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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 25, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Raptors37%102100
21Warriors63%106138
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.8
36.2
19.7
18
63%
11
0
1
1
0
3
5
6
8-12
67%
5-9
3-5
56%
56%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.1
35.7
24.1
14
55%
5
4
2
1
2
2
2
3
2-4
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
51%
0-1
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 21.6
28.1
30.1
19
74%
1
0
2
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
7-11
7-13
64%
51%
1-1
100%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.4
27.4
34.9
7
30%
0
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
2-10
7-14
20%
49%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.5
13.8
29.3
3
50%
0
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.6
28.0
17.7
9
46%
2
4
0
0
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
4-8
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 28.3
25.1
19.4
19
80%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
3-5
60%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 22.9
24.4
5.9
7
50%
8
3
1
0
2
2
0
8
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 24.7
21.3
17.6
4
22%
4
5
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 30.9
19.7
1
1-3
46%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 23.9
17.8
1
3-5
59%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
4.5
0
1-1
52%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 26.2
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 27.3
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.4
41.7
33.8
27
69%
4
10
4
2
0
1
0
4
6-6
100%
6-12
6-12
50%
51%
3-5
60%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.0
36.3
27.7
23
76%
3
8
0
1
0
3
0
3
5-5
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
52%
4-6
67%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 25.3
30.2
35.3
26
90%
4
3
4
1
0
1
0
4
7-8
88%
8-8
4-8
100%
51%
1-3
33%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 23.8
29.1
28.3
10
71%
5
3
1
1
4
0
2
3
0-0
-
5-7
4-7
71%
52%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 27.9
24.5
31.3
21
98%
7
4
1
1
1
1
0
7
4-4
100%
7-8
6-12
88%
54%
1-1
100%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.3
23.5
12.8
7
60%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-5
2-3
60%
53%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.5
23.1
16.6
10
78%
5
4
0
0
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
54%
1-2
50%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.3
20.1
14.8
12
47%
6
0
1
0
0
3
1
5
2-4
50%
5-11
2-4
45%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 25.1
8.2
2.2
2
20%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-4
0-1
25%
53%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 30.3
3.3
13.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 26.2
15.3
1
2-4
50%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.0
3.1
0
0-0
44%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.6
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.