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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 25, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1676ers25%9299
1Heat75%101111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 20.8
39.5
30.6
13
45%
3
6
2
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
46%
0-3
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 32.0
38.9
32.1
8
38%
8
3
1
1
1
0
2
6
0-1
0%
4-10
6-12
40%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
36.5
32.4
10
41%
3
4
1
1
0
4
1
2
4-5
80%
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
0-2
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
32.0
34.5
14
52%
1
0
3
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
45%
3-7
43%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 22.9
26.5
24.0
13
48%
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
4
1-1
100%
6-13
3-7
46%
49%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.8
28.9
24.4
15
56%
8
2
0
1
0
2
2
6
3-3
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
52%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
24.6
22.4
24
93%
0
5
2
1
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
5-5
3-7
100%
45%
4-7
57%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22.4
8.1
11.4
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 31.3
5.0
13.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 35.1
9.4
0
1-2
46%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 23.6
4.8
0
1-2
48%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.1
1.6
0
0-0
42%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.5
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 26.2
41.0
37.4
32
76%
10
2
3
1
1
4
2
8
9-9
100%
10-13
8-15
77%
55%
1-4
25%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.2
41.0
36.0
39
63%
11
8
3
1
5
2
4
7
8-11
73%
14-23
8-15
61%
53%
1-3
33%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27.0
39.4
35.1
20
60%
10
2
0
1
0
2
3
7
4-4
100%
8-15
6-12
53%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.9
29.8
24.6
3
38%
3
6
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.7
16.9
15.9
4
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
61%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.1
21.0
22.6
4
29%
3
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
0-3
1-2
0%
52%
1-3
33%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30.5
19.0
14.6
6
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
2-4
50%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.9
18.2
11.4
3
30%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 28.6
9.8
13.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.8
3.1
11.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38.1
0.8
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
11.3
1
1-1
50%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 23.1
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.8
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 35.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.