FinalWin Prob.pScore
341%96
92
259%99
95
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
94.897105.7
DAL logo DAL
100.09587.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL92
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASMISS Duncan 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)90
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALMISS Nash Free Throw 2 of 290
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)90
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound90
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 0:09.0SASMISS Parker 27' 3PT Jump Shot90
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 0:16.0DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)90
3.1%
94
96.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)90
3.3%
93
96.7%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASDuncan Slam Dunk (30 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)90
6.5%
92
93.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
4.4%
92
95.6%
Q4 - 0:29.0DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot88
3.5%
92
96.5%
Q4 - 0:49.0SASBrown 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)88
3.8%
92
96.2%
Q4 - 1:02SASSpurs Rebound85
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 1:03DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 1:25DALNash REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)85
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 1:27SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 1:33SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q4 - 1:35DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot85
2.4%
92
97.6%
Q4 - 1:53DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
2.0%
92
98.0%
Q4 - 1:53SASMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 285
2.1%
92
97.9%
Q4 - 1:53SASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)85
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q4 - 2:09DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)84
2.5%
92
97.5%
Q4 - 2:09DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)84
2.6%
91
97.4%
Q4 - 2:19SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)84
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 2:19SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)83
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 2:29DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)82
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q4 - 2:29DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)82
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 2:47SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)82
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 3:03DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)79
2.1%
88
97.9%
Q4 - 3:03DALMAVERICKS Rebound79
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 3:03DALMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot79
1.8%
88
98.2%
Q4 - 3:27SASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 3:27SASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)78
1.1%
88
98.9%
Q4 - 3:47DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (24 PTS)77
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 4:01DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)77
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 4:03SASMISS Ginobili Running Layup77
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q4 - 4:19SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
3.0%
86
97.0%
Q4 - 4:21DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot77
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q4 - 4:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)77
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 4:42SASDuncan Tip Shot (28 PTS)77
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 4:44SASMISS Nesterovic 19' Jump Shot75
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 4:52SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 4:55DALMISS Walker 10' Jump Shot75
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 5:10DALNash REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 5:13SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 5:22SASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 5:23DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot75
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 5:36SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 5:36SASNesterovic Tip Shot (18 PTS)75
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 5:41SASMISS Brown Layup73
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 5:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)73
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 5:50DALMISS Nash 14' Jump Shot73
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 6:07DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 6:08SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.3%
86
98.7%
Q4 - 6:17SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 6:19DALMISS Walker Layup73
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 6:34SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)73
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 6:34SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)72
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 6:51DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)71
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 6:51DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)71
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q4 - 6:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 6:52DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 7:12DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 7:14SASMISS Ginobili Layup71
1.9%
84
98.1%
Q4 - 7:33DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)71
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 7:33DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)71
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 7:45SASNesterovic Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)71
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 7:45SASNesterovic Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)70
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 8:01DALNowitzki 7' Jump Shot (18 PTS)68
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q4 - 8:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q4 - 8:04DALMISS Walker 10' Jump Shot68
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q4 - 8:21SASBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T13)68
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q4 - 8:22SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q4 - 8:23DALMISS Walker Layup68
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q4 - 8:44SASParker Driving Layup (7 PTS)68
2.8%
80
97.2%
Q4 - 9:03SASSpurs Rebound66
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 9:04DALMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q4 - 9:29SASBrown 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)66
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q4 - 9:46DALBest Layup (4 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)64
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q4 - 9:52SASBest STEAL (3 STL)64
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q4 - 10:12DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)64
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q4 - 10:26DALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)64
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q4 - 10:29SASFinley BLOCK (2 BLK)64
5.2%
75
94.8%
Q4 - 10:37SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q4 - 10:41DALMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
5.7%
75
94.3%
Q4 - 10:47SASBest STEAL (2 STL)64
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q4 - 10:52DALJamison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)64
6.1%
75
93.9%
Q4 - 10:53DALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)64
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q4 - 10:56SASMISS Parker 22' Jump Shot64
5.2%
75
94.8%
Q4 - 11:08DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)64
6.7%
75
93.3%
Q4 - 11:19DALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
5.4%
75
94.6%
Q4 - 11:20SASMISS Rose 6' Jump Shot64
5.8%
75
94.2%
Q4 - 11:34DALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)64
6.7%
75
93.3%
Q4 - 11:34DALWalker Tip Shot (22 PTS)64
6.7%
75
93.3%
Q4 - 11:36DALMISS Finley 6' Hook Shot64
9.4%
73
90.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS64
8.1%
73
91.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound64
10.0%
73
90.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Carter 51' 3PT Jump Shot64
8.6%
73
91.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0DALFortson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)64
10.9%
73
89.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0DALFortson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)64
11.3%
72
88.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0DALFortson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)64
13.0%
71
87.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0DALMISS Finley 8' Fadeaway Jumper64
14.7%
71
85.3%
Q3 - 0:28.0DALFortson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
13.0%
71
87.0%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASNajera BLOCK (1 BLK)64
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
15.4%
71
84.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0DALMISS Best 22' Jump Shot64
14.6%
71
85.4%
Q3 - 1:01DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)64
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q3 - 1:02SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 264
14.1%
71
85.9%
Q3 - 1:02SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)64
15.6%
71
84.4%
Q3 - 1:21DALWalker Layup (20 PTS)63
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q3 - 1:34DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
16.2%
69
83.8%
Q3 - 1:35SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 263
16.6%
69
83.4%
Q3 - 1:35SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
18.5%
69
81.5%
Q3 - 1:35DALMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 162
15.9%
69
84.1%
Q3 - 1:35DALNajera Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Best 3 AST)62
16.3%
69
83.7%
Q3 - 1:45DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)62
19.0%
67
81.0%
Q3 - 1:46SASMISS Ginobili 10' Running Jump Shot62
20.0%
67
80.0%
Q3 - 2:11SASCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
22.8%
67
77.2%
Q3 - 2:12DALMISS Walker Layup62
21.7%
67
78.3%
Q3 - 2:26SASCarter 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)62
19.4%
67
80.6%
Q3 - 2:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)60
16.9%
67
83.1%
Q3 - 2:50DALMISS Finley Free Throw 2 of 260
16.5%
67
83.5%
Q3 - 2:50DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)60
14.7%
67
85.3%
Q3 - 3:04DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
17.4%
66
82.6%
Q3 - 3:06SASMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot60
18.3%
66
81.7%
Q3 - 3:19SASSpurs Rebound60
20.3%
66
79.7%
Q3 - 3:20DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot60
19.4%
66
80.6%
Q3 - 3:42DALFinley Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
17.4%
66
82.6%
Q3 - 3:42DALFinley Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (12 PTS)60
17.7%
65
82.3%
Q3 - 3:45SASFinley STEAL (4 STL)60
23.1%
64
76.9%
Q3 - 4:01SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
27.0%
64
73.0%
Q3 - 4:04DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot60
25.8%
64
74.2%
Q3 - 4:25SASNesterovic Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)60
23.3%
64
76.7%
Q3 - 4:36DALNowitzki 23' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)58
20.7%
64
79.3%
Q3 - 4:48SASNesterovic 5' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)58
23.3%
62
76.7%
Q3 - 5:06DALWalker 10' Hook Shot (18 PTS)56
21.2%
62
78.8%
Q3 - 5:26SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)56
23.9%
60
76.1%
Q3 - 5:26SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)55
23.2%
60
76.8%
Q3 - 5:39SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
21.2%
60
78.8%
Q3 - 5:41DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot54
20.3%
60
79.7%
Q3 - 5:47DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
18.3%
60
81.7%
Q3 - 5:50SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
19.1%
60
80.9%
Q3 - 5:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)54
21.2%
60
78.8%
Q3 - 5:59DALMISS Nash 9' Fadeaway Jumper54
20.3%
60
79.7%
Q3 - 6:15SASGinobili Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)54
18.8%
60
81.2%
Q3 - 6:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)53
16.5%
60
83.5%
Q3 - 6:17SASDuncan Layup (21 PTS)53
16.5%
60
83.5%
Q3 - 6:19SASBradley BLOCK (3 BLK)51
13.1%
60
86.9%
Q3 - 6:40DALFinley Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)51
14.5%
60
85.5%
Q3 - 6:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
16.5%
58
83.5%
Q3 - 6:49SASBradley BLOCK (2 BLK)51
17.2%
58
82.8%
Q3 - 6:55SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
19.0%
58
81.0%
Q3 - 6:58DALMISS Walker Driving Layup51
18.2%
58
81.8%
Q3 - 7:03DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
16.8%
58
83.2%
Q3 - 7:05SASMISS Duncan 23' Jump Shot51
17.5%
58
82.5%
Q3 - 7:29SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
19.4%
58
80.6%
Q3 - 7:31DALMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
18.6%
58
81.4%
Q3 - 7:40SASNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)51
16.8%
58
83.2%
Q3 - 7:57DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)51
19.4%
58
80.6%
Q3 - 8:00SASNash STEAL (1 STL)51
24.3%
55
75.7%
Q3 - 8:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)51
28.0%
55
72.0%
Q3 - 8:04DALMISS Finley 12' Jump Shot51
26.9%
55
73.1%
Q3 - 8:16DALMAVERICKS Rebound51
24.6%
55
75.4%
Q3 - 8:16DALMISS Nowitzki 5' Jump Shot51
26.9%
55
73.1%
Q3 - 8:37SASDuncan 5' Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)51
24.6%
55
75.4%
Q3 - 8:45SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
22.3%
55
77.7%
Q3 - 8:48DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
21.4%
55
78.6%
Q3 - 8:52DALNash REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
19.4%
55
80.6%
Q3 - 8:55SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
20.3%
55
79.7%
Q3 - 9:15DALFinley 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)49
22.3%
55
77.7%
Q3 - 9:22DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
24.9%
53
75.1%
Q3 - 9:25SASMISS Ginobili 5' Running Jump Shot49
25.7%
53
74.3%
Q3 - 9:48DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)49
27.8%
53
72.2%
Q3 - 10:05SASFinley STEAL (3 STL)49
33.8%
50
66.2%
Q3 - 10:24DALFinley 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)49
37.4%
50
62.6%
Q3 - 10:46SASNesterovic 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)49
40.4%
48
59.6%
Q3 - 10:55SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
37.4%
48
62.6%
Q3 - 10:57DALMISS Nash 21' Jump Shot47
36.3%
48
63.7%
Q3 - 11:03SASFinley STEAL (2 STL)47
33.9%
48
66.1%
Q3 - 11:25DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)47
37.2%
48
62.8%
Q3 - 11:42DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
40.4%
46
59.6%
Q3 - 11:45SASMISS Duncan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot47
41.4%
46
58.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL47
43.9%
46
56.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
40.4%
46
59.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Nesterovic 11' Jump Shot47
41.4%
46
58.6%
Q2 - 0:21.0DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)47
43.2%
46
56.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0DALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
50.7%
43
49.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot47
51.5%
43
48.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)47
53.1%
43
46.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
52.4%
43
47.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)47
50.7%
43
49.3%
Q2 - 1:04DALWalker 6' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)45
45.9%
43
54.1%
Q2 - 1:17DALNash REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
50.7%
41
49.3%
Q2 - 1:18SASMISS Nesterovic Free Throw 2 of 245
50.9%
41
49.1%
Q2 - 1:18SASNesterovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
52.7%
41
47.3%
Q2 - 1:38DALWalker 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS)44
49.2%
41
50.8%
Q2 - 1:53SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)44
53.9%
39
46.1%
Q2 - 1:53SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 243
53.2%
39
46.8%
Q2 - 1:55DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)43
52.4%
39
47.6%
Q2 - 1:58DALNash REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
50.7%
39
49.3%
Q2 - 2:01SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
50.4%
39
49.6%
Q2 - 2:17DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
52.5%
39
47.5%
Q2 - 2:17DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)43
52.9%
38
47.1%
Q2 - 2:30SASDuncan 7' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)43
55.9%
37
44.1%
Q2 - 2:51SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)41
52.5%
37
47.5%
Q2 - 2:53DALMISS Walker 16' Jump Shot41
51.6%
37
48.4%
Q2 - 3:10SASWalker STEAL (1 STL)41
48.6%
37
51.4%
Q2 - 3:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)41
52.0%
37
48.0%
Q2 - 3:16DALMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
51.0%
37
49.0%
Q2 - 3:32SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)41
48.7%
37
51.3%
Q2 - 3:32SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)40
48.0%
37
52.0%
Q2 - 3:46DALJamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
46.0%
37
54.0%
Q2 - 3:46DALJamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
46.7%
36
53.3%
Q2 - 4:02SASDuncan Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)39
48.2%
35
51.8%
Q2 - 4:07DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)37
45.3%
35
54.7%
Q2 - 4:12DALNash REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
42.5%
35
57.5%
Q2 - 4:15DALMISS Nash Running Layup37
44.5%
35
55.5%
Q2 - 4:20DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
42.5%
35
57.5%
Q2 - 4:22SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
43.4%
35
56.6%
Q2 - 4:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)37
45.4%
35
54.6%
Q2 - 4:33DALMISS Fortson Free Throw 2 of 237
45.0%
35
55.0%
Q2 - 4:33DALFortson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
43.1%
35
56.9%
Q2 - 4:42SASRose Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)37
45.4%
34
54.6%
Q2 - 4:59DALNash 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
42.5%
34
57.5%
Q2 - 5:13SASBowen 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
45.0%
32
55.0%
Q2 - 5:37DALWalker 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)33
42.5%
32
57.5%
Q2 - 5:57SASHorry 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)33
45.0%
30
55.0%
Q2 - 6:13DALWalker 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)31
42.5%
30
57.5%
Q2 - 6:38SASRose Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)31
44.7%
28
55.3%
Q2 - 6:55SASTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
42.5%
28
57.5%
Q2 - 6:57DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
41.5%
28
58.5%
Q2 - 7:03SASJamison STEAL (1 STL)29
39.5%
28
60.5%
Q2 - 7:20DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
42.2%
28
57.8%
Q2 - 7:20DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
42.5%
27
57.5%
Q2 - 7:35DALMAVERICKS Rebound29
44.6%
26
55.4%
Q2 - 7:36SASMISS Horry 20' Jump Shot29
45.4%
26
54.6%
Q2 - 7:49DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)29
47.4%
26
52.6%
Q2 - 7:49DALMISS Finley Free Throw 1 of 229
47.7%
25
52.3%
Q2 - 8:02DALFortson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
46.8%
25
53.2%
Q2 - 8:04DALMISS Jamison 23' Jump Shot29
48.8%
25
51.2%
Q2 - 8:29DALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
46.8%
25
53.2%
Q2 - 8:31SASMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot29
47.7%
25
52.3%
Q2 - 8:49SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
49.7%
25
50.3%
Q2 - 8:50DALMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
48.8%
25
51.2%
Q2 - 8:57DALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
46.8%
25
53.2%
Q2 - 8:59SASMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot29
47.7%
25
52.3%
Q2 - 9:20DALFortson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
49.2%
25
50.8%
Q2 - 9:20DALFortson Layup (2 PTS)29
49.2%
25
50.8%
Q2 - 9:22DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot29
53.4%
23
46.6%
Q2 - 9:27SASRose Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)29
51.4%
23
48.6%
Q2 - 9:34DALBest Driving Layup (2 PTS)29
54.3%
23
45.7%
Q2 - 10:00SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 129
56.9%
21
43.1%
Q2 - 10:00SASDuncan Layup (9 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)29
56.5%
21
43.5%
Q2 - 10:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
54.0%
21
46.0%
Q2 - 10:16DALMISS Best 21' Jump Shot27
53.1%
21
46.9%
Q2 - 10:23DALJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
51.2%
21
48.8%
Q2 - 10:25SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot27
52.0%
21
48.0%
Q2 - 10:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
54.0%
21
46.0%
Q2 - 10:40DALMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot27
53.1%
21
46.9%
Q2 - 10:50DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
51.2%
21
48.8%
Q2 - 10:51SASMISS Rose Layup27
52.0%
21
48.0%
Q2 - 11:01DALWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)27
53.0%
21
47.0%
Q2 - 11:29SASCarter 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)27
50.7%
21
49.3%
Q2 - 11:40SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
48.3%
21
51.7%
Q2 - 11:42SASMISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot25
46.6%
21
53.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL25
48.3%
21
51.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound25
45.9%
21
54.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Best 19' Jump Shot25
47.6%
21
52.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASBest STEAL (1 STL)25
45.9%
21
54.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALBest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
47.6%
21
52.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0SASCarter Running Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)25
45.8%
21
54.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0DALWalker 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Best 2 AST)23
42.9%
21
57.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
45.8%
19
54.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
45.3%
19
54.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0DALFinley 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 1 AST)21
42.9%
19
57.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound21
45.8%
17
54.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0DALMISS Best 19' Jump Shot21
47.0%
17
53.0%
Q1 - 1:13SASDuncan Layup (7 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)21
45.7%
17
54.3%
Q1 - 1:16SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
42.9%
17
57.1%
Q1 - 1:18SASMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
41.6%
17
58.4%
Q1 - 1:51DALNowitzki 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)19
42.9%
17
57.1%
Q1 - 2:04SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)19
45.6%
15
54.4%
Q1 - 2:04SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 218
45.0%
15
55.0%
Q1 - 2:10DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
45.4%
15
54.6%
Q1 - 2:30SASNesterovic Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)18
43.3%
15
56.7%
Q1 - 2:38DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)16
40.8%
15
59.2%
Q1 - 2:57SASFinley STEAL (1 STL)16
38.7%
15
61.3%
Q1 - 3:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
40.7%
15
59.3%
Q1 - 3:15DALMISS Nowitzki 8' Jump Shot16
40.0%
15
60.0%
Q1 - 3:37SASDuncan 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)16
38.3%
15
61.7%
Q1 - 3:42SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
36.5%
15
63.5%
Q1 - 3:45DALMISS Walker 7' Jump Shot14
35.8%
15
64.2%
Q1 - 3:56DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)14
34.2%
15
65.8%
Q1 - 3:57SASNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
36.5%
15
63.5%
Q1 - 3:57SASMISS Nesterovic Layup14
34.9%
15
65.1%
Q1 - 3:58SASMISS Duncan 7' Hook Shot14
34.9%
15
65.1%
Q1 - 4:17DALBradley 8' Hook Shot (5 PTS)14
36.4%
15
63.6%
Q1 - 4:18DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
38.0%
13
62.0%
Q1 - 4:20DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot14
39.8%
13
60.2%
Q1 - 4:32SASGinobili 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)14
38.0%
13
62.0%
Q1 - 4:46DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
36.4%
13
63.6%
Q1 - 5:03SASParker 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)12
34.0%
13
66.0%
Q1 - 5:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
32.3%
13
67.7%
Q1 - 5:22DALMISS Nowitzki Layup10
31.7%
13
68.3%
Q1 - 5:38DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
30.3%
13
69.7%
Q1 - 5:41SASMISS Nesterovic 19' Jump Shot10
30.9%
13
69.1%
Q1 - 5:54SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
32.3%
13
67.7%
Q1 - 5:57DALMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
31.7%
13
68.3%
Q1 - 6:09DALMAVERICKS Rebound10
30.4%
13
69.6%
Q1 - 6:09SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
31.0%
13
69.0%
Q1 - 6:32DALWalker 5' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)10
32.2%
13
67.8%
Q1 - 6:58SASNesterovic 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)10
33.9%
11
66.1%
Q1 - 7:18DALWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)8
32.4%
11
67.6%
Q1 - 7:29DALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
35.6%
8
64.4%
Q1 - 7:32DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
37.0%
8
63.0%
Q1 - 7:47SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS)8
35.6%
8
64.4%
Q1 - 7:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
34.1%
8
65.9%
Q1 - 7:51SASMISS Nesterovic 7' Hook Shot6
32.8%
8
67.2%
Q1 - 8:06DALWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
34.2%
8
65.8%
Q1 - 8:06DALMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 26
34.7%
7
65.3%
Q1 - 8:12SASNesterovic 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)6
34.0%
7
66.0%
Q1 - 8:23SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
32.5%
7
67.5%
Q1 - 8:25DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
31.9%
7
68.1%
Q1 - 8:28DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
30.7%
7
69.3%
Q1 - 8:31DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
31.9%
7
68.1%
Q1 - 8:33DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
30.7%
7
69.3%
Q1 - 8:36DALMISS Bradley 12' Jump Shot4
31.9%
7
68.1%
Q1 - 8:48DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
30.7%
7
69.3%
Q1 - 8:50SASMISS Ginobili 11' Jump Shot4
31.2%
7
68.8%
Q1 - 8:51SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
32.5%
7
67.5%
Q1 - 8:54SASFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)4
31.2%
7
68.8%
Q1 - 9:05DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)4
32.4%
7
67.6%
Q1 - 9:05DALBradley Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)4
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 9:21SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 14
35.6%
4
64.4%
Q1 - 9:21SASGinobili Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
35.4%
4
64.6%
Q1 - 9:36SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.1%
4
65.9%
Q1 - 9:38DALMISS Walker Layup2
33.5%
4
66.5%
Q1 - 9:43DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
32.0%
4
68.0%
Q1 - 9:45SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot2
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 10:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.9%
4
66.1%
Q1 - 10:03DALMISS Nash 8' Jump Shot2
33.4%
4
66.6%
Q1 - 10:12SASParker 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
32.1%
4
67.9%
Q1 - 10:35DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
30.7%
4
69.3%
Q1 - 10:35DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
30.9%
3
69.1%
Q1 - 10:42DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 10:43SASBradley BLOCK (1 BLK)0
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 11:02DALNash 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
33.8%
2
66.2%
Q1 - 11:12DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
35.5%
0
64.5%
Q1 - 11:15DALMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
36.6%
0
63.4%
Q1 - 11:26DALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.5%
0
64.5%
Q1 - 11:28SASMISS Nesterovic 15' Jump Shot0
36.0%
0
64.0%
Q1 - 11:46SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.1%
0
62.9%
Q1 - 11:48DALMISS Bradley 18' Jump Shot0
36.6%
0
63.4%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Bradley vs. Duncan: Tip to Walker0
35.5%
0
64.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.97 48.4%
DAL
0.90 45.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
19
30
63%
DAL
9
17
53%
Midrange
SAS
14
35
40%
DAL
17
45
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
2
3.0
14
14%
21%
DAL
5
7.5
22
23%
34%
Free Throws
SAS
20
28
71%
DAL
28
34
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3065%15.0 / 23
R. Nesterovic1856%9.0 / 16
M. Ginobili1243%6.0 / 14
T. Parker930%4.5 / 15
D. Brown880%4.0 / 5
A. Carter660%3.0 / 5
M. Rose531%2.5 / 8
B. Bowen225%1.0 / 4
R. Horry250%1.0 / 2
H. Turkoglu0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2654%13.0 / 24
A. Walker2242%11.0 / 26
M. Finley1743%8.5 / 20
S. Nash1250%6.0 / 12
S. Bradley550%2.5 / 5
D. Fortson583%2.5 / 3
T. Best429%2.0 / 7
A. Jamison250%1.0 / 2
E. Najera250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
84
+10
-13
94
DAL
86
+16
-9
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.97 48.4%
DAL
0.90 45.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.0
109.8
SAS 94.8 +5.2
DAL 100.0
Pace
91.3
95.3
SAS 105.7 +18.0
DAL 87.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
14.9
SAS 13.6 +2.8
DAL 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
49.5%
SAS 45.6% +5.7%
DAL 39.9%
TO %
15.4%
12.3%
SAS 12.5%
DAL 9.2% +3.3%
ORB %
29.5%
31.4%
SAS 19.6%
DAL 24.0% +4.4%
FTrt
32.2
25.6
SAS 35.4
DAL 40.5 +5.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.0%
59.1%
SAS 71.4% +13.3%
DAL 58.1%
STL %
8.8%
8.3%
SAS 7.2%
DAL 11.6% +4.4%
BLK %
9.9%
8.2%
SAS 4.8%
DAL 9.2% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.86 and 2.86.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.6%
51.4%
SAS 48.4% +3.2%
DAL 45.2%
Rim FG%
57.6%
59.0%
SAS 63.3% +10.4%
DAL 52.9%
Mid FG%
37.0%
41.4%
SAS 40.0% +2.2%
DAL 37.8%
3P %
35.8%
34.8%
SAS 14.3%
DAL 22.7% +8.4%
FT %
68.1%
79.6%
SAS 71.4%
DAL 82.4% +11.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.9%
33.5%
SAS 38.0% +17.7%
DAL 20.2%
Mid Att. %
46.4%
46.4%
SAS 44.3% +9.3%
DAL 53.6%
3P Att. %
17.7%
20.1%
SAS 17.7%
DAL 26.2% +8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsSASDAL
Possessions9795
Possession Minutes22.026.0
Points9295
Rebounds4749
Assists2518
Steals711
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (1)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (3)37 (3)
Field Goals35-7931-84
At-the-Rim FG19-309-17
Midrange FG14-3517-45
2-Point FG33-6526-62
3-Point FG2-145-22
Free Throws20-2828-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 28
41.2
30
65%
17
5
2
0
4
5
3
14
8-11
73%
11-16
69%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 22
36.5
9
30%
5
9
0
1
1
2
0
5
3-4
75%
3-8
38%
0-5
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 26
35.9
12
43%
7
4
0
0
1
4
3
4
3-4
75%
3-9
33%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 255 · 27
33.1
18
56%
7
2
1
2
0
2
2
5
2-3
67%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 32
30.5
2
25%
1
3
2
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 220 · 25
19.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 255 · 29
14.6
5
31%
4
2
0
0
2
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
11.5
6
60%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
9.7
8
80%
3
0
0
0
1
4
0
3
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33
7.1
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 180 · 26
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
48%
47
25
7
3
13
0
9
38
20-28
71%
33-65
51%
2-14
14%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.