MIA 40.6% +8.8%
ATL 49.4%
3P Att. %
23.5%
22.2%
MIA 24.6% +10.2%
ATL 14.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions8786
Possession Minutes24.523.2
Points9890
Rebounds3835
Assists2425
Steals511
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)17 (2)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)20 (3)
Field Goals36-6937-83
At-the-Rim FG19-2418-30
Midrange FG11-2815-41
2-Point FG30-5233-71
3-Point FG6-174-12
Free Throws20-2412-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
42.6
34
63%
10
7
3
0
7
1
1
9
12-14
86%
8-17
47%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
37.2
21
66%
5
6
1
3
3
1
1
4
3-3
100%
9-13
69%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
30.9
10
56%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
1-3
33%
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
30.6
15
75%
9
2
0
0
3
5
2
7
1-1
100%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 36
21.7
4
50%
2
1
0
0
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
22.6
4
100%
8
0
0
0
0
4
2
6
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
21.5
7
70%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1-1
100%
0-0
-
2-5
40%
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
17.3
3
75%
1
5
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
12.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
59%
38
24
5
3
17
0
10
28
20-24
83%
30-52
58%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.