FinalWin Prob.pScore
948%105
99
1652%106
121
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
101.098102.6
MIA logo MIA
123.59893.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.99
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)99
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound99
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:28.6BucksGoran Dragic misses two point driving layup99
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:45.6BucksMeyers Leonard defensive rebound99
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.8HeatUdonis Haslem misses three point jump shot99
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10BucksJae Crowder makes two point layup99
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Jae Crowder steals)97
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11HeatUdonis Haslem defensive rebound97
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13BucksMarJon Beauchamp misses two point cutting layup97
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point driving floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)97
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48BucksMarJon Beauchamp makes three point jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50BucksJae Crowder defensive rebound94
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point pullup jump shot94
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11BucksMarJon Beauchamp makes two point pullup jump shot94
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20BucksMarJon Beauchamp defensive rebound92
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22HeatUdonis Haslem misses two point bank jump shot92
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37BucksJae Crowder makes two point driving floating jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)92
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49HeatCaleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Omer Yurtseven assists)90
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound90
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot90
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18BucksGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 290
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18BucksGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 289
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Goran Dragic draws the foul)88
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18BucksBucks offensive rebound88
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20BucksGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot88
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Take) (MarJon Beauchamp draws the foul)88
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)88
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:40HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound88
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42BucksJae Crowder misses two point pullup jump shot88
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 2 of 288
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56HeatHaywood Highsmith makes regular free throw 1 of 288
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56BucksBobby Portis shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10BucksBobby Portis misses two point hook shot88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot88
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22BucksJae Crowder makes regular free throw 2 of 288
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22BucksJae Crowder misses regular free throw 1 of 287
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:22HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Jae Crowder draws the foul)87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:31HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Bobby Portis steals)87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49BucksJoe Ingles turnover (bad pass) (Victor Oladipo steals)87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)87
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 6:18HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound87
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 6:21BucksJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot87
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 6:27BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound87
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 6:29BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot87
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 6:35BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound87
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 6:38BucksJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot87
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 6:41BucksGrayson Allen offensive rebound87
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 6:44BucksJrue Holiday misses two point jump shot87
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 6:59HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point running layup87
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 7:03HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound87
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 7:06BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot87
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 7:14BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound87
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 7:18HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot87
0.6%
106
99.4%
Q4 - 7:41BucksGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)87
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 7:53HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running finger roll layup (Kyle Lowry assists)84
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 7:56HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound84
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 7:59BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot84
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 8:08BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound84
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 8:10HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot84
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 8:29BucksJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)84
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 8:47HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving bank jump shot84
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 8:57BucksJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)84
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 9:20HeatDuncan Robinson makes technical free throw 1 of 184
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 9:20BucksMike Budenholzer technical foul84
1.6%
101
98.4%
Q4 - 9:20HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point running layup (Bam Adebayo assists)84
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 9:24BucksKhris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)84
2.3%
99
97.7%
Q4 - 9:31HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Khris Middleton steals)84
3.0%
99
97.0%
Q4 - 9:47BucksPat Connaughton personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)84
2.3%
99
97.7%
Q4 - 9:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound84
2.3%
99
97.7%
Q4 - 9:49BucksBrook Lopez misses two point turnaround jump shot84
2.5%
99
97.5%
Q4 - 10:00HeatCaleb Martin makes two point tip layup84
3.0%
99
97.0%
Q4 - 10:00HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound84
3.7%
97
96.3%
Q4 - 10:05HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot84
5.3%
97
94.7%
Q4 - 10:27BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 184
4.4%
97
95.6%
Q4 - 10:27HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)83
4.3%
97
95.7%
Q4 - 10:39HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)81
3.0%
97
97.0%
Q4 - 10:52BucksBrook Lopez turnover (out of bounds lost ball)81
4.4%
94
95.6%
Q4 - 10:53BucksBucks offensive rebound81
5.6%
94
94.4%
Q4 - 10:55BucksJrue Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot81
4.7%
94
95.3%
Q4 - 11:08BucksBucks offensive rebound81
6.3%
94
93.7%
Q4 - 11:18BucksJrue Holiday misses regular free throw 1 of 181
5.3%
94
94.7%
Q4 - 11:18HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)81
6.1%
94
93.9%
Q4 - 11:18BucksJrue Holiday offensive rebound79
4.3%
94
95.7%
Q4 - 11:19BucksVictor Oladipo blocks Grayson Allen's two point driving floating jump shot79
3.7%
94
96.3%
Q4 - 11:33BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound79
4.2%
94
95.8%
Q4 - 11:36HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot79
4.0%
94
96.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.79
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q3 - 0:00.6BucksBucks offensive rebound79
5.0%
94
95.0%
Q3 - 0:00.6BucksJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot79
4.4%
94
95.6%
Q3 - 0:02.1BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound79
5.0%
94
95.0%
Q3 - 0:02.1HeatJoe Ingles blocks Kyle Lowry's three point pullup jump shot79
4.7%
94
95.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0BucksKhris Middleton makes two point pullup jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)79
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q3 - 0:32.6HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)77
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q3 - 0:38.7BucksBobby Portis personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)77
2.8%
94
97.2%
Q3 - 0:54.6HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound77
2.8%
94
97.2%
Q3 - 0:56.8BucksJevon Carter misses three point jump shot77
3.0%
94
97.0%
Q3 - 0:58.9BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound77
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q3 - 1:01BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot77
3.6%
94
96.4%
Q3 - 1:14HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot77
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q3 - 1:28BucksBobby Portis makes two point cutting layup (Jrue Holiday assists)77
4.8%
92
95.2%
Q3 - 1:43HeatKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot75
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q3 - 2:03BucksBobby Portis makes two point tip layup75
5.5%
90
94.5%
Q3 - 2:03BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound73
4.7%
90
95.3%
Q3 - 2:05BucksJevon Carter misses three point jump shot73
4.2%
90
95.8%
Q3 - 2:15HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Pat Connaughton steals)73
4.7%
90
95.3%
Q3 - 2:24BucksJoe Ingles turnover (bad pass) (Cody Zeller steals)73
3.9%
90
96.1%
Q3 - 2:35BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound73
4.7%
90
95.3%
Q3 - 2:37HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot73
4.4%
90
95.6%
Q3 - 2:49BucksPat Connaughton makes three point pullup jump shot (Bobby Portis assists)73
3.9%
90
96.1%
Q3 - 3:03HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot70
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q3 - 3:12HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound70
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q3 - 3:15BucksJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot70
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q3 - 3:21HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)70
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q3 - 3:29BucksBucks defensive rebound70
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q3 - 3:29HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot70
4.2%
88
95.8%
Q3 - 3:50HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound70
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q3 - 3:53BucksJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot70
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q3 - 4:01HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup70
5.1%
88
94.9%
Q3 - 4:24BucksKhris Middleton makes two point driving layup (Jevon Carter assists)70
5.7%
86
94.3%
Q3 - 4:34HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot68
5.0%
86
95.0%
Q3 - 4:49BucksJoe Ingles makes two point driving reverse layup (Pat Connaughton assists)68
6.7%
83
93.3%
Q3 - 5:10HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)66
6.5%
83
93.5%
Q3 - 5:30BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 266
7.4%
81
92.6%
Q3 - 5:30BucksKhris Middleton misses regular free throw 1 of 265
7.3%
81
92.7%
Q3 - 5:30HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)65
8.3%
81
91.7%
Q3 - 5:39HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)65
7.5%
81
92.5%
Q3 - 5:39HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Joe Ingles draws the foul)65
6.4%
81
93.6%
Q3 - 5:39HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound65
6.4%
81
93.6%
Q3 - 5:40BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot65
6.7%
81
93.3%
Q3 - 5:47BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound65
7.5%
81
92.5%
Q3 - 5:49HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup65
7.1%
81
92.9%
Q3 - 6:08BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)65
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q3 - 6:13BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound62
5.3%
81
94.7%
Q3 - 6:16HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving bank jump shot62
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q3 - 6:34BucksJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)62
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q3 - 6:42BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound62
5.3%
81
94.7%
Q3 - 6:45HeatKevin Love misses three point running jump shot62
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q3 - 6:50BucksJoe Ingles turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)62
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q3 - 7:05HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 262
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q3 - 7:05HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 262
6.0%
80
94.0%
Q3 - 7:05BucksKhris Middleton shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)62
6.2%
79
93.8%
Q3 - 7:05HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound62
6.5%
79
93.5%
Q3 - 7:06HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot62
7.3%
79
92.7%
Q3 - 7:10HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound62
6.5%
79
93.5%
Q3 - 7:13BucksKevin Love blocks Jrue Holiday's two point layup62
6.9%
79
93.1%
Q3 - 7:24HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kevin Love assists)62
7.6%
79
92.4%
Q3 - 7:51BucksJrue Holiday makes two point floating jump shot62
9.7%
76
90.3%
Q3 - 8:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point reverse layup (Caleb Martin assists)60
9.3%
76
90.7%
Q3 - 8:12HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound60
10.3%
74
89.7%
Q3 - 8:12BucksJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot60
10.7%
74
89.3%
Q3 - 8:15BucksPat Connaughton offensive rebound60
11.9%
74
88.1%
Q3 - 8:18BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot60
10.7%
74
89.3%
Q3 - 8:25HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)60
11.9%
74
88.1%
Q3 - 8:35HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)60
11.9%
74
88.1%
Q3 - 8:35HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Bobby Portis steals)60
11.9%
74
88.1%
Q3 - 8:46HeatKevin Love defensive rebound60
10.2%
74
89.8%
Q3 - 8:49BucksBobby Portis misses two point jump shot60
10.7%
74
89.3%
Q3 - 9:00HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot60
11.9%
74
88.1%
Q3 - 9:24BucksGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)60
13.8%
72
86.2%
Q3 - 9:46HeatMax Strus makes two point running layup (Kevin Love assists)57
11.0%
72
89.0%
Q3 - 9:52BucksJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)57
12.2%
70
87.8%
Q3 - 10:09HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating jump shot57
14.6%
70
85.4%
Q3 - 10:21BucksGrayson Allen makes two point running dunk (Khris Middleton assists)57
16.1%
68
83.9%
Q3 - 10:22BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound55
14.6%
68
85.4%
Q3 - 10:27HeatJrue Holiday blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup55
14.0%
68
86.0%
Q3 - 10:43BucksKhris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)55
12.8%
68
87.2%
Q3 - 10:56HeatMax Strus makes two point driving layup55
14.6%
68
85.4%
Q3 - 11:10BucksGrayson Allen turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)55
16.6%
66
83.4%
Q3 - 11:24HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)55
18.6%
66
81.4%
Q3 - 11:24HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)55
16.6%
66
83.4%
Q3 - 11:30BucksBobby Portis personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)55
16.6%
66
83.4%
Q3 - 11:37BucksKhris Middleton makes two point fadeaway jump shot55
16.6%
66
83.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.53
14.9%
66
85.1%
Q2 - 0:00.4HeatKevin Love defensive rebound53
14.2%
66
85.8%
Q2 - 0:00.4BucksKhris Middleton misses two point pullup jump shot53
14.5%
66
85.5%
Q2 - 0:13.2HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)53
15.4%
66
84.6%
Q2 - 0:24.7BucksPat Connaughton makes two point driving layup (Brook Lopez assists)53
19.4%
63
80.6%
Q2 - 0:32.3HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)51
17.2%
63
82.8%
Q2 - 0:46.1HeatCaleb Martin makes three point pullup jump shot51
17.1%
63
82.9%
Q2 - 0:51.7HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound51
21.4%
60
78.6%
Q2 - 0:55.2BucksJae Crowder misses two point pullup jump shot51
22.0%
60
78.0%
Q2 - 1:07BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound51
24.0%
60
76.0%
Q2 - 1:10HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup51
23.5%
60
76.5%
Q2 - 1:33BucksKhris Middleton makes three point pullup jump shot51
22.3%
60
77.7%
Q2 - 1:42BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound48
17.8%
60
82.2%
Q2 - 1:45HeatKyle Lowry misses two point stepback jump shot48
17.4%
60
82.6%
Q2 - 2:01BucksJrue Holiday makes two point layup48
17.0%
60
83.0%
Q2 - 2:16HeatJimmy Butler makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)46
15.4%
60
84.6%
Q2 - 2:34BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)46
16.9%
58
83.1%
Q2 - 2:36BucksKhris Middleton offensive rebound43
13.9%
58
86.1%
Q2 - 2:40BucksKyle Lowry blocks Khris Middleton's two point running layup43
12.9%
58
87.1%
Q2 - 2:44HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Khris Middleton steals)43
13.9%
58
86.1%
Q2 - 2:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound43
12.4%
58
87.6%
Q2 - 2:57BucksJrue Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot43
12.9%
58
87.1%
Q2 - 3:08HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 143
14.8%
58
85.2%
Q2 - 3:08BucksJoe Ingles shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)43
15.0%
57
85.0%
Q2 - 3:15BucksKhris Middleton makes three point jump shot (Brook Lopez assists)43
17.6%
55
82.4%
Q2 - 3:41HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup40
14.8%
55
85.2%
Q2 - 3:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound40
16.0%
53
84.0%
Q2 - 3:55BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot40
16.5%
53
83.5%
Q2 - 4:03HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Joe Ingles draws the foul)40
18.4%
53
81.6%
Q2 - 4:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 240
18.4%
53
81.6%
Q2 - 4:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 240
18.8%
52
81.2%
Q2 - 4:16BucksBobby Portis shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)40
19.1%
51
80.9%
Q2 - 4:26BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving layup40
20.1%
51
79.9%
Q2 - 4:39HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)38
18.4%
51
81.6%
Q2 - 4:59BucksKhris Middleton makes two point driving bank jump shot38
22.0%
48
78.0%
Q2 - 5:03BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound36
20.7%
48
79.3%
Q2 - 5:06HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot36
20.0%
48
80.0%
Q2 - 5:34BucksBobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)36
18.6%
48
81.4%
Q2 - 5:51BucksBucks defensive rebound33
15.7%
48
84.3%
Q2 - 5:51HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot33
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 6:08BucksJoe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)33
14.6%
48
85.4%
Q2 - 6:23HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot30
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 6:33BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 230
14.6%
45
85.4%
Q2 - 6:33BucksJrue Holiday misses regular free throw 1 of 229
14.4%
45
85.6%
Q2 - 6:33HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)29
15.5%
45
84.5%
Q2 - 6:50HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 229
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 6:50HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 229
15.1%
44
84.9%
Q2 - 6:50BucksBobby Portis shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)29
15.3%
43
84.7%
Q2 - 7:03BucksJrue Holiday personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)29
16.6%
43
83.4%
Q2 - 7:07HeatKevin Love defensive rebound29
16.6%
43
83.4%
Q2 - 7:09BucksKhris Middleton misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot29
17.1%
43
82.9%
Q2 - 7:28HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running pullup jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)29
18.2%
43
81.8%
Q2 - 7:33HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound29
21.5%
40
78.5%
Q2 - 7:35BucksGrayson Allen misses two point driving bank jump shot29
22.0%
40
78.0%
Q2 - 7:48HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)29
23.4%
40
76.6%
Q2 - 8:00BucksGrayson Allen defensive rebound29
23.4%
40
76.6%
Q2 - 8:04HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 2 of 229
23.4%
40
76.6%
Q2 - 8:04HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 229
22.2%
40
77.8%
Q2 - 8:04BucksGrayson Allen shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)29
22.6%
39
77.4%
Q2 - 8:06BucksKhris Middleton turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)29
23.5%
39
76.5%
Q2 - 8:18HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)29
25.6%
39
74.4%
Q2 - 8:33HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound29
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q2 - 8:35BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot29
28.1%
37
71.9%
Q2 - 8:42BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound29
29.7%
37
70.3%
Q2 - 8:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup29
29.0%
37
71.0%
Q2 - 8:55BucksKhris Middleton personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)29
27.5%
37
72.5%
Q2 - 9:12BucksGrayson Allen makes three point pullup jump shot (Pat Connaughton assists)29
27.6%
37
72.4%
Q2 - 9:25BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound26
23.8%
37
76.2%
Q2 - 9:27HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point turnaround bank jump shot26
23.2%
37
76.8%
Q2 - 9:36HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound26
21.9%
37
78.1%
Q2 - 9:38BucksBrook Lopez misses two point cutting layup26
22.5%
37
77.5%
Q2 - 9:48BucksGrayson Allen defensive rebound26
23.8%
37
76.2%
Q2 - 9:55HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot26
23.2%
37
76.8%
Q2 - 10:24BucksGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)26
22.4%
37
77.6%
Q2 - 10:43HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)23
19.2%
37
80.8%
Q2 - 11:01BucksBrook Lopez makes two point jump shot (Jevon Carter assists)23
23.2%
34
76.8%
Q2 - 11:15HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot21
21.4%
34
78.6%
Q2 - 11:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound21
24.9%
31
75.1%
Q2 - 11:28BucksBrook Lopez misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot21
25.4%
31
74.6%
Q2 - 11:44HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point turnaround jump shot21
26.7%
31
73.3%
Q2 - 11:56BucksPat Connaughton turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)21
28.6%
29
71.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
30.6%
29
69.4%
Q1 - 0:04.4HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound21
28.9%
29
71.1%
Q1 - 0:04.4BucksBam Adebayo blocks Jrue Holiday's two point jump shot21
29.5%
29
70.5%
Q1 - 0:24.0HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 221
30.7%
29
69.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 221
31.1%
28
68.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0BucksBrook Lopez personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)21
31.5%
27
68.5%
Q1 - 0:24.0HeatHeat offensive rebound21
32.9%
27
67.1%
Q1 - 0:25.4HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot21
34.2%
27
65.8%
Q1 - 0:35.5HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound21
32.9%
27
67.1%
Q1 - 0:37.8BucksJrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot21
33.5%
27
66.5%
Q1 - 0:52.5HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)21
34.8%
27
65.2%
Q1 - 1:05BucksJrue Holiday turnover (out of bounds bad pass)21
39.6%
24
60.4%
Q1 - 1:17HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 3 of 321
41.6%
24
58.4%
Q1 - 1:17HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 321
42.0%
23
58.0%
Q1 - 1:17HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 321
40.1%
23
59.9%
Q1 - 1:17BucksPat Connaughton shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)21
40.4%
22
59.6%
Q1 - 1:22HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound21
44.1%
22
55.9%
Q1 - 1:25BucksJoe Ingles misses three point pullup jump shot21
44.7%
22
55.3%
Q1 - 1:43HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot21
46.2%
22
53.8%
Q1 - 1:58HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound21
51.0%
19
49.0%
Q1 - 1:58BucksJrue Holiday misses three point running pullup jump shot21
51.7%
19
48.3%
Q1 - 2:04BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound21
53.1%
19
46.9%
Q1 - 2:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point hook shot21
52.4%
19
47.6%
Q1 - 2:22BucksBobby Portis turnover (offensive foul)21
50.8%
19
49.2%
Q1 - 2:22BucksBobby Portis offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)21
53.1%
19
46.9%
Q1 - 2:41HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)21
53.2%
19
46.8%
Q1 - 2:51HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound21
50.8%
19
49.2%
Q1 - 2:53BucksJrue Holiday misses two point stepback jump shot21
51.5%
19
48.5%
Q1 - 3:02BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound21
53.0%
19
47.0%
Q1 - 3:04HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot21
52.2%
19
47.8%
Q1 - 3:16HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound21
50.4%
19
49.6%
Q1 - 3:18BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot21
51.2%
19
48.8%
Q1 - 3:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot21
53.0%
19
47.0%
Q1 - 4:02BucksBrook Lopez turnover (back court violation)21
54.6%
17
45.4%
Q1 - 4:18HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving dunk21
57.0%
17
43.0%
Q1 - 4:38BucksBrook Lopez makes two point turnaround hook shot21
58.7%
15
41.3%
Q1 - 4:51HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Grayson Allen draws the foul)19
57.0%
15
43.0%
Q1 - 5:01BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound19
56.6%
15
43.4%
Q1 - 5:04HeatBrook Lopez blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving layup19
56.0%
15
44.0%
Q1 - 5:18BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 219
54.4%
15
45.6%
Q1 - 5:18BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 218
54.2%
15
45.8%
Q1 - 5:18HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)17
53.9%
15
46.1%
Q1 - 5:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk17
52.6%
15
47.4%
Q1 - 5:28HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound17
54.4%
13
45.6%
Q1 - 5:29HeatJimmy Butler misses two point putback layup17
56.0%
13
44.0%
Q1 - 5:31HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound17
54.4%
13
45.6%
Q1 - 5:33HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup17
56.0%
13
44.0%
Q1 - 5:33HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound17
54.4%
13
45.6%
Q1 - 5:33HeatMax Strus misses two point driving floating bank jump shot17
56.0%
13
44.0%
Q1 - 5:55BucksKhris Middleton makes three point pullup jump shot17
54.4%
13
45.6%
Q1 - 6:03BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound14
50.4%
13
49.6%
Q1 - 6:05HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot14
49.8%
13
50.2%
Q1 - 6:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
48.4%
13
51.6%
Q1 - 6:15BucksBrook Lopez misses two point floating jump shot14
49.0%
13
51.0%
Q1 - 6:28HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot14
50.4%
13
49.6%
Q1 - 6:33HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound14
54.4%
10
45.6%
Q1 - 6:37HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot14
55.8%
10
44.2%
Q1 - 6:46HeatKevin Love defensive rebound14
54.4%
10
45.6%
Q1 - 6:49BucksBrook Lopez misses two point jump shot14
55.0%
10
45.0%
Q1 - 7:03HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)14
56.4%
10
43.6%
Q1 - 7:17BucksJrue Holiday makes two point jump shot14
60.0%
7
40.0%
Q1 - 7:31BucksGrayson Allen defensive rebound12
58.3%
7
41.7%
Q1 - 7:33HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot12
57.7%
7
42.3%
Q1 - 7:49BucksBobby Portis makes two point driving floating jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)12
56.2%
7
43.8%
Q1 - 7:58BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound10
54.4%
7
45.6%
Q1 - 8:00HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot10
53.8%
7
46.2%
Q1 - 8:14BucksJrue Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot10
52.4%
7
47.6%
Q1 - 8:29HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)7
48.7%
7
51.3%
Q1 - 8:37HeatKevin Love defensive rebound7
52.4%
4
47.6%
Q1 - 8:39BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot7
53.0%
4
47.0%
Q1 - 8:52HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)7
54.5%
4
45.5%
Q1 - 8:52HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Charge) (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)7
52.3%
4
47.7%
Q1 - 9:01HeatKevin Love defensive rebound7
52.2%
4
47.8%
Q1 - 9:04BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot7
52.8%
4
47.2%
Q1 - 9:24HeatMax Strus makes two point running dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)7
54.2%
4
45.8%
Q1 - 9:29BucksKhris Middleton turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)7
55.9%
2
44.1%
Q1 - 9:34HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Brook Lopez steals)7
57.9%
2
42.1%
Q1 - 9:54BucksJrue Holiday makes three point running pullup jump shot7
55.9%
2
44.1%
Q1 - 9:58BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound4
52.3%
2
47.7%
Q1 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot4
51.7%
2
48.3%
Q1 - 10:11BucksBrook Lopez makes two point finger roll layup (Khris Middleton assists)4
50.0%
2
50.0%
Q1 - 10:26HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
48.4%
2
51.6%
Q1 - 10:44BucksKhris Middleton turnover (offensive foul)2
46.4%
2
53.6%
Q1 - 10:44BucksKhris Middleton offensive foul (Charge) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)2
48.4%
2
51.6%
Q1 - 11:04HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Gabe Vincent assists)2
48.3%
2
51.7%
Q1 - 11:08HeatKevin Love defensive rebound2
49.8%
0
50.2%
Q1 - 11:10BucksKhris Middleton misses two point running layup2
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 11:15BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound2
51.8%
0
48.2%
Q1 - 11:17HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot2
51.2%
0
48.8%
Q1 - 11:32BucksJrue Holiday makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot2
49.8%
0
50.2%
Q1 - 11:38BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound0
48.3%
0
51.7%
Q1 - 11:39HeatGabe Vincent misses two point tip layup0
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 11:39HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound0
46.2%
0
53.8%
Q1 - 11:43HeatGabe Vincent misses two point floating jump shot0
47.6%
0
52.4%
Q1 - 12:00Brook Lopez vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
46.2%
0
53.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.08 53.8%
MIA
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
11
18
61%
MIA
15
22
68%
Midrange
MIL
12
28
43%
MIA
14
29
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
15
22.5
39
38%
58%
MIA
16
24.0
33
48%
73%
Free Throws
MIL
8
12
67%
MIA
15
17
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Middleton2372%11.5 / 16
J. Holiday1950%9.5 / 19
G. Allen1470%7.0 / 10
P. Connaughton1179%5.5 / 7
B. Portis950%4.5 / 9
B. Lopez633%3.0 / 9
J. Ingles536%2.5 / 7
J. Crowder550%2.5 / 5
M. Beauchamp583%2.5 / 3
G. Dragic233%1.0 / 3
J. Carter0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3075%15.0 / 20
D. Robinson20111%10.0 / 9
K. Lowry1568%7.5 / 11
B. Adebayo1250%6.0 / 12
M. Strus1275%6.0 / 8
C. Martin1260%6.0 / 10
V. Oladipo867%4.0 / 6
K. Love650%3.0 / 6
H. Highsmith4200%2.0 / 1
G. Vincent220%1.0 / 5
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
80
+12
-18
92
MIA
85
+9
-13
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.08 53.8%
MIA
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.7
114.3
MIL 101.0
MIA 123.5 +22.4
Pace
101.5
94.4
MIL 102.6 +8.8
MIA 93.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.5
MIL 14.0 +1.3
MIA 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.9%
53.1%
MIL 53.5%
MIA 63.1% +9.6%
TO %
13.7%
11.6%
MIL 16.6%
MIA 13.3% +3.3%
ORB %
22.8%
21.7%
MIL 18.2%
MIA 21.6% +3.4%
FTrt
23.1
22.8
MIL 14.1
MIA 20.2 +6.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
59.3%
MIL 57.9% +9.0%
MIA 48.9%
STL %
6.4%
7.4%
MIL 7.1%
MIA 13.3% +6.2%
BLK %
6.5%
7.4%
MIL 5.9%
MIA 8.7% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.2%
55.5%
MIL 53.8%
MIA 64.4% +10.6%
Rim FG%
65.3%
60.5%
MIL 61.1%
MIA 68.2% +7.1%
Mid FG%
46.3%
41.3%
MIL 42.9%
MIA 48.3% +5.4%
3P %
37.9%
38.0%
MIL 38.5%
MIA 48.5% +10.0%
FT %
71.0%
81.3%
MIL 66.7%
MIA 88.2% +21.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
26.1%
29.9%
MIL 21.2%
MIA 26.2% +5.0%
Mid Att. %
29.4%
31.3%
MIL 32.9% +1.6%
MIA 34.5%
3P Att. %
44.5%
38.8%
MIL 45.9% +6.6%
MIA 39.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points99121
Rebounds3744
Assists2222
Steals713
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)13 (1)
Fouls1518
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)8 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)36 (0)
Field Goals38-8545-84
At-the-Rim FG11-1815-22
Midrange FG12-2814-29
2-Point FG23-4629-51
3-Point FG15-3916-33
Free Throws8-1215-17
Fast Break Pts1318
2nd Chance Pts913
Points in Paint3646
Pts off Turnovers1321
Bench Points2859
Biggest Lead729

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#21 · PG · 6'4" 205 · 33
35.9
19
50%
5
3
0
1
5
1
1
4
1-3
33%
6-12
50%
2-6
33%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 32
34.0
23
72%
5
6
2
0
5
3
1
4
4-5
80%
5-9
56%
3-5
60%
#11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 35
29.9
6
33%
3
2
1
1
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
#12 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 28
27.1
14
70%
4
2
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
4-7
57%
#9 · PF · 6'10" 250 · 28
23.1
9
50%
10
1
2
0
1
6
4
6
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
#24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 30
26.0
11
79%
7
3
1
0
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
#7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 36
22.4
5
36%
0
1
0
1
3
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-6
17%
#99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 33
13.4
5
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
#5 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 28
12.4
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#31 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 37
3.9
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
#0 · SF · 6'6" 199 · 23
3.9
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
#43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 31
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#3 · C · 7'1" 255 · 31
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 28
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Lower Back; Contusion
#23 · SG · 6'5" 220 · 37
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Calf; Strain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
54%
37
22
7
3
18
15
8
29
8-12
67%
23-46
50%
15-39
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.