for complete access.
All Games Sunday, June 4, 2023
FinalWin Prob.pScore
11
Heat
28%104
111
1
Nuggets
72%112
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
129.18680.3
DEN logo DEN
124.18793.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.111
100%
108
0%
Q4 - 0:01.9HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound111
99.4%
108
0.6%
Q4 - 0:01.9NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot111
99.2%
108
0.8%
Q4 - 0:11.4NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound111
92.1%
108
7.9%
Q4 - 0:14.6HeatJimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot111
92.6%
108
7.4%
Q4 - 0:35.6NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)111
93.3%
108
6.7%
Q4 - 0:48.3HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2111
92.8%
106
7.2%
Q4 - 0:48.3HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
92.0%
106
8.0%
Q4 - 0:48.3NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)109
90.8%
106
9.2%
Q4 - 1:09NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)109
83.8%
106
16.2%
Q4 - 1:11NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound109
93.0%
103
7.0%
Q4 - 1:14NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot109
95.1%
103
4.9%
Q4 - 1:26NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound109
91.0%
103
9.0%
Q4 - 1:29HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot109
92.1%
103
7.9%
Q4 - 1:50NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point pullup jump shot109
93.0%
103
7.0%
Q4 - 1:51NuggetsBruce Brown offensive rebound109
95.2%
101
4.8%
Q4 - 1:53NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point bank jump shot109
96.7%
101
3.3%
Q4 - 2:12HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot109
95.3%
101
4.7%
Q4 - 2:35NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot107
93.9%
101
6.1%
Q4 - 2:44NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound107
97.1%
98
2.9%
Q4 - 2:46HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot107
97.6%
98
2.4%
Q4 - 3:13NuggetsAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)107
97.4%
98
2.6%
Q4 - 3:39HeatCaleb Martin makes three point stepback jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)107
97.1%
95
2.9%
Q4 - 3:41HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound104
94.5%
95
5.5%
Q4 - 3:44HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot104
93.1%
95
6.9%
Q4 - 4:03NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jamal Murray assists)104
94.8%
95
5.2%
Q4 - 4:11HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)104
96.3%
93
3.7%
Q4 - 4:31HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound104
97.5%
93
2.5%
Q4 - 4:33NuggetsBam Adebayo blocks Jamal Murray's two point driving finger roll layup104
97.2%
93
2.8%
Q4 - 4:53HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1104
96.5%
93
3.5%
Q4 - 4:53NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)103
96.2%
93
3.8%
Q4 - 5:14NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)101
89.7%
93
10.3%
Q4 - 5:25HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 3 of 3101
86.2%
93
13.8%
Q4 - 5:25HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 3100
85.6%
93
14.4%
Q4 - 5:25HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 399
85.0%
93
15.0%
Q4 - 5:25NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)98
84.3%
93
15.7%
Q4 - 5:48NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jamal Murray assists)98
77.1%
93
22.9%
Q4 - 6:06HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 198
77.4%
91
22.6%
Q4 - 6:06NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)97
76.6%
91
23.4%
Q4 - 6:30NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)95
67.3%
91
32.7%
Q4 - 6:56HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)95
72.4%
89
27.6%
Q4 - 7:23NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)92
57.1%
89
42.9%
Q4 - 7:39HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)92
62.3%
87
37.7%
Q4 - 7:54HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound92
69.5%
87
30.5%
Q4 - 7:56NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot92
67.4%
87
32.6%
Q4 - 8:03HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)92
60.2%
87
39.8%
Q4 - 8:09NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound92
60.2%
87
39.8%
Q4 - 8:12HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot92
62.1%
87
37.9%
Q4 - 8:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound92
66.3%
87
33.7%
Q4 - 8:26NuggetsBruce Brown misses two point driving floating bank jump shot92
64.5%
87
35.5%
Q4 - 8:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)92
60.3%
87
39.7%
Q4 - 8:59NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 290
54.6%
87
45.4%
Q4 - 8:59NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 290
55.6%
86
44.4%
Q4 - 8:59HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)90
56.7%
85
43.3%
Q4 - 9:09HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)90
57.6%
85
42.4%
Q4 - 9:17HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 290
57.7%
85
42.3%
Q4 - 9:17HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 289
57.1%
85
42.9%
Q4 - 9:17NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)88
56.3%
85
43.7%
Q4 - 9:21NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)88
52.6%
85
47.4%
Q4 - 9:29NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)88
52.6%
85
47.4%
Q4 - 9:29NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)88
46.2%
85
53.8%
Q4 - 9:44HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)88
46.2%
85
53.8%
Q4 - 10:00NuggetsJeff Green turnover (offensive foul)86
41.0%
85
59.0%
Q4 - 10:00NuggetsJeff Green offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)86
35.0%
85
65.0%
Q4 - 10:10HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)86
34.5%
85
65.5%
Q4 - 10:23NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)83
25.8%
85
74.2%
Q4 - 10:24NuggetsChristian Braun offensive rebound83
21.4%
85
78.6%
Q4 - 10:25NuggetsCaleb Martin blocks Jamal Murray's three point jump shot83
24.4%
85
75.6%
Q4 - 10:50HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot83
21.4%
85
78.6%
Q4 - 10:57NuggetsJeff Green personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)80
15.2%
85
84.8%
Q4 - 10:57HeatHeat offensive rebound80
15.2%
85
84.8%
Q4 - 10:57HeatDuncan Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 180
12.7%
85
87.3%
Q4 - 10:57NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)80
14.6%
85
85.4%
Q4 - 11:05NuggetsChristian Braun personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)78
11.0%
85
89.0%
Q4 - 11:20NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 2 of 278
11.0%
85
89.0%
Q4 - 11:20NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 1 of 278
11.4%
84
88.6%
Q4 - 11:20HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)78
11.8%
83
88.2%
Q4 - 11:40HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)78
13.1%
83
86.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.75
9.1%
83
90.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound75
8.1%
83
91.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving floating jump shot75
9.1%
83
90.9%
Q3 - 0:22.1NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound75
8.0%
83
92.0%
Q3 - 0:25.2HeatJimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot75
8.5%
83
91.5%
Q3 - 0:44.1HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound75
9.6%
83
90.4%
Q3 - 0:45.4NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 275
9.3%
83
90.7%
Q3 - 0:45.4NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 275
8.2%
83
91.8%
Q3 - 0:45.4HeatCody Zeller personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)75
8.5%
82
91.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound75
9.6%
82
90.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot75
10.1%
82
89.9%
Q3 - 1:00NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point running layup75
11.4%
82
88.6%
Q3 - 1:06HeatCody Zeller turnover (lost ball) (Christian Braun steals)75
14.0%
80
86.0%
Q3 - 1:27NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 175
16.5%
80
83.5%
Q3 - 1:27HeatCody Zeller shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)75
17.0%
79
83.0%
Q3 - 1:38HeatKyle Lowry turnover (offensive foul)75
22.1%
77
77.9%
Q3 - 1:38HeatKyle Lowry offensive foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)75
25.8%
77
74.2%
Q3 - 1:52NuggetsBruce Brown turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)75
25.8%
77
74.2%
Q3 - 2:08HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot75
22.3%
77
77.7%
Q3 - 2:29NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot72
16.9%
77
83.1%
Q3 - 2:51HeatCody Zeller makes two point layup (Jimmy Butler assists)72
19.3%
75
80.7%
Q3 - 3:05NuggetsBruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 270
17.5%
75
82.5%
Q3 - 3:05NuggetsBruce Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 270
18.0%
74
82.0%
Q3 - 3:05HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)70
18.6%
73
81.4%
Q3 - 3:14HeatMax Strus personal foul (Loose ball) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)70
19.6%
73
80.4%
Q3 - 3:14NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound70
19.6%
73
80.4%
Q3 - 3:14NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point tip layup70
21.9%
73
78.1%
Q3 - 3:15NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound70
19.6%
73
80.4%
Q3 - 3:17NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point finger roll layup70
21.9%
73
78.1%
Q3 - 3:27NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound70
19.6%
73
80.4%
Q3 - 3:29HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot70
20.6%
73
79.4%
Q3 - 3:50HeatKevin Love defensive rebound70
22.9%
73
77.1%
Q3 - 3:53NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot70
21.9%
73
78.1%
Q3 - 4:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)70
19.6%
73
80.4%
Q3 - 4:31NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving floating jump shot68
17.6%
73
82.4%
Q3 - 4:36NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound68
19.6%
71
80.4%
Q3 - 4:37NuggetsBruce Brown misses two point running layup68
21.8%
71
78.2%
Q3 - 4:42HeatGabe Vincent turnover (lost ball) (Bruce Brown steals)68
19.7%
71
80.3%
Q3 - 4:48NuggetsBruce Brown turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)68
22.9%
71
77.1%
Q3 - 5:02HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 268
20.0%
71
80.0%
Q3 - 5:02HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 267
19.7%
71
80.3%
Q3 - 5:02NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)66
19.3%
71
80.7%
Q3 - 5:21NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)66
17.8%
71
82.2%
Q3 - 5:35NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound66
15.4%
71
84.6%
Q3 - 5:37HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot66
16.1%
71
83.9%
Q3 - 5:53NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point floating jump shot66
17.8%
71
82.2%
Q3 - 6:16NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound66
19.9%
69
80.1%
Q3 - 6:19HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot66
20.7%
69
79.3%
Q3 - 6:31HeatHeat defensive rebound66
22.6%
69
77.4%
Q3 - 6:32NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot66
21.8%
69
78.2%
Q3 - 6:51NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound66
20.0%
69
80.0%
Q3 - 6:53HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot66
20.8%
69
79.2%
Q3 - 7:02NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Kevin Love steals)66
22.7%
69
77.3%
Q3 - 7:15NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound66
19.9%
69
80.1%
Q3 - 7:15HeatKevin Love misses two point tip layup66
20.7%
69
79.3%
Q3 - 7:15HeatKevin Love offensive rebound66
22.7%
69
77.3%
Q3 - 7:18HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot66
20.7%
69
79.3%
Q3 - 7:29HeatHeat offensive rebound66
22.7%
69
77.3%
Q3 - 7:30HeatKevin Love misses three point pullup jump shot66
20.7%
69
79.3%
Q3 - 7:41NuggetsAaron Gordon personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)66
22.7%
69
77.3%
Q3 - 7:49NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 3 of 366
22.7%
69
77.3%
Q3 - 7:49NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 366
23.1%
68
76.9%
Q3 - 7:49NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 366
23.6%
67
76.4%
Q3 - 7:49HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)66
24.1%
66
75.9%
Q3 - 8:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Max Strus assists)66
27.5%
66
72.5%
Q3 - 8:24HeatKevin Love defensive rebound64
25.2%
66
74.8%
Q3 - 8:28NuggetsAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 2 of 264
24.8%
66
75.2%
Q3 - 8:28NuggetsAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 264
23.4%
66
76.6%
Q3 - 8:28HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)64
21.7%
66
78.3%
Q3 - 8:37NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound64
22.2%
66
77.8%
Q3 - 8:41HeatGabe Vincent misses two point jump shot64
23.1%
66
76.9%
Q3 - 8:55NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot64
25.3%
66
74.7%
Q3 - 9:02HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup64
28.2%
64
71.8%
Q3 - 9:09HeatBam Adebayo makes clear path free throw 2 of 264
27.3%
64
72.7%
Q3 - 9:09HeatBam Adebayo makes clear path free throw 1 of 263
29.8%
64
70.2%
Q3 - 9:09NuggetsNikola Jokic clear path foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)62
29.2%
64
70.8%
Q3 - 9:10HeatKevin Love defensive rebound62
24.9%
64
75.1%
Q3 - 9:12NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot62
24.1%
64
75.9%
Q3 - 9:25HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)62
22.1%
64
77.9%
Q3 - 9:48NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)59
18.0%
64
82.0%
Q3 - 10:14HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)59
22.0%
61
78.0%
Q3 - 10:27NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot56
18.0%
61
82.0%
Q3 - 10:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point reverse layup (Max Strus assists)56
19.8%
59
80.2%
Q3 - 11:14NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)54
17.7%
59
82.3%
Q3 - 11:33HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)54
19.6%
57
80.4%
Q3 - 11:48HeatKevin Love defensive rebound51
15.9%
57
84.1%
Q3 - 11:50NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot51
15.4%
57
84.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
14.1%
57
85.9%
Q2 - 0:00.1NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound51
14.4%
57
85.6%
Q2 - 0:00.2NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point pullup jump shot51
15.3%
57
84.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot (Max Strus assists)51
14.4%
57
85.6%
Q2 - 0:07.6NuggetsAaron Gordon personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)49
12.6%
57
87.4%
Q2 - 0:23.5NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point alley-oop layup (Nikola Jokic assists)49
12.6%
57
87.4%
Q2 - 0:38.1HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot49
14.4%
55
85.6%
Q2 - 0:55.6NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 3 of 347
12.6%
55
87.4%
Q2 - 0:55.6NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 2 of 347
12.8%
54
87.2%
Q2 - 0:55.6NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 347
13.1%
53
86.9%
Q2 - 0:55.6HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)47
13.3%
52
86.7%
Q2 - 1:16NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound47
16.3%
52
83.7%
Q2 - 1:19HeatKevin Love misses three point stepback jump shot47
16.7%
52
83.3%
Q2 - 1:32HeatMax Strus defensive rebound47
17.6%
52
82.4%
Q2 - 1:32NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot47
17.2%
52
82.8%
Q2 - 1:41NuggetsJamal Murray offensive rebound47
16.3%
52
83.7%
Q2 - 1:44NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point jump shot47
17.2%
52
82.8%
Q2 - 2:05HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating jump shot47
16.2%
52
83.8%
Q2 - 2:22HeatKevin Love defensive rebound45
14.7%
52
85.3%
Q2 - 2:24NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot45
14.2%
52
85.8%
Q2 - 2:41HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup45
13.2%
52
86.8%
Q2 - 2:57HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound43
11.9%
52
88.1%
Q2 - 3:01NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot43
11.8%
52
88.2%
Q2 - 3:15NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound43
10.9%
52
89.1%
Q2 - 3:17HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot43
11.3%
52
88.7%
Q2 - 3:25NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point hook shot43
12.3%
52
87.7%
Q2 - 3:25NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound43
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q2 - 3:28NuggetsBam Adebayo blocks Nikola Jokic's two point driving floating jump shot43
14.4%
50
85.6%
Q2 - 3:47HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 3 of 343
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q2 - 3:47HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 342
13.1%
50
86.9%
Q2 - 3:47HeatMax Strus misses regular free throw 1 of 341
12.9%
50
87.1%
Q2 - 3:47NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)41
14.0%
50
86.0%
Q2 - 4:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
12.2%
50
87.8%
Q2 - 4:10NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point cutting layup41
11.9%
50
88.1%
Q2 - 4:19HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 141
11.1%
50
88.9%
Q2 - 4:19NuggetsChristian Braun shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)40
10.9%
50
89.1%
Q2 - 4:20NuggetsBruce Brown turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)38
9.1%
50
90.9%
Q2 - 4:46HeatKevin Love makes three point pullup jump shot (Max Strus assists)38
8.2%
50
91.8%
Q2 - 5:02NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup35
6.8%
50
93.2%
Q2 - 5:18HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)35
7.3%
48
92.7%
Q2 - 5:18HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)35
8.3%
48
91.7%
Q2 - 5:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
8.3%
48
91.7%
Q2 - 5:39NuggetsBruce Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot35
8.0%
48
92.0%
Q2 - 5:46NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound35
7.3%
48
92.7%
Q2 - 5:50HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot35
7.6%
48
92.4%
Q2 - 6:02NuggetsBruce Brown personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)35
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q2 - 6:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q2 - 6:10NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot35
8.2%
48
91.8%
Q2 - 6:16NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound35
7.5%
48
92.5%
Q2 - 6:19HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot35
7.8%
48
92.2%
Q2 - 6:33NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point running dunk (Jamal Murray assists)35
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q2 - 6:36NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound35
9.2%
46
90.8%
Q2 - 6:37HeatKevin Love misses two point tip layup35
9.5%
46
90.5%
Q2 - 6:37HeatKevin Love offensive rebound35
10.3%
46
89.7%
Q2 - 6:40HeatKevin Love misses two point driving layup35
9.5%
46
90.5%
Q2 - 6:42HeatKevin Love offensive rebound35
10.3%
46
89.7%
Q2 - 6:44HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot35
9.5%
46
90.5%
Q2 - 7:05NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 2 of 235
10.5%
46
89.5%
Q2 - 7:05NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 1 of 235
10.6%
45
89.4%
Q2 - 7:05HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)35
10.9%
44
89.1%
Q2 - 7:31HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)35
11.4%
44
88.6%
Q2 - 7:49NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot32
9.5%
44
90.5%
Q2 - 8:08NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound32
10.5%
42
89.5%
Q2 - 8:11HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot32
10.8%
42
89.2%
Q2 - 8:18NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 132
11.6%
42
88.4%
Q2 - 8:18HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)32
11.7%
41
88.3%
Q2 - 8:20HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)32
13.8%
39
86.2%
Q2 - 8:28HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound32
15.2%
39
84.8%
Q2 - 8:29NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot32
14.7%
39
85.3%
Q2 - 8:49HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)32
13.8%
39
86.2%
Q2 - 8:51HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound29
11.6%
39
88.4%
Q2 - 8:54HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot29
10.8%
39
89.2%
Q2 - 9:20NuggetsAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)29
11.6%
39
88.4%
Q2 - 9:34HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)29
13.9%
36
86.1%
Q2 - 9:37NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound29
13.9%
36
86.1%
Q2 - 9:38HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot29
14.2%
36
85.8%
Q2 - 9:57NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point running jump shot (Christian Braun assists)29
15.2%
36
84.8%
Q2 - 10:01HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Bruce Brown steals)29
18.1%
33
81.9%
Q2 - 10:13NuggetsJeff Green makes three point running jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)29
19.6%
33
80.4%
Q2 - 10:19NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound29
22.9%
30
77.1%
Q2 - 10:19HeatAaron Gordon blocks Caleb Martin's two point cutting layup29
23.5%
30
76.5%
Q2 - 10:30NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)29
24.8%
30
75.2%
Q2 - 10:44HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)29
28.6%
27
71.4%
Q2 - 11:04NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 2 of 226
24.4%
27
75.6%
Q2 - 11:04NuggetsJeff Green makes regular free throw 1 of 226
24.7%
26
75.3%
Q2 - 11:04HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jeff Green draws the foul)26
25.1%
25
74.9%
Q2 - 11:07HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Christian Braun steals)26
26.3%
25
73.7%
Q2 - 11:17NuggetsChristian Braun turnover (out of bounds bad pass)26
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q2 - 11:17HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Christian Braun steals)26
26.3%
25
73.7%
Q2 - 11:35NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point fadeaway jump shot26
28.1%
25
71.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.26
30.2%
23
69.8%
Q1 - 0:00.5NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound26
29.6%
23
70.4%
Q1 - 0:00.5NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot26
30.8%
23
69.2%
Q1 - 0:06.5HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)26
29.6%
23
70.4%
Q1 - 0:21.1NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound26
29.6%
23
70.4%
Q1 - 0:23.9HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot26
30.2%
23
69.8%
Q1 - 0:44.5NuggetsChristian Braun makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Jeff Green assists)26
31.4%
23
68.6%
Q1 - 0:48.9NuggetsJeff Green offensive rebound26
33.7%
21
66.3%
Q1 - 0:52.0NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround bank hook shot26
35.0%
21
65.0%
Q1 - 1:13NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound26
33.6%
21
66.4%
Q1 - 1:16HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot26
34.2%
21
65.8%
Q1 - 1:36NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jamal Murray assists)26
35.5%
21
64.5%
Q1 - 1:48HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)26
37.9%
19
62.1%
Q1 - 1:48HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)26
39.9%
19
60.1%
Q1 - 2:01NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup (Nikola Jokic assists)26
39.3%
19
60.7%
Q1 - 2:12HeatCody Zeller makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)26
41.4%
17
58.6%
Q1 - 2:29NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)24
39.4%
17
60.6%
Q1 - 2:40HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)24
41.5%
15
58.5%
Q1 - 2:43HeatCody Zeller personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)24
41.5%
15
58.5%
Q1 - 3:04HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)24
40.7%
15
59.3%
Q1 - 3:23HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound21
37.0%
15
63.0%
Q1 - 3:26NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point running jump shot21
36.2%
15
63.8%
Q1 - 3:31NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound21
34.5%
15
65.5%
Q1 - 3:36HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot21
35.3%
15
64.7%
Q1 - 3:50NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)21
37.0%
15
63.0%
Q1 - 4:00NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound21
40.7%
12
59.3%
Q1 - 4:03HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot21
40.5%
12
59.5%
Q1 - 4:04HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound21
42.1%
12
57.9%
Q1 - 4:07HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot21
40.5%
12
59.5%
Q1 - 4:11HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound21
42.2%
12
57.8%
Q1 - 4:14HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot21
40.5%
12
59.5%
Q1 - 4:33NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving floating jump shot21
42.2%
12
57.8%
Q1 - 4:42HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)21
44.0%
10
56.0%
Q1 - 4:42NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound21
44.0%
10
56.0%
Q1 - 4:44NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving floating jump shot21
45.7%
10
54.3%
Q1 - 4:56HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kevin Love assists)21
44.0%
10
56.0%
Q1 - 5:00HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound19
42.3%
10
57.7%
Q1 - 5:02HeatKentavious Caldwell-Pope blocks Jimmy Butler's two point pullup jump shot19
39.7%
10
60.3%
Q1 - 5:16NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (double dribble)19
41.2%
10
58.8%
Q1 - 5:27HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)19
39.0%
10
61.0%
Q1 - 5:49NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)16
35.5%
10
64.5%
Q1 - 5:57NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound16
39.1%
7
60.9%
Q1 - 6:02HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot16
39.2%
7
60.8%
Q1 - 6:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound16
40.5%
7
59.5%
Q1 - 6:17NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup jump shot16
39.9%
7
60.1%
Q1 - 6:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot16
38.6%
7
61.4%
Q1 - 6:41NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)14
36.8%
7
63.2%
Q1 - 6:56HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 214
34.9%
7
65.1%
Q1 - 6:56HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 213
34.6%
7
65.4%
Q1 - 6:56NuggetsJamal Murray shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)12
34.3%
7
65.7%
Q1 - 7:06NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)12
32.8%
7
67.2%
Q1 - 7:14NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point alley-oop dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)12
32.8%
7
67.2%
Q1 - 7:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot12
34.4%
5
65.6%
Q1 - 7:47NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point running jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)10
32.8%
5
67.2%
Q1 - 7:51NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound10
36.2%
2
63.8%
Q1 - 7:54HeatGabe Vincent misses two point fadeaway jump shot10
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 8:17NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (offensive foul)10
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 8:17NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)10
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 8:24NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound10
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 8:24NuggetsMax Strus blocks Aaron Gordon's two point driving layup10
37.1%
2
62.9%
Q1 - 8:33NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound10
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 8:35HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround bank jump shot10
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 8:46HeatKevin Love defensive rebound10
37.8%
2
62.2%
Q1 - 8:48NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point running pullup jump shot10
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 8:53NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound10
35.8%
2
64.2%
Q1 - 8:56HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot10
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 9:07NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (back court violation)10
37.2%
2
62.8%
Q1 - 9:14HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)10
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 9:29NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving layup7
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 9:49HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot7
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 10:01HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
31.5%
0
68.5%
Q1 - 10:01NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point running pullup jump shot5
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 10:08NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound5
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 10:11HeatJimmy Butler misses two point floating jump shot5
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 10:25HeatMax Strus defensive rebound5
31.6%
0
68.4%
Q1 - 10:28NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point fadeaway jump shot5
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 10:47HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)5
29.9%
0
70.1%
Q1 - 10:59HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound3
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 11:01NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot3
27.5%
0
72.5%
Q1 - 11:28HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)3
26.4%
0
73.6%
Q1 - 11:32HeatKevin Love defensive rebound0
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 11:34NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point driving finger roll layup0
23.4%
0
76.6%
Q1 - 11:40NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound0
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 11:43HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
22.9%
0
77.1%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Nikola Jokic (Kevin Love gains possession)0
23.9%
0
76.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.31 65.3%
DEN
1.23 61.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
14
64%
DEN
13
20
65%
Midrange
MIA
12
29
41%
DEN
15
27
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
17
25.5
35
49%
73%
DEN
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
Free Throws
MIA
18
20
90%
DEN
19
22
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Vincent2388%11.5 / 13
J. Butler2150%10.5 / 21
B. Adebayo2170%10.5 / 15
M. Strus1464%7.0 / 11
D. Robinson10100%5.0 / 5
K. Lowry990%4.5 / 5
K. Love633%3.0 / 9
C. Zeller4100%2.0 / 2
C. Martin350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić4166%20.5 / 31
J. Murray1860%9.0 / 15
A. Gordon1275%6.0 / 8
B. Brown1155%5.5 / 10
J. Green9113%4.5 / 4
K. Caldwell-Pope660%3.0 / 5
C. Braun6100%3.0 / 3
M. Porter531%2.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+10
-11
85
DEN
74
+14
-13
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.31 65.3%
DEN
1.23 61.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.3
118.5
MIA 129.1 +4.9
DEN 124.1
Pace
94.4
95.2
MIA 80.3
DEN 93.7 +13.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.6
MIA 17.9
DEN 15.4 +2.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
55.7%
MIA 59.6% +0.3%
DEN 59.3%
TO %
11.6%
11.0%
MIA 11.2% +3.0%
DEN 14.2%
ORB %
21.7%
25.2%
MIA 21.6%
DEN 28.1% +6.5%
FTrt
22.8
25.7
MIA 25.6
DEN 29.3 +3.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.3%
60.9%
MIA 73.7% +14.7%
DEN 59.0%
STL %
7.4%
7.2%
MIA 5.8%
DEN 8.0% +2.2%
BLK %
7.4%
7.6%
MIA 8.5% +3.8%
DEN 4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.5%
57.1%
MIA 65.3% +3.9%
DEN 61.4%
Rim FG%
60.5%
63.3%
MIA 64.3%
DEN 65.0% +0.7%
Mid FG%
41.3%
46.6%
MIA 41.4%
DEN 55.6% +14.2%
3P %
38.0%
37.5%
MIA 48.6% +9.3%
DEN 39.3%
FT %
81.3%
80.1%
MIA 90.0% +3.6%
DEN 86.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
34.4%
MIA 17.9%
DEN 26.7% +8.7%
Mid Att. %
31.3%
30.7%
MIA 37.2%
DEN 36.0% +1.2%
3P Att. %
38.8%
34.9%
MIA 44.9% +7.5%
DEN 37.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes25.722.3
Points111108
Rebounds3138
Assists2823
Steals57
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)13 (1)
Fouls2221
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (1)29 (2)
Field Goals38-7839-75
At-the-Rim FG9-1413-20
Midrange FG12-2915-27
2-Point FG21-4328-47
3-Point FG17-3511-28
Free Throws18-2019-22
Fast Break Pts518
2nd Chance Pts1115
Points in Paint3448
Pts off Turnovers1923
Bench Points2626
Biggest Lead1215

BOXSCORE

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11 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34
40.4
21
50%
4
9
0
0
1
0
2
2
5-5
100%
5-14
36%
2-5
40%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
40.0
21
70%
9
4
0
2
3
4
0
9
5-5
100%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
31.6
23
88%
0
3
2
0
1
4
0
0
3-3
100%
4-6
67%
4-6
67%
Max Strus
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27
29.2
14
64%
2
6
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
0-0
-
4-10
40%
Kevin Love
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
22.2
6
33%
10
1
2
0
0
0
3
7
0-0
-
0-3
0%
2-6
33%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
23.6
9
90%
0
3
0
0
3
3
0
0
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
Caleb Martin
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
21.4
3
50%
5
1
1
1
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
17.4
10
100%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
Cody Zeller
#44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31
8.0
4
100%
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Omer Yurtseven
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand; Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
65%
31
28
5
4
11
22
8
23
18-20
90%
21-43
49%
17-35
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.