FinalWin Prob.pScore
1721%100
84
179%111
118
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
88.49599.3
BOS logo BOS
124.29591.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.84
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:24.2HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 184
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:24.2CelticsXavier Tillman shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)83
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:41.5CelticsJaden Springer turnover (traveling)81
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:46.5CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound81
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 0:48.8HeatDelon Wright misses three point stepback jump shot81
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 1:07CelticsOshae Brissett makes two point cutting dunk (Svi Mykhailiuk assists)81
0%
118
100%
Q4 - 1:16CelticsOshae Brissett defensive rebound81
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:17HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point turnaround hook shot81
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:27CelticsOshae Brissett makes two point putback layup81
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 1:28CelticsOshae Brissett offensive rebound81
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:29CelticsOshae Brissett misses two point cutting layup81
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:51HeatThomas Bryant makes two point driving layup81
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:04CelticsJaden Springer makes two point running layup79
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:10HeatThomas Bryant turnover (bad pass) (Svi Mykhailiuk steals)79
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:29HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound79
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:31CelticsSvi Mykhailiuk misses three point running pullup jump shot79
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:37CelticsXavier Tillman defensive rebound79
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 2:38HeatXavier Tillman blocks Delon Wright's two point driving layup79
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 3:01CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving layup79
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08CelticsOshae Brissett offensive rebound79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point pullup jump shot79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18CelticsSvi Mykhailiuk offensive rebound79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19CelticsSvi Mykhailiuk misses three point jump shot79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34HeatNikola Jovic makes two point cutting layup (Thomas Bryant assists)79
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51CelticsSvi Mykhailiuk turnover (offensive foul)77
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51CelticsSvi Mykhailiuk offensive foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)77
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Jaden Springer draws the foul)77
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11CelticsJaden Springer defensive rebound77
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13HeatThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot77
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound77
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28CelticsOshae Brissett misses two point driving layup77
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51HeatThomas Bryant makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jovic assists)77
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58CelticsJaden Springer personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)75
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21CelticsSam Hauser makes three point pullup jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)75
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup75
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58CelticsXavier Tillman makes two point driving bank jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)73
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17HeatCaleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot73
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Xavier Tillman assists)71
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52HeatThomas Bryant turnover (bad pass) (Xavier Tillman steals)71
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound71
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06CelticsPayton Pritchard misses regular free throw 2 of 271
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06CelticsPayton Pritchard makes regular free throw 1 of 271
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Payton Pritchard draws the foul)71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:22CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:23HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:33HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point pullup jump shot71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:58CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:00HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:10HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11CelticsSam Hauser misses three point running jump shot71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:18CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:19HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:25HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:27HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:44HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:45CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point jump shot71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:02HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)71
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:24CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (out of bounds step)69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:29CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:29HeatThomas Bryant misses regular free throw 2 of 269
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:29HeatThomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 269
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:29CelticsLuke Kornet shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)68
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:41CelticsJrue Holiday personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)68
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 9:57CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (out of bounds lost ball)68
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:06CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound68
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:07HeatThomas Bryant misses three point jump shot68
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:18HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound68
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:21CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot68
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:40CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound68
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:43HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point running pullup jump shot68
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:46HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound68
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 10:47CelticsSam Hauser misses two point fadeaway jump shot68
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:01CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound68
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:02HeatNikola Jovic misses two point hook shot68
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:16CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Luke Kornet assists)68
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 11:27HeatThomas Bryant makes two point driving layup (Nikola Jovic assists)68
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 11:45HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound66
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 11:47CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot66
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.66
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.6HeatHeat offensive rebound66
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.6HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot66
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:10.7CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point tip dunk66
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:10.7CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:12.2CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:30.6HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 266
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:30.6HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 265
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:30.6CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:38.7HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:41.7CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point running pullup jump shot64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:45.2CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:48.2HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 1:04CelticsSam Hauser makes three point running jump shot (Derrick White assists)64
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 1:09HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Jrue Holiday steals)64
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 1:24CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving layup64
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 1:33HeatDelon Wright makes two point reverse layup (Nikola Jovic assists)64
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 1:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound62
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 1:44CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot62
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 2:05CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound62
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 2:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot62
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 2:20CelticsLuke Kornet turnover (offensive goaltending)62
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q3 - 2:43HeatNikola Jovic makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)62
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 2:55CelticsDerrick White makes three point pullup jump shot60
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 3:17HeatBam Adebayo makes two point bank jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)60
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 3:21CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)58
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 3:29HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound58
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 3:31CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot58
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 3:51HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)58
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 4:03CelticsSam Hauser makes two point driving dunk (Jaylen Brown assists)56
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 4:16CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound56
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q3 - 4:17HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot56
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q3 - 4:25CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds bad pass)56
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q3 - 4:44HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 256
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q3 - 4:44HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 255
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q3 - 4:44CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)54
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 4:52CelticsJrue Holiday personal foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)54
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 5:00CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup54
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 5:08CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound54
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 5:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot54
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 5:24HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound54
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q3 - 5:25CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot54
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q3 - 5:48HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup54
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 6:04CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)52
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 6:04CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)52
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 6:13HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)52
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 6:13HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Derrick White draws the foul)52
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 6:24HeatHeat defensive rebound52
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 6:27CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot52
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 6:46HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot52
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 6:57CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround hook shot (Derrick White assists)50
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q3 - 7:08HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)50
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 7:22CelticsAl Horford makes two point driving layup48
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q3 - 7:36CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound48
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 7:38HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup48
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q3 - 7:47CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup48
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q3 - 8:04CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound48
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 8:05HeatJayson Tatum blocks Caleb Martin's two point pullup jump shot48
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 8:18HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound48
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 8:20HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot48
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 8:28CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)48
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 8:32CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound48
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 8:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot48
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 8:46HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound48
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 8:47CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot48
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 9:01HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup48
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 9:11CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 3 of 346
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q3 - 9:11CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 346
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q3 - 9:11CelticsDerrick White misses regular free throw 1 of 346
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 9:11HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)46
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q3 - 9:28CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound46
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 9:30HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot46
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q3 - 9:50CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)46
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q3 - 10:03CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound46
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 10:04HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot46
0.9%
73
99.1%
Q3 - 10:20CelticsAl Horford makes two point cutting layup (Jayson Tatum assists)46
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 10:37CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound46
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 10:39HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot46
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 10:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 10:49CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot46
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 10:58CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound46
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 11:00HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot46
1.1%
71
98.9%
Q3 - 11:11CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 246
1.3%
71
98.7%
Q3 - 11:11CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 246
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 11:11HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)46
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 11:23CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound46
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 11:24HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot46
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 11:37CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 246
1.7%
69
98.3%
Q3 - 11:37CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 246
1.7%
68
98.3%
Q3 - 11:37HeatDelon Wright shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)46
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q3 - 11:46CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound46
1.7%
68
98.3%
Q3 - 11:48HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot46
1.7%
68
98.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.46
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0CelticsCeltics offensive rebound46
1.7%
68
98.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0CelticsDerrick White misses three point stepback jump shot46
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q2 - 0:06.3HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving reverse layup46
1.8%
68
98.2%
Q2 - 0:14.9HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound44
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q2 - 0:16.3CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point stepback jump shot44
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q2 - 0:29.0CelticsJrue Holiday offensive rebound44
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q2 - 0:31.5CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot44
1.5%
68
98.5%
Q2 - 0:38.1HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot44
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q2 - 0:54.6CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 242
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q2 - 0:54.6CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 242
1.2%
67
98.8%
Q2 - 0:54.6HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)42
1.2%
66
98.8%
Q2 - 1:02CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound42
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q2 - 1:04HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot42
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q2 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo makes technical free throw 1 of 142
1.6%
66
98.4%
Q2 - 1:16Celtics technical foul (Defensive three second)41
1.6%
66
98.4%
Q2 - 1:29CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point cutting layup (Jrue Holiday assists)41
1.4%
66
98.6%
Q2 - 1:38CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound41
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q2 - 1:42HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot41
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q2 - 1:53CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Delon Wright steals)41
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q2 - 2:00CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound41
1.7%
64
98.3%
Q2 - 2:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot41
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q2 - 2:19CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)41
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q2 - 2:19CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)41
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q2 - 2:36CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound41
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q2 - 2:37HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot41
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q2 - 2:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound41
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q2 - 2:42CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot41
1.9%
64
98.1%
Q2 - 3:01CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound41
1.9%
64
98.1%
Q2 - 3:03HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot41
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q2 - 3:15CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Delon Wright steals)41
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q2 - 3:17CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound41
1.9%
64
98.1%
Q2 - 3:19HeatDelon Wright misses three point jump shot41
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q2 - 3:38CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point cutting dunk (Luke Kornet assists)41
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q2 - 3:56CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound41
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q2 - 3:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot41
2.5%
62
97.5%
Q2 - 4:11CelticsJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 241
2.8%
62
97.2%
Q2 - 4:11CelticsJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 241
2.9%
61
97.1%
Q2 - 4:11HeatDelon Wright shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)41
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q2 - 4:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Patty Mills assists)41
3.1%
60
96.9%
Q2 - 4:39CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (inbound)39
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q2 - 4:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)39
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q2 - 4:54CelticsPayton Pritchard makes regular free throw 2 of 237
2.3%
60
97.7%
Q2 - 4:54CelticsPayton Pritchard makes regular free throw 1 of 237
2.3%
59
97.7%
Q2 - 4:54HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Payton Pritchard draws the foul)37
2.4%
58
97.6%
Q2 - 5:05HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup37
2.5%
58
97.5%
Q2 - 5:17CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 235
2.3%
58
97.7%
Q2 - 5:17CelticsAl Horford misses regular free throw 1 of 235
2.4%
57
97.6%
Q2 - 5:17HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Al Horford draws the foul)35
2.2%
57
97.8%
Q2 - 5:17CelticsCeltics offensive rebound35
2.3%
57
97.7%
Q2 - 5:18CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot35
2.5%
57
97.5%
Q2 - 5:21CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound35
2.3%
57
97.7%
Q2 - 5:23CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot35
2.5%
57
97.5%
Q2 - 5:48HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)35
2.3%
57
97.7%
Q2 - 5:58CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving layup (Jayson Tatum assists)33
2.1%
57
97.9%
Q2 - 6:01HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Al Horford draws the foul)33
2.4%
55
97.6%
Q2 - 6:16HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 133
2.4%
55
97.6%
Q2 - 6:16CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)32
2.3%
55
97.7%
Q2 - 6:18CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)30
2.0%
55
98.0%
Q2 - 6:40HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)30
1.7%
55
98.3%
Q2 - 6:50HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound30
2.0%
55
98.0%
Q2 - 6:52CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot30
1.9%
55
98.1%
Q2 - 7:19HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)30
1.8%
55
98.2%
Q2 - 7:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound27
1.5%
55
98.5%
Q2 - 7:35CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 227
1.5%
55
98.5%
Q2 - 7:35CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 227
1.4%
55
98.6%
Q2 - 7:35HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)27
1.3%
55
98.7%
Q2 - 7:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)27
1.3%
55
98.7%
Q2 - 8:00CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot25
1.2%
55
98.8%
Q2 - 8:22CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound25
1.5%
52
98.5%
Q2 - 8:23HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot25
1.6%
52
98.4%
Q2 - 8:35CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Sam Hauser assists)25
1.7%
52
98.3%
Q2 - 8:45CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound25
2.1%
49
97.9%
Q2 - 8:47HeatLuke Kornet blocks Bam Adebayo's two point fadeaway jump shot25
2.1%
49
97.9%
Q2 - 9:05CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround hook shot25
2.4%
49
97.6%
Q2 - 9:17CelticsJrue Holiday offensive rebound25
2.6%
47
97.4%
Q2 - 9:18CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 125
2.8%
47
97.2%
Q2 - 9:18HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)25
2.7%
47
97.3%
Q2 - 9:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)25
3.2%
45
96.8%
Q2 - 9:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound23
2.9%
45
97.1%
Q2 - 9:41CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup23
2.8%
45
97.2%
Q2 - 9:55HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)23
2.6%
45
97.4%
Q2 - 10:02CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound23
2.7%
45
97.3%
Q2 - 10:03HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot23
2.8%
45
97.2%
Q2 - 10:26CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot23
3.0%
45
97.0%
Q2 - 10:35CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound23
3.2%
43
96.8%
Q2 - 10:37HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running jump shot23
3.3%
43
96.7%
Q2 - 10:45HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound23
3.6%
43
96.4%
Q2 - 10:48CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot23
3.5%
43
96.5%
Q2 - 11:07CelticsCeltics defensive rebound23
3.4%
43
96.6%
Q2 - 11:08HeatNikola Jovic misses three point pullup jump shot23
3.5%
43
96.5%
Q2 - 11:22CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point fadeaway jump shot23
3.7%
43
96.3%
Q2 - 11:40CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound23
4.1%
41
95.9%
Q2 - 11:41HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot23
4.2%
41
95.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
4.5%
41
95.5%
Q1 - 0:00.3CelticsCeltics offensive rebound23
4.1%
41
95.9%
Q1 - 0:00.3CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot23
4.3%
41
95.7%
Q1 - 0:04.2CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound23
4.1%
41
95.9%
Q1 - 0:05.2HeatKevin Love misses two point hook shot23
4.2%
41
95.8%
Q1 - 0:29.4CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)23
4.5%
41
95.5%
Q1 - 0:46.5HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 123
5.4%
38
94.6%
Q1 - 0:46.5CelticsJrue Holiday shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)22
5.3%
38
94.7%
Q1 - 0:57.2CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot20
4.5%
38
95.5%
Q1 - 1:14HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot20
5.5%
35
94.5%
Q1 - 1:40CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point stepback jump shot18
5.0%
35
95.0%
Q1 - 1:59HeatPatty Mills makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)18
5.9%
32
94.1%
Q1 - 2:18CelticsSam Hauser makes three point stepback jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)16
5.7%
32
94.3%
Q1 - 2:26CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound16
6.6%
29
93.4%
Q1 - 2:27HeatPatty Mills misses three point pullup jump shot16
6.8%
29
93.2%
Q1 - 2:36CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 216
7.3%
29
92.7%
Q1 - 2:36CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 216
7.4%
28
92.6%
Q1 - 2:36HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)16
6.9%
28
93.1%
Q1 - 2:56CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound16
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q1 - 2:57HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot16
7.4%
28
92.6%
Q1 - 3:11CelticsDerrick White makes three point stepback jump shot16
8.0%
28
92.0%
Q1 - 3:29CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound16
9.3%
25
90.7%
Q1 - 3:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot16
9.6%
25
90.4%
Q1 - 3:42CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 216
10.3%
25
89.7%
Q1 - 3:42CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 216
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q1 - 3:42HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)16
10.5%
23
89.5%
Q1 - 3:49CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound16
10.9%
23
89.1%
Q1 - 3:52HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot16
11.2%
23
88.8%
Q1 - 3:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound16
12.0%
23
88.0%
Q1 - 3:59CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 216
11.9%
23
88.1%
Q1 - 3:59CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 216
11.2%
23
88.8%
Q1 - 3:59HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)16
11.4%
22
88.6%
Q1 - 4:12CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound16
12.0%
22
88.0%
Q1 - 4:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot16
12.3%
22
87.7%
Q1 - 4:26CelticsJayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 116
13.1%
22
86.9%
Q1 - 4:26HeatTyler Herro technical foul16
13.3%
21
86.7%
Q1 - 4:26CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)16
14.9%
21
85.1%
Q1 - 4:26CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)16
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q1 - 4:45HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)16
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q1 - 5:05CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)13
11.3%
21
88.7%
Q1 - 5:17HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot13
12.9%
18
87.1%
Q1 - 5:31CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)11
12.1%
18
87.9%
Q1 - 5:44CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound11
13.9%
15
86.1%
Q1 - 5:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot11
14.2%
15
85.8%
Q1 - 6:02CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving dunk (Al Horford assists)11
14.9%
15
85.1%
Q1 - 6:19CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound11
15.9%
13
84.1%
Q1 - 6:20HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot11
16.3%
13
83.7%
Q1 - 6:36CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Jrue Holiday assists)11
17.1%
13
82.9%
Q1 - 6:46HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving layup11
18.2%
11
81.8%
Q1 - 7:05CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving layup9
16.9%
11
83.1%
Q1 - 7:13CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound9
17.8%
9
82.2%
Q1 - 7:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot9
18.2%
9
81.8%
Q1 - 7:27HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound9
19.2%
9
80.8%
Q1 - 7:28CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point stepback jump shot9
18.8%
9
81.2%
Q1 - 7:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)9
17.8%
9
82.2%
Q1 - 8:07HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound7
16.7%
9
83.3%
Q1 - 8:08CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot7
16.3%
9
83.7%
Q1 - 8:22HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving layup7
15.4%
9
84.6%
Q1 - 8:34HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound5
14.6%
9
85.4%
Q1 - 8:35CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot5
14.3%
9
85.7%
Q1 - 8:48CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound5
13.5%
9
86.5%
Q1 - 8:49HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot5
13.9%
9
86.1%
Q1 - 9:05CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup5
14.7%
9
85.3%
Q1 - 9:11CelticsJrue Holiday offensive rebound5
15.6%
7
84.4%
Q1 - 9:14CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot5
16.3%
7
83.7%
Q1 - 9:29HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)5
15.5%
7
84.5%
Q1 - 9:41CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)2
13.7%
7
86.3%
Q1 - 9:50CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Jayson Tatum assists)2
13.7%
7
86.3%
Q1 - 9:58HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Al Horford steals)2
14.6%
5
85.4%
Q1 - 10:07HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound2
15.5%
5
84.5%
Q1 - 10:09CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot2
15.2%
5
84.8%
Q1 - 10:27CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound2
14.4%
5
85.6%
Q1 - 10:28HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot2
14.8%
5
85.2%
Q1 - 10:41CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)2
15.5%
5
84.5%
Q1 - 10:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot2
17.4%
2
82.6%
Q1 - 11:15CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Al Horford assists)0
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 11:29CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound0
17.0%
0
83.0%
Q1 - 11:31HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot0
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 11:42HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound0
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 11:44CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot0
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Al Horford (Derrick White gains possession)0
17.0%
0
83.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.7%
BOS
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
22
27
81%
BOS
20
23
87%
Midrange
MIA
11
31
35%
BOS
6
14
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
29
10%
16%
BOS
16
24.0
40
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
9
10
90%
BOS
18
27
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2344%11.5 / 26
T. Herro1538%7.5 / 20
C. Martin1056%5.0 / 9
T. Bryant1071%5.0 / 7
D. Wright857%4.0 / 7
N. Jović850%4.0 / 8
H. Highsmith440%2.0 / 5
P. Mills233%1.0 / 3
D. Robinson233%1.0 / 3
K. Love250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. White2583%12.5 / 15
J. Brown2560%12.5 / 21
S. Hauser1785%8.5 / 10
J. Tatum1662%8.0 / 13
J. Holiday1083%5.0 / 6
A. Horford880%4.0 / 5
P. Pritchard735%3.5 / 10
O. Brissett450%2.0 / 4
L. Kornet2100%1.0 / 1
J. Springer2100%1.0 / 1
X. Tillman2100%1.0 / 1
S. Mykhailiuk0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
89
+3
-6
92
BOS
81
+11
-14
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.7%
BOS
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.7
116.8
MIA 88.4 +35.8
BOS 124.2
Pace
91.6
92.6
MIA 99.3 +7.5
BOS 91.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.5
MIA 14.5 +1.2
BOS 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.7%
55.5%
MIA 43.1%
BOS 64.9% +21.8%
TO %
11.4%
11.0%
MIA 6.2% +8.2%
BOS 14.4%
ORB %
13.3%
23.7%
MIA 4.0%
BOS 22.9% +18.9%
FTrt
14.8
23.0
MIA 11.5
BOS 35.1 +23.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
60.5%
MIA 55.6% +0.8%
BOS 54.8%
STL %
5.0%
6.7%
MIA 4.2%
BOS 5.3% +1.1%
BLK %
3.3%
10.2%
MIA 0.0%
BOS 5.2% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
56.8%
MIA 45.7%
BOS 64.1% +18.4%
Rim FG%
72.3%
69.2%
MIA 81.5%
BOS 87.0% +5.5%
Mid FG%
40.5%
41.0%
MIA 35.5%
BOS 42.9% +7.4%
3P %
32.9%
36.0%
MIA 10.3%
BOS 40.0% +29.7%
FT %
81.7%
81.2%
MIA 90.0% +23.3%
BOS 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
20.4%
29.4%
MIA 31.0% +1.2%
BOS 29.9%
Mid Att. %
37.7%
22.7%
MIA 35.6%
BOS 18.2% +17.5%
3P Att. %
41.9%
48.0%
MIA 33.3%
BOS 51.9% +18.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes23.024.8
Points84118
Rebounds2956
Assists2023
Steals45
Blocks03
Turnovers (Team)6 (0)14 (1)
Fouls1715
Off. Rebounds (Team)2 (1)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)48 (1)
Field Goals36-8742-77
At-the-Rim FG22-2720-23
Midrange FG11-316-14
2-Point FG33-5826-37
3-Point FG3-2916-40
Free Throws9-1018-27
Fast Break Pts35
2nd Chance Pts011
Points in Paint5652
Pts off Turnovers1510
Bench Points2034
Biggest Lead037

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 29
36.3
10
56%
4
1
0
0
0
3
1
3
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
36.0
23
44%
5
6
2
0
3
1
0
5
2-2
100%
9-23
39%
1-3
33%
#14 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 24
35.0
15
38%
3
3
0
0
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
1-8
13%
#4 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 32
32.5
8
57%
3
2
2
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
27.7
8
50%
7
4
0
0
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27
23.0
4
40%
3
0
0
0
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
#88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36
17.5
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30
17.5
2
33%
1
2
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27
12.0
10
71%
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
2
2-3
67%
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 36
2.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
NWT - Injury/Illness | Right Hip Flexor; Strain
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35
NWT - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; MCL Sprain
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 30
NWT - Injury/Illness | Neck; Spasm
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
NWT - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Surgery
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
84
46%
29
20
4
0
6
17
2
27
9-10
90%
33-58
57%
3-29
10%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.