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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 25, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Nets16%8985
5Magic84%10295
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.3
41.3
29.6
15
68%
5
16
0
1
0
5
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
2-6
43%
43%
3-4
75%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
36.3
33.4
14
64%
10
2
0
1
0
3
4
6
2-2
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
48%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.0
35.7
26.2
10
56%
2
8
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
2-5
40%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.5
35.3
30.5
19
56%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-11
3-6
45%
46%
3-6
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.0
35.0
32.8
10
54%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
4-8
8-16
50%
48%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.5
22.6
23.1
10
44%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
5-9
2-5
56%
43%
0-2
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.2
13.4
12.7
2
25%
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
9.8
7.9
2
25%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
6.1
5.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.9
3.9
6.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
0.7
7.3
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
1-1
100%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
3.6
0
0-1
43%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.5
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.3
41.9
38.8
21
53%
14
0
2
1
3
5
3
11
7-18
39%
7-12
7-12
58%
62%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
38.7
32.9
16
67%
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
53%
2-5
40%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 32.0
38.4
32.8
20
84%
1
13
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
5-7
3-5
71%
49%
3-4
75%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 25.9
23.7
29.7
14
75%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
6-8
5-9
75%
53%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.1
14.9
32.3
2
33%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.9
30.4
18.3
15
94%
9
1
2
0
1
0
1
8
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
5-8
63%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.2
27.3
16.9
2
8%
3
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
48%
0-5
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 28.6
24.6
11.1
5
36%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 30.9
13.6
0
1-2
47%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 26.7
7.4
0
1-1
50%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 23.2
7.3
0
1-2
49%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.7
3.3
0
0-1
45%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.