FinalWin Prob.pScore
1625%92
99
175%101
111
ORTG#PossPace
PHI logo PHI
105.394100.1
MIA logo MIA
116.89589.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0PHI99
0%
111
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAWade 1' Driving Dunk (39 PTS)99
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0PHIWade STEAL (3 STL)99
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)99
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)99
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0PHIMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)99
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 1:03PHIBrand 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)99
2.0%
104
98.0%
Q4 - 1:10PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)97
1.3%
104
98.7%
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot97
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 1:37PHIWilliams 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS)97
1.2%
104
98.8%
Q4 - 1:44PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)95
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot95
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 2:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)95
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q4 - 2:12PHIMISS Young 3' Tip Shot95
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 2:13PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)95
1.0%
104
99.0%
Q4 - 2:14PHIMISS Holiday 9' Jump Shot95
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 2:29PHI76ers Rebound95
1.0%
104
99.0%
Q4 - 2:30PHIWade BLOCK (5 BLK)95
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 2:46PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
1.0%
104
99.0%
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 295
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 295
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 2:55MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 2:56PHIMISS Iguodala 15' Jump Shot95
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 3:02PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 3:25PHIHoliday 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)95
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 3:39MIAJames 1' Driving Dunk (32 PTS)93
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 3:42PHIJames STEAL (3 STL)93
1.6%
102
98.4%
Q4 - 3:52MIABosh 10' Jump Shot (20 PTS)93
2.3%
102
97.7%
Q4 - 4:12PHIIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)93
3.1%
100
96.9%
Q4 - 4:12PHIMISS Iguodala Free Throw 1 of 292
2.8%
100
97.2%
Q4 - 4:23MIAWade 1' Dunk (35 PTS) (House 1 AST)92
3.1%
100
96.9%
Q4 - 4:28PHIWade STEAL (2 STL)92
4.4%
98
95.6%
Q4 - 4:42PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)92
6.5%
98
93.5%
Q4 - 4:43MIAMISS Bosh 2' Tip Shot92
5.8%
98
94.2%
Q4 - 4:45MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)92
4.4%
98
95.6%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup92
5.8%
98
94.2%
Q4 - 5:01MIAHEAT Rebound92
5.9%
98
94.1%
Q4 - 5:02PHIMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
6.5%
98
93.5%
Q4 - 5:14MIAJames Foul Turnover (P4.T16)92
8.2%
98
91.8%
Q4 - 5:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)92
5.8%
98
94.2%
Q4 - 5:20PHIWade BLOCK (4 BLK)92
6.5%
98
93.5%
Q4 - 5:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (33 PTS)92
8.1%
98
91.9%
Q4 - 5:46MIAHEAT Rebound92
14.5%
95
85.5%
Q4 - 5:47PHIMISS Iguodala 17' Jump Shot92
16.0%
95
84.0%
Q4 - 6:04PHI76ers Rebound92
20.1%
95
79.9%
Q4 - 6:05MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot92
18.5%
95
81.5%
Q4 - 6:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)92
15.3%
95
84.7%
Q4 - 6:15PHIMISS Iguodala 2' Layup92
16.7%
95
83.3%
Q4 - 6:16PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)92
20.1%
95
79.9%
Q4 - 6:17PHIMISS Hawes 20' Jump Shot92
16.7%
95
83.3%
Q4 - 6:38MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)92
20.1%
95
79.9%
Q4 - 6:47MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)92
31.2%
92
68.8%
Q4 - 6:48PHIMISS Holiday 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
33.4%
92
66.6%
Q4 - 7:16MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (30 PTS)92
36.9%
92
63.1%
Q4 - 7:30PHIYoung 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)92
43.1%
90
56.9%
Q4 - 7:52MIAWade 5' Running Bank Shot (28 PTS)90
37.0%
90
63.0%
Q4 - 7:59MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)90
43.2%
88
56.8%
Q4 - 8:00PHIWade BLOCK (3 BLK)90
45.5%
88
54.5%
Q4 - 8:10PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
48.1%
88
51.9%
Q4 - 8:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 190
47.3%
88
52.7%
Q4 - 8:20MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
54.8%
86
45.2%
Q4 - 8:21PHIMISS Young 5' Running Hook Shot90
56.7%
86
43.3%
Q4 - 8:37MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)90
61.0%
86
39.0%
Q4 - 8:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
72.5%
83
27.5%
Q4 - 8:42MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
75.9%
83
24.1%
Q4 - 9:04PHIBrand 5' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)90
69.5%
83
30.5%
Q4 - 9:07PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)88
64.2%
83
35.8%
Q4 - 9:08PHIMISS Holiday 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
60.3%
83
39.7%
Q4 - 9:33MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)88
64.3%
83
35.7%
Q4 - 9:35MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
74.5%
80
25.5%
Q4 - 9:36MIAMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot88
77.5%
80
22.5%
Q4 - 9:59PHITurner 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)88
74.6%
80
25.4%
Q4 - 10:13PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
67.2%
80
32.8%
Q4 - 10:14MIAMISS Bosh 8' Running Jump Shot86
65.6%
80
34.4%
Q4 - 10:28PHIWade STEAL (1 STL)86
62.0%
80
38.0%
Q4 - 10:44MIAMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)86
67.3%
80
32.7%
Q4 - 10:44MIAMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 286
68.3%
79
31.7%
Q4 - 11:09PHIYoung 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)86
65.0%
79
35.0%
Q4 - 11:25MIABosh 1' Dunk (18 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)84
60.0%
79
40.0%
Q4 - 11:39PHIWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)84
65.1%
77
34.9%
Q4 - 11:39PHIWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)83
64.3%
77
35.7%
Q4 - 11:45PHITurner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
60.0%
77
40.0%
Q4 - 11:46MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
58.5%
77
41.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA82
54.8%
77
45.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
54.8%
77
45.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0PHIMISS Meeks 3PT Jump Shot82
54.7%
77
45.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
57.9%
77
42.1%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 282
57.3%
77
42.7%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 282
54.2%
77
45.8%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIAHEAT Rebound82
53.3%
77
46.7%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot82
56.5%
77
43.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0PHIWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)82
53.3%
77
46.7%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)79
42.7%
77
57.3%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)79
43.8%
76
56.2%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)79
48.2%
75
51.8%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot79
51.5%
75
48.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
48.2%
75
51.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Miller 8' Jump Shot79
51.5%
75
48.5%
Q3 - 1:00PHIWilliams 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS)79
48.3%
75
51.7%
Q3 - 1:19MIAMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)77
41.6%
75
58.4%
Q3 - 1:39PHIWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Turner 1 AST)77
51.9%
72
48.1%
Q3 - 2:06PHI76ers Rebound74
40.2%
72
59.8%
Q3 - 2:07MIAMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot74
38.8%
72
61.2%
Q3 - 2:29PHIMeeks 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Young 2 AST)74
35.9%
72
64.1%
Q3 - 2:33PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
31.6%
72
68.4%
Q3 - 2:34MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
30.4%
72
69.6%
Q3 - 2:59PHIHawes Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)72
27.8%
72
72.2%
Q3 - 3:09PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
20.7%
72
79.3%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
19.7%
72
80.3%
Q3 - 3:28MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
17.8%
72
82.2%
Q3 - 3:29PHIMISS Hawes 9' Turnaround Hook Shot69
18.6%
72
81.4%
Q3 - 3:49MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)69
20.7%
72
79.3%
Q3 - 4:01MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
23.3%
70
76.7%
Q3 - 4:02PHIMISS Holiday 7' Jump Shot69
24.4%
70
75.6%
Q3 - 4:12PHIMeeks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
27.2%
70
72.8%
Q3 - 4:14MIAMISS Anthony 5' Jump Shot69
26.0%
70
74.0%
Q3 - 4:15MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
23.3%
70
76.7%
Q3 - 4:16MIAMISS Wade 2' Tip Shot69
26.0%
70
74.0%
Q3 - 4:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)69
23.3%
70
76.7%
Q3 - 4:18MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot69
26.0%
70
74.0%
Q3 - 4:38PHIHoliday 12' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)69
23.3%
70
76.7%
Q3 - 4:52MIAJames 17' Jump Shot (28 PTS)67
20.8%
70
79.2%
Q3 - 5:16PHIHawes 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS)67
23.1%
68
76.9%
Q3 - 5:25PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
20.6%
68
79.4%
Q3 - 5:26PHIMISS Meeks 15' Jump Shot65
18.5%
68
81.5%
Q3 - 5:32PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
20.6%
68
79.4%
Q3 - 5:33PHIMISS Hawes 16' Jump Shot65
18.5%
68
81.5%
Q3 - 5:55MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)65
20.6%
68
79.4%
Q3 - 5:55MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)65
21.2%
67
78.8%
Q3 - 6:18PHIHawes 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Holiday 6 AST)65
22.8%
66
77.2%
Q3 - 6:49MIAJames 1' Alley Oop Dunk (24 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)63
20.3%
66
79.7%
Q3 - 6:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)63
22.8%
64
77.2%
Q3 - 6:52MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
25.1%
64
74.9%
Q3 - 7:08MIAHEAT Rebound63
22.5%
64
77.5%
Q3 - 7:09PHIMISS Hawes 22' Jump Shot63
23.4%
64
76.6%
Q3 - 7:21MIAJames 1' Layup (22 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)63
25.5%
64
74.5%
Q3 - 7:26MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
28.4%
62
71.6%
Q3 - 7:27PHIMISS Iguodala 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
29.4%
62
70.6%
Q3 - 7:38PHIMeeks Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)63
31.8%
62
68.2%
Q3 - 7:38MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)62
28.5%
62
71.5%
Q3 - 8:04PHIHoliday 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST)62
25.1%
62
74.9%
Q3 - 8:27MIAJames 1' Tip Shot (20 PTS)60
22.5%
62
77.5%
Q3 - 8:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
25.1%
60
74.9%
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS Dampier 3' Jump Shot60
27.3%
60
72.7%
Q3 - 8:39MIAJames Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)60
25.1%
60
74.9%
Q3 - 8:39MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
28.1%
59
71.9%
Q3 - 8:40PHIMISS Brand 8' Jump Bank Shot60
29.1%
59
70.9%
Q3 - 8:57MIABosh 3' Tip Shot (16 PTS)60
31.4%
59
68.6%
Q3 - 8:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
34.5%
57
65.5%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Wade 4' Running Jump Shot60
37.1%
57
62.9%
Q3 - 9:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
33.9%
57
66.1%
Q3 - 9:09PHIMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
34.9%
57
65.1%
Q3 - 9:18PHIIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
37.4%
57
62.6%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot60
36.3%
57
63.7%
Q3 - 9:45PHIMeeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Holiday 5 AST)60
34.0%
57
66.0%
Q3 - 10:10MIABibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)57
27.2%
57
72.8%
Q3 - 10:20PHIJames STEAL (2 STL)57
33.1%
54
66.9%
Q3 - 10:33MIABibby Foul Turnover (P2.T14)57
36.4%
54
63.6%
Q3 - 10:42PHIHawes 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Holiday 4 AST)57
33.1%
54
66.9%
Q3 - 10:58MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)55
30.1%
54
69.9%
Q3 - 11:16PHIIguodala Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)55
35.5%
51
64.5%
Q3 - 11:21PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
29.6%
51
70.4%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot52
28.7%
51
71.3%
Q3 - 11:38PHIMeeks 9' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hawes 1 AST)52
26.7%
51
73.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA50
24.2%
51
75.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound50
21.6%
51
78.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
23.4%
51
76.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0PHIYoung Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)50
22.0%
51
78.0%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAWade 1' Layup (19 PTS)47
17.3%
51
82.7%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
19.8%
49
80.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot47
20.9%
49
79.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0PHIWilliams 29' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)47
19.8%
49
80.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)44
15.5%
49
84.5%
Q2 - 0:48.0PHIWilliams Foul Turnover (P3.T8)44
17.7%
47
82.3%
Q2 - 1:13MIAJames 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)44
19.2%
47
80.8%
Q2 - 1:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)44
21.9%
45
78.1%
Q2 - 1:20PHIMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
22.4%
45
77.6%
Q2 - 1:37MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)44
23.5%
45
76.5%
Q2 - 1:37MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)44
23.9%
44
76.1%
Q2 - 1:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
26.7%
43
73.3%
Q2 - 1:42PHIWade BLOCK (2 BLK)44
27.2%
43
72.8%
Q2 - 2:10MIABosh 2' Dunk (12 PTS) (James 1 AST)44
28.5%
43
71.5%
Q2 - 2:15PHIMiller STEAL (1 STL)44
31.1%
41
68.9%
Q2 - 2:20PHI76ers Rebound44
34.0%
41
66.0%
Q2 - 2:21PHIMISS Meeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
32.0%
41
68.0%
Q2 - 2:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)44
34.0%
41
66.0%
Q2 - 2:50PHIWilliams 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)44
39.9%
38
60.1%
Q2 - 3:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
36.3%
38
63.7%
Q2 - 3:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
36.9%
37
63.1%
Q2 - 3:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
38.7%
36
61.3%
Q2 - 3:19PHIMISS Hawes 14' Jump Shot42
39.8%
36
60.2%
Q2 - 3:35MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T13)42
42.3%
36
57.7%
Q2 - 3:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
38.8%
36
61.2%
Q2 - 3:40PHIMISS Meeks 10' Floating Jump Shot42
39.8%
36
60.2%
Q2 - 4:06MIAWade 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)42
41.0%
36
59.0%
Q2 - 4:11PHIBibby STEAL (2 STL)42
43.7%
34
56.3%
Q2 - 4:28MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)42
47.0%
34
53.0%
Q2 - 4:28MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
47.6%
33
52.4%
Q2 - 4:29PHIBibby STEAL (1 STL)42
49.7%
32
50.3%
Q2 - 4:48MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)42
53.1%
32
46.9%
Q2 - 5:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
54.8%
30
45.2%
Q2 - 5:02PHIMISS Brand 8' Turnaround Jump Shot42
55.7%
30
44.3%
Q2 - 5:26MIAWade 2' Driving Dunk (6 PTS)42
57.8%
30
42.2%
Q2 - 5:36PHIIguodala Foul Turnover (P2.T4)42
60.7%
28
39.3%
Q2 - 6:05MIABosh 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)42
62.1%
28
37.9%
Q2 - 6:19PHIIguodala Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
64.4%
26
35.6%
Q2 - 6:19PHIIguodala Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
63.7%
26
36.3%
Q2 - 6:36MIAMagloire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)40
62.2%
26
37.8%
Q2 - 6:38MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
59.1%
26
40.9%
Q2 - 6:39MIAMISS Magloire 4' Hook Shot40
61.2%
26
38.8%
Q2 - 6:41MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
59.1%
26
40.9%
Q2 - 6:42MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot40
61.3%
26
38.7%
Q2 - 6:56PHIYoung Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)40
59.1%
26
40.9%
Q2 - 6:56PHIYoung Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
58.4%
26
41.6%
Q2 - 7:01PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
55.0%
26
45.0%
Q2 - 7:02MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot38
54.2%
26
45.8%
Q2 - 7:27PHIIguodala 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)38
52.2%
26
47.8%
Q2 - 7:39MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)36
49.6%
26
50.4%
Q2 - 7:58PHIHoliday Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)36
46.7%
26
53.3%
Q2 - 8:05PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
40.3%
26
59.7%
Q2 - 8:06MIAMISS Bosh 10' Turnaround Jump Shot33
39.5%
26
60.5%
Q2 - 8:17MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
37.7%
26
62.3%
Q2 - 8:18PHIMISS Brand 11' Jump Shot33
38.5%
26
61.5%
Q2 - 8:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
40.4%
26
59.6%
Q2 - 8:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
40.9%
25
59.1%
Q2 - 8:47PHIHouse STEAL (2 STL)33
42.9%
24
57.1%
Q2 - 8:56MIAWade 2' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)33
45.7%
24
54.3%
Q2 - 8:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
48.3%
22
51.7%
Q2 - 8:59MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot33
50.2%
22
49.8%
Q2 - 9:21PHIYoung 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Holiday 2 AST)33
47.0%
22
53.0%
Q2 - 9:36PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
44.6%
22
55.4%
Q2 - 9:37MIAMISS Bosh 10' Jump Shot31
43.8%
22
56.2%
Q2 - 10:03PHIWilliams 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Brand 3 AST)31
41.4%
22
58.6%
Q2 - 10:08MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)29
39.2%
22
60.8%
Q2 - 10:12PHIHouse STEAL (1 STL)29
36.5%
22
63.5%
Q2 - 10:17PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
39.2%
22
60.8%
Q2 - 10:18MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot29
38.4%
22
61.6%
Q2 - 10:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
36.5%
22
63.5%
Q2 - 10:37PHIMISS Holiday 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
37.3%
22
62.7%
Q2 - 10:53MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)29
39.2%
22
60.8%
Q2 - 11:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
41.0%
20
59.0%
Q2 - 11:10PHIMISS Young 18' Jump Shot29
41.8%
20
58.2%
Q2 - 11:25MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)29
43.7%
20
56.3%
Q2 - 11:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
41.1%
20
58.9%
Q2 - 11:46PHIMISS Brand Free Throw 1 of 129
41.4%
20
58.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA27
38.8%
20
61.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0PHIWilliams 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)27
35.7%
20
64.3%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAJames 2' Driving Dunk (10 PTS)24
31.0%
20
69.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
33.6%
18
66.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
34.8%
18
65.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0PHIYoung 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)24
33.6%
18
66.4%
Q1 - 0:42.0PHIYoung REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
31.1%
18
68.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0PHIMISS Nocioni 2' Layup22
29.9%
18
70.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)22
31.1%
18
68.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0PHIYoung 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 1:18MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)20
26.6%
18
73.4%
Q1 - 1:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 1:28PHIMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
29.5%
16
70.5%
Q1 - 1:42MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)20
30.5%
16
69.5%
Q1 - 1:42MIAHEAT Rebound20
29.0%
16
71.0%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot20
30.0%
16
70.0%
Q1 - 2:12PHIWilliams 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)20
28.8%
16
71.2%
Q1 - 2:21MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)18
26.7%
16
73.3%
Q1 - 2:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
25.1%
16
74.9%
Q1 - 2:26PHIMISS Young 4' Layup18
25.6%
16
74.4%
Q1 - 2:52MIADampier 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)18
26.7%
16
73.3%
Q1 - 3:12PHIMeeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Holiday 1 AST)18
28.3%
14
71.7%
Q1 - 3:23PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
24.8%
14
75.2%
Q1 - 3:24MIAMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
24.3%
14
75.7%
Q1 - 3:33MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
23.1%
14
76.9%
Q1 - 3:34PHIMISS Brand 9' Jump Shot15
23.6%
14
76.4%
Q1 - 3:51MIABosh 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
24.8%
14
75.2%
Q1 - 4:11PHIHawes 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Brand 2 AST)15
25.8%
12
74.2%
Q1 - 4:22MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)13
24.2%
12
75.8%
Q1 - 4:22MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
24.6%
11
75.4%
Q1 - 4:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
25.8%
10
74.2%
Q1 - 4:38PHIMISS Holiday 15' Jump Shot13
26.4%
10
73.6%
Q1 - 4:44PHI76ers Rebound13
27.7%
10
72.3%
Q1 - 4:45PHIWade BLOCK (1 BLK)13
26.4%
10
73.6%
Q1 - 5:05MIABosh 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)13
27.4%
10
72.6%
Q1 - 5:20PHIJames STEAL (1 STL)13
28.9%
8
71.1%
Q1 - 5:39PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
31.0%
8
69.0%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot13
30.3%
8
69.7%
Q1 - 5:55PHIHoliday 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
28.9%
8
71.1%
Q1 - 6:06PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
26.8%
8
73.2%
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Wade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot11
26.3%
8
73.7%
Q1 - 6:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
25.2%
8
74.8%
Q1 - 6:17PHIMISS Brand 18' Jump Shot11
25.7%
8
74.3%
Q1 - 6:32PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
26.9%
8
73.1%
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup11
26.4%
8
73.6%
Q1 - 6:47MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
25.2%
8
74.8%
Q1 - 6:48PHIMISS Holiday 12' Jump Shot11
25.7%
8
74.3%
Q1 - 6:58PHIHawes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
26.9%
8
73.1%
Q1 - 6:59MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
26.4%
8
73.6%
Q1 - 7:14PHIHoliday 2' Layup (2 PTS)11
24.7%
8
75.3%
Q1 - 7:17PHIHoliday REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
23.4%
8
76.6%
Q1 - 7:19PHIJames BLOCK (1 BLK)9
22.3%
8
77.7%
Q1 - 7:20MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)9
23.4%
8
76.6%
Q1 - 7:22MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
21.8%
8
78.2%
Q1 - 7:23MIAMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
22.9%
8
77.1%
Q1 - 7:38MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
21.8%
8
78.2%
Q1 - 7:39PHIMISS Iguodala 20' Fadeaway Jumper9
22.3%
8
77.7%
Q1 - 8:00MIADampier 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
23.4%
8
76.6%
Q1 - 8:27PHIIguodala 2' Running Dunk (2 PTS)9
24.4%
6
75.6%
Q1 - 8:31MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)7
23.0%
6
77.0%
Q1 - 8:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
21.6%
6
78.4%
Q1 - 8:43PHIMISS Hawes 18' Jump Shot7
22.0%
6
78.0%
Q1 - 9:01MIAJames 10' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)7
22.8%
6
77.2%
Q1 - 9:22PHIMeeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)7
24.2%
4
75.8%
Q1 - 9:28PHIBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
21.5%
4
78.5%
Q1 - 9:29MIAMISS Dampier 2' Layup4
21.1%
4
78.9%
Q1 - 9:48PHIBrand 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)4
20.3%
4
79.7%
Q1 - 9:55MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)2
19.0%
4
81.0%
Q1 - 10:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.9%
4
82.1%
Q1 - 10:02PHIMISS Iguodala 2' Driving Layup2
18.2%
4
81.8%
Q1 - 10:06MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
19.1%
4
80.9%
Q1 - 10:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.9%
4
82.1%
Q1 - 10:17PHIMISS Brand 10' Jump Shot2
18.2%
4
81.8%
Q1 - 10:42MIAJames 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
19.1%
4
80.9%
Q1 - 10:54MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.1%
2
79.9%
Q1 - 10:55PHIMISS Iguodala 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
20.5%
2
79.5%
Q1 - 11:11MIABibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
20.9%
2
79.1%
Q1 - 11:22PHIHawes 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)2
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 11:36MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
18.8%
2
81.2%
Q1 - 11:36MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
19.0%
1
81.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Dampier vs. Hawes: Tip to Bibby0
19.9%
0
80.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.09 54.4%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHI
20
31
65%
MIA
28
37
76%
Midrange
PHI
13
36
36%
MIA
6
26
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHI
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
MIA
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
Free Throws
PHI
12
14
86%
MIA
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Williams2492%12.0 / 13
T. Young1558%7.5 / 13
J. Meeks1454%7.0 / 13
J. Holiday1346%6.5 / 14
S. Hawes1350%6.5 / 13
A. Iguodala1042%5.0 / 12
E. Brand840%4.0 / 10
E. Turner2100%1.0 / 1
A. Nocioni0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3965%19.5 / 30
L. James3276%16.0 / 21
C. Bosh2059%10.0 / 17
J. Jones675%3.0 / 4
E. Dampier450%2.0 / 4
M. Miller429%2.0 / 7
M. Bibby338%1.5 / 4
E. House330%1.5 / 5
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 2
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI
81
+10
-13
91
MIA
80
+19
-15
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.09 54.4%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.2
111.4
PHI 105.3
MIA 116.8 +11.5
Pace
92.2
91.3
PHI 100.1 +10.6
MIA 89.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.2
PHI 14.4 +1.7
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
52.4%
PHI 50.6%
MIA 53.6% +3.0%
TO %
13.1%
14.4%
PHI 12.4% +2.0%
MIA 14.4%
ORB %
24.6%
25.2%
PHI 17.1%
MIA 38.5% +21.4%
FTrt
27.3
36.3
PHI 16.3
MIA 33.7 +17.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
54.1%
PHI 55.0% +1.3%
MIA 53.7%
STL %
8.2%
7.3%
PHI 10.6%
MIA 11.6% +1.0%
BLK %
6.7%
8.5%
PHI 3.2%
MIA 9.0% +5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
55.7%
PHI 54.4%
MIA 56.1% +1.7%
Rim FG%
59.6%
64.7%
PHI 64.5%
MIA 75.7% +11.2%
Mid FG%
40.9%
42.2%
PHI 36.1% +13.0%
MIA 23.1%
3P %
35.5%
37.0%
PHI 36.8% +1.8%
MIA 35.0%
FT %
77.0%
76.9%
PHI 85.7% +7.1%
MIA 78.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.1%
31.6%
PHI 36.0%
MIA 44.6% +8.5%
Mid Att. %
48.5%
44.9%
PHI 41.9%
MIA 31.3% +10.5%
3P Att. %
18.4%
23.5%
PHI 22.1%
MIA 24.1% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsPHIMIA
Possessions9495
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points99111
Rebounds3149
Assists2222
Steals1011
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (2)34 (3)
Field Goals40-8641-83
At-the-Rim FG20-3128-37
Midrange FG13-366-26
2-Point FG33-6734-63
3-Point FG7-197-20
Free Throws12-1422-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 205 · 21
39.5
13
46%
3
6
2
0
2
4
1
2
1-1
100%
6-11
55%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 254 · 32
38.9
8
40%
8
3
1
1
0
4
2
6
0-1
0%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 215 · 27
36.5
10
42%
3
4
1
0
4
2
1
2
4-5
80%
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 24
32.0
14
54%
1
0
3
0
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
3-7
43%
C · 7'1" 245 · 23
26.5
13
50%
5
1
1
1
0
4
1
4
1-1
100%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 23
28.9
15
58%
8
2
0
0
2
5
2
6
3-3
100%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
24.6
24
92%
0
5
2
0
4
1
0
0
2-2
100%
5-5
100%
4-7
57%
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 22
8.1
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
· 6'7" 225 · 31
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 35
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24
F · 6'8" 215 · 30
#33 · F · 6'10" 230 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 248 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
54%
31
22
10
2
13
0
7
24
12-14
86%
33-67
49%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.