FinalWin Prob.pScore
832%99
109
168%106
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.59698.9
BOS logo BOS
109.69491.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.109
100%
103
0%
Q4 - 0:05.7CelticsNik Stauskas makes three point jump shot109
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0CelticsJuwan Morgan offensive rebound109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.4CelticsAaron Nesmith misses three point pullup jump shot109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.9HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Max Strus assists)109
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.7HeatVictor Oladipo misses flagrant free throw 2 of 2107
99.8%
100
0.2%
Q4 - 0:24.7HeatVictor Oladipo makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2107
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.7CelticsGrant Williams flagrant 1 (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)106
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.3CelticsGrant Williams makes three point pullup jump shot (Al Horford assists)106
99.3%
100
0.7%
Q4 - 0:39.6HeatP.J. Tucker makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
99.6%
97
0.4%
Q4 - 0:39.6HeatP.J. Tucker makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
99.5%
97
0.5%
Q4 - 0:39.6HeatKyle Lowry makes technical free throw 1 of 1104
99.3%
97
0.7%
Q4 - 0:39.6CelticsMarcus Smart technical foul103
99.1%
97
0.9%
Q4 - 0:39.6CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)103
98.9%
97
1.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)103
98.5%
97
1.5%
Q4 - 0:42.5HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)103
99.5%
94
0.5%
Q4 - 0:42.5CelticsGrant Williams turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)101
99.2%
94
0.8%
Q4 - 0:48.0HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
97.9%
94
2.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0HeatVictor Oladipo misses regular free throw 1 of 2100
97.6%
94
2.4%
Q4 - 0:48.0CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Take) (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)100
98.5%
94
1.5%
Q4 - 1:01CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
97.1%
94
2.9%
Q4 - 1:01CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
97.4%
93
2.6%
Q4 - 1:01HeatMax Strus personal foul (Loose ball) (Grant Williams draws the foul)100
97.6%
92
2.4%
Q4 - 1:01CelticsCeltics offensive rebound100
98.2%
92
1.8%
Q4 - 1:03CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot100
98.8%
92
1.2%
Q4 - 1:07HeatP.J. Tucker makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
97.9%
92
2.1%
Q4 - 1:07HeatP.J. Tucker makes regular free throw 1 of 299
97.6%
92
2.4%
Q4 - 1:07CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Take) (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)98
97.2%
92
2.8%
Q4 - 1:09CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Tucker steals)98
96.7%
92
3.3%
Q4 - 1:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot98
92.0%
92
8.0%
Q4 - 1:46CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)96
84.5%
92
15.5%
Q4 - 2:16HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)96
74.0%
92
26.0%
Q4 - 2:22CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)93
57.3%
92
42.7%
Q4 - 2:40CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)93
57.3%
92
42.7%
Q4 - 2:49CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound93
73.6%
89
26.4%
Q4 - 2:51HeatKyle Lowry misses two point fadeaway jump shot93
74.9%
89
25.1%
Q4 - 3:05CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)93
81.3%
89
18.7%
Q4 - 3:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound93
81.5%
89
18.5%
Q4 - 3:24CelticsBam Adebayo blocks Al Horford's two point turnaround hook shot93
78.9%
89
21.1%
Q4 - 3:40HeatMax Strus personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)93
67.9%
89
32.1%
Q4 - 3:48CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound93
68.2%
89
31.8%
Q4 - 3:51HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point reverse layup93
70.8%
89
29.2%
Q4 - 4:14CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup (Marcus Smart assists)93
76.4%
89
23.6%
Q4 - 4:33HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Grant Williams steals)93
82.1%
87
17.9%
Q4 - 4:54CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot93
87.3%
87
12.7%
Q4 - 5:01CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound93
86.6%
85
13.4%
Q4 - 5:04HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point pullup jump shot93
87.8%
85
12.2%
Q4 - 5:18CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 193
90.3%
85
9.7%
Q4 - 5:18HeatVictor Oladipo shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)93
90.9%
84
9.1%
Q4 - 5:20CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound93
94.5%
82
5.5%
Q4 - 5:23CelticsGrant Williams misses three point running pullup jump shot93
95.6%
82
4.4%
Q4 - 5:26CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound93
94.5%
82
5.5%
Q4 - 5:29HeatJaylen Brown blocks Max Strus's two point running layup93
95.0%
82
5.0%
Q4 - 5:33CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)93
96.1%
82
3.9%
Q4 - 5:47HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)93
94.6%
82
5.4%
Q4 - 5:47HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)93
96.1%
82
3.9%
Q4 - 6:17CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point driving floating jump shot93
94.4%
82
5.6%
Q4 - 6:30HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point fadeaway jump shot93
95.5%
80
4.5%
Q4 - 6:51HeatHeat offensive rebound91
94.5%
80
5.5%
Q4 - 6:51HeatDerrick White blocks Victor Oladipo's two point running layup91
93.1%
80
6.9%
Q4 - 6:54CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)91
94.5%
80
5.5%
Q4 - 7:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Max Strus assists)91
89.9%
80
10.1%
Q4 - 7:30HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound89
87.8%
80
12.2%
Q4 - 7:35CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot89
86.8%
80
13.2%
Q4 - 7:46CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound89
84.2%
80
15.8%
Q4 - 7:47HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot89
85.4%
80
14.6%
Q4 - 8:12HeatHeat defensive rebound89
85.5%
80
14.5%
Q4 - 8:13CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point stepback jump shot89
84.6%
80
15.4%
Q4 - 8:31CelticsCeltics defensive rebound89
82.1%
80
17.9%
Q4 - 8:31HeatGrant Williams blocks Bam Adebayo's two point turnaround jump shot89
83.3%
80
16.7%
Q4 - 8:53CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)89
85.7%
80
14.3%
Q4 - 9:04CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound89
88.8%
77
11.2%
Q4 - 9:06HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot89
89.6%
77
10.4%
Q4 - 9:21HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound89
91.3%
77
8.7%
Q4 - 9:21CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 289
91.0%
77
9.0%
Q4 - 9:21CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 289
89.7%
77
10.3%
Q4 - 9:21CelticsJayson Tatum makes technical free throw 1 of 189
91.0%
76
9.0%
Q4 - 9:21HeatGabe Vincent technical foul89
91.5%
75
8.5%
Q4 - 9:21HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)89
92.1%
75
7.9%
Q4 - 9:34HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)89
92.8%
75
7.2%
Q4 - 9:34HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Charge) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)89
94.4%
75
5.6%
Q4 - 9:36CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)89
94.4%
75
5.6%
Q4 - 9:52CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound89
92.8%
75
7.2%
Q4 - 9:54HeatMax Strus misses three point stepback jump shot89
93.4%
75
6.6%
Q4 - 10:03CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)89
93.1%
75
6.9%
Q4 - 10:12CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point driving layup89
93.1%
75
6.9%
Q4 - 10:25HeatGabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)89
94.3%
73
5.7%
Q4 - 10:25HeatGabe Vincent offensive foul (Daniel Theis draws the foul)89
95.5%
73
4.5%
Q4 - 10:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound89
95.5%
73
4.5%
Q4 - 10:35CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot89
95.2%
73
4.8%
Q4 - 10:44CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound89
94.3%
73
5.7%
Q4 - 10:46HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot89
94.7%
73
5.3%
Q4 - 10:55CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)89
95.6%
73
4.4%
Q4 - 11:05CelticsDaniel Theis makes regular free throw 2 of 289
94.6%
73
5.4%
Q4 - 11:05CelticsDaniel Theis misses regular free throw 1 of 289
94.9%
72
5.1%
Q4 - 11:05HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Daniel Theis draws the foul)89
94.1%
72
5.9%
Q4 - 11:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot89
94.6%
72
5.4%
Q4 - 11:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
93.5%
72
6.5%
Q4 - 11:43CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot87
93.1%
72
6.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.87
92.1%
72
7.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound87
93.5%
72
6.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatBam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot87
92.6%
72
7.4%
Q3 - 0:00.8HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
92.2%
72
7.8%
Q3 - 0:03.8CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot87
91.8%
72
8.2%
Q3 - 0:06.8HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot87
90.7%
72
9.3%
Q3 - 0:31.6Jump ball. Victor Oladipo vs. Jaylen Brown (Heat gains possession)85
88.9%
72
11.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound85
86.8%
72
13.2%
Q3 - 0:41.9HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot85
87.5%
72
12.5%
Q3 - 0:55.8CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point putback layup85
89.0%
72
11.0%
Q3 - 0:56.8CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound85
90.8%
70
9.2%
Q3 - 0:58.7CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot85
91.9%
70
8.1%
Q3 - 1:22HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)85
89.1%
70
10.9%
Q3 - 1:32HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound82
85.1%
70
14.9%
Q3 - 1:34CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot82
84.3%
70
15.7%
Q3 - 1:49HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)82
82.3%
70
17.7%
Q3 - 2:13CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)80
77.3%
70
22.7%
Q3 - 2:35HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 180
82.9%
67
17.1%
Q3 - 2:35CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)79
82.4%
67
17.6%
Q3 - 2:45CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Take) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)77
77.5%
67
22.5%
Q3 - 2:46CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)77
77.5%
67
22.5%
Q3 - 2:56HeatP.J. Tucker turnover (out of bounds lost ball)77
73.9%
67
26.1%
Q3 - 2:57CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Tucker steals)77
77.5%
67
22.5%
Q3 - 2:58CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound77
73.9%
67
26.1%
Q3 - 3:00CelticsP.J. Tucker blocks Grant Williams's two point putback layup77
76.4%
67
23.6%
Q3 - 3:01CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound77
72.4%
67
27.6%
Q3 - 3:03CelticsAl Horford misses two point floating jump shot77
75.1%
67
24.9%
Q3 - 3:22CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound77
72.4%
67
27.6%
Q3 - 3:24HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot77
73.7%
67
26.3%
Q3 - 3:42CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup bank jump shot77
76.3%
67
23.7%
Q3 - 4:01HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 177
77.0%
65
23.0%
Q3 - 4:01CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)76
76.4%
65
23.6%
Q3 - 4:02HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound74
71.2%
65
28.8%
Q3 - 4:03HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot74
68.4%
65
31.6%
Q3 - 4:25CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)74
71.4%
65
28.6%
Q3 - 4:32CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound74
77.2%
62
22.8%
Q3 - 4:37HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot74
78.2%
62
21.8%
Q3 - 4:53CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)74
80.5%
62
19.5%
Q3 - 5:09HeatKyle Lowry makes two point stepback jump shot74
75.7%
62
24.3%
Q3 - 5:29CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (out of bounds bad pass)72
73.0%
62
27.0%
Q3 - 5:38CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound72
69.5%
62
30.5%
Q3 - 5:39HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot72
70.6%
62
29.4%
Q3 - 6:05CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point stepback jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)72
71.2%
62
28.8%
Q3 - 6:28HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)72
76.9%
59
23.1%
Q3 - 6:28HeatHeat offensive rebound72
79.8%
59
20.2%
Q3 - 6:29HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot72
77.8%
59
22.2%
Q3 - 6:52CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 272
79.9%
59
20.1%
Q3 - 6:52CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 272
80.3%
58
19.7%
Q3 - 6:52HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)72
80.7%
57
19.3%
Q3 - 7:01HeatP.J. Tucker personal foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)72
80.5%
57
19.5%
Q3 - 7:07HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)72
80.5%
57
19.5%
Q3 - 7:24CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup69
75.9%
57
24.1%
Q3 - 7:31HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (Grant Williams draws the foul)69
78.1%
55
21.9%
Q3 - 7:31CelticsCeltics offensive rebound69
78.1%
55
21.9%
Q3 - 7:32CelticsAl Horford misses two point driving hook shot69
80.1%
55
19.9%
Q3 - 7:55CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound69
78.2%
55
21.8%
Q3 - 7:57HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot69
79.1%
55
20.9%
Q3 - 8:19HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound69
80.0%
55
20.0%
Q3 - 8:19CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 2 of 269
79.7%
55
20.3%
Q3 - 8:19CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 269
77.9%
55
22.1%
Q3 - 8:19HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)69
78.3%
54
21.7%
Q3 - 8:39CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound69
79.6%
54
20.4%
Q3 - 8:41HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot69
80.5%
54
19.5%
Q3 - 8:58CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)69
82.3%
54
17.7%
Q3 - 9:15HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup69
84.8%
51
15.2%
Q3 - 9:20CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)67
83.1%
51
16.9%
Q3 - 9:32CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound67
80.8%
51
19.2%
Q3 - 9:33HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point running jump shot67
81.6%
51
18.4%
Q3 - 9:38CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)67
83.2%
51
16.8%
Q3 - 9:50HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)67
80.9%
51
19.1%
Q3 - 10:07CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Payton Pritchard assists)65
77.5%
51
22.5%
Q3 - 10:25HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot65
79.6%
49
20.4%
Q3 - 10:34HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound62
75.1%
49
24.9%
Q3 - 10:37CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot62
74.2%
49
25.8%
Q3 - 10:42CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound62
72.1%
49
27.9%
Q3 - 10:44HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point hook shot62
73.1%
49
26.9%
Q3 - 10:57CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)62
75.1%
49
24.9%
Q3 - 10:57HeatHeat defensive rebound62
75.1%
49
24.9%
Q3 - 10:59CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot62
74.3%
49
25.7%
Q3 - 11:06CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound62
70.8%
49
29.2%
Q3 - 11:06HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot62
71.7%
49
28.3%
Q3 - 11:19CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup62
73.7%
49
26.3%
Q3 - 11:32CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound62
76.1%
47
23.9%
Q3 - 11:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot62
76.9%
47
23.1%
Q3 - 11:43HeatHeat offensive rebound62
78.6%
47
21.4%
Q3 - 11:46HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot62
76.9%
47
23.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.62
78.6%
47
21.4%
Q2 - 0:01.4CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)62
76.8%
47
23.2%
Q2 - 0:16.0CelticsCeltics offensive rebound62
81.6%
44
18.4%
Q2 - 0:17.0CelticsMax Strus blocks Jayson Tatum's two point running layup62
82.6%
44
17.4%
Q2 - 0:19.6CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound62
81.6%
44
18.4%
Q2 - 0:22.8HeatGabe Vincent misses two point stepback jump shot62
82.1%
44
17.9%
Q2 - 0:45.5CelticsAl Horford makes two point cutting layup (Marcus Smart assists)62
83.1%
44
16.9%
Q2 - 0:52.6CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound62
85.3%
42
14.7%
Q2 - 0:54.2HeatJimmy Butler misses two point cutting layup62
85.7%
42
14.3%
Q2 - 1:09CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running finger roll layup (Al Horford assists)62
85.4%
42
14.6%
Q2 - 1:14CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound62
87.4%
40
12.6%
Q2 - 1:16HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup62
87.7%
40
12.3%
Q2 - 1:30CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 162
88.3%
40
11.7%
Q2 - 1:30HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)62
88.5%
39
11.5%
Q2 - 1:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Gabe Vincent assists)62
91.1%
37
8.9%
Q2 - 1:54CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Tucker steals)60
89.6%
37
10.4%
Q2 - 2:04CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound60
87.2%
37
12.8%
Q2 - 2:06HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating bank jump shot60
87.7%
37
12.3%
Q2 - 2:16CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 260
88.6%
37
11.4%
Q2 - 2:16CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 260
88.8%
36
11.2%
Q2 - 2:16HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)60
89.0%
35
11.0%
Q2 - 2:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot60
89.8%
35
10.2%
Q2 - 2:55HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound58
88.7%
35
11.3%
Q2 - 2:57CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot58
88.3%
35
11.7%
Q2 - 3:17HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)58
85.6%
35
14.4%
Q2 - 3:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound56
84.5%
35
15.5%
Q2 - 3:28CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot56
83.9%
35
16.1%
Q2 - 3:40HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot56
82.6%
35
17.4%
Q2 - 3:53CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)54
81.3%
35
18.7%
Q2 - 3:54HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound54
81.3%
35
18.7%
Q2 - 3:55HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot54
79.7%
35
20.3%
Q2 - 4:12CelticsAl Horford turnover (offensive foul)54
79.6%
35
20.4%
Q2 - 4:12CelticsAl Horford offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)54
77.7%
35
22.3%
Q2 - 4:20CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound54
77.7%
35
22.3%
Q2 - 4:22HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point stepback jump shot54
78.3%
35
21.7%
Q2 - 4:41HeatMax Strus defensive rebound54
79.7%
35
20.3%
Q2 - 4:41CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 254
79.4%
35
20.6%
Q2 - 4:41CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 254
78.2%
35
21.8%
Q2 - 4:41HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)54
78.7%
34
21.3%
Q2 - 4:41CelticsCeltics defensive rebound54
79.6%
34
20.4%
Q2 - 4:42HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot54
80.2%
34
19.8%
Q2 - 4:43HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound54
81.5%
34
18.5%
Q2 - 4:45HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot54
80.2%
34
19.8%
Q2 - 4:51CelticsAl Horford turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)54
81.5%
34
18.5%
Q2 - 5:10HeatMax Strus turnover (out of bounds bad pass)54
78.6%
34
21.4%
Q2 - 5:11HeatMax Strus offensive rebound54
80.8%
34
19.2%
Q2 - 5:13HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot54
79.3%
34
20.7%
Q2 - 5:31HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound54
80.8%
34
19.2%
Q2 - 5:33CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot54
80.2%
34
19.8%
Q2 - 5:45CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound54
78.7%
34
21.3%
Q2 - 5:46HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot54
79.3%
34
20.7%
Q2 - 5:59CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 254
80.8%
34
19.2%
Q2 - 5:59CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 254
81.2%
33
18.8%
Q2 - 5:59HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)54
79.9%
33
20.1%
Q2 - 6:04CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound54
79.8%
33
20.2%
Q2 - 6:05HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot54
80.5%
33
19.5%
Q2 - 6:14CelticsPayton Pritchard personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)54
81.9%
33
18.1%
Q2 - 6:24CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)54
81.9%
33
18.1%
Q2 - 6:24CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)54
79.8%
33
20.2%
Q2 - 6:27CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound54
79.8%
33
20.2%
Q2 - 6:29HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot54
80.5%
33
19.5%
Q2 - 6:42CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Payton Pritchard assists)54
82.0%
33
18.0%
Q2 - 6:58HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 154
83.2%
31
16.8%
Q2 - 6:58CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)53
83.0%
31
17.0%
Q2 - 7:13CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)51
78.7%
31
21.3%
Q2 - 7:14CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound51
76.8%
31
23.2%
Q2 - 7:15HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot51
77.4%
31
22.6%
Q2 - 7:39CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)51
78.8%
31
21.2%
Q2 - 7:44HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Al Horford draws the foul)51
82.1%
28
17.9%
Q2 - 7:55CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound51
82.1%
28
17.9%
Q2 - 7:57HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot51
82.6%
28
17.4%
Q2 - 8:19CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point turnaround jump shot51
83.0%
28
17.0%
Q2 - 8:38HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)51
84.4%
26
15.6%
Q2 - 8:49CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 148
81.5%
26
18.5%
Q2 - 8:49HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)48
81.7%
25
18.3%
Q2 - 8:50CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound48
84.4%
23
15.6%
Q2 - 8:51CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point floating jump shot48
85.3%
23
14.7%
Q2 - 9:06HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)48
83.5%
23
16.5%
Q2 - 9:21CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 146
82.1%
23
17.9%
Q2 - 9:21HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)46
82.4%
22
17.6%
Q2 - 9:43HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)46
84.9%
20
15.1%
Q2 - 9:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound43
82.2%
20
17.8%
Q2 - 9:51CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving floating bank jump shot43
81.7%
20
18.3%
Q2 - 10:09HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)43
79.8%
20
20.2%
Q2 - 10:23CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)41
78.3%
20
21.7%
Q2 - 10:32Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. Jayson Tatum (Caleb Martin gains possession)41
78.3%
20
21.7%
Q2 - 10:48CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound41
76.4%
20
23.6%
Q2 - 10:50HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot41
77.0%
20
23.0%
Q2 - 11:01HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound41
76.5%
20
23.5%
Q2 - 11:03CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot41
76.1%
20
23.9%
Q2 - 11:12CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound41
75.0%
20
25.0%
Q2 - 11:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot41
75.5%
20
24.5%
Q2 - 11:24CelticsAl Horford makes two point floating jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)41
76.7%
20
23.3%
Q2 - 11:48HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)41
78.6%
18
21.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.39
76.8%
18
23.2%
Q1 - 0:03.7HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound39
75.4%
18
24.6%
Q1 - 0:05.9CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot39
74.9%
18
25.1%
Q1 - 0:14.9HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 139
73.9%
18
26.1%
Q1 - 0:14.9CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)38
73.4%
18
26.6%
Q1 - 0:15.9HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound36
69.8%
18
30.2%
Q1 - 0:16.9HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot36
68.6%
18
31.4%
Q1 - 0:30.2HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound36
69.8%
18
30.2%
Q1 - 0:32.5CelticsDerrick White misses two point driving layup36
69.3%
18
30.7%
Q1 - 0:47.6HeatBam Adebayo makes two point finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)36
68.1%
18
31.9%
Q1 - 0:57.4CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround jump shot (Derrick White assists)34
65.7%
18
34.3%
Q1 - 1:12HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot34
67.8%
16
32.2%
Q1 - 1:34CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot32
65.4%
16
34.6%
Q1 - 1:41CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound32
67.8%
14
32.2%
Q1 - 1:44HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot32
68.3%
14
31.7%
Q1 - 1:47CelticsDaniel Theis turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)32
69.5%
14
30.5%
Q1 - 2:07HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)32
66.3%
14
33.7%
Q1 - 2:17CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)29
62.3%
14
37.7%
Q1 - 2:29CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound29
60.1%
14
39.9%
Q1 - 2:31HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot29
60.8%
14
39.2%
Q1 - 2:43HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound29
62.4%
14
37.6%
Q1 - 2:43CelticsMarcus Smart misses regular free throw 2 of 229
62.1%
14
37.9%
Q1 - 2:43CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 229
60.6%
14
39.4%
Q1 - 2:43HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)29
61.0%
13
39.0%
Q1 - 2:49HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Jaylen Brown steals)29
62.3%
13
37.7%
Q1 - 3:01CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 3 of 329
63.7%
13
36.3%
Q1 - 3:01CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 329
64.1%
12
35.9%
Q1 - 3:01CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 329
64.6%
11
35.4%
Q1 - 3:01HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)29
65.2%
10
34.8%
Q1 - 3:03CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound29
67.4%
10
32.6%
Q1 - 3:04CelticsDerrick White misses two point driving floating bank jump shot29
68.9%
10
31.1%
Q1 - 3:23HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point driving floating jump shot29
67.4%
10
32.6%
Q1 - 3:33HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound27
65.7%
10
34.3%
Q1 - 3:34CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot27
65.0%
10
35.0%
Q1 - 3:54HeatMax Strus makes three point stepback jump shot27
63.4%
10
36.6%
Q1 - 3:54HeatMax Strus offensive rebound24
59.5%
10
40.5%
Q1 - 3:56HeatAl Horford blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup24
57.7%
10
42.3%
Q1 - 4:20CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)24
58.1%
10
41.9%
Q1 - 4:31CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound24
61.9%
7
38.1%
Q1 - 4:35HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot24
62.6%
7
37.4%
Q1 - 4:44HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound24
64.3%
7
35.7%
Q1 - 4:47HeatAl Horford blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup24
62.6%
7
37.4%
Q1 - 4:57HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound24
64.3%
7
35.7%
Q1 - 4:58CelticsAl Horford misses two point turnaround hook shot24
63.6%
7
36.4%
Q1 - 4:59CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound24
61.9%
7
38.1%
Q1 - 5:01CelticsGabe Vincent blocks Marcus Smart's two point driving layup24
61.7%
7
38.3%
Q1 - 5:17CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound24
60.2%
7
39.8%
Q1 - 5:19HeatDerrick White blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup24
60.9%
7
39.1%
Q1 - 5:33HeatMax Strus defensive rebound24
62.5%
7
37.5%
Q1 - 5:37CelticsGrant Williams misses two point cutting layup24
61.8%
7
38.2%
Q1 - 5:57HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)24
60.3%
7
39.7%
Q1 - 6:09CelticsAl Horford turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)22
57.5%
7
42.5%
Q1 - 6:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot22
55.5%
7
44.5%
Q1 - 6:43CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)20
53.6%
7
46.4%
Q1 - 6:50CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 220
53.6%
7
46.4%
Q1 - 6:50CelticsMarcus Smart misses regular free throw 1 of 220
53.9%
6
46.1%
Q1 - 6:50HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)20
52.4%
6
47.6%
Q1 - 7:07HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup20
52.7%
6
47.3%
Q1 - 7:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound18
50.9%
6
49.1%
Q1 - 7:18CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot18
50.3%
6
49.7%
Q1 - 7:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot18
48.8%
6
51.2%
Q1 - 7:29HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound16
47.0%
6
53.0%
Q1 - 7:31HeatAl Horford blocks Bam Adebayo's two point pullup jump shot16
45.5%
6
54.5%
Q1 - 7:47CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 216
47.0%
6
53.0%
Q1 - 7:47CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 216
47.5%
5
52.5%
Q1 - 7:47HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)16
48.0%
4
52.0%
Q1 - 7:49CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound16
48.8%
4
51.2%
Q1 - 7:50HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving reverse layup16
49.5%
4
50.5%
Q1 - 7:58HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound16
51.0%
4
49.0%
Q1 - 8:00CelticsAl Horford misses two point turnaround hook shot16
50.3%
4
49.7%
Q1 - 8:02CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound16
48.1%
4
51.9%
Q1 - 8:05CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot16
49.6%
4
50.4%
Q1 - 8:14HeatMax Strus personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)16
48.1%
4
51.9%
Q1 - 8:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot16
48.1%
4
51.9%
Q1 - 8:44CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)14
46.5%
4
53.5%
Q1 - 8:58HeatKyle Lowry makes three point running pullup jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)14
44.3%
4
55.7%
Q1 - 9:02HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound11
40.4%
4
59.6%
Q1 - 9:04CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot11
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 9:18HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 111
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 9:18CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)10
38.0%
4
62.0%
Q1 - 9:22CelticsAl Horford makes two point driving layup (Daniel Theis assists)8
35.1%
4
64.9%
Q1 - 9:41HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)8
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 10:08CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point fadeaway jump shot5
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 10:34HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup5
34.3%
0
65.7%
Q1 - 10:41HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound3
32.8%
0
67.2%
Q1 - 10:43CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot3
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 11:00HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)3
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 11:12CelticsDaniel Theis turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)3
32.4%
0
67.6%
Q1 - 11:29HeatMax Strus makes three point running jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)3
30.6%
0
69.4%
Q1 - 11:33HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound0
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 11:36CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot0
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Al Horford (Daniel Theis gains possession)0
26.3%
0
73.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.5%
BOS
1.24 62.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
15
80%
BOS
9
14
64%
Midrange
MIA
20
44
45%
BOS
13
24
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
33
33%
50%
BOS
12
18.0
32
38%
56%
Free Throws
MIA
12
14
86%
BOS
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo3170%15.5 / 22
P. Tucker1771%8.5 / 12
M. Strus1667%8.0 / 12
K. Lowry1150%5.5 / 11
J. Butler850%4.0 / 8
T. Herro827%4.0 / 15
C. Martin8100%4.0 / 4
V. Oladipo550%2.5 / 5
G. Vincent338%1.5 / 4
D. Robinson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brown4083%20.0 / 24
A. Horford2067%10.0 / 15
M. Smart1662%8.0 / 13
J. Tatum1033%5.0 / 15
G. Williams1063%5.0 / 8
P. Pritchard3150%1.5 / 1
N. Stauskas3150%1.5 / 1
D. Theis150%0.5 / 1
D. White0-0.0 / 2
A. Nesmith0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
88
+12
-8
100
BOS
71
+12
-23
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.5%
BOS
1.24 62.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
110.6
MIA 113.5 +4.0
BOS 109.6
Pace
93.7
95.5
MIA 98.9 +7.5
BOS 91.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.7
MIA 14.6 +1.2
BOS 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.9%
53.3%
MIA 52.7%
BOS 57.1% +4.4%
TO %
12.8%
14.7%
MIA 8.4% +14.0%
BOS 22.4%
ORB %
23.2%
21.9%
MIA 18.6%
BOS 25.7% +7.1%
FTrt
25.3
28.3
MIA 15.2
BOS 42.9 +27.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
66.7%
MIA 51.2%
BOS 61.8% +10.6%
STL %
8.9%
6.7%
MIA 19.8% +17.7%
BOS 2.1%
BLK %
8.2%
11.9%
MIA 10.5%
BOS 11.9% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
55.8%
MIA 54.5%
BOS 62.0% +7.5%
Rim FG%
65.3%
60.7%
MIA 80.0% +15.7%
BOS 64.3%
Mid FG%
41.1%
40.4%
MIA 45.5%
BOS 54.2% +8.7%
3P %
31.3%
37.3%
MIA 33.3%
BOS 37.5% +4.2%
FT %
80.4%
79.7%
MIA 85.7% +9.0%
BOS 76.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.7%
29.0%
MIA 16.3%
BOS 20.0% +3.7%
Mid Att. %
28.5%
26.2%
MIA 47.8%
BOS 34.3% +13.5%
3P Att. %
40.8%
44.8%
MIA 35.9%
BOS 45.7% +9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9694
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points109103
Rebounds3444
Assists2221
Steals192
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)23 (1)
Fouls2421
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (2)35 (2)
Field Goals43-9234-70
At-the-Rim FG12-159-14
Midrange FG20-4413-24
2-Point FG32-5922-38
3-Point FG11-3312-32
Free Throws12-1423-30
Fast Break Pts158
2nd Chance Pts1521
Points in Paint4834
Pts off Turnovers339
Bench Points2616
Biggest Lead260

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 25
41.5
31
70%
10
6
4
1
1
3
2
8
1-1
100%
15-21
71%
0-1
0%
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 37
37.8
17
71%
7
1
3
1
1
3
2
5
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 26
34.1
16
67%
4
2
0
1
1
5
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
4-7
57%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 36
29.0
11
50%
1
6
4
0
2
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
2-7
29%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 33
19.5
8
50%
3
2
2
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30
20.4
5
50%
0
1
4
0
0
1
0
0
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22
20.2
8
27%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
44%
0-6
0%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 26
19.4
3
38%
1
1
1
1
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 27
10.3
8
100%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 28
4.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 33
3.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 33
DNP – Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 42
DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
55%
34
22
19
4
8
24
8
26
12-14
86%
32-59
54%
11-33
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.