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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 14, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Spurs71%100102
25Nets29%9385
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 30.7
31.9
27.1
7
70%
4
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 33.5
29.5
23.3
22
63%
4
3
0
1
1
2
0
4
8-8
100%
4-10
3-5
40%
51%
2-4
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 21.8
27.3
28.9
10
53%
11
0
0
1
0
3
4
7
6-8
75%
2-6
6-10
33%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.7
26.7
28.0
13
42%
6
7
0
1
0
2
1
5
3-6
50%
5-12
5-10
42%
53%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.8
25.8
22.5
15
56%
11
2
0
0
3
3
3
8
1-3
33%
7-12
5-9
58%
51%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.8
24.4
29.9
13
66%
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
50%
1-2
50%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.4
24.4
23.0
11
55%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 30.9
21.9
17.7
3
30%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
1-3
33%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 36.4
16.9
17.0
5
53%
5
1
0
0
0
0
3
2
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.7
5.7
9.0
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
5.7
7.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 26.1
5.4
0
1-1
54%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 22.9
30.1
34.8
11
33%
10
2
2
1
3
1
5
5
1-2
50%
5-16
8-16
31%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.4
28.3
31.7
7
35%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
48%
1-3
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.0
27.9
31.5
10
58%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
6-6
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
46%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 19.6
20.8
20.2
4
52%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 26.4
20.2
25.3
11
41%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
43%
2-5
40%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.9
24.5
25.4
8
39%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
1-6
17%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.2
20.0
17.1
10
45%
3
7
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
1-3
25%
44%
2-3
67%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 29.8
19.9
7.2
5
64%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
40%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 25.0
17.2
7.8
4
40%
1
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.0
17.1
27.4
4
30%
7
0
1
1
1
2
1
6
2-4
50%
1-5
4-8
20%
48%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
8.4
4.0
6
60%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.9
5.7
4.7
5
73%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
41%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 30.8
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.