FinalWin Prob.pScore
244%97
102
756%99
115
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
110.992100.3
DET logo DET
122.39486.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL102
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETMilicic 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Atkins 4 AST)102
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0DALDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)102
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)101
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0DETAtkins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)100
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETPISTONS Rebound100
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETMISS Milicic Layup100
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0DALDelk 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)100
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16DETMilicic Foul Turnover (P1.T15)97
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27DALDelk 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)97
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41DETHamilton Layup (16 PTS)94
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46DALMISS Daniels 27' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53DALFortson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54DETMISS Hamilton Layup94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56DALHamilton STEAL (2 STL)94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59DALN'diaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00DETMISS Atkins Layup94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20DETMISS Atkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44DALBest Driving Layup (4 PTS)94
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58DETPrince Layup (14 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)92
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16DALPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)92
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24DETPrince 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)92
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47DALNash 9' Jump Shot (18 PTS)92
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 4:10DETWallace Dunk (17 PTS) (Prince 5 AST)90
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 4:30DALFortson Layup (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)90
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 4:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)88
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 4:40DETMISS Okur 15' Jump Shot88
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 5:06DALDaniels Layup (14 PTS) (Nash 10 AST)88
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 5:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)86
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 5:19DETMISS Billups 13' Jump Shot86
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 5:35DETPISTONS Rebound86
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 5:36DALWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)86
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 5:50DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)86
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 5:50DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 286
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 6:02DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 6:05DALMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 286
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 6:05DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)86
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 6:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)85
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 6:24DETMISS Okur 7' Jump Shot85
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 6:47DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 6:49DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot85
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 7:14DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)85
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 7:14DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)85
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 7:38DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)85
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 7:53DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Prince 4 AST)83
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 8:07DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
1.6%
98
98.4%
Q4 - 8:09DALWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)83
1.7%
98
98.3%
Q4 - 8:20DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)83
2.0%
98
98.0%
Q4 - 8:38DALJamison 15' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS) (Nash 9 AST)83
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q4 - 8:51DALMavericks Rebound81
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q4 - 8:52DALMISS Walker 28' 3PT Jump Shot81
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q4 - 9:06DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)81
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 9:22DALBest 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Delk 1 AST)81
4.9%
92
95.1%
Q4 - 9:42DETPrince 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)79
3.9%
92
96.1%
Q4 - 10:02DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
5.6%
90
94.4%
Q4 - 10:05DALMISS Best Layup79
6.0%
90
94.0%
Q4 - 10:20DETSura Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)79
7.0%
90
93.0%
Q4 - 10:44DALWalker Layup (9 PTS) (Best 1 AST)79
5.5%
90
94.5%
Q4 - 10:48DETHam Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)77
4.5%
90
95.5%
Q4 - 10:49DETHam REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
3.6%
90
96.4%
Q4 - 10:52DETMISS Sura 16' Jump Shot77
4.2%
90
95.8%
Q4 - 11:14DALPrince STEAL (1 STL)77
4.1%
90
95.9%
Q4 - 11:33DETSura Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)77
5.1%
90
94.9%
Q4 - 11:36DETSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
4.1%
90
95.9%
Q4 - 11:37DALMISS Walker Layup77
4.4%
90
95.6%
Q4 - 11:40DALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
5.1%
90
94.9%
Q4 - 11:41DALMISS Delk Layup77
4.4%
90
95.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL77
5.1%
90
94.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound77
5.1%
90
94.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Walker 43' 3PT Jump Shot77
4.4%
90
95.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
5.1%
90
94.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETMISS Sura 15' Jump Shot77
5.5%
90
94.5%
Q3 - 0:21.0DALDelk Driving Layup (10 PTS)77
4.8%
90
95.2%
Q3 - 0:35.0DETAtkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Sura 3 AST)75
3.9%
90
96.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0DALDelk Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
5.8%
87
94.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0DALDelk Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)74
5.6%
87
94.4%
Q3 - 0:58.0DETSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)73
4.7%
87
95.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0DETSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)73
5.0%
86
95.0%
Q3 - 1:05DETPISTONS Rebound73
6.5%
85
93.5%
Q3 - 1:08DALMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot73
6.9%
85
93.1%
Q3 - 1:31DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)73
7.8%
85
92.2%
Q3 - 1:31DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)73
8.0%
84
92.0%
Q3 - 1:47DALNash Driving Layup (16 PTS)73
9.3%
83
90.7%
Q3 - 1:54DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q3 - 1:55DETMISS Billups Layup71
7.4%
83
92.6%
Q3 - 1:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)71
6.5%
83
93.5%
Q3 - 2:02DALMISS Finley Layup71
7.5%
83
92.5%
Q3 - 2:16DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P3.T11)71
8.5%
83
91.5%
Q3 - 2:20DALHam STEAL (1 STL)71
7.0%
83
93.0%
Q3 - 2:38DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)71
8.5%
83
91.5%
Q3 - 2:53DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
11.7%
80
88.3%
Q3 - 2:54DALMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 271
12.0%
80
88.0%
Q3 - 2:54DALWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
13.0%
80
87.0%
Q3 - 3:13DETHamilton Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)70
12.6%
80
87.4%
Q3 - 3:28DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)70
10.6%
80
89.4%
Q3 - 3:28DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)69
10.4%
80
89.6%
Q3 - 3:39DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)68
9.1%
80
90.9%
Q3 - 3:40DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 268
8.9%
80
91.1%
Q3 - 3:40DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)68
8.0%
80
92.0%
Q3 - 3:52DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
9.0%
79
91.0%
Q3 - 3:53DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot68
9.5%
79
90.5%
Q3 - 4:14DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)68
11.4%
79
88.6%
Q3 - 4:14DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)68
11.6%
78
88.4%
Q3 - 4:23DETWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)68
13.0%
77
87.0%
Q3 - 4:25DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
14.6%
77
85.4%
Q3 - 4:37DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)68
13.0%
77
87.0%
Q3 - 4:57DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)66
11.4%
77
88.6%
Q3 - 5:14DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)66
15.9%
74
84.1%
Q3 - 5:20DALNash REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
18.4%
74
81.6%
Q3 - 5:23DETMISS Okur 16' Jump Shot66
17.6%
74
82.4%
Q3 - 5:42DALNash 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)66
15.8%
74
84.2%
Q3 - 5:58DETBillups Driving Layup (10 PTS)63
12.0%
74
88.0%
Q3 - 6:17DALNowitzki 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)63
14.4%
72
85.6%
Q3 - 6:28DETOkur Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)61
12.6%
72
87.4%
Q3 - 6:28DETOkur Layup (6 PTS) (Wallace 4 AST)61
14.5%
71
85.5%
Q3 - 6:39DETPISTONS Rebound61
16.5%
69
83.5%
Q3 - 6:40DALMISS Nash 16' Jump Shot61
17.2%
69
82.8%
Q3 - 6:47DALMavericks Rebound61
19.0%
69
81.0%
Q3 - 6:48DALHamilton BLOCK (1 BLK)61
17.2%
69
82.8%
Q3 - 7:07DETHamilton Layup (12 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)61
19.5%
69
80.5%
Q3 - 7:12DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
21.6%
67
78.4%
Q3 - 7:13DALMISS Jamison 10' Jump Shot61
22.5%
67
77.5%
Q3 - 7:25DETHamilton 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)61
24.8%
67
75.2%
Q3 - 7:54DALNash 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
27.3%
65
72.7%
Q3 - 8:05DETWallace 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)59
25.2%
65
74.8%
Q3 - 8:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)59
27.7%
63
72.3%
Q3 - 8:27DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
28.8%
63
71.2%
Q3 - 8:31DALFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
31.3%
63
68.7%
Q3 - 8:35DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
30.2%
63
69.8%
Q3 - 8:48DETPISTONS Rebound59
27.7%
63
72.3%
Q3 - 8:49DALMISS Jamison 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
28.8%
63
71.2%
Q3 - 9:07DETHamilton Driving Layup (8 PTS)59
31.2%
63
68.8%
Q3 - 9:26DALJamison Dunk (13 PTS)59
34.4%
61
65.6%
Q3 - 9:33DETBillups Driving Layup (8 PTS)57
31.2%
61
68.8%
Q3 - 9:48DALJamison 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)57
34.4%
59
65.6%
Q3 - 9:52DALFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
31.2%
59
68.8%
Q3 - 9:54DALMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
29.0%
59
71.0%
Q3 - 10:13DETWallace Layup (12 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)55
31.6%
59
68.4%
Q3 - 10:20DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
34.4%
57
65.6%
Q3 - 10:22DALMISS Walker Layup55
35.5%
57
64.5%
Q3 - 10:32DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
38.1%
57
61.9%
Q3 - 10:34DETMISS Okur 11' Turnaround Jump Shot55
36.9%
57
63.1%
Q3 - 10:47DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)55
34.4%
57
65.6%
Q3 - 10:49DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot55
36.9%
57
63.1%
Q3 - 11:05DETOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
34.8%
57
65.2%
Q3 - 11:06DALMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 255
35.2%
57
64.8%
Q3 - 11:06DALMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 255
36.9%
57
63.1%
Q3 - 11:12DALMavericks Rebound55
38.1%
57
61.9%
Q3 - 11:14DALMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
35.7%
57
64.3%
Q3 - 11:43DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 155
37.6%
57
62.4%
Q3 - 11:43DETWallace Layup (10 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)55
38.1%
57
61.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET55
41.2%
55
58.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALWalker Driving Layup (6 PTS)55
41.2%
55
58.8%
Q2 - 0:18.0DETOkur Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)53
37.8%
55
62.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0DALJamison Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)53
41.9%
53
58.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0DETAtkins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)51
37.8%
53
62.2%
Q2 - 1:03DALJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
36.1%
53
63.9%
Q2 - 1:03DALJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
35.5%
53
64.5%
Q2 - 1:03DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)49
31.9%
53
68.1%
Q2 - 1:12DETPISTONS Rebound49
30.4%
53
69.6%
Q2 - 1:12DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot49
31.4%
53
68.6%
Q2 - 1:37DETPISTONS Rebound49
30.4%
53
69.6%
Q2 - 1:38DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
30.8%
53
69.2%
Q2 - 1:49DETCampbell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
31.8%
53
68.2%
Q2 - 1:49DETCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)49
32.4%
52
67.6%
Q2 - 1:49DETPISTONS Rebound49
36.1%
51
63.9%
Q2 - 1:49DALMISS Fortson Tip Shot49
36.6%
51
63.4%
Q2 - 1:49DALFortson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
37.7%
51
62.3%
Q2 - 1:52DALMISS Nash 19' Jump Shot49
36.6%
51
63.4%
Q2 - 2:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)49
38.4%
51
61.6%
Q2 - 2:04DETMISS Campbell Free Throw 2 of 249
38.1%
51
61.9%
Q2 - 2:04DETMISS Campbell Free Throw 1 of 249
36.1%
51
63.9%
Q2 - 2:19DALFortson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)49
35.7%
51
64.3%
Q2 - 2:19DALFortson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
35.1%
51
64.9%
Q2 - 2:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)47
32.6%
51
67.4%
Q2 - 2:36DETMISS Campbell Free Throw 2 of 247
32.3%
51
67.7%
Q2 - 2:36DETCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
30.5%
51
69.5%
Q2 - 2:50DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)47
32.9%
50
67.1%
Q2 - 2:51DALMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
33.7%
50
66.3%
Q2 - 2:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)47
35.4%
50
64.6%
Q2 - 3:00DETMISS Okur 20' Jump Shot47
34.6%
50
65.4%
Q2 - 3:10DETAtkins Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)47
32.9%
50
67.1%
Q2 - 3:19DETSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
35.6%
49
64.4%
Q2 - 3:21DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
36.6%
49
63.4%
Q2 - 3:28DETCampbell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)47
38.7%
49
61.3%
Q2 - 3:47DALWalker Layup (4 PTS)47
35.6%
49
64.4%
Q2 - 3:56DALMavericks Rebound45
33.2%
49
66.8%
Q2 - 3:59DALMISS Delk 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
31.2%
49
68.8%
Q2 - 4:16DETCampbell Dunk (4 PTS) (Okur 2 AST)45
33.3%
49
66.7%
Q2 - 4:18DETOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
35.9%
47
64.1%
Q2 - 4:20DETMISS Atkins 3PT Jump Shot45
37.8%
47
62.2%
Q2 - 4:33DALDelk Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
35.9%
47
64.1%
Q2 - 4:33DALDelk Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
35.4%
47
64.6%
Q2 - 4:41DETOkur 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)43
33.3%
47
66.7%
Q2 - 5:02DALJamison 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)43
35.9%
45
64.1%
Q2 - 5:04DALNash REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
33.6%
45
66.4%
Q2 - 5:07DALCampbell BLOCK (1 BLK)41
31.7%
45
68.3%
Q2 - 5:22DETAtkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Sura 2 AST)41
33.5%
45
66.5%
Q2 - 5:35DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
38.5%
42
61.5%
Q2 - 5:37DALOkur BLOCK (2 BLK)41
39.4%
42
60.6%
Q2 - 6:19DETSura REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
47.1%
40
52.9%
Q2 - 6:20DETMISS Williamson Free Throw 1 of 141
46.7%
40
53.3%
Q2 - 6:20DETWilliamson Layup (5 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)41
47.1%
40
52.9%
Q2 - 6:25DALOkur STEAL (2 STL)41
49.3%
38
50.7%
Q2 - 6:39DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)41
52.6%
38
47.4%
Q2 - 6:39DETWilliamson Layup (2 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)41
55.3%
37
44.7%
Q2 - 7:00DALDelk Layup (4 PTS)41
57.5%
35
42.5%
Q2 - 7:06DETSura Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)39
54.7%
35
45.3%
Q2 - 7:26DALJamison Dunk (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)39
51.9%
35
48.1%
Q2 - 7:29DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
49.4%
35
50.6%
Q2 - 7:31DETMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
48.6%
35
51.4%
Q2 - 7:51DALDaniels Driving Layup (11 PTS)37
46.6%
35
53.4%
Q2 - 8:09DETAtkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)35
44.1%
35
55.9%
Q2 - 8:31DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
48.9%
32
51.1%
Q2 - 8:32DALMISS Jamison Free Throw 2 of 235
49.3%
32
50.7%
Q2 - 8:32DALJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
51.0%
32
49.0%
Q2 - 8:34DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
49.2%
32
50.8%
Q2 - 8:36DALMISS Delk 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
47.2%
32
52.8%
Q2 - 8:49DETAtkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)34
49.2%
32
50.8%
Q2 - 8:49DETAtkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
49.8%
31
50.2%
Q2 - 8:51DALAtkins STEAL (1 STL)34
51.5%
30
48.5%
Q2 - 8:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)34
54.4%
30
45.6%
Q2 - 8:55DALMISS Daniels Layup34
52.4%
30
47.6%
Q2 - 9:09DETHam Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)34
53.9%
30
46.1%
Q2 - 9:11DETHam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
51.1%
30
48.9%
Q2 - 9:13DALMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
52.0%
30
48.0%
Q2 - 9:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)34
53.9%
30
46.1%
Q2 - 9:26DETMISS Billups 28' 3PT Jump Shot34
53.1%
30
46.9%
Q2 - 9:33DETHam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
51.1%
30
48.9%
Q2 - 9:35DALMISS Daniels 13' Turnaround Jump Shot34
52.0%
30
48.0%
Q2 - 9:50DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
54.0%
30
46.0%
Q2 - 9:52DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot34
53.1%
30
46.9%
Q2 - 10:10DALFinley 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
50.9%
30
49.1%
Q2 - 10:36DETAtkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
48.8%
30
51.2%
Q2 - 10:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)32
53.4%
27
46.6%
Q2 - 10:43DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
54.3%
27
45.7%
Q2 - 10:47DETWallace Tip Shot (8 PTS)32
56.2%
27
43.8%
Q2 - 10:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)32
58.3%
25
41.7%
Q2 - 10:52DETMISS Billups Layup32
60.2%
25
39.8%
Q2 - 11:10DALDelk Layup (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)32
57.8%
25
42.2%
Q2 - 11:14DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
55.4%
25
44.6%
Q2 - 11:17DETMISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot30
54.7%
25
45.3%
Q2 - 11:29DETHam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
53.1%
25
46.9%
Q2 - 11:31DALMISS Delk 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
53.8%
25
46.2%
Q2 - 11:48DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
55.5%
25
44.5%
Q2 - 11:48DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
55.8%
24
44.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL30
57.9%
23
42.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound30
60.2%
23
39.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot30
58.1%
23
41.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
59.4%
23
40.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot30
58.1%
23
41.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
59.4%
23
40.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot30
58.9%
23
41.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0DETPISTONS Rebound30
57.6%
23
42.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot30
58.9%
23
41.1%
Q1 - 0:59.0DALDaniels Layup (9 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)30
57.6%
23
42.4%
Q1 - 1:08DETAtkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)28
54.7%
23
45.3%
Q1 - 1:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)28
59.8%
20
40.2%
Q1 - 1:13DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot28
61.1%
20
38.9%
Q1 - 1:35DALDaniels Layup (7 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)28
59.8%
20
40.2%
Q1 - 1:47DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
57.0%
20
43.0%
Q1 - 1:50DALMISS Jamison 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
55.8%
20
44.2%
Q1 - 2:05DETWallace Layup (6 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)26
57.2%
20
42.8%
Q1 - 2:23DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)26
59.6%
18
40.4%
Q1 - 2:39DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 124
56.9%
18
43.1%
Q1 - 2:39DETWallace Layup (4 PTS)24
57.2%
18
42.8%
Q1 - 2:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)24
59.7%
16
40.3%
Q1 - 2:41DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot24
61.1%
16
38.9%
Q1 - 2:45DALWallace STEAL (1 STL)24
59.7%
16
40.3%
Q1 - 2:50DETHam Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
61.7%
16
38.3%
Q1 - 2:52DETHam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
59.7%
16
40.3%
Q1 - 2:56DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot24
61.1%
16
38.9%
Q1 - 3:21DALNash Layup (9 PTS)24
58.6%
16
41.4%
Q1 - 3:42DETPrince Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)22
56.7%
16
43.3%
Q1 - 3:48DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
58.7%
14
41.3%
Q1 - 3:50DALMISS Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
59.4%
14
40.6%
Q1 - 4:04DETBillups Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
60.7%
14
39.3%
Q1 - 4:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)22
58.1%
14
41.9%
Q1 - 4:08DALOkur BLOCK (1 BLK)22
58.9%
14
41.1%
Q1 - 4:15DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)22
60.7%
14
39.3%
Q1 - 4:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)22
58.1%
14
41.9%
Q1 - 4:43DETMISS Okur Dunk22
59.9%
14
40.1%
Q1 - 5:02DALDaniels 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)22
57.2%
14
42.8%
Q1 - 5:22DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
55.4%
14
44.6%
Q1 - 5:24DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot20
54.7%
14
45.3%
Q1 - 5:29DALOkur STEAL (1 STL)20
53.1%
14
46.9%
Q1 - 5:41DALMavericks Rebound20
55.5%
14
44.5%
Q1 - 5:42DETMISS Wallace Hook Shot20
54.8%
14
45.2%
Q1 - 5:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
53.1%
14
46.9%
Q1 - 5:46DETMISS Billups Layup20
54.8%
14
45.2%
Q1 - 6:00DALNowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)20
53.2%
14
46.8%
Q1 - 6:13DETBillups 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)17
48.6%
14
51.4%
Q1 - 6:27DETPISTONS Rebound17
52.5%
11
47.5%
Q1 - 6:29DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot17
54.0%
11
46.0%
Q1 - 6:54DALDaniels Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)17
52.6%
11
47.4%
Q1 - 6:54DALDaniels Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)16
50.5%
11
49.5%
Q1 - 7:16DETHamilton Layup (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)14
48.1%
11
51.9%
Q1 - 7:34DALNash 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)14
49.8%
9
50.2%
Q1 - 7:41DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
48.1%
9
51.9%
Q1 - 7:43DETMISS Okur Layup12
47.5%
9
52.5%
Q1 - 8:03DALNash 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
46.2%
9
53.8%
Q1 - 8:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
42.6%
9
57.4%
Q1 - 8:21DETMISS Hamilton 7' Jump Shot9
42.0%
9
58.0%
Q1 - 8:38DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)9
40.6%
9
59.4%
Q1 - 8:40DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
39.0%
9
61.0%
Q1 - 8:43DALMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
37.6%
9
62.4%
Q1 - 8:53DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
39.0%
9
61.0%
Q1 - 8:55DETMISS Prince 28' 3PT Jump Shot7
38.4%
9
61.6%
Q1 - 9:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
36.6%
9
63.4%
Q1 - 9:04DETMISS Billups 11' Jump Shot7
38.2%
9
61.8%
Q1 - 9:18DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
36.6%
9
63.4%
Q1 - 9:19DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 27
37.0%
9
63.0%
Q1 - 9:19DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
38.2%
9
61.8%
Q1 - 9:30DETHamilton Layup (2 PTS)6
37.1%
9
62.9%
Q1 - 9:34DALHamilton STEAL (1 STL)6
38.4%
7
61.6%
Q1 - 9:49DETHamilton Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)6
40.8%
7
59.2%
Q1 - 9:49DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
38.5%
7
61.5%
Q1 - 9:51DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot6
39.2%
7
60.8%
Q1 - 10:02DETBillups 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)6
40.5%
7
59.5%
Q1 - 10:28DALFinley 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
43.9%
4
56.1%
Q1 - 10:46DETPrince Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)4
42.4%
4
57.6%
Q1 - 10:50DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 10:52DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
44.6%
2
55.4%
Q1 - 11:07DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
45.7%
2
54.3%
Q1 - 11:07DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
46.5%
1
53.5%
Q1 - 11:24DALNash 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
47.7%
0
52.3%
Q1 - 11:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
45.7%
0
54.3%
Q1 - 11:32DETMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot2
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 11:48DALWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)2
44.0%
0
56.0%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Nowitzki: Tip to Nash0
42.1%
0
57.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.04 52.0%
DET
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
18
29
62%
DET
21
30
70%
Midrange
DAL
17
30
57%
DET
6
28
21%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
5
7.5
24
21%
31%
DET
13
19.5
20
65%
98%
Free Throws
DAL
17
23
74%
DET
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Nash1864%9.0 / 14
M. Daniels1657%8.0 / 14
T. Delk1680%8.0 / 10
A. Jamison1554%7.5 / 14
D. Nowitzki1458%7.0 / 12
A. Walker935%4.5 / 13
M. Finley627%3.0 / 11
T. Best467%2.0 / 3
D. Fortson467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2764%13.5 / 21
C. Atkins1890%9.0 / 10
B. Wallace1771%8.5 / 12
R. Hamilton1647%8.0 / 17
T. Prince1470%7.0 / 10
M. Okur732%3.5 / 11
E. Campbell770%3.5 / 5
C. Williamson563%2.5 / 4
B. Sura233%1.0 / 3
D. Milicic250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
83
+15
-9
98
DET
79
+17
-15
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.04 52.0%
DET
1.19 59.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.8
99.1
DAL 110.9
DET 122.3 +11.5
Pace
95.3
90.5
DAL 100.3 +13.5
DET 86.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.9
DAL 14.4 +2.2
DET 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
46.1%
DAL 51.2%
DET 59.6% +8.4%
TO %
12.3%
15.8%
DAL 8.8% +6.1%
DET 14.9%
ORB %
31.4%
30.2%
DAL 25.0%
DET 33.3% +8.3%
FTrt
25.6
32.8
DAL 27.7
DET 38.5 +10.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.1%
62.0%
DAL 50.0%
DET 70.0% +20.0%
STL %
8.3%
8.9%
DAL 7.6%
DET 8.5% +0.9%
BLK %
8.2%
11.0%
DAL 1.7%
DET 11.9% +10.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.86 and 2.86.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.4%
48.5%
DAL 52.0%
DET 59.3% +7.3%
Rim FG%
59.0%
54.7%
DAL 62.1%
DET 70.0% +7.9%
Mid FG%
41.4%
37.6%
DAL 56.7% +35.3%
DET 21.4%
3P %
34.8%
34.4%
DAL 20.8%
DET 65.0% +44.2%
FT %
79.6%
75.3%
DAL 73.9% +0.6%
DET 73.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
37.4%
DAL 34.9%
DET 38.5% +3.5%
Mid Att. %
46.4%
47.3%
DAL 36.1%
DET 35.9% +0.2%
3P Att. %
20.1%
15.3%
DAL 28.9% +3.3%
DET 25.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALDET
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points102115
Rebounds3540
Assists2028
Steals78
Blocks17
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (6)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)27 (6)
Field Goals40-8340-78
At-the-Rim FG18-2921-30
Midrange FG17-306-28
2-Point FG35-5927-58
3-Point FG5-2413-20
Free Throws17-2322-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 31
35.1
6
27%
7
2
0
0
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 200 · 23
34.4
16
57%
0
1
1
0
1
2
0
0
4-5
80%
6-9
67%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 178 · 30
34.2
18
64%
4
10
1
0
3
2
2
2
0-0
-
6-9
67%
2-5
40%
C · 7'0" 245 · 26
33.0
14
58%
15
3
1
0
1
3
2
13
1-2
50%
5-8
63%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 245 · 27
30.3
9
35%
6
2
0
0
2
2
2
4
1-4
25%
4-6
67%
0-5
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
29.6
15
54%
0
0
3
0
1
2
0
0
3-4
75%
6-10
60%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 189 · 30
15.7
16
80%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
4-4
100%
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
C · 7'6" 275 · 32
8.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
8.1
4
67%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 28
8.0
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 29
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
52%
35
20
7
1
9
0
9
26
17-23
74%
35-59
59%
5-24
21%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.