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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 18, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Celtics48%9777
12Rockets52%9893
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.4
27.8
29.6
10
40%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
6-6
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
52%
0-4
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 25.1
27.2
30.4
4
18%
2
6
0
2
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-10
4-7
20%
51%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 35.7
26.1
30.4
8
58%
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 34.8
21.6
27.6
11
51%
5
2
2
1
2
3
1
4
1-2
50%
5-10
5-10
50%
52%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.6
12.8
24.9
5
64%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
4-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 25.2
31.0
23.7
16
62%
7
0
1
1
0
0
2
5
4-9
44%
6-9
4-8
67%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
27.7
24.3
17
72%
2
0
1
1
2
0
0
2
2-4
50%
6-9
3-7
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.6
22.0
12.9
0
0%
0
4
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.9
14.8
13.0
2
50%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 31.6
11.2
15.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 27.3
10.5
8.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-1
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.3
7.3
3.8
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 39.0
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 25.7
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.0
41.6
35.4
20
63%
3
9
1
1
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
4-7
57%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 28.1
38.7
30.4
25
62%
4
2
2
1
0
6
0
4
11-12
92%
4-8
4-10
50%
46%
2-7
29%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.0
36.8
27.0
18
70%
12
1
0
1
4
0
2
10
2-2
100%
8-12
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 27.8
33.6
34.3
11
74%
11
3
2
1
0
3
3
8
1-1
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
52%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 22.8
27.8
35.2
2
11%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
4-7
17%
50%
0-3
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 25.5
23.9
26.3
2
20%
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.6
16.4
16.4
6
51%
9
0
0
0
1
1
2
7
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
12.0
11.3
4
52%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 34.9
9.2
9.9
5
87%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-2
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 30.9
24.2
1
5-10
50%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.6
2.0
0
0-1
42%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 24.1
1.8
0
0-0
48%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 30.5
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.