for complete access.
All Games Thursday, May 25, 2023
FinalWin Prob.pScore
10
Heat
33%102
97
2
Celtics
67%109
110
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
111.58789.4
BOS logo BOS
125.08885.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.97
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:03.5CelticsCeltics defensive rebound97
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:03.9HeatOmer Yurtseven misses three point jump shot97
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:17.4CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)97
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.5CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound97
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.5HeatKyle Lowry misses three point stepback jump shot97
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)97
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup97
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:25HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:26CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:36HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:39HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound92
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot92
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound92
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47HeatLuke Kornet blocks Haywood Highsmith's two point driving bank hook shot92
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound92
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59CelticsSam Hauser misses three point pullup jump shot92
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 292
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 291
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35CelticsSam Hauser offensive rebound90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37CelticsOmer Yurtseven blocks Sam Hauser's two point driving layup90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)90
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)88
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47HeatKevin Love makes two point putback layup88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48HeatKevin Love offensive rebound86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10CelticsDerrick White makes three point pullup jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound86
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 4:29HeatKevin Love misses two point turnaround hook shot86
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 4:47HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound86
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 4:49CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot86
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 5:11HeatKevin Love makes two point tip layup86
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 5:12HeatKevin Love offensive rebound84
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 5:13HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving layup84
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 5:33CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup84
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 5:56HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)84
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 6:08CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds lost ball)81
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 6:13CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound81
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 6:15HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving reverse layup81
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 6:24CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 281
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 6:24CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 281
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 6:24HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)81
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 6:27CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound81
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 6:28CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot81
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 6:55HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)81
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 7:04HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound78
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 7:06CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot78
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 7:20CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound78
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 7:23HeatKevin Love misses two point turnaround bank jump shot78
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 7:49CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point pullup jump shot78
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 7:58HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)78
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 8:02CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound78
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 8:04CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving hook shot78
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 8:24HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup78
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 8:37HeatKevin Love defensive rebound76
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 8:37CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot76
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 8:54HeatKevin Love makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)76
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 9:06HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound74
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 9:08CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot74
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 9:29HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving layup74
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 9:47CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)72
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 9:49CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound72
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 9:50HeatAl Horford blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving reverse layup72
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 10:11CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 272
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 10:11CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 272
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 10:11HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)72
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 10:20CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound72
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 10:22HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup72
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 10:45CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 272
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 10:45CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 272
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 10:45HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)72
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 11:03HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)72
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 11:15CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 3 of 372
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 11:15CelticsDerrick White misses regular free throw 2 of 372
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 11:15CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 372
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 11:15HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)72
0.9%
90
99.1%
Q4 - 11:36CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound72
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 11:37HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot72
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 11:41HeatKevin Love offensive rebound72
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q4 - 11:42HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot72
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.72
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q3 - 0:01.3HeatCaleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot72
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q3 - 0:15.3CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point reverse dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)70
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q3 - 0:32.3HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)70
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q3 - 0:37.2CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (lost ball) (Haywood Highsmith steals)68
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q3 - 0:58.1HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)68
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q3 - 1:14CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)65
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q3 - 1:20HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Marcus Smart steals)65
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q3 - 1:45CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 265
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q3 - 1:45CelticsMarcus Smart misses regular free throw 1 of 265
1.5%
84
98.5%
Q3 - 1:45HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)65
1.3%
84
98.7%
Q3 - 1:47HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)65
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q3 - 2:03CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point driving floating jump shot65
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q3 - 2:25HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point running layup (Bam Adebayo assists)65
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q3 - 2:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound63
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q3 - 2:31CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup63
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q3 - 2:39CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound63
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q3 - 2:41HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving layup63
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q3 - 2:58CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)63
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q3 - 3:20HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)63
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q3 - 3:42CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)61
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q3 - 4:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)61
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q3 - 4:13CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 259
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 4:13CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 259
3.0%
76
97.0%
Q3 - 4:13HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)59
2.6%
76
97.4%
Q3 - 4:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup59
2.9%
76
97.1%
Q3 - 4:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound57
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q3 - 4:40CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot57
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 5:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)57
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 5:19CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving bank jump shot55
2.1%
76
97.9%
Q3 - 5:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Max Strus assists)55
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q3 - 6:01CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup (Al Horford assists)53
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q3 - 6:17HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot53
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q3 - 6:39CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point jump shot51
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 7:02HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Al Horford draws the foul)51
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q3 - 7:03HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Jaylen Brown steals)51
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q3 - 7:28CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)51
3.3%
70
96.7%
Q3 - 7:48HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point running jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)51
4.3%
67
95.7%
Q3 - 7:55CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)48
3.3%
67
96.7%
Q3 - 8:01HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)48
3.0%
67
97.0%
Q3 - 8:24CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point floating jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)48
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q3 - 8:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup48
3.9%
65
96.1%
Q3 - 8:44HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound46
3.5%
65
96.5%
Q3 - 8:46CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point running layup46
3.3%
65
96.7%
Q3 - 8:52CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound46
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q3 - 8:53HeatMax Strus misses two point driving layup46
3.1%
65
96.9%
Q3 - 9:15CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running dunk (Marcus Smart assists)46
3.7%
65
96.3%
Q3 - 9:22CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound46
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q3 - 9:23HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot46
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 9:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 9:42CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup46
4.6%
63
95.4%
Q3 - 10:11HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot46
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 10:28CelticsAl Horford makes two point driving dunk44
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q3 - 10:44HeatKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Al Horford steals)44
4.4%
61
95.6%
Q3 - 11:05HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound44
5.2%
61
94.8%
Q3 - 11:06CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving hook shot44
5.0%
61
95.0%
Q3 - 11:19CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound44
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q3 - 11:21HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot44
4.8%
61
95.2%
Q3 - 11:27CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)44
5.2%
61
94.8%
Q3 - 11:30CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)44
5.2%
61
94.8%
Q3 - 11:41HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound44
5.2%
61
94.8%
Q3 - 11:43CelticsDerrick White misses three point stepback jump shot44
5.0%
61
95.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.44
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.7HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Marcus Smart steals)44
4.9%
61
95.1%
Q2 - 0:15.0HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound44
5.4%
61
94.6%
Q2 - 0:16.7CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot44
5.2%
61
94.8%
Q2 - 0:31.9HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround bank jump shot44
4.9%
61
95.1%
Q2 - 0:53.8CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds lost ball)42
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q2 - 1:16HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 242
4.1%
61
95.9%
Q2 - 1:16HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 241
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q2 - 1:16CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)41
4.4%
61
95.6%
Q2 - 1:31CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)41
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q2 - 1:39HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)41
5.2%
58
94.8%
Q2 - 1:41HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Jayson Tatum steals)41
5.2%
58
94.8%
Q2 - 1:49HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound41
5.6%
58
94.4%
Q2 - 1:50CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot41
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q2 - 2:00CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound41
5.2%
58
94.8%
Q2 - 2:01HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot41
5.6%
58
94.4%
Q2 - 2:23CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running layup41
6.1%
58
93.9%
Q2 - 2:26HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)41
6.8%
56
93.2%
Q2 - 2:39CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)41
7.6%
56
92.4%
Q2 - 2:59HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 141
9.4%
53
90.6%
Q2 - 2:59CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)40
9.3%
53
90.7%
Q2 - 3:01CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)38
8.1%
53
91.9%
Q2 - 3:14CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound38
7.1%
53
92.9%
Q2 - 3:16HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point floating jump shot38
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q2 - 3:17HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound38
8.1%
53
91.9%
Q2 - 3:19HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup38
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q2 - 3:19HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound38
8.1%
53
91.9%
Q2 - 3:20HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot38
7.4%
53
92.6%
Q2 - 3:37CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Derrick White assists)38
8.1%
53
91.9%
Q2 - 3:41CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound38
8.8%
51
91.2%
Q2 - 3:43CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot38
9.6%
51
90.4%
Q2 - 4:05CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound38
9.1%
51
90.9%
Q2 - 4:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot38
9.4%
51
90.6%
Q2 - 4:23CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 238
10.1%
51
89.9%
Q2 - 4:23CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 238
10.3%
50
89.7%
Q2 - 4:23HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)38
10.5%
49
89.5%
Q2 - 4:31HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 238
11.2%
49
88.8%
Q2 - 4:31HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 237
10.9%
49
89.1%
Q2 - 4:31CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)36
10.7%
49
89.3%
Q2 - 4:51CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point tip layup36
10.1%
49
89.9%
Q2 - 4:51CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound36
11.1%
47
88.9%
Q2 - 4:52CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot36
12.0%
47
88.0%
Q2 - 5:00CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound36
11.1%
47
88.9%
Q2 - 5:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot36
11.5%
47
88.5%
Q2 - 5:07HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound36
12.5%
47
87.5%
Q2 - 5:09HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot36
11.5%
47
88.5%
Q2 - 5:17HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound36
12.5%
47
87.5%
Q2 - 5:18CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot36
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q2 - 5:34HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)36
11.1%
47
88.9%
Q2 - 5:56HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound34
10.3%
47
89.7%
Q2 - 5:57CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot34
9.9%
47
90.1%
Q2 - 6:17HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)34
9.4%
47
90.6%
Q2 - 6:32CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)32
8.7%
47
91.3%
Q2 - 6:33CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)32
8.7%
47
91.3%
Q2 - 6:41CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound32
7.7%
47
92.3%
Q2 - 6:42HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot32
8.0%
47
92.0%
Q2 - 7:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound32
8.9%
47
91.1%
Q2 - 7:05CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot32
8.6%
47
91.4%
Q2 - 7:22HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point running layup32
8.0%
47
92.0%
Q2 - 7:25CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)30
7.3%
47
92.7%
Q2 - 7:38CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound30
6.6%
47
93.4%
Q2 - 7:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot30
6.8%
47
93.2%
Q2 - 8:03CelticsAl Horford makes two point running jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)30
7.5%
47
92.5%
Q2 - 8:09CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound30
8.2%
45
91.8%
Q2 - 8:10HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot30
8.4%
45
91.6%
Q2 - 8:12HeatHeat offensive rebound30
9.0%
45
91.0%
Q2 - 8:13HeatGrant Williams blocks Kyle Lowry's two point running layup30
8.4%
45
91.6%
Q2 - 8:19CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)30
9.0%
45
91.0%
Q2 - 8:37HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)30
8.2%
45
91.8%
Q2 - 8:47CelticsAl Horford makes two point tip dunk27
6.8%
45
93.2%
Q2 - 8:47CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound27
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 8:48CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point running layup27
8.0%
43
92.0%
Q2 - 8:53HeatKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Marcus Smart steals)27
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 9:11CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot27
8.3%
43
91.7%
Q2 - 9:15CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound27
10.0%
40
90.0%
Q2 - 9:17CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot27
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 9:37HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot27
10.0%
40
90.0%
Q2 - 9:49CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup25
9.2%
40
90.8%
Q2 - 10:10HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup25
10.3%
38
89.7%
Q2 - 10:32HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound23
9.4%
38
90.6%
Q2 - 10:33CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot23
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 10:52HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)23
8.6%
38
91.4%
Q2 - 11:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound20
7.5%
38
92.5%
Q2 - 11:08CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot20
7.3%
38
92.7%
Q2 - 11:20CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound20
6.9%
38
93.1%
Q2 - 11:22HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving floating jump shot20
7.0%
38
93.0%
Q2 - 11:39CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point stepback jump shot20
7.5%
38
92.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.20
8.9%
35
91.1%
Q1 - 0:00.1CelticsDerrick White makes three point stepback jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)20
9.8%
35
90.2%
Q1 - 0:13.8CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound20
11.7%
32
88.3%
Q1 - 0:14.8HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot20
12.0%
32
88.0%
Q1 - 0:18.9HeatHeat offensive rebound20
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0HeatRobert Williams III blocks Jimmy Butler's three point pullup jump shot20
12.0%
32
88.0%
Q1 - 0:33.6HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound20
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q1 - 0:35.2CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point running jump shot20
12.3%
32
87.7%
Q1 - 0:41.6CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound20
11.7%
32
88.3%
Q1 - 0:42.8HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup20
12.0%
32
88.0%
Q1 - 0:57.6HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound20
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q1 - 0:59.8CelticsDerrick White misses two point pullup jump shot20
12.3%
32
87.7%
Q1 - 1:09CelticsJayson Tatum misses technical free throw 1 of 120
11.8%
32
88.2%
Q1 - 1:09Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)20
11.1%
32
88.9%
Q1 - 1:24HeatCody Zeller makes two point floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)20
11.8%
32
88.2%
Q1 - 1:32HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound18
10.8%
32
89.2%
Q1 - 1:36CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point running jump shot18
10.6%
32
89.4%
Q1 - 1:41HeatCody Zeller turnover (lost ball) (Jayson Tatum steals)18
10.0%
32
90.0%
Q1 - 1:43HeatCody Zeller offensive rebound18
10.8%
32
89.2%
Q1 - 1:44HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup18
10.3%
32
89.7%
Q1 - 2:01CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Robert Williams III assists)18
11.2%
32
88.8%
Q1 - 2:12HeatCody Zeller makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)18
13.1%
29
86.9%
Q1 - 2:29CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 216
12.1%
29
87.9%
Q1 - 2:29CelticsGrant Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 216
12.3%
28
87.7%
Q1 - 2:29HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)16
11.6%
28
88.4%
Q1 - 2:37HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)16
12.1%
28
87.9%
Q1 - 2:39CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound16
12.1%
28
87.9%
Q1 - 2:40CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point turnaround jump shot16
12.8%
28
87.2%
Q1 - 3:08HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)16
12.2%
28
87.8%
Q1 - 3:19CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving dunk13
10.6%
28
89.4%
Q1 - 3:31HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving finger roll layup13
11.3%
26
88.7%
Q1 - 3:54CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 111
10.6%
26
89.4%
Q1 - 3:54HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)11
10.7%
25
89.3%
Q1 - 4:07HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 211
12.7%
23
87.3%
Q1 - 4:07HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 210
12.6%
23
87.4%
Q1 - 4:07CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)10
13.4%
23
86.6%
Q1 - 4:22HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound10
12.8%
23
87.2%
Q1 - 4:24CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot10
12.5%
23
87.5%
Q1 - 4:37HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot10
11.7%
23
88.3%
Q1 - 4:58CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)7
10.2%
23
89.8%
Q1 - 5:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup7
12.1%
20
87.9%
Q1 - 5:24CelticsDerrick White makes two point fadeaway jump shot5
11.4%
20
88.6%
Q1 - 5:46HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds step)5
12.1%
18
87.9%
Q1 - 5:47HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound5
13.1%
18
86.9%
Q1 - 5:49HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot5
12.4%
18
87.6%
Q1 - 6:01CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)5
13.2%
18
86.8%
Q1 - 6:06CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound5
15.2%
15
84.8%
Q1 - 6:08CelticsAl Horford misses two point putback layup5
15.9%
15
84.1%
Q1 - 6:08CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound5
15.2%
15
84.8%
Q1 - 6:10CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot5
15.9%
15
84.1%
Q1 - 6:34CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound5
15.2%
15
84.8%
Q1 - 6:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot5
15.5%
15
84.5%
Q1 - 6:59CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point running jump shot (Al Horford assists)5
16.2%
15
83.8%
Q1 - 7:03CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound5
18.5%
12
81.5%
Q1 - 7:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup5
18.9%
12
81.1%
Q1 - 7:22CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)5
19.8%
12
80.2%
Q1 - 7:36HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)5
22.3%
9
77.7%
Q1 - 7:59CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)5
23.9%
9
76.1%
Q1 - 8:08CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)5
23.8%
9
76.2%
Q1 - 8:24HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)5
26.6%
6
73.4%
Q1 - 8:42HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 15
28.3%
6
71.7%
Q1 - 8:42CelticsJayson Tatum technical foul4
27.9%
6
72.1%
Q1 - 8:43CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving dunk4
26.8%
6
73.2%
Q1 - 8:54CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound4
28.1%
4
71.9%
Q1 - 8:55HeatKevin Love misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot4
28.7%
4
71.3%
Q1 - 9:10HeatKevin Love defensive rebound4
29.8%
4
70.2%
Q1 - 9:11CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot4
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 9:14CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound4
28.1%
4
71.9%
Q1 - 9:16CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Jaylen Brown's two point turnaround jump shot4
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 9:35CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound4
28.1%
4
71.9%
Q1 - 9:36HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot4
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 10:01HeatHeat defensive rebound4
29.5%
4
70.5%
Q1 - 10:03CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot4
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 10:19HeatJimmy Butler makes two point floating jump shot4
27.8%
4
72.2%
Q1 - 10:35HeatKevin Love defensive rebound2
26.5%
4
73.5%
Q1 - 10:36CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point running layup2
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 10:43HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)2
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 10:56CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point driving layup (Al Horford assists)2
26.5%
4
73.5%
Q1 - 11:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup2
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 11:36CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running layup0
26.3%
2
73.7%
Q1 - 11:41HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Marcus Smart steals)0
27.5%
0
72.5%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Al Horford (Kevin Love gains possession)0
29.2%
0
70.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.17 58.4%
BOS
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
30
67%
BOS
15
20
75%
Midrange
MIA
11
25
44%
BOS
9
20
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
BOS
16
24.0
39
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIA
8
10
80%
BOS
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Robinson1882%9.0 / 11
B. Adebayo1653%8.0 / 15
H. Highsmith1583%7.5 / 9
J. Butler1458%7.0 / 12
C. Martin1454%7.0 / 13
K. Love643%3.0 / 7
K. Lowry550%2.5 / 5
C. Zeller4100%2.0 / 2
M. Strus330%1.5 / 5
O. Yurtseven250%1.0 / 2
N. Jović0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. White24100%12.0 / 12
M. Smart2377%11.5 / 15
J. Tatum2158%10.5 / 18
J. Brown2158%10.5 / 18
A. Horford643%3.0 / 7
G. Williams650%3.0 / 6
R. Williams6100%3.0 / 3
S. Hauser338%1.5 / 4
M. Brogdon0-0.0 / 2
P. Pritchard0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+12
-16
83
BOS
79
+12
-9
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.17 58.4%
BOS
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.3
116.6
MIA 111.5
BOS 125.0 +13.5
Pace
94.4
95.5
MIA 89.4 +3.7
BOS 85.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.0
MIA 16.1 +0.7
BOS 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
56.0%
MIA 57.1%
BOS 60.8% +3.7%
TO %
11.6%
12.6%
MIA 16.3%
BOS 10.3% +6.0%
ORB %
21.7%
23.1%
MIA 28.6%
BOS 31.6% +3.0%
FTrt
22.8
23.3
MIA 12.8
BOS 24.1 +11.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.3%
59.1%
MIA 50.0%
BOS 57.5% +7.5%
STL %
7.4%
6.3%
MIA 6.9%
BOS 14.8% +7.9%
BLK %
7.4%
11.7%
MIA 5.0%
BOS 7.3% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.5%
57.9%
MIA 58.4%
BOS 60.4% +2.0%
Rim FG%
60.5%
64.3%
MIA 66.7%
BOS 75.0% +8.3%
Mid FG%
41.3%
45.1%
MIA 44.0%
BOS 45.0% +1.0%
3P %
38.0%
36.4%
MIA 39.1%
BOS 41.0% +1.9%
FT %
81.3%
81.0%
MIA 80.0% +6.3%
BOS 73.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
34.4%
MIA 38.5% +13.1%
BOS 25.3%
Mid Att. %
31.3%
20.4%
MIA 32.1%
BOS 25.3% +6.7%
3P Att. %
38.8%
45.2%
MIA 29.5%
BOS 49.4% +19.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points97110
Rebounds3637
Assists2023
Steals613
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)9 (1)
Fouls139
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)12 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)25 (1)
Field Goals40-7840-79
At-the-Rim FG20-3015-20
Midrange FG11-259-20
2-Point FG31-5524-40
3-Point FG9-2316-39
Free Throws8-1014-19
Fast Break Pts1612
2nd Chance Pts717
Points in Paint5242
Pts off Turnovers1927
Bench Points5315
Biggest Lead024

BOXSCORE

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10 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34
33.6
14
58%
5
5
2
0
2
1
0
5
4-6
67%
5-8
63%
0-2
0%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
31.9
16
53%
8
3
2
1
6
2
2
6
0-0
-
8-15
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
30.3
5
50%
2
1
0
0
4
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
Max Strus
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27
24.2
3
30%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
Kevin Love
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
13.7
6
43%
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
36.0
15
83%
2
1
2
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-4
75%
Caleb Martin
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
31.8
14
54%
5
0
0
0
2
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
2-5
40%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
27.7
18
82%
4
9
0
0
1
5
1
3
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
2-3
67%
Cody Zeller
#44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31
4.1
4
100%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Omer Yurtseven
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25
3.3
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand; Surgery
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
58%
36
20
6
2
16
13
10
26
8-10
80%
31-55
56%
9-23
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.