for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, May 17, 2023
FinalWin Prob.pScore
10
Heat
27%101
123
1
Celtics
73%110
116
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
126.89793.3
BOS logo BOS
119.697101.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.123
100%
116
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0HeatMax Strus defensive rebound123
99.9%
116
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.9CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot123
99.9%
116
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2123
99.7%
116
0.3%
Q4 - 0:17.5HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2122
99.7%
116
0.3%
Q4 - 0:17.5CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)122
99.8%
116
0.2%
Q4 - 0:21.1CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving floating bank jump shot122
99.6%
116
0.4%
Q4 - 0:22.5CelticsMalcolm Brogdon offensive rebound122
99.8%
114
0.2%
Q4 - 0:24.6CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot122
99.9%
114
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.7HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 2122
99.7%
114
0.3%
Q4 - 0:27.7HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 2121
99.6%
114
0.4%
Q4 - 0:27.7CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Take) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)120
99.6%
114
0.4%
Q4 - 0:34.5CelticsMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)120
99.4%
114
0.6%
Q4 - 0:37.7CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2120
98.7%
114
1.3%
Q4 - 0:37.7CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2120
98.8%
113
1.2%
Q4 - 0:37.7HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)120
98.9%
112
1.1%
Q4 - 0:44.1HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)120
99.0%
112
1.0%
Q4 - 0:56.8CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point driving layup120
99.2%
112
0.8%
Q4 - 1:03HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot120
99.4%
110
0.6%
Q4 - 1:27CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (traveling)117
96.7%
110
3.3%
Q4 - 1:28CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound117
94.1%
110
5.9%
Q4 - 1:29CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving reverse layup117
95.9%
110
4.1%
Q4 - 1:39CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound117
93.1%
110
6.9%
Q4 - 1:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot117
94.0%
110
6.0%
Q4 - 1:57CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (traveling)117
95.6%
110
4.4%
Q4 - 2:10HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)117
92.4%
110
7.6%
Q4 - 2:31HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound114
85.2%
110
14.8%
Q4 - 2:31CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses regular free throw 2 of 2114
84.1%
110
15.9%
Q4 - 2:31CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 2114
79.1%
110
20.9%
Q4 - 2:31HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)114
80.2%
109
19.8%
Q4 - 2:39CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound114
82.3%
109
17.7%
Q4 - 2:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot114
85.3%
109
14.7%
Q4 - 2:58CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)114
86.8%
109
13.2%
Q4 - 3:19CelticsCeltics defensive rebound114
79.6%
109
20.4%
Q4 - 3:23HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot114
82.4%
109
17.6%
Q4 - 3:39CelticsAl Horford turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)114
80.2%
109
19.8%
Q4 - 3:42CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound114
73.7%
109
26.3%
Q4 - 3:44CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot114
78.5%
109
21.5%
Q4 - 3:58CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound114
74.2%
109
25.8%
Q4 - 3:59HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot114
76.4%
109
23.6%
Q4 - 4:13HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound114
81.1%
109
18.9%
Q4 - 4:15CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot114
79.3%
109
20.7%
Q4 - 4:29HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)114
74.7%
109
25.3%
Q4 - 4:50CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2114
81.5%
109
18.5%
Q4 - 4:50CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2114
82.2%
108
17.8%
Q4 - 4:50HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)114
83.1%
107
16.9%
Q4 - 4:57CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound114
86.1%
107
13.9%
Q4 - 4:58HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot114
87.5%
107
12.5%
Q4 - 5:16CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point cutting layup114
85.9%
107
14.1%
Q4 - 5:33HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot114
89.3%
105
10.7%
Q4 - 5:50CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2112
86.1%
105
13.9%
Q4 - 5:50CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
86.6%
104
13.4%
Q4 - 5:50HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)112
87.2%
103
12.8%
Q4 - 6:10HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Derrick White draws the foul)112
85.5%
103
14.5%
Q4 - 6:10CelticsCeltics defensive rebound112
85.5%
103
14.5%
Q4 - 6:11HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving layup112
86.7%
103
13.3%
Q4 - 6:33CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)112
89.4%
103
10.6%
Q4 - 6:48HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot112
85.7%
103
14.3%
Q4 - 7:05CelticsMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (Loose ball) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)110
78.4%
103
21.6%
Q4 - 7:05HeatHeat defensive rebound110
78.4%
103
21.6%
Q4 - 7:06CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot110
76.8%
103
23.2%
Q4 - 7:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)110
72.9%
103
27.1%
Q4 - 7:49CelticsDerrick White makes three point running jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)108
68.6%
103
31.4%
Q4 - 7:54CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound108
77.9%
100
22.1%
Q4 - 7:56HeatKyle Lowry misses three point stepback jump shot108
79.6%
100
20.4%
Q4 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound108
79.8%
100
20.2%
Q4 - 8:12HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot108
76.8%
100
23.2%
Q4 - 8:28HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound108
79.9%
100
20.1%
Q4 - 8:30CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot108
78.6%
100
21.4%
Q4 - 8:49HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)108
75.5%
100
24.5%
Q4 - 9:06HeatHeat defensive rebound106
68.0%
100
32.0%
Q4 - 9:08CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 1106
67.3%
100
32.7%
Q4 - 9:08HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)106
63.9%
100
36.1%
Q4 - 9:32HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)106
72.6%
98
27.4%
Q4 - 9:51CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)103
63.0%
98
37.0%
Q4 - 10:00CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound103
56.8%
98
43.2%
Q4 - 10:02HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot103
56.6%
98
43.4%
Q4 - 10:27CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot103
60.8%
98
39.2%
Q4 - 10:40HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)103
65.4%
96
34.6%
Q4 - 10:40HeatHeat offensive rebound103
70.7%
96
29.3%
Q4 - 10:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup103
67.1%
96
32.9%
Q4 - 11:07CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point stepback jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)103
68.5%
96
31.5%
Q4 - 11:13CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound103
72.8%
94
27.2%
Q4 - 11:15HeatRobert Williams III blocks Cody Zeller's two point driving floating jump shot103
74.0%
94
26.0%
Q4 - 11:42CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)103
76.9%
94
23.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.103
83.4%
91
16.6%
Q3 - 0:01.1CelticsCeltics offensive rebound103
81.1%
91
18.9%
Q3 - 0:01.1CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup103
83.0%
91
17.0%
Q3 - 0:07.6HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)103
81.1%
91
18.9%
Q3 - 0:24.2HeatMax Strus defensive rebound100
74.4%
91
25.6%
Q3 - 0:26.4CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot100
73.3%
91
26.7%
Q3 - 0:31.4HeatKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot100
70.6%
91
29.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup98
66.3%
91
33.7%
Q3 - 1:02HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)98
67.8%
89
32.2%
Q3 - 1:27CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)95
59.7%
89
40.3%
Q3 - 1:56HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)95
63.9%
87
36.1%
Q3 - 2:02HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound92
53.1%
87
46.9%
Q3 - 2:03HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup92
49.8%
87
50.2%
Q3 - 2:16HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound92
53.2%
87
46.8%
Q3 - 2:16CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses regular free throw 1 of 192
52.5%
87
47.5%
Q3 - 2:16HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)92
49.3%
87
50.7%
Q3 - 2:32HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 292
57.3%
85
42.7%
Q3 - 2:32HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 291
56.7%
85
43.3%
Q3 - 2:32CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)90
56.0%
85
44.0%
Q3 - 2:32HeatHeat offensive rebound90
53.2%
85
46.8%
Q3 - 2:33HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot90
50.0%
85
50.0%
Q3 - 2:46CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 290
53.3%
85
46.7%
Q3 - 2:46CelticsMarcus Smart misses regular free throw 1 of 290
54.1%
84
45.9%
Q3 - 2:46HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)90
50.7%
84
49.3%
Q3 - 2:50CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound90
53.0%
84
47.0%
Q3 - 2:52HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot90
54.4%
84
45.6%
Q3 - 3:04HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound90
56.8%
84
43.2%
Q3 - 3:06CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot90
55.3%
84
44.7%
Q3 - 3:17HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 290
51.9%
84
48.1%
Q3 - 3:17HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 289
51.3%
84
48.7%
Q3 - 3:17CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)88
50.5%
84
49.5%
Q3 - 3:31CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup88
48.3%
84
51.7%
Q3 - 3:48HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot88
51.9%
82
48.1%
Q3 - 4:08CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 286
46.9%
82
53.1%
Q3 - 4:08CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 286
47.4%
81
52.6%
Q3 - 4:08HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)86
48.1%
80
51.9%
Q3 - 4:25HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot86
50.4%
80
49.6%
Q3 - 4:38CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)83
43.0%
80
57.0%
Q3 - 4:53HeatKevin Love makes two point layup83
38.4%
80
61.6%
Q3 - 4:54CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)81
35.2%
80
64.8%
Q3 - 4:56CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound81
30.9%
80
69.1%
Q3 - 4:57HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot81
32.2%
80
67.8%
Q3 - 5:21CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot81
34.6%
80
65.4%
Q3 - 5:42HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup81
37.9%
78
62.1%
Q3 - 5:47CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)79
34.6%
78
65.4%
Q3 - 5:54CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound79
30.8%
78
69.2%
Q3 - 5:56HeatJayson Tatum blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup79
31.9%
78
68.1%
Q3 - 6:15HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound79
33.7%
78
66.3%
Q3 - 6:16CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot79
32.6%
78
67.4%
Q3 - 6:28HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 179
30.2%
78
69.8%
Q3 - 6:28CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)78
29.8%
78
70.2%
Q3 - 6:28HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound76
24.4%
78
75.6%
Q3 - 6:29HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot76
22.4%
78
77.6%
Q3 - 6:46CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point running jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)76
24.4%
78
75.6%
Q3 - 6:52CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound76
30.3%
75
69.7%
Q3 - 6:54HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup76
31.3%
75
68.7%
Q3 - 6:54HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound76
33.8%
75
66.2%
Q3 - 6:55HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot76
31.3%
75
68.7%
Q3 - 7:07HeatKevin Love defensive rebound76
33.3%
75
66.7%
Q3 - 7:08CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot76
32.2%
75
67.8%
Q3 - 7:18HeatMax Strus makes two point running reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)76
29.7%
75
70.3%
Q3 - 7:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound74
27.2%
75
72.8%
Q3 - 7:23CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot74
26.2%
75
73.8%
Q3 - 7:33CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound74
24.0%
75
76.0%
Q3 - 7:33HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 174
24.4%
75
75.6%
Q3 - 7:33CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)74
26.2%
75
73.8%
Q3 - 7:52CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot72
21.7%
75
78.3%
Q3 - 8:02HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)72
26.3%
72
73.7%
Q3 - 8:02CelticsCeltics offensive rebound72
26.3%
72
73.7%
Q3 - 8:03CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup72
28.7%
72
71.3%
Q3 - 8:24HeatMax Strus makes two point putback layup72
26.4%
72
73.6%
Q3 - 8:25HeatMax Strus offensive rebound70
24.2%
72
75.8%
Q3 - 8:26HeatMarcus Smart blocks Max Strus's two point running layup70
22.1%
72
77.9%
Q3 - 8:29HeatKevin Love defensive rebound70
24.2%
72
75.8%
Q3 - 8:31CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot70
23.3%
72
76.7%
Q3 - 8:46HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot70
21.2%
72
78.8%
Q3 - 9:01CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 268
19.2%
72
80.8%
Q3 - 9:01CelticsMarcus Smart misses regular free throw 1 of 268
19.6%
71
80.4%
Q3 - 9:01HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)68
18.0%
71
82.0%
Q3 - 9:12HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)68
18.9%
71
81.1%
Q3 - 9:27HeatKevin Love makes three point running jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)68
18.9%
71
81.1%
Q3 - 9:32HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound65
15.3%
71
84.7%
Q3 - 9:34CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot65
14.7%
71
85.3%
Q3 - 9:42HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot65
13.3%
71
86.7%
Q3 - 9:59HeatKevin Love defensive rebound62
10.6%
71
89.4%
Q3 - 10:01CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot62
10.4%
71
89.6%
Q3 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 262
9.4%
71
90.6%
Q3 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 261
9.2%
71
90.8%
Q3 - 10:18CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)61
10.1%
71
89.9%
Q3 - 10:26CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)61
9.6%
71
90.4%
Q3 - 10:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)61
8.4%
71
91.6%
Q3 - 10:55CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point stepback jump shot59
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q3 - 11:06HeatKevin Love turnover (offensive foul)59
9.5%
68
90.5%
Q3 - 11:06HeatKevin Love offensive foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)59
10.7%
68
89.3%
Q3 - 11:19CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Marcus Smart assists)59
10.7%
68
89.3%
Q3 - 11:25CelticsCeltics offensive rebound59
12.0%
66
88.0%
Q3 - 11:25CelticsGabe Vincent blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving layup59
13.0%
66
87.0%
Q3 - 11:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot59
12.0%
66
88.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.57
10.7%
66
89.3%
Q2 - 0:02.1CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound57
9.7%
66
90.3%
Q2 - 0:02.1HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot57
10.0%
66
90.0%
Q2 - 0:15.2CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Marcus Smart assists)57
10.7%
66
89.3%
Q2 - 0:29.4HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)57
12.2%
64
87.8%
Q2 - 0:43.8CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (traveling)55
10.7%
64
89.3%
Q2 - 0:49.8CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound55
9.7%
64
90.3%
Q2 - 0:52.9HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running jump shot55
10.0%
64
90.0%
Q2 - 0:55.1HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound55
10.7%
64
89.3%
Q2 - 0:57.8CelticsCaleb Martin blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving dunk55
10.4%
64
89.6%
Q2 - 1:19HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)55
10.0%
64
90.0%
Q2 - 1:34CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup (Al Horford assists)52
7.7%
64
92.3%
Q2 - 1:48HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 152
8.9%
62
91.1%
Q2 - 1:48CelticsMalcolm Brogdon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)51
8.8%
62
91.2%
Q2 - 2:08CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 149
7.3%
62
92.7%
Q2 - 2:08HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)49
7.4%
61
92.6%
Q2 - 2:21HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)49
9.0%
59
91.0%
Q2 - 2:21HeatHeat offensive rebound49
10.1%
59
89.9%
Q2 - 2:21HeatJimmy Butler misses two point floating jump shot49
9.4%
59
90.6%
Q2 - 2:46CelticsAl Horford makes two point cutting layup (Marcus Smart assists)49
10.1%
59
89.9%
Q2 - 3:09HeatMax Strus makes two point pullup jump shot49
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q2 - 3:24CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)47
10.5%
57
89.5%
Q2 - 3:29HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)47
9.2%
57
90.8%
Q2 - 3:48CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point running layup (Marcus Smart assists)47
10.4%
57
89.6%
Q2 - 3:55HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)47
11.4%
55
88.6%
Q2 - 4:08CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)47
12.8%
55
87.2%
Q2 - 4:26CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound47
15.5%
52
84.5%
Q2 - 4:27HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot47
15.9%
52
84.1%
Q2 - 4:47CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 147
17.0%
52
83.0%
Q2 - 4:47HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)47
17.4%
51
82.6%
Q2 - 4:52CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound47
20.4%
49
79.6%
Q2 - 4:53HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot47
21.0%
49
79.0%
Q2 - 5:10CelticsAl Horford makes two point driving layup (Marcus Smart assists)47
22.2%
49
77.8%
Q2 - 5:26HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)47
23.8%
47
76.2%
Q2 - 5:33CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)44
20.3%
47
79.7%
Q2 - 5:45HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)44
21.8%
45
78.2%
Q2 - 5:45HeatHeat offensive rebound44
24.2%
45
75.8%
Q2 - 5:46HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot44
22.5%
45
77.5%
Q2 - 6:09HeatKevin Love defensive rebound44
24.1%
45
75.9%
Q2 - 6:09CelticsMarcus Smart misses regular free throw 2 of 244
23.8%
45
76.2%
Q2 - 6:09CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 244
22.5%
45
77.5%
Q2 - 6:09HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)44
22.9%
44
77.1%
Q2 - 6:14HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)44
23.7%
44
76.3%
Q2 - 6:33CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 244
26.1%
44
73.9%
Q2 - 6:33CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 244
26.4%
43
73.6%
Q2 - 6:33HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)44
26.7%
42
73.3%
Q2 - 6:52HeatKyle Lowry makes two point stepback jump shot44
27.8%
42
72.2%
Q2 - 7:10CelticsRobert Williams III makes regular free throw 1 of 142
25.8%
42
74.2%
Q2 - 7:10HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)42
26.3%
41
73.7%
Q2 - 7:12CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound42
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 7:13CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup42
31.5%
39
68.5%
Q2 - 7:35HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot42
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 7:47CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)39
25.8%
39
74.2%
Q2 - 8:04HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)39
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q2 - 8:13HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound39
29.8%
37
70.2%
Q2 - 8:14CelticsDerrick White misses three point running jump shot39
29.1%
37
70.9%
Q2 - 8:22CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound39
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q2 - 8:24HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot39
28.2%
37
71.8%
Q2 - 8:31CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Loose ball) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)39
29.8%
37
70.2%
Q2 - 8:31HeatHeat offensive rebound39
29.8%
37
70.2%
Q2 - 8:32HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot39
28.2%
37
71.8%
Q2 - 8:42CelticsRobert Williams III makes regular free throw 2 of 239
29.8%
37
70.2%
Q2 - 8:42CelticsRobert Williams III misses regular free throw 1 of 239
30.4%
36
69.6%
Q2 - 8:42HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)39
28.9%
36
71.1%
Q2 - 8:54CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound39
29.7%
36
70.3%
Q2 - 8:56HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot39
30.4%
36
69.6%
Q2 - 9:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
31.6%
36
68.4%
Q2 - 9:10CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot39
30.9%
36
69.1%
Q2 - 9:32HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 239
29.4%
36
70.6%
Q2 - 9:32HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 238
29.0%
36
71.0%
Q2 - 9:32CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)38
30.7%
36
69.3%
Q2 - 9:42CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving layup (Derrick White assists)38
29.5%
36
70.5%
Q2 - 9:59HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)38
31.6%
34
68.4%
Q2 - 10:14HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound38
33.6%
34
66.4%
Q2 - 10:15CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot38
32.9%
34
67.1%
Q2 - 10:28HeatKyle Lowry makes three point running pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)38
31.4%
34
68.6%
Q2 - 10:31HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
27.3%
34
72.7%
Q2 - 10:32CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving floating jump shot35
26.7%
34
73.3%
Q2 - 10:44HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)35
25.3%
34
74.7%
Q2 - 10:52CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup32
21.8%
34
78.2%
Q2 - 11:06HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot32
23.2%
32
76.8%
Q2 - 11:14CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)30
21.5%
32
78.5%
Q2 - 11:24CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 230
21.5%
32
78.5%
Q2 - 11:24CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 230
21.7%
31
78.3%
Q2 - 11:24HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)30
21.9%
30
78.1%
Q2 - 11:44HeatKyle Lowry makes two point stepback jump shot30
23.2%
30
76.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
21.5%
30
78.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound28
21.5%
30
78.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot28
20.4%
30
79.6%
Q1 - 0:01.3HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound28
21.1%
30
78.9%
Q1 - 0:03.9CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot28
20.7%
30
79.3%
Q1 - 0:23.2CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound28
19.7%
30
80.3%
Q1 - 0:25.4HeatCaleb Martin misses two point running layup28
20.1%
30
79.9%
Q1 - 0:29.9CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)28
21.1%
30
78.9%
Q1 - 0:38.5CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound28
19.7%
30
80.3%
Q1 - 0:39.7HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot28
20.2%
30
79.8%
Q1 - 0:53.8CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot28
21.1%
30
78.9%
Q1 - 1:07HeatCody Zeller turnover (offensive foul)28
24.6%
27
75.4%
Q1 - 1:07HeatCody Zeller offensive foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)28
26.2%
27
73.8%
Q1 - 1:12HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound28
26.2%
27
73.8%
Q1 - 1:14CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point stepback jump shot28
25.7%
27
74.3%
Q1 - 1:42HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot28
24.6%
27
75.4%
Q1 - 2:04CelticsMalcolm Brogdon turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)26
22.7%
27
77.3%
Q1 - 2:09CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound26
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q1 - 2:10CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot26
22.2%
27
77.8%
Q1 - 2:20CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound26
21.1%
27
78.9%
Q1 - 2:23HeatCody Zeller misses two point driving hook shot26
21.6%
27
78.4%
Q1 - 2:39CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup26
22.7%
27
77.3%
Q1 - 2:51HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup26
24.3%
25
75.7%
Q1 - 2:55CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)24
22.7%
25
77.3%
Q1 - 3:00CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound24
21.1%
25
78.9%
Q1 - 3:01HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot24
21.5%
25
78.5%
Q1 - 3:08HeatCody Zeller offensive rebound24
22.7%
25
77.3%
Q1 - 3:10HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot24
21.5%
25
78.5%
Q1 - 3:24CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point cutting layup (Marcus Smart assists)24
22.7%
25
77.3%
Q1 - 3:34HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot24
24.0%
23
76.0%
Q1 - 3:38HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound22
22.7%
23
77.3%
Q1 - 3:39HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup bank jump shot22
21.5%
23
78.5%
Q1 - 3:55CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 222
22.7%
23
77.3%
Q1 - 3:55CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 222
23.0%
22
77.0%
Q1 - 3:55HeatCody Zeller shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)22
23.4%
21
76.6%
Q1 - 4:00CelticsCeltics offensive rebound22
24.0%
21
76.0%
Q1 - 4:01CelticsKyle Lowry blocks Malcolm Brogdon's two point running layup22
25.1%
21
74.9%
Q1 - 4:05HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)22
23.9%
21
76.1%
Q1 - 4:21CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point tip layup22
25.7%
21
74.3%
Q1 - 4:21CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound22
27.1%
19
72.9%
Q1 - 4:22CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround jump shot22
28.4%
19
71.6%
Q1 - 4:37HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)22
27.1%
19
72.9%
Q1 - 4:54HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound19
24.1%
19
75.9%
Q1 - 4:56CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving floating jump shot19
23.6%
19
76.4%
Q1 - 5:11HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 219
22.2%
19
77.8%
Q1 - 5:11HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 218
22.0%
19
78.0%
Q1 - 5:11CelticsMalcolm Brogdon shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)17
21.8%
19
78.2%
Q1 - 5:28CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)17
21.0%
19
79.0%
Q1 - 5:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot17
23.7%
16
76.3%
Q1 - 5:55CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)15
22.4%
16
77.6%
Q1 - 6:01CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)15
22.2%
16
77.8%
Q1 - 6:14HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup15
25.0%
13
75.0%
Q1 - 6:30CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point running jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)13
23.6%
13
76.4%
Q1 - 6:34CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound13
26.6%
10
73.4%
Q1 - 6:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot13
27.1%
10
72.9%
Q1 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
28.2%
10
71.8%
Q1 - 6:47CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot13
27.7%
10
72.3%
Q1 - 7:03HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 213
26.2%
10
73.8%
Q1 - 7:03HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 212
26.0%
10
74.0%
Q1 - 7:03CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)11
25.7%
10
74.3%
Q1 - 7:15CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)11
24.8%
10
75.2%
Q1 - 7:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
24.8%
10
75.2%
Q1 - 7:22CelticsAl Horford misses two point jump shot11
24.4%
10
75.6%
Q1 - 7:35HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)11
23.3%
10
76.7%
Q1 - 7:44HeatKevin Love defensive rebound8
20.7%
10
79.3%
Q1 - 7:46CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot8
20.3%
10
79.7%
Q1 - 7:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)8
19.4%
10
80.6%
Q1 - 8:08CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running dunk (Al Horford assists)6
18.2%
10
81.8%
Q1 - 8:12HeatKevin Love turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)6
19.2%
8
80.8%
Q1 - 8:19CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)6
20.6%
8
79.4%
Q1 - 8:35CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point cutting dunk (Marcus Smart assists)6
20.6%
8
79.4%
Q1 - 8:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot6
21.7%
6
78.3%
Q1 - 9:07CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point putback layup4
20.5%
6
79.5%
Q1 - 9:09CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound4
21.7%
4
78.3%
Q1 - 9:11CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point running layup4
22.7%
4
77.3%
Q1 - 9:16CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound4
21.7%
4
78.3%
Q1 - 9:18HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot4
22.1%
4
77.9%
Q1 - 9:38CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point floating jump shot4
23.1%
4
76.9%
Q1 - 9:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot4
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 10:11CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point putback layup2
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 10:13CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound2
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 10:15CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point pullup jump shot2
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 10:24CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound2
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 10:25HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot2
24.5%
0
75.5%
Q1 - 10:40HeatKevin Love defensive rebound2
25.5%
0
74.5%
Q1 - 10:41CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot2
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 10:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point reverse layup2
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 11:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
22.5%
0
77.5%
Q1 - 11:09CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot0
22.1%
0
77.9%
Q1 - 11:22HeatKevin Love turnover (out of bounds lost ball)0
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 11:34HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
22.5%
0
77.5%
Q1 - 11:37CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup0
22.1%
0
77.9%
Q1 - 11:44CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound0
21.1%
0
78.9%
Q1 - 11:46CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot0
22.1%
0
77.9%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Robert Williams III (Marcus Smart gains possession)0
21.1%
0
78.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.8%
BOS
1.22 61.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
17
65%
BOS
23
28
82%
Midrange
MIA
19
37
51%
BOS
9
24
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
16
24.0
31
52%
77%
BOS
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
Free Throws
MIA
15
19
79%
BOS
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3560%17.5 / 29
B. Adebayo2067%10.0 / 15
G. Vincent1594%7.5 / 8
M. Strus1575%7.5 / 10
C. Martin1568%7.5 / 11
K. Lowry1563%7.5 / 12
K. Love8100%4.0 / 4
C. Zeller0-0.0 / 2
D. Robinson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum3068%15.0 / 22
J. Brown2252%11.0 / 21
M. Brogdon1959%9.5 / 16
R. Williams14100%7.0 / 7
M. Smart1359%6.5 / 11
D. White1192%5.5 / 6
A. Horford744%3.5 / 8
P. Pritchard0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+13
-12
98
BOS
82
+13
-15
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.8%
BOS
1.22 61.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.3
116.6
MIA 126.8 +7.2
BOS 119.6
Pace
94.4
95.5
MIA 93.3
BOS 101.0 +7.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
15.0
MIA 15.4
BOS 14.3 +1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
56.0%
MIA 63.5% +5.5%
BOS 58.0%
TO %
11.6%
12.6%
MIA 13.8%
BOS 13.8%
ORB %
21.7%
23.1%
MIA 21.9%
BOS 24.3% +2.4%
FTrt
22.8
23.3
MIA 22.4
BOS 35.8 +13.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.3%
59.1%
MIA 43.5%
BOS 52.4% +8.9%
STL %
7.4%
6.3%
MIA 12.4% +6.2%
BOS 6.2%
BLK %
7.4%
11.7%
MIA 5.8% +0.2%
BOS 5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.5%
57.9%
MIA 62.8% +1.7%
BOS 61.1%
Rim FG%
60.5%
64.3%
MIA 64.7%
BOS 82.1% +17.4%
Mid FG%
41.3%
45.1%
MIA 51.4% +13.9%
BOS 37.5%
3P %
38.0%
36.4%
MIA 51.6% +17.1%
BOS 34.5%
FT %
81.3%
81.0%
MIA 78.9% +3.0%
BOS 75.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
34.4%
MIA 20.0%
BOS 34.6% +14.6%
Mid Att. %
31.3%
20.4%
MIA 43.5%
BOS 29.6% +13.9%
3P Att. %
38.8%
45.2%
MIA 36.5% +0.7%
BOS 35.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points123116
Rebounds3534
Assists2022
Steals126
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)12 (3)15 (0)
Fouls2218
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (6)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)25 (2)
Field Goals46-8542-81
At-the-Rim FG11-1723-28
Midrange FG19-379-24
2-Point FG30-5432-52
3-Point FG16-3110-29
Free Throws15-1922-29
Fast Break Pts1215
2nd Chance Pts1218
Points in Paint4062
Pts off Turnovers2226
Bench Points3030
Biggest Lead1213

BOXSCORE

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10 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 34
43.2
35
60%
5
7
6
0
3
4
3
2
9-10
90%
10-21
48%
2-4
50%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
37.0
20
67%
8
5
1
0
3
3
2
6
2-5
40%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
35.8
15
94%
3
2
1
1
1
3
0
3
4-4
100%
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
Max Strus
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27
34.2
15
75%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
Kevin Love
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
16.4
8
100%
6
0
1
0
3
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
Caleb Martin
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
29.8
15
68%
4
3
2
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
27.8
15
63%
3
3
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
43%
3-5
60%
Cody Zeller
#44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31
9.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
Omer Yurtseven
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand; Surgery
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
123
63%
35
20
12
3
12
22
7
28
15-19
79%
30-54
56%
16-31
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.