FinalWin Prob.pScore
148%106
108
952%107
95
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
118.79183.6
MIA logo MIA
104.49199.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.108
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:12.0NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound108
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.9HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot108
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.1NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)108
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.2HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)108
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.9HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround hook shot108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11NuggetsJeff Green personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)108
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point pullup jump shot108
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Jeff Green steals)105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound105
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 1:43HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point turnaround jump shot105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 1:49NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point running jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)105
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 1:52NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound102
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 1:52HeatNikola Jokic blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup102
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 2:04NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point driving reverse layup102
99.2%
91
0.8%
Q4 - 2:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup100
99.0%
91
1.0%
Q4 - 2:36NuggetsBruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 1100
99.2%
89
0.8%
Q4 - 2:36HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)99
99.2%
89
0.8%
Q4 - 2:57HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot97
97.3%
89
2.7%
Q4 - 3:14HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound97
98.1%
87
1.9%
Q4 - 3:16NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point turnaround jump shot97
98.4%
87
1.6%
Q4 - 3:32HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)97
97.4%
87
2.6%
Q4 - 3:39NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound97
97.5%
87
2.5%
Q4 - 3:43HeatCaleb Martin misses three point stepback jump shot97
97.3%
87
2.7%
Q4 - 3:59NuggetsBruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 297
96.6%
87
3.4%
Q4 - 3:59NuggetsBruce Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 296
96.4%
87
3.6%
Q4 - 3:59HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)96
97.2%
87
2.8%
Q4 - 4:04HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)96
96.7%
87
3.3%
Q4 - 4:09HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (traveling)96
96.7%
87
3.3%
Q4 - 4:24NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)96
95.3%
87
4.7%
Q4 - 4:43NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound96
96.8%
87
3.2%
Q4 - 4:47HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot96
96.5%
87
3.5%
Q4 - 5:07NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point running layup (Jamal Murray assists)96
93.4%
87
6.6%
Q4 - 5:14HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)94
91.3%
87
8.7%
Q4 - 5:18HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound94
88.2%
87
11.8%
Q4 - 5:19HeatKentavious Caldwell-Pope blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup94
90.5%
87
9.5%
Q4 - 5:29HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound94
88.3%
87
11.7%
Q4 - 5:32NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point stepback jump shot94
89.3%
87
10.7%
Q4 - 5:45NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound94
91.4%
87
8.6%
Q4 - 5:48NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot94
89.4%
87
10.6%
Q4 - 6:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 294
89.3%
87
10.7%
Q4 - 6:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 294
89.7%
86
10.3%
Q4 - 6:05NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)94
90.2%
85
9.8%
Q4 - 6:21NuggetsJeff Green makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)94
91.4%
85
8.6%
Q4 - 6:34HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)91
86.4%
85
13.6%
Q4 - 6:40HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound91
88.9%
83
11.1%
Q4 - 6:42HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot91
91.1%
83
8.9%
Q4 - 6:56NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point layup (Jamal Murray assists)91
89.0%
83
11.0%
Q4 - 7:10NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound89
84.2%
83
15.8%
Q4 - 7:12HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot89
82.9%
83
17.1%
Q4 - 7:31HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound89
79.7%
83
20.3%
Q4 - 7:33NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving layup89
81.2%
83
18.8%
Q4 - 7:57HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot89
84.4%
83
15.6%
Q4 - 8:25NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)89
85.5%
81
14.5%
Q4 - 8:42HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 186
78.5%
81
21.5%
Q4 - 8:42NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)86
79.1%
80
20.9%
Q4 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound86
85.6%
78
14.4%
Q4 - 8:50NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point stepback jump shot86
86.5%
78
13.5%
Q4 - 9:13HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 286
87.2%
78
12.8%
Q4 - 9:13HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 286
87.7%
77
12.3%
Q4 - 9:13NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)86
88.2%
76
11.8%
Q4 - 9:24NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)86
89.4%
76
10.6%
Q4 - 9:24NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive foul (Off the ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)86
91.6%
76
8.4%
Q4 - 9:29NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound86
91.6%
76
8.4%
Q4 - 9:32HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot86
91.0%
76
9.0%
Q4 - 9:41NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)86
89.4%
76
10.6%
Q4 - 9:45HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound86
89.4%
76
10.6%
Q4 - 9:47NuggetsBam Adebayo blocks Jamal Murray's two point running layup86
90.2%
76
9.8%
Q4 - 9:52HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Christian Braun steals)86
91.6%
76
8.4%
Q4 - 9:57HeatHeat offensive rebound86
89.5%
76
10.5%
Q4 - 10:00HeatCaleb Martin misses two point jump shot86
91.0%
76
9.0%
Q4 - 10:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound86
87.9%
76
12.1%
Q4 - 10:10NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot86
88.7%
76
11.3%
Q4 - 10:35HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)86
90.4%
76
9.6%
Q4 - 10:37HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound86
93.4%
73
6.6%
Q4 - 10:41HeatChristian Braun blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving floating jump shot86
94.4%
73
5.6%
Q4 - 11:05HeatHeat defensive rebound86
92.5%
73
7.5%
Q4 - 11:08NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot86
92.9%
73
7.1%
Q4 - 11:20HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)86
93.9%
73
6.1%
Q4 - 11:29NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound86
93.9%
73
6.1%
Q4 - 11:33HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot86
93.5%
73
6.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.86
92.6%
73
7.4%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound86
91.6%
73
8.4%
Q3 - 0:01.6HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot86
92.5%
73
7.5%
Q3 - 0:05.4NuggetsAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)86
91.6%
73
8.4%
Q3 - 0:24.9NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound83
88.0%
73
12.0%
Q3 - 0:27.4HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot83
87.4%
73
12.6%
Q3 - 0:44.5NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point alley-oop layup (Nikola Jokic assists)83
85.9%
73
14.1%
Q3 - 1:03HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)81
82.0%
73
18.0%
Q3 - 1:12NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point tip layup81
86.7%
70
13.3%
Q3 - 1:14NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound79
84.6%
70
15.4%
Q3 - 1:15NuggetsChristian Braun misses two point cutting layup79
82.7%
70
17.3%
Q3 - 1:32HeatJimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)79
84.6%
70
15.4%
Q3 - 1:48NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)79
86.8%
68
13.2%
Q3 - 2:07HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive goaltending)76
80.6%
68
19.4%
Q3 - 2:25NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point driving layup (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)76
77.5%
68
22.5%
Q3 - 2:42HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 274
74.5%
68
25.5%
Q3 - 2:42HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 274
75.0%
67
25.0%
Q3 - 2:42NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)74
75.6%
66
24.4%
Q3 - 2:44HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound74
77.5%
66
22.5%
Q3 - 2:46NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround hook shot74
78.5%
66
21.5%
Q3 - 3:07HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point running finger roll layup74
80.0%
66
20.0%
Q3 - 3:08NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)74
82.1%
64
17.9%
Q3 - 3:10NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound74
84.9%
64
15.1%
Q3 - 3:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup74
84.1%
64
15.9%
Q3 - 3:12HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound74
82.2%
64
17.8%
Q3 - 3:13HeatCaleb Martin misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot74
84.1%
64
15.9%
Q3 - 3:35NuggetsBruce Brown personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Love draws the foul)74
82.2%
64
17.8%
Q3 - 3:35HeatHeat defensive rebound74
82.2%
64
17.8%
Q3 - 3:36NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point running jump shot74
83.1%
64
16.9%
Q3 - 3:42HeatKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)74
84.9%
64
15.1%
Q3 - 3:44HeatKevin Love defensive rebound74
82.2%
64
17.8%
Q3 - 3:48NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point turnaround jump shot74
83.1%
64
16.9%
Q3 - 3:58NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound74
84.9%
64
15.1%
Q3 - 4:01HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround hook shot74
83.2%
64
16.8%
Q3 - 4:17HeatHeat defensive rebound74
81.3%
64
18.7%
Q3 - 4:19NuggetsJimmy Butler blocks Jamal Murray's two point running layup74
82.2%
64
17.8%
Q3 - 4:20HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)74
84.0%
64
16.0%
Q3 - 4:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound74
81.3%
64
18.7%
Q3 - 4:37NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot74
82.2%
64
17.8%
Q3 - 4:53HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 174
84.1%
64
15.9%
Q3 - 4:53NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)74
84.4%
63
15.6%
Q3 - 5:08NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot74
86.8%
61
13.2%
Q3 - 5:22HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)72
85.1%
61
14.9%
Q3 - 5:23NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound72
85.1%
61
14.9%
Q3 - 5:24HeatKevin Love misses three point pullup jump shot72
84.4%
61
15.6%
Q3 - 5:26HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound72
82.8%
61
17.2%
Q3 - 5:27HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot72
84.4%
61
15.6%
Q3 - 5:52NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point dunk72
82.8%
61
17.2%
Q3 - 6:07NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound70
79.7%
61
20.3%
Q3 - 6:11HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot70
79.0%
61
21.0%
Q3 - 6:29NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)70
77.1%
61
22.9%
Q3 - 6:49HeatKevin Love makes three point pullup bank jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)67
71.5%
61
28.5%
Q3 - 6:57NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)67
77.1%
58
22.9%
Q3 - 7:18HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)65
73.7%
58
26.3%
Q3 - 7:35NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point cutting layup (Aaron Gordon assists)65
78.7%
55
21.3%
Q3 - 7:44NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound63
76.5%
55
23.5%
Q3 - 7:47HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot63
75.6%
55
24.4%
Q3 - 7:58HeatKevin Love defensive rebound63
73.4%
55
26.6%
Q3 - 8:02NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point running jump shot63
73.7%
55
26.3%
Q3 - 8:06NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound63
75.9%
55
24.1%
Q3 - 8:09HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot63
74.9%
55
25.1%
Q3 - 8:23NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving hook shot63
72.7%
55
27.3%
Q3 - 8:45HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)61
70.3%
55
29.7%
Q3 - 8:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound61
66.7%
55
33.3%
Q3 - 8:54NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point fadeaway jump shot61
67.8%
55
32.2%
Q3 - 8:59NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound61
70.3%
55
29.7%
Q3 - 9:04NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot61
67.3%
55
32.7%
Q3 - 9:19HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)61
69.7%
55
30.3%
Q3 - 9:38NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jamal Murray assists)61
66.3%
55
33.7%
Q3 - 9:49HeatGabe Vincent makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot59
63.5%
55
36.5%
Q3 - 10:11NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)59
65.6%
53
34.4%
Q3 - 10:23HeatMax Strus personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)57
62.9%
53
37.1%
Q3 - 10:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)57
63.0%
53
37.0%
Q3 - 10:40HeatHeat offensive rebound57
65.6%
51
34.4%
Q3 - 10:41HeatKentavious Caldwell-Pope blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup57
68.0%
51
32.0%
Q3 - 10:59NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 257
65.7%
51
34.3%
Q3 - 10:59NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 256
65.3%
51
34.7%
Q3 - 10:59HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)55
64.9%
51
35.1%
Q3 - 11:11NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound55
62.4%
51
37.6%
Q3 - 11:15HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running pullup jump shot55
61.5%
51
38.5%
Q3 - 11:20NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)55
59.2%
51
40.8%
Q3 - 11:27NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound55
62.5%
51
37.5%
Q3 - 11:31HeatMax Strus misses three point running jump shot55
61.5%
51
38.5%
Q3 - 11:34HeatMax Strus defensive rebound55
59.2%
51
40.8%
Q3 - 11:37NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround hook shot55
60.2%
51
39.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.55
62.5%
51
37.5%
Q2 - 0:02.6NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound55
61.9%
51
38.1%
Q2 - 0:03.4HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 255
61.6%
51
38.4%
Q2 - 0:03.4HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 255
59.3%
51
40.7%
Q2 - 0:03.4NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)55
56.7%
51
43.3%
Q2 - 0:17.3NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)55
59.4%
51
40.6%
Q2 - 0:17.3NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive foul (Off the ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)55
61.9%
51
38.1%
Q2 - 0:30.3HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)55
61.9%
51
38.1%
Q2 - 0:33.5HeatMax Strus defensive rebound55
65.4%
49
34.6%
Q2 - 0:36.1NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point fadeaway jump shot55
66.1%
49
33.9%
Q2 - 0:57.6HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)55
67.8%
49
32.2%
Q2 - 1:14NuggetsChristian Braun makes regular free throw 2 of 255
70.7%
47
29.3%
Q2 - 1:14NuggetsChristian Braun misses regular free throw 1 of 254
69.9%
47
30.1%
Q2 - 1:14HeatMax Strus personal foul (Christian Braun draws the foul)54
71.5%
47
28.5%
Q2 - 1:24HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk54
70.0%
47
30.0%
Q2 - 1:36NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 254
73.2%
45
26.8%
Q2 - 1:36NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 253
72.8%
45
27.2%
Q2 - 1:36HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)52
72.2%
45
27.8%
Q2 - 1:39HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Nikola Jokic steals)52
70.0%
45
30.0%
Q2 - 1:58NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point running layup (Aaron Gordon assists)52
68.1%
45
31.9%
Q2 - 2:08NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound50
64.4%
45
35.6%
Q2 - 2:09HeatNikola Jokic blocks Caleb Martin's two point running layup50
63.5%
45
36.5%
Q2 - 2:13HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound50
61.4%
45
38.6%
Q2 - 2:14NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point driving floating jump shot50
62.3%
45
37.7%
Q2 - 2:29HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 250
64.4%
45
35.6%
Q2 - 2:29HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 250
64.8%
44
35.2%
Q2 - 2:29NuggetsAaron Gordon personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)50
65.2%
43
34.8%
Q2 - 2:41NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 250
67.0%
43
33.0%
Q2 - 2:41NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 249
66.5%
43
33.5%
Q2 - 2:41HeatMax Strus personal foul (Loose ball) (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)48
66.0%
43
34.0%
Q2 - 2:43NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound48
64.4%
43
35.6%
Q2 - 2:43NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot48
62.4%
43
37.6%
Q2 - 3:00HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 248
64.4%
43
35.6%
Q2 - 3:00HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 248
64.8%
42
35.2%
Q2 - 3:00NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)48
65.2%
41
34.8%
Q2 - 3:11NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)48
66.0%
41
34.0%
Q2 - 3:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)46
63.9%
41
36.1%
Q2 - 3:36HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound46
66.0%
39
34.0%
Q2 - 3:40NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot46
67.0%
39
33.0%
Q2 - 3:49NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound46
69.1%
39
30.9%
Q2 - 3:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot46
68.2%
39
31.8%
Q2 - 4:08NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point tip layup46
65.9%
39
34.1%
Q2 - 4:08NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound44
63.3%
39
36.7%
Q2 - 4:09NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving finger roll layup44
61.5%
39
38.5%
Q2 - 4:24HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)44
63.3%
39
36.7%
Q2 - 4:38NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)44
65.9%
37
34.1%
Q2 - 4:47HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)41
60.7%
37
39.3%
Q2 - 4:52NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound41
60.7%
37
39.3%
Q2 - 4:53HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 241
60.3%
37
39.7%
Q2 - 4:53HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 241
58.4%
37
41.6%
Q2 - 4:53NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)41
58.8%
36
41.2%
Q2 - 4:56HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound41
60.6%
36
39.4%
Q2 - 4:59NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot41
61.5%
36
38.5%
Q2 - 5:11HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)41
63.4%
36
36.6%
Q2 - 5:26NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 141
65.4%
34
34.6%
Q2 - 5:26HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)40
64.6%
34
35.4%
Q2 - 5:39NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound38
60.8%
34
39.2%
Q2 - 5:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot38
59.8%
34
40.2%
Q2 - 5:54NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point driving dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)38
57.6%
34
42.4%
Q2 - 6:07HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)36
55.4%
34
44.6%
Q2 - 6:21NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 236
57.4%
32
42.6%
Q2 - 6:21NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 235
57.0%
32
43.0%
Q2 - 6:21HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)35
59.0%
32
41.0%
Q2 - 6:40HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 235
58.0%
32
42.0%
Q2 - 6:40HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 235
58.4%
31
41.6%
Q2 - 6:40NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)35
58.8%
30
41.2%
Q2 - 6:57NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Jamal Murray assists)35
60.1%
30
39.9%
Q2 - 7:16HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)33
57.5%
30
42.5%
Q2 - 7:18HeatGabe Vincent turnover (lost ball) (Bruce Brown steals)33
57.5%
30
42.5%
Q2 - 7:31NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)33
54.7%
30
45.3%
Q2 - 7:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)30
49.7%
30
50.3%
Q2 - 8:12NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (traveling)30
52.0%
28
48.0%
Q2 - 8:33HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)30
54.7%
28
45.3%
Q2 - 8:46NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point running reverse layup30
59.6%
25
40.4%
Q2 - 8:50NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound28
57.3%
25
42.7%
Q2 - 8:53HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot28
56.4%
25
43.6%
Q2 - 9:09NuggetsAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)28
54.2%
25
45.8%
Q2 - 9:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)25
49.2%
25
50.8%
Q2 - 9:36NuggetsChristian Braun personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)25
51.7%
23
48.3%
Q2 - 9:45NuggetsJeff Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)25
51.7%
23
48.3%
Q2 - 9:48NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound25
54.4%
23
45.6%
Q2 - 9:52HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround bank jump shot25
53.6%
23
46.4%
Q2 - 10:10NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot25
51.7%
23
48.3%
Q2 - 10:25NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound23
49.3%
23
50.7%
Q2 - 10:27HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot23
48.5%
23
51.5%
Q2 - 10:54NuggetsAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)23
46.7%
23
53.3%
Q2 - 11:01NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound20
41.9%
23
58.1%
Q2 - 11:03HeatKyle Lowry misses three point running pullup jump shot20
41.3%
23
58.7%
Q2 - 11:06HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound20
39.7%
23
60.3%
Q2 - 11:08NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot20
40.4%
23
59.6%
Q2 - 11:33HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot20
41.9%
23
58.1%
Q2 - 11:41HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound20
44.4%
21
55.6%
Q2 - 11:44NuggetsCody Zeller blocks Bruce Brown's two point driving layup20
45.1%
21
54.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.20
46.7%
21
53.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)20
46.7%
21
53.3%
Q1 - 0:02.3NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)20
51.3%
18
48.7%
Q1 - 0:26.0NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 220
51.3%
18
48.7%
Q1 - 0:26.0NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 219
50.9%
18
49.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0HeatCody Zeller shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)18
50.5%
18
49.5%
Q1 - 0:41.3HeatKyle Lowry makes three point running pullup jump shot18
48.7%
18
51.3%
Q1 - 0:44.6HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound18
53.6%
15
46.4%
Q1 - 0:49.4NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot18
54.3%
15
45.7%
Q1 - 1:14HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround bank jump shot18
55.8%
15
44.2%
Q1 - 1:27HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound18
58.3%
13
41.7%
Q1 - 1:31NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot18
58.9%
13
41.1%
Q1 - 2:00HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot (Cody Zeller assists)18
60.3%
13
39.7%
Q1 - 2:21NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)18
62.2%
11
37.8%
Q1 - 2:29NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound15
57.9%
11
42.1%
Q1 - 2:32HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot15
57.2%
11
42.8%
Q1 - 2:45HeatMax Strus offensive rebound15
55.7%
11
44.3%
Q1 - 2:46HeatBruce Brown blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup15
57.2%
11
42.8%
Q1 - 2:57NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)15
55.7%
11
44.3%
Q1 - 3:08HeatCaleb Martin makes two point putback layup13
53.4%
11
46.6%
Q1 - 3:12HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound13
55.1%
9
44.9%
Q1 - 3:12HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot13
56.9%
9
43.1%
Q1 - 3:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
55.1%
9
44.9%
Q1 - 3:25NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point bank hook shot13
55.9%
9
44.1%
Q1 - 3:40HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)13
57.7%
9
42.3%
Q1 - 3:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
55.1%
9
44.9%
Q1 - 3:51NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot13
55.9%
9
44.1%
Q1 - 4:00NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound13
57.7%
9
42.3%
Q1 - 4:00HeatNikola Jokic blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving layup13
57.0%
9
43.0%
Q1 - 4:16NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 2 of 213
54.9%
9
45.1%
Q1 - 4:16NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses regular free throw 1 of 212
54.6%
9
45.4%
Q1 - 4:16HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)12
56.4%
9
43.6%
Q1 - 4:26HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)12
55.2%
9
44.8%
Q1 - 4:41NuggetsAaron Gordon personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)12
52.8%
9
47.2%
Q1 - 4:41HeatHeat defensive rebound12
52.8%
9
47.2%
Q1 - 4:41NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point driving layup12
53.5%
9
46.5%
Q1 - 4:46NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound12
55.2%
9
44.8%
Q1 - 4:47NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point cutting layup12
53.5%
9
46.5%
Q1 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot12
55.0%
9
45.0%
Q1 - 5:20NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot12
56.7%
7
43.3%
Q1 - 5:42NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound9
53.0%
7
47.0%
Q1 - 5:46HeatKevin Love misses three point pullup jump shot9
52.3%
7
47.7%
Q1 - 5:56HeatMax Strus defensive rebound9
50.7%
7
49.3%
Q1 - 6:02NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot9
51.4%
7
48.6%
Q1 - 6:05NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound9
52.8%
7
47.2%
Q1 - 6:07NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving finger roll layup9
51.4%
7
48.6%
Q1 - 6:18HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)9
52.8%
7
47.2%
Q1 - 6:18HeatHeat offensive rebound9
50.7%
7
49.3%
Q1 - 6:19HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot9
52.2%
7
47.8%
Q1 - 6:44NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)9
50.7%
7
49.3%
Q1 - 6:55HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)7
48.8%
7
51.2%
Q1 - 7:03NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound7
48.9%
7
51.1%
Q1 - 7:05HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot7
48.3%
7
51.7%
Q1 - 7:27HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound7
46.8%
7
53.2%
Q1 - 7:27NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point jump shot7
47.4%
7
52.6%
Q1 - 7:42HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)7
48.9%
7
51.1%
Q1 - 7:59HeatKevin Love defensive rebound7
50.7%
5
49.3%
Q1 - 8:04NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving floating jump shot7
51.4%
5
48.6%
Q1 - 8:27HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)7
52.9%
5
47.1%
Q1 - 8:41NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 27
56.6%
2
43.4%
Q1 - 8:41NuggetsAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 26
56.0%
2
44.0%
Q1 - 8:41HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)6
57.2%
2
42.8%
Q1 - 8:45HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Gordon steals)6
56.8%
2
43.2%
Q1 - 8:59NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)6
54.6%
2
45.4%
Q1 - 9:11NuggetsJamal Murray makes technical free throw 1 of 13
50.8%
2
49.2%
Q1 - 9:11Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)2
50.3%
2
49.7%
Q1 - 9:25NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound2
48.9%
2
51.1%
Q1 - 9:27HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot2
48.3%
2
51.7%
Q1 - 9:45HeatKevin Love defensive rebound2
46.9%
2
53.1%
Q1 - 9:49NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point running pullup jump shot2
47.5%
2
52.5%
Q1 - 9:54NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound2
48.9%
2
51.1%
Q1 - 9:59HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot2
48.3%
2
51.7%
Q1 - 10:20NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot2
46.7%
2
53.3%
Q1 - 10:33NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound0
45.1%
2
54.9%
Q1 - 10:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot0
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 10:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
43.1%
2
56.9%
Q1 - 10:48NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot0
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 11:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup0
45.1%
2
54.9%
Q1 - 11:18HeatMax Strus defensive rebound0
46.6%
0
53.4%
Q1 - 11:21NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot0
47.2%
0
52.8%
Q1 - 11:43NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound0
48.6%
0
51.4%
Q1 - 11:45HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot0
48.0%
0
52.0%
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Jokic vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
46.6%
0
53.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.16 58.1%
MIA
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
19
30
63%
MIA
14
20
70%
Midrange
DEN
6
21
29%
MIA
13
33
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
14
21.0
28
50%
75%
MIA
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
Free Throws
DEN
16
21
76%
MIA
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Gordon2784%13.5 / 16
N. Jokić2355%11.5 / 21
B. Brown2188%10.5 / 12
J. Murray1542%7.5 / 18
M. Porter1146%5.5 / 12
K. Caldwell-Pope758%3.5 / 6
J. Green3150%1.5 / 1
C. Braun125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2560%12.5 / 21
B. Adebayo2048%10.0 / 21
K. Lowry1365%6.5 / 10
K. Love12100%6.0 / 6
D. Robinson1286%6.0 / 7
C. Martin1146%5.5 / 12
G. Vincent217%1.0 / 6
M. Strus0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
85
+7
-6
92
MIA
77
+12
-14
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.16 58.1%
MIA
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
118.5
114.3
DEN 118.7 +14.3
MIA 104.4
Pace
95.2
94.4
DEN 83.6
MIA 99.8 +16.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.5
DEN 17.2
MIA 14.4 +2.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.7%
53.1%
DEN 58.2% +8.2%
MIA 50.0%
TO %
11.0%
11.6%
DEN 8.3% +6.4%
MIA 14.7%
ORB %
25.2%
21.7%
DEN 14.7%
MIA 21.6% +6.9%
FTrt
25.7
22.8
DEN 26.6 +1.0
MIA 25.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
59.3%
DEN 66.7% +1.0%
MIA 65.7%
STL %
7.2%
7.4%
DEN 12.1% +9.9%
MIA 2.2%
BLK %
7.6%
7.4%
DEN 13.2% +7.3%
MIA 5.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.1%
55.5%
DEN 58.1% +4.7%
MIA 53.4%
Rim FG%
63.3%
60.5%
DEN 63.3%
MIA 70.0% +6.7%
Mid FG%
46.6%
41.3%
DEN 28.6%
MIA 39.4% +10.8%
3P %
37.5%
38.0%
DEN 50.0% +18.0%
MIA 32.0%
FT %
80.1%
81.3%
DEN 76.2%
MIA 85.0% +8.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
29.9%
DEN 38.0% +12.3%
MIA 25.6%
Mid Att. %
30.7%
31.3%
DEN 26.6% +15.7%
MIA 42.3%
3P Att. %
34.9%
38.8%
DEN 35.4% +3.4%
MIA 32.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMIA
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points10895
Rebounds3437
Assists2623
Steals112
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)6 (2)14 (1)
Fouls1819
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)29 (4)
Field Goals39-7935-78
At-the-Rim FG19-3014-20
Midrange FG6-2113-33
2-Point FG25-5127-53
3-Point FG14-288-25
Free Throws16-2117-20
Fast Break Pts1214
2nd Chance Pts69
Points in Paint4846
Pts off Turnovers178
Bench Points2536
Biggest Lead173

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 26
42.6
15
42%
3
12
1
0
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
3-14
21%
2-3
67%
#50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 28
41.7
27
84%
7
6
1
0
2
4
1
6
2-3
67%
8-11
73%
3-4
75%
#15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 28
37.1
23
55%
12
4
3
3
3
5
2
10
4-4
100%
5-12
42%
3-7
43%
#5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 30
36.0
7
58%
4
2
3
2
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
2-5
40%
#1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 25
22.6
11
46%
3
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
0-3
0%
#11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 27
29.6
21
88%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
5-6
83%
3-5
60%
#32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 37
15.6
3
150%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 22
14.8
1
25%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#22 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 22
DNP – Coach's Decision
#31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 33
DNP – Coach's Decision
#6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 35
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#14 · PG · 6'0" 175 · 35
DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
58%
34
26
11
7
6
18
5
29
16-21
76%
25-51
49%
14-28
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.