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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 25, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Pistons63%10291
29Cavaliers37%9797
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31.1
35.8
35.1
15
46%
4
2
0
1
2
0
0
4
1-1
100%
7-15
7-13
47%
50%
0-1
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 33.1
31.4
31.2
15
43%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
7-15
5-11
47%
47%
0-2
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.6
26.5
17.9
12
64%
8
0
0
1
1
1
1
7
2-3
67%
5-8
3-6
63%
55%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 20.8
25.6
32.4
11
51%
8
0
1
1
1
0
7
1
1-4
25%
5-9
5-10
56%
57%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 31.8
20.6
28.9
2
18%
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
1-5
4-8
20%
47%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.8
28.0
16.8
12
58%
7
3
2
0
3
0
3
4
3-3
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
49%
1-4
25%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.9
27.4
28.6
11
42%
4
4
1
1
1
2
2
2
4-5
80%
2-8
4-9
25%
46%
1-3
33%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.0
16.8
15.9
8
80%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
2-2
100%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.1
15.9
10.0
0
0%
4
2
1
0
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.2
12.0
6.5
5
36%
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 26.6
12.4
0
1-3
50%
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.2
3.7
0
0-1
47%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.1
Terrico White
G · 6'5" 213 · 21.0
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 36.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 22.6
36.0
30.3
24
77%
15
2
2
1
1
2
7
8
6-6
100%
9-13
6-12
69%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 35.8
30.0
25.9
5
26%
5
7
1
1
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 23.8
28.1
24.9
8
40%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.5
24.4
22.8
10
60%
2
0
0
0
2
2
1
1
0-3
0%
5-7
2-4
71%
57%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.0
23.9
28.1
6
50%
3
6
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
5-10
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.1
24.1
26.3
7
44%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
43%
1-3
33%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 31.9
24.1
7.7
16
62%
4
5
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
46%
4-7
57%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 22.2
18.3
21.4
9
51%
3
0
2
0
1
1
2
1
3-4
75%
3-7
4-7
43%
51%
0-0
-
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.2
17.3
16.6
10
64%
9
1
0
0
1
2
4
5
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
1-1
100%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.8
13.8
16.6
2
25%
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.5
17.0
1
2-4
46%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.8
3.6
0
0-1
52%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.8
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.5
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.