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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 19, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Kings66%103103
29Bobcats34%98106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.6
47.6
37.6
23
45%
8
8
1
1
0
3
1
7
4-4
100%
5-14
5-11
36%
48%
3-10
30%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.0
46.2
35.5
32
67%
5
2
0
1
1
3
1
4
8-9
89%
12-20
6-11
60%
51%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29.7
44.4
35.8
8
58%
12
5
1
1
1
6
4
8
2-2
100%
3-6
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 28.5
39.7
37.7
13
39%
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
48%
1-5
20%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.2
6.0
36.5
2
50%
4
2
2
2
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
6-12
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 22.9
41.6
2.9
19
71%
8
3
2
0
0
3
2
6
9-10
90%
5-7
0-1
71%
46%
0-2
0%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.4
16.2
16.4
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.0
6.7
9.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.0
5.9
5.3
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.6
5.4
13.6
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.6
5.4
6.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.5
1.0
0
0-0
42%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.2
46.6
24.8
26
77%
8
1
1
0
0
1
5
3
8-9
89%
9-13
4-8
69%
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
42.1
17.2
15
56%
4
7
6
1
2
1
3
1
1-3
33%
7-10
2-4
70%
50%
0-2
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 21.5
39.2
18.1
14
44%
6
9
4
1
0
4
1
5
2-4
50%
6-13
2-4
46%
40%
0-1
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 23.2
30.9
34.1
12
50%
12
0
0
1
3
3
3
9
0-0
-
6-12
5-12
50%
45%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.1
7.8
29.0
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.6
28.6
14.0
13
57%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
41%
2-5
40%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.9
21.5
19.5
6
44%
6
0
0
1
0
1
0
6
4-4
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 25.3
13.9
5.3
7
55%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-3
33%
3-3
1-1
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Kevin Burleson
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.7
13.8
1.6
9
67%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Bernard Robinson
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 25.0
10.5
21.3
3
22%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-4
25%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 21.7
10.1
17.1
1
10%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-4
3-7
0%
48%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.2
3.7
0
0-1
45%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 27.6
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.1
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.