FinalWin Prob.pScore
254%106
102
946%105
128
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
103.099111.3
MIA logo MIA
130.69888.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.102
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:07.5CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point cutting dunk (Payton Pritchard assists)102
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:13.1HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)100
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:37.2CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Grant Williams assists)100
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 0:54.4HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)97
0%
128
100%
Q4 - 1:14CelticsLuke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 297
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:14CelticsLuke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 296
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:14HeatOmer Yurtseven personal foul (Luke Kornet draws the foul)95
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:20HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)95
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:22HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound95
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:25CelticsMike Muscala misses regular free throw 2 of 295
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:25CelticsMike Muscala makes regular free throw 1 of 295
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:25HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Mike Muscala draws the foul)94
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:27CelticsMike Muscala offensive rebound94
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:27CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot94
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:28CelticsSam Hauser offensive rebound94
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:31CelticsMike Muscala misses three point jump shot94
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:35CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound94
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:38HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point turnaround hook shot94
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:51CelticsPayton Pritchard turnover (out of bounds bad pass)94
0%
125
100%
Q4 - 1:56HeatNikola Jovic makes two point tip layup94
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound94
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point running alley-oop layup94
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound94
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point driving reverse layup94
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point turnaround hook shot94
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving layup94
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot92
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00CelticsSam Hauser makes regular free throw 2 of 292
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00CelticsSam Hauser makes regular free throw 1 of 291
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Sam Hauser draws the foul)90
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound90
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point turnaround hook shot90
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25CelticsMike Muscala makes regular free throw 2 of 290
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25CelticsMike Muscala makes regular free throw 1 of 289
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Mike Muscala draws the foul)88
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26CelticsMike Muscala offensive rebound88
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27CelticsSam Hauser misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot88
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound88
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:38CelticsMike Muscala misses three point jump shot88
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 3 of 388
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 388
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 388
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 3:47CelticsSam Hauser shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)88
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound88
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06CelticsPayton Pritchard misses regular free throw 1 of 188
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06HeatOmer Yurtseven shooting foul (Payton Pritchard draws the foul)88
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)86
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30CelticsGrant Williams makes three point pullup jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)86
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)83
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound83
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48CelticsLuke Kornet misses two point cutting layup83
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot83
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point driving layup83
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:36HeatCaleb Martin makes three point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)81
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point tip layup81
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58CelticsSam Hauser misses three point pullup jump shot79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:05CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07HeatCody Zeller misses two point cutting finger roll layup79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:24CelticsMike Muscala turnover (out of bounds bad pass)79
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 179
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:36CelticsPayton Pritchard shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)79
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)79
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 6:50CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 6:53HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:12CelticsLuke Kornet makes three point jump shot (Sam Hauser assists)76
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 7:28HeatGabe Vincent makes three point stepback jump shot73
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:55CelticsSam Hauser makes three point running jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)73
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 7:58CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:01HeatSam Hauser blocks Duncan Robinson's two point driving floating jump shot70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:12HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:14CelticsCody Zeller blocks Marcus Smart's two point driving layup70
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:26HeatGabe Vincent makes two point fadeaway jump shot70
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 8:47CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)70
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 8:48HeatHeat defensive rebound70
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 8:49CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot70
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 8:51CelticsSam Hauser offensive rebound70
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 8:53CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point running jump shot70
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 8:56CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound70
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 8:59HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point pullup jump shot70
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 9:11CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)70
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 9:22CelticsLuke Kornet personal foul (Loose ball) (Cody Zeller draws the foul)70
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 9:24HeatHeat defensive rebound70
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 9:25CelticsPayton Pritchard misses two point stepback jump shot70
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 9:29CelticsCeltics offensive rebound70
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 9:31CelticsSam Hauser misses three point jump shot70
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 9:37CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound70
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 9:40HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot70
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 10:03CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 270
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 10:03CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 269
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 10:03HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)68
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 10:11HeatCody Zeller makes two point floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)68
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 10:29CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point alley-oop dunk (Payton Pritchard assists)68
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 10:45CelticsSam Hauser defensive rebound66
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 10:47HeatCody Zeller misses two point floating jump shot66
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 11:04CelticsPayton Pritchard makes regular free throw 1 of 166
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 11:04HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Payton Pritchard draws the foul)65
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 11:06CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound63
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 11:08CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot63
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 11:15CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound63
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 11:17HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot63
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 11:43CelticsGrant Williams turnover (offensive foul)63
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 11:43CelticsGrant Williams offensive foul (Charge) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)63
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.63
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.5CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound63
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q3 - 0:00.5HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot63
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q3 - 0:24.3HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound63
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q3 - 0:27.3CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot63
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q3 - 0:33.6CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound63
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q3 - 0:35.9CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot63
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q3 - 0:42.2HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot63
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q3 - 1:05CelticsDerrick White makes three point pullup jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)63
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q3 - 1:20HeatCody Zeller makes two point turnaround jump shot60
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 1:43CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running dunk (Marcus Smart assists)60
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 1:45CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound58
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 1:48HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot58
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 2:01HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound58
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 2:03CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot58
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 2:14CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound58
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 2:16HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot58
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 2:38CelticsMalcolm Brogdon turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)58
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q3 - 2:49HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)58
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 3:02HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound58
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 3:07CelticsDerrick White misses three point running jump shot58
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 3:10CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound58
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 3:14HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot58
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 3:27CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (out of bounds bad pass)58
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 3:30CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound58
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 3:36HeatCody Zeller misses regular free throw 2 of 258
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 3:36HeatCody Zeller misses regular free throw 1 of 258
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 3:36CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)58
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 3:39HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound58
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 3:41CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot58
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 3:47CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound58
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 3:50HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot58
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 4:20CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point putback layup58
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 4:23CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound56
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 4:23CelticsRobert Williams III misses two point tip layup56
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 4:23CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound56
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 4:24CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving floating jump shot56
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q3 - 4:44HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 256
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q3 - 4:44HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 256
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 4:44CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)56
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 5:00HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound56
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 5:03CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot56
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q3 - 5:17HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 256
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q3 - 5:17HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 256
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q3 - 5:17CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)56
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q3 - 5:17HeatHeat offensive rebound56
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 5:20HeatGabe Vincent misses three point running pullup jump shot56
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q3 - 5:23HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound56
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 5:23CelticsGabe Vincent blocks Robert Williams III's two point layup56
1.2%
85
98.8%
Q3 - 5:39HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)56
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q3 - 5:54HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound56
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 5:57CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point running pullup jump shot56
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 6:01CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound56
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q3 - 6:04HeatMax Strus misses three point fadeaway jump shot56
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 6:28HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound56
1.7%
83
98.3%
Q3 - 6:30CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point pullup jump shot56
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q3 - 6:41HeatMax Strus makes two point running finger roll layup (Caleb Martin assists)56
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 6:44CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)56
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q3 - 6:51HeatCaleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)56
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 7:04HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound56
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q3 - 7:07CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Jayson Tatum's two point driving floating jump shot56
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q3 - 7:13CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound56
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q3 - 7:16HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot56
4.0%
79
96.0%
Q3 - 7:37CelticsGrant Williams makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)56
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q3 - 7:58HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 254
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q3 - 7:58HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 254
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 7:58CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)54
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q3 - 8:07CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)54
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q3 - 8:10HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound54
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q3 - 8:13CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot54
4.1%
77
95.9%
Q3 - 8:31HeatGabe Vincent makes three point stepback jump shot54
4.5%
77
95.5%
Q3 - 8:47CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point floating jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)54
5.8%
74
94.2%
Q3 - 8:59CelticsJayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 152
5.2%
74
94.8%
Q3 - 8:59HeatMax Strus technical foul51
5.0%
74
95.0%
Q3 - 8:59HeatGabe Vincent makes three point running pullup jump shot51
4.5%
74
95.5%
Q3 - 9:02HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound51
6.3%
71
93.7%
Q3 - 9:05CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point alley-oop layup51
6.6%
71
93.4%
Q3 - 9:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Max Strus assists)51
7.3%
71
92.7%
Q3 - 9:28CelticsAl Horford turnover (offensive foul)51
8.2%
69
91.8%
Q3 - 9:28CelticsAl Horford offensive foul (Off the ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)51
9.4%
69
90.6%
Q3 - 9:39HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)51
9.4%
69
90.6%
Q3 - 9:39HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Grant Williams draws the foul)51
8.1%
69
91.9%
Q3 - 9:58CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)51
8.1%
69
91.9%
Q3 - 9:59HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound51
8.1%
69
91.9%
Q3 - 10:00CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot51
8.5%
69
91.5%
Q3 - 10:14HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)51
10.1%
69
89.9%
Q3 - 10:37CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup51
12.6%
66
87.4%
Q3 - 10:49HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 149
11.3%
66
88.7%
Q3 - 10:49CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)49
11.5%
65
88.5%
Q3 - 11:08HeatHeat defensive rebound49
14.7%
63
85.3%
Q3 - 11:10CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot49
15.3%
63
84.7%
Q3 - 11:16HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving finger roll layup49
16.6%
63
83.4%
Q3 - 11:30CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 149
18.3%
61
81.7%
Q3 - 11:30HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)48
18.0%
61
82.0%
Q3 - 11:32CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound46
14.8%
61
85.2%
Q3 - 11:33CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot46
13.6%
61
86.4%
Q3 - 11:45HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)46
14.8%
61
85.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.46
13.1%
61
86.9%
Q2 - 0:00.1CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound46
15.6%
61
84.4%
Q2 - 0:00.2HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot46
15.1%
61
84.9%
Q2 - 0:04.2HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
14.2%
61
85.8%
Q2 - 0:08.5CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot46
14.6%
61
85.4%
Q2 - 0:22.8CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound46
15.5%
61
84.5%
Q2 - 0:24.7HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot46
15.1%
61
84.9%
Q2 - 0:35.4CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)46
14.1%
61
85.9%
Q2 - 0:40.6CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound44
12.4%
61
87.6%
Q2 - 0:43.1HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot44
12.0%
61
88.0%
Q2 - 1:04HeatMax Strus defensive rebound44
12.2%
61
87.8%
Q2 - 1:07CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot44
12.5%
61
87.5%
Q2 - 1:17HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)44
13.2%
61
86.8%
Q2 - 1:23CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound44
13.2%
61
86.8%
Q2 - 1:30HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 144
13.1%
61
86.9%
Q2 - 1:30CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)44
12.0%
61
88.0%
Q2 - 1:36HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound44
15.1%
59
84.9%
Q2 - 1:36CelticsCody Zeller blocks Derrick White's two point running layup44
15.5%
59
84.5%
Q2 - 1:41CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound44
16.3%
59
83.7%
Q2 - 1:44HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot44
15.9%
59
84.1%
Q2 - 2:03CelticsGrant Williams makes two point tip layup44
15.7%
59
84.3%
Q2 - 2:04CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound42
14.3%
59
85.7%
Q2 - 2:05CelticsDerrick White misses two point running finger roll layup42
13.3%
59
86.7%
Q2 - 2:11HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)42
14.3%
59
85.7%
Q2 - 2:16HeatMax Strus defensive rebound42
12.8%
59
87.2%
Q2 - 2:18CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point putback layup42
13.2%
59
86.8%
Q2 - 2:19CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound42
14.3%
59
85.7%
Q2 - 2:23CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point stepback jump shot42
13.2%
59
86.8%
Q2 - 2:45CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound42
14.2%
59
85.8%
Q2 - 2:48HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot42
13.8%
59
86.2%
Q2 - 3:10CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)42
13.7%
59
86.3%
Q2 - 3:17CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound39
11.4%
59
88.6%
Q2 - 3:20HeatDerrick White blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving floating jump shot39
10.9%
59
89.1%
Q2 - 3:42CelticsGrant Williams makes two point driving layup (Marcus Smart assists)39
10.0%
59
90.0%
Q2 - 3:59HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)37
9.2%
59
90.8%
Q2 - 4:14CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup37
12.0%
56
88.0%
Q2 - 4:27CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound35
10.8%
56
89.2%
Q2 - 4:29HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot35
10.5%
56
89.5%
Q2 - 4:45HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound35
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q2 - 4:49CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot35
10.1%
56
89.9%
Q2 - 4:59HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)35
10.8%
56
89.2%
Q2 - 5:06HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup35
11.4%
56
88.6%
Q2 - 5:23HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 135
12.3%
54
87.7%
Q2 - 5:23CelticsMarcus Smart technical foul35
12.6%
53
87.4%
Q2 - 5:23CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point putback layup35
13.5%
53
86.5%
Q2 - 5:25CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound33
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q2 - 5:25CelticsRobert Williams III misses two point tip layup33
11.5%
53
88.5%
Q2 - 5:26CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound33
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q2 - 5:27CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving finger roll layup33
11.5%
53
88.5%
Q2 - 5:41HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 233
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q2 - 5:41HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 233
12.7%
52
87.3%
Q2 - 5:41CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)33
12.9%
51
87.1%
Q2 - 5:50CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)33
13.5%
51
86.5%
Q2 - 5:56CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (offensive foul)33
13.5%
51
86.5%
Q2 - 5:56CelticsMarcus Smart offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)33
15.1%
51
84.9%
Q2 - 5:56CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound33
15.1%
51
84.9%
Q2 - 5:58HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot33
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q2 - 6:02HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound33
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q2 - 6:05CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point pullup jump shot33
14.7%
51
85.3%
Q2 - 6:29HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)33
15.8%
51
84.2%
Q2 - 6:35CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)33
18.5%
48
81.5%
Q2 - 6:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)33
20.6%
48
79.4%
Q2 - 7:09HeatHeat defensive rebound33
22.8%
46
77.2%
Q2 - 7:09CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point tip layup33
23.4%
46
76.6%
Q2 - 7:09CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound33
24.9%
46
75.1%
Q2 - 7:12CelticsMarcus Smart misses regular free throw 2 of 233
23.1%
46
76.9%
Q2 - 7:12CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 233
24.4%
46
75.6%
Q2 - 7:12HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)32
23.9%
46
76.1%
Q2 - 7:20HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)32
23.0%
46
77.0%
Q2 - 7:37HeatHeat defensive rebound32
26.7%
43
73.3%
Q2 - 7:39CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point stepback jump shot32
27.4%
43
72.6%
Q2 - 7:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)32
29.0%
43
71.0%
Q2 - 8:07CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point tip layup32
31.3%
41
68.7%
Q2 - 8:08CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound30
29.3%
41
70.7%
Q2 - 8:09CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating bank jump shot30
27.7%
41
72.3%
Q2 - 8:24HeatKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot30
29.2%
41
70.8%
Q2 - 8:35CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)30
31.3%
39
68.7%
Q2 - 8:53HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)27
27.1%
39
72.9%
Q2 - 9:04HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound27
31.5%
36
68.5%
Q2 - 9:06CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot27
32.2%
36
67.8%
Q2 - 9:22HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot27
33.8%
36
66.2%
Q2 - 9:43CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup (Derrick White assists)27
36.0%
34
64.0%
Q2 - 9:51CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound25
33.8%
34
66.2%
Q2 - 9:54HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot25
33.1%
34
66.9%
Q2 - 10:14HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
32.0%
34
68.0%
Q2 - 10:16CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot25
32.7%
34
67.3%
Q2 - 10:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)25
34.3%
34
65.7%
Q2 - 10:41CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)25
36.5%
32
63.5%
Q2 - 10:53HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)22
32.1%
32
67.9%
Q2 - 11:06HeatGabe Vincent turnover (traveling)22
32.9%
32
67.1%
Q2 - 11:20HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound22
30.8%
32
69.2%
Q2 - 11:22CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point pullup bank jump shot22
31.4%
32
68.6%
Q2 - 11:37HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup22
32.8%
32
67.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.22
35.0%
30
65.0%
Q1 - 0:00.3CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound22
37.4%
30
62.6%
Q1 - 0:00.7HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot22
36.8%
30
63.2%
Q1 - 0:12.9HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound22
35.4%
30
64.6%
Q1 - 0:15.1CelticsRobert Williams III misses regular free throw 1 of 122
35.7%
30
64.3%
Q1 - 0:15.1HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)22
37.0%
30
63.0%
Q1 - 0:31.5HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running finger roll layup (Kyle Lowry assists)20
33.1%
30
66.9%
Q1 - 0:34.5CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)20
35.4%
28
64.6%
Q1 - 0:42.8HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)20
37.4%
28
62.6%
Q1 - 0:54.6HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound20
42.1%
25
57.9%
Q1 - 0:57.7CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot20
42.7%
25
57.3%
Q1 - 1:05HeatMax Strus personal foul (Loose ball) (Robert Williams III draws the foul)20
44.5%
25
55.5%
Q1 - 1:05CelticsCeltics offensive rebound20
44.5%
25
55.5%
Q1 - 1:05CelticsGrant Williams misses two point turnaround jump shot20
43.0%
25
57.0%
Q1 - 1:29HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 220
44.4%
25
55.6%
Q1 - 1:29HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 220
44.7%
24
55.3%
Q1 - 1:29CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Loose ball) (Max Strus draws the foul)20
45.1%
23
54.9%
Q1 - 1:29HeatHeat defensive rebound20
46.9%
23
53.1%
Q1 - 1:30CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot20
47.6%
23
52.4%
Q1 - 1:30CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound20
49.0%
23
51.0%
Q1 - 1:33CelticsRobert Williams III misses two point turnaround hook shot20
47.6%
23
52.4%
Q1 - 1:34CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound20
49.0%
23
51.0%
Q1 - 1:39CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot20
47.6%
23
52.4%
Q1 - 1:52HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving floating jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)20
49.0%
23
51.0%
Q1 - 2:14CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)20
51.6%
21
48.4%
Q1 - 2:32CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound18
49.4%
21
50.6%
Q1 - 2:35HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot18
48.7%
21
51.3%
Q1 - 3:01CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)18
46.9%
21
53.1%
Q1 - 3:04CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)18
46.9%
21
53.1%
Q1 - 3:07CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound18
49.6%
21
50.4%
Q1 - 3:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot18
48.7%
21
51.3%
Q1 - 3:37CelticsAl Horford makes two point turnaround hook shot (Grant Williams assists)18
46.9%
21
53.1%
Q1 - 3:53HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)16
45.2%
21
54.8%
Q1 - 4:01HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound16
43.3%
21
56.7%
Q1 - 4:04CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point pullup jump shot16
44.0%
21
56.0%
Q1 - 4:21HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)16
45.6%
21
54.4%
Q1 - 4:27HeatMax Strus defensive rebound16
49.5%
18
50.5%
Q1 - 4:29CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup16
50.3%
18
49.7%
Q1 - 4:39CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound16
52.0%
18
48.0%
Q1 - 4:42HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 216
51.6%
18
48.4%
Q1 - 4:42HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 216
50.2%
18
49.8%
Q1 - 4:42CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)16
50.7%
17
49.3%
Q1 - 4:47CelticsDerrick White turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)16
51.6%
17
48.4%
Q1 - 4:49CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound16
54.1%
17
45.9%
Q1 - 4:50CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot16
52.4%
17
47.6%
Q1 - 5:04HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)16
54.2%
17
45.8%
Q1 - 5:21CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)16
58.0%
14
42.0%
Q1 - 5:28CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (offensive foul)16
58.0%
14
42.0%
Q1 - 5:28CelticsRobert Williams III offensive foul (Off the ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)16
60.2%
14
39.8%
Q1 - 5:36HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)16
60.2%
14
39.8%
Q1 - 5:36HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)16
58.0%
14
42.0%
Q1 - 5:48CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)16
58.0%
14
42.0%
Q1 - 6:00HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating bank jump shot14
56.2%
14
43.8%
Q1 - 6:12CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)14
58.1%
12
41.9%
Q1 - 6:30HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)12
56.2%
12
43.8%
Q1 - 6:49CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds lost ball)12
60.0%
9
40.0%
Q1 - 6:52CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound12
62.0%
9
38.0%
Q1 - 6:55HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot12
61.4%
9
38.6%
Q1 - 7:03CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)12
60.0%
9
40.0%
Q1 - 7:17CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)12
60.1%
9
39.9%
Q1 - 7:26CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound12
62.1%
9
37.9%
Q1 - 7:29HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot12
61.5%
9
38.5%
Q1 - 7:39HeatKevin Love defensive rebound12
60.1%
9
39.9%
Q1 - 7:41CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup bank jump shot12
60.7%
9
39.3%
Q1 - 7:47CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound12
62.1%
9
37.9%
Q1 - 7:49HeatDerrick White blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving floating jump shot12
61.5%
9
38.5%
Q1 - 8:14CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)12
60.2%
9
39.8%
Q1 - 8:26HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot9
56.7%
9
43.3%
Q1 - 8:55CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround jump shot9
58.3%
7
41.7%
Q1 - 9:04CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound7
56.5%
7
43.5%
Q1 - 9:09HeatKevin Love misses two point jump shot7
55.9%
7
44.1%
Q1 - 9:31CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running dunk (Derrick White assists)7
54.5%
7
45.5%
Q1 - 9:35HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Jayson Tatum steals)5
52.8%
7
47.2%
Q1 - 9:52CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running layup5
50.7%
7
49.3%
Q1 - 9:57CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound3
49.0%
7
51.0%
Q1 - 10:00HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot3
48.4%
7
51.6%
Q1 - 10:18HeatKevin Love defensive rebound3
47.1%
7
52.9%
Q1 - 10:18CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot3
47.7%
7
52.3%
Q1 - 10:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup3
49.1%
7
50.9%
Q1 - 10:50CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)3
50.7%
5
49.3%
Q1 - 11:07HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)0
47.5%
5
52.5%
Q1 - 11:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
50.8%
2
49.2%
Q1 - 11:18CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point tip layup0
51.4%
2
48.6%
Q1 - 11:18CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound0
52.8%
2
47.2%
Q1 - 11:20CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot0
51.4%
2
48.6%
Q1 - 11:28HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)0
52.8%
2
47.2%
Q1 - 11:41HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
54.4%
0
45.6%
Q1 - 11:42CelticsDerrick White misses two point driving layup0
55.0%
0
45.0%
Q1 - 12:00Al Horford vs. Bam Adebayo (Derrick White gains possession)0
56.4%
0
43.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.95 47.7%
MIA
1.41 70.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
20
37
54%
MIA
15
17
88%
Midrange
BOS
8
19
42%
MIA
12
29
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
11
16.5
42
26%
39%
MIA
19
28.5
35
54%
81%
Free Throws
BOS
13
17
76%
MIA
17
21
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum1439%7.0 / 18
J. Brown1235%6.0 / 17
G. Williams1286%6.0 / 7
P. Pritchard1275%6.0 / 8
L. Kornet1192%5.5 / 6
D. White950%4.5 / 9
M. Smart840%4.0 / 10
A. Horford867%4.0 / 6
R. Williams850%4.0 / 8
S. Hauser550%2.5 / 5
M. Muscala338%1.5 / 4
M. Brogdon0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Vincent29104%14.5 / 14
D. Robinson2292%11.0 / 12
C. Martin1882%9.0 / 11
J. Butler1653%8.0 / 15
B. Adebayo1381%6.5 / 8
M. Strus1050%5.0 / 10
K. Lowry758%3.5 / 6
K. Love583%2.5 / 3
C. Zeller440%2.0 / 5
O. Yurtseven225%1.0 / 4
N. Jović2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
84
+23
-15
107
MIA
89
+2
-9
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
0.95 47.7%
MIA
1.41 70.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.6
114.3
BOS 103.0
MIA 130.6 +27.6
Pace
95.5
94.4
BOS 111.3 +23.0
MIA 88.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.5
BOS 12.9 +3.4
MIA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.0%
53.1%
BOS 45.4%
MIA 68.5% +23.1%
TO %
12.6%
11.6%
BOS 12.5%
MIA 10.0% +2.5%
ORB %
23.1%
21.7%
BOS 38.2% +35.5%
MIA 2.7%
FTrt
23.3
22.8
BOS 17.3
MIA 25.9 +8.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.1%
59.3%
BOS 64.1% +9.8%
MIA 54.3%
STL %
6.3%
7.4%
BOS 3.0%
MIA 7.1% +4.1%
BLK %
11.7%
7.4%
BOS 6.5%
MIA 7.1% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.9%
55.5%
BOS 47.7%
MIA 70.3% +22.6%
Rim FG%
64.3%
60.5%
BOS 54.1%
MIA 88.2% +34.1%
Mid FG%
45.1%
41.3%
BOS 42.1% +0.7%
MIA 41.4%
3P %
36.4%
38.0%
BOS 26.2%
MIA 54.3% +28.1%
FT %
81.0%
81.3%
BOS 76.5%
MIA 81.0% +4.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
29.9%
BOS 37.8% +16.8%
MIA 21.0%
Mid Att. %
20.4%
31.3%
BOS 19.4% +16.4%
MIA 35.8%
3P Att. %
45.2%
38.8%
BOS 42.9%
MIA 43.2% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9998
Possession Minutes21.426.6
Points102128
Rebounds5735
Assists2525
Steals37
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)9 (1)
Fouls2416
Off. Rebounds (Team)21 (2)1 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (0)34 (6)
Field Goals39-9846-81
At-the-Rim FG20-3715-17
Midrange FG8-1912-29
2-Point FG28-5627-46
3-Point FG11-4219-35
Free Throws13-1717-21
Fast Break Pts1313
2nd Chance Pts194
Points in Paint5242
Pts off Turnovers1618
Bench Points5155
Biggest Lead333

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25
33.5
14
39%
10
2
2
0
3
2
2
8
1-1
100%
5-11
45%
1-7
14%
#36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 29
30.4
8
40%
9
8
0
0
2
3
2
7
4-5
80%
2-5
40%
0-3
0%
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27
28.0
12
35%
6
2
0
0
3
3
2
4
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-7
0%
#9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 29
26.1
9
50%
4
2
1
2
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
3-6
50%
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 37
18.9
8
67%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
#12 · PF · 6'6" 236 · 24
28.7
12
86%
3
2
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
#13 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 30
18.1
0
0%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-3
0%
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26
12.6
8
50%
8
0
0
0
1
4
6
2
0-1
0%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
#11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 25
12.0
12
75%
2
5
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
1-2
50%
#40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28
12.0
11
92%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
#30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25
12.0
5
50%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
#57 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
7.7
3
38%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
3-4
75%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#91 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34
DNP – Coach's Decision
#99 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 22
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; ACL Repair
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
48%
57
25
3
3
15
24
21
36
13-17
76%
28-56
50%
11-42
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.