Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Win Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat
4Cavaliers
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 27.8
38.5
1
6-12
51%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 25.3
37.4
1
6-12
52%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 26.7
32.7
1
3-5
52%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 30.2
30.4
1
4-8
49%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.4
26.8
1
1-2
55%
Kel'el Ware
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.0
19.2
0
3-5
59%
Nikola Jović
F · 6'10" 205 · 21.9
16.8
0
1-2
54%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 31.0
14.2
0
1-1
55%
Pelle Larsson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
9.4
0
1-1
50%
Josh Christopher
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.4
8.8
0
1-2
51%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 33.8
8.7
0
0-1
40%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.1
8.7
0
1-1
48%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 31.6
8.7
0
1-2
48%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
G · 6'7" 225 · 24.2
5.4
0
1-1
52%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 36.6
2.2
0
0-0
48%
Keshad Johnson
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.9
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Dru Smith
G · 6'3" 203 · 27.3
Isaiah Stevens
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 28.6
33.5
1
5-10
53%
Evan Mobley
C · 7'0" 215 · 23.9
33.0
1
5-8
61%
Darius Garland
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.3
31.8
1
4-8
52%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'11" 234 · 27.0
28.7
1
5-7
66%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
25.7
1
1-1
58%
De'Andre Hunter
F · 6'7" 225 · 27.4
22.8
1
2-4
53%
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.8
20.4
1
3-5
55%
Sam Merrill
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.0
20.2
1
0-1
57%
Isaac Okoro
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.3
15.0
0
1-2
57%
Dean Wade
F · 6'10" 228 · 28.4
11.8
0
0-0
61%
Nae'Qwan Tomlin
F · 6'10" 210 · 24.4
9.4
0
1-2
55%
Emoni Bates
F · 6'9" 170 · 21.3
9.3
0
1-1
51%
Luke Travers
F · 6'7" 207 · 23.7
4.7
0
0-1
53%
Craig Porter Jr.
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.2
4.4
0
0-1
54%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 34.1
4.2
0
0-1
52%
Jaylon Tyson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.4
3.2
0
0-1
52%
Chuma Okeke
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.7
1.5
0
0-0
44%
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.8
1.3
0
0-0
60%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.