for complete access.
All Games Saturday, April 27, 2024
FinalWin Prob.pScore
1
Celtics
63%109
104
15
Heat
37%104
84
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
122.48584.4
MIA logo MIA
97.78686.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.104
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:18.0CelticsCeltics turnover (8-second violation)104
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.8CelticsSvi Mykhailiuk defensive rebound104
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.7HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot104
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.7HeatOrlando Robinson defensive rebound104
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:48.2CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot104
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01CelticsOshae Brissett defensive rebound104
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06HeatOrlando Robinson misses three point jump shot104
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21CelticsLuke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21CelticsLuke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21HeatThomas Bryant personal foul (Luke Kornet draws the foul)102
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Orlando Robinson assists)102
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound102
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45CelticsDerrick White misses two point stepback jump shot102
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13HeatThomas Bryant makes two point floating jump shot102
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16HeatThomas Bryant offensive rebound102
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:18HeatPatty Mills misses two point fadeaway jump shot102
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)102
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)102
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound102
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot102
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)102
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound102
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:21CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup bank jump shot102
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:42CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound102
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot102
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:57CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point fadeaway jump shot102
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:22HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)100
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses regular free throw 1 of 299
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:38HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:59HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot99
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 5:17CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 299
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 5:17CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 298
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 5:17HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 5:38HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running pullup jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 5:43HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound97
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:50CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot97
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 6:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Patty Mills assists)97
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 6:32HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound97
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 6:34CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot97
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 6:59HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 197
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 6:59CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)97
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 7:15CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point fadeaway jump shot97
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 7:37CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound95
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 7:39HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot95
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 7:56CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jayson Tatum assists)95
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 8:17HeatPatty Mills makes regular free throw 1 of 193
99.9%
68
0.1%
Q4 - 8:17CelticsPayton Pritchard shooting foul (Patty Mills draws the foul)93
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 8:27CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot93
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 8:42HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)91
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 8:50CelticsSam Hauser personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)91
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 8:58HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound91
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 9:00CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot91
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 9:20CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound91
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 9:22HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot91
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 9:50CelticsAl Horford makes two point putback layup91
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 9:50CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound89
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 9:52CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point driving layup89
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 9:58HeatPatty Mills personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)89
99.8%
64
0.2%
Q4 - 10:22HeatPatty Mills makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)89
99.7%
64
0.3%
Q4 - 10:32CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 289
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 10:32CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 288
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 10:32HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)87
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 10:41CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound87
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 10:44CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot87
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 10:58CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound87
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 11:01HeatJrue Holiday blocks Nikola Jovic's two point driving floating jump shot87
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 11:10CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Patty Mills steals)87
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 11:13CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound87
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 11:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot87
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 11:25HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound87
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 11:27CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot87
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 11:38CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound87
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 11:41HeatPatty Mills misses three point jump shot87
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.87
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0HeatHeat offensive rebound87
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q3 - 0:01.5HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot87
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q3 - 0:10.7CelticsJayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 187
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q3 - 0:10.7HeatTyler Herro technical foul86
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q3 - 0:10.7CelticsSam Hauser personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)86
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q3 - 0:28.5HeatThomas Bryant defensive rebound86
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q3 - 0:31.9CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot86
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q3 - 0:36.8CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound86
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q3 - 0:39.1HeatNikola Jovic misses two point pullup jump shot86
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q3 - 0:47.8HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound86
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q3 - 0:49.9CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot86
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q3 - 1:08HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting layup (Nikola Jovic assists)86
99.4%
61
0.6%
Q3 - 1:33CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)86
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q3 - 1:45HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)83
99.3%
59
0.7%
Q3 - 2:14CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)83
99.2%
57
0.8%
Q3 - 2:35HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)80
98.9%
57
1.1%
Q3 - 2:43HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound80
98.7%
57
1.3%
Q3 - 2:47CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot80
98.8%
57
1.2%
Q3 - 2:52CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound80
99.0%
57
1.0%
Q3 - 2:54HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving finger roll layup80
98.9%
57
1.1%
Q3 - 3:16CelticsAl Horford makes two point alley-oop dunk (Derrick White assists)80
98.5%
57
1.5%
Q3 - 3:27HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)78
98.3%
57
1.7%
Q3 - 3:34CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound78
98.3%
57
1.7%
Q3 - 3:35HeatKristaps Porzingis blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup78
98.2%
57
1.8%
Q3 - 3:46CelticsDerrick White makes two point pullup jump shot78
98.0%
57
2.0%
Q3 - 4:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)76
97.3%
57
2.7%
Q3 - 4:25CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving layup76
97.7%
55
2.3%
Q3 - 4:47HeatTyler Herro makes two point running jump shot74
97.4%
55
2.6%
Q3 - 4:54HeatHeat defensive rebound74
97.7%
53
2.3%
Q3 - 4:55CelticsJaime Jaquez Jr. blocks Kristaps Porzingis's two point fadeaway jump shot74
97.8%
53
2.2%
Q3 - 5:10CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound74
97.8%
53
2.2%
Q3 - 5:12HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot74
97.7%
53
2.3%
Q3 - 5:35CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point hook shot (Derrick White assists)74
97.4%
53
2.6%
Q3 - 5:43CelticsCeltics defensive rebound72
97.1%
53
2.9%
Q3 - 5:43HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot72
96.9%
53
3.1%
Q3 - 6:03HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound72
96.3%
53
3.7%
Q3 - 6:06CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot72
96.4%
53
3.6%
Q3 - 6:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)72
96.8%
53
3.2%
Q3 - 6:28HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound72
97.2%
51
2.8%
Q3 - 6:31CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot72
97.3%
51
2.7%
Q3 - 6:58HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)72
97.6%
51
2.4%
Q3 - 7:15CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot (Derrick White assists)72
97.9%
48
2.1%
Q3 - 7:22CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound70
97.7%
48
2.3%
Q3 - 7:25HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot70
97.6%
48
2.4%
Q3 - 7:28HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound70
97.3%
48
2.7%
Q3 - 7:30HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot70
97.6%
48
2.4%
Q3 - 7:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound70
97.3%
48
2.7%
Q3 - 7:51CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot70
97.4%
48
2.6%
Q3 - 8:03CelticsCeltics offensive rebound70
97.5%
48
2.5%
Q3 - 8:03CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 170
97.5%
48
2.5%
Q3 - 8:03HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Away from play) (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)70
97.7%
48
2.3%
Q3 - 8:20HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)70
97.5%
48
2.5%
Q3 - 8:27HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound70
98.0%
45
2.0%
Q3 - 8:29CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point floating jump shot70
98.1%
45
1.9%
Q3 - 8:51CelticsCeltics defensive rebound70
98.3%
45
1.7%
Q3 - 8:52HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot70
98.3%
45
1.7%
Q3 - 8:53HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound70
98.0%
45
2.0%
Q3 - 8:55HeatKristaps Porzingis blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving reverse layup70
98.3%
45
1.7%
Q3 - 9:11HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound70
97.8%
45
2.2%
Q3 - 9:14CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot70
97.9%
45
2.1%
Q3 - 9:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup70
98.1%
45
1.9%
Q3 - 9:33HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound70
98.3%
43
1.7%
Q3 - 9:37HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running jump shot70
98.5%
43
1.5%
Q3 - 9:41HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound70
98.3%
43
1.7%
Q3 - 9:44CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point jump shot70
98.4%
43
1.6%
Q3 - 9:59HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)70
98.6%
43
1.4%
Q3 - 10:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Brown steals)70
98.4%
43
1.6%
Q3 - 10:27CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point cutting dunk (Kristaps Porzingis assists)70
98.2%
43
1.8%
Q3 - 10:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)68
98.0%
43
2.0%
Q3 - 10:46HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound68
98.2%
41
1.8%
Q3 - 10:47HeatJaylen Brown blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s three point jump shot68
98.4%
41
1.6%
Q3 - 11:03CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup68
98.1%
41
1.9%
Q3 - 11:13HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Caleb Martin assists)66
97.8%
41
2.2%
Q3 - 11:34CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)66
98.1%
39
1.9%
Q3 - 11:40CelticsCeltics offensive rebound63
97.5%
39
2.5%
Q3 - 11:43CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot63
97.3%
39
2.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.63
97.5%
39
2.5%
Q2 - 0:00.1CelticsCeltics offensive rebound63
97.4%
39
2.6%
Q2 - 0:00.9CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot63
97.2%
39
2.8%
Q2 - 0:02.4CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound63
97.4%
39
2.6%
Q2 - 0:04.9HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot63
97.3%
39
2.7%
Q2 - 0:14.9CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 3 of 363
97.1%
39
2.9%
Q2 - 0:14.9CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 362
97.0%
39
3.0%
Q2 - 0:14.9CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 362
97.3%
39
2.7%
Q2 - 0:14.9HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)61
97.3%
39
2.7%
Q2 - 0:31.7HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot61
96.7%
39
3.3%
Q2 - 0:50.5HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound61
97.1%
37
2.9%
Q2 - 0:52.7CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving finger roll layup61
97.2%
37
2.8%
Q2 - 1:10HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 261
97.2%
37
2.8%
Q2 - 1:10HeatNikola Jovic misses regular free throw 1 of 261
97.3%
36
2.7%
Q2 - 1:10CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)61
97.1%
36
2.9%
Q2 - 1:26CelticsDerrick White makes two point tip layup61
97.3%
36
2.7%
Q2 - 1:27CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound59
96.9%
36
3.1%
Q2 - 1:28CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point running layup59
96.7%
36
3.3%
Q2 - 1:31HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Kristaps Porzingis steals)59
96.9%
36
3.1%
Q2 - 1:41CelticsDerrick White makes two point cutting layup (Kristaps Porzingis assists)59
96.6%
36
3.4%
Q2 - 1:53CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound57
96.1%
36
3.9%
Q2 - 1:55HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot57
96.0%
36
4.0%
Q2 - 2:09CelticsDerrick White makes three point pullup jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)57
95.2%
36
4.8%
Q2 - 2:23HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)54
94.1%
36
5.9%
Q2 - 2:44CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Jrue Holiday assists)54
95.3%
33
4.7%
Q2 - 3:02HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 252
94.4%
33
5.6%
Q2 - 3:02HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 252
94.4%
32
5.6%
Q2 - 3:02CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)52
94.5%
31
5.5%
Q2 - 3:19HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound52
94.9%
31
5.1%
Q2 - 3:22CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot52
95.1%
31
4.9%
Q2 - 3:32CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound52
95.5%
31
4.5%
Q2 - 3:33HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot52
95.3%
31
4.7%
Q2 - 3:49CelticsDerrick White makes two point tip layup52
94.9%
31
5.1%
Q2 - 3:49CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound50
94.4%
31
5.6%
Q2 - 3:54CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 150
93.8%
31
6.2%
Q2 - 3:54HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)50
94.1%
31
5.9%
Q2 - 3:56CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound48
93.1%
31
6.9%
Q2 - 3:57HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup48
92.8%
31
7.2%
Q2 - 4:18CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)48
91.9%
31
8.1%
Q2 - 4:34HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 145
90.2%
31
9.8%
Q2 - 4:34CelticsJrue Holiday shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)45
90.4%
30
9.6%
Q2 - 4:46CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 245
91.9%
28
8.1%
Q2 - 4:46CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 244
91.8%
28
8.2%
Q2 - 4:46HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)43
91.6%
28
8.4%
Q2 - 5:02HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)43
91.1%
28
8.9%
Q2 - 5:15CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)43
89.9%
28
10.1%
Q2 - 5:23HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound43
89.9%
28
10.1%
Q2 - 5:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot43
90.8%
28
9.2%
Q2 - 5:38CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point putback layup43
90.0%
28
10.0%
Q2 - 5:39CelticsKristaps Porzingis offensive rebound41
89.2%
28
10.8%
Q2 - 5:40CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot41
88.2%
28
11.8%
Q2 - 5:49CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound41
89.2%
28
10.8%
Q2 - 5:50HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot41
88.8%
28
11.2%
Q2 - 6:01CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)41
87.6%
28
12.4%
Q2 - 6:23HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot41
89.0%
28
11.0%
Q2 - 6:37HeatHeat defensive rebound41
90.7%
25
9.3%
Q2 - 6:38CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot41
91.0%
25
9.0%
Q2 - 6:58HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 241
91.7%
25
8.3%
Q2 - 6:58HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 241
91.9%
24
8.1%
Q2 - 6:58CelticsSam Hauser shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)41
92.1%
23
7.9%
Q2 - 7:10CelticsSam Hauser makes two point cutting layup (Jayson Tatum assists)41
92.1%
23
7.9%
Q2 - 7:32HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 239
91.4%
23
8.6%
Q2 - 7:32HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 239
91.6%
22
8.4%
Q2 - 7:32CelticsSam Hauser shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)39
91.7%
21
8.3%
Q2 - 7:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point stepback jump shot39
92.1%
21
7.9%
Q2 - 8:02HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot37
91.3%
21
8.7%
Q2 - 8:16CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point putback layup37
92.0%
19
8.0%
Q2 - 8:18CelticsPayton Pritchard offensive rebound35
91.3%
19
8.7%
Q2 - 8:21CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot35
90.6%
19
9.4%
Q2 - 8:31HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)35
91.3%
19
8.7%
Q2 - 8:49CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving layup (Jayson Tatum assists)35
92.7%
16
7.3%
Q2 - 9:09HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)33
91.7%
16
8.3%
Q2 - 9:26CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 3 of 333
90.9%
16
9.1%
Q2 - 9:26CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 332
90.8%
16
9.2%
Q2 - 9:26CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 331
90.6%
16
9.4%
Q2 - 9:26HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)30
90.5%
16
9.5%
Q2 - 9:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)30
89.2%
16
10.8%
Q2 - 10:00HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound30
90.1%
14
9.9%
Q2 - 10:03CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot30
90.2%
14
9.8%
Q2 - 10:12HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving layup (Duncan Robinson assists)30
90.8%
14
9.2%
Q2 - 10:33CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot30
91.5%
12
8.5%
Q2 - 10:51CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound27
89.9%
12
10.1%
Q2 - 10:53HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot27
89.6%
12
10.4%
Q2 - 11:11CelticsSam Hauser makes three point pullup jump shot (Al Horford assists)27
88.5%
12
11.5%
Q2 - 11:26HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)24
86.5%
12
13.5%
Q2 - 11:45CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)24
85.3%
12
14.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
82.7%
12
17.3%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound21
81.1%
12
18.9%
Q1 - 0:01.4HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot21
82.1%
12
17.9%
Q1 - 0:03.8CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)21
81.1%
12
18.9%
Q1 - 0:18.3HeatKevin Love defensive rebound21
81.1%
12
18.9%
Q1 - 0:20.2CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 221
81.3%
12
18.7%
Q1 - 0:20.2CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 221
82.3%
12
17.7%
Q1 - 0:20.2HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)21
83.4%
12
16.6%
Q1 - 0:22.2CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound21
82.5%
12
17.5%
Q1 - 0:23.0HeatJrue Holiday blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point driving layup21
82.1%
12
17.9%
Q1 - 0:39.6CelticsAl Horford makes two point floating jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)21
81.1%
12
18.9%
Q1 - 0:48.1HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds step)19
79.6%
12
20.4%
Q1 - 1:04HeatKevin Love defensive rebound19
78.1%
12
21.9%
Q1 - 1:07CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot19
78.6%
12
21.4%
Q1 - 1:22HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point floating jump shot19
79.6%
12
20.4%
Q1 - 1:46CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot19
81.1%
10
18.9%
Q1 - 1:56HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)17
79.6%
10
20.4%
Q1 - 1:56HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound17
78.1%
10
21.9%
Q1 - 1:59CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot17
78.5%
10
21.5%
Q1 - 2:20HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving layup17
79.5%
10
20.5%
Q1 - 2:44CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)17
80.8%
8
19.2%
Q1 - 2:52HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Jrue Holiday steals)14
78.0%
8
22.0%
Q1 - 2:52HeatHeat defensive rebound14
76.2%
8
23.8%
Q1 - 2:53CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot14
76.7%
8
23.3%
Q1 - 3:08CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound14
77.7%
8
22.3%
Q1 - 3:08HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 214
77.5%
8
22.5%
Q1 - 3:08HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 214
76.5%
8
23.5%
Q1 - 3:08CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)14
75.2%
8
24.8%
Q1 - 3:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
75.8%
8
24.2%
Q1 - 3:23CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot14
76.4%
8
23.6%
Q1 - 3:45HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup14
77.8%
8
22.2%
Q1 - 3:46HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound14
78.9%
6
21.1%
Q1 - 3:47HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup14
80.2%
6
19.8%
Q1 - 3:57CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (out of bounds step)14
78.9%
6
21.1%
Q1 - 4:09CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound14
80.2%
6
19.8%
Q1 - 4:12HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot14
79.7%
6
20.3%
Q1 - 4:19HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound14
78.6%
6
21.4%
Q1 - 4:21CelticsDerrick White misses two point driving floating jump shot14
79.1%
6
20.9%
Q1 - 4:35HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds lost ball)14
80.2%
6
19.8%
Q1 - 4:46CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot14
78.6%
6
21.4%
Q1 - 5:13HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)12
77.2%
6
22.8%
Q1 - 5:17HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound12
79.8%
3
20.2%
Q1 - 5:21HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot12
80.8%
3
19.2%
Q1 - 5:26HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound12
79.8%
3
20.2%
Q1 - 5:31HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot12
80.8%
3
19.2%
Q1 - 5:43CelticsKristaps Porzingis personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)12
79.8%
3
20.2%
Q1 - 5:43HeatHeat defensive rebound12
79.8%
3
20.2%
Q1 - 5:43CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point driving layup12
80.3%
3
19.7%
Q1 - 5:48HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)12
81.3%
3
18.7%
Q1 - 5:54CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound12
81.3%
3
18.7%
Q1 - 5:56HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup12
80.8%
3
19.2%
Q1 - 6:20CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point tip dunk12
79.7%
3
20.3%
Q1 - 6:21CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound10
78.4%
3
21.6%
Q1 - 6:23CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot10
77.4%
3
22.6%
Q1 - 6:23CelticsPayton Pritchard offensive rebound10
78.4%
3
21.6%
Q1 - 6:28CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot10
77.4%
3
22.6%
Q1 - 6:36CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound10
78.4%
3
21.6%
Q1 - 6:38HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot10
78.0%
3
22.0%
Q1 - 6:53HeatHeat defensive rebound10
77.0%
3
23.0%
Q1 - 6:56CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot10
77.4%
3
22.6%
Q1 - 7:06CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound10
78.6%
3
21.4%
Q1 - 7:08HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving floating jump shot10
78.1%
3
21.9%
Q1 - 7:18HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound10
77.0%
3
23.0%
Q1 - 7:20CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot10
77.5%
3
22.5%
Q1 - 7:37CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound10
78.6%
3
21.4%
Q1 - 7:40HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot10
78.1%
3
21.9%
Q1 - 7:57CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup10
77.0%
3
23.0%
Q1 - 8:05CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound8
76.1%
3
23.9%
Q1 - 8:07HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot8
75.6%
3
24.4%
Q1 - 8:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound8
74.3%
3
25.7%
Q1 - 8:32CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point running jump shot8
74.9%
3
25.1%
Q1 - 8:34CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound8
76.1%
3
23.9%
Q1 - 8:38HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving floating jump shot8
75.5%
3
24.5%
Q1 - 8:58CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)8
74.3%
3
25.7%
Q1 - 9:11HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)5
71.3%
3
28.7%
Q1 - 9:28CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)5
69.6%
3
30.4%
Q1 - 9:35CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound3
68.1%
3
31.9%
Q1 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot3
67.6%
3
32.4%
Q1 - 9:49CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (out of bounds step)3
66.3%
3
33.7%
Q1 - 9:50CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound3
68.1%
3
31.9%
Q1 - 9:52CelticsNikola Jovic blocks Jaylen Brown's two point hook shot3
66.9%
3
33.1%
Q1 - 10:04HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 13
68.1%
3
31.9%
Q1 - 10:04CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)3
68.4%
2
31.6%
Q1 - 10:14CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)3
71.0%
0
29.0%
Q1 - 10:27CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound0
68.1%
0
31.9%
Q1 - 10:29HeatJayson Tatum blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup0
67.6%
0
32.4%
Q1 - 10:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
66.3%
0
33.7%
Q1 - 10:43CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving finger roll layup0
66.8%
0
33.2%
Q1 - 11:00CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound0
68.1%
0
31.9%
Q1 - 11:03HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot0
67.9%
0
32.1%
Q1 - 11:15HeatHeat defensive rebound0
66.6%
0
33.4%
Q1 - 11:15CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot0
67.1%
0
32.9%
Q1 - 11:19CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound0
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 11:23CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot0
67.1%
0
32.9%
Q1 - 11:34CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound0
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 11:37HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot0
67.8%
0
32.2%
Q1 - 12:00Kristaps Porzingis vs. Bam Adebayo (Tyler Herro gains possession)0
66.6%
0
33.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.13 56.5%
MIA
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
16
21
76%
MIA
10
14
71%
Midrange
BOS
12
24
50%
MIA
13
35
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
11
16.5
37
30%
45%
MIA
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
Free Throws
BOS
15
21
71%
MIA
11
14
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum2255%11.0 / 20
J. Brown2255%11.0 / 20
K. Porziņģis1875%9.0 / 12
D. White1657%8.0 / 14
A. Horford964%4.5 / 7
P. Pritchard770%3.5 / 5
S. Hauser542%2.5 / 6
J. Holiday330%1.5 / 5
L. Kornet2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2050%10.0 / 20
N. Jović1563%7.5 / 12
T. Herro1544%7.5 / 17
J. Jaquez1243%6.0 / 14
H. Highsmith857%4.0 / 7
P. Mills758%3.5 / 6
C. Martin563%2.5 / 4
T. Bryant2100%1.0 / 1
O. Robinson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
80
+13
-5
93
MIA
74
+11
-12
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.13 56.5%
MIA
0.99 49.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.8
100.7
BOS 122.4
MIA 97.7 +24.7
Pace
92.6
91.6
BOS 84.4
MIA 86.6 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.9
BOS 17.1
MIA 16.6 +0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.5%
50.7%
BOS 54.3% +6.9%
MIA 47.4%
TO %
11.0%
11.4%
BOS 6.2% +6.4%
MIA 12.6%
ORB %
23.7%
13.3%
BOS 27.0% +5.6%
MIA 21.4%
FTrt
23.0
14.8
BOS 25.6 +7.4
MIA 18.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
59.6%
BOS 56.4%
MIA 65.6% +9.2%
STL %
6.7%
5.0%
BOS 4.7% +2.4%
MIA 2.3%
BLK %
10.2%
3.3%
BOS 12.2% +7.8%
MIA 4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.8%
51.8%
BOS 56.5% +7.1%
MIA 49.4%
Rim FG%
69.2%
72.3%
BOS 76.2% +4.8%
MIA 71.4%
Mid FG%
41.0%
40.5%
BOS 50.0% +12.9%
MIA 37.1%
3P %
36.0%
32.9%
BOS 29.7%
MIA 32.1% +2.4%
FT %
81.2%
81.7%
BOS 71.4%
MIA 78.6% +7.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.4%
20.4%
BOS 25.6% +7.4%
MIA 18.2%
Mid Att. %
22.7%
37.7%
BOS 29.3% +16.2%
MIA 45.5%
3P Att. %
48.0%
41.9%
BOS 45.1% +8.8%
MIA 36.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points10484
Rebounds4336
Assists2221
Steals42
Blocks62
Turnovers (Team)5 (1)12 (0)
Fouls1614
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)27 (6)
Field Goals39-8232-77
At-the-Rim FG16-2110-14
Midrange FG12-2413-35
2-Point FG28-4523-49
3-Point FG11-379-28
Free Throws15-2111-14
Fast Break Pts26
2nd Chance Pts1711
Points in Paint4234
Pts off Turnovers244
Bench Points2317
Biggest Lead290

BOXSCORE

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1 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jayson Tatum
#0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 26
38.8
22
55%
11
6
0
1
0
3
0
11
8-12
67%
4-9
44%
2-7
29%
Jrue Holiday
#4 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 34
34.5
3
30%
2
6
1
2
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
Jaylen Brown
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 28
32.7
22
55%
8
3
2
1
1
2
2
6
0-1
0%
11-16
69%
0-4
0%
Derrick White
#9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 30
30.9
16
57%
5
3
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
5-7
71%
2-7
29%
Kristaps Porzingis
#8 · C · 7'2" 240 · 29
27.4
18
75%
5
2
1
2
0
3
1
4
5-6
83%
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
Payton Pritchard
#11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 26
25.4
7
70%
3
1
0
0
2
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
Al Horford
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 38
22.2
9
64%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-4
25%
Sam Hauser
#30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 26
20.0
5
42%
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
Luke Kornet
#40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29
5.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
Svi Mykhailiuk
#50 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 27
1.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Oshae Brissett
#12 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 26
1.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Jaden Springer
#44 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 22
Jordan Walsh
#27 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 20
Neemias Queta
#88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 25
Xavier Tillman
#26 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
56%
43
22
4
6
5
16
10
33
15-21
71%
28-45
62%
11-37
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.