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All Games Friday, May 19, 2023
FinalWin Prob.pScore
9
Heat
27%101
111
2
Celtics
73%110
105
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
115.69692.6
BOS logo BOS
109.49699.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.111
100%
105
0%
Q4 - 0:01.9CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot111
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.4HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 2111
99.7%
105
0.3%
Q4 - 0:08.4HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
99.7%
105
0.3%
Q4 - 0:08.4CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Take) (Max Strus draws the foul)109
99.6%
105
0.4%
Q4 - 0:10.6HeatMax Strus defensive rebound109
99.2%
105
0.8%
Q4 - 0:12.6CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot109
98.4%
105
1.6%
Q4 - 0:19.3HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
95.3%
105
4.7%
Q4 - 0:19.3HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
94.8%
105
5.2%
Q4 - 0:19.3CelticsMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (Take) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)107
94.1%
105
5.9%
Q4 - 0:21.6CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
87.5%
105
12.5%
Q4 - 0:21.6CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
88.7%
104
11.3%
Q4 - 0:21.6HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)107
90.0%
103
10.0%
Q4 - 0:35.7HeatGabe Vincent makes two point stepback jump shot107
92.0%
103
8.0%
Q4 - 0:49.3CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 3 of 3105
78.6%
103
21.4%
Q4 - 0:49.3CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 3105
80.0%
102
20.0%
Q4 - 0:49.3CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 3105
81.6%
101
18.4%
Q4 - 0:49.3HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)105
83.0%
100
17.0%
Q4 - 0:55.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk105
91.3%
100
8.7%
Q4 - 0:55.1HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound103
86.0%
100
14.0%
Q4 - 0:56.5HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot103
78.9%
100
21.1%
Q4 - 1:12HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound103
82.5%
100
17.5%
Q4 - 1:14HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot103
74.4%
100
25.6%
Q4 - 1:18HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound103
81.3%
100
18.7%
Q4 - 1:20HeatMalcolm Brogdon blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup103
73.2%
100
26.8%
Q4 - 1:38CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)103
77.6%
100
22.4%
Q4 - 1:38CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Charge) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)103
66.5%
100
33.5%
Q4 - 1:53CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound103
65.6%
100
34.4%
Q4 - 1:54HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot103
69.3%
100
30.7%
Q4 - 2:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound103
78.1%
100
21.9%
Q4 - 2:14CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot103
74.4%
100
25.6%
Q4 - 2:19HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
64.3%
100
35.7%
Q4 - 2:19HeatMax Strus misses regular free throw 1 of 2102
62.9%
100
37.1%
Q4 - 2:19CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Loose ball) (Max Strus draws the foul)102
71.8%
100
28.2%
Q4 - 2:19HeatHeat defensive rebound102
69.0%
100
31.0%
Q4 - 2:20CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot102
64.3%
100
35.7%
Q4 - 2:33HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot102
52.6%
100
47.4%
Q4 - 2:47CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)100
46.3%
100
53.7%
Q4 - 2:58HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot100
31.1%
100
68.9%
Q4 - 3:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound98
25.3%
100
74.7%
Q4 - 3:10CelticsGrant Williams misses two point turnaround jump shot98
22.0%
100
78.0%
Q4 - 3:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 298
19.0%
100
81.0%
Q4 - 3:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 297
17.9%
100
82.1%
Q4 - 3:33CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)96
16.8%
100
83.2%
Q4 - 3:52CelticsGrant Williams makes two point cutting dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)96
14.2%
100
85.8%
Q4 - 4:06HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)96
18.7%
98
81.3%
Q4 - 4:06HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)96
25.3%
98
74.7%
Q4 - 4:11HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound96
25.3%
98
74.7%
Q4 - 4:13CelticsCaleb Martin blocks Jaylen Brown's two point putback layup96
23.1%
98
76.9%
Q4 - 4:16CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound96
18.6%
98
81.4%
Q4 - 4:17CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot96
23.1%
98
76.9%
Q4 - 4:36HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)96
18.6%
98
81.4%
Q4 - 4:46CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (traveling)94
13.9%
98
86.1%
Q4 - 4:57HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 294
9.8%
98
90.2%
Q4 - 4:57HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 293
9.2%
98
90.8%
Q4 - 4:57CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)92
8.5%
98
91.5%
Q4 - 5:15CelticsGrant Williams makes two point driving layup92
8.6%
98
91.4%
Q4 - 5:44HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot92
11.2%
96
88.8%
Q4 - 6:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound90
9.9%
96
90.1%
Q4 - 6:08CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot90
9.0%
96
91.0%
Q4 - 6:22HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 190
7.1%
96
92.9%
Q4 - 6:22CelticsGrant Williams technical foul (Double)89
7.5%
96
92.5%
Q4 - 6:22HeatJimmy Butler technical foul (Double)89
7.5%
96
92.5%
Q4 - 6:22CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)89
6.9%
96
93.1%
Q4 - 6:37CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)87
4.3%
96
95.7%
Q4 - 6:50CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound87
7.1%
93
92.9%
Q4 - 6:51HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot87
7.8%
93
92.2%
Q4 - 7:06CelticsMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)87
10.6%
93
89.4%
Q4 - 7:06HeatHeat offensive rebound87
10.6%
93
89.4%
Q4 - 7:08HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot87
8.7%
93
91.3%
Q4 - 7:14CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)87
10.6%
93
89.4%
Q4 - 7:14HeatHeat offensive rebound87
10.6%
93
89.4%
Q4 - 7:15HeatKyle Lowry misses three point running jump shot87
8.7%
93
91.3%
Q4 - 7:20HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound87
10.6%
93
89.4%
Q4 - 7:22CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving floating jump shot87
9.7%
93
90.3%
Q4 - 7:41HeatKyle Lowry turnover (traveling)87
7.9%
93
92.1%
Q4 - 7:53HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound87
10.5%
93
89.5%
Q4 - 7:54HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot87
8.6%
93
91.4%
Q4 - 8:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
10.5%
93
89.5%
Q4 - 8:02CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point running pullup jump shot87
10.3%
93
89.7%
Q4 - 8:08CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound87
8.7%
93
91.3%
Q4 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot87
9.4%
93
90.6%
Q4 - 8:23CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point driving layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)87
11.0%
93
89.0%
Q4 - 8:40HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)87
13.5%
91
86.5%
Q4 - 8:47CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)84
8.8%
91
91.2%
Q4 - 8:53HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound84
8.8%
91
91.2%
Q4 - 8:55CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot84
8.1%
91
91.9%
Q4 - 9:07HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving bank hook shot84
7.4%
91
92.6%
Q4 - 9:28CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)82
6.0%
91
94.0%
Q4 - 9:48HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)82
7.3%
89
92.7%
Q4 - 9:57CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)79
4.8%
89
95.2%
Q4 - 10:17HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)79
4.4%
89
95.6%
Q4 - 10:35CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point cutting dunk (Grant Williams assists)77
3.6%
89
96.4%
Q4 - 10:45CelticsCeltics defensive rebound77
4.3%
87
95.7%
Q4 - 10:54HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup77
4.6%
87
95.4%
Q4 - 11:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound77
6.0%
87
94.0%
Q4 - 11:13CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 277
5.8%
87
94.2%
Q4 - 11:13CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 277
5.2%
87
94.8%
Q4 - 11:13HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)77
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 11:27HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)77
6.0%
86
94.0%
Q4 - 11:36CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)75
4.9%
86
95.1%
Q4 - 11:44CelticsRobert Williams III makes regular free throw 1 of 175
4.9%
86
95.1%
Q4 - 11:44HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)75
5.2%
85
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.75
7.2%
83
92.8%
Q3 - 0:01.3CelticsCeltics offensive rebound75
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q3 - 0:01.3CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot75
8.8%
83
91.2%
Q3 - 0:08.9CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound75
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q3 - 0:10.0HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot75
8.2%
83
91.8%
Q3 - 0:28.5CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 275
9.3%
83
90.7%
Q3 - 0:28.5CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 275
9.5%
82
90.5%
Q3 - 0:28.5HeatMax Strus personal foul (Loose ball) (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)75
9.7%
81
90.3%
Q3 - 0:28.5CelticsCeltics offensive rebound75
11.1%
81
88.9%
Q3 - 0:29.9CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot75
12.5%
81
87.5%
Q3 - 0:53.3HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)75
11.1%
81
88.9%
Q3 - 1:16CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point running layup73
9.8%
81
90.2%
Q3 - 1:21CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound73
11.5%
79
88.5%
Q3 - 1:23HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot73
12.1%
79
87.9%
Q3 - 1:41CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)73
13.6%
79
86.4%
Q3 - 1:58HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)73
11.5%
79
88.5%
Q3 - 2:03CelticsMalcolm Brogdon turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)71
10.3%
79
89.7%
Q3 - 2:14HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)71
8.7%
79
91.3%
Q3 - 2:19HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound68
6.3%
79
93.7%
Q3 - 2:20HeatRobert Williams III blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving floating jump shot68
5.6%
79
94.4%
Q3 - 2:39CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)68
6.3%
79
93.7%
Q3 - 2:48HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)68
8.7%
76
91.3%
Q3 - 3:00CelticsRobert Williams III makes regular free throw 2 of 268
10.3%
76
89.7%
Q3 - 3:00CelticsRobert Williams III makes regular free throw 1 of 268
10.7%
75
89.3%
Q3 - 3:00HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)68
11.3%
74
88.7%
Q3 - 3:12CelticsCeltics defensive rebound68
12.4%
74
87.6%
Q3 - 3:12HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup68
13.0%
74
87.0%
Q3 - 3:32HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound68
14.7%
74
85.3%
Q3 - 3:32CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 3 of 368
14.3%
74
85.7%
Q3 - 3:32CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 368
12.9%
74
87.1%
Q3 - 3:32CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 368
13.2%
73
86.8%
Q3 - 3:32HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)68
13.5%
72
86.5%
Q3 - 3:36CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound68
16.5%
72
83.5%
Q3 - 3:38HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot68
17.4%
72
82.6%
Q3 - 3:54CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point stepback jump shot68
19.4%
72
80.6%
Q3 - 4:18HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)68
24.6%
69
75.4%
Q3 - 4:33CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point putback layup66
22.2%
69
77.8%
Q3 - 4:34CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound66
24.6%
67
75.4%
Q3 - 4:35CelticsKyle Lowry blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving layup66
27.2%
67
72.8%
Q3 - 4:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)66
24.6%
67
75.4%
Q3 - 4:52CelticsMalcolm Brogdon turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)64
22.2%
67
77.8%
Q3 - 5:10HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup64
19.4%
67
80.6%
Q3 - 5:28CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)62
17.2%
67
82.8%
Q3 - 5:41CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point pullup jump shot62
17.2%
67
82.8%
Q3 - 5:45CelticsCeltics offensive rebound62
19.4%
65
80.6%
Q3 - 5:46CelticsJimmy Butler blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving layup62
21.3%
65
78.7%
Q3 - 5:51HeatKevin Love personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)62
19.3%
65
80.7%
Q3 - 6:03CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound62
19.3%
65
80.7%
Q3 - 6:04HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot62
20.0%
65
80.0%
Q3 - 6:17CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving floating bank jump shot62
21.9%
65
78.1%
Q3 - 6:26HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)62
24.5%
63
75.5%
Q3 - 6:26HeatHeat offensive rebound62
27.6%
63
72.4%
Q3 - 6:27HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot62
25.4%
63
74.6%
Q3 - 6:50CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 262
27.6%
63
72.4%
Q3 - 6:50CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 262
28.0%
62
72.0%
Q3 - 6:50HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)62
28.5%
61
71.5%
Q3 - 7:04HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot (Kevin Love assists)62
30.0%
61
70.0%
Q3 - 7:17CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving dunk (Jaylen Brown assists)60
27.4%
61
72.6%
Q3 - 7:25CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound60
30.0%
59
70.0%
Q3 - 7:27HeatAl Horford blocks Gabe Vincent's two point layup60
31.1%
59
68.9%
Q3 - 7:42CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point cutting layup (Jaylen Brown assists)60
33.6%
59
66.4%
Q3 - 7:48CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound60
36.5%
57
63.5%
Q3 - 7:51HeatKevin Love misses two point fadeaway jump shot60
37.7%
57
62.3%
Q3 - 8:09CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving layup60
39.7%
57
60.3%
Q3 - 8:19HeatKevin Love turnover (offensive foul)60
42.5%
55
57.5%
Q3 - 8:19HeatKevin Love offensive foul (Derrick White draws the foul)60
46.7%
55
53.3%
Q3 - 8:35HeatKevin Love defensive rebound60
46.8%
55
53.2%
Q3 - 8:37CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point stepback jump shot60
45.5%
55
54.5%
Q3 - 8:58HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot60
42.6%
55
57.4%
Q3 - 9:18CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running layup (Marcus Smart assists)58
38.9%
55
61.1%
Q3 - 9:23CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound58
41.8%
53
58.2%
Q3 - 9:25HeatDerrick White blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup58
43.0%
53
57.0%
Q3 - 9:36HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound58
45.7%
53
54.3%
Q3 - 9:37CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot58
44.5%
53
55.5%
Q3 - 9:44CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound58
41.8%
53
58.2%
Q3 - 9:46HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot58
43.0%
53
57.0%
Q3 - 10:09HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound58
44.6%
53
55.4%
Q3 - 10:11CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot58
43.5%
53
56.5%
Q3 - 10:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)58
40.9%
53
59.1%
Q3 - 10:52CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)56
38.2%
53
61.8%
Q3 - 11:03CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound56
43.2%
50
56.8%
Q3 - 11:04HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot56
44.3%
50
55.7%
Q3 - 11:19CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)56
46.7%
50
53.3%
Q3 - 11:38HeatMax Strus makes two point driving layup56
43.3%
50
56.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.54
40.3%
50
59.7%
Q2 - 0:00.2CelticsCeltics offensive rebound54
36.5%
50
63.5%
Q2 - 0:00.2CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point turnaround jump shot54
38.2%
50
61.8%
Q2 - 0:05.8HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot54
36.5%
50
63.5%
Q2 - 0:29.6HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound52
33.2%
50
66.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot52
32.4%
50
67.6%
Q2 - 0:35.4HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot52
30.8%
50
69.2%
Q2 - 0:42.5CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 249
25.3%
50
74.7%
Q2 - 0:42.5CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 249
25.8%
49
74.2%
Q2 - 0:42.5HeatCody Zeller shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)49
26.3%
48
73.7%
Q2 - 0:51.3CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound49
28.2%
48
71.8%
Q2 - 0:53.1HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot49
28.8%
48
71.2%
Q2 - 1:11CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)49
30.0%
48
70.0%
Q2 - 1:17CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound49
28.1%
48
71.9%
Q2 - 1:19HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot49
28.7%
48
71.3%
Q2 - 1:43CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 249
30.0%
48
70.0%
Q2 - 1:43CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 249
30.3%
47
69.7%
Q2 - 1:43HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)49
30.7%
46
69.3%
Q2 - 1:46CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound49
33.4%
46
66.6%
Q2 - 1:51HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot49
34.0%
46
66.0%
Q2 - 2:02HeatCody Zeller offensive rebound49
35.3%
46
64.7%
Q2 - 2:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating bank jump shot49
33.2%
46
66.8%
Q2 - 2:14CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)49
35.3%
46
64.7%
Q2 - 2:24HeatCaleb Martin turnover (traveling)49
32.4%
46
67.6%
Q2 - 2:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound49
35.3%
46
64.7%
Q2 - 2:28CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point layup49
34.4%
46
65.6%
Q2 - 2:46HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)49
32.5%
46
67.5%
Q2 - 2:58HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound49
35.3%
46
64.7%
Q2 - 3:00CelticsJimmy Butler blocks Malcolm Brogdon's three point jump shot49
34.4%
46
65.6%
Q2 - 3:15HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 249
31.7%
46
68.3%
Q2 - 3:15HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 248
31.3%
46
68.7%
Q2 - 3:15CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)47
30.9%
46
69.1%
Q2 - 3:36CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving dunk (Al Horford assists)47
29.7%
46
70.3%
Q2 - 3:45CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound47
31.7%
44
68.3%
Q2 - 3:47HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot47
32.6%
44
67.4%
Q2 - 4:06CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup (Al Horford assists)47
33.8%
44
66.2%
Q2 - 4:19CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound47
36.3%
42
63.7%
Q2 - 4:20HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot47
37.1%
42
62.9%
Q2 - 4:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound47
39.0%
42
61.0%
Q2 - 4:37CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point tip layup47
38.2%
42
61.8%
Q2 - 4:37CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound47
36.3%
42
63.7%
Q2 - 4:39CelticsAl Horford misses two point driving bank hook shot47
38.2%
42
61.8%
Q2 - 4:57HeatCaleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)47
36.3%
42
63.7%
Q2 - 5:10CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)45
33.5%
42
66.5%
Q2 - 5:16HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)45
30.6%
42
69.4%
Q2 - 5:32HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound42
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 5:33CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot42
25.8%
42
74.2%
Q2 - 5:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)42
24.1%
42
75.9%
Q2 - 6:02CelticsDerrick White turnover (out of bounds lost ball)40
22.4%
42
77.6%
Q2 - 6:09HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup40
20.2%
42
79.8%
Q2 - 6:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound38
18.9%
42
81.1%
Q2 - 6:26CelticsRobert Williams III misses regular free throw 1 of 138
18.6%
42
81.4%
Q2 - 6:26HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)38
17.7%
42
82.3%
Q2 - 6:46HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)38
20.2%
40
79.8%
Q2 - 6:56HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound35
17.3%
40
82.7%
Q2 - 6:57CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot35
16.7%
40
83.3%
Q2 - 7:14HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving reverse layup (Duncan Robinson assists)35
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 7:24HeatHeat offensive rebound33
14.4%
40
85.6%
Q2 - 7:25HeatBam Adebayo misses two point bank jump shot33
13.5%
40
86.5%
Q2 - 7:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound33
14.4%
40
85.6%
Q2 - 7:46CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot33
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 8:05HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)33
13.2%
40
86.8%
Q2 - 8:15CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (offensive foul)30
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 8:15CelticsRobert Williams III offensive foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)30
10.0%
40
90.0%
Q2 - 8:23CelticsCeltics defensive rebound30
10.0%
40
90.0%
Q2 - 8:24HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot30
10.3%
40
89.7%
Q2 - 8:43HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound30
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 8:45CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot30
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 8:57HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 230
10.0%
40
90.0%
Q2 - 8:57HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 229
9.8%
40
90.2%
Q2 - 8:57CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)28
9.6%
40
90.4%
Q2 - 9:08CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving layup28
9.3%
40
90.7%
Q2 - 9:18HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)28
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 9:38CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)26
9.2%
38
90.8%
Q2 - 9:58HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving bank hook shot (Kyle Lowry assists)26
11.1%
35
88.9%
Q2 - 10:21CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)24
10.3%
35
89.7%
Q2 - 10:32CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound24
11.3%
33
88.7%
Q2 - 10:33HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot24
11.6%
33
88.4%
Q2 - 10:38CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)24
12.3%
33
87.7%
Q2 - 10:48CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving floating jump shot24
12.3%
33
87.7%
Q2 - 10:59CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound24
13.4%
31
86.6%
Q2 - 11:01HeatGabe Vincent misses two point stepback jump shot24
13.9%
31
86.1%
Q2 - 11:14CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point running pullup jump shot24
14.7%
31
85.3%
Q2 - 11:18HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Malcolm Brogdon steals)24
17.3%
28
82.7%
Q2 - 11:25CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Grant Williams assists)24
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q2 - 11:45HeatBam Adebayo turnover (kicked ball violation)24
21.8%
25
78.2%
Q2 - 11:45HeatHeat offensive rebound24
23.4%
25
76.6%
Q2 - 11:46HeatGrant Williams blocks Bam Adebayo's two point pullup jump shot24
22.3%
25
77.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.24
23.5%
25
76.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound24
23.5%
25
76.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot24
22.3%
25
77.7%
Q1 - 0:06.2CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 224
23.0%
25
77.0%
Q1 - 0:06.2CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 224
23.2%
24
76.8%
Q1 - 0:06.2HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)24
23.5%
23
76.5%
Q1 - 0:07.2CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound24
24.8%
23
75.2%
Q1 - 0:09.1HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot24
25.3%
23
74.7%
Q1 - 0:30.5CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point stepback jump shot24
26.5%
23
73.5%
Q1 - 0:39.8HeatCody Zeller makes two point tip layup24
30.5%
20
69.5%
Q1 - 0:39.8HeatCody Zeller offensive rebound22
28.3%
20
71.7%
Q1 - 0:40.8HeatCody Zeller misses two point tip layup22
27.2%
20
72.8%
Q1 - 0:40.8HeatCody Zeller offensive rebound22
28.3%
20
71.7%
Q1 - 0:42.0HeatCody Zeller misses two point driving floating bank jump shot22
27.2%
20
72.8%
Q1 - 0:55.2CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point cutting dunk (Malcolm Brogdon assists)22
28.4%
20
71.6%
Q1 - 1:00HeatMax Strus personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)22
30.5%
18
69.5%
Q1 - 1:00CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound22
30.5%
18
69.5%
Q1 - 1:02CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point running pullup jump shot22
31.7%
18
68.3%
Q1 - 1:04CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound22
30.4%
18
69.6%
Q1 - 1:05HeatMalcolm Brogdon blocks Kyle Lowry's two point stepback jump shot22
31.0%
18
69.0%
Q1 - 1:19CelticsGrant Williams makes two point tip layup22
32.2%
18
67.8%
Q1 - 1:19CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound22
34.5%
16
65.5%
Q1 - 1:20CelticsCody Zeller blocks Jayson Tatum's two point running layup22
35.8%
16
64.2%
Q1 - 1:24CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound22
34.5%
16
65.5%
Q1 - 1:25HeatDerrick White blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup22
35.1%
16
64.9%
Q1 - 1:50CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point cutting layup (Robert Williams III assists)22
36.4%
16
63.6%
Q1 - 1:54CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound22
38.8%
14
61.2%
Q1 - 1:56CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot22
40.2%
14
59.8%
Q1 - 2:15HeatCody Zeller turnover (3-second violation)22
37.9%
14
62.1%
Q1 - 2:34CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)22
40.2%
14
59.8%
Q1 - 2:48HeatCaleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot22
38.0%
14
62.0%
Q1 - 3:09HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound20
35.7%
14
64.3%
Q1 - 3:10CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot20
34.9%
14
65.1%
Q1 - 3:22CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound20
33.3%
14
66.7%
Q1 - 3:24HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot20
34.0%
14
66.0%
Q1 - 3:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound20
35.7%
14
64.3%
Q1 - 3:47CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point running jump shot20
34.9%
14
65.1%
Q1 - 3:54CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound20
33.3%
14
66.7%
Q1 - 3:56HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot20
34.0%
14
66.0%
Q1 - 4:15HeatKevin Love defensive rebound20
34.9%
14
65.1%
Q1 - 4:15CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving floating jump shot20
34.2%
14
65.8%
Q1 - 4:25HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup20
32.7%
14
67.3%
Q1 - 4:44CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)18
31.2%
14
68.8%
Q1 - 4:55HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot18
32.8%
12
67.2%
Q1 - 4:56HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound16
31.2%
12
68.8%
Q1 - 4:57HeatAl Horford blocks Bam Adebayo's two point pullup jump shot16
29.8%
12
70.2%
Q1 - 5:20CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)16
30.6%
12
69.4%
Q1 - 5:35CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound16
34.0%
9
66.0%
Q1 - 5:37HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot16
34.6%
9
65.4%
Q1 - 5:45HeatKevin Love defensive rebound16
36.1%
9
63.9%
Q1 - 5:47CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup16
35.4%
9
64.6%
Q1 - 6:04HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)16
33.6%
9
66.4%
Q1 - 6:16CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Love draws the foul)13
30.2%
9
69.8%
Q1 - 6:16HeatHeat offensive rebound13
30.2%
9
69.8%
Q1 - 6:17HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot13
29.0%
9
71.0%
Q1 - 6:37CelticsAl Horford makes two point cutting layup (Jayson Tatum assists)13
30.2%
9
69.8%
Q1 - 6:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)13
31.9%
7
68.1%
Q1 - 7:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
29.8%
7
70.2%
Q1 - 7:16CelticsDerrick White misses three point running jump shot11
29.3%
7
70.7%
Q1 - 7:21CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound11
28.1%
7
71.9%
Q1 - 7:23HeatKevin Love misses two point tip layup11
28.6%
7
71.4%
Q1 - 7:23HeatKevin Love offensive rebound11
29.8%
7
70.2%
Q1 - 7:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot11
28.6%
7
71.4%
Q1 - 7:35CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)11
29.9%
7
70.1%
Q1 - 7:35CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball)11
29.9%
7
70.1%
Q1 - 7:43CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound11
28.1%
7
71.9%
Q1 - 7:45HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot11
28.6%
7
71.4%
Q1 - 7:58HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound11
29.9%
7
70.1%
Q1 - 8:01CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot11
29.0%
7
71.0%
Q1 - 8:17HeatJimmy Butler makes two point tip layup11
27.8%
7
72.2%
Q1 - 8:17HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound9
26.4%
7
73.6%
Q1 - 8:19HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving reverse layup9
25.3%
7
74.7%
Q1 - 8:42CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point stepback jump shot9
26.4%
7
73.6%
Q1 - 8:54CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound9
29.4%
4
70.6%
Q1 - 8:55HeatRobert Williams III blocks Jimmy Butler's three point pullup jump shot9
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 9:06HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound9
30.8%
4
69.2%
Q1 - 9:08CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot9
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 9:17HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)9
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 9:24HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Robert Williams III steals)9
29.1%
4
70.9%
Q1 - 9:38CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup9
30.8%
4
69.2%
Q1 - 9:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 29
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 9:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 28
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 9:49CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)7
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 9:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 9:57CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point floating jump shot7
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 10:08CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound7
28.6%
2
71.4%
Q1 - 10:09HeatKevin Love misses two point hook shot7
29.1%
2
70.9%
Q1 - 10:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 10:23CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround jump shot7
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 10:34HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kevin Love assists)7
28.6%
2
71.4%
Q1 - 10:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound4
25.9%
2
74.1%
Q1 - 10:53CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot4
25.4%
2
74.6%
Q1 - 10:59HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 24
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 10:59HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 23
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 10:59CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)2
24.0%
2
76.0%
Q1 - 11:10HeatKevin Love defensive rebound2
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 11:12CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point turnaround bank jump shot2
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 11:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot2
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 11:44CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point turnaround jump shot0
20.4%
2
79.6%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Robert Williams III (Marcus Smart gains possession)0
21.4%
0
78.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.4%
BOS
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
23
70%
BOS
18
21
86%
Midrange
MIA
17
43
40%
BOS
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
26
35%
52%
BOS
10
15.0
35
29%
43%
Free Throws
MIA
18
19
95%
BOS
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2752%13.5 / 26
C. Martin2578%12.5 / 16
B. Adebayo2252%11.0 / 21
D. Robinson1583%7.5 / 9
M. Strus1169%5.5 / 8
G. Vincent945%4.5 / 10
C. Zeller233%1.0 / 3
K. Love0-0.0 / 3
K. Lowry0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum3468%17.0 / 25
J. Brown1633%8.0 / 24
R. Williams13108%6.5 / 6
M. Brogdon1359%6.5 / 11
D. White1192%5.5 / 6
G. Williams975%4.5 / 6
M. Smart758%3.5 / 6
A. Horford220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+18
-10
104
BOS
81
+10
-15
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.4%
BOS
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.3
116.6
MIA 115.6 +6.3
BOS 109.4
Pace
94.4
95.5
MIA 92.6
BOS 99.6 +7.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.0
MIA 15.5
BOS 14.5 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
56.0%
MIA 50.5%
BOS 53.2% +2.7%
TO %
11.6%
12.6%
MIA 9.9% +4.4%
BOS 14.3%
ORB %
21.7%
23.1%
MIA 27.5% +12.5%
BOS 15.0%
FTrt
22.8
23.3
MIA 20.7
BOS 30.4 +9.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.3%
59.1%
MIA 54.8%
BOS 59.5% +4.7%
STL %
7.4%
6.3%
MIA 9.4% +7.3%
BOS 2.1%
BLK %
7.4%
11.7%
MIA 11.4%
BOS 13.6% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.5%
57.9%
MIA 53.4%
BOS 57.7% +4.3%
Rim FG%
60.5%
64.3%
MIA 69.6%
BOS 85.7% +16.1%
Mid FG%
41.3%
45.1%
MIA 39.5% +0.4%
BOS 39.1%
3P %
38.0%
36.4%
MIA 34.6% +6.0%
BOS 28.6%
FT %
81.3%
81.0%
MIA 94.7% +7.2%
BOS 87.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
34.4%
MIA 25.0%
BOS 26.6% +1.6%
Mid Att. %
31.3%
20.4%
MIA 46.7%
BOS 29.1% +17.6%
3P Att. %
38.8%
45.2%
MIA 28.3%
BOS 44.3% +16.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points111105
Rebounds4535
Assists2322
Steals92
Blocks59
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)15 (0)
Fouls1720
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (7)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)29 (3)
Field Goals42-9237-79
At-the-Rim FG16-2318-21
Midrange FG17-439-23
2-Point FG33-6627-44
3-Point FG9-2610-35
Free Throws18-1921-24
Fast Break Pts415
2nd Chance Pts1612
Points in Paint4848
Pts off Turnovers2017
Bench Points4233
Biggest Lead812

BOXSCORE

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9 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34
40.6
27
52%
8
6
3
2
3
1
2
6
3-3
100%
12-24
50%
0-1
0%
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
40.1
9
45%
2
0
2
0
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
1-4
25%
1-4
25%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
38.1
22
52%
17
9
0
0
1
5
2
15
8-8
100%
7-17
41%
0-0
-
Max Strus
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27
26.8
11
69%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
Kevin Love
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
14.6
0
0%
5
2
1
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Caleb Martin
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
32.1
25
78%
4
0
1
1
1
2
3
1
0-0
-
8-9
89%
3-7
43%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
20.7
15
83%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
100%
3-6
50%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
17.1
0
0%
1
5
1
1
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
Cody Zeller
#44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31
9.9
2
33%
6
0
0
1
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
Omer Yurtseven
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand; Surgery
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
53%
45
23
9
5
10
17
11
34
18-19
95%
33-66
50%
9-26
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.