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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 18, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Nets36%8895
24Bucks64%93110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.0
36.8
37.0
25
55%
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3
3-4
75%
11-21
8-16
52%
48%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.7
36.1
34.4
18
53%
4
9
1
1
0
5
1
3
8-9
89%
2-7
4-8
29%
48%
2-6
33%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
33.2
36.6
10
63%
11
3
2
1
1
1
1
10
0-2
0%
5-7
5-11
71%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.5
28.3
29.7
9
63%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-5
60%
3-3
3-6
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.4
21.9
19.9
2
20%
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.0
24.8
24.8
8
40%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
42%
1-4
25%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.3
17.8
17.8
9
56%
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
3-6
50%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.5
16.1
20.4
7
72%
2
1
0
0
3
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 24.9
12.3
11.4
3
38%
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.1
11.2
10.1
4
67%
0
1
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
0.8
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
0.8
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.9
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.1
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 28.6
44.4
23.4
26
100%
8
3
3
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
8-11
73%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 21.5
42.7
31.9
16
54%
4
10
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
7-12
4-9
58%
44%
0-2
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 31.3
38.0
31.6
25
76%
5
7
0
1
1
2
0
5
1-1
100%
9-13
4-8
69%
47%
2-3
67%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.3
35.1
20.4
13
52%
7
0
0
0
4
3
1
6
1-1
100%
6-12
4-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.5
32.5
31.0
15
69%
5
1
1
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
7-10
3-6
70%
51%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 24.0
16.5
15.8
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
55%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.9
14.0
22.0
8
68%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 22.3
11.5
17.0
2
20%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 34.8
5.3
12.1
3
44%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 29.6
13.0
0
2-4
43%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
11.6
0
2-4
52%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 24.2
10.0
0
1-3
49%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 29.5
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.