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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 14, 2011
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers64%9689
23Bobcats36%92109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 30.6
35.7
34.2
17
73%
10
5
2
1
0
1
1
9
5-6
83%
6-9
7-12
67%
54%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 32.5
34.6
33.3
20
46%
5
2
0
1
1
5
2
3
3-4
75%
7-16
7-14
44%
50%
1-4
25%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 36.5
26.2
27.3
6
75%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.3
24.0
27.5
10
42%
5
5
1
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
4-9
2-4
44%
45%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 23.3
23.1
30.0
9
58%
6
2
0
0
1
1
3
3
3-4
75%
3-6
5-9
50%
56%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.3
26.5
27.8
9
50%
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 25.2
26.2
22.0
4
22%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-4
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 31.0
21.8
21.6
0
0%
3
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-3
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.9
11.3
10.3
7
88%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Derrick Caracter
F · 6'9" 275 · 22.8
5.3
2.7
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.3
5.3
2.0
3
40%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
3-4
75%
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 35.6
2.0
0
0-1
44%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 30.9
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 37.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
31.9
39.6
20
59%
11
0
1
1
0
0
2
9
0-2
0%
7-12
5-10
58%
49%
2-4
50%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 32.9
30.9
37.0
9
38%
3
5
1
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
3-10
5-11
30%
46%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 23.3
26.4
25.7
7
50%
0
9
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
1-4
25%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 28.9
24.0
25.1
8
50%
8
0
0
0
0
0
6
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 28.8
22.8
27.3
16
78%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
3-3
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
54%
3-6
50%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.2
28.5
18.1
18
80%
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
4
5-5
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
46%
1-2
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
24.0
16.4
16
67%
3
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
51%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 25.4
21.6
20.4
9
61%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.6
18.9
21.1
0
0%
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-1
0%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 23.4
3.7
4.2
3
80%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 30.5
3.7
2.4
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
1-2
50%
Sherron Collins
G · 5'11" 205 · 23.9
3.7
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-2
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.