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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 25, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Kings36%97110
20Pacers64%10293
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 23.8
39.9
35.7
15
34%
9
3
3
1
0
2
2
7
0-0
-
6-16
5-11
38%
47%
1-6
17%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.7
38.8
35.4
12
67%
4
6
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
5-9
43%
52%
2-2
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 29.2
32.3
24.4
16
70%
3
1
4
1
3
1
0
3
1-1
100%
6-8
2-5
75%
49%
1-3
33%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 20.6
32.1
26.7
18
53%
14
4
0
1
3
3
5
9
0-0
-
9-17
5-11
53%
45%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.9
25.5
33.8
16
51%
10
1
3
1
2
1
4
6
4-6
67%
6-13
6-11
46%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24.7
28.3
20.9
8
54%
9
2
0
0
1
2
2
7
0-1
0%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 23.1
18.1
16.2
15
83%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
3-5
60%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 21.5
17.3
11.6
6
38%
3
8
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
46%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 25.4
3.9
8.5
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Pooh Jeter
G · 5'11" 175 · 27.3
3.8
13.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.8
12.5
0
1-2
46%
Jermaine Taylor
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.3
7.8
0
1-2
48%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 30.2
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 21.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 27.9
32.1
32.0
20
55%
5
2
1
1
1
4
1
4
11-12
92%
3-10
5-10
30%
48%
1-3
33%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 24.3
32.0
26.1
11
53%
5
0
0
0
2
2
3
2
3-3
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
50%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.6
27.9
30.5
9
35%
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
4-11
4-9
36%
50%
0-1
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 25.4
24.8
29.6
8
29%
8
3
1
1
0
2
1
7
2-2
100%
3-13
6-12
23%
49%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
24.6
23.9
12
56%
8
1
0
1
1
1
4
4
1-4
25%
4-6
3-5
67%
56%
1-3
33%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
30.6
23.9
5
32%
8
1
1
1
1
3
1
7
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
46%
1-7
14%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 24.1
21.1
18.7
6
44%
5
1
1
1
1
1
3
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
58%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.5
20.1
14.5
9
30%
3
3
0
1
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
47%
1-9
11%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 34.2
10.9
16.4
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
10.7
15.0
11
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
4-4
2-4
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 20.6
5.1
5.6
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 34.2
4.1
0
0-0
50%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 28.0
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 30.5
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.