for complete access.
All Games Thursday, June 1, 2023
FinalWin Prob.pScore
9
Heat
27%104
93
1
Nuggets
73%113
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
100.09396.5
DEN logo DEN
111.89389.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.93
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:21.6NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.6HeatNikola Jokic blocks Nikola Jovic's two point driving layup93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.3HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.7NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.8NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.8NuggetsHaywood Highsmith blocks Michael Porter Jr.'s two point tip layup93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.8NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.8NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround hook shot93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.4HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)93
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)90
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 287
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 287
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:44HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot87
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 287
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:52NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 287
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:52HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)87
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 1:58HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)87
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 2:11NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)87
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 2:34HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)87
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 2:45HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound84
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 2:50NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot84
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 3:07HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)84
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 3:27NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)82
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 3:42NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound82
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 3:43HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot82
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 3:56NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point floating jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)82
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 4:16HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point running finger roll layup (Kyle Lowry assists)82
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 4:21HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound80
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 4:24NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot80
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 4:41HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)80
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 4:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound78
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 4:47NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses regular free throw 2 of 278
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 4:47NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses regular free throw 1 of 278
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 4:47HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)78
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 4:47NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive rebound78
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 4:49NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot78
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 5:10NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound78
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 5:14HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot78
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 5:22HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound78
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 5:25NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot78
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 5:38NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound78
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 5:41HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot78
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 5:49HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound78
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 5:52NuggetsBruce Brown misses three point jump shot78
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 6:15HeatGabe Vincent makes two point finger roll layup78
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 6:26NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot76
0.6%
92
99.4%
Q4 - 6:54HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)76
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 7:16NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Michael Porter Jr. assists)74
0.8%
90
99.2%
Q4 - 7:25HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (lost ball) (Bruce Brown steals)74
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 7:28NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)74
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 7:46HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)74
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 7:58NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 274
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 7:58NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 274
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 7:58HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)74
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 8:06NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound74
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 8:08HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot74
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q4 - 8:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound74
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q4 - 8:18NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot74
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 8:36NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound74
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 8:39HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot74
2.2%
86
97.8%
Q4 - 9:02NuggetsJeff Green makes two point reverse layup (Nikola Jokic assists)74
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 9:29HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot74
3.7%
84
96.3%
Q4 - 9:37HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound71
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 9:40NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point pullup jump shot71
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 10:03HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot71
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 10:22HeatHeat defensive rebound68
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 10:25NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point stepback jump shot68
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 10:41NuggetsJeff Green defensive rebound68
1.2%
84
98.8%
Q4 - 10:46HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot68
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q4 - 11:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound68
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q4 - 11:02NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot68
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 11:18HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)68
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q4 - 11:31HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound65
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 11:33NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround jump shot65
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 11:51HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point layup65
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 11:55NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)63
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.63
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 0:03.5NuggetsChristian Braun defensive rebound63
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 0:03.5HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot63
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 0:22.7NuggetsBruce Brown turnover (back court violation)63
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 0:32.5HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot63
0.6%
84
99.4%
Q3 - 0:40.6NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)60
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q3 - 0:51.5NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound60
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 0:53.7HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot60
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 1:01NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 260
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 1:01NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 260
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 1:01HeatCody Zeller shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)60
0.7%
81
99.3%
Q3 - 1:09NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound60
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 1:11HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point hook shot60
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 1:29NuggetsBruce Brown turnover (out of bounds bad pass)60
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 1:41NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound60
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 1:43HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot60
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 1:57NuggetsBruce Brown personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)60
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 2:08NuggetsBruce Brown makes two point pullup jump shot60
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q3 - 2:26NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound60
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q3 - 2:28HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot60
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q3 - 2:51NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)60
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 3:07NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound60
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 3:10HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot60
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 3:16HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound60
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 3:20NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot60
2.8%
76
97.2%
Q3 - 3:29NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound60
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 3:31HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot60
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 3:48NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)60
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 4:09HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)60
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 4:26NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (offensive foul)57
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 4:26NuggetsJamal Murray offensive foul (Charge) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)57
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 4:37NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound57
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 4:40HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point stepback jump shot57
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 4:52HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound57
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 4:58NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot57
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q3 - 5:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)57
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q3 - 5:39NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point running jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)55
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 5:43HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Murray steals)55
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 5:43HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound55
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q3 - 5:48HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running pullup jump shot55
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 5:53HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound55
3.5%
71
96.5%
Q3 - 5:55NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point running layup55
3.3%
71
96.7%
Q3 - 5:59NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound55
3.0%
71
97.0%
Q3 - 6:01HeatGabe Vincent misses two point stepback bank jump shot55
3.3%
71
96.7%
Q3 - 6:12NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)55
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 6:25NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Jamal Murray assists)55
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 6:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point tip layup55
4.9%
68
95.1%
Q3 - 6:49HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound53
4.3%
68
95.7%
Q3 - 6:54HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot53
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q3 - 7:06HeatMax Strus defensive rebound53
4.6%
68
95.4%
Q3 - 7:08NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 253
4.5%
68
95.5%
Q3 - 7:08NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 253
4.1%
68
95.9%
Q3 - 7:08HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)53
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q3 - 7:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk53
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q3 - 7:44NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 251
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q3 - 7:44NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 251
4.1%
66
95.9%
Q3 - 7:44HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)51
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 7:47NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound51
4.5%
65
95.5%
Q3 - 7:48HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving reverse layup51
4.7%
65
95.3%
Q3 - 7:54HeatHeat offensive rebound51
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q3 - 7:54HeatAaron Gordon blocks Max Strus's three point jump shot51
4.7%
65
95.3%
Q3 - 8:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound51
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q3 - 8:12NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point jump shot51
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q3 - 8:28HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)51
4.6%
65
95.4%
Q3 - 8:37NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 149
4.2%
65
95.8%
Q3 - 8:37HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)49
4.2%
64
95.8%
Q3 - 8:44HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)49
5.3%
62
94.7%
Q3 - 8:49NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound49
5.3%
62
94.7%
Q3 - 8:52HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot49
5.6%
62
94.4%
Q3 - 9:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q3 - 9:11NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point running jump shot49
6.1%
62
93.9%
Q3 - 9:13NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound49
5.5%
62
94.5%
Q3 - 9:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup49
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q3 - 9:14HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound49
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q3 - 9:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup49
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q3 - 9:14HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound49
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q3 - 9:20HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot49
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q3 - 9:32NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (offensive foul)49
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q3 - 9:32NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)49
5.5%
62
94.5%
Q3 - 9:39NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound49
5.5%
62
94.5%
Q3 - 9:43HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot49
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q3 - 9:53NuggetsJamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 149
6.4%
62
93.6%
Q3 - 9:53HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Jamal Murray draws the foul)49
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q3 - 9:54NuggetsJamal Murray offensive rebound49
8.1%
59
91.9%
Q3 - 9:55NuggetsGabe Vincent blocks Jamal Murray's two point running layup49
9.0%
59
91.0%
Q3 - 9:57NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound49
8.1%
59
91.9%
Q3 - 9:59HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting layup49
8.5%
59
91.5%
Q3 - 10:07HeatMax Strus defensive rebound49
9.6%
59
90.4%
Q3 - 10:11NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot49
9.2%
59
90.8%
Q3 - 10:32HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)49
8.4%
59
91.6%
Q3 - 10:44HeatMax Strus defensive rebound46
6.6%
59
93.4%
Q3 - 10:47NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot46
6.3%
59
93.7%
Q3 - 11:03HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)46
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q3 - 11:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot (Max Strus assists)46
5.8%
59
94.2%
Q3 - 11:27HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound44
5.2%
59
94.8%
Q3 - 11:30NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot44
5.0%
59
95.0%
Q3 - 11:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)44
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.42
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound42
4.1%
59
95.9%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatBam Adebayo misses three point fadeaway jump shot42
3.9%
59
96.1%
Q2 - 0:04.4NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot (Jamal Murray assists)42
4.1%
59
95.9%
Q2 - 0:20.4HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds step)42
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q2 - 0:38.3NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)42
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q2 - 0:54.9HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)42
6.8%
54
93.2%
Q2 - 1:08NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point stepback jump shot40
6.2%
54
93.8%
Q2 - 1:21NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound40
7.1%
52
92.9%
Q2 - 1:24HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot40
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q2 - 1:32HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound40
7.7%
52
92.3%
Q2 - 1:32NuggetsCaleb Martin blocks Jamal Murray's two point running reverse layup40
7.5%
52
92.5%
Q2 - 1:37NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound40
7.1%
52
92.9%
Q2 - 1:41HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot40
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q2 - 1:54HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound40
7.7%
52
92.3%
Q2 - 1:58NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup jump shot40
7.5%
52
92.5%
Q2 - 2:17HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot40
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q2 - 2:30NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)37
5.8%
52
94.2%
Q2 - 2:43NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound37
6.5%
50
93.5%
Q2 - 2:47HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot37
6.7%
50
93.3%
Q2 - 2:54HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound37
7.3%
50
92.7%
Q2 - 2:58NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point running jump shot37
7.0%
50
93.0%
Q2 - 3:00NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound37
6.5%
50
93.5%
Q2 - 3:03HeatCaleb Martin misses two point stepback jump shot37
7.0%
50
93.0%
Q2 - 3:21NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point driving finger roll layup37
7.6%
50
92.4%
Q2 - 3:34NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound37
8.3%
48
91.7%
Q2 - 3:37HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot37
8.6%
48
91.4%
Q2 - 3:57HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound37
9.4%
48
90.6%
Q2 - 4:01NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point fadeaway jump shot37
9.2%
48
90.8%
Q2 - 4:18HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)37
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q2 - 4:22NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound37
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q2 - 4:23HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point cutting finger roll layup37
8.8%
48
91.2%
Q2 - 4:28HeatCody Zeller offensive rebound37
9.5%
48
90.5%
Q2 - 4:29HeatCody Zeller misses two point driving layup37
8.8%
48
91.2%
Q2 - 4:53NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 237
9.5%
48
90.5%
Q2 - 4:53NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 237
9.6%
47
90.4%
Q2 - 4:53HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)37
9.8%
46
90.2%
Q2 - 5:07NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound37
10.3%
46
89.7%
Q2 - 5:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot37
10.7%
46
89.3%
Q2 - 5:30NuggetsBruce Brown makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)37
11.6%
46
88.4%
Q2 - 5:47HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)37
13.9%
43
86.1%
Q2 - 6:08NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)35
13.0%
43
87.0%
Q2 - 6:24HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup bank jump shot35
14.0%
41
86.0%
Q2 - 6:33NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point driving dunk (Jamal Murray assists)33
13.0%
41
87.0%
Q2 - 6:48HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)33
13.9%
39
86.1%
Q2 - 6:57HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound31
13.0%
39
87.0%
Q2 - 6:58NuggetsJamal Murray misses two point stepback jump shot31
12.5%
39
87.5%
Q2 - 7:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)31
11.8%
39
88.2%
Q2 - 7:27NuggetsChristian Braun turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)29
10.8%
39
89.2%
Q2 - 7:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Duncan Robinson assists)29
9.8%
39
90.2%
Q2 - 8:18NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point tip dunk27
9.1%
39
90.9%
Q2 - 8:18NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. offensive rebound27
9.9%
37
90.1%
Q2 - 8:22NuggetsBruce Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot27
10.6%
37
89.4%
Q2 - 8:32HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)27
9.9%
37
90.1%
Q2 - 8:42NuggetsJeff Green makes two point turnaround hook shot (Bruce Brown assists)27
10.9%
37
89.1%
Q2 - 8:59HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)27
11.9%
35
88.1%
Q2 - 9:07NuggetsChristian Braun personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)24
10.0%
35
90.0%
Q2 - 9:21NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Christian Braun assists)24
10.0%
35
90.0%
Q2 - 9:42HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point reverse layup (Kyle Lowry assists)24
12.0%
32
88.0%
Q2 - 9:49HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound22
11.0%
32
89.0%
Q2 - 9:51NuggetsJeff Green misses two point turnaround hook shot22
10.7%
32
89.3%
Q2 - 10:09NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound22
10.2%
32
89.8%
Q2 - 10:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot22
10.5%
32
89.5%
Q2 - 10:31NuggetsJamal Murray makes three point stepback jump shot (Bruce Brown assists)22
11.1%
32
88.9%
Q2 - 10:54HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 2 of 222
13.2%
29
86.8%
Q2 - 10:54HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 1 of 221
12.7%
29
87.3%
Q2 - 10:54NuggetsChristian Braun shooting foul (Haywood Highsmith draws the foul)20
12.2%
29
87.8%
Q2 - 11:02HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound20
12.3%
29
87.7%
Q2 - 11:05HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot20
11.6%
29
88.4%
Q2 - 11:15HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound20
12.3%
29
87.7%
Q2 - 11:19HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot20
11.6%
29
88.4%
Q2 - 11:27HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound20
12.3%
29
87.7%
Q2 - 11:29NuggetsBruce Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot20
12.0%
29
88.0%
Q2 - 11:40NuggetsBruce Brown defensive rebound20
11.3%
29
88.7%
Q2 - 11:45HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot20
11.6%
29
88.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.20
12.3%
29
87.7%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound20
12.2%
29
87.8%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot20
11.6%
29
88.4%
Q1 - 0:03.3NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup (Aaron Gordon assists)20
12.2%
29
87.8%
Q1 - 0:03.8HeatCody Zeller turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)20
13.3%
27
86.7%
Q1 - 0:05.0HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound20
14.3%
27
85.7%
Q1 - 0:07.4NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot20
14.0%
27
86.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound20
13.3%
27
86.7%
Q1 - 0:28.6HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot20
13.6%
27
86.4%
Q1 - 0:39.8NuggetsBruce Brown turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)20
14.4%
27
85.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)20
13.4%
27
86.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Bruce Brown draws the foul)20
14.4%
27
85.6%
Q1 - 1:19NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (offensive foul)20
14.4%
27
85.6%
Q1 - 1:19NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope offensive foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)20
13.4%
27
86.6%
Q1 - 1:24NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound20
13.4%
27
86.6%
Q1 - 1:27HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot20
13.7%
27
86.3%
Q1 - 1:41HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound20
14.4%
27
85.6%
Q1 - 1:42NuggetsChristian Braun misses two point driving hook shot20
14.1%
27
85.9%
Q1 - 2:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)20
13.5%
27
86.5%
Q1 - 2:31NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)18
12.5%
27
87.5%
Q1 - 2:44HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup18
14.6%
24
85.4%
Q1 - 2:57HeatMax Strus defensive rebound16
13.5%
24
86.5%
Q1 - 2:57NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot16
13.2%
24
86.8%
Q1 - 3:06NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound16
12.5%
24
87.5%
Q1 - 3:15HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot16
12.9%
24
87.1%
Q1 - 3:29NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point cutting dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)16
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q1 - 3:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)16
14.6%
22
85.4%
Q1 - 4:00NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point driving finger roll layup14
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q1 - 4:10NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound14
14.8%
20
85.2%
Q1 - 4:12HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot14
15.2%
20
84.8%
Q1 - 4:39NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point driving layup (Nikola Jokic assists)14
16.1%
20
83.9%
Q1 - 4:49NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound14
17.1%
18
82.9%
Q1 - 4:52HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot14
17.5%
18
82.5%
Q1 - 5:05NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point cutting dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)14
18.5%
18
81.5%
Q1 - 5:23HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)14
19.6%
16
80.4%
Q1 - 5:28HeatHeat defensive rebound11
17.3%
16
82.7%
Q1 - 5:28NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point running layup11
16.9%
16
83.1%
Q1 - 5:31NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound11
16.0%
16
84.0%
Q1 - 5:34HeatMichael Porter Jr. blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup11
16.4%
16
83.6%
Q1 - 5:54NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point fadeaway jump shot11
17.3%
16
82.7%
Q1 - 6:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk11
18.3%
14
81.7%
Q1 - 6:08HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound9
17.2%
14
82.8%
Q1 - 6:15HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot9
16.4%
14
83.6%
Q1 - 6:19NuggetsJamal Murray personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)9
17.2%
14
82.8%
Q1 - 6:20NuggetsJamal Murray turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)9
17.2%
14
82.8%
Q1 - 6:26NuggetsJamal Murray defensive rebound9
16.0%
14
84.0%
Q1 - 6:29HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot9
16.4%
14
83.6%
Q1 - 6:41NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point driving layup (Jamal Murray assists)9
17.2%
14
82.8%
Q1 - 6:48NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound9
18.3%
12
81.7%
Q1 - 6:54HeatJimmy Butler misses two point hook shot9
18.7%
12
81.3%
Q1 - 6:55HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound9
19.6%
12
80.4%
Q1 - 6:56HeatMichael Porter Jr. blocks Jimmy Butler's two point pullup jump shot9
18.7%
12
81.3%
Q1 - 7:16NuggetsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)9
19.5%
12
80.5%
Q1 - 7:31HeatGabe Vincent makes two point stepback jump shot9
20.6%
10
79.4%
Q1 - 7:41NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point layup (Jamal Murray assists)7
19.5%
10
80.5%
Q1 - 7:50NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound7
20.6%
8
79.4%
Q1 - 7:52HeatMax Strus misses three point stepback jump shot7
21.1%
8
78.9%
Q1 - 8:11HeatMax Strus defensive rebound7
21.9%
8
78.1%
Q1 - 8:13NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point turnaround jump shot7
21.5%
8
78.5%
Q1 - 8:20NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound7
20.5%
8
79.5%
Q1 - 8:22NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot7
21.5%
8
78.5%
Q1 - 8:29NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound7
20.5%
8
79.5%
Q1 - 8:31HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot7
20.9%
8
79.1%
Q1 - 8:45HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound7
21.9%
8
78.1%
Q1 - 8:45HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup7
20.9%
8
79.1%
Q1 - 8:56NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 27
21.9%
8
78.1%
Q1 - 8:56NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 27
22.1%
7
77.9%
Q1 - 8:56HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)7
22.4%
6
77.6%
Q1 - 9:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Gabe Vincent assists)7
23.0%
6
77.0%
Q1 - 9:27NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)5
21.8%
6
78.2%
Q1 - 9:46HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot (Max Strus assists)5
23.0%
4
77.0%
Q1 - 10:05NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point putback layup2
20.3%
4
79.7%
Q1 - 10:05NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound2
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 10:10NuggetsJimmy Butler blocks Aaron Gordon's two point driving layup2
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 10:19NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound2
21.5%
2
78.5%
Q1 - 10:20HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot2
21.9%
2
78.1%
Q1 - 10:34HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound2
22.9%
2
77.1%
Q1 - 10:36NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot2
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 10:58HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot2
21.5%
2
78.5%
Q1 - 10:59HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound0
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 11:02HeatMax Strus misses two point pullup jump shot0
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 11:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
20.1%
2
79.9%
Q1 - 11:12NuggetsJamal Murray misses three point pullup jump shot0
19.7%
2
80.3%
Q1 - 11:21NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound0
18.9%
2
81.1%
Q1 - 11:24HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot0
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 11:45NuggetsJamal Murray makes two point driving layup0
20.1%
2
79.9%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Nikola Jokic (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope gains possession)0
21.2%
0
78.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.0%
DEN
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
22
64%
DEN
18
26
69%
Midrange
MIA
12
35
34%
DEN
14
26
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
39
33%
50%
DEN
8
12.0
27
30%
44%
Free Throws
MIA
2
2
100%
DEN
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2652%13.0 / 25
G. Vincent1968%9.5 / 14
H. Highsmith1882%9.0 / 11
J. Butler1346%6.5 / 14
K. Lowry1169%5.5 / 8
C. Martin321%1.5 / 7
D. Robinson325%1.5 / 6
M. Strus0-0.0 / 10
C. Zeller0-0.0 / 1
N. Jović0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Jokić2775%13.5 / 18
J. Murray2659%13.0 / 22
A. Gordon1673%8.0 / 11
M. Porter1441%7.0 / 17
B. Brown1071%5.0 / 7
K. Caldwell-Pope739%3.5 / 9
J. Green467%2.0 / 3
C. Braun0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+14
-8
99
DEN
83
+7
-10
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.0%
DEN
1.16 57.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.3
118.5
MIA 100.0
DEN 111.8 +11.8
Pace
94.4
95.2
MIA 96.5 +6.7
DEN 89.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.6
MIA 14.9 +1.1
DEN 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
55.7%
MIA 47.4%
DEN 55.7% +8.3%
TO %
11.6%
11.0%
MIA 7.6% +2.6%
DEN 10.2%
ORB %
21.7%
25.2%
MIA 22.0% +6.2%
DEN 15.8%
FTrt
22.8
25.7
MIA 2.1
DEN 25.3 +23.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.3%
60.9%
MIA 66.7%
DEN 72.5% +5.8%
STL %
7.4%
7.2%
MIA 5.4% +1.1%
DEN 4.3%
BLK %
7.4%
7.6%
MIA 7.7% +0.7%
DEN 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.5%
57.1%
MIA 47.0%
DEN 57.8% +10.8%
Rim FG%
60.5%
63.3%
MIA 63.6%
DEN 69.2% +5.6%
Mid FG%
41.3%
46.6%
MIA 34.3%
DEN 53.8% +19.5%
3P %
38.0%
37.5%
MIA 33.3% +3.7%
DEN 29.6%
FT %
81.3%
80.1%
MIA 100.0% +20.0%
DEN 80.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
34.4%
MIA 22.9%
DEN 32.9% +10.0%
Mid Att. %
31.3%
30.7%
MIA 36.5%
DEN 32.9% +3.5%
3P Att. %
38.8%
34.9%
MIA 40.6% +6.4%
DEN 34.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points93104
Rebounds4345
Assists2629
Steals54
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)10 (0)
Fouls158
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)39 (4)
Field Goals39-9640-79
At-the-Rim FG14-2218-26
Midrange FG12-3514-26
2-Point FG26-5732-52
3-Point FG13-398-27
Free Throws2-216-20
Fast Break Pts49
2nd Chance Pts87
Points in Paint3846
Pts off Turnovers913
Bench Points3214
Biggest Lead124

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
9 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
40.0
26
52%
13
5
0
0
1
4
4
9
0-0
-
13-24
54%
0-1
0%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 34
38.0
13
46%
7
7
1
1
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
5-12
42%
1-2
50%
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
37.7
19
68%
2
5
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
5-10
50%
Caleb Martin
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
24.6
3
21%
4
0
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-5
0%
1-2
50%
Max Strus
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27
21.0
0
0%
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-9
0%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
25.6
11
69%
5
5
1
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
23.4
18
82%
2
0
2
1
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
5-6
83%
2-4
50%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
21.1
3
25%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
Cody Zeller
#44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31
7.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Omer Yurtseven
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
0.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand; Surgery
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
47%
43
26
5
4
8
15
11
32
2-2
100%
26-57
46%
13-39
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.