Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, December 30, 2005

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	7	Grizzlies	74%	90	93
	30	Trail Blazers	26%	82	90

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
MEM	113.4	82	76.8
POR	109.8	82	87.9

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+13

-15

POR

+12

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.12 56.0%

POR

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	POR
Q4 - 0:00.0	MEM		93 100%	90 0%
Q4 - 0:10.0	MEM	Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	93 95.8%	90 4.2%
Q4 - 0:10.0	MEM	MISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2	92 95.0%	90 5.0%
Q4 - 0:12.0	POR	Dixon Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Randolph 3 AST)	92 96.2%	90 3.8%
Q4 - 0:17.0	MEM	Jones Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	92 98.0%	88 2.0%
Q4 - 0:17.0	MEM	Jones Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	91 97.7%	88 2.3%
Q4 - 0:18.0	POR	Patterson Layup (22 PTS)	90 95.7%	88 4.3%
Q4 - 0:18.0	POR	Patterson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	90 98.0%	86 2.0%
Q4 - 0:19.0	POR	MISS Dixon 12' Jump Shot	90 99.1%	86 0.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0	MEM	Battier Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	90 97.1%	86 2.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0	MEM	Battier Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	89 96.5%	86 3.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	88 94.5%	86 5.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0	MEM	MISS Gasol 6' Jump Shot	88 89.2%	86 10.8%
Q4 - 0:44.0	POR	Dixon Driving Layup (9 PTS)	88 91.8%	86 8.2%
Q4 - 0:50.0	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	88 94.8%	84 5.2%
Q4 - 0:50.0	MEM	MISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot	88 95.8%	84 4.2%
Q4 - 1:15	POR	Randolph Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Blake 6 AST)	88 96.2%	84 3.8%
Q4 - 1:24	MEM	Jones Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Gasol 7 AST)	88 97.5%	82 2.5%
Q4 - 1:40	POR	Patterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	86 95.5%	82 4.5%
Q4 - 1:40	POR	Patterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	86 96.1%	81 3.9%
Q4 - 1:41	POR	Patterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	86 97.0%	80 3.0%
Q4 - 1:43	POR	MISS Dixon 24' 3PT Jump Shot	86 97.9%	80 2.1%
Q4 - 1:49	POR	Patterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	86 96.8%	80 3.2%
Q4 - 1:51	MEM	MISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	86 97.3%	80 2.7%
Q4 - 2:17	POR	Randolph Driving Layup (16 PTS)	86 98.2%	80 1.8%
Q4 - 2:34	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	86 98.6%	78 1.4%
Q4 - 2:34	MEM	MISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2	85 98.5%	78 1.5%
Q4 - 2:55	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	85 98.3%	78 1.7%
Q4 - 2:57	POR	MISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 1	85 98.2%	78 1.8%
Q4 - 3:16	MEM	Jackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)	85 98.8%	76 1.2%
Q4 - 3:32	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	85 98.6%	76 1.4%
Q4 - 3:34	POR	MISS Patterson Driving Layup	85 98.5%	76 1.5%
Q4 - 4:00	MEM	Battier 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Gasol 6 AST)	85 98.2%	76 1.8%
Q4 - 4:15	POR	Blake Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	83 97.5%	76 2.5%
Q4 - 4:15	POR	Blake Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	83 97.6%	75 2.4%
Q4 - 4:24	MEM	Battier Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)	83 98.2%	74 1.8%
Q4 - 4:41	POR	Patterson Foul Turnover (P3.T11)	81 97.5%	74 2.5%
Q4 - 4:53	POR	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	81 96.3%	74 3.7%
Q4 - 4:56	MEM	MISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot	81 96.7%	74 3.3%
Q4 - 5:14	POR	Patterson Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)	81 96.7%	74 3.3%
Q4 - 5:33	MEM	Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)	81 98.3%	71 1.7%
Q4 - 5:54	POR	Jack Driving Layup (10 PTS)	78 96.8%	71 3.2%
Q4 - 5:57	POR	Jack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	78 97.6%	69 2.4%
Q4 - 5:59	POR	MISS Jack 18' Jump Shot	78 98.1%	69 1.9%
Q4 - 6:12	MEM	Jones Driving Layup (11 PTS)	78 97.0%	69 3.0%
Q4 - 6:35	POR	Patterson 5' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Dixon 6 AST)	76 96.2%	69 3.8%
Q4 - 7:01	MEM	Gasol Dunk (17 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)	76 96.5%	67 3.5%
Q4 - 7:16	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	74 95.6%	67 4.4%
Q4 - 7:16	POR	MISS Randolph 4' Jump Shot	74 95.2%	67 4.8%
Q4 - 7:31	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	74 94.1%	67 5.9%
Q4 - 7:35	MEM	MISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot	74 94.6%	67 5.4%
Q4 - 7:55	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)	74 95.6%	67 4.4%
Q4 - 7:56	MEM	MISS Jones 12' Jump Shot	74 94.6%	67 5.4%
Q4 - 8:09	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	74 94.7%	67 5.3%
Q4 - 8:10	POR	MISS Patterson Layup	74 94.3%	67 5.7%
Q4 - 8:25	MEM	Patterson STEAL (3 STL)	74 93.3%	67 6.7%
Q4 - 8:48	POR	Dixon Layup (7 PTS)	74 94.8%	67 5.2%
Q4 - 8:52	MEM	Dixon STEAL (1 STL)	74 95.9%	65 4.1%
Q4 - 9:08	POR	Webster 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dixon 5 AST)	74 96.5%	65 3.5%
Q4 - 9:24	MEM	Patterson STEAL (2 STL)	74 97.8%	62 2.2%
Q4 - 9:42	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	74 98.3%	62 1.7%
Q4 - 9:43	POR	MISS Seung-Jin Free Throw 2 of 2	74 98.2%	62 1.8%
Q4 - 9:43	POR	Seung-Jin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	74 98.0%	62 2.0%
Q4 - 9:56	MEM	Burks Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	74 98.2%	61 1.8%
Q4 - 10:20	POR	Jack 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dixon 4 AST)	71 96.8%	61 3.2%
Q4 - 10:33	POR	Seung-Jin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	71 97.4%	59 2.6%
Q4 - 10:35	MEM	MISS Battier 6' Jump Shot	71 97.6%	59 2.4%
Q4 - 10:52	POR	Webster 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)	71 98.0%	59 2.0%
Q4 - 11:07	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	71 98.4%	56 1.6%
Q4 - 11:07	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	70 98.3%	56 1.7%
Q4 - 11:20	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	69 98.0%	56 2.0%
Q4 - 11:22	POR	MISS Jack 14' Jump Shot	69 97.9%	56 2.1%
Q4 - 11:47	MEM	Jones Layup (9 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)	69 97.6%	56 2.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0	MEM		67 97.0%	56 3.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	67 97.0%	56 3.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0	POR	MISS Patterson 17' Jump Shot	67 96.8%	56 3.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0	MEM	Battier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)	67 96.0%	56 4.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0	POR	Jack Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	67 96.7%	56 3.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0	POR	Jack Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	67 96.9%	55 3.1%
Q3 - 1:03	MEM	Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)	67 97.0%	54 3.0%
Q3 - 1:26	POR	Patterson Reverse Layup (11 PTS)	64 95.7%	54 4.3%
Q3 - 1:44	MEM	Jones Driving Layup (4 PTS)	64 96.5%	52 3.5%
Q3 - 1:58	MEM	Burks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	62 95.7%	52 4.3%
Q3 - 2:00	POR	MISS Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot	62 95.5%	52 4.5%
Q3 - 2:20	POR	Seung-Jin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	62 94.3%	52 5.7%
Q3 - 2:22	MEM	MISS Burks 12' Jump Shot	62 94.7%	52 5.3%
Q3 - 2:39	MEM	Burks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	62 95.3%	52 4.7%
Q3 - 2:41	POR	MISS Ratliff 17' Jump Shot	62 95.1%	52 4.9%
Q3 - 3:02	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	62 94.1%	52 5.9%
Q3 - 3:03	MEM	MISS Gasol Driving Layup	62 94.4%	52 5.6%
Q3 - 3:29	POR	Patterson Driving Layup (9 PTS)	62 95.1%	52 4.9%
Q3 - 3:37	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	62 95.8%	50 4.2%
Q3 - 3:38	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	62 96.5%	50 3.5%
Q3 - 3:38	MEM	MISS Gasol Layup	62 96.0%	50 4.0%
Q3 - 3:41	MEM	MISS Burks Free Throw 1 of 1	62 95.9%	50 4.1%
Q3 - 3:58	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	60 95.1%	50 4.9%
Q3 - 4:00	POR	MISS Dixon Driving Layup	60 94.8%	50 5.2%
Q3 - 4:19	MEM	Miller Foul Turnover (P2.T10)	60 93.8%	50 6.2%
Q3 - 4:34	POR	Randolph Layup (14 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)	60 94.9%	50 5.1%
Q3 - 4:57	MEM	Miller 10' Jump Shot (20 PTS)	60 95.5%	48 4.5%
Q3 - 5:11	POR	Patterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	58 94.5%	48 5.5%
Q3 - 5:11	POR	MISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 2	58 94.8%	47 5.2%
Q3 - 5:12	POR	Patterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	58 94.5%	47 5.5%
Q3 - 5:14	POR	MISS Ratliff 7' Running Jump Shot	58 95.1%	47 4.9%
Q3 - 5:22	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	58 94.5%	47 5.5%
Q3 - 5:25	MEM	MISS Gasol 8' Turnaround Jump Shot	58 94.8%	47 5.2%
Q3 - 5:50	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	58 95.4%	47 4.6%
Q3 - 5:52	MEM	MISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot	58 94.8%	47 5.2%
Q3 - 6:07	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	58 95.1%	47 4.9%
Q3 - 6:09	MEM	MISS Miller 20' Jump Shot	58 94.5%	47 5.5%
Q3 - 6:31	POR	Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	58 95.1%	47 4.9%
Q3 - 6:31	POR	MISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2	58 95.2%	46 4.8%
Q3 - 6:31	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	58 95.0%	46 5.0%
Q3 - 6:32	POR	MISS Khryapa 24' 3PT Jump Shot	58 95.6%	46 4.4%
Q3 - 6:43	POR	Khryapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	58 95.0%	46 5.0%
Q3 - 6:46	MEM	MISS Jackson 23' Jump Shot	58 95.3%	46 4.7%
Q3 - 7:08	MEM	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	58 95.4%	46 4.6%
Q3 - 7:10	POR	MISS Dixon 24' 3PT Jump Shot	58 95.2%	46 4.8%
Q3 - 7:16	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	58 94.6%	46 5.4%
Q3 - 7:18	MEM	MISS Jones 8' Turnaround Jump Shot	58 94.9%	46 5.1%
Q3 - 7:23	MEM	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	58 95.5%	46 4.5%
Q3 - 7:25	POR	MISS Randolph Layup	58 95.2%	46 4.8%
Q3 - 7:46	MEM	Gasol Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)	58 94.6%	46 5.4%
Q3 - 8:12	POR	Blake 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dixon 3 AST)	56 93.8%	46 6.2%
Q3 - 8:18	POR	Dixon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	56 94.6%	44 5.4%
Q3 - 8:21	MEM	MISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot	56 94.8%	44 5.2%
Q3 - 8:33	MEM	Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	56 95.4%	44 4.6%
Q3 - 8:36	POR	MISS Randolph 7' Jump Shot	56 95.1%	44 4.9%
Q3 - 9:05	MEM	Gasol 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)	56 94.4%	44 5.6%
Q3 - 9:24	POR	Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Khryapa 2 AST)	54 93.6%	44 6.4%
Q3 - 9:35	MEM	Battier Dunk (11 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)	54 95.2%	41 4.8%
Q3 - 9:55	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	52 94.5%	41 5.5%
Q3 - 9:57	POR	MISS Dixon 21' Jump Shot	52 94.2%	41 5.8%
Q3 - 10:03	MEM	Khryapa STEAL (1 STL)	52 93.5%	41 6.5%
Q3 - 10:08	MEM	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	52 94.4%	41 5.6%
Q3 - 10:09	POR	MISS Randolph Layup	52 94.2%	41 5.8%
Q3 - 10:17	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	52 93.5%	41 6.5%
Q3 - 10:18	MEM	MISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot	52 93.8%	41 6.2%
Q3 - 10:33	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	52 94.4%	41 5.6%
Q3 - 10:36	POR	MISS Dixon 24' 3PT Jump Shot	52 94.2%	41 5.8%
Q3 - 10:56	MEM	Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)	52 93.5%	41 6.5%
Q3 - 11:09	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	49 91.7%	41 8.3%
Q3 - 11:10	POR	MISS Khryapa Layup	49 91.4%	41 8.6%
Q3 - 11:18	POR	Khryapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	49 90.6%	41 9.4%
Q3 - 11:19	MEM	MISS Gasol 5' Jump Shot	49 90.9%	41 9.1%
Q3 - 11:38	POR	Dixon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)	49 91.7%	41 8.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MEM		49 90.5%	41 9.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MEM	Grizzlies Rebound	49 91.7%	41 8.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MEM	MISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	49 90.9%	41 9.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0	POR	Khryapa Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Blake 5 AST)	49 91.2%	41 8.8%
Q2 - 0:23.0	MEM	Battier Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)	49 92.6%	39 7.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0	MEM	Battier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	48 91.6%	39 8.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0	MEM	Battier Tip Shot (5 PTS)	48 91.6%	39 8.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0	MEM	MISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	46 89.6%	39 10.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0	POR	Dixon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)	46 90.2%	39 9.8%
Q2 - 0:44.0	POR	Khryapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	46 89.3%	39 10.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0	MEM	MISS Gasol Driving Layup	46 89.6%	39 10.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0	POR	Patterson Dunk (6 PTS)	46 90.2%	39 9.8%
Q2 - 1:02	MEM	Patterson STEAL (1 STL)	46 91.4%	37 8.6%
Q2 - 1:15	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)	46 91.9%	37 8.1%
Q2 - 1:15	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	46 91.4%	37 8.6%
Q2 - 1:15	POR	MISS Dixon 16' Jump Shot	46 91.8%	37 8.2%
Q2 - 1:38	POR	Dixon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	46 91.4%	37 8.6%
Q2 - 1:40	MEM	MISS Burks 20' Jump Shot	46 91.6%	37 8.4%
Q2 - 1:48	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	46 92.0%	37 8.0%
Q2 - 1:50	POR	MISS Patterson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot	46 91.8%	37 8.2%
Q2 - 2:14	MEM	Battier Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	46 91.0%	37 9.0%
Q2 - 2:14	MEM	MISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 2	45 90.8%	37 9.2%
Q2 - 2:33	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	45 90.9%	37 9.1%
Q2 - 2:33	POR	Ratliff Layup (6 PTS)	45 90.9%	37 9.1%
Q2 - 2:36	POR	MISS Khryapa Layup	45 92.5%	35 7.5%
Q2 - 2:55	POR	Dixon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	45 92.0%	35 8.0%
Q2 - 2:57	MEM	MISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot	45 92.2%	35 7.8%
Q2 - 3:03	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	45 92.6%	35 7.4%
Q2 - 3:05	POR	MISS Ratliff 10' Turnaround Jump Shot	45 92.3%	35 7.7%
Q2 - 3:22	POR	Khryapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	45 91.7%	35 8.3%
Q2 - 3:24	MEM	MISS Wright 16' Jump Shot	45 92.0%	35 8.0%
Q2 - 3:36	MEM	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	45 92.6%	35 7.4%
Q2 - 3:38	MEM	MISS Burks 18' Jump Shot	45 92.0%	35 8.0%
Q2 - 3:52	POR	Randolph 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)	45 92.6%	35 7.4%
Q2 - 4:00	POR	Khryapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	45 91.7%	35 8.3%
Q2 - 4:02	MEM	MISS Stoudamire Layup	45 91.8%	35 8.2%
Q2 - 4:22	POR	Randolph Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	45 92.4%	35 7.6%
Q2 - 4:22	POR	MISS Randolph Free Throw 1 of 2	45 92.6%	34 7.4%
Q2 - 4:22	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	45 92.4%	34 7.6%
Q2 - 4:22	POR	MISS Khryapa 17' Jump Shot	45 93.0%	34 7.0%
Q2 - 4:45	MEM	Gasol Layup (9 PTS)	45 92.4%	34 7.6%
Q2 - 4:46	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	43 91.6%	34 8.4%
Q2 - 4:48	MEM	MISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot	43 90.9%	34 9.1%
Q2 - 5:07	MEM	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	43 91.6%	34 8.4%
Q2 - 5:09	POR	MISS Randolph Layup	43 91.3%	34 8.7%
Q2 - 5:22	MEM	Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	43 90.6%	34 9.4%
Q2 - 5:22	MEM	Miller Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	42 90.4%	34 9.6%
Q2 - 5:40	POR	Randolph 3' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Khryapa 1 AST)	41 89.6%	34 10.4%
Q2 - 6:00	MEM	Wright Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	41 90.6%	32 9.4%
Q2 - 6:00	MEM	MISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 2	40 90.3%	32 9.7%
Q2 - 6:16	POR	Randolph 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)	40 90.6%	32 9.4%
Q2 - 6:39	POR	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	40 91.3%	30 8.7%
Q2 - 6:40	MEM	MISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 2	40 91.5%	30 8.5%
Q2 - 6:40	MEM	MISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 2	40 92.0%	30 8.0%
Q2 - 6:47	MEM	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	40 92.3%	30 7.7%
Q2 - 6:49	POR	MISS Blake 15' Jump Shot	40 92.0%	30 8.0%
Q2 - 7:14	MEM	Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Stoudamire 3 AST)	40 91.2%	30 8.8%
Q2 - 7:29	POR	Patterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	37 89.4%	30 10.6%
Q2 - 7:29	POR	Patterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	37 89.7%	29 10.3%
Q2 - 7:35	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	37 90.3%	28 9.7%
Q2 - 7:38	MEM	MISS Wright Layup	37 90.6%	28 9.4%
Q2 - 7:45	POR	Patterson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)	37 91.2%	28 8.8%
Q2 - 7:59	MEM	Miller 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	37 90.3%	28 9.7%
Q2 - 8:19	MEM	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	35 89.2%	28 10.8%
Q2 - 8:21	POR	MISS Randolph 10' Jump Shot	35 88.9%	28 11.1%
Q2 - 8:35	MEM	Miller Layup (11 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)	35 88.0%	28 12.0%
Q2 - 8:39	POR	Jack Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	33 87.0%	28 13.0%
Q2 - 8:50	MEM	Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)	33 85.7%	28 14.3%
Q2 - 8:56	MEM	Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	30 83.1%	28 16.9%
Q2 - 8:58	POR	MISS Outlaw 18' Jump Shot	30 82.6%	28 17.4%
Q2 - 9:22	MEM	Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Burks 1 AST)	30 81.5%	28 18.5%
Q2 - 9:27	MEM	Burks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	27 78.5%	28 21.5%
Q2 - 9:29	POR	MISS Webster 3PT Jump Shot	27 77.9%	28 22.1%
Q2 - 9:40	MEM	Jackson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)	27 76.5%	28 23.5%
Q2 - 10:09	POR	Jack 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	24 72.7%	28 27.3%
Q2 - 10:31	MEM	Gasol Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)	24 74.5%	26 25.5%
Q2 - 10:42	POR	Jack 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	24 76.5%	26 23.5%
Q2 - 11:14	MEM	Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	24 78.4%	24 21.6%
Q2 - 11:34	POR	Webster Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	21 74.9%	24 25.1%
Q2 - 11:34	POR	Webster Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	21 75.3%	23 24.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR		21 76.7%	22 23.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	21 76.7%	22 23.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0	MEM	MISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot	21 77.2%	22 22.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0	MEM	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	21 78.1%	22 21.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0	POR	MISS Dixon 21' Jump Shot	21 77.8%	22 22.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0	POR	Webster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	21 76.9%	22 23.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0	POR	MISS Seung-Jin Dunk	21 77.8%	22 22.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0	MEM	Miller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Warrick 1 AST)	21 76.9%	22 23.1%
Q1 - 1:09	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	18 73.0%	22 27.0%
Q1 - 1:10	POR	MISS Patterson 4' Jump Shot	18 72.6%	22 27.4%
Q1 - 1:31	MEM	Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	18 71.5%	22 28.5%
Q1 - 1:48	POR	Patterson Reverse Layup (2 PTS)	18 73.0%	22 27.0%
Q1 - 2:19	MEM	Gasol Layup (7 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)	18 75.5%	20 24.5%
Q1 - 2:34	MEM	Warrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 73.6%	20 26.4%
Q1 - 2:36	POR	MISS Seung-Jin Layup	16 73.1%	20 26.9%
Q1 - 2:54	MEM	Warrick Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	16 71.8%	20 28.2%
Q1 - 3:02	POR	Patterson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	13 68.6%	20 31.4%
Q1 - 3:20	MEM	Battier Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)	13 66.4%	20 33.6%
Q1 - 3:34	MEM	Jones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	13 68.6%	20 31.4%
Q1 - 3:36	MEM	MISS Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot	13 67.0%	20 33.0%
Q1 - 3:39	MEM	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	13 68.6%	20 31.4%
Q1 - 3:40	MEM	Ratliff BLOCK (1 BLK)	13 67.0%	20 33.0%
Q1 - 3:59	POR	Dixon 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)	13 68.5%	20 31.5%
Q1 - 4:07	MEM	Stoudamire Driving Layup (4 PTS)	13 72.6%	17 27.4%
Q1 - 4:21	POR	Randolph Layup (6 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)	11 71.2%	17 28.8%
Q1 - 4:28	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	11 72.6%	15 27.4%
Q1 - 4:28	POR	MISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot	11 74.0%	15 26.0%
Q1 - 4:56	POR	Khryapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	11 72.6%	15 27.4%
Q1 - 4:58	MEM	MISS Gasol 7' Turnaround Jump Shot	11 73.2%	15 26.8%
Q1 - 5:18	MEM	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	11 75.2%	15 24.8%
Q1 - 5:21	POR	MISS Khryapa 25' 3PT Jump Shot	11 74.7%	15 25.3%
Q1 - 5:33	MEM	Gasol Foul Turnover (P1.T4)	11 73.4%	15 26.6%
Q1 - 5:40	MEM	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	11 75.2%	15 24.8%
Q1 - 5:42	MEM	Khryapa BLOCK (1 BLK)	11 74.0%	15 26.0%
Q1 - 5:47	POR	Dixon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	11 75.2%	15 24.8%
Q1 - 6:08	MEM	Battier 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)	11 73.8%	15 26.2%
Q1 - 6:32	POR	Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Randolph 2 AST)	9 72.3%	15 27.7%
Q1 - 6:52	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	9 75.3%	12 24.7%
Q1 - 6:54	MEM	MISS Gasol 12' Jump Shot	9 75.8%	12 24.2%
Q1 - 7:19	POR	Dixon 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	9 77.4%	12 22.6%
Q1 - 7:32	MEM	Gasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	9 78.6%	10 21.4%
Q1 - 7:51	POR	Randolph Layup (4 PTS)	6 76.0%	10 24.0%
Q1 - 7:53	POR	Randolph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	6 77.2%	8 22.8%
Q1 - 7:54	POR	MISS Randolph Layup	6 78.3%	8 21.7%
Q1 - 8:11	MEM	Wright Foul Turnover (P2.T3)	6 78.0%	8 22.0%
Q1 - 8:21	MEM	Gasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	6 79.3%	8 20.7%
Q1 - 8:24	MEM	MISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot	6 78.4%	8 21.6%
Q1 - 8:31	POR	Khryapa Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	6 79.3%	8 20.7%
Q1 - 8:32	POR	Khryapa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 77.9%	8 22.1%
Q1 - 8:34	MEM	MISS Battier 8' Turnaround Jump Shot	6 78.4%	8 21.6%
Q1 - 8:55	POR	Ratliff Dunk (4 PTS) (Dixon 2 AST)	6 79.3%	8 20.7%
Q1 - 9:01	MEM	Blake STEAL (1 STL)	6 80.2%	6 19.8%
Q1 - 9:17	POR	Randolph Layup (2 PTS) (Dixon 1 AST)	6 81.7%	6 18.3%
Q1 - 9:23	POR	Dixon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	6 82.5%	4 17.5%
Q1 - 9:26	POR	MISS Blake Layup	6 83.5%	4 16.5%
Q1 - 9:40	MEM	Stoudamire Driving Layup (2 PTS)	6 82.6%	4 17.4%
Q1 - 10:01	POR	Randolph Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	4 81.7%	4 18.3%
Q1 - 10:22	POR	Ratliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 80.3%	4 19.7%
Q1 - 10:24	MEM	MISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 1	4 80.5%	4 19.5%
Q1 - 10:41	POR	Khryapa Layup (2 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)	2 79.3%	4 20.7%
Q1 - 10:47	MEM	Randolph STEAL (1 STL)	2 80.3%	2 19.7%
Q1 - 11:13	POR	Ratliff Dunk (2 PTS) (Randolph 1 AST)	2 81.6%	2 18.4%
Q1 - 11:36	MEM	Gasol 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)	2 82.7%	0 17.3%
Q1 - 12:00	POR	Jump Ball Ratliff vs. Gasol: Tip to Stoudamire	0 81.6%	0 18.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.12 56.0%

POR

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

71%

POR

62%

Midrange

MEM

24%

POR

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

13.5

43%

64%

POR

7.5

36%

54%

Free Throws

MEM

67%

POR

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Miller	23	96%	11.5 / 12
P. Gasol	18	53%	9.0 / 17
S. Battier	17	57%	8.5 / 15
E. Jones	15	58%	7.5 / 13
B. Jackson	7	39%	3.5 / 9
A. Burks	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. Stoudamire	4	40%	2.0 / 5
H. Warrick	3	150%	1.5 / 1
L. Wright	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Patterson	22	69%	11.0 / 16
Z. Randolph	18	50%	9.0 / 18
J. Dixon	11	42%	5.5 / 13
S. Blake	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Jack	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Webster	8	100%	4.0 / 4
T. Ratliff	6	50%	3.0 / 6
V. Khryapa	4	29%	2.0 / 7
H. Ha	1	17%	0.5 / 3
T. Outlaw	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+13

-15

POR

+12

-10

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

1.12 56.0%

POR

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	105.9 101.2	MEM 113.4 +3.7 POR 109.8
Pace	86.4 87.7	MEM 76.8 POR 87.9 +11.1
Avg. Poss. Time	17.3 16.7	MEM 18.7 POR 16.4 +2.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	49.6% 47.4%	MEM 55.0% +4.3% POR 50.7%
TO %	14.8% 15.6%	MEM 15.7% POR 11.7% +4.0%
ORB %	25.8% 26.6%	MEM 29.7% +1.9% POR 27.8%
FTrt	33.9 31.0	MEM 34.3 +7.3 POR 27.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	57.8% 53.4%	MEM 64.7% +7.6% POR 57.1%
STL %	8.4% 7.3%	MEM 7.3% POR 8.5% +1.2%
BLK %	8.9% 8.4%	MEM 8.3% +4.2% POR 4.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	51.9% 49.6%	MEM 56.0% +3.1% POR 52.9%
Rim FG%	57.0% 56.4%	MEM 71.4% +9.2% POR 62.2%
Mid FG%	37.2% 38.6%	MEM 23.8% POR 30.4% +6.6%
3P %	37.4% 34.9%	MEM 42.9% +7.2% POR 35.7%
FT %	71.1% 68.9%	MEM 66.7% POR 75.0% +8.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	38.4% 36.7%	MEM 40.0% POR 50.0% +10.0%
Mid Att. %	35.9% 46.7%	MEM 30.0% +1.1% POR 31.1%
3P Att. %	25.8% 16.6%	MEM 30.0% +11.1% POR 18.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MEM	POR
Possessions	82	82
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	93	90
Rebounds	37	36
Assists	22	20
Steals	6	7
Blocks	5	2
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (2)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (3)	26 (0)
Field Goals	34-70	35-74
At-the-Rim FG	20-28	23-37
Midrange FG	5-21	7-23
2-Point FG	25-49	30-60
3-Point FG	9-21	5-14
Free Throws	16-24	15-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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7 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 27	45.0	17	57%	9	2	1	2	2	2	3	6	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 25	44.8	18	53%	9	7	0	2	2	3	4	5	4-5	80%	7-15	47%	0-0	-
Eddie Jones G · 6'6" 200 · 34	36.8	15	58%	2	2	2	0	2	1	1	1	2-3	67%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Lorenzen Wright C · 6'11" 255 · 30	18.9	1	17%	1	1	1	0	2	4	1	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Damon Stoudamire G · 5'10" 171 · 32	13.8	4	40%	6	3	1	0	1	1	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26	28.2	23	96%	2	1	0	1	3	4	0	2	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	5-6	83%
Bobby Jackson G · 6'1" 185 · 33	26.8	7	39%	4	4	1	0	2	4	0	4	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	2-5	40%
Antonio Burks G · 6'0" 195 · 26	19.9	5	50%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Hakim Warrick F · 6'9" 219 · 23	6.0	3	150%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
Brian Cardinal F · 6'8" 240 · 29
Jake Tsakalidis C · 7'2" 290 · 27
Lawrence Roberts #44 · F · 6'9" 240 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Anthony Roberson #3 · G · 6'2" 180 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	56%	37	22	6	5	15	0	11	26	16-24	67%	25-49	51%	9-21	43%

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7 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 27	45.0	17	57%	9	2	1	2	2	2	3	6	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	1-5	20%
Pau Gasol F · 7'0" 250 · 25	44.8	18	53%	9	7	0	2	2	3	4	5	4-5	80%	7-15	47%	0-0	-
Eddie Jones G · 6'6" 200 · 34	36.8	15	58%	2	2	2	0	2	1	1	1	2-3	67%	5-8	63%	1-4	25%
Lorenzen Wright C · 6'11" 255 · 30	18.9	1	17%	1	1	1	0	2	4	1	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Damon Stoudamire G · 5'10" 171 · 32	13.8	4	40%	6	3	1	0	1	1	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26	28.2	23	96%	2	1	0	1	3	4	0	2	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	5-6	83%
Bobby Jackson G · 6'1" 185 · 33	26.8	7	39%	4	4	1	0	2	4	0	4	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	2-5	40%
Antonio Burks G · 6'0" 195 · 26	19.9	5	50%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Hakim Warrick F · 6'9" 219 · 23	6.0	3	150%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25
Brian Cardinal F · 6'8" 240 · 29
Jake Tsakalidis C · 7'2" 290 · 27
Lawrence Roberts #44 · F · 6'9" 240 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Anthony Roberson #3 · G · 6'2" 180 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	56%	37	22	6	5	15	0	11	26	16-24	67%	25-49	51%	9-21	43%

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30 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Juan Dixon G · 6'3" 165 · 27	42.0	11	42%	4	6	1	0	3	5	1	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-4	25%
Zach Randolph F · 6'9" 250 · 24	37.8	18	50%	9	3	1	0	2	2	3	6	2-4	50%	8-15	53%	0-1	0%
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 26	34.7	10	63%	2	6	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Theo Ratliff C · 6'10" 235 · 33	27.1	6	50%	4	0	0	1	0	5	1	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Viktor Khryapa F · 6'9" 210 · 23	23.7	4	29%	7	2	1	1	1	4	0	7	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Ruben Patterson F · 6'5" 223 · 30	28.4	22	69%	4	1	3	0	3	2	3	1	6-8	75%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Martell Webster F-G · 6'7" 230 · 19	17.1	8	100%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Jarrett Jack G · 6'3" 200 · 22	15.9	10	71%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Ha Ha C · 7'3" 305 · 20	9.6	1	17%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 21	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Charles Smith G · 6'4" 200 · 30	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sergei Monia F · 6'8" 220 · 23
Joel Przybilla #10 · C · 7'1" 245 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sebastian Telfair #31 · G · 6'0" 170 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Darius Miles #23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	53%	36	20	7	2	10	0	10	26	15-20	75%	30-60	50%	5-14	36%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE