for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, May 23, 2023
FinalWin Prob.pScore
2
Celtics
51%106
116
11
Heat
49%105
99
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
122.19598.8
MIA logo MIA
105.39490.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.116
100%
99
0%
Q4 - 0:16.7CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving finger roll layup116
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.5HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup114
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.1HeatHeat offensive rebound114
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.1HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot114
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.6HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound114
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point stepback jump shot114
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00CelticsPayton Pritchard makes regular free throw 2 of 2114
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00CelticsPayton Pritchard makes regular free throw 1 of 2113
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Take) (Payton Pritchard draws the foul)112
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2112
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Take) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)112
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound112
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 2112
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)111
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:20CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound111
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:20HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot111
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point fadeaway jump shot111
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)109
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound109
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot109
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 2:07HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk109
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 2:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound109
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot109
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39HeatMax Strus makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)109
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:58CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Marcus Smart assists)109
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:11HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:11HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 3:11CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)107
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:26CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point fadeaway jump shot107
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:40CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound105
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 3:42HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot105
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 3:52CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 1105
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 3:52HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)104
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 3:55HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Marcus Smart steals)102
99.2%
89
0.8%
Q4 - 4:10HeatMax Strus defensive rebound102
98.9%
89
1.1%
Q4 - 4:12CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot102
99.0%
89
1.0%
Q4 - 4:27HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating jump shot102
99.3%
89
0.7%
Q4 - 4:36CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds bad pass)102
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 4:53CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound102
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 4:55HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 2102
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 4:55HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 4:55CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)102
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 5:02CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point cutting dunk (Marcus Smart assists)102
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 5:10HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)100
99.1%
86
0.9%
Q4 - 5:13HeatMax Strus defensive rebound100
98.7%
86
1.3%
Q4 - 5:16CelticsCaleb Martin blocks Robert Williams III's two point layup100
98.8%
86
1.2%
Q4 - 5:43HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)100
99.1%
86
0.9%
Q4 - 6:00HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound100
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 6:03CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot100
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 6:27HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)100
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 6:29HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound100
99.1%
83
0.9%
Q4 - 6:32CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot100
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 6:44CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound100
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 6:44HeatJimmy Butler misses two point tip layup100
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 6:44HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound100
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 6:51HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup100
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 7:00CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)100
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 7:25CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)100
98.7%
83
1.3%
Q4 - 7:32CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound97
98.0%
83
2.0%
Q4 - 7:34HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround hook shot97
97.8%
83
2.2%
Q4 - 7:52CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point stepback jump shot97
97.3%
83
2.7%
Q4 - 8:02HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds step)94
94.6%
83
5.4%
Q4 - 8:02HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound94
93.1%
83
6.9%
Q4 - 8:02HeatJayson Tatum blocks Gabe Vincent's three point jump shot94
94.1%
83
5.9%
Q4 - 8:20CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point reverse layup (Jayson Tatum assists)94
93.1%
83
6.9%
Q4 - 8:36CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound92
91.5%
83
8.5%
Q4 - 8:39HeatGrant Williams blocks Jimmy Butler's two point turnaround jump shot92
90.9%
83
9.1%
Q4 - 9:05CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running dunk (Al Horford assists)92
87.9%
83
12.1%
Q4 - 9:06CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound90
85.5%
83
14.5%
Q4 - 9:10HeatDerrick White blocks Duncan Robinson's three point pullup jump shot90
84.5%
83
15.5%
Q4 - 9:22CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Grant Williams assists)90
82.1%
83
17.9%
Q4 - 9:41HeatKyle Lowry makes two point floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)88
78.8%
83
21.2%
Q4 - 9:50HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound88
82.1%
81
17.9%
Q4 - 9:53CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot88
83.3%
81
16.7%
Q4 - 10:05CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound88
84.1%
81
15.9%
Q4 - 10:08HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 288
83.6%
81
16.4%
Q4 - 10:08HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 288
81.6%
81
18.4%
Q4 - 10:08CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)88
78.8%
81
21.2%
Q4 - 10:14CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)88
80.6%
81
19.4%
Q4 - 10:20HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound88
80.6%
81
19.4%
Q4 - 10:24CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot88
81.8%
81
18.2%
Q4 - 10:37HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 288
84.2%
81
15.8%
Q4 - 10:37HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 288
84.5%
80
15.5%
Q4 - 10:37CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)88
84.9%
79
15.1%
Q4 - 10:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound88
86.6%
79
13.4%
Q4 - 10:47CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot88
87.5%
79
12.5%
Q4 - 11:01CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound88
87.9%
79
12.1%
Q4 - 11:03HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot88
87.2%
79
12.8%
Q4 - 11:18HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound88
85.5%
79
14.5%
Q4 - 11:20CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot88
86.3%
79
13.7%
Q4 - 11:37CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound88
88.0%
79
12.0%
Q4 - 11:39HeatKyle Lowry misses two point fadeaway jump shot88
87.3%
79
12.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.88
85.5%
79
14.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0CelticsCeltics offensive rebound88
86.9%
79
13.1%
Q3 - 0:01.2CelticsRobert Williams III misses three point pullup jump shot88
85.3%
79
14.7%
Q3 - 0:02.6HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Caleb Martin assists)88
86.9%
79
13.1%
Q3 - 0:06.5HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound88
89.0%
77
11.0%
Q3 - 0:08.6CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot88
89.6%
77
10.4%
Q3 - 0:29.5HeatKyle Lowry turnover (double dribble)88
90.8%
77
9.2%
Q3 - 0:42.9CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)88
89.1%
77
10.9%
Q3 - 0:52.3HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)85
84.5%
77
15.5%
Q3 - 1:13CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running layup85
80.5%
77
19.5%
Q3 - 1:16CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound83
77.6%
77
22.4%
Q3 - 1:19HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving layup83
76.5%
77
23.5%
Q3 - 1:33CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point jump shot83
74.0%
77
26.0%
Q3 - 1:54HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround hook shot81
70.5%
77
29.5%
Q3 - 2:15HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound81
72.8%
75
27.2%
Q3 - 2:19CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot81
73.9%
75
26.1%
Q3 - 2:33HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 281
76.4%
75
23.6%
Q3 - 2:33HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 281
76.9%
74
23.1%
Q3 - 2:33CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)81
77.4%
73
22.6%
Q3 - 2:45CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)81
79.3%
73
20.7%
Q3 - 2:45CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)81
82.2%
73
17.8%
Q3 - 2:55HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 281
82.2%
73
17.8%
Q3 - 2:55HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 281
82.6%
72
17.4%
Q3 - 2:55CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)81
83.0%
71
17.0%
Q3 - 2:55HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound81
84.5%
71
15.5%
Q3 - 2:56HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot81
86.2%
71
13.8%
Q3 - 3:12CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)81
83.6%
71
16.4%
Q3 - 3:24HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup78
78.9%
71
21.1%
Q3 - 3:42CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup (Marcus Smart assists)78
81.2%
69
18.8%
Q3 - 3:51CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound76
78.9%
69
21.1%
Q3 - 3:56HeatCaleb Martin misses three point stepback jump shot76
77.9%
69
22.1%
Q3 - 4:21CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Grant Williams assists)76
74.7%
69
25.3%
Q3 - 4:35HeatCody Zeller makes regular free throw 1 of 173
68.7%
69
31.3%
Q3 - 4:35CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)73
69.6%
68
30.4%
Q3 - 4:52CelticsAl Horford makes two point hook shot73
74.8%
66
25.2%
Q3 - 5:11HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)71
71.1%
66
28.9%
Q3 - 5:13HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound71
76.9%
63
23.1%
Q3 - 5:18HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot71
79.0%
63
21.0%
Q3 - 5:29HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound71
76.9%
63
23.1%
Q3 - 5:31HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot71
79.0%
63
21.0%
Q3 - 5:49CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 271
77.0%
63
23.0%
Q3 - 5:49CelticsAl Horford misses regular free throw 1 of 270
76.4%
63
23.6%
Q3 - 5:49HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Al Horford draws the foul)70
78.6%
63
21.4%
Q3 - 5:49CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound70
77.2%
63
22.8%
Q3 - 5:52CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot70
75.0%
63
25.0%
Q3 - 6:11HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup70
76.5%
63
23.5%
Q3 - 6:24CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 270
79.0%
61
21.0%
Q3 - 6:24CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 269
78.6%
61
21.4%
Q3 - 6:24HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)68
78.3%
61
21.7%
Q3 - 6:28HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)68
76.5%
61
23.5%
Q3 - 6:34HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)68
76.5%
61
23.5%
Q3 - 6:52CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)68
73.5%
61
26.5%
Q3 - 7:08HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)65
66.9%
61
33.1%
Q3 - 7:08HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)65
63.1%
61
36.9%
Q3 - 7:29CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving floating jump shot65
63.1%
61
36.9%
Q3 - 7:40HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Loose ball) (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)63
60.2%
61
39.8%
Q3 - 7:40CelticsCeltics offensive rebound63
60.2%
61
39.8%
Q3 - 7:40CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point running layup63
57.4%
61
42.6%
Q3 - 7:42HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)63
60.2%
61
39.8%
Q3 - 7:53CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running layup63
56.1%
61
43.9%
Q3 - 7:58CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound61
53.0%
61
47.0%
Q3 - 7:59HeatAl Horford blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup61
51.7%
61
48.3%
Q3 - 8:16CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)61
48.8%
61
51.2%
Q3 - 8:38CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound58
42.4%
61
57.6%
Q3 - 8:40HeatDerrick White blocks Kevin Love's two point turnaround hook shot58
41.1%
61
58.9%
Q3 - 9:04CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)58
38.8%
61
61.2%
Q3 - 9:11CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound55
32.8%
61
67.2%
Q3 - 9:13HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving bank jump shot55
31.8%
61
68.2%
Q3 - 9:27CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot55
29.5%
61
70.5%
Q3 - 9:37HeatKevin Love personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)52
24.4%
61
75.6%
Q3 - 9:43CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound52
24.4%
61
75.6%
Q3 - 9:46HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot52
23.5%
61
76.5%
Q3 - 9:56HeatMax Strus defensive rebound52
21.6%
61
78.4%
Q3 - 10:00CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot52
22.4%
61
77.6%
Q3 - 10:06CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound52
25.0%
61
75.0%
Q3 - 10:09HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving hook shot52
24.2%
61
75.8%
Q3 - 10:24HeatKevin Love defensive rebound52
22.3%
61
77.7%
Q3 - 10:28CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot52
23.1%
61
76.9%
Q3 - 10:39HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot52
25.0%
61
75.0%
Q3 - 10:41HeatMax Strus offensive rebound52
30.0%
58
70.0%
Q3 - 10:41HeatJayson Tatum blocks Max Strus's three point jump shot52
32.3%
58
67.7%
Q3 - 10:43HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound52
30.0%
58
70.0%
Q3 - 10:45HeatJimmy Butler misses two point putback layup52
32.3%
58
67.7%
Q3 - 10:45HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound52
30.0%
58
70.0%
Q3 - 10:50HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot52
32.2%
58
67.8%
Q3 - 10:57HeatKevin Love defensive rebound52
30.0%
58
70.0%
Q3 - 10:58CelticsDerrick White misses two point driving layup52
31.0%
58
69.0%
Q3 - 11:06HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving finger roll layup52
33.5%
58
66.5%
Q3 - 11:18CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround jump shot (Al Horford assists)52
36.3%
56
63.7%
Q3 - 11:24HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)50
33.5%
56
66.5%
Q3 - 11:26CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound50
33.5%
56
66.5%
Q3 - 11:27HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot50
32.6%
56
67.4%
Q3 - 11:42HeatKevin Love defensive rebound50
30.5%
56
69.5%
Q3 - 11:44CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving hook shot50
31.4%
56
68.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.50
33.5%
56
66.5%
Q2 - 0:00.1CelticsCeltics offensive rebound50
33.9%
56
66.1%
Q2 - 0:00.7CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point stepback jump shot50
32.3%
56
67.7%
Q2 - 0:06.8CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound50
33.9%
56
66.1%
Q2 - 0:09.0HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot50
33.2%
56
66.8%
Q2 - 0:29.3HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound50
31.5%
56
68.5%
Q2 - 0:31.6CelticsGrant Williams misses two point driving bank jump shot50
32.2%
56
67.8%
Q2 - 0:46.7HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)50
33.9%
56
66.1%
Q2 - 0:49.4HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound50
37.3%
54
62.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0CelticsGrant Williams misses three point stepback jump shot50
38.0%
54
62.0%
Q2 - 0:59.9HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Grant Williams steals)50
39.8%
54
60.2%
Q2 - 1:24CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 250
38.1%
54
61.9%
Q2 - 1:24CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 249
37.7%
54
62.3%
Q2 - 1:24HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)49
40.2%
54
59.8%
Q2 - 1:25CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound49
37.4%
54
62.6%
Q2 - 1:29CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot49
35.9%
54
64.1%
Q2 - 1:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point stepback jump shot49
37.3%
54
62.7%
Q2 - 2:06CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)49
40.9%
52
59.1%
Q2 - 2:25HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 246
35.4%
52
64.6%
Q2 - 2:25HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 246
35.9%
51
64.1%
Q2 - 2:25CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)46
36.6%
50
63.4%
Q2 - 2:31HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound46
38.1%
50
61.9%
Q2 - 2:34HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving finger roll layup46
40.2%
50
59.8%
Q2 - 2:48CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point layup (Jaylen Brown assists)46
38.1%
50
61.9%
Q2 - 3:02HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 3 of 344
36.2%
50
63.8%
Q2 - 3:02HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 344
36.5%
49
63.5%
Q2 - 3:02HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 344
36.8%
48
63.2%
Q2 - 3:02CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)44
37.2%
47
62.8%
Q2 - 3:12CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)44
41.1%
47
58.9%
Q2 - 3:22HeatMax Strus defensive rebound44
41.1%
47
58.9%
Q2 - 3:25CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point stepback jump shot44
42.1%
47
57.9%
Q2 - 3:39HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)44
44.5%
47
55.5%
Q2 - 3:43CelticsDerrick White turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)44
46.8%
45
53.2%
Q2 - 3:46CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound44
50.2%
45
49.8%
Q2 - 3:50HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot44
49.2%
45
50.8%
Q2 - 4:01HeatMax Strus defensive rebound44
47.4%
45
52.6%
Q2 - 4:03CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot44
48.2%
45
51.8%
Q2 - 4:17HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)44
50.2%
45
49.8%
Q2 - 4:32CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running finger roll layup (Marcus Smart assists)44
52.9%
43
47.1%
Q2 - 4:34CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound42
50.2%
43
49.8%
Q2 - 4:38HeatRobert Williams III blocks Bam Adebayo's two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot42
49.3%
43
50.7%
Q2 - 4:50CelticsRobert Williams III personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)42
47.3%
43
52.7%
Q2 - 5:02HeatMax Strus defensive rebound42
47.2%
43
52.8%
Q2 - 5:05CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 242
47.6%
43
52.4%
Q2 - 5:05CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 242
49.3%
43
50.7%
Q2 - 5:05HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)42
51.4%
43
48.6%
Q2 - 5:16HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)42
50.5%
43
49.5%
Q2 - 5:19HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound42
55.5%
40
44.5%
Q2 - 5:21HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot42
57.7%
40
42.3%
Q2 - 5:31CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)42
55.5%
40
44.5%
Q2 - 5:47HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving finger roll layup39
50.5%
40
49.5%
Q2 - 6:05CelticsMalcolm Brogdon turnover (out of bounds lost ball)39
52.9%
38
47.1%
Q2 - 6:22HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving reverse layup39
56.1%
38
43.9%
Q2 - 6:42CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point putback layup39
58.2%
36
41.8%
Q2 - 6:44CelticsMalcolm Brogdon offensive rebound37
56.1%
36
43.9%
Q2 - 6:47CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot37
53.8%
36
46.2%
Q2 - 6:59HeatKyle Lowry turnover (traveling)37
56.1%
36
43.9%
Q2 - 7:03HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound37
52.9%
36
47.1%
Q2 - 7:06CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot37
53.8%
36
46.2%
Q2 - 7:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup (Gabe Vincent assists)37
55.8%
36
44.2%
Q2 - 7:46CelticsGrant Williams makes three point running jump shot (Derrick White assists)37
58.2%
34
41.8%
Q2 - 7:52HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)34
53.2%
34
46.8%
Q2 - 8:10CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup (Derrick White assists)34
50.2%
34
49.8%
Q2 - 8:17CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound32
47.8%
34
52.2%
Q2 - 8:21HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot32
47.0%
34
53.0%
Q2 - 8:35CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 132
45.1%
34
54.9%
Q2 - 8:35HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)31
44.8%
34
55.2%
Q2 - 8:35CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound29
40.2%
34
59.8%
Q2 - 8:35CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot29
38.3%
34
61.7%
Q2 - 8:48HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 229
40.2%
34
59.8%
Q2 - 8:48HeatGabe Vincent misses regular free throw 1 of 229
40.4%
33
59.6%
Q2 - 8:48CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)29
38.3%
33
61.7%
Q2 - 8:56CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)29
40.0%
33
60.0%
Q2 - 9:13CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)29
40.0%
33
60.0%
Q2 - 9:13CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)29
42.6%
33
57.4%
Q2 - 9:27HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)29
42.6%
33
57.4%
Q2 - 9:27HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Derrick White draws the foul)29
40.0%
33
60.0%
Q2 - 9:50CelticsAl Horford makes three point running jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)29
40.0%
33
60.0%
Q2 - 9:54CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound26
35.3%
33
64.7%
Q2 - 9:56HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot26
34.6%
33
65.4%
Q2 - 10:15HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound26
33.4%
33
66.6%
Q2 - 10:17CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup26
34.1%
33
65.9%
Q2 - 10:24CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound26
35.7%
33
64.3%
Q2 - 10:26HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot26
35.0%
33
65.0%
Q2 - 10:46HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound26
33.4%
33
66.6%
Q2 - 10:49CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving reverse layup26
34.1%
33
65.9%
Q2 - 10:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)26
35.7%
33
64.3%
Q2 - 11:22CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)26
38.5%
31
61.5%
Q2 - 11:37HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving reverse layup (Kyle Lowry assists)23
34.0%
31
66.0%
Q2 - 11:42HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound23
36.2%
29
63.8%
Q2 - 11:45CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point jump shot23
36.9%
29
63.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
38.4%
29
61.6%
Q1 - 0:00.2CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound23
38.4%
29
61.6%
Q1 - 0:00.9HeatCody Zeller misses two point tip layup23
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q1 - 0:02.2HeatCody Zeller offensive rebound23
36.5%
29
63.5%
Q1 - 0:02.2HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot23
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q1 - 0:09.0CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 223
36.5%
29
63.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 222
36.0%
29
64.0%
Q1 - 0:09.0HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)21
35.6%
29
64.4%
Q1 - 0:09.0CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound21
34.1%
29
65.9%
Q1 - 0:13.3CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot21
32.8%
29
67.2%
Q1 - 0:29.6CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound21
34.1%
29
65.9%
Q1 - 0:31.6HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot21
33.5%
29
66.5%
Q1 - 0:45.8CelticsRobert Williams III makes regular free throw 2 of 221
32.2%
29
67.8%
Q1 - 0:45.8CelticsRobert Williams III misses regular free throw 1 of 220
31.7%
29
68.3%
Q1 - 0:45.8HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)20
33.1%
29
66.9%
Q1 - 0:48.5HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)20
32.0%
29
68.0%
Q1 - 0:52.7CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)20
30.2%
29
69.8%
Q1 - 1:10HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)20
32.4%
29
67.6%
Q1 - 1:33CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point cutting dunk (Jaylen Brown assists)20
36.7%
26
63.3%
Q1 - 1:53HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 218
34.4%
26
65.6%
Q1 - 1:53HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 218
34.7%
25
65.3%
Q1 - 1:53CelticsMalcolm Brogdon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)18
35.0%
24
65.0%
Q1 - 2:01HeatHeat offensive rebound18
37.1%
24
62.9%
Q1 - 2:01HeatRobert Williams III blocks Jimmy Butler's two point pullup jump shot18
38.6%
24
61.4%
Q1 - 2:09HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound18
37.1%
24
62.9%
Q1 - 2:13CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot18
37.7%
24
62.3%
Q1 - 2:29HeatCody Zeller makes regular free throw 2 of 218
39.3%
24
60.7%
Q1 - 2:29HeatCody Zeller makes regular free throw 1 of 218
39.8%
23
60.2%
Q1 - 2:29CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)18
40.5%
22
59.5%
Q1 - 2:32HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound18
41.4%
22
58.6%
Q1 - 2:36CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot18
42.0%
22
58.0%
Q1 - 2:59HeatCody Zeller personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)18
43.6%
22
56.4%
Q1 - 2:59CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound18
43.6%
22
56.4%
Q1 - 2:59HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot18
42.9%
22
57.1%
Q1 - 3:13CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)18
41.2%
22
58.8%
Q1 - 3:15HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound18
41.2%
22
58.8%
Q1 - 3:19CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point pullup jump shot18
42.0%
22
58.0%
Q1 - 3:23CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound18
43.8%
22
56.2%
Q1 - 3:26HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot18
43.0%
22
57.0%
Q1 - 3:50CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)18
41.2%
22
58.8%
Q1 - 4:06HeatMax Strus makes two point running dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)15
38.1%
22
61.9%
Q1 - 4:10CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)15
39.7%
20
60.3%
Q1 - 4:20HeatJimmy Butler makes two point floating jump shot15
42.1%
20
57.9%
Q1 - 4:34CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)15
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 4:37HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound15
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 4:40CelticsDerrick White misses three point running jump shot15
44.5%
18
55.5%
Q1 - 4:45CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound15
46.2%
18
53.8%
Q1 - 4:47HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot15
45.5%
18
54.5%
Q1 - 5:10CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)15
44.2%
18
55.8%
Q1 - 5:22HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot15
46.5%
18
53.5%
Q1 - 5:36CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)15
50.3%
15
49.7%
Q1 - 5:51HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)12
46.5%
15
53.5%
Q1 - 6:03CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)12
50.5%
12
49.5%
Q1 - 6:17CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds lost ball)12
50.5%
12
49.5%
Q1 - 6:28CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound12
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 6:32HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot12
51.9%
12
48.1%
Q1 - 6:39CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Kevin Love steals)12
50.5%
12
49.5%
Q1 - 6:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot12
52.5%
12
47.5%
Q1 - 7:14HeatHeat defensive rebound12
54.5%
10
45.5%
Q1 - 7:14CelticsJimmy Butler blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving layup12
55.1%
10
44.9%
Q1 - 7:37HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating bank jump shot12
56.6%
10
43.4%
Q1 - 7:46CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point putback layup12
58.3%
8
41.7%
Q1 - 7:47CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound10
56.6%
8
43.4%
Q1 - 7:52CelticsDerrick White misses three point running jump shot10
55.1%
8
44.9%
Q1 - 7:56CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound10
56.6%
8
43.4%
Q1 - 7:58HeatKevin Love misses two point cutting layup10
55.9%
8
44.1%
Q1 - 8:05HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound10
54.6%
8
45.4%
Q1 - 8:07CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot10
55.3%
8
44.7%
Q1 - 8:27HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup10
56.7%
8
43.3%
Q1 - 8:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound10
58.4%
6
41.6%
Q1 - 8:47CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot10
59.0%
6
41.0%
Q1 - 8:55HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)10
60.5%
6
39.5%
Q1 - 9:06HeatKevin Love defensive rebound10
58.2%
6
41.8%
Q1 - 9:10CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot10
58.8%
6
41.2%
Q1 - 9:20HeatMax Strus makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)10
60.2%
6
39.8%
Q1 - 9:40CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point bank jump shot10
61.8%
4
38.2%
Q1 - 9:57HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 28
60.2%
4
39.8%
Q1 - 9:57HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 28
60.4%
3
39.6%
Q1 - 9:57CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)8
58.9%
3
41.1%
Q1 - 10:16CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)8
59.7%
3
40.3%
Q1 - 10:31HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)5
56.2%
3
43.8%
Q1 - 10:57CelticsDerrick White makes two point turnaround jump shot5
54.3%
3
45.7%
Q1 - 11:19HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)3
52.5%
3
47.5%
Q1 - 11:34CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)3
55.9%
0
44.1%
Q1 - 11:40CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound0
52.5%
0
47.5%
Q1 - 11:42HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot0
51.9%
0
48.1%
Q1 - 12:00Al Horford vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
50.5%
0
49.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.22 61.1%
MIA
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
17
24
71%
MIA
22
32
69%
Midrange
BOS
8
15
53%
MIA
4
14
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
18
27.0
45
40%
60%
MIA
8
12.0
32
25%
38%
Free Throws
BOS
12
18
67%
MIA
23
28
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum3372%16.5 / 23
J. Brown1750%8.5 / 17
D. White1673%8.0 / 11
G. Williams1488%7.0 / 8
A. Horford1275%6.0 / 8
M. Smart1150%5.5 / 11
R. Williams758%3.5 / 6
P. Pritchard4100%2.0 / 2
M. Brogdon220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2954%14.5 / 27
G. Vincent1765%8.5 / 13
C. Martin1680%8.0 / 10
B. Adebayo1056%5.0 / 9
M. Strus950%4.5 / 9
K. Love650%3.0 / 6
K. Lowry531%2.5 / 8
C. Zeller583%2.5 / 3
D. Robinson220%1.0 / 5
N. Jović0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
85
+10
-10
95
MIA
79
+14
-15
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.22 61.1%
MIA
1.06 53.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.6
114.3
BOS 122.1 +16.8
MIA 105.3
Pace
95.5
94.4
BOS 98.8 +8.3
MIA 90.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.5
BOS 14.6 +1.3
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.0%
53.1%
BOS 61.9% +13.2%
MIA 48.7%
TO %
12.6%
11.6%
BOS 9.8% +5.2%
MIA 15.0%
ORB %
23.1%
21.7%
BOS 17.9%
MIA 27.3% +9.4%
FTrt
23.3
22.8
BOS 21.4
MIA 35.9 +14.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.1%
59.3%
BOS 65.1% +12.2%
MIA 52.9%
STL %
6.3%
7.4%
BOS 8.4% +3.1%
MIA 5.3%
BLK %
11.7%
7.4%
BOS 17.4% +12.3%
MIA 5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.9%
55.5%
BOS 61.1% +7.9%
MIA 53.2%
Rim FG%
64.3%
60.5%
BOS 70.8% +2.0%
MIA 68.8%
Mid FG%
45.1%
41.3%
BOS 53.3% +24.7%
MIA 28.6%
3P %
36.4%
38.0%
BOS 40.0% +15.0%
MIA 25.0%
FT %
81.0%
81.3%
BOS 66.7%
MIA 82.1% +15.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
29.9%
BOS 28.6%
MIA 41.0% +12.5%
Mid Att. %
20.4%
31.3%
BOS 17.9% +0.1%
MIA 17.9%
3P Att. %
45.2%
38.8%
BOS 53.6% +12.5%
MIA 41.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points11699
Rebounds3944
Assists2818
Steals85
Blocks82
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)15 (1)
Fouls2418
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)32 (1)
Field Goals43-8434-78
At-the-Rim FG17-2422-32
Midrange FG8-154-14
2-Point FG25-3926-46
3-Point FG18-458-32
Free Throws12-1823-28
Fast Break Pts1810
2nd Chance Pts1517
Points in Paint4046
Pts off Turnovers2714
Bench Points2728
Biggest Lead189

BOXSCORE

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2 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jayson Tatum
#0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25
42.1
33
72%
11
7
1
2
5
3
1
10
1-2
50%
10-13
77%
4-9
44%
Jaylen Brown
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27
37.3
17
50%
4
4
2
0
1
5
0
4
2-5
40%
6-11
55%
1-5
20%
Marcus Smart
#36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 29
35.1
11
50%
3
6
2
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-9
33%
Derrick White
#9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 29
27.4
16
73%
2
2
2
2
1
3
1
1
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
Al Horford
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 37
25.1
12
75%
7
4
0
1
0
5
1
6
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
Grant Williams
#12 · PF · 6'6" 236 · 24
29.2
14
88%
6
2
1
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
Robert Williams III
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26
21.8
7
58%
1
0
0
2
1
4
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
Malcolm Brogdon
#13 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 30
16.6
2
20%
5
3
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
Payton Pritchard
#11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 25
1.1
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Luke Kornet
#40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Sam Hauser
#30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
#57 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Justin Champagnie
#99 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 22
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
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Blake Griffin
#91 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34
DNP – Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari
#8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; ACL Repair
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
116
61%
39
28
8
8
10
24
7
32
12-18
67%
25-39
64%
18-45
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.