for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, April 24, 2024
FinalWin Prob.pScore
17
Heat
21%101
111
1
Celtics
79%113
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
116.895100.2
BOS logo BOS
107.49489.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.111
100%
101
0%
Q4 - 0:01.6HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)111
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.7HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound111
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.6CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot111
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.6HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2111
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.6HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.6CelticsJrue Holiday personal foul (Take) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)109
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.6CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup109
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.8HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
99.8%
99
0.2%
Q4 - 0:41.8HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
99.7%
99
0.3%
Q4 - 0:41.8CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)107
99.7%
99
0.3%
Q4 - 0:46.4CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)107
99.5%
99
0.5%
Q4 - 0:48.8CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound107
98.8%
99
1.2%
Q4 - 0:50.2CelticsDerrick White misses three point running jump shot107
99.2%
99
0.8%
Q4 - 0:56.7CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound107
98.4%
99
1.6%
Q4 - 0:57.1HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot107
98.7%
99
1.3%
Q4 - 1:15HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound107
98.6%
99
1.4%
Q4 - 1:17CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2107
98.3%
99
1.7%
Q4 - 1:17CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
97.7%
99
2.3%
Q4 - 1:17HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)107
98.0%
98
2.0%
Q4 - 1:20CelticsCeltics defensive rebound107
98.1%
98
1.9%
Q4 - 1:23HeatJrue Holiday blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving layup107
98.3%
98
1.7%
Q4 - 1:35HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound107
98.5%
98
1.5%
Q4 - 1:37HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot107
97.7%
98
2.3%
Q4 - 1:57CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
98.2%
98
1.8%
Q4 - 1:57CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
98.3%
97
1.7%
Q4 - 1:57HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)107
98.4%
96
1.6%
Q4 - 1:57CelticsCeltics offensive rebound107
98.8%
96
1.2%
Q4 - 1:59CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point fadeaway jump shot107
99.2%
96
0.8%
Q4 - 2:24HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup107
98.9%
96
1.1%
Q4 - 2:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound105
98.5%
96
1.5%
Q4 - 2:40CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot105
98.2%
96
1.8%
Q4 - 3:00HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)105
95.4%
96
4.6%
Q4 - 3:16CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
91.2%
96
8.8%
Q4 - 3:16CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
91.6%
95
8.4%
Q4 - 3:16HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)102
92.1%
94
7.9%
Q4 - 3:27CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound102
93.5%
94
6.5%
Q4 - 3:28HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point tip layup102
94.4%
94
5.6%
Q4 - 3:28HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound102
96.0%
94
4.0%
Q4 - 3:29HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot102
94.4%
94
5.6%
Q4 - 3:48CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)102
91.9%
94
8.1%
Q4 - 4:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Tyler Herro assists)102
95.9%
91
4.1%
Q4 - 4:22CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)100
94.5%
91
5.5%
Q4 - 4:33CelticsKristaps Porzingis turnover (lost ball) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)100
94.6%
91
5.4%
Q4 - 4:46CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound100
92.2%
91
7.8%
Q4 - 4:48HeatKristaps Porzingis blocks Caleb Martin's two point stepback jump shot100
93.0%
91
7.0%
Q4 - 5:03CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)100
91.1%
91
8.9%
Q4 - 5:11CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)100
91.2%
91
8.8%
Q4 - 5:13HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)100
88.0%
91
12.0%
Q4 - 5:37HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)100
88.2%
91
11.8%
Q4 - 5:54CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup97
80.5%
91
19.5%
Q4 - 6:06HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)97
79.1%
89
20.9%
Q4 - 6:22CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 194
69.8%
89
30.2%
Q4 - 6:22HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)94
70.5%
88
29.5%
Q4 - 6:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)94
79.5%
86
20.5%
Q4 - 6:59CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)92
75.7%
86
24.3%
Q4 - 7:08CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound92
79.2%
83
20.8%
Q4 - 7:09HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot92
80.8%
83
19.2%
Q4 - 7:19HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound92
84.0%
83
16.0%
Q4 - 7:20CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot92
82.7%
83
17.3%
Q4 - 7:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot92
79.5%
83
20.5%
Q4 - 8:04CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving dunk (Derrick White assists)90
72.7%
83
27.3%
Q4 - 8:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot90
77.1%
81
22.9%
Q4 - 8:39CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)88
72.9%
81
27.1%
Q4 - 8:47HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound88
72.9%
81
27.1%
Q4 - 8:48CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot88
71.3%
81
28.7%
Q4 - 9:04CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound88
64.1%
81
35.9%
Q4 - 9:05HeatDelon Wright misses three point stepback jump shot88
66.0%
81
34.0%
Q4 - 9:16HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound88
70.0%
81
30.0%
Q4 - 9:17CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot88
68.3%
81
31.7%
Q4 - 9:31CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound88
64.4%
81
35.6%
Q4 - 9:32HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot88
66.2%
81
33.8%
Q4 - 9:54CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point driving layup88
70.2%
81
29.8%
Q4 - 10:10HeatDelon Wright makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)88
71.5%
79
28.5%
Q4 - 10:29HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound85
62.7%
79
37.3%
Q4 - 10:29CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 285
61.9%
79
38.1%
Q4 - 10:29CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 285
58.2%
79
41.8%
Q4 - 10:29HeatDelon Wright shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)85
53.7%
79
46.3%
Q4 - 10:40CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound85
56.8%
79
43.2%
Q4 - 10:42HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot85
58.6%
79
41.4%
Q4 - 11:00CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (out of bounds lost ball)85
62.7%
79
37.3%
Q4 - 11:13CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound85
55.3%
79
44.7%
Q4 - 11:14HeatDelon Wright misses two point tip layup85
56.8%
79
43.2%
Q4 - 11:14HeatDelon Wright offensive rebound85
60.3%
79
39.7%
Q4 - 11:15HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot85
56.8%
79
43.2%
Q4 - 11:28CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)85
60.4%
79
39.6%
Q4 - 11:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound85
60.4%
79
39.6%
Q4 - 11:46CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot85
58.9%
79
41.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.85
55.4%
79
44.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound85
57.7%
79
42.3%
Q3 - 0:03.3CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup85
56.3%
79
43.7%
Q3 - 0:25.6HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)85
53.2%
79
46.8%
Q3 - 0:25.6HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)85
57.8%
79
42.2%
Q3 - 0:37.4CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)85
57.9%
79
42.1%
Q3 - 0:55.1HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot85
62.8%
77
37.2%
Q3 - 1:07HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound82
50.8%
77
49.2%
Q3 - 1:08CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot82
49.4%
77
50.6%
Q3 - 1:15CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound82
46.0%
77
54.0%
Q3 - 1:17HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot82
47.5%
77
52.5%
Q3 - 1:31CelticsJrue Holiday personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)82
51.0%
77
49.0%
Q3 - 1:41CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point cutting dunk (Al Horford assists)82
51.0%
77
49.0%
Q3 - 1:55CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound82
55.4%
75
44.6%
Q3 - 1:56HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup82
56.9%
75
43.1%
Q3 - 2:08CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)82
57.4%
75
42.6%
Q3 - 2:20CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 282
57.5%
75
42.5%
Q3 - 2:20CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 282
58.1%
74
41.9%
Q3 - 2:20HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)82
58.8%
73
41.2%
Q3 - 2:27CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound82
61.5%
73
38.5%
Q3 - 2:28HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving layup82
62.8%
73
37.2%
Q3 - 2:50CelticsSam Hauser makes three point running jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)82
65.9%
73
34.1%
Q3 - 2:57CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound82
73.1%
70
26.9%
Q3 - 2:58HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot82
74.2%
70
25.8%
Q3 - 3:06HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound82
74.9%
70
25.1%
Q3 - 3:07CelticsAl Horford misses two point turnaround hook shot82
73.8%
70
26.2%
Q3 - 3:18HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Payton Pritchard draws the foul)82
71.1%
70
28.9%
Q3 - 3:36HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup82
71.1%
70
28.9%
Q3 - 3:51CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)80
68.2%
70
31.8%
Q3 - 4:10HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Nikola Jovic assists)80
61.4%
70
38.6%
Q3 - 4:14CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)78
58.1%
70
41.9%
Q3 - 4:36HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)78
53.8%
70
46.2%
Q3 - 4:49HeatHeat defensive rebound75
46.3%
70
53.7%
Q3 - 4:51CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point running pullup jump shot75
44.9%
70
55.1%
Q3 - 4:54HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Jrue Holiday steals)75
41.8%
70
58.2%
Q3 - 5:09HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound75
44.7%
70
55.3%
Q3 - 5:11CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point pullup jump shot75
43.5%
70
56.5%
Q3 - 5:22HeatTyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)75
40.6%
70
59.4%
Q3 - 5:22HeatTyler Herro offensive foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)75
44.7%
70
55.3%
Q3 - 5:23HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound75
44.8%
70
55.2%
Q3 - 5:25CelticsDerrick White misses two point floating jump shot75
43.5%
70
56.5%
Q3 - 5:36HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)75
40.6%
70
59.4%
Q3 - 5:54HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)75
40.7%
70
59.3%
Q3 - 6:05HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound72
33.0%
70
67.0%
Q3 - 6:06CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot72
31.9%
70
68.1%
Q3 - 6:23CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound72
29.4%
70
70.6%
Q3 - 6:24HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot72
30.5%
70
69.5%
Q3 - 6:44CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)72
33.1%
70
66.9%
Q3 - 7:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Tyler Herro assists)72
38.5%
67
61.5%
Q3 - 7:17HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound70
35.7%
67
64.3%
Q3 - 7:18CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point cutting layup70
34.6%
67
65.4%
Q3 - 7:36CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound70
32.0%
67
68.0%
Q3 - 7:38HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot70
33.1%
67
66.9%
Q3 - 7:44HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound70
35.7%
67
64.3%
Q3 - 7:45CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot70
34.6%
67
65.4%
Q3 - 8:09HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)70
31.1%
67
68.9%
Q3 - 8:28CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point driving reverse layup (Kristaps Porzingis assists)67
26.0%
67
74.0%
Q3 - 8:46HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot67
28.2%
65
71.8%
Q3 - 9:02CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)64
22.9%
65
77.1%
Q3 - 9:02CelticsCeltics offensive rebound64
20.2%
65
79.8%
Q3 - 9:03CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot64
22.0%
65
78.0%
Q3 - 9:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)64
20.2%
65
79.8%
Q3 - 9:50CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point finger roll layup (Derrick White assists)62
18.5%
65
81.5%
Q3 - 10:00CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound62
20.2%
63
79.8%
Q3 - 10:03HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot62
20.8%
63
79.2%
Q3 - 10:09HeatHeat offensive rebound62
22.6%
63
77.4%
Q3 - 10:10HeatDerrick White blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving layup62
20.8%
63
79.2%
Q3 - 10:16CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 262
22.6%
63
77.4%
Q3 - 10:16CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 262
23.2%
62
76.8%
Q3 - 10:16HeatNikola Jovic shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)62
23.8%
61
76.2%
Q3 - 10:29CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound62
24.5%
61
75.5%
Q3 - 10:29HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 262
24.9%
61
75.1%
Q3 - 10:29HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 262
26.5%
61
73.5%
Q3 - 10:29CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)61
25.9%
61
74.1%
Q3 - 10:44HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound61
25.0%
61
75.0%
Q3 - 10:45CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point turnaround jump shot61
24.1%
61
75.9%
Q3 - 11:09HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)61
21.8%
61
78.2%
Q3 - 11:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound58
17.9%
61
82.1%
Q3 - 11:25CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot58
17.3%
61
82.7%
Q3 - 11:38HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (offensive foul)58
16.0%
61
84.0%
Q3 - 11:38HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)58
17.9%
61
82.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.58
17.9%
61
82.1%
Q2 - 0:00.3CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (out of bounds bad pass)58
17.4%
61
82.6%
Q2 - 0:04.3HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Jrue Holiday steals)58
15.9%
61
84.1%
Q2 - 0:04.3CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running layup58
17.4%
61
82.6%
Q2 - 0:09.2HeatNikola Jovic turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Brown steals)58
19.6%
59
80.4%
Q2 - 0:30.8HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound58
21.3%
59
78.7%
Q2 - 0:32.4CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot58
20.8%
59
79.2%
Q2 - 0:39.9HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot58
19.6%
59
80.4%
Q2 - 0:57.1CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot55
15.7%
59
84.3%
Q2 - 1:09CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound55
19.5%
56
80.5%
Q2 - 1:11HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot55
20.0%
56
80.0%
Q2 - 1:21CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)55
21.1%
56
78.9%
Q2 - 1:30CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound55
25.9%
53
74.1%
Q2 - 1:32HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot55
26.5%
53
73.5%
Q2 - 1:35HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound55
27.9%
53
72.1%
Q2 - 1:37HeatDelon Wright misses three point jump shot55
26.5%
53
73.5%
Q2 - 1:55CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)55
27.9%
53
72.1%
Q2 - 2:09HeatDelon Wright makes regular free throw 2 of 255
32.2%
50
67.8%
Q2 - 2:09HeatDelon Wright makes regular free throw 1 of 254
31.8%
50
68.2%
Q2 - 2:09CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Delon Wright draws the foul)53
31.4%
50
68.6%
Q2 - 2:10HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound53
30.0%
50
70.0%
Q2 - 2:11CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup53
29.2%
50
70.8%
Q2 - 2:18CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound53
27.4%
50
72.6%
Q2 - 2:21CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot53
29.2%
50
70.8%
Q2 - 2:37HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 253
27.4%
50
72.6%
Q2 - 2:37HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 252
26.9%
50
73.1%
Q2 - 2:37CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)52
28.8%
50
71.2%
Q2 - 2:49CelticsJrue Holiday makes two point driving layup52
27.6%
50
72.4%
Q2 - 3:03HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)52
28.9%
48
71.1%
Q2 - 3:17CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup49
24.9%
48
75.1%
Q2 - 3:26HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving layup49
26.7%
46
73.3%
Q2 - 3:41CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 247
24.9%
46
75.1%
Q2 - 3:41CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 247
25.2%
45
74.8%
Q2 - 3:41HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)47
25.6%
44
74.4%
Q2 - 4:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running jump shot47
26.7%
44
73.3%
Q2 - 4:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound45
24.3%
44
75.7%
Q2 - 4:07CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point driving layup45
23.6%
44
76.4%
Q2 - 4:18HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)45
22.1%
44
77.9%
Q2 - 4:31CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)42
18.8%
44
81.2%
Q2 - 4:42HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot42
17.0%
44
83.0%
Q2 - 5:05CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup40
15.5%
44
84.5%
Q2 - 5:17HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)40
16.6%
42
83.4%
Q2 - 5:35HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)40
16.6%
42
83.4%
Q2 - 5:48CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)37
14.1%
42
85.9%
Q2 - 5:51CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound37
12.6%
42
87.4%
Q2 - 5:52HeatSam Hauser blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving floating jump shot37
13.0%
42
87.0%
Q2 - 6:11CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point tip dunk37
14.1%
42
85.9%
Q2 - 6:11CelticsKristaps Porzingis offensive rebound37
15.1%
40
84.9%
Q2 - 6:12CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup37
16.3%
40
83.7%
Q2 - 6:33HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 237
15.1%
40
84.9%
Q2 - 6:33HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 236
14.8%
40
85.2%
Q2 - 6:33CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)35
14.5%
40
85.5%
Q2 - 6:50HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound35
14.1%
40
85.9%
Q2 - 6:51CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround jump shot35
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 6:54HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)35
12.6%
40
87.4%
Q2 - 6:54CelticsCeltics offensive rebound35
12.6%
40
87.4%
Q2 - 6:56CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot35
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 7:10HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)35
12.7%
40
87.3%
Q2 - 7:17HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Kristaps Porzingis steals)35
12.7%
40
87.3%
Q2 - 7:35CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving reverse layup35
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 7:40CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound35
15.2%
38
84.8%
Q2 - 7:44CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot35
16.2%
38
83.8%
Q2 - 7:58HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)35
15.2%
38
84.8%
Q2 - 8:15HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound32
12.8%
38
87.2%
Q2 - 8:16CelticsSam Hauser misses three point running jump shot32
12.4%
38
87.6%
Q2 - 8:20CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound32
11.6%
38
88.4%
Q2 - 8:22HeatJayson Tatum blocks Kevin Love's two point driving layup32
11.9%
38
88.1%
Q2 - 8:32CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)32
12.8%
38
87.2%
Q2 - 8:44CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Sam Hauser assists)32
12.8%
38
87.2%
Q2 - 8:52HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 232
15.1%
35
84.9%
Q2 - 8:52HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 231
14.9%
35
85.1%
Q2 - 8:52CelticsJrue Holiday shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)30
14.6%
35
85.4%
Q2 - 9:07CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point running pullup jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)30
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q2 - 9:11CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound30
16.5%
32
83.5%
Q2 - 9:13HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot30
16.9%
32
83.1%
Q2 - 9:28HeatKevin Love defensive rebound30
18.0%
32
82.0%
Q2 - 9:30CelticsSam Hauser misses two point floating jump shot30
17.5%
32
82.5%
Q2 - 9:52HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Love assists)30
16.5%
32
83.5%
Q2 - 10:12CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup28
15.2%
32
84.8%
Q2 - 10:26HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)28
16.5%
30
83.5%
Q2 - 10:30HeatHeat offensive rebound28
18.0%
30
82.0%
Q2 - 10:31HeatAl Horford blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving floating jump shot28
16.9%
30
83.1%
Q2 - 10:41CelticsJrue Holiday personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)28
18.0%
30
82.0%
Q2 - 10:53CelticsSam Hauser makes three point running jump shot (Al Horford assists)28
18.0%
30
82.0%
Q2 - 10:59HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Sam Hauser steals)28
21.0%
27
79.0%
Q2 - 11:15HeatKevin Love defensive rebound28
22.3%
27
77.7%
Q2 - 11:17CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot28
21.8%
27
78.2%
Q2 - 11:25HeatKevin Love personal foul (Al Horford draws the foul)28
20.7%
27
79.3%
Q2 - 11:39CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound28
20.7%
27
79.3%
Q2 - 11:41HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot28
21.2%
27
78.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
22.4%
27
77.6%
Q1 - 0:00.8CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 228
21.7%
27
78.3%
Q1 - 0:00.8CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 228
22.0%
26
78.0%
Q1 - 0:00.8HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)28
22.2%
25
77.8%
Q1 - 0:07.2HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 228
23.4%
25
76.6%
Q1 - 0:07.2HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 227
23.1%
25
76.9%
Q1 - 0:07.2CelticsPayton Pritchard shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)27
24.5%
25
75.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point fadeaway jump shot27
23.4%
25
76.6%
Q1 - 0:34.5CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound27
25.2%
23
74.8%
Q1 - 0:37.8HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot27
25.7%
23
74.3%
Q1 - 0:53.8HeatKevin Love defensive rebound27
27.0%
23
73.0%
Q1 - 0:53.8CelticsAl Horford misses regular free throw 2 of 227
26.8%
23
73.2%
Q1 - 0:53.8CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 227
25.5%
23
74.5%
Q1 - 0:53.8HeatKevin Love personal foul (Al Horford draws the foul)27
25.9%
22
74.1%
Q1 - 1:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)27
26.8%
22
73.2%
Q1 - 1:24CelticsAl Horford makes two point putback layup24
23.3%
22
76.7%
Q1 - 1:27CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound24
25.1%
20
74.9%
Q1 - 1:28CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot24
26.2%
20
73.8%
Q1 - 1:39CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound24
25.0%
20
75.0%
Q1 - 1:40HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot24
25.6%
20
74.4%
Q1 - 1:56HeatKevin Love defensive rebound24
26.8%
20
73.2%
Q1 - 1:57CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 224
26.5%
20
73.5%
Q1 - 1:57CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 224
25.4%
20
74.6%
Q1 - 1:57HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)24
24.1%
20
75.9%
Q1 - 2:01HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)24
24.5%
20
75.5%
Q1 - 2:08CelticsAl Horford turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)24
26.6%
20
73.4%
Q1 - 2:25HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot24
24.6%
20
75.4%
Q1 - 2:31HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound21
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q1 - 2:32CelticsDerrick White misses three point running pullup jump shot21
21.1%
20
78.9%
Q1 - 2:38CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound21
19.9%
20
80.1%
Q1 - 2:39HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot21
20.4%
20
79.6%
Q1 - 2:47CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Al Horford assists)21
21.6%
20
78.4%
Q1 - 3:02CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound21
22.7%
18
77.3%
Q1 - 3:04HeatKristaps Porzingis blocks Duncan Robinson's two point running layup21
23.3%
18
76.7%
Q1 - 3:10HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound21
24.7%
18
75.3%
Q1 - 3:12CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot21
24.1%
18
75.9%
Q1 - 3:33HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)21
22.7%
18
77.3%
Q1 - 3:41CelticsKristaps Porzingis turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)18
20.1%
18
79.9%
Q1 - 3:44HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Kristaps Porzingis steals)18
18.3%
18
81.7%
Q1 - 3:54CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Payton Pritchard assists)18
20.1%
18
79.9%
Q1 - 4:02HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)18
20.8%
16
79.2%
Q1 - 4:22CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving finger roll layup (Payton Pritchard assists)15
18.4%
16
81.6%
Q1 - 4:37CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound15
19.5%
14
80.5%
Q1 - 4:39HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot15
20.0%
14
80.0%
Q1 - 4:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound15
21.1%
14
78.9%
Q1 - 4:51CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point turnaround jump shot15
20.6%
14
79.4%
Q1 - 5:17HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)15
19.3%
14
80.7%
Q1 - 5:26HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound12
17.0%
14
83.0%
Q1 - 5:27CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point tip layup12
16.6%
14
83.4%
Q1 - 5:27CelticsKristaps Porzingis offensive rebound12
15.7%
14
84.3%
Q1 - 5:28CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot12
16.6%
14
83.4%
Q1 - 5:42HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)12
15.7%
14
84.3%
Q1 - 5:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
13.8%
14
86.2%
Q1 - 5:57CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot9
13.5%
14
86.5%
Q1 - 6:14HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Kristaps Porzingis steals)9
12.8%
14
87.2%
Q1 - 6:21CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jovic steals)9
13.7%
14
86.3%
Q1 - 6:27CelticsCeltics offensive rebound9
12.8%
14
87.2%
Q1 - 6:28CelticsNikola Jovic blocks Jrue Holiday's two point layup9
13.4%
14
86.6%
Q1 - 6:37CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound9
12.8%
14
87.2%
Q1 - 6:39HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot9
13.0%
14
87.0%
Q1 - 7:08CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)9
13.6%
14
86.4%
Q1 - 7:17CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound9
15.4%
11
84.6%
Q1 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot9
15.8%
11
84.2%
Q1 - 7:37CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Jaylen Brown assists)9
16.6%
11
83.4%
Q1 - 7:42HeatNikola Jovic turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)9
17.6%
9
82.4%
Q1 - 7:46HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound9
18.9%
9
81.1%
Q1 - 7:47CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot9
18.5%
9
81.5%
Q1 - 7:56CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound9
17.6%
9
82.4%
Q1 - 7:58HeatNikola Jovic misses three point running jump shot9
18.0%
9
82.0%
Q1 - 8:05HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound9
18.7%
9
81.3%
Q1 - 8:06CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot9
18.2%
9
81.8%
Q1 - 8:22HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot9
17.3%
9
82.7%
Q1 - 8:44HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound7
16.4%
9
83.6%
Q1 - 8:46CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point running jump shot7
16.1%
9
83.9%
Q1 - 8:52CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound7
15.2%
9
84.8%
Q1 - 8:54HeatJaylen Brown blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving layup7
15.6%
9
84.4%
Q1 - 9:12CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)7
16.4%
9
83.6%
Q1 - 9:30HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)7
18.5%
6
81.5%
Q1 - 9:50CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup4
16.4%
6
83.6%
Q1 - 10:04HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)4
17.1%
4
82.9%
Q1 - 10:14CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound4
17.1%
4
82.9%
Q1 - 10:14HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 24
17.3%
4
82.7%
Q1 - 10:14HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 24
18.0%
4
82.0%
Q1 - 10:14CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)3
17.7%
4
82.3%
Q1 - 10:35CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot3
17.3%
4
82.7%
Q1 - 10:50HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)3
18.2%
2
81.8%
Q1 - 11:06CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)0
15.9%
2
84.1%
Q1 - 11:25CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound0
16.7%
0
83.3%
Q1 - 11:26HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot0
17.1%
0
82.9%
Q1 - 11:41HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound0
17.9%
0
82.1%
Q1 - 11:42CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point driving hook shot0
17.5%
0
82.5%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Kristaps Porzingis (Jayson Tatum gains possession)0
16.7%
0
83.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.25 62.4%
BOS
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
6
10
60%
BOS
21
27
78%
Midrange
MIA
8
22
36%
BOS
4
21
19%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
23
34.5
43
53%
80%
BOS
12
18.0
32
38%
56%
Free Throws
MIA
14
18
78%
BOS
15
21
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2480%12.0 / 15
B. Adebayo2166%10.5 / 16
C. Martin2181%10.5 / 13
J. Jaquez1447%7.0 / 15
N. Jović11110%5.5 / 5
H. Highsmith975%4.5 / 6
D. Robinson638%3.0 / 8
D. Wright550%2.5 / 5
K. Love0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brown3363%16.5 / 26
J. Tatum2858%14.0 / 24
D. White1381%6.5 / 8
J. Holiday938%4.5 / 12
K. Porziņģis627%3.0 / 11
A. Horford675%3.0 / 4
S. Hauser660%3.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+6
-12
89
BOS
82
+10
-12
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.25 62.4%
BOS
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.7
116.8
MIA 116.8 +9.4
BOS 107.4
Pace
91.6
92.6
MIA 100.2 +10.9
BOS 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.5
MIA 14.4 +1.7
BOS 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.7%
55.5%
MIA 64.7% +10.9%
BOS 53.8%
TO %
11.4%
11.0%
MIA 14.4%
BOS 12.7% +1.7%
ORB %
13.3%
23.7%
MIA 10.8%
BOS 14.3% +3.5%
FTrt
14.8
23.0
MIA 24.0
BOS 26.3 +2.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
60.5%
MIA 67.6% +10.8%
BOS 56.8%
STL %
5.0%
6.7%
MIA 9.5%
BOS 9.6% +0.1%
BLK %
3.3%
10.2%
MIA 2.1%
BOS 25.0% +22.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
56.8%
MIA 62.4% +7.5%
BOS 54.9%
Rim FG%
72.3%
69.2%
MIA 60.0%
BOS 77.8% +17.8%
Mid FG%
40.5%
41.0%
MIA 36.4% +17.4%
BOS 19.0%
3P %
32.9%
36.0%
MIA 53.5% +16.0%
BOS 37.5%
FT %
81.7%
81.2%
MIA 77.8% +6.4%
BOS 71.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
20.4%
29.4%
MIA 13.3%
BOS 33.8% +20.4%
Mid Att. %
37.7%
22.7%
MIA 29.3%
BOS 26.3% +3.1%
3P Att. %
41.9%
48.0%
MIA 57.3% +17.3%
BOS 40.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes22.825.3
Points111101
Rebounds4039
Assists2521
Steals99
Blocks18
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)12 (1)
Fouls2217
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)33 (1)
Field Goals37-7537-80
At-the-Rim FG6-1021-27
Midrange FG8-224-21
2-Point FG14-3225-48
3-Point FG23-4312-32
Free Throws14-1815-21
Fast Break Pts715
2nd Chance Pts08
Points in Paint2646
Pts off Turnovers209
Bench Points2012
Biggest Lead126

BOXSCORE

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17 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
39.9
21
66%
10
2
0
0
0
3
2
8
3-6
50%
9-12
75%
0-1
0%
Tyler Herro
#14 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 24
38.8
24
80%
5
14
1
0
3
3
0
5
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
6-11
55%
Caleb Martin
#16 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 29
36.2
21
81%
2
0
1
0
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
5-6
83%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
30.9
14
47%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-7
14%
3-6
50%
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
24.9
11
110%
9
6
3
1
5
2
0
9
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27
26.4
9
75%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-5
60%
Delon Wright
#4 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 32
19.9
5
50%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30
16.8
6
38%
1
0
2
0
2
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
Kevin Love
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 36
6.3
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35
NWT - Not With Team | Right Knee; MCL Sprain
Terry Rozier
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 30
DND - Injury/Illness | Neck; Spasm
Josh Richardson
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
NWT - Not With Team | Right Shoulder; Surgery
Thomas Bryant
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills
#88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36
DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
62%
40
25
9
1
12
22
4
36
14-18
78%
14-32
44%
23-43
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.