for complete access.
All Games Monday, May 29, 2023
FinalWin Prob.pScore
11
Heat
32%102
103
2
Celtics
68%109
84
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
110.89387.3
BOS logo BOS
91.39298.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.103
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:21.7HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.2CelticsGrant Williams misses three point pullup jump shot103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.7HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.7CelticsSam Hauser makes two point jump shot103
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0CelticsSam Hauser offensive rebound103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.4CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17CelticsMike Muscala offensive rebound103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Grant Williams steals)103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36CelticsGrant Williams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04CelticsMike Muscala makes three point jump shot (Grant Williams assists)101
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)101
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:28HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound101
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot101
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)101
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound99
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:07CelticsAl Horford misses two point driving floating jump shot99
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:27HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)99
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 3:45CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point running layup (Jaylen Brown assists)97
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 3:47HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)97
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 3:59CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point running layup97
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:07CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:08HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:28HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:29CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot97
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:35HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 297
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:35HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 296
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:35CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)96
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:56CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running dunk96
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:58HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Brown steals)96
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound96
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:21CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot96
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:33HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup96
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 5:52HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound94
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 5:56CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot94
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 6:08HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)94
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 6:15CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)92
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 6:18HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound92
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 6:19CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point pullup jump shot92
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 6:28HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)92
99.2%
73
0.8%
Q4 - 6:44CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup92
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 6:55HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 292
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 6:55HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 291
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 6:55CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)90
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 6:56HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound90
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q4 - 6:57HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround hook shot90
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 7:13CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)90
99.0%
71
1.0%
Q4 - 7:34HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)90
98.7%
71
1.3%
Q4 - 7:51CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)88
98.4%
71
1.6%
Q4 - 7:51HeatHeat defensive rebound88
98.4%
71
1.6%
Q4 - 7:52CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot88
98.2%
71
1.8%
Q4 - 8:03HeatKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot88
97.1%
71
2.9%
Q4 - 8:30CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)86
96.4%
71
3.6%
Q4 - 8:40CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound86
97.7%
68
2.3%
Q4 - 8:41HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot86
97.9%
68
2.1%
Q4 - 8:59HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound86
98.3%
68
1.7%
Q4 - 9:00CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot86
98.1%
68
1.9%
Q4 - 9:17HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)86
97.0%
68
3.0%
Q4 - 9:21HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound83
95.4%
68
4.6%
Q4 - 9:23HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot83
94.5%
68
5.5%
Q4 - 9:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound83
95.4%
68
4.6%
Q4 - 9:34CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point running pullup jump shot83
95.0%
68
5.0%
Q4 - 9:40CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound83
94.1%
68
5.9%
Q4 - 9:42HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot83
94.6%
68
5.4%
Q4 - 9:56CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving dunk83
95.4%
68
4.6%
Q4 - 10:09HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)83
95.2%
66
4.8%
Q4 - 10:09HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)83
96.2%
66
3.8%
Q4 - 10:25HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound83
96.2%
66
3.8%
Q4 - 10:26CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot83
95.9%
66
4.1%
Q4 - 10:50HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Caleb Martin assists)83
95.3%
66
4.7%
Q4 - 10:52CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)81
94.3%
66
5.7%
Q4 - 11:06HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot81
91.6%
66
8.4%
Q4 - 11:18CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)79
90.0%
66
10.0%
Q4 - 11:18CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)79
87.9%
66
12.1%
Q4 - 11:35HeatCaleb Martin makes three point stepback jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)79
87.9%
66
12.1%
Q4 - 11:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
82.8%
66
17.2%
Q4 - 11:42CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point cutting layup76
81.9%
66
18.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.76
79.6%
66
20.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0CelticsCeltics offensive rebound76
79.6%
66
20.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot76
81.9%
66
18.1%
Q3 - 0:01.5HeatCaleb Martin makes two point fadeaway jump shot76
77.5%
66
22.5%
Q3 - 0:09.1CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 274
73.8%
66
26.2%
Q3 - 0:09.1CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 274
74.3%
65
25.7%
Q3 - 0:09.1HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)74
74.8%
64
25.2%
Q3 - 0:30.6HeatCaleb Martin makes three point stepback jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)74
77.6%
64
22.4%
Q3 - 0:52.1CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 271
70.0%
64
30.0%
Q3 - 0:52.1CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 271
70.6%
63
29.4%
Q3 - 0:52.1HeatMax Strus personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)71
71.2%
62
28.8%
Q3 - 0:52.1CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound71
74.1%
62
25.9%
Q3 - 0:53.2HeatMax Strus misses two point putback layup71
75.2%
62
24.8%
Q3 - 0:54.9HeatMax Strus offensive rebound71
77.6%
62
22.4%
Q3 - 0:55.7HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot71
75.2%
62
24.8%
Q3 - 1:18CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)71
75.5%
62
24.5%
Q3 - 1:18CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Max Strus draws the foul)71
71.7%
62
28.3%
Q3 - 1:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Jimmy Butler assists)71
71.7%
62
28.3%
Q3 - 1:50CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)69
68.1%
62
31.9%
Q3 - 2:00HeatJimmy Butler makes three point stepback jump shot69
75.4%
59
24.6%
Q3 - 2:09CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)66
65.9%
59
34.1%
Q3 - 2:09HeatHeat offensive rebound66
65.9%
59
34.1%
Q3 - 2:10HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot66
62.9%
59
37.1%
Q3 - 2:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound66
66.0%
59
34.0%
Q3 - 2:24CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot66
64.7%
59
35.3%
Q3 - 2:34CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound66
61.7%
59
38.3%
Q3 - 2:35HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot66
63.0%
59
37.0%
Q3 - 3:00HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound66
66.1%
59
33.9%
Q3 - 3:02CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot66
63.7%
59
36.3%
Q3 - 3:17HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)66
60.5%
59
39.5%
Q3 - 3:18CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound66
60.5%
59
39.5%
Q3 - 3:19HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot66
61.9%
59
38.1%
Q3 - 3:33CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 266
65.2%
59
34.8%
Q3 - 3:33CelticsDerrick White misses regular free throw 1 of 266
65.6%
58
34.4%
Q3 - 3:33HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)66
62.3%
58
37.7%
Q3 - 3:51HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)66
64.5%
58
35.5%
Q3 - 4:15CelticsDerrick White turnover (traveling)66
67.3%
58
32.7%
Q3 - 4:26CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound66
63.0%
58
37.0%
Q3 - 4:27HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot66
64.3%
58
35.7%
Q3 - 4:49CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)66
67.4%
58
32.6%
Q3 - 4:56CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound66
70.3%
56
29.7%
Q3 - 4:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot66
71.5%
56
28.5%
Q3 - 5:02HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound66
72.3%
56
27.7%
Q3 - 5:03HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot66
69.9%
56
30.1%
Q3 - 5:18CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Robert Williams III assists)66
72.4%
56
27.6%
Q3 - 5:20CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound66
78.0%
53
22.0%
Q3 - 5:21CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot66
80.0%
53
20.0%
Q3 - 5:49HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)66
78.1%
53
21.9%
Q3 - 5:52HeatHeat offensive rebound63
72.5%
53
27.5%
Q3 - 5:53HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving reverse layup63
70.1%
53
29.9%
Q3 - 6:14HeatMax Strus defensive rebound63
70.8%
53
29.2%
Q3 - 6:15CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot63
69.8%
53
30.2%
Q3 - 6:23CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound63
67.4%
53
32.6%
Q3 - 6:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot63
68.5%
53
31.5%
Q3 - 6:49CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point reverse layup (Jayson Tatum assists)63
70.9%
53
29.1%
Q3 - 7:11HeatCaleb Martin makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot63
72.1%
51
27.9%
Q3 - 7:26HeatMax Strus defensive rebound61
69.5%
51
30.5%
Q3 - 7:28CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot61
68.4%
51
31.6%
Q3 - 7:38CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound61
65.9%
51
34.1%
Q3 - 7:39HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot61
67.0%
51
33.0%
Q3 - 7:54CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)61
69.6%
51
30.4%
Q3 - 8:11HeatCaleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)61
64.6%
51
35.4%
Q3 - 8:29CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 159
62.0%
51
38.0%
Q3 - 8:29HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)59
62.4%
50
37.6%
Q3 - 8:38CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound59
67.8%
48
32.2%
Q3 - 8:40HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot59
69.0%
48
31.0%
Q3 - 9:09CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)59
70.0%
48
30.0%
Q3 - 9:27CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound59
75.2%
45
24.8%
Q3 - 9:29HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot59
76.1%
45
23.9%
Q3 - 9:41CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 259
78.1%
45
21.9%
Q3 - 9:41CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 259
78.4%
44
21.6%
Q3 - 9:41HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)59
78.7%
43
21.3%
Q3 - 9:44CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound59
80.1%
43
19.9%
Q3 - 9:46HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving finger roll layup59
80.8%
43
19.2%
Q3 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound59
82.5%
43
17.5%
Q3 - 10:02CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot59
80.3%
43
19.7%
Q3 - 10:14HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)59
78.7%
43
21.3%
Q3 - 10:28CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (traveling)57
76.7%
43
23.3%
Q3 - 10:32CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound57
73.9%
43
26.1%
Q3 - 10:33HeatGabe Vincent misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot57
74.8%
43
25.2%
Q3 - 10:52HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound57
76.7%
43
23.3%
Q3 - 10:54CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup57
75.9%
43
24.1%
Q3 - 11:13HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving layup57
72.8%
43
27.2%
Q3 - 11:28CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot55
70.3%
43
29.7%
Q3 - 11:46HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)55
72.8%
41
27.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.52
67.5%
41
32.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound52
67.5%
41
32.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot52
65.3%
41
34.7%
Q2 - 0:02.6HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound52
65.8%
41
34.2%
Q2 - 0:04.7CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot52
65.1%
41
34.9%
Q2 - 0:25.5CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound52
63.5%
41
36.5%
Q2 - 0:27.2HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot52
64.2%
41
35.8%
Q2 - 0:46.2CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point pullup jump shot52
66.0%
41
34.0%
Q2 - 1:02HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot52
68.2%
39
31.8%
Q2 - 1:21CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)50
64.8%
39
35.2%
Q2 - 1:21CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass)50
64.8%
39
35.2%
Q2 - 1:34HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)50
62.7%
39
37.3%
Q2 - 1:49CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup47
55.9%
39
44.1%
Q2 - 2:02CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound47
57.8%
37
42.2%
Q2 - 2:03HeatJimmy Butler misses two point floating jump shot47
58.8%
37
41.2%
Q2 - 2:05HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound47
61.0%
37
39.0%
Q2 - 2:07HeatGabe Vincent misses two point stepback jump shot47
58.8%
37
41.2%
Q2 - 2:26CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)47
61.0%
37
39.0%
Q2 - 2:41HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)47
66.5%
34
33.5%
Q2 - 2:41HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)47
69.2%
34
30.8%
Q2 - 2:52HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound47
69.2%
34
30.8%
Q2 - 2:53CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point stepback jump shot47
68.4%
34
31.6%
Q2 - 3:03CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound47
64.5%
34
35.5%
Q2 - 3:04CelticsAl Horford misses three point running jump shot47
66.7%
34
33.3%
Q2 - 3:09CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound47
64.6%
34
35.4%
Q2 - 3:11HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup bank jump shot47
65.5%
34
34.5%
Q2 - 3:19HeatHeat offensive rebound47
67.7%
34
32.3%
Q2 - 3:20HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot47
65.6%
34
34.4%
Q2 - 3:40HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound47
67.7%
34
32.3%
Q2 - 3:41CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot47
66.8%
34
33.2%
Q2 - 3:45HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)47
64.7%
34
35.3%
Q2 - 4:00HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 247
64.7%
34
35.3%
Q2 - 4:00HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 246
64.2%
34
35.8%
Q2 - 4:00CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)45
63.6%
34
36.4%
Q2 - 4:13CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)45
61.0%
34
39.0%
Q2 - 4:33HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)45
66.2%
31
33.8%
Q2 - 5:01CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)42
60.4%
31
39.6%
Q2 - 5:13HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)42
62.5%
29
37.5%
Q2 - 5:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound42
65.6%
29
34.4%
Q2 - 5:31CelticsDuncan Robinson blocks Jaylen Brown's three point stepback jump shot42
64.7%
29
35.3%
Q2 - 5:39CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound42
62.6%
29
37.4%
Q2 - 5:41HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving bank hook shot42
63.5%
29
36.5%
Q2 - 5:53CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point cutting layup (Jayson Tatum assists)42
65.6%
29
34.4%
Q2 - 6:09HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)42
66.6%
27
33.4%
Q2 - 6:20CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point tip layup40
64.8%
27
35.2%
Q2 - 6:20CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound40
66.7%
25
33.3%
Q2 - 6:21CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup40
68.7%
25
31.3%
Q2 - 6:36HeatCaleb Martin makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot40
66.7%
25
33.3%
Q2 - 6:58CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running finger roll layup38
64.8%
25
35.2%
Q2 - 7:01HeatKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Jayson Tatum steals)38
65.7%
23
34.3%
Q2 - 7:14CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jaylen Brown assists)38
68.3%
23
31.7%
Q2 - 7:22HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)38
70.4%
21
29.6%
Q2 - 7:32HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)38
70.4%
21
29.6%
Q2 - 7:46CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Loose ball) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)36
68.4%
21
31.6%
Q2 - 7:46HeatHeat defensive rebound36
68.4%
21
31.6%
Q2 - 7:48CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot36
67.6%
21
32.4%
Q2 - 8:00HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot36
65.9%
21
34.1%
Q2 - 8:14CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)33
60.5%
21
39.5%
Q2 - 8:32HeatCaleb Martin makes three point running jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)33
65.2%
18
34.8%
Q2 - 8:37CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)30
60.5%
18
39.5%
Q2 - 8:45HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)30
57.8%
18
42.2%
Q2 - 8:45HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball)30
57.8%
18
42.2%
Q2 - 9:04HeatHeat defensive rebound30
59.7%
18
40.3%
Q2 - 9:06CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Al Horford's two point driving hook shot30
58.9%
18
41.1%
Q2 - 9:18HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)30
57.1%
18
42.9%
Q2 - 9:28HeatGabe Vincent makes three point stepback jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)30
57.1%
18
42.9%
Q2 - 9:53CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)27
52.2%
18
47.8%
Q2 - 10:02CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound27
56.5%
15
43.5%
Q2 - 10:04HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot27
57.3%
15
42.7%
Q2 - 10:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound27
59.1%
15
40.9%
Q2 - 10:27CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot27
58.3%
15
41.7%
Q2 - 10:41HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point running layup (Gabe Vincent assists)27
56.6%
15
43.4%
Q2 - 10:44CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)25
54.2%
15
45.8%
Q2 - 11:10HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)25
50.3%
15
49.7%
Q2 - 11:15HeatHeat offensive rebound22
45.4%
15
54.6%
Q2 - 11:16HeatKyle Lowry misses two point stepback jump shot22
43.9%
15
56.1%
Q2 - 11:26HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound22
45.5%
15
54.5%
Q2 - 11:28CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot22
44.8%
15
55.2%
Q2 - 11:40CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound22
43.2%
15
56.8%
Q2 - 11:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot22
43.9%
15
56.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
45.6%
15
54.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound22
45.6%
15
54.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot22
44.0%
15
56.0%
Q1 - 0:02.7HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound22
44.4%
15
55.6%
Q1 - 0:03.8CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup22
43.8%
15
56.2%
Q1 - 0:27.8HeatMax Strus makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)22
42.4%
15
57.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound20
39.9%
15
60.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot20
39.3%
15
60.7%
Q1 - 0:48.6HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup20
37.9%
15
62.1%
Q1 - 1:03CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Marcus Smart assists)18
35.5%
15
64.5%
Q1 - 1:06CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound18
37.9%
13
62.1%
Q1 - 1:08CelticsRobert Williams III misses two point floating jump shot18
39.2%
13
60.8%
Q1 - 1:10CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound18
37.9%
13
62.1%
Q1 - 1:12CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup18
39.2%
13
60.8%
Q1 - 1:39HeatCaleb Martin makes three point running jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)18
37.8%
13
62.2%
Q1 - 1:44HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound15
33.4%
13
66.6%
Q1 - 1:45CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup15
32.8%
13
67.2%
Q1 - 1:54CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound15
31.5%
13
68.5%
Q1 - 1:55HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot15
32.1%
13
67.9%
Q1 - 2:09HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound15
33.2%
13
66.8%
Q1 - 2:10CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point running pullup jump shot15
32.6%
13
67.4%
Q1 - 2:15CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound15
31.2%
13
68.8%
Q1 - 2:16HeatRobert Williams III blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup15
31.8%
13
68.2%
Q1 - 2:34CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 215
33.3%
13
66.7%
Q1 - 2:34CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 215
33.7%
12
66.3%
Q1 - 2:34HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)15
34.2%
11
65.8%
Q1 - 2:56HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot15
35.2%
11
64.8%
Q1 - 3:13CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds bad pass)13
33.2%
11
66.8%
Q1 - 3:28HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)13
30.8%
11
69.2%
Q1 - 3:43HeatHeat defensive rebound10
27.6%
11
72.4%
Q1 - 3:45CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot10
26.9%
11
73.1%
Q1 - 4:02HeatCaleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)10
25.6%
11
74.4%
Q1 - 4:11CelticsMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)8
24.2%
11
75.8%
Q1 - 4:20CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot8
24.2%
11
75.8%
Q1 - 4:26CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound8
25.5%
9
74.5%
Q1 - 4:27CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot8
26.9%
9
73.1%
Q1 - 4:37CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound8
25.5%
9
74.5%
Q1 - 4:38HeatJaylen Brown blocks Caleb Martin's two point running layup8
26.1%
9
73.9%
Q1 - 4:44HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound8
27.5%
9
72.5%
Q1 - 4:45CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot8
26.9%
9
73.1%
Q1 - 5:00HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup8
25.5%
9
74.5%
Q1 - 5:04CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)6
24.2%
9
75.8%
Q1 - 5:23CelticsCeltics defensive rebound6
22.5%
9
77.5%
Q1 - 5:24HeatMalcolm Brogdon blocks Bam Adebayo's two point layup6
23.0%
9
77.0%
Q1 - 5:38HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound6
24.2%
9
75.8%
Q1 - 5:39CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point stepback jump shot6
23.7%
9
76.3%
Q1 - 5:46HeatMax Strus personal foul (Loose ball) (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)6
22.5%
9
77.5%
Q1 - 5:46CelticsCeltics offensive rebound6
22.5%
9
77.5%
Q1 - 5:47CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot6
23.7%
9
76.3%
Q1 - 5:54CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound6
22.5%
9
77.5%
Q1 - 5:55CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot6
23.7%
9
76.3%
Q1 - 6:22HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot6
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 6:33HeatMax Strus defensive rebound4
21.3%
9
78.7%
Q1 - 6:35CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot4
20.8%
9
79.2%
Q1 - 6:53CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound4
19.9%
9
80.1%
Q1 - 6:54HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running jump shot4
20.3%
9
79.7%
Q1 - 6:58HeatMax Strus defensive rebound4
21.3%
9
78.7%
Q1 - 7:00CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving finger roll layup4
20.8%
9
79.2%
Q1 - 7:09CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound4
19.8%
9
80.2%
Q1 - 7:10HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot4
20.3%
9
79.7%
Q1 - 7:15CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)4
21.3%
9
78.7%
Q1 - 7:25HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound4
21.3%
9
78.7%
Q1 - 7:26CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot4
20.8%
9
79.2%
Q1 - 7:41CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound4
19.9%
9
80.1%
Q1 - 7:42HeatCaleb Martin misses two point running layup4
20.3%
9
79.7%
Q1 - 7:48CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)4
21.3%
9
78.7%
Q1 - 7:54CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound4
19.9%
9
80.1%
Q1 - 7:55HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot4
20.3%
9
79.7%
Q1 - 8:04CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point cutting layup (Marcus Smart assists)4
21.2%
9
78.8%
Q1 - 8:23HeatCaleb Martin makes two point tip layup4
22.4%
7
77.6%
Q1 - 8:23HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound2
21.2%
7
78.8%
Q1 - 8:24HeatJaylen Brown blocks Caleb Martin's two point putback layup2
20.2%
7
79.8%
Q1 - 8:25HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound2
21.2%
7
78.8%
Q1 - 8:26HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot2
20.2%
7
79.8%
Q1 - 8:50CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot2
21.2%
7
78.8%
Q1 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup2
22.5%
5
77.5%
Q1 - 9:19CelticsAl Horford makes two point cutting layup (Jayson Tatum assists)0
21.3%
5
78.7%
Q1 - 9:23CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound0
22.5%
3
77.5%
Q1 - 9:25CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot0
23.5%
3
76.5%
Q1 - 9:41HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds lost ball)0
22.5%
3
77.5%
Q1 - 10:01CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot0
23.8%
3
76.2%
Q1 - 10:20CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound0
25.0%
1
75.0%
Q1 - 10:21HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
25.5%
1
74.5%
Q1 - 10:37CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Loose ball) (Max Strus draws the foul)0
26.6%
1
73.4%
Q1 - 10:37CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball)0
26.6%
1
73.4%
Q1 - 10:40CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound0
25.0%
1
75.0%
Q1 - 10:42HeatGabe Vincent misses two point stepback jump shot0
25.5%
1
74.5%
Q1 - 11:05HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
26.3%
1
73.7%
Q1 - 11:06CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup0
25.8%
1
74.2%
Q1 - 11:17CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound0
24.7%
1
75.3%
Q1 - 11:19HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot0
25.2%
1
74.8%
Q1 - 11:34HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
26.3%
1
73.7%
Q1 - 11:34CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 20
26.1%
1
73.9%
Q1 - 11:34CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 20
25.1%
1
74.9%
Q1 - 11:34HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)0
25.3%
0
74.7%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Al Horford (Jaylen Brown gains possession)0
26.1%
0
73.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.8%
BOS
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
27
63%
BOS
14
23
61%
Midrange
MIA
11
31
35%
BOS
9
17
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
14
21.0
28
50%
75%
BOS
9
13.5
42
21%
32%
Free Throws
MIA
5
6
83%
BOS
11
13
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2848%14.0 / 29
C. Martin2681%13.0 / 16
B. Adebayo1250%6.0 / 12
G. Vincent1050%5.0 / 10
D. Robinson1083%5.0 / 6
M. Strus850%4.0 / 8
K. Lowry758%3.5 / 6
H. Highsmith250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brown1940%9.5 / 24
D. White1860%9.0 / 15
J. Tatum1447%7.0 / 15
M. Smart945%4.5 / 10
A. Horford850%4.0 / 8
R. Williams880%4.0 / 5
G. Williams350%1.5 / 3
M. Muscala3150%1.5 / 1
S. Hauser233%1.0 / 3
M. Brogdon0-0.0 / 3
P. Pritchard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+13
-12
94
BOS
77
+12
-15
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.10 54.8%
BOS
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.3
116.6
MIA 110.8
BOS 91.3 +19.4
Pace
94.4
95.5
MIA 87.3
BOS 98.4 +11.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.0
MIA 16.5
BOS 14.6 +1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
56.0%
MIA 57.0% +12.5%
BOS 44.5%
TO %
11.6%
12.6%
MIA 13.6% +1.0%
BOS 14.6%
ORB %
21.7%
23.1%
MIA 18.9%
BOS 22.2% +3.3%
FTrt
22.8
23.3
MIA 7.0
BOS 15.9 +8.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.3%
59.1%
MIA 61.9% +5.6%
BOS 56.3%
STL %
7.4%
6.3%
MIA 7.5% +1.0%
BOS 6.5%
BLK %
7.4%
11.7%
MIA 5.0%
BOS 6.9% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.5%
57.9%
MIA 54.8% +7.6%
BOS 47.2%
Rim FG%
60.5%
64.3%
MIA 63.0% +2.1%
BOS 60.9%
Mid FG%
41.3%
45.1%
MIA 35.5%
BOS 52.9% +17.4%
3P %
38.0%
36.4%
MIA 50.0% +28.6%
BOS 21.4%
FT %
81.3%
81.0%
MIA 83.3%
BOS 84.6% +1.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
34.4%
MIA 31.4% +3.3%
BOS 28.0%
Mid Att. %
31.3%
20.4%
MIA 36.0%
BOS 20.7% +15.3%
3P Att. %
38.8%
45.2%
MIA 32.6%
BOS 51.2% +18.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes25.622.4
Points10384
Rebounds4240
Assists2618
Steals76
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)15 (0)
Fouls1513
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (6)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (4)30 (1)
Field Goals42-8632-82
At-the-Rim FG17-2714-23
Midrange FG11-319-17
2-Point FG28-5823-40
3-Point FG14-289-42
Free Throws5-611-13
Fast Break Pts178
2nd Chance Pts1613
Points in Paint3842
Pts off Turnovers1921
Bench Points1916
Biggest Lead235

BOXSCORE

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11 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Caleb Martin
#16 · PF · 6'5" 205 · 28
44.8
26
81%
10
3
1
0
1
0
3
7
0-0
-
7-10
70%
4-6
67%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34
43.3
28
48%
7
6
3
0
1
2
1
6
1-2
50%
9-21
43%
3-7
43%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
42.7
12
50%
10
7
0
1
4
3
1
9
4-4
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
Max Strus
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27
28.0
8
50%
5
0
0
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
26.4
10
50%
1
4
0
0
1
3
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
29%
2-3
67%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
24.3
7
58%
7
5
0
0
2
2
0
7
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
20.1
10
83%
1
1
2
1
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
9.3
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Omer Yurtseven
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Kevin Love
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
DNP – Coach's Decision
Cody Zeller
#44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31
DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand; Surgery
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
55%
42
26
7
2
12
15
7
35
5-6
83%
28-58
48%
14-28
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.