for complete access.
All Games Friday, March 18, 2011
FinalWin Prob.pScore
2
Heat
62%95
106
17
Hawks
38%91
85
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
121.88787.3
ATL logo ATL
97.78786.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA106
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAHoward 19' Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)106
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAHeat Rebound104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0ATLWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:03ATLTeague Running Dunk (10 PTS)104
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04MIATeague STEAL (1 STL)104
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22ATLTeague 8' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)104
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46MIAMagloire 3' Tip Shot (4 PTS)104
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)102
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46MIAMISS Howard 2' Driving Layup102
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07ATLWilliams 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)102
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21ATLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42ATLWilliams 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)102
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:48ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)102
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot102
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)102
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)102
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 3:21MIAMiller Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T15)102
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)102
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:26ATLMISS Teague 10' Floating Jump Shot102
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMagloire 1' Layup (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)102
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:09ATLWilkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)100
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 4:29MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)100
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:36MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)97
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 297
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38MIAHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)97
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:40MIAHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:56MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 4:59ATLMISS Pachulia 7' Hook Shot96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:19ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:20MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:35MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:36ATLMISS Teague 22' Jump Shot96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 5:45MIAArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:03ATLMISS Armstrong Free Throw 2 of 296
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:03ATLMISS Armstrong Free Throw 1 of 296
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:16MIAHouse Foul Turnover (P1.T13)96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:30ATLPachulia 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 6:39MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)96
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 6:58ATLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 6:58ATLArmstrong Tip Shot (2 PTS)93
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 6:59ATLMISS Wilkins 15' Fadeaway Jumper93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 7:07ATLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 7:08MIAMISS House 12' Jump Shot93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 7:24MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 7:25ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 7:58ATLWilkins Running Dunk (11 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)93
99.9%
65
0.1%
Q4 - 8:04MIAWilkins STEAL (3 STL)93
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 8:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)93
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 8:17ATLMISS Williams 4' Driving Jump Shot93
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 8:38ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)93
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 8:40MIAMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot93
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 8:56MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 8:58ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot93
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 9:07MIABosh Dunk (17 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)93
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 9:16MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)91
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 9:18ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 9:34ATLHAWKS Rebound91
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot91
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 9:58ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)91
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 10:08MIAJones 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)89
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:23ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Driving Layup89
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:40MIAAnthony 1' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)89
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 11:05MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 11:06ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 187
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 11:24ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 11:26MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 287
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q4 - 11:26MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)87
99.9%
59
0.1%
Q4 - 11:44ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wilkins 1 AST)86
99.8%
59
0.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA86
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound86
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS James 22' Fadeaway Jumper86
99.8%
57
0.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)86
99.9%
57
0.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)86
99.9%
56
0.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (43 PTS)86
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)84
99.9%
55
0.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)84
99.9%
54
0.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)84
99.9%
53
0.1%
Q3 - 1:04MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)83
99.8%
53
0.2%
Q3 - 1:04MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)82
99.8%
53
0.2%
Q3 - 1:09MIAMISS James Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 281
99.8%
53
0.2%
Q3 - 1:09MIAJames Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (41 PTS)81
99.8%
53
0.2%
Q3 - 1:11MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
99.7%
53
0.3%
Q3 - 1:14ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
99.7%
53
0.3%
Q3 - 1:14ATLMISS Williams 1' Putback Layup80
99.7%
53
0.3%
Q3 - 1:15ATLMISS Teague 2' Running Layup80
99.7%
53
0.3%
Q3 - 1:20ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
99.7%
53
0.3%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMISS James 3' Jump Shot80
99.7%
53
0.3%
Q3 - 1:34ATLWilkins 9' Driving Jump Shot (9 PTS)80
99.7%
53
0.3%
Q3 - 1:51MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (40 PTS)80
99.8%
51
0.2%
Q3 - 1:51MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (39 PTS)79
99.8%
51
0.2%
Q3 - 2:10ATLWilkins 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)78
99.7%
51
0.3%
Q3 - 2:25MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (38 PTS)78
99.7%
49
0.3%
Q3 - 2:49ATLWilkins Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)76
99.7%
49
0.3%
Q3 - 2:51ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
99.8%
46
0.2%
Q3 - 2:53MIAWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)76
99.8%
46
0.2%
Q3 - 3:10ATLWilkins Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)76
99.8%
46
0.2%
Q3 - 3:10MIAWilkins STEAL (2 STL)76
99.7%
46
0.3%
Q3 - 3:33ATLTeague 8' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)76
99.8%
46
0.2%
Q3 - 4:03MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)76
99.8%
44
0.2%
Q3 - 4:24ATLTeague 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)73
99.7%
44
0.3%
Q3 - 4:36MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (36 PTS)73
99.7%
42
0.3%
Q3 - 4:39MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
99.6%
42
0.4%
Q3 - 4:41ATLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot70
99.6%
42
0.4%
Q3 - 4:46ATLCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)70
99.5%
42
0.5%
Q3 - 4:48ATLMISS Horford 1' Driving Layup70
99.6%
42
0.4%
Q3 - 5:08ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
99.4%
42
0.6%
Q3 - 5:09MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
99.5%
42
0.5%
Q3 - 5:22ATLCrawford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)70
99.5%
42
0.5%
Q3 - 5:42MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)70
99.4%
42
0.6%
Q3 - 5:49MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
99.2%
42
0.8%
Q3 - 5:51ATLMISS Williams 5' Hook Shot67
99.2%
42
0.8%
Q3 - 6:05MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (30 PTS)67
98.9%
42
1.1%
Q3 - 6:28ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)65
98.8%
42
1.2%
Q3 - 6:28ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 265
98.8%
41
1.2%
Q3 - 6:47MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)65
98.7%
41
1.3%
Q3 - 6:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
98.3%
41
1.7%
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS James 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot62
98.1%
41
1.9%
Q3 - 7:10MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
98.0%
41
2.0%
Q3 - 7:12ATLMISS Smith 17' Fadeaway Jumper62
97.9%
41
2.1%
Q3 - 7:41MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)62
97.7%
41
2.3%
Q3 - 7:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
96.9%
41
3.1%
Q3 - 7:48ATLMISS Johnson 6' Driving Jump Shot59
96.7%
41
3.3%
Q3 - 8:08MIABosh Foul Turnover (P1.T9)59
96.1%
41
3.9%
Q3 - 8:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
96.7%
41
3.3%
Q3 - 8:18ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
96.5%
41
3.5%
Q3 - 8:25ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
96.1%
41
3.9%
Q3 - 8:26MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot59
96.3%
41
3.7%
Q3 - 8:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
96.7%
41
3.3%
Q3 - 8:42ATLMISS Collins 18' Jump Shot59
96.5%
41
3.5%
Q3 - 8:59MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 3 AST)59
96.1%
41
3.9%
Q3 - 9:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
94.6%
41
5.4%
Q3 - 9:15ATLMISS Hinrich 14' Jump Shot56
94.3%
41
5.7%
Q3 - 9:33MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
93.8%
41
6.2%
Q3 - 9:53ATLSmith 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)53
91.8%
41
8.2%
Q3 - 10:17MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)53
92.5%
39
7.5%
Q3 - 10:41ATLHorford 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)51
91.5%
39
8.5%
Q3 - 10:58MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)51
92.5%
37
7.5%
Q3 - 11:05MIAHeat Rebound51
93.1%
37
6.9%
Q3 - 11:05MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
92.5%
37
7.5%
Q3 - 11:18MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
93.2%
37
6.8%
Q3 - 11:21ATLMISS Smith 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot51
92.9%
37
7.1%
Q3 - 11:48MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)51
92.2%
37
7.8%
Q3 - 11:48MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 250
92.0%
37
8.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL50
92.2%
37
7.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound50
91.1%
37
8.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Crawford 32' 3PT Jump Shot50
91.9%
37
8.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T7)50
90.8%
37
9.2%
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
91.6%
37
8.4%
Q2 - 0:18.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 250
91.5%
37
8.5%
Q2 - 0:18.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
90.8%
37
9.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
91.9%
36
8.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Hinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
92.4%
36
7.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAWade 21' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)50
91.9%
36
8.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0ATLHorford 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS)48
90.6%
36
9.4%
Q2 - 1:07MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)48
91.7%
34
8.3%
Q2 - 1:07MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)47
91.5%
34
8.5%
Q2 - 1:19MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
90.3%
34
9.7%
Q2 - 1:21ATLMISS Wilkins Free Throw 2 of 246
90.2%
34
9.8%
Q2 - 1:21ATLMISS Wilkins Free Throw 1 of 246
89.3%
34
10.7%
Q2 - 1:32MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)46
89.5%
34
10.5%
Q2 - 1:32MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)45
89.3%
34
10.7%
Q2 - 1:55ATLSmith 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)44
87.8%
34
12.2%
Q2 - 2:11ATLMISS Hinrich Free Throw Technical44
88.9%
32
11.1%
Q2 - 2:31MIAJames Foul Turnover (P3.T6)44
89.0%
32
11.0%
Q2 - 2:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
90.2%
32
9.8%
Q2 - 2:45MIAMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
89.4%
32
10.6%
Q2 - 3:05ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
90.1%
32
9.9%
Q2 - 3:05ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
90.4%
31
9.6%
Q2 - 3:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
91.0%
30
9.0%
Q2 - 3:11MIAMISS Bibby 3PT Jump Shot44
91.3%
30
8.7%
Q2 - 3:36MIABibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
92.1%
30
7.9%
Q2 - 3:39ATLMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
91.8%
30
8.2%
Q2 - 3:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
91.0%
30
9.0%
Q2 - 3:47MIAMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot44
91.3%
30
8.7%
Q2 - 4:05MIAMiller Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)44
91.7%
30
8.3%
Q2 - 4:05ATLWilkins 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)43
90.7%
30
9.3%
Q2 - 4:16ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
91.6%
28
8.4%
Q2 - 4:18MIAMISS Wade 20' Fadeaway Jumper43
91.9%
28
8.1%
Q2 - 4:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
92.6%
28
7.4%
Q2 - 4:30ATLMISS Wilkins 4' Driving Jump Shot43
92.3%
28
7.7%
Q2 - 4:44MIAWilkins STEAL (1 STL)43
91.7%
28
8.3%
Q2 - 5:04ATLHorford 6' Driving Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)43
92.3%
28
7.7%
Q2 - 5:29MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)43
93.1%
26
6.9%
Q2 - 5:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
91.5%
26
8.5%
Q2 - 5:45ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot40
91.2%
26
8.8%
Q2 - 6:12MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)40
89.8%
26
10.2%
Q2 - 6:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
89.0%
26
11.0%
Q2 - 6:22ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot38
88.6%
26
11.4%
Q2 - 6:35MIAAnthony 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)38
87.6%
26
12.4%
Q2 - 6:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
86.6%
26
13.4%
Q2 - 6:54ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 236
86.3%
26
13.7%
Q2 - 6:54ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
85.4%
26
14.6%
Q2 - 6:57ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
86.4%
25
13.6%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Bank Shot36
86.8%
25
13.2%
Q2 - 7:09MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
87.5%
25
12.5%
Q2 - 7:10ATLMISS Williams 1' Layup36
87.1%
25
12.9%
Q2 - 7:27ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
86.2%
25
13.8%
Q2 - 7:29ATLMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
87.1%
25
12.9%
Q2 - 7:43MIAWade 2' Driving Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)36
86.2%
25
13.8%
Q2 - 8:06ATLJohnson 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)34
84.5%
25
15.5%
Q2 - 8:25MIABibby 11' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)34
85.8%
23
14.2%
Q2 - 8:42MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
84.5%
23
15.5%
Q2 - 8:43ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 132
84.3%
23
15.7%
Q2 - 8:55ATLHAWKS Rebound32
85.9%
21
14.1%
Q2 - 8:57MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot32
86.3%
21
13.7%
Q2 - 9:18MIAHeat Rebound32
86.7%
21
13.3%
Q2 - 9:19ATLMISS Crawford 2' Driving Layup32
86.3%
21
13.7%
Q2 - 9:43MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)32
85.4%
21
14.6%
Q2 - 9:43MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 231
85.2%
21
14.8%
Q2 - 9:51MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
85.5%
21
14.5%
Q2 - 9:53ATLMISS Hinrich 16' Jump Shot31
85.1%
21
14.9%
Q2 - 10:04MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)31
83.6%
21
16.4%
Q2 - 10:12MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
80.8%
21
19.2%
Q2 - 10:13ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
80.2%
21
19.8%
Q2 - 10:37MIAMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)28
79.0%
21
21.0%
Q2 - 10:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
75.6%
21
24.4%
Q2 - 10:46ATLMISS Williams 10' Turnaround Jump Shot25
74.9%
21
25.1%
Q2 - 11:06ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
73.2%
21
26.8%
Q2 - 11:08MIAMISS Bosh 12' Fadeaway Jumper25
73.8%
21
26.2%
Q2 - 11:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
75.2%
21
24.8%
Q2 - 11:20ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot25
74.6%
21
25.4%
Q2 - 11:41ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
73.2%
21
26.8%
Q2 - 11:42MIAMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot25
73.8%
21
26.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
75.2%
21
24.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLWilliams 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)25
75.2%
21
24.8%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAJames 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS)25
76.8%
19
23.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0ATLWilliams 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)23
74.7%
19
25.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
76.8%
17
23.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
77.3%
17
22.7%
Q1 - 1:05ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)23
78.0%
17
22.0%
Q1 - 1:05ATLHAWKS Rebound23
76.8%
17
23.2%
Q1 - 1:05ATLMISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper23
77.6%
17
22.4%
Q1 - 1:32MIAJames Running Layup (11 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)23
76.8%
17
23.2%
Q1 - 1:38ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)21
74.6%
17
25.4%
Q1 - 1:53MIAJames 19' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)21
73.2%
17
26.8%
Q1 - 2:17ATLHorford Driving Dunk (4 PTS)19
70.9%
17
29.1%
Q1 - 2:40MIABosh Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)19
73.0%
15
27.0%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
70.9%
15
29.1%
Q1 - 2:58ATLMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
70.4%
15
29.6%
Q1 - 3:17MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)17
69.3%
15
30.7%
Q1 - 3:28MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
67.4%
15
32.6%
Q1 - 3:31ATLMISS Smith 20' Fadeaway Jumper15
66.7%
15
33.3%
Q1 - 3:49MIAJames 2' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)15
65.2%
15
34.8%
Q1 - 3:54ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)13
63.2%
15
36.8%
Q1 - 4:11MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
61.2%
15
38.8%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 212
60.8%
15
39.2%
Q1 - 4:20MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
61.4%
15
38.6%
Q1 - 4:21ATLMISS Smith 9' Fadeaway Jumper12
60.7%
15
39.3%
Q1 - 4:45MIAJames 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)12
59.0%
15
41.0%
Q1 - 5:00ATLSmith 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)10
57.1%
15
42.9%
Q1 - 5:26MIADampier 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)10
59.0%
13
41.0%
Q1 - 5:27MIADampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
57.2%
13
42.8%
Q1 - 5:28MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper8
55.6%
13
44.4%
Q1 - 5:51ATLSmith 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)8
57.2%
13
42.8%
Q1 - 5:56MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)8
59.0%
11
41.0%
Q1 - 5:58MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
61.3%
11
38.7%
Q1 - 5:59ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
60.6%
11
39.4%
Q1 - 6:14ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
59.4%
11
40.6%
Q1 - 6:16MIAMISS Bosh 3' Driving Layup8
60.1%
11
39.9%
Q1 - 6:28MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
61.5%
11
38.5%
Q1 - 6:29ATLMISS Horford 14' Turnaround Hook Shot8
60.9%
11
39.1%
Q1 - 6:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
59.4%
11
40.6%
Q1 - 6:40MIAMISS Chalmers 15' Jump Shot8
60.0%
11
40.0%
Q1 - 6:57ATLHinrich 7' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
61.5%
11
38.5%
Q1 - 7:12MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)8
63.6%
9
36.4%
Q1 - 7:26MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
59.9%
9
40.1%
Q1 - 7:28ATLMISS Horford 6' Turnaround Jump Shot5
59.3%
9
40.7%
Q1 - 7:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
57.8%
9
42.2%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 24
57.4%
9
42.6%
Q1 - 8:07ATLJohnson 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)4
58.4%
9
41.6%
Q1 - 8:18ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
60.3%
7
39.7%
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
60.9%
7
39.1%
Q1 - 8:27MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
62.2%
7
37.8%
Q1 - 8:30ATLMISS Smith 2' Layup4
61.6%
7
38.4%
Q1 - 8:45MIAWade Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T3)4
60.3%
7
39.7%
Q1 - 8:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
62.2%
7
37.8%
Q1 - 8:50ATLMISS Johnson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot4
61.6%
7
38.4%
Q1 - 9:14MIADampier 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)4
61.0%
7
39.0%
Q1 - 9:22MIADampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
59.2%
7
40.8%
Q1 - 9:24ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot2
58.6%
7
41.4%
Q1 - 9:39ATLJump Ball Collins vs. Chalmers: Tip to Horford2
57.3%
7
42.7%
Q1 - 9:55ATLJohnson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)2
59.1%
7
40.9%
Q1 - 10:00MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)2
61.0%
5
39.0%
Q1 - 10:26ATLHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)2
63.2%
5
36.8%
Q1 - 10:43ATLCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
66.2%
2
33.8%
Q1 - 10:45MIAMISS Dampier 1' Running Reverse Layup2
66.8%
2
33.2%
Q1 - 11:10ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)2
67.9%
2
32.1%
Q1 - 11:28MIABosh 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
69.5%
0
30.5%
Q1 - 11:46ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
67.9%
0
32.1%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Dampier: Tip to Hinrich0
66.6%
0
33.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 63.1%
ATL
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
19
68%
ATL
14
25
56%
Midrange
MIA
14
30
47%
ATL
18
42
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
22
50%
75%
ATL
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
19
26
73%
ATL
12
22
55%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James4393%21.5 / 23
C. Bosh1765%8.5 / 13
D. Wade1470%7.0 / 10
J. Jones990%4.5 / 5
J. Anthony660%3.0 / 5
E. Dampier467%2.0 / 3
M. Miller4100%2.0 / 2
J. Magloire4100%2.0 / 2
J. Howard325%1.5 / 6
M. Bibby220%1.0 / 5
M. Chalmers0-0.0 / 3
E. House0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams1542%7.5 / 18
D. Wilkins1478%7.0 / 9
J. Teague1365%6.5 / 10
A. Horford1155%5.5 / 10
J. Smith1038%5.0 / 13
J. Johnson956%4.5 / 8
Z. Pachulia660%3.0 / 5
K. Hinrich536%2.5 / 7
H. Armstrong250%1.0 / 2
J. Collins0-0.0 / 1
J. Crawford0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+11
-16
82
ATL
82
+7
-5
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 63.1%
ATL
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.4
105.9
MIA 121.8
ATL 97.7 +24.1
Pace
91.3
89.5
MIA 87.3 +0.6
ATL 86.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.4
MIA 16.5 +0.1
ATL 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
50.1%
MIA 61.3% +15.1%
ATL 46.2%
TO %
14.4%
14.2%
MIA 16.3%
ATL 6.3% +10.0%
ORB %
25.2%
23.5%
MIA 26.7% +16.1%
ATL 10.6%
FTrt
36.3
26.9
MIA 36.6 +8.8
ATL 27.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
60.7%
MIA 73.7% +13.7%
ATL 60.0%
STL %
7.3%
6.8%
MIA 2.3%
ATL 9.2% +6.9%
BLK %
8.5%
6.6%
MIA 4.5% +0.4%
ATL 4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.7%
52.8%
MIA 63.1% +15.9%
ATL 47.2%
Rim FG%
64.7%
60.0%
MIA 68.4% +12.4%
ATL 56.0%
Mid FG%
42.2%
42.5%
MIA 46.7% +3.8%
ATL 42.9%
3P %
37.0%
35.2%
MIA 50.0% +25.0%
ATL 25.0%
FT %
76.9%
78.0%
MIA 73.1% +18.6%
ATL 54.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
30.4%
MIA 26.8%
ATL 31.6% +4.9%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
47.4%
MIA 42.3% +10.9%
ATL 53.2%
3P Att. %
23.5%
22.2%
MIA 31.0% +15.8%
ATL 15.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.36 and 2.36.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points10685
Rebounds5027
Assists2821
Steals28
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)5 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)42 (1)22 (2)
Field Goals38-7135-79
At-the-Rim FG13-1914-25
Midrange FG14-3018-42
2-Point FG27-4932-67
3-Point FG11-223-12
Free Throws19-2612-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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2 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 27
32.3
17
65%
10
4
0
0
1
3
1
9
7-11
64%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 26
30.9
43
93%
2
3
0
0
4
2
0
2
6-7
86%
11-14
79%
5-7
71%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 29
26.7
14
70%
2
5
1
0
2
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
3-4
75%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25
16.9
0
0%
3
4
1
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36
16.0
4
67%
7
0
0
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33
24.9
2
20%
4
6
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31
23.9
4
100%
4
4
0
0
4
1
2
2
1-1
100%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 30
21.3
9
90%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33
16.9
4
100%
9
0
0
0
0
2
2
7
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29
14.9
6
60%
4
0
0
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
7.7
3
25%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
7.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
#40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
#11 · C · 7'3" 260 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Dexter Pittman
#45 · C · 6'11" 285 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
63%
50
28
2
3
16
0
8
42
19-26
73%
27-49
55%
11-22
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.