for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, April 19, 2023
FinalWin Prob.pScore
11
Heat
36%103
122
10
Bucks
64%108
138
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
118.4103114.0
MIL logo MIL
134.010394.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.122
0%
138
100%
Q4 - 0:13.5HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Jevon Carter steals)122
0%
138
100%
Q4 - 0:27.1BucksGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 2122
0.1%
138
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.1BucksGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 2122
0.1%
137
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.1HeatCody Zeller shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)122
0.1%
136
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.9HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Cody Zeller assists)122
0.1%
136
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.4HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound119
0.1%
136
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.9BucksMeyers Leonard misses two point cutting layup119
0.1%
136
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)119
0.1%
136
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound116
0.1%
136
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16HeatVictor Oladipo misses regular free throw 2 of 2116
0.1%
136
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16HeatVictor Oladipo misses regular free throw 1 of 2116
0.1%
136
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16BucksBobby Portis shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)116
0.1%
136
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)116
0.1%
136
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Jae Crowder steals)116
0.1%
133
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46BucksJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)116
0.1%
133
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)116
0.1%
133
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)113
0.1%
133
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34BucksJae Crowder defensive rebound113
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot113
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56BucksBobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)113
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11HeatCody Zeller turnover (lost ball) (Jrue Holiday steals)113
0.2%
127
99.8%
Q4 - 3:16HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound113
0.2%
127
99.8%
Q4 - 3:18BucksJae Crowder misses three point jump shot113
0.2%
127
99.8%
Q4 - 3:47HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point pullup jump shot113
0.4%
127
99.6%
Q4 - 3:56HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound111
0.3%
127
99.7%
Q4 - 3:59BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot111
0.2%
127
99.8%
Q4 - 4:09BucksPat Connaughton offensive rebound111
0.2%
127
99.8%
Q4 - 4:10BucksJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot111
0.2%
127
99.8%
Q4 - 4:26HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point dunk111
0.2%
127
99.8%
Q4 - 4:29BucksJoe Ingles turnover (bad pass) (Haywood Highsmith steals)109
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 1109
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34BucksPat Connaughton shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)108
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound106
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41BucksGrayson Allen misses two point driving layup106
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58HeatCody Zeller makes two point floating jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)106
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound104
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot104
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 5:32HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)104
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)101
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound101
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point stepback jump shot101
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 6:03HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound101
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06BucksKhris Middleton misses three point pullup jump shot101
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound101
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving bank hook shot101
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 6:24HeatCody Zeller offensive rebound101
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 6:25HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point jump shot101
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 6:38BucksGrayson Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
0.1%
124
99.9%
Q4 - 6:38BucksGrayson Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 6:38HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Grayson Allen draws the foul)101
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 6:57HeatCaleb Martin makes three point running jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)101
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound98
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06BucksHaywood Highsmith blocks Khris Middleton's two point jump shot98
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 7:16BucksGrayson Allen defensive rebound98
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 7:19HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving floating jump shot98
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38BucksBrook Lopez makes two point turnaround jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)98
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57HeatCaleb Martin makes three point running jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)98
0.2%
120
99.8%
Q4 - 8:00HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound95
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 8:02BucksKhris Middleton misses two point driving floating jump shot95
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 8:16HeatCody Zeller turnover (out of bounds bad pass)95
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 8:23HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound95
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 8:27BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot95
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 8:47BucksJevon Carter defensive rebound95
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 8:51HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot95
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 8:55HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound95
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 8:58BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot95
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 9:23HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)95
0.2%
120
99.8%
Q4 - 9:28HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound92
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 9:31BucksKhris Middleton misses two point driving floating jump shot92
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 9:50HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point pullup jump shot (Cody Zeller assists)92
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 10:01HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound90
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 10:04BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot90
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 10:18HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)90
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 10:24HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound87
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 10:28BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot87
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 10:39HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Brook Lopez steals)87
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 10:56BucksBrook Lopez makes two point turnaround hook shot (Joe Ingles assists)87
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 11:11BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound87
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 11:15HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point pullup jump shot87
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 11:23HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound87
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 11:26BucksJevon Carter misses three point jump shot87
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 11:46HeatCody Zeller makes two point reverse layup (Caleb Martin assists)87
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.85
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.4BucksJoe Ingles makes three point stepback jump shot85
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q3 - 0:24.5BucksBucks defensive rebound85
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q3 - 0:26.5HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot85
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0BucksJevon Carter makes three point jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)85
0.2%
115
99.8%
Q3 - 0:53.5HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)85
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q3 - 1:00BucksPat Connaughton turnover (lost ball) (Kevin Love steals)83
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q3 - 1:20HeatKevin Love turnover (out of bounds lost ball)83
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q3 - 1:26HeatKevin Love defensive rebound83
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q3 - 1:29BucksBobby Portis misses two point hook shot83
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q3 - 1:30BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound83
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q3 - 1:32BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot83
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q3 - 1:45HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 283
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q3 - 1:45HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 282
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q3 - 1:45BucksBobby Portis personal foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)81
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q3 - 1:45HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound81
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q3 - 1:48BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot81
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q3 - 2:07HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot81
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q3 - 2:15HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound78
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q3 - 2:19BucksJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot78
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q3 - 2:33HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 278
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q3 - 2:33HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 277
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q3 - 2:33BucksBobby Portis personal foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)76
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q3 - 2:41BucksBobby Portis makes two point running dunk76
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q3 - 2:47HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Bobby Portis steals)76
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q3 - 2:56BucksBobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Pat Connaughton assists)76
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q3 - 3:09HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Joe Ingles steals)76
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q3 - 3:22HeatMax Strus defensive rebound76
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q3 - 3:22BucksJae Crowder misses two point jump shot76
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q3 - 3:42HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 176
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q3 - 3:42BucksJrue Holiday shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)76
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q3 - 3:49HeatJimmy Butler makes flagrant free throw 2 of 274
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q3 - 3:49HeatJimmy Butler misses flagrant free throw 1 of 273
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q3 - 3:49BucksJae Crowder flagrant 1 (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)73
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q3 - 3:49HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound73
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q3 - 3:51HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running pullup jump shot73
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q3 - 3:54HeatKevin Love defensive rebound73
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q3 - 3:57BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot73
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q3 - 4:04BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound73
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q3 - 4:07HeatKevin Love misses two point hook shot73
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q3 - 4:24BucksJoe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)73
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q3 - 4:33BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound73
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q3 - 4:37HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot73
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q3 - 4:48BucksKhris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)73
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q3 - 4:56BucksGrayson Allen defensive rebound73
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q3 - 5:00HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot73
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q3 - 5:13BucksJoe Ingles makes three point running jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)73
0.5%
104
99.5%
Q3 - 5:20HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Brook Lopez steals)73
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q3 - 5:23HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound73
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q3 - 5:26BucksJrue Holiday misses two point jump shot73
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q3 - 5:46BucksJoe Ingles defensive rebound73
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q3 - 5:50HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot73
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q3 - 6:16BucksGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Brook Lopez assists)73
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q3 - 6:28HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)73
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q3 - 6:32BucksBrook Lopez turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)73
1.4%
98
98.6%
Q3 - 6:50HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)73
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q3 - 7:13BucksGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)71
1.2%
98
98.8%
Q3 - 7:23HeatBam Adebayo turnover (palming)71
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q3 - 7:32BucksKhris Middleton makes two point running layup71
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q3 - 7:36BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound71
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q3 - 7:39HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot71
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q3 - 7:54BucksGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)71
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q3 - 8:11HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)71
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q3 - 8:32BucksBrook Lopez makes two point cutting dunk (Khris Middleton assists)68
2.6%
90
97.4%
Q3 - 8:48HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving layup68
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q3 - 8:57BucksKhris Middleton makes two point driving finger roll layup (Grayson Allen assists)66
2.6%
88
97.4%
Q3 - 9:17HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup66
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q3 - 9:24BucksBobby Portis turnover (lost ball) (Max Strus steals)64
2.8%
86
97.2%
Q3 - 9:26BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound64
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q3 - 9:31HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 164
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q3 - 9:31BucksJrue Holiday shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)64
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q3 - 9:41BucksKhris Middleton makes two point pullup jump shot62
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q3 - 9:52BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound62
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q3 - 9:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot62
2.5%
84
97.5%
Q3 - 9:57HeatMax Strus offensive rebound62
2.8%
84
97.2%
Q3 - 10:01HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot62
2.7%
84
97.3%
Q3 - 10:16BucksJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Bobby Portis assists)62
3.0%
84
97.0%
Q3 - 10:19BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound62
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q3 - 10:21BucksBrook Lopez misses two point layup62
4.3%
81
95.7%
Q3 - 10:34HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)62
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q3 - 10:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound60
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q3 - 10:47BucksJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot60
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 11:01HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)60
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q3 - 11:20BucksJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)57
2.4%
81
97.6%
Q3 - 11:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 257
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q3 - 11:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 256
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q3 - 11:39BucksBobby Portis shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)55
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q3 - 11:44BucksJrue Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)55
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.55
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0BucksBucks offensive rebound55
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q2 - 0:01.4BucksJrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot55
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q2 - 0:21.7HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving finger roll layup55
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q2 - 0:30.9BucksJrue Holiday makes two point jump shot53
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound53
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q2 - 0:43.6HeatGabe Vincent misses regular free throw 1 of 153
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q2 - 0:43.6BucksJoe Ingles shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)53
2.0%
79
98.0%
Q2 - 0:49.9BucksBrook Lopez makes two point floating jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)50
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup50
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q2 - 1:10HeatMax Strus defensive rebound48
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q2 - 1:13BucksJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot48
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q2 - 1:28BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound48
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q2 - 1:32HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot48
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q2 - 1:40BucksJoe Ingles turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)48
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q2 - 1:49BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound48
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q2 - 1:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot48
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q2 - 1:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound48
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q2 - 2:02BucksJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot48
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q2 - 2:17HeatCaleb Martin makes two point pullup jump shot48
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q2 - 2:29BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving finger roll layup46
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q2 - 2:37HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Brook Lopez draws the foul)46
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q2 - 2:46HeatGabe Vincent makes three point stepback jump shot46
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q2 - 3:05BucksJoe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)43
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q2 - 3:09BucksJae Crowder offensive rebound43
1.7%
72
98.3%
Q2 - 3:11BucksBrook Lopez misses three point running jump shot43
1.9%
72
98.1%
Q2 - 3:15BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound43
1.7%
72
98.3%
Q2 - 3:17HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot43
1.8%
72
98.2%
Q2 - 3:35BucksJoe Ingles makes three point running pullup jump shot43
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q2 - 3:41HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Joe Ingles steals)43
2.4%
69
97.6%
Q2 - 3:55BucksJrue Holiday makes three point pullup jump shot43
2.7%
69
97.3%
Q2 - 4:00BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound43
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q2 - 4:03HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot43
3.8%
66
96.2%
Q2 - 4:20BucksJoe Ingles makes two point pullup jump shot43
4.0%
66
96.0%
Q2 - 4:28BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound43
4.5%
64
95.5%
Q2 - 4:31HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot43
4.6%
64
95.4%
Q2 - 4:48BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving hook shot43
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q2 - 5:11HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 243
5.6%
62
94.4%
Q2 - 5:11HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 242
5.5%
62
94.5%
Q2 - 5:11BucksBrook Lopez shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)41
5.5%
62
94.5%
Q2 - 5:29BucksPat Connaughton makes three point running jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)41
5.2%
62
94.8%
Q2 - 5:32BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound41
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q2 - 5:35HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot41
6.5%
59
93.5%
Q2 - 5:46BucksBrook Lopez makes regular free throw 1 of 141
7.1%
59
92.9%
Q2 - 5:46HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Brook Lopez draws the foul)41
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q2 - 5:47BucksBrook Lopez offensive rebound41
8.5%
56
91.5%
Q2 - 5:48BucksKevin Love blocks Brook Lopez's two point cutting layup41
9.2%
56
90.8%
Q2 - 5:55BucksJoe Ingles defensive rebound41
8.5%
56
91.5%
Q2 - 5:57HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot41
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q2 - 6:10BucksJrue Holiday makes three point running jump shot (Pat Connaughton assists)41
9.9%
56
90.1%
Q2 - 6:16BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound41
11.8%
53
88.2%
Q2 - 6:18HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot41
12.2%
53
87.8%
Q2 - 6:35BucksPat Connaughton makes two point running finger roll layup41
13.2%
53
86.8%
Q2 - 6:38HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Pat Connaughton steals)41
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q2 - 7:02HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound41
16.0%
51
84.0%
Q2 - 7:04BucksKhris Middleton misses two point running layup41
15.6%
51
84.4%
Q2 - 7:09BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound41
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q2 - 7:13HeatPat Connaughton blocks Kyle Lowry's three point running pullup jump shot41
15.0%
51
85.0%
Q2 - 7:15HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound41
16.0%
51
84.0%
Q2 - 7:18BucksGrayson Allen misses three point pullup jump shot41
15.6%
51
84.4%
Q2 - 7:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)41
14.5%
51
85.5%
Q2 - 7:47HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound39
13.4%
51
86.6%
Q2 - 7:50BucksJevon Carter misses three point jump shot39
13.0%
51
87.0%
Q2 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)39
12.3%
51
87.7%
Q2 - 8:21BucksKhris Middleton makes three point pullup jump shot37
11.3%
51
88.7%
Q2 - 8:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Caleb Martin assists)37
13.5%
48
86.5%
Q2 - 8:39HeatVictor Oladipo offensive rebound35
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 8:41HeatBobby Portis blocks Bam Adebayo's two point tip layup35
11.6%
48
88.4%
Q2 - 8:41HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound35
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 8:43HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point floating jump shot35
11.6%
48
88.4%
Q2 - 8:53BucksKhris Middleton makes three point stepback jump shot35
12.4%
48
87.6%
Q2 - 9:01HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)35
14.9%
45
85.1%
Q2 - 9:15BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Bobby Portis assists)35
16.2%
45
83.8%
Q2 - 9:28HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point jump shot35
19.1%
42
80.9%
Q2 - 9:39HeatMax Strus makes technical free throw 1 of 133
17.7%
42
82.3%
Q2 - 9:39BucksBobby Portis technical foul32
17.3%
42
82.7%
Q2 - 9:39BucksBobby Portis personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)32
16.2%
42
83.8%
Q2 - 9:39BucksGrayson Allen turnover (out of bounds bad pass)32
17.3%
42
82.7%
Q2 - 9:57HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)32
14.8%
42
85.2%
Q2 - 9:57HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Grayson Allen draws the foul)32
16.2%
42
83.8%
Q2 - 10:09HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound32
16.5%
42
83.5%
Q2 - 10:11BucksBobby Portis misses two point jump shot32
16.1%
42
83.9%
Q2 - 10:18BucksJevon Carter defensive rebound32
15.1%
42
84.9%
Q2 - 10:22HeatBobby Portis blocks Caleb Martin's two point cutting layup32
15.5%
42
84.5%
Q2 - 10:35BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 232
16.5%
42
83.5%
Q2 - 10:35BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 232
16.6%
41
83.4%
Q2 - 10:35HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)32
16.8%
40
83.2%
Q2 - 10:43HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point pullup jump shot32
17.9%
40
82.1%
Q2 - 11:02BucksPat Connaughton makes three point jump shot (Bobby Portis assists)30
16.8%
40
83.2%
Q2 - 11:20HeatKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot30
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 11:42BucksGrayson Allen makes two point cutting layup (Pat Connaughton assists)28
18.2%
37
81.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
19.7%
35
80.3%
Q1 - 0:00.5BucksBrook Lopez makes two point turnaround bank hook shot (Jrue Holiday assists)28
21.1%
35
78.9%
Q1 - 0:09.6HeatKyle Lowry turnover (traveling)28
22.9%
33
77.1%
Q1 - 0:26.0BucksBrook Lopez makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jevon Carter assists)28
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q1 - 0:33.2HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 128
26.4%
31
73.6%
Q1 - 0:33.2BucksJae Crowder shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)27
26.1%
31
73.9%
Q1 - 0:52.2BucksPat Connaughton makes two point driving finger roll layup (Brook Lopez assists)25
22.7%
31
77.3%
Q1 - 1:04HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 125
24.7%
29
75.3%
Q1 - 1:04BucksPat Connaughton shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)24
24.3%
29
75.7%
Q1 - 1:10HeatKevin Love defensive rebound22
21.3%
29
78.7%
Q1 - 1:12BucksBrook Lopez misses two point tip layup22
20.8%
29
79.2%
Q1 - 1:12BucksBrook Lopez offensive rebound22
19.9%
29
80.1%
Q1 - 1:13BucksJae Crowder misses two point driving floating jump shot22
20.8%
29
79.2%
Q1 - 1:22HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (Brook Lopez draws the foul)22
19.9%
29
80.1%
Q1 - 1:22BucksBucks offensive rebound22
19.9%
29
80.1%
Q1 - 1:22BucksJae Crowder misses three point jump shot22
20.8%
29
79.2%
Q1 - 1:40HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot22
19.9%
29
80.1%
Q1 - 1:53BucksJrue Holiday makes two point pullup jump shot19
16.9%
29
83.1%
Q1 - 2:14BucksJoe Ingles defensive rebound19
18.7%
27
81.3%
Q1 - 2:18HeatKyle Lowry misses two point turnaround jump shot19
19.1%
27
80.9%
Q1 - 2:26BucksJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)19
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q1 - 2:49HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 219
23.1%
24
76.9%
Q1 - 2:49HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 218
22.8%
24
77.2%
Q1 - 2:49BucksJae Crowder shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)17
22.4%
24
77.6%
Q1 - 2:58HeatMax Strus defensive rebound17
21.6%
24
78.4%
Q1 - 3:01BucksJrue Holiday misses two point driving layup17
21.2%
24
78.8%
Q1 - 3:13HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Love assists)17
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q1 - 3:35BucksBrook Lopez turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)15
18.9%
24
81.1%
Q1 - 3:45BucksJoe Ingles defensive rebound15
17.3%
24
82.7%
Q1 - 3:49HeatMax Strus misses three point fadeaway jump shot15
17.8%
24
82.2%
Q1 - 4:10BucksBrook Lopez makes two point cutting dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)15
19.4%
24
80.6%
Q1 - 4:21BucksJae Crowder defensive rebound15
20.5%
22
79.5%
Q1 - 4:23HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 215
20.7%
22
79.3%
Q1 - 4:23HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 215
21.7%
22
78.3%
Q1 - 4:23BucksJrue Holiday shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)14
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q1 - 4:38BucksJrue Holiday makes two point cutting layup (Khris Middleton assists)14
20.7%
22
79.3%
Q1 - 4:48BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound14
21.9%
20
78.1%
Q1 - 4:50HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot14
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 4:59BucksBobby Portis makes two point reverse layup (Joe Ingles assists)14
23.6%
20
76.4%
Q1 - 5:10BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound14
25.1%
18
74.9%
Q1 - 5:14HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot14
25.6%
18
74.4%
Q1 - 5:24HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound14
26.8%
18
73.2%
Q1 - 5:27BucksGrayson Allen misses two point turnaround jump shot14
26.3%
18
73.7%
Q1 - 5:41HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (traveling)14
25.1%
18
74.9%
Q1 - 5:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
26.8%
18
73.2%
Q1 - 5:55BucksGrayson Allen misses regular free throw 1 of 114
26.6%
18
73.4%
Q1 - 5:55HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Grayson Allen draws the foul)14
25.4%
18
74.6%
Q1 - 6:01HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Loose ball) (Grayson Allen draws the foul)14
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 6:01BucksBucks offensive rebound14
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 6:01BucksJrue Holiday misses two point running finger roll layup14
31.2%
15
68.8%
Q1 - 6:05BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound14
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 6:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot14
30.5%
15
69.5%
Q1 - 6:14HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound14
31.7%
15
68.3%
Q1 - 6:21BucksBrook Lopez misses two point fadeaway jump shot14
31.2%
15
68.8%
Q1 - 6:46HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot14
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 7:00BucksKhris Middleton makes two point putback layup11
26.8%
15
73.2%
Q1 - 7:00BucksKhris Middleton offensive rebound11
28.3%
13
71.7%
Q1 - 7:03BucksKhris Middleton misses two point running finger roll layup11
29.5%
13
70.5%
Q1 - 7:12BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound11
28.2%
13
71.8%
Q1 - 7:13HeatBrook Lopez blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving layup11
28.8%
13
71.2%
Q1 - 7:25BucksBrook Lopez makes two point alley-oop layup (Khris Middleton assists)11
30.0%
13
70.0%
Q1 - 7:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Gabe Vincent assists)11
31.5%
11
68.5%
Q1 - 7:52BucksBrook Lopez makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)9
30.0%
11
70.0%
Q1 - 8:10HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot9
31.5%
9
68.5%
Q1 - 8:24BucksJrue Holiday makes two point running finger roll layup7
30.0%
9
70.0%
Q1 - 8:29BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound7
31.5%
7
68.5%
Q1 - 8:32HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot7
32.0%
7
68.0%
Q1 - 8:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
33.4%
7
66.6%
Q1 - 8:51BucksBobby Portis misses two point fadeaway jump shot7
32.8%
7
67.2%
Q1 - 8:52BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound7
31.5%
7
68.5%
Q1 - 8:54BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot7
32.8%
7
67.2%
Q1 - 9:12BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound7
31.4%
7
68.6%
Q1 - 9:16HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot7
32.0%
7
68.0%
Q1 - 9:26BucksBrook Lopez personal foul (Loose ball) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)7
33.2%
7
66.8%
Q1 - 9:26HeatHeat defensive rebound7
33.2%
7
66.8%
Q1 - 9:26BucksKhris Middleton misses two point turnaround jump shot7
32.7%
7
67.3%
Q1 - 9:44HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Max Strus assists)7
31.4%
7
68.6%
Q1 - 9:47HeatMax Strus offensive rebound5
29.9%
7
70.1%
Q1 - 9:50HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot5
28.8%
7
71.2%
Q1 - 10:03BucksBobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)5
29.8%
7
70.2%
Q1 - 10:13BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound5
32.8%
4
67.2%
Q1 - 10:16HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot5
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 10:31BucksBrook Lopez makes two point tip layup5
34.6%
4
65.4%
Q1 - 10:31BucksBrook Lopez offensive rebound5
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 10:32BucksKhris Middleton misses two point driving floating jump shot5
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 10:53HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)5
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 11:06HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound2
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 11:09BucksJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot2
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 11:23HeatBam Adebayo makes two point reverse layup (Gabe Vincent assists)2
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 11:31BucksBrook Lopez makes two point cutting dunk (Bobby Portis assists)0
29.6%
2
70.4%
Q1 - 11:43BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound0
30.9%
0
69.1%
Q1 - 11:46HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot0
31.4%
0
68.6%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Brook Lopez (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
32.7%
0
67.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.31 65.6%
MIL
1.33 66.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
18
83%
MIL
19
27
70%
Midrange
MIA
14
30
47%
MIL
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
16
24.0
36
44%
67%
MIL
25
37.5
49
51%
77%
Free Throws
MIA
16
23
70%
MIL
7
8
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2583%12.5 / 15
B. Adebayo1856%9.0 / 16
G. Vincent1667%8.0 / 12
C. Martin1583%7.5 / 9
V. Oladipo1554%7.5 / 14
D. Robinson1488%7.0 / 8
K. Lowry550%2.5 / 5
M. Strus450%2.0 / 4
C. Zeller4100%2.0 / 2
K. Love450%2.0 / 4
H. Highsmith250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Lopez2574%12.5 / 17
J. Holiday2463%12.0 / 19
P. Connaughton2292%11.0 / 12
J. Ingles17121%8.5 / 7
G. Allen1667%8.0 / 12
K. Middleton1647%8.0 / 17
B. Portis1372%6.5 / 9
J. Carter350%1.5 / 3
G. Dragic2100%1.0 / 1
J. Crowder0-0.0 / 4
M. Leonard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+7
-17
93
MIL
92
+12
-11
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.31 65.6%
MIL
1.33 66.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.3
114.7
MIA 118.4
MIL 134.0 +15.5
Pace
94.4
101.5
MIA 114.0 +20.0
MIL 94.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
14.2
MIA 12.6 +2.7
MIL 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
55.9%
MIA 63.1%
MIL 66.2% +3.1%
TO %
11.6%
13.7%
MIA 15.3%
MIL 9.7% +5.6%
ORB %
21.7%
22.8%
MIA 16.3%
MIL 20.9% +4.6%
FTrt
22.8
23.1
MIA 27.4 +19.3
MIL 8.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.3%
60.9%
MIA 57.8%
MIL 66.0% +8.2%
STL %
7.4%
6.4%
MIA 9.7% +1.0%
MIL 8.7%
BLK %
7.4%
6.5%
MIA 4.0%
MIL 8.3% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.5%
57.2%
MIA 65.6%
MIL 66.3% +0.7%
Rim FG%
60.5%
65.3%
MIA 83.3% +12.9%
MIL 70.4%
Mid FG%
41.3%
46.3%
MIA 46.7% +7.6%
MIL 39.1%
3P %
38.0%
37.9%
MIA 44.4%
MIL 51.0% +6.6%
FT %
81.3%
71.0%
MIA 69.6%
MIL 87.5% +17.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
26.1%
MIA 21.4%
MIL 27.3% +5.8%
Mid Att. %
31.3%
29.4%
MIA 35.7%
MIL 23.2% +12.5%
3P Att. %
38.8%
44.5%
MIA 42.9%
MIL 49.5% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions103103
Possession Minutes21.726.3
Points122138
Rebounds4145
Assists2635
Steals109
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)11 (0)
Fouls916
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (0)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)36 (1)
Field Goals45-8453-99
At-the-Rim FG15-1819-27
Midrange FG14-309-23
2-Point FG29-4828-50
3-Point FG16-3625-49
Free Throws16-237-8
Fast Break Pts920
2nd Chance Pts1016
Points in Paint4252
Pts off Turnovers1530
Bench Points4544
Biggest Lead336

BOXSCORE

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11 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Max Strus
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27
31.4
4
50%
5
1
2
0
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
0-0
-
1-4
25%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 34
28.3
25
83%
3
3
2
0
1
0
1
2
7-10
70%
6-8
75%
2-4
50%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
25.6
14
88%
5
3
0
0
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
24.9
18
56%
5
1
1
0
3
1
1
4
0-1
0%
9-16
56%
0-0
-
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
21.0
16
67%
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
4-9
44%
Caleb Martin
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
29.0
15
83%
1
6
1
0
1
1
0
1
3-3
100%
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
26.3
15
54%
5
1
0
0
2
2
1
4
1-3
33%
4-9
44%
2-4
50%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
18.4
5
50%
4
3
1
0
4
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
12.0
2
50%
2
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Cody Zeller
#44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31
12.0
4
100%
8
3
0
0
2
1
1
7
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
11.1
4
50%
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Omer Yurtseven
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Back; Spasms
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand; Fracture
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
122
66%
41
26
10
2
17
9
7
34
16-23
70%
29-48
60%
16-36
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.