for complete access.
All Games Sunday, April 21, 2024
FinalWin Prob.pScore
14
Heat
26%100
94
2
Celtics
74%110
114
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
105.68994.2
BOS logo BOS
126.79086.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.94
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:13.4CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound94
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot94
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:32.4CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 294
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:32.4CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 294
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:32.4HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)94
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:47.6HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)94
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.4CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 294
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.4CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 294
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.4CelticsJaylen Brown technical foul (Double)94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.4HeatCaleb Martin technical foul (Double)94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.4HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.4CelticsCeltics defensive rebound94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 294
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 294
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30HeatDelon Wright shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 292
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 292
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29CelticsKristaps Porzingis turnover (offensive foul)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29CelticsKristaps Porzingis offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)92
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07CelticsCeltics offensive rebound90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)88
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58HeatDelon Wright makes three point running pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:02HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26HeatDelon Wright makes three point pullup jump shot85
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)82
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point tip layup79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point driving layup79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point stepback jump shot77
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting layup (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)77
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Loose ball) (Delon Wright draws the foul)75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass)75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56CelticsCeltics offensive rebound73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:57CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:23HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)73
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:49CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point jump shot70
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:04CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:05HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:08CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:23HeatKevin Love defensive rebound70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:24CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:51HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Love assists)70
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:13CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Sam Hauser assists)68
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:25HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:45HeatDelon Wright makes three point running jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)68
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:50CelticsDerrick White turnover (lost ball) (Delon Wright steals)65
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:06HeatDelon Wright makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)65
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:15CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)62
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:35CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)62
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 10:56HeatDelon Wright makes three point running jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)62
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 11:01CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Delon Wright steals)59
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 11:13HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Sam Hauser steals)59
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 11:38CelticsAl Horford makes two point driving bank hook shot (Jayson Tatum assists)59
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.59
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound59
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point pullup jump shot59
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:02.9CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot59
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:10.7HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Kevin Love assists)59
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:31.9CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot57
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q3 - 0:47.4CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound57
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 0:48.1HeatKristaps Porzingis blocks Delon Wright's two point driving layup57
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q3 - 1:02CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)57
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 1:09CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound57
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 1:10HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot57
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 1:23HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound57
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 1:25CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point jump shot57
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 1:35CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound57
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 1:36HeatNikola Jovic misses three point pullup jump shot57
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 1:55CelticsDerrick White makes two point pullup jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)57
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q3 - 2:14HeatNikola Jovic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)57
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 2:20CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 257
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q3 - 2:20CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 257
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q3 - 2:20HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)57
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 2:33CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound57
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 2:35HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot57
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 3:00CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)57
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 3:08CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound57
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 3:09HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving layup57
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 3:28CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point stepback jump shot57
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q3 - 3:42HeatNikola Jovic personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)57
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 3:53CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound57
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 3:54HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot57
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 4:05HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound57
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 4:06CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot57
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 4:17HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)57
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 4:42HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound57
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 4:43CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point driving layup57
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 5:00HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)57
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 5:24HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound54
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 5:24CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point hook shot54
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 5:40CelticsJrue Holiday offensive rebound54
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 5:41CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot54
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 5:58CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound54
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 5:59HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot54
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 6:20CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)54
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 6:39CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound54
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 6:40HeatCaleb Martin misses three point stepback jump shot54
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 6:41HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound54
3.3%
71
96.7%
Q3 - 6:43HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot54
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 7:06CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)54
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 7:17CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound54
4.7%
68
95.3%
Q3 - 7:18HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot54
4.9%
68
95.1%
Q3 - 7:36CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup (Derrick White assists)54
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q3 - 7:53HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Jrue Holiday steals)54
6.1%
66
93.9%
Q3 - 8:02CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. steals)54
7.3%
66
92.7%
Q3 - 8:20HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup54
6.2%
66
93.8%
Q3 - 8:26CelticsKristaps Porzingis turnover (out of bounds bad pass)52
5.6%
66
94.4%
Q3 - 8:45HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)52
4.8%
66
95.2%
Q3 - 8:48HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound49
3.8%
66
96.2%
Q3 - 8:50HeatNikola Jovic misses three point running pullup jump shot49
3.4%
66
96.6%
Q3 - 8:56HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound49
3.8%
66
96.2%
Q3 - 8:57CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot49
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)49
3.4%
66
96.6%
Q3 - 9:30HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)49
3.4%
66
96.6%
Q3 - 9:47HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound47
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 9:48CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot47
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 9:51CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound47
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 9:54CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot47
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 10:08CelticsCeltics defensive rebound47
2.8%
66
97.2%
Q3 - 10:11HeatJaylen Brown blocks Tyler Herro's three point jump shot47
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 10:16HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound47
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q3 - 10:18CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point running jump shot47
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 10:25CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound47
2.8%
66
97.2%
Q3 - 10:26HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot47
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 10:48CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot47
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q3 - 10:55CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound47
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 10:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot47
4.3%
63
95.7%
Q3 - 11:15CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)47
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 11:25CelticsKristaps Porzingis offensive rebound47
6.0%
60
94.0%
Q3 - 11:27CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot47
6.6%
60
93.4%
Q3 - 11:43HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)47
6.0%
60
94.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.45
5.4%
60
94.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CelticsCeltics offensive rebound45
4.7%
60
95.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot45
5.2%
60
94.8%
Q2 - 0:02.9HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving layup45
4.9%
60
95.1%
Q2 - 0:07.9CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Take) (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)43
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q2 - 0:09.4CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot43
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q2 - 0:30.9HeatCaleb Martin makes two point stepback jump shot43
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q2 - 0:48.1CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)41
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q2 - 1:07HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)41
5.8%
55
94.2%
Q2 - 1:18HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound38
4.5%
55
95.5%
Q2 - 1:19CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot38
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q2 - 1:44CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound38
4.1%
55
95.9%
Q2 - 1:46HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot38
4.2%
55
95.8%
Q2 - 1:50HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound38
4.4%
55
95.6%
Q2 - 1:51CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup38
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q2 - 2:00CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound38
4.0%
55
96.0%
Q2 - 2:01HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point running layup38
4.4%
55
95.6%
Q2 - 2:06HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound38
4.8%
55
95.2%
Q2 - 2:09CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot38
4.6%
55
95.4%
Q2 - 2:29CelticsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound38
4.2%
55
95.8%
Q2 - 2:30HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot38
4.4%
55
95.6%
Q2 - 2:47CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)38
4.7%
55
95.3%
Q2 - 3:01HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 238
6.1%
52
93.9%
Q2 - 3:01HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 237
6.0%
52
94.0%
Q2 - 3:01CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)36
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q2 - 3:16CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)36
5.6%
52
94.4%
Q2 - 3:20CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound36
4.9%
52
95.1%
Q2 - 3:23HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot36
5.1%
52
94.9%
Q2 - 3:29CelticsJrue Holiday turnover (out of bounds bad pass)36
5.6%
52
94.4%
Q2 - 3:30CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound36
4.9%
52
95.1%
Q2 - 3:31HeatKristaps Porzingis blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup36
5.1%
52
94.9%
Q2 - 3:38HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound36
5.6%
52
94.4%
Q2 - 3:40CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot36
5.4%
52
94.6%
Q2 - 3:48CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound36
4.9%
52
95.1%
Q2 - 3:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot36
5.1%
52
94.9%
Q2 - 4:13CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running layup36
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q2 - 4:18HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Jayson Tatum steals)36
6.3%
50
93.7%
Q2 - 4:31HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound36
7.1%
50
92.9%
Q2 - 4:36HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot36
6.5%
50
93.5%
Q2 - 4:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound36
7.1%
50
92.9%
Q2 - 4:43CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot36
6.8%
50
93.2%
Q2 - 4:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)36
6.3%
50
93.7%
Q2 - 5:12HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound34
5.8%
50
94.2%
Q2 - 5:13CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot34
5.6%
50
94.4%
Q2 - 5:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot34
5.1%
50
94.9%
Q2 - 5:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound32
4.7%
50
95.3%
Q2 - 5:36CelticsJrue Holiday misses two point driving layup32
4.6%
50
95.4%
Q2 - 5:54CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound32
4.2%
50
95.8%
Q2 - 5:56HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot32
4.3%
50
95.7%
Q2 - 6:02HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound32
4.9%
50
95.1%
Q2 - 6:03CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses two point turnaround jump shot32
4.7%
50
95.3%
Q2 - 6:22CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound32
4.3%
50
95.7%
Q2 - 6:23HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot32
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q2 - 6:34CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point jump shot32
4.9%
50
95.1%
Q2 - 6:53HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 232
5.3%
48
94.7%
Q2 - 6:53HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 231
5.2%
48
94.8%
Q2 - 6:53CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)30
5.0%
48
95.0%
Q2 - 7:03CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 230
5.0%
48
95.0%
Q2 - 7:03CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 230
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 7:03HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)30
5.2%
46
94.8%
Q2 - 7:11CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound30
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q2 - 7:12HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot30
5.7%
46
94.3%
Q2 - 7:30CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point stepback jump shot30
6.1%
46
93.9%
Q2 - 7:48CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound30
6.7%
44
93.3%
Q2 - 7:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot30
6.9%
44
93.1%
Q2 - 8:04CelticsAl Horford makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jrue Holiday assists)30
7.4%
44
92.6%
Q2 - 8:21CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound30
8.1%
42
91.9%
Q2 - 8:22HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot30
8.4%
42
91.6%
Q2 - 8:37CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)30
9.0%
42
91.0%
Q2 - 8:57HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)30
10.7%
39
89.3%
Q2 - 9:15CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving reverse layup27
9.1%
39
90.9%
Q2 - 9:16CelticsPayton Pritchard offensive rebound27
9.9%
37
90.1%
Q2 - 9:18CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot27
10.6%
37
89.4%
Q2 - 9:30HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)27
9.9%
37
90.1%
Q2 - 9:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 225
9.0%
37
91.0%
Q2 - 9:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 225
9.2%
36
90.8%
Q2 - 9:44HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)25
9.3%
35
90.7%
Q2 - 9:49HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Jrue Holiday steals)25
9.9%
35
90.1%
Q2 - 10:04CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)25
11.0%
35
89.0%
Q2 - 10:18HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)25
13.0%
32
87.0%
Q2 - 10:46CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)25
14.3%
32
85.7%
Q2 - 11:01HeatKevin Love makes two point tip layup25
16.8%
29
83.2%
Q2 - 11:01HeatKevin Love offensive rebound23
15.5%
29
84.5%
Q2 - 11:02HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving finger roll layup23
14.6%
29
85.4%
Q2 - 11:18CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)23
15.5%
29
84.5%
Q2 - 11:38HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating bank jump shot23
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
16.8%
26
83.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0CelticsJrue Holiday defensive rebound21
15.3%
26
84.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0HeatJrue Holiday blocks Duncan Robinson's three point jump shot21
15.6%
26
84.4%
Q1 - 0:06.6HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound21
16.5%
26
83.5%
Q1 - 0:08.6CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot21
16.1%
26
83.9%
Q1 - 0:25.3HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)21
15.3%
26
84.7%
Q1 - 0:39.6HeatKevin Love defensive rebound19
14.1%
26
85.9%
Q1 - 0:42.8CelticsAl Horford misses two point floating jump shot19
13.7%
26
86.3%
Q1 - 0:55.6HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)19
13.0%
26
87.0%
Q1 - 1:00HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound17
11.9%
26
88.1%
Q1 - 1:01CelticsJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot17
11.7%
26
88.3%
Q1 - 1:04CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound17
11.1%
26
88.9%
Q1 - 1:06CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot17
11.7%
26
88.3%
Q1 - 1:20CelticsCeltics offensive rebound17
11.1%
26
88.9%
Q1 - 1:21CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot17
11.7%
26
88.3%
Q1 - 1:25CelticsSam Hauser offensive rebound17
11.1%
26
88.9%
Q1 - 1:27CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot17
11.7%
26
88.3%
Q1 - 1:44HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Delon Wright assists)17
11.1%
26
88.9%
Q1 - 2:00HeatKevin Love defensive rebound14
9.3%
26
90.7%
Q1 - 2:01CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot14
9.4%
26
90.6%
Q1 - 2:06HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)14
8.8%
26
91.2%
Q1 - 2:24CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)14
9.6%
26
90.4%
Q1 - 2:39HeatKevin Love turnover (out of bounds bad pass)14
11.2%
23
88.8%
Q1 - 3:02HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound14
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q1 - 3:04CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot14
12.0%
23
88.0%
Q1 - 3:15HeatDelon Wright makes two point driving layup14
11.2%
23
88.8%
Q1 - 3:28HeatDelon Wright defensive rebound12
10.6%
23
89.4%
Q1 - 3:29CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot12
10.3%
23
89.7%
Q1 - 3:35CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound12
9.6%
23
90.4%
Q1 - 3:36CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot12
10.3%
23
89.7%
Q1 - 3:57CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound12
9.6%
23
90.4%
Q1 - 3:59HeatDerrick White blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot12
9.9%
23
90.1%
Q1 - 4:06CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)12
10.9%
23
89.1%
Q1 - 4:21HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup12
9.9%
23
90.1%
Q1 - 4:39CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)10
9.3%
23
90.7%
Q1 - 4:49CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound10
10.7%
20
89.3%
Q1 - 4:50HeatNikola Jovic misses two point jump shot10
11.0%
20
89.0%
Q1 - 5:04CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)10
11.8%
20
88.2%
Q1 - 5:29HeatNikola Jovic makes two point running layup10
13.6%
17
86.4%
Q1 - 5:34HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound8
12.7%
17
87.3%
Q1 - 5:36CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup8
12.4%
17
87.6%
Q1 - 5:46CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound8
11.7%
17
88.3%
Q1 - 5:48HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot8
12.0%
17
88.0%
Q1 - 5:57CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Loose ball) (Tyler Herro draws the foul)8
12.7%
17
87.3%
Q1 - 5:57HeatHeat offensive rebound8
12.7%
17
87.3%
Q1 - 5:58HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot8
12.0%
17
88.0%
Q1 - 6:15HeatHeat defensive rebound8
12.7%
17
87.3%
Q1 - 6:16CelticsNikola Jovic blocks Jaylen Brown's two point running layup8
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 6:23CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound8
11.9%
17
88.1%
Q1 - 6:25HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot8
12.1%
17
87.9%
Q1 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
12.7%
17
87.3%
Q1 - 6:45CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 28
12.6%
17
87.4%
Q1 - 6:45CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 28
12.1%
17
87.9%
Q1 - 6:45HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)8
11.5%
17
88.5%
Q1 - 6:55HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)8
11.9%
17
88.1%
Q1 - 7:07HeatJaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot8
11.7%
17
88.3%
Q1 - 7:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
11.1%
17
88.9%
Q1 - 7:22CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot6
10.8%
17
89.2%
Q1 - 7:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 26
10.2%
17
89.8%
Q1 - 7:47HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 25
10.1%
17
89.9%
Q1 - 7:47CelticsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)4
9.9%
17
90.1%
Q1 - 7:56HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound4
9.6%
17
90.4%
Q1 - 7:57CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot4
9.4%
17
90.6%
Q1 - 8:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)4
8.9%
17
91.1%
Q1 - 8:26CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)2
8.4%
17
91.6%
Q1 - 8:31CelticsJrue Holiday offensive rebound2
9.6%
14
90.4%
Q1 - 8:33CelticsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot2
10.1%
14
89.9%
Q1 - 8:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
9.6%
14
90.4%
Q1 - 9:01CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)0
9.2%
14
90.8%
Q1 - 9:11HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Kristaps Porzingis steals)0
9.8%
12
90.2%
Q1 - 9:25CelticsJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)0
10.5%
12
89.5%
Q1 - 9:40CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound0
11.9%
9
88.1%
Q1 - 9:42HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot0
12.2%
9
87.8%
Q1 - 10:05CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup (Jaylen Brown assists)0
12.9%
9
87.1%
Q1 - 10:17CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound0
13.6%
7
86.4%
Q1 - 10:18HeatJrue Holiday blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving dunk0
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 10:37CelticsKristaps Porzingis makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)0
14.7%
7
85.3%
Q1 - 10:48CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound0
15.5%
5
84.5%
Q1 - 10:51HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot0
15.8%
5
84.2%
Q1 - 11:12CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving dunk0
16.5%
5
83.5%
Q1 - 11:19CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound0
17.3%
3
82.7%
Q1 - 11:21HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot0
17.7%
3
82.3%
Q1 - 11:39CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)0
18.5%
3
81.5%
Q1 - 11:41CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound0
20.5%
0
79.5%
Q1 - 11:42CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving dunk0
21.5%
0
78.5%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Kristaps Porzingis (Jaylen Brown gains possession)0
20.5%
0
79.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.0%
BOS
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
16
81%
BOS
7
18
39%
Midrange
MIA
13
28
46%
BOS
10
15
67%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
37
32%
49%
BOS
22
33.0
49
45%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
6
6
100%
BOS
14
16
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2460%12.0 / 20
D. Wright17121%8.5 / 7
J. Jaquez1650%8.0 / 16
T. Herro1142%5.5 / 13
N. Jović1050%5.0 / 10
K. Love788%3.5 / 4
D. Robinson563%2.5 / 4
C. Martin433%2.0 / 6
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum2352%11.5 / 22
D. White2083%10.0 / 12
K. Porziņģis1869%9.0 / 13
J. Brown1761%8.5 / 14
S. Hauser12100%6.0 / 6
A. Horford1063%5.0 / 8
P. Pritchard857%4.0 / 7
J. Holiday638%3.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+7
-9
87
BOS
80
+14
-10
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.0%
BOS
1.21 60.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.7
116.8
MIA 105.6
BOS 126.7 +21.0
Pace
91.6
92.6
MIA 94.2 +7.7
BOS 86.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.5
MIA 15.3 +1.4
BOS 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.7%
55.5%
MIA 54.3%
BOS 61.0% +6.7%
TO %
11.4%
11.0%
MIA 11.6%
BOS 11.0% +0.6%
ORB %
13.3%
23.7%
MIA 12.8%
BOS 25.6% +12.8%
FTrt
14.8
23.0
MIA 7.4
BOS 19.5 +12.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
60.5%
MIA 60.5%
BOS 69.2% +8.7%
STL %
5.0%
6.7%
MIA 4.5%
BOS 6.7% +2.2%
BLK %
3.3%
10.2%
MIA 3.0%
BOS 13.6% +10.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
56.8%
MIA 54.0%
BOS 60.6% +6.6%
Rim FG%
72.3%
69.2%
MIA 81.3% +42.4%
BOS 38.9%
Mid FG%
40.5%
41.0%
MIA 46.4%
BOS 66.7% +20.3%
3P %
32.9%
36.0%
MIA 32.4%
BOS 44.9% +12.5%
FT %
81.7%
81.2%
MIA 100.0% +12.5%
BOS 87.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
20.4%
29.4%
MIA 19.8%
BOS 22.0% +2.2%
Mid Att. %
37.7%
22.7%
MIA 34.6%
BOS 18.3% +16.3%
3P Att. %
41.9%
48.0%
MIA 45.7%
BOS 59.8% +14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.7 and 2.7.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes22.725.0
Points94114
Rebounds3444
Assists2327
Steals46
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)10 (1)
Fouls1310
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals38-8139-82
At-the-Rim FG13-167-18
Midrange FG13-2810-15
2-Point FG26-4417-33
3-Point FG12-3722-49
Free Throws6-614-16
Fast Break Pts136
2nd Chance Pts511
Points in Paint4424
Pts off Turnovers1718
Bench Points2930
Biggest Lead034

BOXSCORE

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14 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 27
36.5
24
60%
6
3
0
0
2
4
0
6
4-4
100%
10-16
63%
0-2
0%
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 23
35.6
16
50%
4
4
1
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
8-14
57%
0-2
0%
Tyler Herro
#14 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 24
34.3
11
42%
4
4
1
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
3-9
33%
Caleb Martin
#16 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 29
28.5
4
33%
4
2
0
0
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 21
25.7
10
50%
6
0
0
1
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-6
33%
Delon Wright
#4 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 32
25.6
17
121%
1
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
5-5
100%
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 27
25.6
0
0%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-4
0%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 30
15.1
5
63%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
Kevin Love
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 36
13.1
7
88%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 35
NWT - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; MCL Sprain
Terry Rozier
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 30
DND - Injury/Illness | Neck; Spasm
Josh Richardson
#0 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 31
NWT - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Surgery
Thomas Bryant
#31 · C · 6'10" 248 · 27
DNP – Coach's Decision
Patty Mills
#88 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 36
DNP – Coach's Decision
Orlando Robinson
#25 · C · 6'10" 235 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
54%
34
23
4
1
9
13
5
29
6-6
100%
26-44
59%
12-37
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.