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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 18, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Bobcats21%8882
9Thunder79%9999
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.4
40.3
31.8
8
33%
2
8
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
46%
0-3
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.0
36.7
31.8
18
46%
4
2
1
1
0
5
1
3
4-4
100%
1-9
5-11
11%
45%
4-9
44%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.9
36.4
31.5
13
59%
5
5
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
5-7
3-7
71%
53%
1-4
25%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 29.0
34.9
21.9
8
46%
8
0
0
0
1
1
1
7
2-6
33%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.3
30.5
33.9
4
27%
0
1
2
1
0
3
0
0
0-1
0%
2-7
5-11
29%
46%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.9
17.9
13.9
10
83%
7
0
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
5-5
2-4
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.5
13.9
15.7
4
40%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
47%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
12.7
18.0
6
56%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.5
12.0
20.4
9
78%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
3-4
3-7
75%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.6
4.8
8.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
9.4
0
1-2
41%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.7
8.2
0
0-1
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.1
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 31.4
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 24.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.5
38.5
34.2
25
62%
2
4
4
1
0
2
0
2
5-5
100%
7-13
6-12
54%
52%
2-5
40%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 21.5
34.0
27.7
12
61%
13
1
0
1
5
0
2
11
2-4
50%
5-8
4-8
63%
56%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.3
33.0
29.6
18
48%
0
7
3
1
0
3
0
0
6-6
100%
6-16
6-14
38%
47%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 26.3
27.4
17.5
3
80%
9
1
1
0
2
3
1
8
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.9
20.8
22.6
6
60%
1
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
52%
0-2
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 21.6
29.4
26.7
21
73%
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-3
67%
5-6
3-5
83%
51%
3-7
43%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.4
17.0
23.6
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
56%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.8
15.0
17.3
7
117%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
1-1
100%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.5
14.2
18.6
4
41%
3
0
2
0
1
1
0
3
0-2
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.9
10.1
15.4
3
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
40%
1-3
33%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 22.4
0.6
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 29.2
4.4
0
0-1
44%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 26.8
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.