for complete access.
All Games Sunday, April 16, 2023
FinalWin Prob.pScore
10
Heat
40%104
130
11
Bucks
60%108
117
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
127.5102103.5
MIL logo MIL
114.7102100.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.130
100%
117
0%
Q4 - 0:16.5HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound130
99.9%
117
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0BucksJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot130
99.9%
117
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.7HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 2130
99.9%
117
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.7HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2129
99.9%
117
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.7BucksGrayson Allen personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)128
99.9%
117
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.5HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound128
99.9%
117
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.5BucksKhris Middleton misses three point pullup jump shot128
99.9%
117
0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.7HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot128
99.9%
117
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06BucksJrue Holiday makes three point turnaround jump shot (Joe Ingles assists)125
99.1%
117
0.9%
Q4 - 1:08HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)125
99.7%
114
0.3%
Q4 - 1:24HeatMax Strus defensive rebound122
98.5%
114
1.5%
Q4 - 1:24BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot122
98.3%
114
1.7%
Q4 - 1:33BucksJrue Holiday offensive rebound122
96.9%
114
3.1%
Q4 - 1:33BucksWesley Matthews misses three point running jump shot122
97.9%
114
2.1%
Q4 - 1:39BucksWesley Matthews defensive rebound122
96.6%
114
3.4%
Q4 - 1:42HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot122
97.0%
114
3.0%
Q4 - 2:00BucksWesley Matthews makes three point stepback jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)122
97.8%
114
2.2%
Q4 - 2:14HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)122
99.1%
111
0.9%
Q4 - 2:14HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Wesley Matthews draws the foul)122
99.5%
111
0.5%
Q4 - 2:27HeatHeat defensive rebound122
99.5%
111
0.5%
Q4 - 2:27BucksKhris Middleton misses three point pullup jump shot122
99.4%
111
0.6%
Q4 - 2:40HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)122
99.1%
111
0.9%
Q4 - 2:55BucksBrook Lopez makes regular free throw 1 of 1119
96.8%
111
3.2%
Q4 - 2:55HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Brook Lopez draws the foul)119
97.0%
110
3.0%
Q4 - 3:05HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)119
98.5%
108
1.5%
Q4 - 3:27BucksGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)117
98.0%
108
2.0%
Q4 - 3:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot117
97.8%
105
2.2%
Q4 - 3:53BucksWesley Matthews personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)115
97.1%
105
2.9%
Q4 - 4:07BucksKhris Middleton makes two point cutting layup (Jrue Holiday assists)115
97.2%
105
2.8%
Q4 - 4:13BucksWesley Matthews defensive rebound115
98.0%
103
2.0%
Q4 - 4:18HeatWesley Matthews blocks Jimmy Butler's two point pullup jump shot115
98.2%
103
1.8%
Q4 - 4:37HeatMax Strus defensive rebound115
98.7%
103
1.3%
Q4 - 4:39BucksKhris Middleton misses regular free throw 2 of 2115
98.6%
103
1.4%
Q4 - 4:39BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 2115
98.2%
103
1.8%
Q4 - 4:39HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)115
98.2%
102
1.8%
Q4 - 4:43BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound115
98.6%
102
1.4%
Q4 - 4:47HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot115
98.8%
102
1.2%
Q4 - 5:03BucksKhris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)115
98.3%
102
1.7%
Q4 - 5:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)115
97.6%
102
2.4%
Q4 - 5:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound113
96.9%
102
3.1%
Q4 - 5:40BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot113
96.5%
102
3.5%
Q4 - 5:54HeatMax Strus personal foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)113
95.7%
102
4.3%
Q4 - 6:04HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot113
93.7%
102
6.3%
Q4 - 6:10HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound111
92.2%
102
7.8%
Q4 - 6:12BucksJrue Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot111
91.4%
102
8.6%
Q4 - 6:25BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound111
89.4%
102
10.6%
Q4 - 6:28HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot111
90.4%
102
9.6%
Q4 - 6:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound111
92.4%
102
7.6%
Q4 - 6:51BucksKhris Middleton misses three point running pullup jump shot111
91.6%
102
8.4%
Q4 - 6:56BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound111
89.5%
102
10.5%
Q4 - 6:59HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot111
90.5%
102
9.5%
Q4 - 7:12HeatHeat defensive rebound111
90.1%
102
9.9%
Q4 - 7:13BucksJevon Carter misses three point running pullup jump shot111
89.3%
102
10.7%
Q4 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Brook Lopez steals)111
87.0%
102
13.0%
Q4 - 7:42BucksKhris Middleton makes two point turnaround jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)111
90.3%
102
9.7%
Q4 - 8:09HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)111
90.5%
100
9.5%
Q4 - 8:28BucksBrook Lopez makes two point alley-oop layup (Jrue Holiday assists)108
85.5%
100
14.5%
Q4 - 8:39HeatMax Strus makes two point driving finger roll layup108
88.3%
98
11.7%
Q4 - 8:57BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
85.6%
98
14.4%
Q4 - 8:57BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
85.9%
97
14.1%
Q4 - 8:57HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)106
86.3%
96
13.7%
Q4 - 9:05HeatCaleb Martin turnover (traveling)106
86.4%
96
13.6%
Q4 - 9:21BucksKhris Middleton turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)106
89.2%
96
10.8%
Q4 - 9:26BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound106
86.5%
96
13.5%
Q4 - 9:29HeatKevin Love misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot106
87.4%
96
12.6%
Q4 - 9:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound106
89.3%
96
10.7%
Q4 - 9:47BucksKhris Middleton misses regular free throw 2 of 2106
88.9%
96
11.1%
Q4 - 9:47BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
87.1%
96
12.9%
Q4 - 9:47HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)106
87.4%
95
12.6%
Q4 - 9:59HeatGabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)106
89.1%
95
10.9%
Q4 - 9:59HeatGabe Vincent offensive foul (Grayson Allen draws the foul)106
91.3%
95
8.7%
Q4 - 10:04BucksGrayson Allen makes two point driving layup (Joe Ingles assists)106
89.7%
95
10.3%
Q4 - 10:24HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot106
92.0%
93
8.0%
Q4 - 10:33HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1106
91.5%
93
8.5%
Q4 - 10:33BucksBobby Portis personal foul (Away from play) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)105
93.0%
93
7.0%
Q4 - 10:33HeatJimmy Butler misses technical free throw 1 of 1105
91.7%
93
8.3%
Q4 - 10:33Bucks technical foul (Defensive three second)105
92.9%
93
7.1%
Q4 - 10:52BucksKhris Middleton makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)105
91.7%
93
8.3%
Q4 - 11:11HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 1105
93.4%
90
6.6%
Q4 - 11:11BucksGrayson Allen shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)104
93.2%
90
6.8%
Q4 - 11:22BucksKhris Middleton makes two point driving floating bank jump shot102
90.4%
90
9.6%
Q4 - 11:28BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound102
92.0%
88
8.0%
Q4 - 11:32HeatKevin Love misses three point stepback jump shot102
92.5%
88
7.5%
Q4 - 11:41BucksJoe Ingles personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)102
93.5%
88
6.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.102
93.5%
88
6.5%
Q3 - 0:00.1BucksBucks offensive rebound102
90.8%
88
9.2%
Q3 - 0:00.6BucksJrue Holiday misses three point jump shot102
91.9%
88
8.1%
Q3 - 0:02.3HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)102
90.8%
88
9.2%
Q3 - 0:17.8BucksKhris Middleton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)99
87.0%
88
13.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 299
84.7%
88
15.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 298
84.3%
88
15.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0BucksBobby Portis personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Love draws the foul)97
83.9%
88
16.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0HeatHeat defensive rebound97
81.9%
88
18.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0BucksJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot97
81.0%
88
19.0%
Q3 - 0:35.9HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)97
78.9%
88
21.1%
Q3 - 0:55.2HeatHeat defensive rebound94
71.5%
88
28.5%
Q3 - 0:56.0BucksBobby Portis misses three point running jump shot94
70.3%
88
29.7%
Q3 - 1:01BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound94
65.5%
88
34.5%
Q3 - 1:04HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot94
66.9%
88
33.1%
Q3 - 1:12BucksBobby Portis makes two point cutting layup (Jrue Holiday assists)94
69.9%
88
30.1%
Q3 - 1:28HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 294
73.5%
86
26.5%
Q3 - 1:28HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 293
73.0%
86
27.0%
Q3 - 1:28BucksBobby Portis shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)93
76.0%
86
24.0%
Q3 - 1:35HeatKevin Love defensive rebound93
73.8%
86
26.2%
Q3 - 1:38BucksJoe Ingles misses three point pullup jump shot93
72.6%
86
27.4%
Q3 - 1:50HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)93
69.8%
86
30.2%
Q3 - 1:50HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Joe Ingles draws the foul)93
73.8%
86
26.2%
Q3 - 2:10BucksJoe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Wesley Matthews assists)93
72.0%
86
28.0%
Q3 - 2:27HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 193
78.4%
83
21.6%
Q3 - 2:27BucksJae Crowder shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)92
77.8%
83
22.2%
Q3 - 2:36HeatKevin Love defensive rebound90
72.1%
83
27.9%
Q3 - 2:36BucksJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot90
70.9%
83
29.1%
Q3 - 2:43BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound90
68.1%
83
31.9%
Q3 - 2:46HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 190
68.7%
83
31.3%
Q3 - 2:46BucksJoe Ingles shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)90
71.1%
83
28.9%
Q3 - 2:52BucksJoe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)88
64.4%
83
35.6%
Q3 - 3:08BucksJrue Holiday makes technical free throw 1 of 188
70.7%
80
29.3%
Q3 - 3:08Heat technical foul (Delay of game)88
71.5%
79
28.5%
Q3 - 3:09HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup88
74.1%
79
25.9%
Q3 - 3:18HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound86
71.3%
79
28.7%
Q3 - 3:21BucksBobby Portis misses two point driving floating jump shot86
70.0%
79
30.0%
Q3 - 3:40HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 286
67.1%
79
32.9%
Q3 - 3:40HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 285
66.6%
79
33.4%
Q3 - 3:40BucksJrue Holiday shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)84
66.0%
79
34.0%
Q3 - 3:59BucksBobby Portis makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)84
63.9%
79
36.1%
Q3 - 4:12HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)84
65.9%
77
34.1%
Q3 - 4:29BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving layup81
59.0%
77
41.0%
Q3 - 4:49HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 181
62.2%
75
37.8%
Q3 - 4:49BucksBrook Lopez shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)80
61.5%
75
38.5%
Q3 - 5:14BucksBobby Portis makes two point running jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)78
54.0%
75
46.0%
Q3 - 5:20BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound78
57.6%
73
42.4%
Q3 - 5:24HeatBrook Lopez blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup78
58.9%
73
41.1%
Q3 - 5:42HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound78
61.7%
73
38.3%
Q3 - 5:46BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot78
60.5%
73
39.5%
Q3 - 5:50BucksBucks offensive rebound78
57.6%
73
42.4%
Q3 - 5:51BucksKhris Middleton misses regular free throw 1 of 178
61.2%
73
38.8%
Q3 - 5:51HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)78
58.3%
73
41.7%
Q3 - 6:01HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)78
64.0%
71
36.0%
Q3 - 6:12BucksKhris Middleton makes two point driving layup (Jrue Holiday assists)78
67.6%
71
32.4%
Q3 - 6:23HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)78
70.7%
69
29.3%
Q3 - 6:32BucksGrayson Allen makes three point running jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)78
73.9%
69
26.1%
Q3 - 6:36BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound78
79.2%
66
20.8%
Q3 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot78
80.0%
66
20.0%
Q3 - 6:52HeatHeat offensive rebound78
81.8%
66
18.2%
Q3 - 6:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point pullup jump shot78
80.0%
66
20.0%
Q3 - 7:11BucksBrook Lopez makes two point turnaround hook shot (Grayson Allen assists)78
80.7%
66
19.3%
Q3 - 7:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point bank hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)78
82.6%
64
17.4%
Q3 - 7:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
80.7%
64
19.3%
Q3 - 7:48BucksJrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot76
79.9%
64
20.1%
Q3 - 7:56HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)76
78.0%
64
22.0%
Q3 - 8:12BucksJrue Holiday makes two point driving floating jump shot74
74.8%
64
25.2%
Q3 - 8:22BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound74
77.0%
62
23.0%
Q3 - 8:25HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 174
77.4%
62
22.6%
Q3 - 8:25BucksBrook Lopez shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)74
79.0%
62
21.0%
Q3 - 8:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound72
74.9%
62
25.1%
Q3 - 8:27BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot72
73.9%
62
26.1%
Q3 - 8:35BucksGrayson Allen defensive rebound72
71.5%
62
28.5%
Q3 - 8:37HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot72
72.6%
62
27.4%
Q3 - 8:59HeatMax Strus defensive rebound72
74.9%
62
25.1%
Q3 - 9:02BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot72
72.8%
62
27.2%
Q3 - 9:20HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Max Strus assists)72
70.7%
62
29.3%
Q3 - 9:36BucksKhris Middleton personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)70
68.2%
62
31.8%
Q3 - 9:47BucksGrayson Allen makes two point stepback jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)70
68.2%
62
31.8%
Q3 - 10:07BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound70
69.6%
60
30.4%
Q3 - 10:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot70
70.6%
60
29.4%
Q3 - 10:32BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 170
72.8%
60
27.2%
Q3 - 10:32HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Loose ball) (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)70
73.2%
59
26.8%
Q3 - 10:40BucksBrook Lopez offensive rebound70
77.5%
57
22.5%
Q3 - 10:42BucksJrue Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot70
79.3%
57
20.7%
Q3 - 10:53HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot70
77.5%
57
22.5%
Q3 - 11:12BucksJevon Carter makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)68
74.4%
57
25.6%
Q3 - 11:20BucksJevon Carter defensive rebound68
76.7%
55
23.3%
Q3 - 11:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot68
77.4%
55
22.6%
Q3 - 11:37HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound68
79.1%
55
20.9%
Q3 - 11:40BucksKhris Middleton misses two point pullup bank jump shot68
78.4%
55
21.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.68
76.7%
55
23.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0BucksBucks offensive rebound68
76.7%
55
23.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0BucksWesley Matthews misses three point pullup jump shot68
78.4%
55
21.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating bank jump shot68
76.1%
55
23.9%
Q2 - 0:19.5BucksJrue Holiday makes three point stepback jump shot66
73.3%
55
26.7%
Q2 - 0:31.5HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup66
78.4%
52
21.6%
Q2 - 0:31.5HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound64
75.7%
52
24.3%
Q2 - 0:32.6HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot64
74.3%
52
25.7%
Q2 - 0:51.2BucksBrook Lopez turnover (traveling)64
75.8%
52
24.2%
Q2 - 1:12HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)64
73.0%
52
27.0%
Q2 - 1:17HeatMax Strus defensive rebound61
67.2%
52
32.8%
Q2 - 1:20BucksJrue Holiday misses two point turnaround jump shot61
66.5%
52
33.5%
Q2 - 1:32HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 261
65.1%
52
34.9%
Q2 - 1:32HeatGabe Vincent misses regular free throw 1 of 260
64.8%
52
35.2%
Q2 - 1:32BucksBobby Portis shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)60
67.2%
52
32.8%
Q2 - 1:35HeatHeat offensive rebound60
64.4%
52
35.6%
Q2 - 1:35HeatBrook Lopez blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup60
62.9%
52
37.1%
Q2 - 1:49BucksBobby Portis makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)60
64.4%
52
35.6%
Q2 - 1:56HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Kevin Love assists)60
67.9%
50
32.1%
Q2 - 2:10BucksBobby Portis makes two point turnaround hook shot58
63.8%
50
36.2%
Q2 - 2:22HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Jrue Holiday steals)58
66.4%
48
33.6%
Q2 - 2:37HeatHeat defensive rebound58
69.2%
48
30.8%
Q2 - 2:37BucksJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot58
68.3%
48
31.7%
Q2 - 2:51HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)58
66.5%
48
33.5%
Q2 - 3:06BucksBrook Lopez makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)55
60.1%
48
39.9%
Q2 - 3:12BucksWesley Matthews offensive rebound55
62.3%
46
37.7%
Q2 - 3:15BucksJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot55
64.5%
46
35.5%
Q2 - 3:35BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound55
62.4%
46
37.6%
Q2 - 3:38HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot55
63.4%
46
36.6%
Q2 - 3:53BucksBobby Portis makes two point turnaround hook shot55
65.6%
46
34.4%
Q2 - 4:12HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)55
67.0%
44
33.0%
Q2 - 4:17BucksJevon Carter personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)52
61.8%
44
38.2%
Q2 - 4:19HeatKevin Love defensive rebound52
61.9%
44
38.1%
Q2 - 4:22BucksJrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot52
61.0%
44
39.0%
Q2 - 4:30HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup52
59.1%
44
40.9%
Q2 - 4:49BucksJrue Holiday makes two point turnaround jump shot50
56.5%
44
43.5%
Q2 - 4:57BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound50
59.2%
42
40.8%
Q2 - 5:00HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot50
60.0%
42
40.0%
Q2 - 5:11HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound50
61.6%
42
38.4%
Q2 - 5:15BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot50
60.6%
42
39.4%
Q2 - 5:22BucksJevon Carter defensive rebound50
58.4%
42
41.6%
Q2 - 5:25HeatMax Strus misses three point stepback jump shot50
59.4%
42
40.6%
Q2 - 5:43HeatKevin Love defensive rebound50
61.6%
42
38.4%
Q2 - 5:47BucksJevon Carter misses three point jump shot50
60.6%
42
39.4%
Q2 - 5:50BucksJrue Holiday offensive rebound50
58.4%
42
41.6%
Q2 - 5:54BucksJae Crowder misses three point running jump shot50
60.6%
42
39.4%
Q2 - 5:58BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound50
58.4%
42
41.6%
Q2 - 6:01HeatBrook Lopez blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup50
58.9%
42
41.1%
Q2 - 6:12HeatKevin Love defensive rebound50
61.1%
42
38.9%
Q2 - 6:14BucksJrue Holiday misses two point stepback jump shot50
60.1%
42
39.9%
Q2 - 6:28HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Tyler Herro assists)50
57.9%
42
42.1%
Q2 - 6:33BucksKhris Middleton turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)48
55.9%
42
44.1%
Q2 - 6:46HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)48
52.6%
42
47.4%
Q2 - 6:59BucksKhris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)45
47.8%
42
52.2%
Q2 - 7:08HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup (Gabe Vincent assists)45
44.4%
42
55.6%
Q2 - 7:24BucksJrue Holiday makes two point pullup jump shot43
42.1%
42
57.9%
Q2 - 7:25BucksJrue Holiday offensive rebound43
44.4%
40
55.6%
Q2 - 7:28BucksJae Crowder misses three point jump shot43
46.4%
40
53.6%
Q2 - 7:45HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)43
44.4%
40
55.6%
Q2 - 7:45HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jevon Carter draws the foul)43
47.3%
40
52.7%
Q2 - 7:57BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 143
47.3%
40
52.7%
Q2 - 7:57HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)43
47.5%
39
52.5%
Q2 - 8:06HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)43
52.0%
37
48.0%
Q2 - 8:06HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Bobby Portis draws the foul)43
54.7%
37
45.3%
Q2 - 8:15BucksBobby Portis makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jae Crowder assists)43
54.7%
37
45.3%
Q2 - 8:29HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Jevon Carter draws the foul)43
57.1%
35
42.9%
Q2 - 8:33HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)43
57.1%
35
42.9%
Q2 - 8:35BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound43
57.1%
35
42.9%
Q2 - 8:39HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot43
57.9%
35
42.1%
Q2 - 8:59BucksBobby Portis makes two point turnaround hook shot43
59.8%
35
40.2%
Q2 - 9:14HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)43
61.5%
33
38.5%
Q2 - 9:36BucksKhris Middleton makes three point pullup jump shot40
56.7%
33
43.3%
Q2 - 9:48HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)40
61.5%
30
38.5%
Q2 - 9:56BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 2 of 237
56.7%
30
43.3%
Q2 - 9:56BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 237
57.3%
29
42.7%
Q2 - 9:56HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)37
57.9%
28
42.1%
Q2 - 10:03BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound37
58.7%
28
41.3%
Q2 - 10:05HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup37
59.4%
28
40.6%
Q2 - 10:14HeatKevin Love defensive rebound37
61.2%
28
38.8%
Q2 - 10:17BucksJae Crowder misses three point jump shot37
60.4%
28
39.6%
Q2 - 10:26HeatKevin Love makes two point tip layup37
58.7%
28
41.3%
Q2 - 10:26HeatKevin Love offensive rebound35
56.3%
28
43.7%
Q2 - 10:32HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot35
54.6%
28
45.4%
Q2 - 10:48BucksKhris Middleton makes two point putback layup35
56.3%
28
43.7%
Q2 - 10:49BucksKhris Middleton offensive rebound35
58.7%
26
41.3%
Q2 - 10:52BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot35
60.4%
26
39.6%
Q2 - 11:02HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)35
57.7%
26
42.3%
Q2 - 11:12HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound35
59.9%
26
40.1%
Q2 - 11:15BucksKhris Middleton misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot35
59.3%
26
40.7%
Q2 - 11:30HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot35
57.7%
26
42.3%
Q2 - 11:48BucksKhris Middleton makes two point fadeaway jump shot33
55.3%
26
44.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.33
57.8%
24
42.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0BucksBucks offensive rebound33
57.8%
24
42.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0BucksJae Crowder misses three point jump shot33
59.4%
24
40.6%
Q1 - 0:08.6HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot33
56.9%
24
43.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0BucksJae Crowder turnover (offensive foul)31
54.4%
24
45.6%
Q1 - 0:22.0BucksJae Crowder offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)31
52.3%
24
47.7%
Q1 - 0:24.8BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound31
52.3%
24
47.7%
Q1 - 0:27.3HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup31
53.0%
24
47.0%
Q1 - 0:44.3BucksBrook Lopez makes regular free throw 2 of 231
54.4%
24
45.6%
Q1 - 0:44.3BucksBrook Lopez misses regular free throw 1 of 231
54.8%
23
45.2%
Q1 - 0:44.3HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Brook Lopez draws the foul)31
53.0%
23
47.0%
Q1 - 0:51.9BucksBucks offensive rebound31
54.7%
23
45.3%
Q1 - 0:51.9BucksTyler Herro blocks Jevon Carter's two point driving layup31
56.1%
23
43.9%
Q1 - 1:01HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)31
54.6%
23
45.4%
Q1 - 1:16HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound31
56.7%
23
43.3%
Q1 - 1:16HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving reverse layup31
55.2%
23
44.8%
Q1 - 1:27BucksJae Crowder makes two point jump shot (Brook Lopez assists)31
56.6%
23
43.4%
Q1 - 1:34BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound31
59.1%
21
40.9%
Q1 - 1:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot31
59.7%
21
40.3%
Q1 - 1:46BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (offensive foul)31
61.1%
21
38.9%
Q1 - 1:46BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo offensive foul (Charge) (Kevin Love draws the foul)31
59.1%
21
40.9%
Q1 - 1:46BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound31
59.1%
21
40.9%
Q1 - 1:50BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot31
60.5%
21
39.5%
Q1 - 1:55BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound31
59.1%
21
40.9%
Q1 - 1:59HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot31
59.7%
21
40.3%
Q1 - 2:11HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound31
60.5%
21
39.5%
Q1 - 2:14BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point running layup31
59.8%
21
40.2%
Q1 - 2:19HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Wesley Matthews steals)31
58.2%
21
41.8%
Q1 - 2:26BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 131
60.5%
21
39.5%
Q1 - 2:26HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)31
61.0%
20
39.0%
Q1 - 2:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot31
64.7%
18
35.3%
Q1 - 2:58BucksWesley Matthews makes three point jump shot (Jevon Carter assists)29
62.7%
18
37.3%
Q1 - 3:14HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)29
65.8%
15
34.2%
Q1 - 3:17HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound27
64.2%
15
35.8%
Q1 - 3:20BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point pullup jump shot27
63.5%
15
36.5%
Q1 - 3:30HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 227
61.7%
15
38.3%
Q1 - 3:30HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 226
61.5%
15
38.5%
Q1 - 3:30BucksWesley Matthews shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)26
63.2%
15
36.8%
Q1 - 3:40BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving layup26
62.2%
15
37.8%
Q1 - 3:56HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot26
63.8%
13
36.2%
Q1 - 4:09HeatKevin Love defensive rebound24
61.0%
13
39.0%
Q1 - 4:13BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 224
60.7%
13
39.3%
Q1 - 4:13BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 224
59.5%
13
40.5%
Q1 - 4:13HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)24
60.2%
12
39.8%
Q1 - 4:31HeatKyle Lowry makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)24
60.7%
12
39.3%
Q1 - 4:46BucksJrue Holiday turnover (offensive foul)22
59.1%
12
40.9%
Q1 - 4:46BucksJrue Holiday offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)22
56.7%
12
43.3%
Q1 - 5:09HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)22
55.9%
12
44.1%
Q1 - 5:12HeatMax Strus defensive rebound20
54.1%
12
45.9%
Q1 - 5:15BucksJoe Ingles misses three point jump shot20
53.4%
12
46.6%
Q1 - 5:33HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 120
51.9%
12
48.1%
Q1 - 5:33BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)19
51.5%
12
48.5%
Q1 - 5:39BucksJoe Ingles makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)17
48.0%
12
52.0%
Q1 - 5:54HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)17
51.9%
9
48.1%
Q1 - 6:03BucksGrayson Allen turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)14
47.6%
9
52.4%
Q1 - 6:20HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 114
45.6%
9
54.4%
Q1 - 6:20BucksJoe Ingles shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)13
45.3%
9
54.7%
Q1 - 6:24HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound11
41.7%
9
58.3%
Q1 - 6:27BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot11
41.1%
9
58.9%
Q1 - 6:37BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound11
39.7%
9
60.3%
Q1 - 6:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot11
40.3%
9
59.7%
Q1 - 6:56BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 211
41.7%
9
58.3%
Q1 - 6:56BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 211
41.9%
8
58.1%
Q1 - 6:56HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)11
42.1%
7
57.9%
Q1 - 6:56BucksKhris Middleton offensive rebound11
43.6%
7
56.4%
Q1 - 6:56BucksBrook Lopez misses three point jump shot11
45.0%
7
55.0%
Q1 - 7:04BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound11
43.3%
7
56.7%
Q1 - 7:07HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot11
44.0%
7
56.0%
Q1 - 7:20BucksBrook Lopez turnover (3-second violation)11
45.5%
7
54.5%
Q1 - 7:29HeatMax Strus turnover (offensive foul)11
43.4%
7
56.6%
Q1 - 7:29HeatMax Strus offensive foul (Off the ball) (Grayson Allen draws the foul)11
45.5%
7
54.5%
Q1 - 7:32BucksJrue Holiday personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)11
45.5%
7
54.5%
Q1 - 7:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
45.5%
7
54.5%
Q1 - 7:44BucksGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot11
44.8%
7
55.2%
Q1 - 7:53HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)11
43.4%
7
56.6%
Q1 - 7:58BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound11
43.4%
7
56.6%
Q1 - 7:58HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running pullup jump shot11
44.0%
7
56.0%
Q1 - 8:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
45.5%
7
54.5%
Q1 - 8:03BucksKhris Middleton misses two point pullup jump shot11
44.7%
7
55.3%
Q1 - 8:16HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)11
43.2%
7
56.8%
Q1 - 8:18HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound11
45.4%
7
54.6%
Q1 - 8:21BucksJrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot11
44.7%
7
55.3%
Q1 - 8:37HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback bank jump shot11
43.2%
7
56.8%
Q1 - 8:51BucksKhris Middleton makes two point stepback jump shot9
41.6%
7
58.4%
Q1 - 9:11HeatGabe Vincent makes two point running pullup jump shot9
43.0%
5
57.0%
Q1 - 9:17BucksBrook Lopez turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)7
41.3%
5
58.7%
Q1 - 9:25BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound7
39.3%
5
60.7%
Q1 - 9:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot7
39.9%
5
60.1%
Q1 - 9:40HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound7
41.3%
5
58.7%
Q1 - 9:44HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot7
39.9%
5
60.1%
Q1 - 9:58BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 27
41.3%
5
58.7%
Q1 - 9:58BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 27
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 9:58HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)7
40.6%
4
59.4%
Q1 - 10:04HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Brook Lopez draws the foul)7
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 10:15HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)7
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound5
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 10:20BucksJrue Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot5
38.6%
4
61.4%
Q1 - 10:32HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds step)5
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 10:39BucksGrayson Allen turnover (out of bounds step)5
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 10:53HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)5
37.3%
4
62.7%
Q1 - 11:01BucksGrayson Allen makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)2
33.9%
4
66.1%
Q1 - 11:13HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)2
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 11:23BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jrue Holiday assists)0
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 11:32BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound0
35.3%
0
64.7%
Q1 - 11:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot0
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Brook Lopez (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
37.2%
0
62.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.40 69.9%
MIL
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
21
76%
MIL
12
13
92%
Midrange
MIA
19
38
50%
MIL
22
33
67%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
15
22.5
25
60%
90%
MIL
11
16.5
45
24%
37%
Free Throws
MIA
15
21
71%
MIL
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3558%17.5 / 30
B. Adebayo2261%11.0 / 18
K. Love1882%9.0 / 11
G. Vincent15107%7.5 / 7
C. Martin1594%7.5 / 8
T. Herro1267%6.0 / 9
M. Strus880%4.0 / 5
D. Robinson375%1.5 / 2
K. Lowry2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Middleton3372%16.5 / 23
B. Portis2166%10.5 / 16
J. Holiday1642%8.0 / 19
G. Allen1286%6.0 / 7
B. Lopez1063%5.0 / 8
J. Ingles964%4.5 / 7
G. Antetokounmpo650%3.0 / 6
W. Matthews675%3.0 / 4
J. Carter225%1.0 / 4
J. Crowder220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
87
+6
-15
93
MIL
89
+13
-13
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.40 69.9%
MIL
1.15 57.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.3
114.7
MIA 127.5 +12.7
MIL 114.7
Pace
94.4
101.5
MIA 103.5 +3.1
MIL 100.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
14.2
MIA 13.9 +0.4
MIL 14.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.1%
55.9%
MIA 68.5% +13.0%
MIL 55.5%
TO %
11.6%
13.7%
MIA 14.6%
MIL 11.4% +3.2%
ORB %
21.7%
22.8%
MIA 11.8%
MIL 20.0% +8.2%
FTrt
22.8
23.1
MIA 25.0 +0.8
MIL 24.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.3%
60.9%
MIA 64.0%
MIL 64.4% +0.4%
STL %
7.4%
6.4%
MIA 5.9% +3.0%
MIL 2.9%
BLK %
7.4%
6.5%
MIA 2.2%
MIL 6.8% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.5%
57.2%
MIA 69.9% +12.5%
MIL 57.4%
Rim FG%
60.5%
65.3%
MIA 76.2%
MIL 92.3% +16.1%
Mid FG%
41.3%
46.3%
MIA 50.0%
MIL 66.7% +16.7%
3P %
38.0%
37.9%
MIA 60.0% +35.6%
MIL 24.4%
FT %
81.3%
71.0%
MIA 71.4%
MIL 72.7% +1.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.9%
26.1%
MIA 25.0% +10.7%
MIL 14.3%
Mid Att. %
31.3%
29.4%
MIA 45.2%
MIL 36.3% +9.0%
3P Att. %
38.8%
44.5%
MIA 29.8%
MIL 49.5% +19.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions102102
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points130117
Rebounds3638
Assists3229
Steals63
Blocks14
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)13 (0)
Fouls2422
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (5)30 (0)
Field Goals50-8445-91
At-the-Rim FG16-2112-13
Midrange FG19-3822-33
2-Point FG35-5934-46
3-Point FG15-2511-45
Free Throws15-2116-22
Fast Break Pts146
2nd Chance Pts512
Points in Paint6246
Pts off Turnovers1920
Bench Points3840
Biggest Lead152

BOXSCORE

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10 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 34
42.9
35
58%
5
11
3
0
3
4
0
5
5-8
63%
15-26
58%
0-1
0%
Max Strus
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 27
38.3
8
80%
5
2
0
0
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
33.4
15
107%
2
6
0
0
2
4
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
4-5
80%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
32.7
22
61%
9
7
2
0
5
4
1
8
2-3
67%
10-18
56%
0-0
-
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
19.5
12
67%
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
Caleb Martin
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
25.7
15
94%
3
0
0
0
2
4
1
2
3-4
75%
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
Kevin Love
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 35
22.6
18
82%
8
1
0
0
0
2
1
7
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
18.5
2
100%
1
3
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
6.4
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
DNP – Coach's Decision
Haywood Highsmith
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
Omer Yurtseven
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
Cody Zeller
#44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31
DNP – Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Jovic
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Back; Spasms
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
130
70%
36
32
6
1
15
24
4
32
15-21
71%
35-59
59%
15-25
60%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.