FinalWin Prob.pScore
163%108
102
1737%103
88
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
108.59488.0
MIA logo MIA
94.693101.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.102
100%
88
0%
Q4 - 0:02.1CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound102
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.1HeatCaleb Martin misses three point stepback jump shot102
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.1CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)102
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.1HeatCaleb Martin makes three point pullup jump shot102
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:50.4CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)102
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)99
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound99
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22CelticsAl Horford misses three point stepback jump shot99
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36HeatDelon Wright personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)99
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving finger roll layup (Caleb Martin assists)99
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:58CelticsAl Horford makes two point driving dunk (Derrick White assists)99
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 297
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 297
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot97
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:46HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 297
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:46HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 297
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:46CelticsJrue Holiday shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:46HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:46HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:46HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:48HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)97
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14HeatPatty Mills turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Brown steals)95
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:29HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound95
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:29CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot95
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound95
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 3:52HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot95
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 4:15CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving finger roll layup95
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 4:32CelticsCeltics defensive rebound93
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 4:35HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup93
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 4:53CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot93
99.6%
78
0.4%
Q4 - 5:04CelticsJayson Tatum makes flagrant free throw 2 of 293
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 5:04CelticsJayson Tatum makes flagrant free throw 1 of 292
99.4%
78
0.6%
Q4 - 5:04HeatBam Adebayo flagrant 1 (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)91
99.4%
78
0.6%
Q4 - 5:04HeatTyler Herro misses technical free throw 1 of 191
98.9%
78
1.1%
Q4 - 5:04CelticsAl Horford technical foul91
98.7%
78
1.3%
Q4 - 5:04HeatPatty Mills personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)91
98.9%
78
1.1%
Q4 - 5:22HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running finger roll layup91
99.0%
78
1.0%
Q4 - 5:27HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound91
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 5:31CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot91
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 5:32CelticsJrue Holiday offensive rebound91
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 5:36CelticsDerrick White misses two point pullup jump shot91
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 6:02HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot91
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 6:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound91
99.3%
74
0.7%
Q4 - 6:18CelticsDerrick White misses two point driving layup91
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 6:43HeatCaleb Martin makes three point pullup jump shot91
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 6:52CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds lost ball)91
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 7:06CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound91
99.7%
71
0.3%
Q4 - 7:06HeatDerrick White blocks Patty Mills's three point jump shot91
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 7:19CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving dunk (Derrick White assists)91
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 7:28HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)89
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 7:46CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)89
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 8:02HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 186
98.5%
71
1.5%
Q4 - 8:02CelticsJrue Holiday shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)86
98.5%
70
1.5%
Q4 - 8:07CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)86
99.0%
68
1.0%
Q4 - 8:20CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Love draws the foul)86
99.0%
68
1.0%
Q4 - 8:20HeatHeat defensive rebound86
99.0%
68
1.0%
Q4 - 8:20CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point running layup86
99.1%
68
0.9%
Q4 - 8:24HeatKevin Love turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Brown steals)86
99.3%
68
0.7%
Q4 - 8:27HeatKevin Love defensive rebound86
99.1%
68
0.9%
Q4 - 8:31CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround hook shot86
99.1%
68
0.9%
Q4 - 8:51HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot86
99.3%
68
0.7%
Q4 - 9:00HeatKevin Love defensive rebound86
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q4 - 9:02CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point driving layup86
99.3%
66
0.7%
Q4 - 9:23HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving layup86
99.4%
66
0.6%
Q4 - 9:35HeatKevin Love defensive rebound86
99.5%
64
0.5%
Q4 - 9:36CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point fadeaway jump shot86
99.6%
64
0.4%
Q4 - 9:52CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound86
99.6%
64
0.4%
Q4 - 9:55HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot86
99.6%
64
0.4%
Q4 - 10:11CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)86
99.3%
64
0.7%
Q4 - 10:23HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)83
99.0%
64
1.0%
Q4 - 10:39HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Kevin Love assists)83
99.0%
64
1.0%
Q4 - 10:58CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup83
99.4%
61
0.6%
Q4 - 11:14CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound81
99.0%
61
1.0%
Q4 - 11:17HeatPatty Mills misses three point running jump shot81
99.0%
61
1.0%
Q4 - 11:22HeatKevin Love defensive rebound81
98.8%
61
1.2%
Q4 - 11:25CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot81
98.9%
61
1.1%
Q4 - 11:40HeatPatty Mills makes regular free throw 3 of 381
99.0%
61
1.0%
Q4 - 11:40HeatPatty Mills makes regular free throw 2 of 381
99.1%
60
0.9%
Q4 - 11:40HeatPatty Mills misses regular free throw 1 of 381
99.1%
59
0.9%
Q4 - 11:40CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)81
98.9%
59
1.1%
Q4 - 11:50CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)81
99.2%
59
0.8%
Q4 - 11:50CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)81
99.4%
59
0.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.81
99.4%
59
0.6%
Q3 - 0:00.1CelticsCeltics offensive rebound81
99.2%
59
0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.8CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot81
99.1%
59
0.9%
Q3 - 0:19.3HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)81
99.2%
59
0.8%
Q3 - 0:25.5HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound81
99.5%
56
0.5%
Q3 - 0:27.9CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot81
99.5%
56
0.5%
Q3 - 0:29.2CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound81
99.6%
56
0.4%
Q3 - 0:33.8CelticsDerrick White misses three point running pullup jump shot81
99.5%
56
0.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound81
99.6%
56
0.4%
Q3 - 0:39.9HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving bank jump shot81
99.5%
56
0.5%
Q3 - 0:55.4CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point tip layup81
99.5%
56
0.5%
Q3 - 0:55.4CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound79
99.3%
56
0.7%
Q3 - 0:55.4CelticsLuke Kornet misses two point tip layup79
99.3%
56
0.7%
Q3 - 0:55.4CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound79
99.3%
56
0.7%
Q3 - 0:57.8CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup79
99.3%
56
0.7%
Q3 - 1:19HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 179
99.2%
56
0.8%
Q3 - 1:19CelticsLuke Kornet shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)79
99.2%
55
0.8%
Q3 - 1:19HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound79
99.4%
53
0.6%
Q3 - 1:19HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup79
99.5%
53
0.5%
Q3 - 1:43CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running finger roll layup (Payton Pritchard assists)79
99.4%
53
0.6%
Q3 - 1:49HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Payton Pritchard steals)77
99.3%
53
0.7%
Q3 - 1:55HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound77
99.2%
53
0.8%
Q3 - 1:58CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point stepback jump shot77
99.2%
53
0.8%
Q3 - 2:23HeatPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)77
99.1%
53
0.9%
Q3 - 2:34CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 277
99.4%
50
0.6%
Q3 - 2:34CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 276
99.4%
50
0.6%
Q3 - 2:34HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)75
99.3%
50
0.7%
Q3 - 2:44HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 175
99.3%
50
0.7%
Q3 - 2:44CelticsSam Hauser shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)75
99.3%
49
0.7%
Q3 - 3:00CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot75
99.5%
47
0.5%
Q3 - 3:06CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound73
99.3%
47
0.7%
Q3 - 3:07HeatPatty Mills misses two point driving finger roll layup73
99.2%
47
0.8%
Q3 - 3:16CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 273
99.1%
47
0.9%
Q3 - 3:16CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 272
99.1%
47
0.9%
Q3 - 3:16HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)71
99.1%
47
0.9%
Q3 - 3:39HeatPatty Mills makes two point pullup jump shot71
99.0%
47
1.0%
Q3 - 3:51CelticsDerrick White makes two point running layup71
99.1%
45
0.9%
Q3 - 3:56CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound69
99.0%
45
1.0%
Q3 - 3:59HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point turnaround hook shot69
98.9%
45
1.1%
Q3 - 4:14HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
98.6%
45
1.4%
Q3 - 4:17CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot69
98.6%
45
1.4%
Q3 - 4:32CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound69
98.8%
45
1.2%
Q3 - 4:35HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot69
98.7%
45
1.3%
Q3 - 4:47CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)69
98.6%
45
1.4%
Q3 - 4:53HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Al Horford draws the foul)66
98.1%
45
1.9%
Q3 - 4:53CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound66
98.1%
45
1.9%
Q3 - 4:56CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot66
97.9%
45
2.1%
Q3 - 5:07HeatPatty Mills makes two point putback layup66
97.8%
45
2.2%
Q3 - 5:09HeatPatty Mills offensive rebound66
98.1%
43
1.9%
Q3 - 5:13HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot66
98.3%
43
1.7%
Q3 - 5:25CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running dunk (Derrick White assists)66
98.1%
43
1.9%
Q3 - 5:32CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound64
97.8%
43
2.2%
Q3 - 5:32HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot64
97.7%
43
2.3%
Q3 - 5:34HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound64
97.4%
43
2.6%
Q3 - 5:36HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup64
97.7%
43
2.3%
Q3 - 5:55CelticsDerrick White makes two point cutting dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)64
97.4%
43
2.6%
Q3 - 6:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)62
96.8%
43
3.2%
Q3 - 6:17CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)62
97.2%
41
2.8%
Q3 - 6:17HeatHeat offensive rebound62
97.2%
41
2.8%
Q3 - 6:18HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot62
97.5%
41
2.5%
Q3 - 6:31CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)62
97.2%
41
2.8%
Q3 - 6:39CelticsDerrick White makes two point cutting dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)62
97.2%
41
2.8%
Q3 - 6:50CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound60
96.8%
41
3.2%
Q3 - 6:53HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot60
96.7%
41
3.3%
Q3 - 7:04CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point stepback jump shot60
95.9%
41
4.1%
Q3 - 7:24HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)58
95.4%
41
4.6%
Q3 - 7:38CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)58
94.6%
41
5.4%
Q3 - 7:49CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (traveling)58
94.6%
41
5.4%
Q3 - 8:07HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)58
95.1%
41
4.9%
Q3 - 8:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound58
96.2%
38
3.8%
Q3 - 8:26CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point hook shot58
96.3%
38
3.7%
Q3 - 8:50HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)58
96.7%
38
3.3%
Q3 - 8:50HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)58
96.2%
38
3.8%
Q3 - 9:04CelticsDerrick White turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jovic steals)58
95.8%
38
4.2%
Q3 - 9:25HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround hook shot58
96.4%
38
3.6%
Q3 - 9:32CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)58
96.8%
36
3.2%
Q3 - 9:38CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound58
97.3%
36
2.7%
Q3 - 9:41HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot58
97.1%
36
2.9%
Q3 - 9:48HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound58
96.8%
36
3.2%
Q3 - 9:52CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot58
97.0%
36
3.0%
Q3 - 10:11HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)58
97.0%
36
3.0%
Q3 - 10:16HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound58
96.5%
36
3.5%
Q3 - 10:21CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot58
96.7%
36
3.3%
Q3 - 10:28CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound58
97.0%
36
3.0%
Q3 - 10:31HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot58
96.9%
36
3.1%
Q3 - 10:36CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)58
96.5%
36
3.5%
Q3 - 10:36HeatHeat offensive rebound58
96.5%
36
3.5%
Q3 - 10:36HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot58
96.9%
36
3.1%
Q3 - 10:50CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)58
96.5%
36
3.5%
Q3 - 11:06HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)55
95.4%
36
4.6%
Q3 - 11:20CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point layup (Jrue Holiday assists)55
94.8%
36
5.2%
Q3 - 11:23CelticsJrue Holiday offensive rebound53
94.2%
36
5.8%
Q3 - 11:25CelticsDerrick White misses three point stepback jump shot53
93.6%
36
6.4%
Q3 - 11:36CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound53
94.2%
36
5.8%
Q3 - 11:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot53
94.0%
36
6.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.53
93.4%
36
6.6%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound53
93.4%
36
6.6%
Q2 - 0:00.4HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot53
93.8%
36
6.2%
Q2 - 0:21.9CelticsAl Horford makes two point running dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)53
93.4%
36
6.6%
Q2 - 0:26.4CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound51
92.4%
36
7.6%
Q2 - 0:28.2HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving reverse layup51
92.2%
36
7.8%
Q2 - 0:50.2CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point stepback jump shot51
91.6%
36
8.4%
Q2 - 1:14HeatCaleb Martin makes three point running jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)48
89.2%
36
10.8%
Q2 - 1:19HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound48
91.5%
33
8.5%
Q2 - 1:21CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving finger roll layup48
91.7%
33
8.3%
Q2 - 1:30HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup48
92.2%
33
7.8%
Q2 - 1:30HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound48
93.2%
31
6.8%
Q2 - 1:33HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup48
93.6%
31
6.4%
Q2 - 1:51CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 248
93.2%
31
6.8%
Q2 - 1:51CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 247
93.0%
31
7.0%
Q2 - 1:51HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)47
93.6%
31
6.4%
Q2 - 1:51CelticsCeltics offensive rebound47
93.1%
31
6.9%
Q2 - 1:53CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot47
92.6%
31
7.4%
Q2 - 2:13CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound47
92.7%
31
7.3%
Q2 - 2:17HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot47
92.4%
31
7.6%
Q2 - 2:27CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)47
91.8%
31
8.2%
Q2 - 2:29HeatHeat defensive rebound47
91.8%
31
8.2%
Q2 - 2:30CelticsJaime Jaquez Jr. blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving layup47
92.1%
31
7.9%
Q2 - 2:41CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound47
92.7%
31
7.3%
Q2 - 2:44HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot47
92.5%
31
7.5%
Q2 - 2:57CelticsAl Horford turnover (offensive foul)47
91.8%
31
8.2%
Q2 - 2:57CelticsAl Horford offensive foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)47
92.7%
31
7.3%
Q2 - 2:57HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)47
92.7%
31
7.3%
Q2 - 3:04CelticsCeltics defensive rebound47
92.3%
31
7.7%
Q2 - 3:05HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot47
92.0%
31
8.0%
Q2 - 3:13HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound47
91.3%
31
8.7%
Q2 - 3:16CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot47
91.6%
31
8.4%
Q2 - 3:38CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound47
92.3%
31
7.7%
Q2 - 3:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot47
92.0%
31
8.0%
Q2 - 3:58CelticsDerrick White makes three point running pullup jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)47
91.3%
31
8.7%
Q2 - 4:04HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)44
89.2%
31
10.8%
Q2 - 4:18CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (out of bounds lost ball)44
88.0%
31
12.0%
Q2 - 4:34CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound44
89.2%
31
10.8%
Q2 - 4:36HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot44
88.9%
31
11.1%
Q2 - 4:50CelticsDerrick White makes three point pullup jump shot44
88.0%
31
12.0%
Q2 - 5:12CelticsCeltics defensive rebound41
85.7%
31
14.3%
Q2 - 5:13HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot41
85.2%
31
14.8%
Q2 - 5:31HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
84.0%
31
16.0%
Q2 - 5:34CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot41
84.5%
31
15.5%
Q2 - 5:40HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Payton Pritchard draws the foul)41
85.7%
31
14.3%
Q2 - 5:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Duncan Robinson assists)41
85.7%
31
14.3%
Q2 - 5:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
86.7%
29
13.3%
Q2 - 5:56CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving hook shot41
87.1%
29
12.9%
Q2 - 6:05CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound41
87.9%
29
12.1%
Q2 - 6:10HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot41
87.5%
29
12.5%
Q2 - 6:26CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point bank jump shot41
86.5%
29
13.5%
Q2 - 6:49HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)39
85.5%
29
14.5%
Q2 - 6:49HeatDelon Wright offensive rebound39
83.8%
29
16.2%
Q2 - 6:52HeatDerrick White blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup39
85.0%
29
15.0%
Q2 - 7:11HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound39
83.7%
29
16.3%
Q2 - 7:15CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot39
84.2%
29
15.8%
Q2 - 7:26HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)39
85.2%
29
14.8%
Q2 - 7:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot39
85.2%
29
14.8%
Q2 - 7:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
86.4%
27
13.6%
Q2 - 7:49CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point jump shot39
86.8%
27
13.2%
Q2 - 8:14HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (out of bounds bad pass)39
87.5%
27
12.5%
Q2 - 8:17HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound39
86.2%
27
13.8%
Q2 - 8:21CelticsDerrick White misses three point stepback jump shot39
86.6%
27
13.4%
Q2 - 8:34HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 1 of 139
87.5%
27
12.5%
Q2 - 8:34CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)39
87.9%
26
12.1%
Q2 - 8:43CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds lost ball)39
89.5%
24
10.5%
Q2 - 8:48CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound39
90.5%
24
9.5%
Q2 - 8:52HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot39
90.2%
24
9.8%
Q2 - 8:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
89.5%
24
10.5%
Q2 - 9:01CelticsDerrick White misses two point driving floating jump shot39
89.4%
24
10.6%
Q2 - 9:17HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)39
90.1%
24
9.9%
Q2 - 9:17CelticsCeltics defensive rebound39
90.1%
24
9.9%
Q2 - 9:18HeatDelon Wright misses two point driving floating jump shot39
89.8%
24
10.2%
Q2 - 9:31HeatHeat defensive rebound39
89.2%
24
10.8%
Q2 - 9:31CelticsDelon Wright blocks Jayson Tatum's two point driving layup39
89.5%
24
10.5%
Q2 - 9:41HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)39
90.1%
24
9.9%
Q2 - 9:44CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)39
89.2%
24
10.8%
Q2 - 9:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound39
89.2%
24
10.8%
Q2 - 10:02CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot39
89.3%
24
10.7%
Q2 - 10:13CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound39
90.0%
24
10.0%
Q2 - 10:14HeatPatty Mills misses two point pullup jump shot39
89.7%
24
10.3%
Q2 - 10:30CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point driving layup39
89.0%
24
11.0%
Q2 - 10:41CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound37
88.0%
24
12.0%
Q2 - 10:44HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point floating jump shot37
87.7%
24
12.3%
Q2 - 11:03CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)37
86.5%
24
13.5%
Q2 - 11:16CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound34
84.1%
24
15.9%
Q2 - 11:20HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot34
83.7%
24
16.3%
Q2 - 11:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound34
82.8%
24
17.2%
Q2 - 11:29CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot34
83.2%
24
16.8%
Q2 - 11:39CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound34
84.1%
24
15.9%
Q2 - 11:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot34
83.7%
24
16.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.34
82.8%
24
17.2%
Q1 - 0:00.1CelticsCeltics offensive rebound34
83.9%
24
16.1%
Q1 - 0:00.9CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot34
83.0%
24
17.0%
Q1 - 0:10.1HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)34
83.9%
24
16.1%
Q1 - 0:19.6CelticsJrue Holiday personal foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)34
85.2%
22
14.8%
Q1 - 0:37.2HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound34
85.2%
22
14.8%
Q1 - 0:38.1CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point tip layup34
85.5%
22
14.5%
Q1 - 0:38.1CelticsPayton Pritchard offensive rebound34
86.3%
22
13.7%
Q1 - 0:39.6CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point driving floating jump shot34
85.5%
22
14.5%
Q1 - 1:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)34
86.2%
22
13.8%
Q1 - 1:21CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot34
87.3%
20
12.7%
Q1 - 1:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Delon Wright assists)31
85.1%
20
14.9%
Q1 - 1:58CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 231
86.3%
18
13.7%
Q1 - 1:58CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 230
86.1%
18
13.9%
Q1 - 1:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)29
85.9%
18
14.1%
Q1 - 2:20CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound29
84.9%
18
15.1%
Q1 - 2:21HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot29
84.5%
18
15.5%
Q1 - 2:30HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound29
83.5%
18
16.5%
Q1 - 2:33CelticsDerrick White misses two point pullup bank jump shot29
83.9%
18
16.1%
Q1 - 2:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot29
84.9%
18
15.1%
Q1 - 2:58HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound29
85.9%
16
14.1%
Q1 - 3:01CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup29
85.9%
16
14.1%
Q1 - 3:06CelticsPayton Pritchard offensive rebound29
86.8%
16
13.2%
Q1 - 3:10CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot29
85.9%
16
14.1%
Q1 - 3:25HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving reverse layup29
86.8%
16
13.2%
Q1 - 3:39CelticsDerrick White makes three point running jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)29
87.5%
14
12.5%
Q1 - 3:47CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound26
85.7%
14
14.3%
Q1 - 3:47HeatDerrick White blocks Tyler Herro's two point pullup jump shot26
85.3%
14
14.7%
Q1 - 4:00CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point putback layup26
84.3%
14
15.7%
Q1 - 4:01CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound24
82.8%
14
17.2%
Q1 - 4:02CelticsHaywood Highsmith blocks Jaylen Brown's two point running layup24
81.8%
14
18.2%
Q1 - 4:07CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound24
82.8%
14
17.2%
Q1 - 4:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot24
82.4%
14
17.6%
Q1 - 4:25CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)24
81.4%
14
18.6%
Q1 - 4:27CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound24
82.8%
14
17.2%
Q1 - 4:29CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 224
81.6%
14
18.4%
Q1 - 4:29CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 224
82.3%
14
17.7%
Q1 - 4:29HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)23
82.0%
14
18.0%
Q1 - 4:46HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)23
81.6%
14
18.4%
Q1 - 4:59CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)23
80.1%
14
19.9%
Q1 - 5:13HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot20
77.3%
14
22.7%
Q1 - 5:29CelticsDerrick White makes two point running finger roll layup20
78.6%
12
21.4%
Q1 - 5:34CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound18
77.3%
12
22.7%
Q1 - 5:37HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot18
76.8%
12
23.2%
Q1 - 5:56CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)18
75.7%
12
24.3%
Q1 - 6:13HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)15
72.5%
12
27.5%
Q1 - 6:24HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound15
70.9%
12
29.1%
Q1 - 6:28CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot15
71.4%
12
28.6%
Q1 - 6:40CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound15
72.6%
12
27.4%
Q1 - 6:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot15
72.1%
12
27.9%
Q1 - 6:53HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound15
70.9%
12
29.1%
Q1 - 6:55CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot15
71.4%
12
28.6%
Q1 - 7:05CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound15
72.9%
12
27.1%
Q1 - 7:09HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot15
72.4%
12
27.6%
Q1 - 7:16CelticsKristaps Porzingis personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)15
71.0%
12
29.0%
Q1 - 7:16HeatHeat offensive rebound15
71.0%
12
29.0%
Q1 - 7:18HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot15
72.3%
12
27.7%
Q1 - 7:26CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 215
71.0%
12
29.0%
Q1 - 7:26CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 214
70.8%
12
29.2%
Q1 - 7:26HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)13
70.5%
12
29.5%
Q1 - 7:41HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)13
69.6%
12
30.4%
Q1 - 7:54CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)13
71.0%
10
29.0%
Q1 - 7:59HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound13
71.0%
10
29.0%
Q1 - 8:02CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot13
72.0%
10
28.0%
Q1 - 8:07CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound13
73.3%
10
26.7%
Q1 - 8:10HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot13
72.7%
10
27.3%
Q1 - 8:24CelticsDerrick White makes two point turnaround hook shot13
71.4%
10
28.6%
Q1 - 8:28CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound11
70.1%
10
29.9%
Q1 - 8:31CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot11
68.7%
10
31.3%
Q1 - 8:41HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)11
70.1%
10
29.9%
Q1 - 8:49CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 211
71.4%
8
28.6%
Q1 - 8:49CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 210
71.2%
8
28.8%
Q1 - 8:49HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)9
70.9%
8
29.1%
Q1 - 9:04HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup9
69.9%
8
30.1%
Q1 - 9:17CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point driving reverse layup9
71.3%
6
28.7%
Q1 - 9:41HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)7
69.9%
6
30.1%
Q1 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
72.9%
3
27.1%
Q1 - 9:47CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point running finger roll layup7
73.4%
3
26.6%
Q1 - 9:52HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Jrue Holiday steals)7
74.5%
3
25.5%
Q1 - 10:02CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)7
72.7%
3
27.3%
Q1 - 10:15CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound4
69.8%
3
30.2%
Q1 - 10:15HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot4
69.3%
3
30.7%
Q1 - 10:31CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jrue Holiday assists)4
68.1%
3
31.9%
Q1 - 10:37CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound2
66.6%
3
33.4%
Q1 - 10:40HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot2
66.1%
3
33.9%
Q1 - 10:47HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound2
64.8%
3
35.2%
Q1 - 10:50CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point running jump shot2
65.3%
3
34.7%
Q1 - 10:56CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound2
66.6%
3
33.4%
Q1 - 10:58HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot2
66.1%
3
33.9%
Q1 - 11:02HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound2
65.2%
3
34.8%
Q1 - 11:05HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point running layup2
66.5%
3
33.5%
Q1 - 11:08CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)2
65.2%
3
34.8%
Q1 - 11:27HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)2
67.0%
3
33.0%
Q1 - 11:44CelticsJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 22
69.7%
0
30.3%
Q1 - 11:44CelticsJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 21
69.5%
0
30.5%
Q1 - 11:44HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)0
69.2%
0
30.8%
Q1 - 12:00Kristaps Porzingis vs. Bam Adebayo (Derrick White gains possession)0
68.5%
0
31.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.04 52.0%
MIA
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
13
21
62%
MIA
9
15
60%
Midrange
BOS
9
28
32%
MIA
17
38
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
14
21.0
37
38%
57%
MIA
9
13.5
33
27%
41%
Free Throws
BOS
16
18
89%
MIA
9
12
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. White3873%19.0 / 26
J. Tatum2063%10.0 / 16
J. Brown1743%8.5 / 20
J. Holiday1150%5.5 / 11
K. Porziņģis750%3.5 / 7
A. Horford770%3.5 / 5
L. Kornet250%1.0 / 2
P. Pritchard0-0.0 / 4
S. Hauser0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2554%12.5 / 23
T. Herro1956%9.5 / 17
C. Martin1860%9.0 / 15
J. Jaquez945%4.5 / 10
P. Mills950%4.5 / 9
N. Jović338%1.5 / 4
H. Highsmith325%1.5 / 6
D. Wright250%1.0 / 2
K. Love0-0.0 / 2
D. Robinson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
84
+14
-10
98
MIA
80
+12
-13
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.04 52.0%
MIA
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.8
100.7
BOS 108.5
MIA 94.6 +13.9
Pace
92.6
91.6
BOS 88.0
MIA 101.4 +13.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.9
BOS 16.4
MIA 14.2 +2.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.5%
50.7%
BOS 50.0% +4.1%
MIA 45.9%
TO %
11.0%
11.4%
BOS 10.5% +3.6%
MIA 14.1%
ORB %
23.7%
13.3%
BOS 24.4% +5.8%
MIA 18.6%
FTrt
23.0
14.8
BOS 20.9 +6.9
MIA 14.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
59.6%
BOS 58.3% +9.7%
MIA 48.6%
STL %
6.7%
5.0%
BOS 5.3% +1.0%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
10.2%
3.3%
BOS 5.7%
MIA 6.1% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.8%
51.8%
BOS 52.0% +4.2%
MIA 47.8%
Rim FG%
69.2%
72.3%
BOS 61.9% +1.9%
MIA 60.0%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.5%
BOS 32.1%
MIA 44.7% +12.6%
3P %
36.0%
32.9%
BOS 37.8% +10.5%
MIA 27.3%
FT %
81.2%
81.7%
BOS 88.9% +13.9%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.4%
20.4%
BOS 24.4% +7.0%
MIA 17.4%
Mid Att. %
22.7%
37.7%
BOS 32.6% +11.6%
MIA 44.2%
3P Att. %
48.0%
41.9%
BOS 43.0% +4.7%
MIA 38.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes25.622.0
Points10288
Rebounds4642
Assists2117
Steals54
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)13 (2)
Fouls2018
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (4)34 (3)
Field Goals36-8635-86
At-the-Rim FG13-219-15
Midrange FG9-2817-38
2-Point FG22-4926-53
3-Point FG14-379-33
Free Throws16-189-12
Fast Break Pts168
2nd Chance Pts1210
Points in Paint4046
Pts off Turnovers2010
Bench Points914
Biggest Lead281

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30
40.8
38
73%
4
3
0
3
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
7-11
64%
8-15
53%
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 28
39.0
17
43%
5
2
2
0
6
3
2
3
2-4
50%
6-15
40%
1-3
33%
#4 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 34
38.1
11
50%
6
6
1
0
0
3
2
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
#0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26
37.1
20
63%
11
5
0
0
1
3
0
11
8-8
100%
3-8
38%
2-6
33%
#8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 29
13.5
7
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 38
34.0
7
70%
8
2
1
0
1
4
1
7
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
#11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26
18.3
0
0%
2
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
#30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 26
16.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29
3.3
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27
#44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22
#88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25
#27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20
#26 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 25
#12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
52%
46
21
5
3
10
20
11
35
16-18
89%
22-49
45%
14-37
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.