FinalWin Prob.pScore
371%99
105
2729%92
94
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
108.29789.5
ORL logo ORL
97.996105.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL105
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)105
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASMISS Duncan 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)105
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)105
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASMISS Parker 9' Running Jump Shot105
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)105
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLGooden Tip Shot (23 PTS)105
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLMISS McGrady Layup105
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01SASParker 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)105
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15SASMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)103
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18ORLMISS McGrady 20' Fadeaway Jumper103
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32SASDuncan Layup (47 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)103
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 1:42ORLMcGrady Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T11)101
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 1:48SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (45 PTS)101
99.1%
92
0.9%
Q4 - 1:48SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (44 PTS)100
99.0%
92
1.0%
Q4 - 2:03SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)99
98.7%
92
1.3%
Q4 - 2:06ORLMISS McGrady Layup99
98.5%
92
1.5%
Q4 - 2:18ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)99
97.6%
92
2.4%
Q4 - 2:20SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot99
98.0%
92
2.0%
Q4 - 2:28SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)99
98.8%
92
1.2%
Q4 - 2:30SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
98.0%
92
2.0%
Q4 - 2:51ORLGooden Layup (21 PTS)99
98.1%
92
1.9%
Q4 - 2:54ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)99
98.6%
90
1.4%
Q4 - 2:56ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot99
99.0%
90
1.0%
Q4 - 3:16SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (43 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)99
98.6%
90
1.4%
Q4 - 3:33SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
96.9%
90
3.1%
Q4 - 3:35SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot97
96.0%
90
4.0%
Q4 - 3:56ORLMISS Giricek Free Throw 1 of 197
96.9%
90
3.1%
Q4 - 3:56ORLGiricek 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)97
97.1%
90
2.9%
Q4 - 4:11SASDuncan Layup (41 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)97
98.0%
88
2.0%
Q4 - 4:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)95
97.2%
88
2.8%
Q4 - 4:29ORLMISS Lue 6' Running Jump Shot95
96.8%
88
3.2%
Q4 - 4:34ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)95
95.8%
88
4.2%
Q4 - 4:35SASMISS Mercer 6' Jump Shot95
96.3%
88
3.7%
Q4 - 4:41ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)95
97.2%
88
2.8%
Q4 - 4:58SASParker Driving Layup (6 PTS)95
95.9%
88
4.1%
Q4 - 5:03SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
92.9%
88
7.1%
Q4 - 5:05ORLMISS Gooden 6' Jump Shot93
92.2%
88
7.8%
Q4 - 5:30SASDuncan Driving Layup (39 PTS)93
90.4%
88
9.6%
Q4 - 5:49SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
87.2%
88
12.8%
Q4 - 5:51ORLMISS McGrady 9' Running Jump Shot91
86.0%
88
14.0%
Q4 - 6:03ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)91
82.0%
88
18.0%
Q4 - 6:05ORLMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot91
85.3%
88
14.7%
Q4 - 6:18ORLLue Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)91
82.1%
88
17.9%
Q4 - 6:41SASParker Driving Layup (4 PTS)91
86.1%
87
13.9%
Q4 - 6:47SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
82.7%
87
17.3%
Q4 - 6:49ORLMISS Giricek 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
81.1%
87
18.9%
Q4 - 6:51ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)89
77.2%
87
22.8%
Q4 - 6:54ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
81.1%
87
18.9%
Q4 - 7:18SASNesterovic 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)89
77.5%
87
22.5%
Q4 - 7:35ORLHoward 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)87
73.0%
87
27.0%
Q4 - 7:46SASMercer 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Horry 3 AST)87
77.4%
85
22.6%
Q4 - 7:53SASMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
73.0%
85
27.0%
Q4 - 7:56ORLMISS Lue Layup85
71.0%
85
29.0%
Q4 - 8:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
66.8%
85
33.2%
Q4 - 8:04SASMISS Horry 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
68.6%
85
31.4%
Q4 - 8:16SASSpurs Rebound85
72.3%
85
27.7%
Q4 - 8:17ORLMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot85
70.7%
85
29.3%
Q4 - 8:24ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
66.9%
85
33.1%
Q4 - 8:26SASMISS Mercer 22' Jump Shot85
68.6%
85
31.4%
Q4 - 8:44ORLHoward 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS)85
72.4%
85
27.6%
Q4 - 9:09SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)85
77.2%
83
22.8%
Q4 - 9:09SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 284
76.4%
83
23.6%
Q4 - 9:10SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
77.4%
83
22.6%
Q4 - 9:13ORLMISS McGrady 5' Jump Shot84
76.0%
83
24.0%
Q4 - 9:20ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)84
72.7%
83
27.3%
Q4 - 9:22SASMISS Mercer 15' Jump Shot84
74.2%
83
25.8%
Q4 - 9:37ORLGiricek Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)84
77.4%
83
22.6%
Q4 - 9:37ORLMISS Giricek Free Throw 1 of 284
78.1%
82
21.9%
Q4 - 9:42ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)84
77.2%
82
22.8%
Q4 - 9:45ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot84
80.1%
82
19.9%
Q4 - 10:00SASDuncan Layup (37 PTS)84
77.2%
82
22.8%
Q4 - 10:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)82
72.7%
82
27.3%
Q4 - 10:03SASGooden BLOCK (2 BLK)82
69.2%
82
30.8%
Q4 - 10:24ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)82
72.8%
82
27.2%
Q4 - 10:24ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)82
73.6%
81
26.4%
Q4 - 10:36SASMercer 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)82
76.7%
80
23.3%
Q4 - 10:45ORLDeClercq Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)80
72.8%
80
27.2%
Q4 - 11:07SASMercer Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)80
67.1%
80
32.9%
Q4 - 11:07SASMercer Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Hart 1 AST)79
62.2%
80
37.8%
Q4 - 11:09SASHart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
57.2%
80
42.8%
Q4 - 11:11ORLMISS DeClercq 16' Jump Shot77
55.5%
80
44.5%
Q4 - 11:36SASMercer 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)77
51.6%
80
48.4%
Q4 - 11:43SASSpurs Rebound75
46.4%
80
53.6%
Q4 - 11:45SASMISS Mercer 18' Jump Shot75
42.5%
80
57.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS75
46.4%
80
53.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound75
46.4%
80
53.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot75
42.5%
80
57.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)75
48.6%
80
51.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 275
49.9%
79
50.1%
Q3 - 0:22.0SASHart Layup (2 PTS)75
48.4%
79
51.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)73
43.3%
79
56.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (35 PTS)73
38.2%
79
61.8%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 272
37.0%
79
63.0%
Q3 - 1:01ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)72
40.8%
79
59.2%
Q3 - 1:01ORLMcGrady Driving Layup (25 PTS)72
45.6%
78
54.4%
Q3 - 1:28SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (34 PTS)72
50.2%
76
49.8%
Q3 - 1:46SASSpurs Rebound70
45.4%
76
54.6%
Q3 - 1:47ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
43.9%
76
56.1%
Q3 - 2:13SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 170
42.4%
76
57.6%
Q3 - 2:13SASDuncan Dunk (32 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)70
41.8%
76
58.2%
Q3 - 2:24ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
37.7%
76
62.3%
Q3 - 2:24ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)68
38.8%
75
61.2%
Q3 - 2:24ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
41.7%
74
58.3%
Q3 - 2:25ORLMISS McGrady Layup68
45.2%
74
54.8%
Q3 - 2:31ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
41.7%
74
58.3%
Q3 - 2:33SASHarvey BLOCK (2 BLK)68
43.2%
74
56.8%
Q3 - 2:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)68
46.7%
74
53.3%
Q3 - 2:53ORLMISS Gooden Free Throw 2 of 268
46.0%
74
54.0%
Q3 - 2:53ORLGooden Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)68
43.3%
74
56.7%
Q3 - 2:53ORLMAGIC Rebound68
46.3%
73
53.7%
Q3 - 2:54SASMISS Horry Free Throw 2 of 268
47.0%
73
53.0%
Q3 - 2:54SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)68
49.9%
73
50.1%
Q3 - 2:54SASSpurs Rebound67
46.7%
73
53.3%
Q3 - 2:54ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
45.2%
73
54.8%
Q3 - 3:00ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
41.7%
73
58.3%
Q3 - 3:02SASMISS Turkoglu Running Layup67
44.8%
73
55.2%
Q3 - 3:22ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)67
48.0%
73
52.0%
Q3 - 3:22ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)67
48.8%
72
51.2%
Q3 - 3:40SASMercer 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)67
52.1%
71
47.9%
Q3 - 4:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
49.6%
71
50.4%
Q3 - 4:04ORLMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot65
48.0%
71
52.0%
Q3 - 4:19SASDuncan Dunk (30 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)65
44.5%
71
55.5%
Q3 - 4:32ORLMcGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)63
40.9%
71
59.1%
Q3 - 4:38SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)63
48.8%
68
51.2%
Q3 - 4:54ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)63
53.7%
68
46.3%
Q3 - 4:54ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)63
54.5%
67
45.5%
Q3 - 5:03ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
58.4%
66
41.6%
Q3 - 5:04SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot63
59.7%
66
40.3%
Q3 - 5:24ORLHoward 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)63
62.6%
66
37.4%
Q3 - 5:45SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 163
66.7%
64
33.3%
Q3 - 5:45SASDuncan Layup (28 PTS)63
66.1%
64
33.9%
Q3 - 6:06ORLHoward 7' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)61
63.3%
64
36.7%
Q3 - 6:22ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
66.7%
62
33.3%
Q3 - 6:23SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot61
67.8%
62
32.2%
Q3 - 6:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
70.4%
62
29.6%
Q3 - 6:41ORLMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot61
69.2%
62
30.8%
Q3 - 6:48ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
66.6%
62
33.4%
Q3 - 6:49SASMISS Duncan Layup61
67.8%
62
32.2%
Q3 - 6:58SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
70.3%
62
29.7%
Q3 - 7:00ORLMISS Giricek 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
69.2%
62
30.8%
Q3 - 7:18ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
66.4%
62
33.6%
Q3 - 7:20SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot61
67.6%
62
32.4%
Q3 - 7:46ORLDeClercq Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)61
70.2%
62
29.8%
Q3 - 7:59SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)61
72.9%
60
27.1%
Q3 - 7:59SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)60
72.2%
60
27.8%
Q3 - 8:15ORLMcGrady Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)59
70.7%
60
29.3%
Q3 - 8:15ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)59
71.3%
59
28.7%
Q3 - 8:15ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 3 (14 PTS)59
72.0%
58
28.0%
Q3 - 8:17ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
76.2%
57
23.8%
Q3 - 8:19SASMISS Horry 14' Jump Shot59
77.2%
57
22.8%
Q3 - 8:34ORLLue Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)59
79.2%
57
20.8%
Q3 - 8:34ORLLue Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Giricek 4 AST)59
81.6%
56
18.4%
Q3 - 8:37SASGiricek STEAL (2 STL)59
83.4%
54
16.6%
Q3 - 8:52ORLLue 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)59
85.7%
54
14.3%
Q3 - 9:00SASMcGrady STEAL (3 STL)59
88.8%
51
11.2%
Q3 - 9:16ORLDeClercq Dunk (4 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)59
90.2%
51
9.8%
Q3 - 9:26ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
91.4%
49
8.6%
Q3 - 9:28SASMISS Nesterovic 13' Jump Shot59
91.7%
49
8.3%
Q3 - 9:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
92.5%
49
7.5%
Q3 - 9:45ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot59
92.2%
49
7.8%
Q3 - 10:07SASBowen Foul Turnover (P2.T11)59
91.2%
49
8.8%
Q3 - 10:11ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)59
92.4%
49
7.6%
Q3 - 10:19SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)59
91.2%
49
8.8%
Q3 - 10:19SASNesterovic Tip Shot (10 PTS)59
91.2%
49
8.8%
Q3 - 10:21SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot57
89.1%
49
10.9%
Q3 - 10:47ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)57
90.2%
49
9.8%
Q3 - 10:47ORLMcGrady Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)57
91.4%
48
8.6%
Q3 - 10:57SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)57
92.3%
46
7.7%
Q3 - 11:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
93.3%
46
6.7%
Q3 - 11:09ORLMISS DeClercq 8' Jump Shot57
93.0%
46
7.0%
Q3 - 11:28SASDuncan Layup (24 PTS)57
92.3%
46
7.7%
Q3 - 11:47ORLLue 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)55
91.3%
46
8.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS55
92.3%
44
7.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound55
93.3%
44
6.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
92.6%
44
7.4%
Q2 - 0:08.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)55
92.8%
44
7.2%
Q2 - 0:08.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 255
92.9%
43
7.1%
Q2 - 0:13.0SASGooden STEAL (2 STL)55
93.0%
43
7.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0ORLGooden 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)55
93.6%
43
6.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0SASDuncan 10' Jump Shot (22 PTS)55
94.6%
41
5.4%
Q2 - 1:06ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)53
93.3%
41
6.7%
Q2 - 1:19SASMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)53
92.8%
41
7.2%
Q2 - 1:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
93.3%
41
6.7%
Q2 - 1:27SASMISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
93.0%
41
7.0%
Q2 - 1:40ORLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
93.3%
41
6.7%
Q2 - 1:40ORLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
93.4%
40
6.6%
Q2 - 1:48SASNesterovic 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
94.4%
39
5.6%
Q2 - 2:09ORLHoward Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Giricek 3 AST)51
93.2%
39
6.8%
Q2 - 2:14SASGooden STEAL (1 STL)51
94.0%
37
6.0%
Q2 - 2:36ORLGooden 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Giricek 2 AST)51
94.6%
37
5.4%
Q2 - 2:41ORLGiricek REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
95.2%
35
4.8%
Q2 - 2:43SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot51
95.4%
35
4.6%
Q2 - 3:02ORLHoward 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gooden 1 AST)51
95.5%
35
4.5%
Q2 - 3:20SASParker Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)51
95.9%
33
4.1%
Q2 - 3:39ORLLue 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)49
95.5%
33
4.5%
Q2 - 3:58SASNesterovic 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)49
95.9%
31
4.1%
Q2 - 4:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
95.2%
31
4.8%
Q2 - 4:07ORLMISS Gooden 6' Jump Shot47
95.1%
31
4.9%
Q2 - 4:08ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
94.7%
31
5.3%
Q2 - 4:11ORLMISS McGrady Layup47
95.1%
31
4.9%
Q2 - 4:22SASDuncan 6' Jump Bank Shot (20 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)47
94.7%
31
5.3%
Q2 - 4:34ORLGiricek Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)45
94.1%
31
5.9%
Q2 - 4:53SASDuncan 10' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)45
93.4%
31
6.6%
Q2 - 5:13ORLGooden Driving Layup (11 PTS)43
92.6%
31
7.4%
Q2 - 5:19SASGiricek STEAL (1 STL)43
93.2%
29
6.8%
Q2 - 5:40ORLGooden 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)43
94.0%
29
6.0%
Q2 - 5:57SASSpurs Rebound43
94.5%
27
5.5%
Q2 - 5:57SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)43
94.5%
27
5.5%
Q2 - 5:58SASMISS Horry 18' Jump Shot43
94.7%
27
5.3%
Q2 - 5:59SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
95.1%
27
4.9%
Q2 - 6:01SASLue BLOCK (1 BLK)43
94.5%
27
5.5%
Q2 - 6:20SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
95.0%
27
5.0%
Q2 - 6:23ORLMISS Giricek Layup43
94.8%
27
5.2%
Q2 - 6:47SASTurkoglu Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)43
94.3%
27
5.7%
Q2 - 7:02ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
93.4%
27
6.6%
Q2 - 7:02ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
93.6%
26
6.4%
Q2 - 7:21SASHorry 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)41
94.0%
25
6.0%
Q2 - 7:33SASSpurs Rebound39
93.5%
25
6.5%
Q2 - 7:34SASMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
93.0%
25
7.0%
Q2 - 7:49ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)39
93.5%
25
6.5%
Q2 - 8:01SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)39
92.5%
25
7.5%
Q2 - 8:01SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 238
92.4%
25
7.6%
Q2 - 8:12SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
92.6%
25
7.4%
Q2 - 8:14ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
92.4%
25
7.6%
Q2 - 8:27SASTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)38
91.8%
25
8.2%
Q2 - 8:40SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
92.6%
25
7.4%
Q2 - 8:41SASMISS Ginobili 5' Fadeaway Jumper38
92.0%
25
8.0%
Q2 - 8:54SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
92.6%
25
7.4%
Q2 - 8:55ORLMISS DeClercq 7' Hook Shot38
92.4%
25
7.6%
Q2 - 9:13SASTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)38
91.6%
25
8.4%
Q2 - 9:22SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
90.0%
25
10.0%
Q2 - 9:25ORLMISS Harvey 8' Hook Shot35
89.7%
25
10.3%
Q2 - 9:40SASHorry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
88.9%
25
11.1%
Q2 - 9:40SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)34
88.7%
25
11.3%
Q2 - 9:52ORLGooden 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
88.0%
25
12.0%
Q2 - 10:01ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
88.6%
23
11.4%
Q2 - 10:03SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot33
89.0%
23
11.0%
Q2 - 10:07SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
89.7%
23
10.3%
Q2 - 10:08SASMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot33
89.0%
23
11.0%
Q2 - 10:22ORLGooden 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS)33
89.7%
23
10.3%
Q2 - 10:35SASDuncan Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)33
90.5%
21
9.5%
Q2 - 10:48ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)31
89.7%
21
10.3%
Q2 - 11:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
88.6%
21
11.4%
Q2 - 11:10SASDuncan Layup (14 PTS)31
88.6%
21
11.4%
Q2 - 11:14SASMISS Hart Layup29
86.8%
21
13.2%
Q2 - 11:19ORLStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)29
87.6%
21
12.4%
Q2 - 11:23ORLGooden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
86.5%
21
13.5%
Q2 - 11:25SASHarvey BLOCK (1 BLK)29
86.8%
21
13.2%
Q2 - 11:27SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
87.6%
21
12.4%
Q2 - 11:29SASGooden BLOCK (1 BLK)29
86.8%
21
13.2%
Q2 - 11:41SASSpurs Rebound29
87.6%
21
12.4%
Q2 - 11:42ORLMISS Gooden 19' Jump Shot29
87.3%
21
12.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS29
86.5%
21
13.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
87.2%
21
12.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Gooden 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
86.9%
21
13.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASHorry Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)29
86.4%
21
13.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASHorry 10' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)28
85.2%
21
14.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLGiricek Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)26
83.7%
21
16.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLGiricek Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
83.9%
20
16.1%
Q1 - 0:48.0SASTurkoglu 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)26
85.2%
19
14.8%
Q1 - 1:02ORLGooden Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
83.7%
19
16.3%
Q1 - 1:02ORLMISS Gooden Free Throw 1 of 224
84.1%
18
15.9%
Q1 - 1:20SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)24
84.0%
18
16.0%
Q1 - 1:35ORLGooden 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS)21
81.0%
18
19.0%
Q1 - 2:06SASHorry Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)21
82.8%
16
17.2%
Q1 - 2:18SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
81.3%
16
18.7%
Q1 - 2:20SASMISS Horry 20' Jump Shot19
80.3%
16
19.7%
Q1 - 2:28SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
81.3%
16
18.7%
Q1 - 2:31ORLMISS Hunter 5' Jump Shot19
80.9%
16
19.1%
Q1 - 3:01SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)19
79.7%
16
20.3%
Q1 - 3:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
76.8%
16
23.2%
Q1 - 3:13ORLMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot16
76.3%
16
23.7%
Q1 - 3:26ORLMAGIC Rebound16
75.0%
16
25.0%
Q1 - 3:26SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot16
75.6%
16
24.4%
Q1 - 3:44ORLMcGrady Driving Layup (8 PTS)16
76.8%
16
23.2%
Q1 - 3:50SASMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)16
78.2%
14
21.8%
Q1 - 4:01SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
80.2%
14
19.8%
Q1 - 4:03ORLMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot16
79.6%
14
20.4%
Q1 - 4:17SASNesterovic Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)16
78.4%
14
21.6%
Q1 - 4:34SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)14
77.2%
14
22.8%
Q1 - 4:36SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)14
77.2%
14
22.8%
Q1 - 4:36SASMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot14
75.8%
14
24.2%
Q1 - 4:37SASMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot14
75.8%
14
24.2%
Q1 - 4:52SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
77.2%
14
22.8%
Q1 - 4:55ORLMISS Gooden 9' Hook Shot14
76.6%
14
23.4%
Q1 - 5:02ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
75.7%
14
24.3%
Q1 - 5:06SASMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)14
76.2%
14
23.8%
Q1 - 5:28ORLMcGrady Driving Dunk (6 PTS)14
77.3%
14
22.7%
Q1 - 5:40SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)14
78.6%
12
21.4%
Q1 - 5:40SASDuncan 8' Hook Shot (11 PTS)13
77.2%
12
22.8%
Q1 - 5:48SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
75.8%
12
24.2%
Q1 - 5:53ORLMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot11
75.3%
12
24.7%
Q1 - 6:00SASMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot11
74.6%
12
25.4%
Q1 - 6:00ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
74.1%
12
25.9%
Q1 - 6:01SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
75.8%
12
24.2%
Q1 - 6:02SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot11
74.7%
12
25.3%
Q1 - 6:23ORLMcGrady 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
75.8%
12
24.2%
Q1 - 6:32SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)11
77.2%
10
22.8%
Q1 - 6:48ORLMcGrady Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)11
78.7%
10
21.3%
Q1 - 6:50ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
79.9%
8
20.1%
Q1 - 6:52ORLMISS Giricek 19' Jump Shot11
80.9%
8
19.1%
Q1 - 7:13ORLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
79.9%
8
20.1%
Q1 - 7:15SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot11
80.3%
8
19.7%
Q1 - 7:33ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Giricek 1 AST)11
81.3%
8
18.7%
Q1 - 7:44SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)11
82.3%
6
17.7%
Q1 - 7:44SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 210
82.0%
6
18.0%
Q1 - 7:54SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
82.4%
6
17.6%
Q1 - 7:56ORLMISS McGrady 9' Jump Shot10
82.0%
6
18.0%
Q1 - 8:12ORLMAGIC Rebound10
81.6%
6
18.4%
Q1 - 8:12SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot10
82.0%
6
18.0%
Q1 - 8:25SASSpurs Rebound10
82.8%
6
17.2%
Q1 - 8:25ORLMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
82.5%
6
17.5%
Q1 - 8:39SASDuncan 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS)10
81.6%
6
18.4%
Q1 - 8:51SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
80.5%
6
19.5%
Q1 - 8:53ORLMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot8
80.1%
6
19.9%
Q1 - 9:04SASDuncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)8
79.0%
6
21.0%
Q1 - 9:09SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
78.1%
6
21.9%
Q1 - 9:09SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 26
76.6%
6
23.4%
Q1 - 9:09SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 26
77.5%
6
22.5%
Q1 - 9:19ORLDeClercq 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
78.1%
6
21.9%
Q1 - 9:21ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
79.0%
4
21.0%
Q1 - 9:23ORLMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot6
80.1%
4
19.9%
Q1 - 9:34SASDeClercq STEAL (1 STL)6
79.0%
4
21.0%
Q1 - 9:41SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
80.6%
4
19.4%
Q1 - 9:43ORLMISS DeClercq Layup6
80.1%
4
19.9%
Q1 - 9:59SASNesterovic 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
79.1%
4
20.9%
Q1 - 10:23ORLGiricek 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)4
78.0%
4
22.0%
Q1 - 10:36SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
79.1%
2
20.9%
Q1 - 10:36SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
78.8%
2
21.2%
Q1 - 10:52ORLLue Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
78.0%
2
22.0%
Q1 - 11:15SASDuncan 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
79.2%
0
20.8%
Q1 - 11:27ORLMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
77.9%
0
22.1%
Q1 - 11:39ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
76.7%
0
23.3%
Q1 - 11:41SASMISS Nesterovic 12' Jump Shot0
77.1%
0
22.9%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball DeClercq vs. Duncan: Tip to Parker0
77.9%
0
22.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.00 50.0%
ORL
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
19
28
68%
ORL
14
23
61%
Midrange
SAS
21
49
43%
ORL
17
42
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
ORL
2
3.0
11
18%
27%
Free Throws
SAS
16
25
64%
ORL
26
32
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan4756%23.5 / 42
R. Nesterovic1255%6.0 / 11
R. Mercer1155%5.5 / 10
R. Horry1045%5.0 / 11
T. Parker840%4.0 / 10
H. Turkoglu758%3.5 / 6
B. Bowen6100%3.0 / 3
M. Ginobili217%1.0 / 6
J. Hart250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2841%14.0 / 34
D. Gooden2361%11.5 / 19
T. Lue1583%7.5 / 9
J. Howard1558%7.5 / 13
G. Giricek744%3.5 / 8
A. DeClercq643%3.0 / 7
D. Harvey0-0.0 / 1
S. Hunter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
84
+20
-13
104
ORL
86
+9
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.00 50.0%
ORL
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.0
100.3
SAS 108.2
ORL 97.9 +10.3
Pace
91.3
93.1
SAS 89.5
ORL 105.5 +16.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.2
SAS 16.1
ORL 13.6 +2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
46.1%
SAS 51.7% +7.0%
ORL 44.7%
TO %
15.4%
13.8%
SAS 12.6%
ORL 10.9% +1.7%
ORB %
29.5%
28.1%
SAS 38.5% +15.4%
ORL 23.1%
FTrt
32.2
29.6
SAS 29.1
ORL 42.1 +13.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.0%
54.5%
SAS 53.5% +8.0%
ORL 45.5%
STL %
8.8%
7.1%
SAS 8.2%
ORL 9.4% +1.2%
BLK %
9.9%
5.6%
SAS 9.2% +1.4%
ORL 7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.6%
48.1%
SAS 50.0% +0.5%
ORL 49.5%
Rim FG%
57.6%
52.9%
SAS 67.9% +7.0%
ORL 60.9%
Mid FG%
37.0%
40.2%
SAS 42.9% +2.4%
ORL 40.5%
3P %
35.8%
34.4%
SAS 33.3% +15.1%
ORL 18.2%
FT %
68.1%
73.7%
SAS 64.0%
ORL 81.3% +17.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.9%
29.7%
SAS 32.6% +2.3%
ORL 30.3%
Mid Att. %
46.4%
51.8%
SAS 57.0%
ORL 55.3% +1.7%
3P Att. %
17.7%
18.4%
SAS 10.5%
ORL 14.5% +4.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsSASORL
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes26.021.8
Points10594
Rebounds4533
Assists2315
Steals89
Blocks66
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (5)9 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (6)24 (3)
Field Goals43-8633-76
At-the-Rim FG19-2814-23
Midrange FG21-4917-42
2-Point FG40-7731-65
3-Point FG3-92-11
Free Throws16-2526-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 28
40.1
47
56%
12
2
0
1
2
3
3
9
9-13
69%
19-32
59%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
39.6
8
40%
4
11
0
0
4
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 28
31.0
12
55%
8
1
2
2
1
3
6
2
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 26
30.7
2
17%
2
3
3
0
2
3
1
1
2-6
33%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 32
29.6
6
100%
4
0
2
0
2
4
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33
24.9
10
45%
6
3
0
3
1
3
2
4
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 220 · 25
18.9
7
58%
6
2
0
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28
16.9
11
55%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 180 · 26
8.4
2
50%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 29
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
50%
45
23
8
6
13
0
15
30
16-25
64%
40-77
52%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.