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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 25, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Hornets36%96106
11Suns64%101100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 25.7
39.3
38.5
16
58%
6
2
1
2
1
1
2
4
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.9
37.4
37.1
22
62%
5
7
0
2
0
1
0
5
2-4
50%
10-14
5-10
71%
51%
0-2
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
37.2
28.6
6
50%
12
0
1
1
2
3
5
7
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.5
30.7
14.4
19
53%
6
0
3
0
0
2
4
2
3-4
75%
8-16
2-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
19.4
25.5
3
21%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
26.7
22.6
17
74%
1
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
47%
2-3
67%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
19.4
13.3
15
64%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
3-7
2-4
43%
49%
2-3
67%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.3
12.0
13.4
2
69%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-1
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
David Andersen
· 6'11" 247 · 30.8
8.4
2.4
4
52%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.1
4.9
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.0
4.6
4.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.2
2.9
0
0-1
47%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.6
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 27.9
41.6
35.7
14
71%
6
5
1
1
3
1
1
5
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
3-6
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 37.1
34.8
28.8
3
17%
4
8
0
0
0
5
1
3
0-0
-
0-6
3-6
0%
54%
1-3
33%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 38.5
33.0
22.7
18
65%
3
4
0
1
1
3
0
3
3-4
75%
3-8
3-5
38%
50%
3-4
75%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 34.2
9.6
24.6
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.0
3.9
12.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.7
36.0
30.1
17
77%
8
2
1
1
1
0
3
5
5-7
71%
3-5
3-5
60%
52%
2-3
67%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.1
27.2
33.4
18
57%
10
0
0
1
1
2
3
7
4-4
100%
7-14
6-10
50%
56%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 28.7
22.4
10.8
13
75%
4
1
0
0
0
3
1
3
5-6
83%
4-6
2-3
67%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 26.2
15.6
18.4
17
86%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
5-6
2-5
83%
45%
2-3
67%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 27.8
15.0
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
58%
0-0
-
Garret Siler
C · 6'11" 305 · 24.4
0.9
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Zabian Dowdell
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.5
8.3
0
1-3
45%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
Gani Lawal
F · 6'9" 234 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.