FinalWin Prob.pScore
148%100
93
852%101
80
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
101.19285.8
MIA logo MIA
87.99198.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.93
100%
80
0%
Q4 - 0:18.1HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (out of bounds lost ball)93
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound93
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.2HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot93
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.4HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound93
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.5CelticsNik Stauskas misses three point pullup jump shot93
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.2HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point driving hook shot (Gabe Vincent assists)93
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.6HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound93
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02CelticsNik Stauskas misses three point jump shot93
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving reverse layup (Duncan Robinson assists)93
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)93
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:52HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:09CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 291
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 2:09CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 290
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 2:09HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)89
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 2:25CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound89
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 2:29HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot89
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 2:38CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)89
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 2:38CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)89
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 2:38CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound89
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 2:41CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot89
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 2:52CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound89
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 2:52CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Jayson Tatum's two point putback layup89
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 2:54CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound89
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 2:57CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot89
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 3:09CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound89
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 3:12HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot89
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 3:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound89
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 3:18CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot89
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 3:40HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Robert Williams III draws the foul)89
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 3:40CelticsCeltics defensive rebound89
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 3:40HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot89
99.0%
76
1.0%
Q4 - 3:49HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound89
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 3:52CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point stepback jump shot89
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 4:18HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)89
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 4:21HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound89
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 4:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot89
99.7%
73
0.3%
Q4 - 4:41CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)89
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 4:59HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 289
99.7%
73
0.3%
Q4 - 4:59HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 289
99.7%
72
0.3%
Q4 - 4:59CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)89
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 4:59HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound89
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 5:00HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot89
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)89
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 5:16CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving dunk89
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 5:33HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)87
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 5:36HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound87
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 5:40HeatDerrick White blocks Duncan Robinson's three point jump shot87
99.8%
68
0.2%
Q4 - 5:52CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot87
99.7%
68
0.3%
Q4 - 6:09HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Robert Williams III steals)85
99.3%
68
0.7%
Q4 - 6:16HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound85
99.1%
68
0.9%
Q4 - 6:19CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot85
99.2%
68
0.8%
Q4 - 6:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot85
99.4%
68
0.6%
Q4 - 6:48CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point pullup jump shot (Derrick White assists)85
99.5%
66
0.5%
Q4 - 7:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot83
99.0%
66
1.0%
Q4 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound83
99.2%
64
0.8%
Q4 - 7:22CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot83
99.3%
64
0.7%
Q4 - 7:38HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)83
99.4%
64
0.6%
Q4 - 7:50HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot83
99.4%
64
0.6%
Q4 - 7:58CelticsGrant Williams turnover (traveling)83
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q4 - 8:13HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 283
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q4 - 8:13HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 283
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q4 - 8:13CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)83
99.6%
60
0.4%
Q4 - 8:21CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)83
99.6%
60
0.4%
Q4 - 8:35HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)80
99.4%
60
0.6%
Q4 - 8:46HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)80
99.4%
60
0.6%
Q4 - 8:58CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)80
99.2%
60
0.8%
Q4 - 9:14HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds lost ball)77
98.3%
60
1.7%
Q4 - 9:14HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound77
97.8%
60
2.2%
Q4 - 9:16HeatAl Horford blocks Bam Adebayo's two point putback layup77
98.2%
60
1.8%
Q4 - 9:18HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound77
97.8%
60
2.2%
Q4 - 9:20HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot77
98.2%
60
1.8%
Q4 - 9:35CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point turnaround jump shot77
97.8%
60
2.2%
Q4 - 9:51CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound75
97.4%
60
2.6%
Q4 - 9:53HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup75
97.2%
60
2.8%
Q4 - 10:05CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)75
95.8%
60
4.2%
Q4 - 10:29HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot (Max Strus assists)72
93.8%
60
6.2%
Q4 - 10:49CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)72
94.9%
58
5.1%
Q4 - 10:56CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound69
92.5%
58
7.5%
Q4 - 10:59HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot69
91.9%
58
8.1%
Q4 - 11:06HeatHeat offensive rebound69
89.5%
58
10.5%
Q4 - 11:06HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot69
90.8%
58
9.2%
Q4 - 11:16HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound69
89.5%
58
10.5%
Q4 - 11:20CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot69
90.1%
58
9.9%
Q4 - 11:44CelticsCeltics defensive rebound69
91.4%
58
8.6%
Q4 - 11:45HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot69
90.9%
58
9.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.69
89.6%
58
10.4%
Q3 - 0:01.6CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound69
90.4%
58
9.6%
Q3 - 0:01.6HeatCaleb Martin misses two point jump shot69
89.8%
58
10.2%
Q3 - 0:08.0CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot69
88.5%
58
11.5%
Q3 - 0:24.3CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound67
86.3%
58
13.7%
Q3 - 0:27.1HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot67
85.6%
58
14.4%
Q3 - 0:29.8HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound67
83.8%
58
16.2%
Q3 - 0:31.6HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot67
85.6%
58
14.4%
Q3 - 0:46.9CelticsDerrick White turnover (out of bounds bad pass)67
83.8%
58
16.2%
Q3 - 0:46.9HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Derrick White steals)67
86.3%
58
13.7%
Q3 - 0:52.8CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running layup (Derrick White assists)67
83.8%
58
16.2%
Q3 - 0:56.7CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound65
80.8%
58
19.2%
Q3 - 0:58.7HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving layup65
79.9%
58
20.1%
Q3 - 1:17CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 2 of 265
76.1%
58
23.9%
Q3 - 1:17CelticsDerrick White misses regular free throw 1 of 264
75.6%
58
24.4%
Q3 - 1:17HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Derrick White draws the foul)64
78.4%
58
21.6%
Q3 - 1:25CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound64
76.5%
58
23.5%
Q3 - 1:28HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot64
75.3%
58
24.7%
Q3 - 1:40CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point fadeaway jump shot64
72.5%
58
27.5%
Q3 - 2:01CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound62
67.6%
58
32.4%
Q3 - 2:03HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot62
66.3%
58
33.7%
Q3 - 2:31CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)62
63.2%
58
36.8%
Q3 - 2:44HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 259
54.9%
58
45.1%
Q3 - 2:44HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 259
55.5%
57
44.5%
Q3 - 2:44CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)59
56.3%
56
43.7%
Q3 - 2:47HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound59
59.0%
56
41.0%
Q3 - 2:50CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot59
60.4%
56
39.6%
Q3 - 3:04CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound59
63.4%
56
36.6%
Q3 - 3:06HeatVictor Oladipo misses regular free throw 2 of 259
62.8%
56
37.2%
Q3 - 3:06HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 259
60.1%
56
39.9%
Q3 - 3:06CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)59
61.1%
55
38.9%
Q3 - 3:07HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound59
62.7%
55
37.3%
Q3 - 3:10CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot59
64.2%
55
35.8%
Q3 - 3:31HeatGabe Vincent makes two point stepback jump shot59
67.3%
55
32.7%
Q3 - 3:56CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point pullup jump shot59
70.5%
53
29.5%
Q3 - 4:17HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot57
66.7%
53
33.3%
Q3 - 4:31CelticsRobert Williams III makes regular free throw 2 of 257
69.7%
51
30.3%
Q3 - 4:31CelticsRobert Williams III makes regular free throw 1 of 256
68.8%
51
31.2%
Q3 - 4:31HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)55
67.7%
51
32.3%
Q3 - 4:31CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound55
66.7%
51
33.3%
Q3 - 4:31CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot55
63.6%
51
36.4%
Q3 - 4:50CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound55
66.8%
51
33.2%
Q3 - 4:50HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot55
65.4%
51
34.6%
Q3 - 4:55HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound55
62.2%
51
37.8%
Q3 - 4:55HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot55
65.4%
51
34.6%
Q3 - 4:59HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound55
62.3%
51
37.7%
Q3 - 5:02HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot55
64.6%
51
35.4%
Q3 - 5:07HeatHeat offensive rebound55
61.8%
51
38.2%
Q3 - 5:07HeatRobert Williams III blocks P.J. Tucker's three point jump shot55
64.6%
51
35.4%
Q3 - 5:22CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 255
61.9%
51
38.1%
Q3 - 5:22CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 254
61.3%
51
38.7%
Q3 - 5:22HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)53
60.7%
51
39.3%
Q3 - 5:24CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound53
58.3%
51
41.7%
Q3 - 5:25HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving layup53
57.1%
51
42.9%
Q3 - 5:40HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound53
54.1%
51
45.9%
Q3 - 5:42CelticsAl Horford misses regular free throw 2 of 253
54.7%
51
45.3%
Q3 - 5:42CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 253
57.4%
51
42.6%
Q3 - 5:42HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)52
56.6%
51
43.4%
Q3 - 6:02HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot52
54.2%
51
45.8%
Q3 - 6:24CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)52
61.3%
48
38.7%
Q3 - 6:53HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup49
54.2%
48
45.8%
Q3 - 7:09HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound49
57.0%
46
43.0%
Q3 - 7:10CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving layup49
58.3%
46
41.7%
Q3 - 7:23CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound49
61.2%
46
38.8%
Q3 - 7:28HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot49
60.0%
46
40.0%
Q3 - 7:34CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)49
57.1%
46
42.9%
Q3 - 7:47CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 249
57.1%
46
42.9%
Q3 - 7:47CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 248
56.6%
46
43.4%
Q3 - 7:47HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Take) (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)48
59.7%
46
40.3%
Q3 - 7:47CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound48
57.7%
46
42.3%
Q3 - 7:48HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot48
56.4%
46
43.6%
Q3 - 8:07CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 148
53.2%
46
46.8%
Q3 - 8:07HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)47
52.6%
46
47.4%
Q3 - 8:08CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound45
46.6%
46
53.4%
Q3 - 8:12HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot45
45.3%
46
54.7%
Q3 - 8:15HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound45
42.4%
46
57.6%
Q3 - 8:19HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot45
45.3%
46
54.7%
Q3 - 8:28CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds bad pass)45
42.4%
46
57.6%
Q3 - 8:29HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)45
46.6%
46
53.4%
Q3 - 8:45HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 245
46.6%
46
53.4%
Q3 - 8:45HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 245
47.4%
45
52.6%
Q3 - 8:45CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)45
48.3%
44
51.7%
Q3 - 8:58HeatHeat defensive rebound45
49.6%
44
50.4%
Q3 - 8:58CelticsJimmy Butler blocks Jaylen Brown's two point cutting layup45
50.9%
44
49.1%
Q3 - 9:06HeatMax Strus personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)45
53.6%
44
46.4%
Q3 - 9:21HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 245
53.6%
44
46.4%
Q3 - 9:21HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 245
54.3%
43
45.7%
Q3 - 9:21CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)45
55.2%
42
44.8%
Q3 - 9:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound45
56.7%
42
43.3%
Q3 - 9:33CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot45
57.9%
42
42.1%
Q3 - 9:46CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound45
60.5%
42
39.5%
Q3 - 9:47HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot45
59.4%
42
40.6%
Q3 - 10:00CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Loose ball) (Max Strus draws the foul)45
56.7%
42
43.3%
Q3 - 10:00HeatHeat defensive rebound45
56.7%
42
43.3%
Q3 - 10:01CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point finger roll layup45
57.6%
42
42.4%
Q3 - 10:09CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound45
60.2%
42
39.8%
Q3 - 10:13HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot45
59.1%
42
40.9%
Q3 - 10:25CelticsGrant Williams makes two point pullup jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)45
56.4%
42
43.6%
Q3 - 10:35CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound43
53.5%
42
46.5%
Q3 - 10:37HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot43
52.3%
42
47.7%
Q3 - 10:59CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Al Horford assists)43
49.6%
42
50.4%
Q3 - 11:10CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound41
46.5%
42
53.5%
Q3 - 11:12HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup41
45.4%
42
54.6%
Q3 - 11:23HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound41
43.0%
42
57.0%
Q3 - 11:26CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 141
43.4%
42
56.6%
Q3 - 11:26HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)41
45.6%
42
54.4%
Q3 - 11:27CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound39
39.9%
42
60.1%
Q3 - 11:30HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot39
38.9%
42
61.1%
Q3 - 11:49CelticsAl Horford makes two point cutting layup (Marcus Smart assists)39
36.5%
42
63.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.37
33.7%
42
66.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound37
30.5%
42
69.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot37
32.7%
42
67.3%
Q2 - 0:10.0CelticsAl Horford makes two point floating jump shot (Derrick White assists)37
31.5%
42
68.5%
Q2 - 0:30.2HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point putback layup35
28.2%
42
71.8%
Q2 - 0:30.2HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound35
31.5%
40
68.5%
Q2 - 0:32.4HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot35
33.0%
40
67.0%
Q2 - 0:44.9HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
31.5%
40
68.5%
Q2 - 0:47.7CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot35
32.1%
40
67.9%
Q2 - 0:57.9HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup35
33.7%
40
66.3%
Q2 - 0:57.9HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound35
37.3%
38
62.7%
Q2 - 1:03HeatMax Strus misses two point driving floating bank jump shot35
39.5%
38
60.5%
Q2 - 1:22CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)35
38.1%
38
61.9%
Q2 - 1:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point finger roll layup (Max Strus assists)32
31.4%
38
68.6%
Q2 - 1:52HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound32
35.1%
36
64.9%
Q2 - 1:54CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot32
35.7%
36
64.3%
Q2 - 2:16CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound32
38.0%
36
62.0%
Q2 - 2:18HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot32
37.1%
36
62.9%
Q2 - 2:35CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)32
35.1%
36
64.9%
Q2 - 2:35CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)32
38.0%
36
62.0%
Q2 - 2:43CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound32
38.0%
36
62.0%
Q2 - 2:48HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot32
37.1%
36
62.9%
Q2 - 3:04CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 232
35.3%
36
64.7%
Q2 - 3:04CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 231
34.9%
36
65.1%
Q2 - 3:04HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)30
34.4%
36
65.6%
Q2 - 3:25HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving bank jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)30
33.2%
36
66.8%
Q2 - 3:43HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound30
35.3%
34
64.7%
Q2 - 3:46CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot30
36.3%
34
63.7%
Q2 - 4:06HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)30
38.7%
34
61.3%
Q2 - 4:20CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)30
44.1%
31
55.9%
Q2 - 4:39HeatKyle Lowry turnover (offensive foul)27
38.7%
31
61.3%
Q2 - 4:39HeatKyle Lowry offensive foul (Derrick White draws the foul)27
35.9%
31
64.1%
Q2 - 4:59CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Al Horford assists)27
35.9%
31
64.1%
Q2 - 5:15HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)25
33.9%
31
66.1%
Q2 - 5:20CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)25
35.9%
29
64.1%
Q2 - 5:34HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)25
39.0%
29
61.0%
Q2 - 5:35HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound25
35.9%
29
64.1%
Q2 - 5:37CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot25
36.8%
29
63.2%
Q2 - 5:50CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound25
39.0%
29
61.0%
Q2 - 5:52HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot25
38.1%
29
61.9%
Q2 - 6:08CelticsDerrick White makes regular free throw 1 of 125
36.1%
29
63.9%
Q2 - 6:08HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Derrick White draws the foul)24
35.8%
29
64.2%
Q2 - 6:22HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 222
31.8%
29
68.2%
Q2 - 6:22HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 222
32.1%
28
67.9%
Q2 - 6:22CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)22
32.4%
27
67.6%
Q2 - 6:34CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)22
33.6%
27
66.4%
Q2 - 6:44CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound22
36.7%
27
63.3%
Q2 - 6:49HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot22
35.7%
27
64.3%
Q2 - 7:03HeatHeat defensive rebound22
34.4%
27
65.6%
Q2 - 7:04CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot22
35.1%
27
64.9%
Q2 - 7:19HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)22
36.8%
27
63.2%
Q2 - 7:21HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound22
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q2 - 7:24HeatAl Horford blocks Bam Adebayo's two point jump shot22
43.7%
24
56.3%
Q2 - 7:44CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 222
41.8%
24
58.2%
Q2 - 7:44CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 221
41.3%
24
58.7%
Q2 - 7:44HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)20
40.7%
24
59.3%
Q2 - 7:53CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound20
39.3%
24
60.7%
Q2 - 7:55HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot20
38.5%
24
61.5%
Q2 - 8:07CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)20
36.7%
24
63.3%
Q2 - 8:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)17
32.1%
24
67.9%
Q2 - 8:32HeatHeat offensive rebound17
36.8%
21
63.2%
Q2 - 8:32HeatRobert Williams III blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup17
38.5%
21
61.5%
Q2 - 8:44HeatHeat defensive rebound17
36.8%
21
63.2%
Q2 - 8:47CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot17
37.5%
21
62.5%
Q2 - 9:01HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)17
39.3%
21
60.7%
Q2 - 9:03CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)17
36.8%
21
63.2%
Q2 - 9:19CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound17
39.3%
21
60.7%
Q2 - 9:21HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot17
38.6%
21
61.4%
Q2 - 9:34CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Take) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)17
36.8%
21
63.2%
Q2 - 9:34HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound17
36.8%
21
63.2%
Q2 - 9:35CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving layup17
37.6%
21
62.4%
Q2 - 9:44CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound17
39.3%
21
60.7%
Q2 - 9:47HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot17
38.6%
21
61.4%
Q2 - 9:57CelticsRobert Williams III personal foul (Take) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)17
36.8%
21
63.2%
Q2 - 9:57HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound17
36.8%
21
63.2%
Q2 - 9:59CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup17
37.6%
21
62.4%
Q2 - 10:06CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound17
39.6%
21
60.4%
Q2 - 10:13HeatRobert Williams III blocks Gabe Vincent's three point jump shot17
38.8%
21
61.2%
Q2 - 10:31HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound17
37.1%
21
62.9%
Q2 - 10:34CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot17
37.9%
21
62.1%
Q2 - 10:51HeatCaleb Martin makes two point tip layup17
39.6%
21
60.4%
Q2 - 10:51HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound17
41.9%
19
58.1%
Q2 - 10:58HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot17
43.7%
19
56.3%
Q2 - 11:12HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound17
42.2%
19
57.8%
Q2 - 11:15CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot17
42.9%
19
57.1%
Q2 - 11:26CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound17
44.4%
19
55.6%
Q2 - 11:29HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point stepback jump shot17
43.7%
19
56.3%
Q2 - 11:37HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound17
42.2%
19
57.8%
Q2 - 11:43CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point stepback jump shot17
42.8%
19
57.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.17
44.4%
19
55.6%
Q1 - 0:01.9CelticsCeltics offensive rebound17
44.1%
19
55.9%
Q1 - 0:01.9CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot17
42.7%
19
57.3%
Q1 - 0:18.4HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot17
44.1%
19
55.9%
Q1 - 0:34.9CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (out of bounds lost ball)17
46.8%
17
53.2%
Q1 - 0:42.8CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound17
48.8%
17
51.2%
Q1 - 0:45.3HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot17
48.2%
17
51.8%
Q1 - 1:01CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot17
46.9%
17
53.1%
Q1 - 1:24HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Gabe Vincent assists)15
44.3%
17
55.7%
Q1 - 1:33HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound15
46.9%
15
53.1%
Q1 - 1:36HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot15
48.3%
15
51.7%
Q1 - 1:44CelticsAl Horford turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)15
46.9%
15
53.1%
Q1 - 1:56CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound15
48.9%
15
51.1%
Q1 - 2:00HeatJaylen Brown blocks Victor Oladipo's two point driving finger roll layup15
48.3%
15
51.7%
Q1 - 2:12CelticsDerrick White turnover (offensive foul)15
46.8%
15
53.2%
Q1 - 2:12CelticsDerrick White offensive foul (Charge) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)15
49.1%
15
50.9%
Q1 - 2:14HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)15
49.1%
15
50.9%
Q1 - 2:35HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound15
46.8%
15
53.2%
Q1 - 2:37CelticsAl Horford misses regular free throw 2 of 215
47.1%
15
52.9%
Q1 - 2:37CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 215
48.7%
15
51.3%
Q1 - 2:37HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)14
48.2%
15
51.8%
Q1 - 2:37HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)14
50.3%
15
49.7%
Q1 - 2:38CelticsDerrick White turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)14
44.5%
15
55.5%
Q1 - 2:59HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving reverse layup14
46.8%
15
53.2%
Q1 - 3:07HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound14
48.6%
13
51.4%
Q1 - 3:10CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot14
49.4%
13
50.6%
Q1 - 3:29HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot14
51.3%
13
48.7%
Q1 - 3:38CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Take) (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)14
55.3%
10
44.7%
Q1 - 3:38HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound14
55.3%
10
44.7%
Q1 - 3:38CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point tip dunk14
56.1%
10
43.9%
Q1 - 3:38CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound14
57.9%
10
42.1%
Q1 - 3:40CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point running reverse layup14
56.1%
10
43.9%
Q1 - 3:46CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound14
57.9%
10
42.1%
Q1 - 3:48HeatMax Strus misses two point driving layup14
57.1%
10
42.9%
Q1 - 4:08CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Derrick White assists)14
55.1%
10
44.9%
Q1 - 4:24HeatGabe Vincent makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot11
51.2%
10
48.8%
Q1 - 4:34CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)11
53.0%
8
47.0%
Q1 - 4:52HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)11
55.5%
8
44.5%
Q1 - 5:01CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Tucker steals)11
56.9%
6
43.1%
Q1 - 5:05HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)11
59.2%
6
40.8%
Q1 - 5:18CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)11
56.9%
6
43.1%
Q1 - 5:22CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound9
55.2%
6
44.8%
Q1 - 5:25HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot9
54.5%
6
45.5%
Q1 - 5:39CelticsAl Horford makes two point running alley-oop layup (Derrick White assists)9
52.9%
6
47.1%
Q1 - 5:42CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound7
51.1%
6
48.9%
Q1 - 5:44HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot7
50.4%
6
49.6%
Q1 - 6:03HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound7
48.9%
6
51.1%
Q1 - 6:03CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot7
49.5%
6
50.5%
Q1 - 6:07HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk7
50.9%
6
49.1%
Q1 - 6:07HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound7
52.9%
4
47.1%
Q1 - 6:13HeatJimmy Butler misses two point finger roll layup7
54.3%
4
45.7%
Q1 - 6:22HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound7
52.9%
4
47.1%
Q1 - 6:23HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot7
54.3%
4
45.7%
Q1 - 6:33HeatMax Strus defensive rebound7
52.9%
4
47.1%
Q1 - 6:36CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot7
53.5%
4
46.5%
Q1 - 6:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup7
54.9%
4
45.1%
Q1 - 7:09CelticsDerrick White makes two point floating jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)7
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 7:23HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)5
54.9%
2
45.1%
Q1 - 7:39HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound5
52.8%
2
47.2%
Q1 - 7:42CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point stepback jump shot5
53.4%
2
46.6%
Q1 - 7:51CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound5
54.9%
2
45.1%
Q1 - 7:55HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point stepback jump shot5
54.3%
2
45.7%
Q1 - 8:09CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)5
52.8%
2
47.2%
Q1 - 8:18CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 25
52.8%
2
47.2%
Q1 - 8:18CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 24
52.5%
2
47.5%
Q1 - 8:18HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)4
54.1%
2
45.9%
Q1 - 8:36HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Max Strus assists)4
53.0%
2
47.0%
Q1 - 8:49CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)4
54.7%
0
45.3%
Q1 - 9:04CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point layup (Marcus Smart assists)4
54.4%
0
45.6%
Q1 - 9:10CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound2
52.8%
0
47.2%
Q1 - 9:13HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot2
52.2%
0
47.8%
Q1 - 9:37CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point putback layup2
50.6%
0
49.4%
Q1 - 9:38CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound0
49.1%
0
50.9%
Q1 - 9:40CelticsAl Horford misses two point bank jump shot0
47.5%
0
52.5%
Q1 - 10:02CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound0
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 10:04HeatJimmy Butler misses two point cutting layup0
48.2%
0
51.8%
Q1 - 10:09HeatMax Strus defensive rebound0
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 10:11CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot0
47.4%
0
52.6%
Q1 - 10:37CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound0
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 10:39HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot0
48.2%
0
51.8%
Q1 - 10:51CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)0
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 10:53HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound0
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 10:55HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot0
48.2%
0
51.8%
Q1 - 11:11HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
46.7%
0
53.3%
Q1 - 11:13CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot0
47.3%
0
52.7%
Q1 - 11:29CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound0
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 11:29HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot0
48.1%
0
51.9%
Q1 - 11:33HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound0
46.7%
0
53.3%
Q1 - 11:35HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot0
48.1%
0
51.9%
Q1 - 12:00Robert Williams III vs. Bam Adebayo (P.J. Tucker gains possession)0
46.7%
0
53.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.11 55.4%
MIA
0.78 39.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
13
21
62%
MIA
16
28
57%
Midrange
BOS
10
17
59%
MIA
7
21
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
10
15.0
33
30%
45%
MIA
7
10.5
45
16%
23%
Free Throws
BOS
17
23
74%
MIA
13
14
93%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brown2566%12.5 / 19
J. Tatum2246%11.0 / 24
A. Horford1673%8.0 / 11
D. White1478%7.0 / 9
R. Williams6100%3.0 / 3
M. Smart542%2.5 / 6
G. Williams550%2.5 / 5
P. Pritchard0-0.0 / 2
N. Stauskas0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo1856%9.0 / 16
G. Vincent1558%7.5 / 13
J. Butler1333%6.5 / 20
D. Robinson1146%5.5 / 12
P. Tucker750%3.5 / 7
C. Martin750%3.5 / 7
M. Strus418%2.0 / 11
V. Oladipo319%1.5 / 8
O. Yurtseven2100%1.0 / 1
K. Lowry0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
77
+7
-15
84
MIA
79
+23
-12
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.11 55.4%
MIA
0.78 39.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.6
111.3
BOS 101.1
MIA 87.9 +13.2
Pace
95.5
93.7
BOS 85.8
MIA 98.1 +12.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.2
BOS 16.8
MIA 14.7 +2.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.3%
50.9%
BOS 53.5% +17.9%
MIA 35.6%
TO %
14.7%
12.8%
BOS 15.6%
MIA 10.7% +4.9%
ORB %
21.9%
23.2%
BOS 16.7%
MIA 32.2% +15.5%
FTrt
28.3
25.3
BOS 32.4 +17.5
MIA 14.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.7%
57.6%
BOS 72.7% +26.0%
MIA 46.7%
STL %
6.7%
8.9%
BOS 5.4%
MIA 7.7% +2.3%
BLK %
11.9%
8.2%
BOS 14.3% +9.0%
MIA 5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.8%
53.7%
BOS 55.4% +16.2%
MIA 39.2%
Rim FG%
60.7%
65.3%
BOS 61.9% +4.8%
MIA 57.1%
Mid FG%
40.4%
41.1%
BOS 58.8% +25.5%
MIA 33.3%
3P %
37.3%
31.3%
BOS 30.3% +14.7%
MIA 15.6%
FT %
79.7%
80.4%
BOS 73.9%
MIA 92.9% +19.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.0%
30.7%
BOS 29.6%
MIA 29.8% +0.2%
Mid Att. %
26.2%
28.5%
BOS 23.9%
MIA 22.3% +1.6%
3P Att. %
44.8%
40.8%
BOS 46.5%
MIA 47.9% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes25.722.3
Points9380
Rebounds4649
Assists2414
Steals57
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)12 (0)
Fouls1919
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)19 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (2)30 (4)
Field Goals33-7130-94
At-the-Rim FG13-2116-28
Midrange FG10-177-21
2-Point FG23-3823-49
3-Point FG10-337-45
Free Throws17-2313-14
Fast Break Pts135
2nd Chance Pts424
Points in Paint3640
Pts off Turnovers1417
Bench Points1938
Biggest Lead237

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 24
44.4
22
46%
12
9
0
0
5
3
2
10
6-8
75%
5-12
42%
2-8
25%
#7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 26
39.8
25
66%
4
1
1
1
4
3
0
4
0-1
0%
5-10
50%
5-9
56%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 36
39.3
16
73%
7
5
1
2
1
0
0
7
5-7
71%
4-5
80%
1-3
33%
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 25
26.8
6
100%
10
0
1
3
0
1
3
7
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 28
23.7
5
42%
5
4
0
0
1
4
1
4
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
#9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 28
29.1
14
78%
1
5
2
1
3
4
0
1
2-3
67%
6-6
100%
0-2
0%
#12 · PF · 6'6" 236 · 23
23.0
5
50%
6
0
0
0
1
4
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
#11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 24
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#26 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#4 · PF · 6'8" 232 · 25
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#13 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 29
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 27
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 30
DNP – Coach's Decision
#30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Instability Episode
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
55%
46
24
5
7
15
19
6
40
17-23
74%
23-38
61%
10-33
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.