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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 30, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Celtics37%97112
12Kings63%101116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 26.3
43.9
43.0
33
60%
7
3
3
1
0
3
0
7
1-1
100%
10-17
7-14
59%
48%
4-10
40%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.2
43.5
38.7
22
51%
6
9
1
1
1
4
0
6
5-8
63%
4-9
7-15
44%
48%
3-9
33%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 30.1
35.2
28.1
10
60%
3
2
0
1
2
3
1
2
2-3
67%
4-7
5-10
57%
51%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.4
34.6
32.5
14
64%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
2-4
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.1
10.1
16.5
0
0%
2
3
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.6
30.1
25.2
10
51%
5
3
0
0
2
2
0
5
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 24.1
19.2
18.7
13
94%
2
3
1
1
0
3
2
0
2-2
100%
4-4
2-4
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.0
17.8
16.8
10
67%
8
0
2
0
3
0
1
7
0-1
0%
5-7
3-6
71%
51%
0-0
-
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 23.9
5.7
9.6
0
0%
1
2
2
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.3
5.1
0
0-1
44%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
2.5
0
0-0
41%
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 19.9
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.0
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 22.9
45.9
31.6
22
72%
7
2
3
1
0
4
4
3
5-5
100%
7-9
3-7
78%
49%
1-4
25%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.6
43.6
38.9
33
72%
6
10
1
1
0
4
2
4
7-9
78%
7-12
5-11
58%
49%
4-7
57%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.4
41.2
21.7
29
61%
8
4
0
1
0
3
4
4
9-13
69%
10-18
3-7
56%
48%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29.7
35.0
38.8
20
53%
10
1
1
1
0
5
2
8
4-4
100%
8-17
6-10
47%
54%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.0
24.6
27.7
2
17%
1
5
3
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
2-5
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.7
25.5
8.6
4
29%
2
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.1
17.9
8.6
6
44%
5
1
0
0
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.6
6.3
10.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.1
23.2
1
4-8
53%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 28.6
20.5
1
2-4
49%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.5
7.1
0
1-1
47%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.6
3.1
0
0-1
50%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.