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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 25, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Wizards11%9394
7Nuggets89%109114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.5
41.1
37.2
13
47%
2
6
0
2
3
4
0
2
9-9
100%
2-9
6-15
22%
43%
0-1
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.3
39.9
26.6
10
57%
10
2
1
1
3
1
2
8
2-4
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
52%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 22.4
34.3
37.4
19
59%
2
4
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-11
6-14
45%
45%
3-5
60%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 23.4
28.7
29.7
7
44%
7
0
2
1
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
3-7
4-9
43%
43%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.2
23.0
32.4
13
44%
13
0
0
1
0
1
6
7
3-4
75%
5-13
5-9
38%
53%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.8
32.9
10.0
10
31%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-12
2-3
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 32.4
21.9
27.7
16
53%
7
0
1
1
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
8-13
2-5
62%
46%
0-2
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 21.3
9.3
10.7
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 24.2
6.8
5.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Mustafa Shakur
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.6
2.0
4.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Othyus Jeffers
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.6
0.1
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
42%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
7.3
0
1-1
42%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 24.6
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 30.9
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 23.4
35.3
30.7
17
72%
2
6
0
1
0
2
2
0
2-2
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
56%
1-2
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
33.9
27.0
17
64%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-5
60%
1-4
2-5
25%
50%
4-7
57%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 28.5
22.5
29.6
10
69%
6
0
1
1
0
3
2
4
4-5
80%
3-5
5-9
60%
62%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 33.2
20.4
28.9
8
45%
9
3
1
1
0
4
3
6
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.1
16.6
8.1
5
32%
5
2
1
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
53%
1-4
25%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.5
31.4
24.0
14
59%
3
6
0
1
1
1
2
1
1-2
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
3-5
60%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 26.7
26.8
29.6
5
63%
4
8
3
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.1
21.4
20.0
17
53%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
7-10
2-4
70%
51%
1-6
17%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.7
20.8
11.7
17
97%
11
1
2
0
5
0
2
9
3-4
75%
7-7
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 24.7
6.8
4.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.1
4.1
4.2
2
26%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 32.9
4.2
0
0-1
47%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.