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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 19, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Wizards35%101101
13SuperSonics65%106111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
45.1
36.8
30
63%
7
8
1
1
0
5
3
4
9-9
100%
3-10
5-11
30%
48%
5-10
50%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.5
39.0
37.4
4
17%
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-10
6-13
20%
48%
0-2
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.1
29.5
18.6
10
60%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
2-3
67%
4-7
2-4
57%
47%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.8
26.2
17.8
8
51%
2
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.1
21.2
25.2
10
83%
3
1
0
1
2
0
2
1
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
55%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.8
29.9
27.0
19
71%
8
3
3
1
0
3
2
6
3-3
100%
8-11
5-10
73%
47%
0-1
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.3
22.1
33.9
11
64%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
3-3
2-5
100%
45%
0-3
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.7
19.5
16.3
4
50%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.6
6.9
1.8
3
44%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-3
0-0
33%
46%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.4
0.8
2.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 28.9
14.8
0
0-1
45%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.7
2.3
0
0-1
48%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.4
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.6
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.4
42.5
39.8
24
64%
6
6
3
1
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
8-12
6-12
67%
48%
2-6
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.8
39.5
34.2
15
53%
2
10
3
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
4-9
3-8
44%
44%
1-3
33%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
37.5
37.0
30
66%
6
6
2
1
2
1
2
4
6-6
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
50%
4-8
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.6
24.0
27.8
10
66%
6
0
3
1
0
0
1
5
6-8
75%
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.7
20.7
12.0
4
50%
8
2
0
0
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.1
26.9
22.3
9
61%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
3-3
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.1
21.0
16.0
14
89%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
4-4
100%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
11.5
18.6
3
39%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 25.9
10.4
13.4
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.7
5.9
12.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 19.9
4.5
0
0-1
49%
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 28.3
2.3
0
0-1
45%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.5
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.1
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.