FinalWin Prob.pScore
1445%107
91
1255%109
102
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
98.99292.1
MIA logo MIA
108.59493.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.91
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:15.8HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:20.0BullsCoby White misses three point pullup jump shot91
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.8HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 291
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.8HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 291
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.8BullsAlex Caruso personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)91
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.8HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound91
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0BullsZach LaVine misses three point pullup jump shot91
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.8HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 291
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.8HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 291
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.8BullsCoby White personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)91
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.8HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound91
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.8BullsBam Adebayo blocks Zach LaVine's two point driving layup91
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.7HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 3 of 391
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 0:40.7HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 391
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 0:40.7HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 391
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 0:40.7BullsAlex Caruso shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)91
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 0:58.2HeatMax Strus defensive rebound91
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 1:02BullsZach LaVine misses two point pullup bank jump shot91
4.0%
96
96.0%
Q4 - 1:14HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)91
7.4%
96
92.6%
Q4 - 1:33BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 291
19.9%
93
80.1%
Q4 - 1:33BullsDeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 1 of 290
19.0%
93
81.0%
Q4 - 1:33HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)90
26.5%
93
73.5%
Q4 - 1:41HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 290
21.6%
93
78.4%
Q4 - 1:41HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 290
23.1%
92
76.9%
Q4 - 1:41BullsNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)90
25.0%
91
75.0%
Q4 - 1:55HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound90
29.4%
91
70.6%
Q4 - 1:59BullsAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot90
32.9%
91
67.1%
Q4 - 2:15BullsBulls defensive rebound90
43.7%
91
56.3%
Q4 - 2:17HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 190
41.5%
91
58.5%
Q4 - 2:17BullsNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)90
33.8%
91
66.2%
Q4 - 2:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound90
50.4%
89
49.6%
Q4 - 2:29BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot90
55.7%
89
44.3%
Q4 - 2:54HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot90
64.1%
89
35.9%
Q4 - 3:03HeatMax Strus defensive rebound90
70.7%
87
29.3%
Q4 - 3:07BullsCoby White misses two point driving floating bank jump shot90
74.3%
87
25.7%
Q4 - 3:24BullsCoby White defensive rebound90
81.4%
87
18.6%
Q4 - 3:29HeatAlex Caruso blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup90
78.7%
87
21.3%
Q4 - 3:47BullsCoby White makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)90
67.8%
87
32.2%
Q4 - 3:59HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 287
51.3%
87
48.7%
Q4 - 3:59HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 287
52.5%
86
47.5%
Q4 - 3:59BullsZach LaVine personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)87
53.8%
85
46.2%
Q4 - 3:59HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound87
59.6%
85
40.4%
Q4 - 3:59BullsZach LaVine misses two point driving layup87
62.4%
85
37.6%
Q4 - 4:06HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Zach LaVine steals)87
68.6%
85
31.4%
Q4 - 4:12BullsZach LaVine turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)87
59.7%
85
40.3%
Q4 - 4:28BullsBulls defensive rebound87
68.8%
85
31.2%
Q4 - 4:29HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot87
66.2%
85
33.8%
Q4 - 4:45BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot (Alex Caruso assists)87
59.8%
85
40.2%
Q4 - 5:01HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)85
50.4%
85
49.6%
Q4 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound85
57.8%
83
42.2%
Q4 - 5:13BullsZach LaVine misses three point pullup jump shot85
60.4%
83
39.6%
Q4 - 5:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 185
66.0%
83
34.0%
Q4 - 5:29BullsAlex Caruso shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)85
66.9%
82
33.1%
Q4 - 5:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound85
78.4%
80
21.6%
Q4 - 5:44BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point jump shot85
80.2%
80
19.8%
Q4 - 5:50BullsAlex Caruso defensive rebound85
83.7%
80
16.3%
Q4 - 5:56HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot85
82.3%
80
17.7%
Q4 - 6:19BullsCoby White makes three point jump shot (Alex Caruso assists)85
75.3%
80
24.7%
Q4 - 6:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup82
64.5%
80
35.5%
Q4 - 6:48BullsZach LaVine turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)82
69.7%
78
30.3%
Q4 - 7:01HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup82
74.0%
78
26.1%
Q4 - 7:12BullsZach LaVine makes regular free throw 2 of 282
77.9%
76
22.1%
Q4 - 7:12BullsZach LaVine misses regular free throw 1 of 281
77.3%
76
22.7%
Q4 - 7:12HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Zach LaVine draws the foul)81
80.9%
76
19.1%
Q4 - 7:27BullsAlex Caruso defensive rebound81
78.9%
76
21.1%
Q4 - 7:30HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 281
78.2%
76
21.8%
Q4 - 7:30HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 281
75.0%
76
25.0%
Q4 - 7:30BullsNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)81
76.1%
75
23.9%
Q4 - 7:42Jump ball. Max Strus vs. Coby White (Caleb Martin gains possession)81
78.0%
75
22.0%
Q4 - 8:00BullsCoby White defensive rebound81
83.1%
75
16.9%
Q4 - 8:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot81
79.4%
75
20.6%
Q4 - 8:11BullsDeMar DeRozan personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)81
76.4%
75
23.6%
Q4 - 8:17BullsPatrick Beverley personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)81
76.4%
75
23.6%
Q4 - 8:27BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 181
76.4%
75
23.6%
Q4 - 8:27HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)80
75.9%
75
24.1%
Q4 - 8:41BullsPatrick Williams defensive rebound78
66.7%
75
33.3%
Q4 - 8:43HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 2 of 278
65.9%
75
34.1%
Q4 - 8:43HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 278
62.1%
75
37.9%
Q4 - 8:43BullsPatrick Williams shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)78
63.4%
74
36.6%
Q4 - 8:55BullsAndre Drummond makes two point tip layup78
66.4%
74
33.6%
Q4 - 8:55BullsAndre Drummond offensive rebound76
61.0%
74
39.0%
Q4 - 9:00BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point turnaround jump shot76
56.5%
74
43.5%
Q4 - 9:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot76
60.1%
74
39.9%
Q4 - 9:51BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 176
65.1%
72
34.9%
Q4 - 9:51HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)75
64.4%
72
35.6%
Q4 - 10:01BullsAndre Drummond defensive rebound73
53.7%
72
46.3%
Q4 - 10:04HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot73
51.8%
72
48.2%
Q4 - 10:20BullsAndre Drummond makes two point cutting dunk (Patrick Beverley assists)73
47.6%
72
52.4%
Q4 - 10:36HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)71
42.8%
72
57.2%
Q4 - 10:39HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound71
53.1%
69
46.9%
Q4 - 10:43HeatAndre Drummond blocks Tyler Herro's three point pullup jump shot71
57.4%
69
42.6%
Q4 - 11:03BullsCoby White makes three point stepback jump shot71
52.8%
69
47.2%
Q4 - 11:28HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot68
42.6%
69
57.4%
Q4 - 11:37HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound68
47.6%
67
52.4%
Q4 - 11:40BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot68
49.3%
67
50.7%
Q4 - 11:57HeatTyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)68
53.0%
67
47.0%
Q4 - 11:57HeatTyler Herro offensive foul (Patrick Beverley draws the foul)68
47.6%
67
52.4%
Q4 - 11:59BullsPatrick Williams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)68
47.6%
67
52.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.68
53.0%
67
47.0%
Q3 - 0:00.9HeatHeat offensive rebound68
47.7%
67
52.3%
Q3 - 0:00.9HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot68
51.1%
67
48.9%
Q3 - 0:13.9BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 168
47.7%
67
52.3%
Q3 - 0:13.9HeatKevin Love shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)67
47.2%
67
52.8%
Q3 - 0:14.4BullsDeMar DeRozan offensive rebound65
38.0%
67
62.0%
Q3 - 0:18.8BullsDeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot65
34.9%
67
65.1%
Q3 - 0:30.7BullsAndre Drummond defensive rebound65
38.0%
67
62.0%
Q3 - 0:34.6HeatJimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot65
36.6%
67
63.4%
Q3 - 0:55.4HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound65
33.5%
67
66.5%
Q3 - 0:58.3BullsAndre Drummond misses regular free throw 1 of 165
34.1%
67
65.9%
Q3 - 0:58.3HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Andre Drummond draws the foul)65
36.3%
67
63.7%
Q3 - 0:58.3BullsAndre Drummond offensive rebound63
29.2%
67
70.8%
Q3 - 1:00BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot63
26.4%
67
73.6%
Q3 - 1:12HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 263
30.1%
67
69.9%
Q3 - 1:12HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 263
30.6%
66
69.4%
Q3 - 1:12BullsPatrick Williams personal foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)63
31.2%
65
68.8%
Q3 - 1:12HeatKevin Love offensive rebound63
33.8%
65
66.2%
Q3 - 1:13HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot63
37.0%
65
63.0%
Q3 - 1:30BullsPatrick Williams makes two point pullup jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)63
33.8%
65
66.2%
Q3 - 1:43HeatKevin Love personal foul (Andre Drummond draws the foul)61
30.0%
65
70.0%
Q3 - 1:43BullsAndre Drummond offensive rebound61
30.0%
65
70.0%
Q3 - 1:44BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point turnaround jump shot61
27.2%
65
72.8%
Q3 - 1:53BullsAndre Drummond defensive rebound61
30.0%
65
70.0%
Q3 - 1:55HeatMax Strus misses two point driving floating jump shot61
28.8%
65
71.2%
Q3 - 2:01HeatHeat offensive rebound61
26.8%
65
73.2%
Q3 - 2:01HeatJimmy Butler misses two point tip layup61
29.4%
65
70.6%
Q3 - 2:01HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound61
26.8%
65
73.2%
Q3 - 2:01HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup bank jump shot61
29.4%
65
70.6%
Q3 - 2:19BullsZach LaVine makes regular free throw 2 of 261
26.8%
65
73.2%
Q3 - 2:19BullsZach LaVine misses regular free throw 1 of 260
26.3%
65
73.7%
Q3 - 2:19HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Zach LaVine draws the foul)60
29.3%
65
70.7%
Q3 - 2:42HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)60
27.0%
65
73.0%
Q3 - 2:55HeatKevin Love defensive rebound60
34.2%
62
65.8%
Q3 - 2:58BullsZach LaVine misses two point fadeaway jump shot60
35.5%
62
64.5%
Q3 - 3:14BullsDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound60
39.2%
62
60.8%
Q3 - 3:16HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot60
37.8%
62
62.2%
Q3 - 3:22HeatHeat offensive rebound60
34.6%
62
65.4%
Q3 - 3:22HeatCoby White blocks Caleb Martin's two point layup60
37.8%
62
62.2%
Q3 - 3:34HeatMax Strus defensive rebound60
34.6%
62
65.4%
Q3 - 3:38BullsCoby White misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot60
36.0%
62
64.0%
Q3 - 3:56HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 260
39.2%
62
60.8%
Q3 - 3:56HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 260
39.7%
61
60.3%
Q3 - 3:56BullsAyo Dosunmu shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)60
40.3%
60
59.7%
Q3 - 3:59BullsZach LaVine turnover (lost ball) (Kevin Love steals)60
42.6%
60
57.4%
Q3 - 4:17HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Coby White steals)60
47.4%
60
52.6%
Q3 - 4:25BullsCoby White personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)60
42.7%
60
57.3%
Q3 - 4:25HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound60
42.7%
60
57.3%
Q3 - 4:30BullsPatrick Williams misses two point turnaround jump shot60
44.1%
60
55.9%
Q3 - 4:44HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)60
47.5%
60
52.5%
Q3 - 4:44HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Zach LaVine draws the foul)60
42.7%
60
57.3%
Q3 - 4:45HeatMax Strus defensive rebound60
42.7%
60
57.3%
Q3 - 4:49BullsZach LaVine misses two point pullup jump shot60
44.2%
60
55.8%
Q3 - 5:02HeatCaleb Martin makes two point putback layup60
47.1%
60
52.9%
Q3 - 5:03HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound60
50.7%
58
49.3%
Q3 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving reverse layup60
53.6%
58
46.4%
Q3 - 5:14HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound60
50.7%
58
49.3%
Q3 - 5:18BullsAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot60
52.0%
58
48.0%
Q3 - 5:24BullsPatrick Beverley defensive rebound60
55.0%
58
45.0%
Q3 - 5:27HeatMax Strus misses two point pullup jump shot60
53.7%
58
46.3%
Q3 - 5:53BullsZach LaVine makes two point running dunk (Nikola Vucevic assists)60
50.7%
58
49.3%
Q3 - 5:55BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound58
47.1%
58
52.9%
Q3 - 5:58HeatGabe Vincent misses three point running jump shot58
45.8%
58
54.2%
Q3 - 6:05BullsDeMar DeRozan turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)58
42.9%
58
57.1%
Q3 - 6:16BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound58
46.9%
58
53.1%
Q3 - 6:21HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot58
45.7%
58
54.3%
Q3 - 6:26HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound58
42.9%
58
57.1%
Q3 - 6:29BullsTyler Herro blocks Alex Caruso's two point pullup jump shot58
44.1%
58
55.9%
Q3 - 6:43BullsAlex Caruso defensive rebound58
46.9%
58
53.1%
Q3 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup58
45.7%
58
54.3%
Q3 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound58
42.9%
58
57.1%
Q3 - 6:46HeatJimmy Butler misses two point bank jump shot58
45.7%
58
54.3%
Q3 - 7:05BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point turnaround jump shot58
42.7%
58
57.3%
Q3 - 7:24HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)56
39.7%
58
60.3%
Q3 - 7:40BullsAlex Caruso makes two point running reverse layup56
42.7%
56
57.3%
Q3 - 7:44HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (DeMar DeRozan steals)54
39.7%
56
60.3%
Q3 - 8:01BullsZach LaVine makes two point running layup54
35.8%
56
64.2%
Q3 - 8:06BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound52
33.2%
56
66.8%
Q3 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot52
32.1%
56
67.9%
Q3 - 8:26BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround hook shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)52
29.6%
56
70.4%
Q3 - 8:38BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound50
27.2%
56
72.8%
Q3 - 8:40HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot50
26.2%
56
73.8%
Q3 - 8:55BullsZach LaVine makes two point driving finger roll layup (Alex Caruso assists)50
24.0%
56
76.0%
Q3 - 9:15HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot48
22.3%
56
77.7%
Q3 - 9:30BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround hook shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)48
24.5%
54
75.5%
Q3 - 9:37BullsDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound46
22.3%
54
77.7%
Q3 - 9:41HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot46
21.5%
54
78.5%
Q3 - 9:50HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound46
19.7%
54
80.3%
Q3 - 9:56BullsDeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot46
20.5%
54
79.5%
Q3 - 10:04BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound46
22.8%
54
77.2%
Q3 - 10:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot46
22.0%
54
78.0%
Q3 - 10:07HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound46
20.2%
54
79.8%
Q3 - 10:11HeatJimmy Butler misses two point cutting layup46
22.0%
54
78.0%
Q3 - 10:33BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot (Patrick Beverley assists)46
20.2%
54
79.8%
Q3 - 10:43HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 144
18.4%
54
81.6%
Q3 - 10:43BullsAlex Caruso shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)44
18.6%
53
81.4%
Q3 - 10:47BullsPatrick Beverley personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)44
22.5%
51
77.5%
Q3 - 10:52HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound44
22.4%
51
77.6%
Q3 - 10:55BullsZach LaVine misses three point jump shot44
23.3%
51
76.7%
Q3 - 11:13BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound44
25.3%
51
74.7%
Q3 - 11:16HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot44
24.5%
51
75.5%
Q3 - 11:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound44
22.8%
51
77.2%
Q3 - 11:25BullsPatrick Beverley misses three point jump shot44
23.5%
51
76.5%
Q3 - 11:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop layup (Bam Adebayo assists)44
25.3%
51
74.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.44
27.7%
49
72.3%
Q2 - 0:04.9BullsPatrick Beverley personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)44
28.6%
49
71.4%
Q2 - 0:10.5HeatMax Strus offensive rebound44
28.5%
49
71.5%
Q2 - 0:12.9HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot44
30.0%
49
70.0%
Q2 - 0:33.9BullsZach LaVine makes regular free throw 1 of 144
28.5%
49
71.5%
Q2 - 0:33.9HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Zach LaVine draws the foul)43
28.1%
49
71.9%
Q2 - 0:44.4HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot41
23.2%
49
76.8%
Q2 - 0:47.6HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound41
25.9%
47
74.1%
Q2 - 0:54.3BullsZach LaVine misses two point stepback jump shot41
26.6%
47
73.4%
Q2 - 1:20HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)41
28.5%
47
71.5%
Q2 - 1:28HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound41
34.6%
44
65.4%
Q2 - 1:34HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot41
36.0%
44
64.0%
Q2 - 1:58BullsAlex Caruso makes three point jump shot (Coby White assists)41
34.6%
44
65.4%
Q2 - 2:16HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 3 of 338
29.3%
44
70.7%
Q2 - 2:16HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 338
29.6%
43
70.4%
Q2 - 2:16HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 338
30.0%
42
70.0%
Q2 - 2:16BullsAlex Caruso shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)38
30.4%
41
69.6%
Q2 - 2:34BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround hook shot38
34.4%
41
65.6%
Q2 - 2:48HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 236
31.8%
41
68.2%
Q2 - 2:48HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 236
32.0%
40
68.0%
Q2 - 2:48BullsCoby White shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)36
32.3%
39
67.7%
Q2 - 2:53HeatMax Strus defensive rebound36
34.4%
39
65.6%
Q2 - 2:56BullsZach LaVine misses two point pullup jump shot36
35.2%
39
64.8%
Q2 - 3:05HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Zach LaVine draws the foul)36
37.6%
39
62.4%
Q2 - 3:16HeatMax Strus turnover (out of bounds step)36
37.6%
39
62.4%
Q2 - 3:34BullsZach LaVine makes two point driving finger roll layup36
34.4%
39
65.6%
Q2 - 3:51HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)34
32.3%
39
67.7%
Q2 - 4:17BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point jump shot (Alex Caruso assists)34
37.5%
36
62.5%
Q2 - 4:28BullsCoby White defensive rebound32
34.9%
36
65.1%
Q2 - 4:31HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot32
34.2%
36
65.8%
Q2 - 4:41HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound32
32.4%
36
67.6%
Q2 - 4:45HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot32
34.2%
36
65.8%
Q2 - 4:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound32
32.4%
36
67.6%
Q2 - 4:55BullsPatrick Beverley misses three point jump shot32
33.1%
36
66.9%
Q2 - 5:00BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound32
34.9%
36
65.1%
Q2 - 5:04HeatJimmy Butler misses two point cutting layup32
34.4%
36
65.6%
Q2 - 5:19HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound32
32.3%
36
67.7%
Q2 - 5:22BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point jump shot32
33.2%
36
66.8%
Q2 - 5:36HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)32
35.3%
36
64.7%
Q2 - 5:58BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point driving hook shot (Coby White assists)32
32.3%
36
67.7%
Q2 - 6:08BullsBulls offensive rebound30
30.8%
36
69.2%
Q2 - 6:08BullsCoby White misses two point driving layup30
28.9%
36
71.1%
Q2 - 6:23HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot30
30.8%
36
69.2%
Q2 - 6:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound30
32.6%
34
67.4%
Q2 - 6:35BullsZach LaVine misses three point pullup jump shot30
33.5%
34
66.5%
Q2 - 6:54HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)30
35.5%
34
64.5%
Q2 - 7:12BullsAlex Caruso makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)30
40.3%
31
59.7%
Q2 - 7:19BullsAndre Drummond defensive rebound27
35.5%
31
64.5%
Q2 - 7:23HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot27
34.7%
31
65.3%
Q2 - 7:28HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound27
33.0%
31
67.0%
Q2 - 7:32BullsZach LaVine misses two point jump shot27
33.7%
31
66.3%
Q2 - 7:47BullsAndre Drummond defensive rebound27
35.5%
31
64.5%
Q2 - 7:50HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot27
34.7%
31
65.3%
Q2 - 8:15BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot (Zach LaVine assists)27
33.0%
31
67.0%
Q2 - 8:27HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)25
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 8:27HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)25
28.6%
31
71.4%
Q2 - 8:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
28.6%
31
71.4%
Q2 - 8:38BullsAndre Drummond misses two point driving finger roll layup25
29.3%
31
70.7%
Q2 - 9:02HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)25
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 9:06BullsDeMar DeRozan personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)25
28.7%
31
71.3%
Q2 - 9:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
28.7%
31
71.3%
Q2 - 9:13BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot25
29.4%
31
70.6%
Q2 - 9:20BullsDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound25
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 9:23HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot25
30.2%
31
69.8%
Q2 - 9:41HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound25
28.7%
31
71.3%
Q2 - 9:43BullsPatrick Williams misses three point jump shot25
29.4%
31
70.6%
Q2 - 9:55BullsBulls defensive rebound25
30.9%
31
69.1%
Q2 - 9:55HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot25
30.2%
31
69.8%
Q2 - 10:12BullsCoby White makes two point fadeaway jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)25
29.0%
31
71.0%
Q2 - 10:24BullsCoby White defensive rebound23
27.1%
31
72.9%
Q2 - 10:27HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot23
26.5%
31
73.5%
Q2 - 10:48HeatKevin Love defensive rebound23
25.1%
31
74.9%
Q2 - 10:52BullsZach LaVine misses two point fadeaway jump shot23
25.7%
31
74.3%
Q2 - 11:01HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)23
27.5%
31
72.5%
Q2 - 11:05BullsPatrick Williams defensive rebound23
27.5%
31
72.5%
Q2 - 11:08HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot23
26.9%
31
73.1%
Q2 - 11:34BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving floating jump shot23
25.6%
31
74.4%
Q2 - 11:46HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround bank jump shot21
23.8%
31
76.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
25.6%
29
74.4%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound21
25.8%
29
74.2%
Q1 - 0:00.6HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot21
27.0%
29
73.0%
Q1 - 0:01.2BullsPatrick Williams personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)21
25.8%
29
74.2%
Q1 - 0:08.6BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 221
25.8%
29
74.2%
Q1 - 0:08.6BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 220
25.6%
29
74.4%
Q1 - 0:08.6HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)19
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q1 - 0:22.4BullsCoby White defensive rebound19
23.9%
29
76.1%
Q1 - 0:25.2HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot19
23.4%
29
76.6%
Q1 - 0:32.6BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 219
22.4%
29
77.6%
Q1 - 0:32.6BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 218
22.2%
29
77.8%
Q1 - 0:32.6HeatKevin Love shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)17
22.0%
29
78.0%
Q1 - 0:36.8HeatMax Strus personal foul (Coby White draws the foul)17
20.7%
29
79.3%
Q1 - 0:44.2BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound17
20.7%
29
79.3%
Q1 - 0:47.3HeatMax Strus misses two point alley-oop dunk17
20.3%
29
79.7%
Q1 - 0:52.7BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)17
19.3%
29
80.7%
Q1 - 1:04HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Kevin Love assists)15
18.0%
29
82.0%
Q1 - 1:08BullsCoby White turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)15
19.6%
27
80.4%
Q1 - 1:36HeatKevin Love makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)15
20.9%
27
79.1%
Q1 - 1:51BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving layup (Coby White assists)15
22.6%
25
77.4%
Q1 - 2:08HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Love assists)13
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q1 - 2:16HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound13
23.1%
23
76.9%
Q1 - 2:20BullsAyo Dosunmu misses three point jump shot13
23.6%
23
76.4%
Q1 - 2:35HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Patrick Williams steals)13
24.8%
23
75.2%
Q1 - 2:48HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound13
23.0%
23
77.0%
Q1 - 2:51HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot13
24.2%
23
75.8%
Q1 - 3:02HeatKevin Love defensive rebound13
23.1%
23
76.9%
Q1 - 3:05BullsCoby White misses three point jump shot13
23.7%
23
76.3%
Q1 - 3:18HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)13
25.1%
23
74.9%
Q1 - 3:18HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Off the ball) (Coby White draws the foul)13
23.1%
23
76.9%
Q1 - 3:21HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound13
23.1%
23
76.9%
Q1 - 3:23BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot13
23.7%
23
76.3%
Q1 - 3:34HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 113
25.1%
23
74.9%
Q1 - 3:34BullsCoby White shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)13
25.3%
22
74.7%
Q1 - 3:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
28.2%
20
71.8%
Q1 - 3:39BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot13
28.8%
20
71.2%
Q1 - 4:00HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 213
30.4%
20
69.6%
Q1 - 4:00HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 213
30.6%
19
69.4%
Q1 - 4:00BullsPatrick Beverley shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)13
30.9%
18
69.1%
Q1 - 4:03BullsNikola Vucevic turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)13
32.4%
18
67.6%
Q1 - 4:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot13
34.6%
18
65.4%
Q1 - 4:38BullsCoby White makes three point jump shot (Patrick Beverley assists)13
36.2%
16
63.8%
Q1 - 5:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Gabe Vincent assists)10
33.0%
16
67.0%
Q1 - 5:20BullsZach LaVine turnover (out of bounds lost ball)10
34.6%
14
65.4%
Q1 - 5:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 210
36.7%
14
63.3%
Q1 - 5:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 210
37.0%
13
63.0%
Q1 - 5:38BullsAlex Caruso shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)10
37.5%
12
62.5%
Q1 - 5:55BullsZach LaVine turnover (offensive foul)10
38.4%
12
61.6%
Q1 - 5:55BullsZach LaVine offensive foul (Charge) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)10
40.6%
12
59.4%
Q1 - 5:56BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound10
40.6%
12
59.4%
Q1 - 6:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot10
39.9%
12
60.1%
Q1 - 6:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound10
38.6%
12
61.4%
Q1 - 6:22BullsAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot10
39.2%
12
60.8%
Q1 - 6:35HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)10
40.5%
12
59.5%
Q1 - 6:45HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound10
38.5%
12
61.5%
Q1 - 6:49BullsPatrick Beverley misses three point jump shot10
39.1%
12
60.9%
Q1 - 7:02BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound10
40.7%
12
59.3%
Q1 - 7:05HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot10
40.0%
12
60.0%
Q1 - 7:18BullsZach LaVine makes two point driving layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)10
38.6%
12
61.4%
Q1 - 7:36HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)8
36.9%
12
63.1%
Q1 - 7:50HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound8
40.5%
9
59.5%
Q1 - 7:54BullsAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot8
41.1%
9
58.9%
Q1 - 7:54BullsPatrick Beverley offensive rebound8
42.5%
9
57.5%
Q1 - 7:56BullsPatrick Beverley misses two point hook shot8
41.1%
9
58.9%
Q1 - 8:06BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound8
42.7%
9
57.3%
Q1 - 8:09HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot8
42.0%
9
58.0%
Q1 - 8:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
40.6%
9
59.4%
Q1 - 8:26BullsZach LaVine misses three point jump shot8
41.2%
9
58.8%
Q1 - 8:43HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)8
42.7%
9
57.3%
Q1 - 9:01BullsAlex Caruso makes three point running jump shot (Zach LaVine assists)8
46.1%
6
53.9%
Q1 - 9:04BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound5
42.6%
6
57.4%
Q1 - 9:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot5
42.0%
6
58.0%
Q1 - 9:27BullsAlex Caruso makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)5
40.6%
6
59.4%
Q1 - 9:47HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Patrick Beverley draws the foul)2
37.1%
6
62.9%
Q1 - 9:59HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)2
37.1%
6
62.9%
Q1 - 10:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
40.4%
3
59.6%
Q1 - 10:21BullsZach LaVine misses three point pullup jump shot2
41.0%
3
59.0%
Q1 - 10:28HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)2
42.4%
3
57.6%
Q1 - 10:44HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)2
42.4%
3
57.6%
Q1 - 10:54HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound2
45.9%
0
54.1%
Q1 - 10:59BullsNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot2
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 11:06BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound2
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 11:08HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot2
47.0%
0
53.0%
Q1 - 11:19BullsAlex Caruso makes two point driving layup (Patrick Beverley assists)2
45.6%
0
54.4%
Q1 - 11:33HeatGabe Vincent turnover (lost ball) (Alex Caruso steals)0
44.1%
0
55.9%
Q1 - 11:48BullsDeMar DeRozan turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
42.1%
0
57.9%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Vucevic vs. Bam Adebayo (Alex Caruso gains possession)0
44.1%
0
55.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.05 52.3%
MIA
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
12
16
75%
MIA
6
14
43%
Midrange
CHI
16
38
42%
MIA
16
34
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
8
12.0
28
29%
43%
MIA
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
Free Throws
CHI
11
15
73%
MIA
28
32
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2659%13.0 / 22
A. Caruso1673%8.0 / 11
Z. LaVine1533%7.5 / 23
C. White1470%7.0 / 10
N. Vučević1267%6.0 / 9
A. Drummond675%3.0 / 4
P. Williams233%1.0 / 3
P. Beverley0-0.0 / 4
A. Dosunmu0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3157%15.5 / 27
M. Strus3182%15.5 / 19
T. Herro1246%6.0 / 13
K. Love964%4.5 / 7
B. Adebayo831%4.0 / 13
C. Martin660%3.0 / 5
K. Lowry550%2.5 / 5
G. Vincent0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
81
+6
-11
87
MIA
81
+14
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.05 52.3%
MIA
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.3
112.9
CHI 98.9 +9.6
MIA 108.5
Pace
98.7
96.3
CHI 92.1
MIA 93.9 +1.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
15.0
CHI 15.6
MIA 15.3 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.0%
53.0%
CHI 48.8% +1.4%
MIA 47.4%
TO %
12.7%
13.2%
CHI 11.0% +1.4%
MIA 12.4%
ORB %
20.1%
22.8%
CHI 10.9%
MIA 23.8% +12.9%
FTrt
25.1
27.0
CHI 18.3
MIA 41.0 +22.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.5%
60.8%
CHI 66.7% +7.3%
MIA 59.4%
STL %
7.9%
8.2%
CHI 5.4%
MIA 7.4% +2.0%
BLK %
9.0%
6.3%
CHI 6.3% +2.6%
MIA 3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.3%
55.9%
CHI 52.3%
MIA 53.7% +1.4%
Rim FG%
64.3%
62.6%
CHI 75.0% +32.1%
MIA 42.9%
Mid FG%
45.8%
45.3%
CHI 42.1%
MIA 47.1% +5.0%
3P %
36.1%
34.4%
CHI 28.6%
MIA 33.3% +4.7%
FT %
80.9%
83.1%
CHI 73.3%
MIA 87.5% +14.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
29.9%
CHI 19.5% +1.6%
MIA 17.9%
Mid Att. %
31.9%
29.4%
CHI 46.3%
MIA 43.6% +2.8%
3P Att. %
33.3%
40.8%
CHI 34.1%
MIA 38.5% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points91102
Rebounds3751
Assists2419
Steals57
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)13 (0)
Fouls2520
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (1)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)41 (0)
Field Goals36-8232-78
At-the-Rim FG12-166-14
Midrange FG16-3816-34
2-Point FG28-5422-48
3-Point FG8-2810-30
Free Throws11-1528-32
Fast Break Pts99
2nd Chance Pts1110
Points in Paint3634
Pts off Turnovers613
Bench Points2220
Biggest Lead614

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 28
41.1
15
33%
4
2
1
0
5
2
0
4
3-5
60%
6-15
40%
0-6
0%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 34
40.6
26
59%
4
9
1
0
2
2
1
3
8-9
89%
9-17
53%
0-2
0%
#9 · C · 6'10" 260 · 32
34.9
12
67%
9
1
0
0
1
3
0
9
0-0
-
6-8
75%
0-1
0%
#6 · PF · 6'5" 186 · 29
30.4
16
73%
3
4
1
1
0
6
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
4-8
50%
#21 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 35
26.7
0
0%
2
4
0
0
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
#0 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 23
31.3
14
70%
5
4
1
1
2
4
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
25%
4-6
67%
#44 · PF · 6'7" 215 · 22
17.1
2
33%
2
0
1
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 30
10.2
6
75%
8
0
0
1
0
0
3
5
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#12 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 23
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 26
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#25 · SG · 6'7" 195 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#22 · PG · 6'0" 174 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#24 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 30
DNP – Coach's Decision
#19 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'6" 190 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
52%
37
24
5
3
11
25
5
32
11-15
73%
28-54
52%
8-28
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.