FinalWin Prob.pScore
149%101
127
651%102
102
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
135.19493.1
MIA logo MIA
108.59494.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.127
100%
102
0%
Q4 - 0:01.6HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point pullup jump shot127
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:02.8CelticsCeltics turnover (shot clock violation)127
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Duncan Robinson assists)127
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.6HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound127
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.5CelticsAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot127
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.5CelticsAaron Nesmith defensive rebound127
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.6HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot127
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound127
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:04CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point pullup jump shot127
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:17CelticsDaniel Theis defensive rebound127
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point tip layup127
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound127
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23HeatVictor Oladipo misses regular free throw 2 of 2127
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 2127
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23CelticsAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)127
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31CelticsLuke Kornet makes two point reverse layup (Nik Stauskas assists)127
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 1:47HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup125
99.9%
99
0.1%
Q4 - 1:55CelticsNik Stauskas makes three point jump shot (Daniel Theis assists)125
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 1:56CelticsLuke Kornet offensive rebound122
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01CelticsJuwan Morgan misses regular free throw 2 of 2122
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01CelticsJuwan Morgan makes regular free throw 1 of 2122
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Juwan Morgan draws the foul)121
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01CelticsJuwan Morgan offensive rebound121
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03CelticsAaron Nesmith misses two point driving bank hook shot121
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 2:18HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 2121
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 2:18HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 2121
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 2:18CelticsJuwan Morgan shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)121
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 2:21HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound121
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24CelticsJuwan Morgan misses three point stepback jump shot121
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point running finger roll layup (Omer Yurtseven assists)121
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound121
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:52CelticsDuncan Robinson blocks Aaron Nesmith's three point pullup jump shot121
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point floating jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)121
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23CelticsDaniel Theis makes two point cutting dunk (Nik Stauskas assists)121
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:41HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)119
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:49HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound119
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 3:53CelticsNik Stauskas misses three point stepback jump shot119
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 4:12HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Omer Yurtseven assists)119
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 4:18HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound119
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:19CelticsLuke Kornet misses two point driving layup119
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:26CelticsLuke Kornet defensive rebound119
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:28HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point driving finger roll layup119
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:37HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound119
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:39CelticsNik Stauskas misses two point pullup jump shot119
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 4:59CelticsNik Stauskas defensive rebound119
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 5:02HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point jump shot119
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 5:14CelticsGrant Williams makes two point running layup (Payton Pritchard assists)119
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 5:18HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Grant Williams steals)117
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 5:28CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point pullup jump shot117
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 5:46HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 2115
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 5:46HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 2115
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 5:46CelticsAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)115
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 5:47HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound115
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 5:50CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point stepback jump shot115
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 6:01CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound115
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 6:04HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot115
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 6:08HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound115
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 6:11HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot115
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 6:18CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Take) (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)115
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 6:21CelticsAl Horford turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)115
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 6:24CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound115
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 6:28HeatAl Horford blocks Tyler Herro's three point jump shot115
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 6:46CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)115
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 7:02HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 2112
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 7:02HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 7:02CelticsPayton Pritchard shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)112
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 7:15CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot112
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 7:31HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving hook shot (Duncan Robinson assists)109
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 7:47HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound109
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 7:50CelticsGrant Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2109
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 7:50CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 7:50HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)108
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 7:56CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound108
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 7:58HeatCaleb Martin misses two point jump shot108
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:03CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)108
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:05HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound108
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:09CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point fadeaway jump shot108
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:23HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving bank jump shot108
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:40CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)108
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 9:04HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)105
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 9:19CelticsAl Horford makes two point jump shot105
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 9:37HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Dewayne Dedmon assists)103
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 9:55CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point stepback jump shot (Al Horford assists)103
99.9%
73
0.1%
Q4 - 10:06CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound100
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 10:09HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot100
99.8%
73
0.2%
Q4 - 10:25CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point layup (Marcus Smart assists)100
99.7%
73
0.3%
Q4 - 10:32CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound98
99.7%
73
0.3%
Q4 - 10:33HeatCaleb Martin misses two point reverse layup98
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 10:47CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Victor Oladipo steals)98
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 10:53HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)98
99.7%
73
0.3%
Q4 - 10:53HeatHeat offensive rebound98
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 10:53HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot98
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 11:22CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup (Marcus Smart assists)98
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 11:40HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point turnaround hook shot96
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.96
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q3 - 0:00.1CelticsCeltics offensive rebound96
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q3 - 0:00.5CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot96
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q3 - 0:04.7HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 296
99.4%
71
0.6%
Q3 - 0:04.7HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 296
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q3 - 0:04.7CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)96
99.4%
69
0.6%
Q3 - 0:18.3CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 296
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q3 - 0:18.3CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 295
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q3 - 0:18.3HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Grant Williams draws the foul)94
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q3 - 0:18.3CelticsCeltics defensive rebound94
99.4%
69
0.6%
Q3 - 0:18.3HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot94
99.4%
69
0.6%
Q3 - 0:33.4CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot94
99.3%
69
0.7%
Q3 - 0:50.6HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)91
98.9%
69
1.1%
Q3 - 0:56.5HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound91
99.1%
67
0.9%
Q3 - 1:03CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot91
98.9%
67
1.1%
Q3 - 1:11CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound91
99.1%
67
0.9%
Q3 - 1:14HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point pullup jump shot91
99.0%
67
1.0%
Q3 - 1:38CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)91
98.9%
67
1.1%
Q3 - 1:49CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound88
98.4%
67
1.6%
Q3 - 1:52HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot88
98.3%
67
1.7%
Q3 - 1:54HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound88
98.0%
67
2.0%
Q3 - 1:57HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot88
98.3%
67
1.7%
Q3 - 2:12CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 288
97.5%
67
2.5%
Q3 - 2:12CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 287
97.4%
67
2.6%
Q3 - 2:12HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)86
97.3%
67
2.7%
Q3 - 2:16HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Payton Pritchard steals)86
97.0%
67
3.0%
Q3 - 2:34CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point pullup jump shot86
96.5%
67
3.5%
Q3 - 2:38CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound84
95.9%
67
4.1%
Q3 - 2:41HeatMarcus Smart blocks Bam Adebayo's two point cutting layup84
95.6%
67
4.4%
Q3 - 2:53HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound84
95.0%
67
5.0%
Q3 - 2:55CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot84
95.3%
67
4.7%
Q3 - 3:08HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot84
95.4%
67
4.6%
Q3 - 3:28CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 284
96.0%
65
4.0%
Q3 - 3:28CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 283
95.9%
65
4.1%
Q3 - 3:28HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)82
95.8%
65
4.2%
Q3 - 3:46HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 182
95.4%
65
4.6%
Q3 - 3:46CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)82
95.5%
64
4.5%
Q3 - 3:52HeatMax Strus defensive rebound82
96.6%
62
3.4%
Q3 - 3:53CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point putback layup82
96.8%
62
3.2%
Q3 - 3:55CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound82
97.2%
62
2.8%
Q3 - 3:59CelticsMax Strus blocks Jaylen Brown's two point layup82
96.8%
62
3.2%
Q3 - 4:15HeatMax Strus personal foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)82
96.8%
62
3.2%
Q3 - 4:19CelticsCeltics offensive rebound82
96.8%
62
3.2%
Q3 - 4:20CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot82
96.4%
62
3.6%
Q3 - 4:48HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)82
96.8%
62
3.2%
Q3 - 4:58HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound82
97.7%
59
2.3%
Q3 - 5:01CelticsGrant Williams misses two point layup82
97.4%
59
2.6%
Q3 - 5:03CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound82
97.7%
59
2.3%
Q3 - 5:05CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot82
97.4%
59
2.6%
Q3 - 5:29HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive goaltending)82
97.7%
59
2.3%
Q3 - 5:37HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound82
97.3%
59
2.7%
Q3 - 5:39CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot82
97.4%
59
2.6%
Q3 - 5:54HeatJimmy Butler makes two point tip layup82
97.7%
59
2.3%
Q3 - 5:54HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound82
98.0%
57
2.0%
Q3 - 5:57HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup82
98.2%
57
1.8%
Q3 - 6:08CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (out of bounds bad pass)82
97.7%
57
2.3%
Q3 - 6:08HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Marcus Smart steals)82
98.0%
57
2.0%
Q3 - 6:22CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 282
97.7%
57
2.3%
Q3 - 6:22CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 281
97.6%
57
2.4%
Q3 - 6:22HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)80
97.6%
57
2.4%
Q3 - 6:39HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Max Strus assists)80
97.4%
57
2.6%
Q3 - 6:40HeatMax Strus defensive rebound80
97.7%
55
2.3%
Q3 - 6:45CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot80
97.8%
55
2.2%
Q3 - 7:04HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot80
97.8%
55
2.2%
Q3 - 7:23CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)80
98.1%
53
1.9%
Q3 - 7:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound80
98.1%
53
1.9%
Q3 - 7:23CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving finger roll layup80
98.2%
53
1.8%
Q3 - 7:28HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)80
98.4%
53
1.6%
Q3 - 7:33HeatP.J. Tucker turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)80
98.4%
53
1.6%
Q3 - 7:52CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)80
98.1%
53
1.9%
Q3 - 8:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot77
97.2%
53
2.8%
Q3 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound77
97.6%
51
2.4%
Q3 - 8:13CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot77
97.7%
51
2.3%
Q3 - 8:39HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)77
97.9%
51
2.1%
Q3 - 8:54CelticsAl Horford makes two point reverse layup (Marcus Smart assists)77
98.4%
48
1.6%
Q3 - 9:03CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound75
98.0%
48
2.0%
Q3 - 9:07HeatRobert Williams III blocks Gabe Vincent's three point stepback jump shot75
97.9%
48
2.1%
Q3 - 9:28CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 175
97.7%
48
2.3%
Q3 - 9:28HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)74
97.6%
48
2.4%
Q3 - 9:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 272
97.0%
48
3.0%
Q3 - 9:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 272
97.0%
47
3.0%
Q3 - 9:47CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)72
97.1%
46
2.9%
Q3 - 9:47HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound72
97.3%
46
2.7%
Q3 - 9:48HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point driving floating jump shot72
97.6%
46
2.4%
Q3 - 10:05CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)72
97.0%
46
3.0%
Q3 - 10:09HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound72
97.0%
46
3.0%
Q3 - 10:12CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot72
97.2%
46
2.8%
Q3 - 10:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 272
97.4%
46
2.6%
Q3 - 10:29HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 272
97.5%
45
2.5%
Q3 - 10:29CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)72
97.2%
45
2.8%
Q3 - 10:33CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Max Strus steals)72
97.4%
45
2.6%
Q3 - 10:43CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound72
97.8%
45
2.2%
Q3 - 10:45HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot72
97.7%
45
2.3%
Q3 - 10:52HeatMax Strus defensive rebound72
97.4%
45
2.6%
Q3 - 10:55CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point running layup72
97.5%
45
2.5%
Q3 - 11:00HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)72
97.8%
45
2.2%
Q3 - 11:19CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot72
97.2%
45
2.8%
Q3 - 11:31CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound70
96.8%
45
3.2%
Q3 - 11:34HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot70
96.7%
45
3.3%
Q3 - 11:55CelticsRobert Williams III turnover70
96.4%
45
3.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.70
96.8%
45
3.2%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound70
96.1%
45
3.9%
Q2 - 0:00.6HeatGabe Vincent misses three point running pullup jump shot70
96.3%
45
3.7%
Q2 - 0:02.4CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point pullup jump shot70
96.1%
45
3.9%
Q2 - 0:27.2HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 168
95.4%
45
4.6%
Q2 - 0:27.2CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)68
95.5%
44
4.5%
Q2 - 0:28.2HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound68
96.5%
42
3.5%
Q2 - 0:30.4CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot68
96.6%
42
3.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound68
96.9%
42
3.1%
Q2 - 0:42.6CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point tip layup68
96.6%
42
3.4%
Q2 - 0:42.6CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound68
96.9%
42
3.1%
Q2 - 0:46.1CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point cutting layup68
96.6%
42
3.4%
Q2 - 1:06HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)68
96.5%
42
3.5%
Q2 - 1:16CelticsGrant Williams makes two point layup68
97.4%
39
2.6%
Q2 - 1:39HeatJimmy Butler turnover (traveling)66
96.9%
39
3.1%
Q2 - 1:51CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 266
96.7%
39
3.3%
Q2 - 1:51CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 265
96.6%
39
3.4%
Q2 - 1:51HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)64
96.5%
39
3.5%
Q2 - 1:54CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound64
96.1%
39
3.9%
Q2 - 1:56CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot64
95.9%
39
4.1%
Q2 - 2:14HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)64
95.7%
39
4.3%
Q2 - 2:32CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (out of bounds lost ball)64
95.2%
39
4.8%
Q2 - 2:49CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound64
95.7%
39
4.3%
Q2 - 2:51HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 164
95.7%
39
4.3%
Q2 - 2:51CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)64
95.3%
39
4.7%
Q2 - 2:51HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound64
96.2%
37
3.8%
Q2 - 2:54HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot64
96.5%
37
3.5%
Q2 - 3:05CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 264
95.6%
37
4.4%
Q2 - 3:05CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 263
95.5%
37
4.5%
Q2 - 3:05HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)62
95.4%
37
4.6%
Q2 - 3:11Jump ball. Al Horford vs. Gabe Vincent (Jaylen Brown gains possession)62
95.2%
37
4.8%
Q2 - 3:30CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)62
94.5%
37
5.5%
Q2 - 3:49HeatGabe Vincent makes two point stepback jump shot59
93.3%
37
6.7%
Q2 - 4:09CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 159
93.4%
35
6.6%
Q2 - 4:09HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)58
93.3%
35
6.7%
Q2 - 4:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)56
91.9%
35
8.1%
Q2 - 4:46CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)56
92.7%
33
7.3%
Q2 - 4:52HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Al Horford draws the foul)54
91.9%
33
8.1%
Q2 - 4:52CelticsCeltics offensive rebound54
91.9%
33
8.1%
Q2 - 4:53CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot54
91.3%
33
8.7%
Q2 - 5:01CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound54
91.7%
33
8.3%
Q2 - 5:04HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot54
91.4%
33
8.6%
Q2 - 5:08HeatHeat offensive rebound54
90.6%
33
9.4%
Q2 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot54
91.4%
33
8.6%
Q2 - 5:41CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running dunk (Payton Pritchard assists)54
90.6%
33
9.4%
Q2 - 5:42CelticsPayton Pritchard defensive rebound52
89.9%
33
10.1%
Q2 - 5:45HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot52
89.5%
33
10.5%
Q2 - 5:59CelticsPayton Pritchard makes two point pullup jump shot52
88.6%
33
11.4%
Q2 - 6:24HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk50
87.4%
33
12.6%
Q2 - 6:29HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound50
88.3%
31
11.7%
Q2 - 6:29HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot50
89.2%
31
10.8%
Q2 - 6:54CelticsRobert Williams III makes regular free throw 1 of 150
88.3%
31
11.7%
Q2 - 6:54HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)49
88.0%
31
12.0%
Q2 - 6:54CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound47
86.1%
31
13.9%
Q2 - 6:55CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point pullup jump shot47
85.0%
31
15.0%
Q2 - 7:08HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)47
85.2%
31
14.8%
Q2 - 7:20CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound47
85.3%
31
14.7%
Q2 - 7:24HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 247
85.1%
31
14.9%
Q2 - 7:24HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 247
84.1%
31
15.9%
Q2 - 7:24CelticsPayton Pritchard shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)47
84.3%
30
15.7%
Q2 - 7:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound47
85.2%
30
14.8%
Q2 - 7:30CelticsTyler Herro blocks Jayson Tatum's two point driving floating jump shot47
85.6%
30
14.4%
Q2 - 7:46HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)47
86.6%
30
13.4%
Q2 - 8:06CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)47
87.3%
28
12.7%
Q2 - 8:20HeatP.J. Tucker turnover (traveling)44
84.8%
28
15.2%
Q2 - 8:34CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 244
83.4%
28
16.6%
Q2 - 8:34CelticsGrant Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 243
83.2%
28
16.8%
Q2 - 8:34HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)42
82.9%
28
17.1%
Q2 - 8:36CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound42
82.0%
28
18.0%
Q2 - 8:39HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot42
81.5%
28
18.5%
Q2 - 8:47HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound42
80.3%
28
19.7%
Q2 - 8:52CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot42
80.8%
28
19.2%
Q2 - 9:10CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound42
81.3%
28
18.7%
Q2 - 9:10HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot42
80.8%
28
19.2%
Q2 - 9:25CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running finger roll layup42
79.7%
28
20.3%
Q2 - 9:29HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Robert Williams III steals)40
78.1%
28
21.9%
Q2 - 9:46CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point reverse layup (Marcus Smart assists)40
76.2%
28
23.8%
Q2 - 9:53CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound38
74.4%
28
25.6%
Q2 - 9:55HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot38
73.8%
28
26.2%
Q2 - 10:04HeatHeat offensive rebound38
72.0%
28
28.0%
Q2 - 10:04HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot38
73.5%
28
26.5%
Q2 - 10:14HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound38
72.0%
28
28.0%
Q2 - 10:14CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point stepback jump shot38
72.7%
28
27.3%
Q2 - 10:35HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot38
74.1%
28
25.9%
Q2 - 10:44HeatHeat offensive rebound38
75.9%
26
24.1%
Q2 - 10:44HeatRobert Williams III blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup38
77.2%
26
22.8%
Q2 - 10:51HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound38
75.9%
26
24.1%
Q2 - 10:54CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot38
76.5%
26
23.5%
Q2 - 11:15HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)38
76.9%
26
23.1%
Q2 - 11:23CelticsGrant Williams personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)38
78.7%
24
21.3%
Q2 - 11:37CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)38
78.7%
24
21.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.35
75.2%
24
24.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CelticsCeltics offensive rebound35
75.2%
24
24.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0CelticsGrant Williams misses two point pullup jump shot35
74.0%
24
26.0%
Q1 - 0:09.7CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound35
74.4%
24
25.6%
Q1 - 0:12.1HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot35
73.9%
24
26.1%
Q1 - 0:29.6CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot35
72.8%
24
27.2%
Q1 - 0:37.5HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot32
68.6%
24
31.4%
Q1 - 0:48.2CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)32
72.9%
21
27.1%
Q1 - 0:57.9CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound29
68.6%
21
31.4%
Q1 - 0:57.9HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot29
68.1%
21
31.9%
Q1 - 1:14CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)29
66.8%
21
33.2%
Q1 - 1:22CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound26
62.2%
21
37.8%
Q1 - 1:24HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot26
61.7%
21
38.3%
Q1 - 1:41CelticsAl Horford turnover (offensive foul)26
60.3%
21
39.7%
Q1 - 1:41CelticsAl Horford offensive foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)26
62.2%
21
37.8%
Q1 - 1:45CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound26
62.2%
21
37.8%
Q1 - 1:49HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point pullup jump shot26
61.6%
21
38.4%
Q1 - 2:14CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)26
59.8%
21
40.2%
Q1 - 2:36HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (traveling)23
55.5%
21
44.5%
Q1 - 2:56CelticsPayton Pritchard makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)23
53.2%
21
46.8%
Q1 - 3:07CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound20
48.6%
21
51.4%
Q1 - 3:09HeatGabe Vincent misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot20
47.8%
21
52.2%
Q1 - 3:24CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 220
46.0%
21
54.0%
Q1 - 3:24CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 219
45.6%
21
54.4%
Q1 - 3:24HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)18
45.1%
21
54.9%
Q1 - 3:26HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)18
44.2%
21
55.8%
Q1 - 3:44CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)18
41.6%
21
58.4%
Q1 - 4:00HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 115
37.7%
21
62.3%
Q1 - 4:00CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)15
38.0%
20
62.0%
Q1 - 4:14CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (offensive foul)15
42.1%
18
57.9%
Q1 - 4:14CelticsJayson Tatum offensive foul (Charge) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)15
44.5%
18
55.5%
Q1 - 4:22CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound15
44.5%
18
55.5%
Q1 - 4:25HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot15
43.8%
18
56.2%
Q1 - 4:42HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound15
42.0%
18
58.0%
Q1 - 4:42CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot15
42.8%
18
57.2%
Q1 - 4:53HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds step)15
44.5%
18
55.5%
Q1 - 5:04HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound15
42.5%
18
57.5%
Q1 - 5:04HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot15
44.1%
18
55.9%
Q1 - 5:08HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound15
42.5%
18
57.5%
Q1 - 5:11HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot15
44.1%
18
55.9%
Q1 - 5:25CelticsGrant Williams makes two point reverse layup (Jayson Tatum assists)15
42.5%
18
57.5%
Q1 - 5:41HeatP.J. Tucker personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)13
40.7%
18
59.3%
Q1 - 5:41CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound13
40.7%
18
59.3%
Q1 - 5:41HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point tip layup13
40.1%
18
59.9%
Q1 - 5:41HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound13
38.5%
18
61.5%
Q1 - 5:42HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point floating jump shot13
40.1%
18
59.9%
Q1 - 5:49HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound13
38.5%
18
61.5%
Q1 - 5:51CelticsRobert Williams III misses two point cutting layup13
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q1 - 6:00CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound13
40.7%
18
59.3%
Q1 - 6:02HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot13
40.3%
18
59.7%
Q1 - 6:23CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)13
38.9%
18
61.1%
Q1 - 6:38CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound10
35.2%
18
64.8%
Q1 - 6:41HeatP.J. Tucker misses regular free throw 2 of 210
35.0%
18
65.0%
Q1 - 6:41HeatP.J. Tucker misses regular free throw 1 of 210
33.8%
18
66.2%
Q1 - 6:41CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)10
32.5%
18
67.5%
Q1 - 6:41HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound10
33.4%
18
66.6%
Q1 - 6:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot10
34.7%
18
65.3%
Q1 - 7:09CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot10
33.7%
18
66.3%
Q1 - 7:29HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)8
32.1%
18
67.9%
Q1 - 7:40HeatMax Strus defensive rebound8
35.4%
15
64.6%
Q1 - 7:44CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving floating jump shot8
36.0%
15
64.0%
Q1 - 8:04HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)8
37.9%
15
62.1%
Q1 - 8:11HeatMax Strus defensive rebound8
41.3%
12
58.7%
Q1 - 8:15CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point turnaround jump shot8
41.9%
12
58.1%
Q1 - 8:34HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot8
43.4%
12
56.6%
Q1 - 8:50CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)8
45.1%
10
54.9%
Q1 - 9:10HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)5
41.6%
10
58.4%
Q1 - 9:21CelticsAl Horford turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)5
45.0%
7
55.0%
Q1 - 9:36HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup5
47.2%
7
52.8%
Q1 - 9:43HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound5
48.8%
5
51.2%
Q1 - 9:43HeatRobert Williams III blocks P.J. Tucker's two point driving layup5
50.3%
5
49.7%
Q1 - 9:58HeatHeat defensive rebound5
48.8%
5
51.2%
Q1 - 9:58CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point running layup5
49.5%
5
50.5%
Q1 - 10:03CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound5
50.7%
5
49.3%
Q1 - 10:05HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot5
50.1%
5
49.9%
Q1 - 10:12CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)5
48.7%
5
51.3%
Q1 - 10:25CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Marcus Smart assists)5
48.7%
5
51.3%
Q1 - 10:30CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound3
47.1%
5
52.9%
Q1 - 10:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot3
46.5%
5
53.5%
Q1 - 10:51CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)3
45.1%
5
54.9%
Q1 - 11:09HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)0
41.9%
5
58.1%
Q1 - 11:24HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound0
43.3%
3
56.7%
Q1 - 11:27CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot0
44.0%
3
56.0%
Q1 - 11:44HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot0
45.4%
3
54.6%
Q1 - 12:00Robert Williams III vs. Bam Adebayo (P.J. Tucker gains possession)0
48.7%
0
51.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.31 65.5%
MIA
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
13
25
52%
MIA
16
25
64%
Midrange
BOS
10
19
53%
MIA
12
27
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
20
30.0
40
50%
75%
MIA
10
15.0
34
29%
44%
Free Throws
BOS
21
23
91%
MIA
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum2784%13.5 / 16
M. Smart2452%12.0 / 23
J. Brown2467%12.0 / 18
G. Williams1986%9.5 / 11
A. Horford10125%5.0 / 4
P. Pritchard1063%5.0 / 8
R. Williams583%2.5 / 3
N. Stauskas350%1.5 / 3
D. Theis2100%1.0 / 1
L. Kornet250%1.0 / 2
J. Morgan125%0.5 / 2
A. Nesmith0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2969%14.5 / 21
G. Vincent1470%7.0 / 10
V. Oladipo1454%7.0 / 13
T. Herro1150%5.5 / 11
C. Martin744%3.5 / 8
B. Adebayo650%3.0 / 6
M. Strus643%3.0 / 7
D. Robinson643%3.0 / 7
P. Tucker536%2.5 / 7
D. Dedmon2100%1.0 / 1
O. Yurtseven233%1.0 / 3
H. Highsmith0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
85
+12
-9
97
MIA
80
+18
-14
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.31 65.5%
MIA
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.6
111.3
BOS 135.1 +26.6
MIA 108.5
Pace
95.5
93.7
BOS 93.1
MIA 94.9 +1.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.2
BOS 15.5
MIA 15.2 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.3%
50.9%
BOS 63.1% +13.1%
MIA 50.0%
TO %
14.7%
12.8%
BOS 9.6% +4.0%
MIA 13.6%
ORB %
21.9%
23.2%
BOS 21.1%
MIA 26.7% +5.6%
FTrt
28.3
25.3
BOS 27.4 +1.8
MIA 25.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.7%
57.6%
BOS 65.1% +9.8%
MIA 55.3%
STL %
6.7%
8.9%
BOS 8.5% +4.2%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
11.9%
8.2%
BOS 9.6% +2.8%
MIA 6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.8%
53.7%
BOS 65.5% +13.5%
MIA 52.0%
Rim FG%
60.7%
65.3%
BOS 52.0%
MIA 64.0% +12.0%
Mid FG%
40.4%
41.1%
BOS 52.6% +8.2%
MIA 44.4%
3P %
37.3%
31.3%
BOS 50.0% +20.6%
MIA 29.4%
FT %
79.7%
80.4%
BOS 91.3% +18.6%
MIA 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.0%
30.7%
BOS 29.8% +0.7%
MIA 29.1%
Mid Att. %
26.2%
28.5%
BOS 22.6% +8.8%
MIA 31.4%
3P Att. %
44.8%
40.8%
BOS 47.6% +8.1%
MIA 39.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points127102
Rebounds4142
Assists2821
Steals84
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)14 (1)
Fouls2118
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)30 (1)
Field Goals43-8438-86
At-the-Rim FG13-2516-25
Midrange FG10-1912-27
2-Point FG23-4428-52
3-Point FG20-4010-34
Free Throws21-2316-22
Fast Break Pts128
2nd Chance Pts1112
Points in Paint3042
Pts off Turnovers209
Bench Points3742
Biggest Lead3410

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 28
40.3
24
52%
9
12
3
1
1
1
2
7
3-3
100%
3-10
30%
5-12
42%
#7 · SG · 6'6" 223 · 26
33.3
24
67%
8
3
0
0
1
4
2
6
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
4-7
57%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 36
32.6
10
125%
3
3
1
1
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
#0 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 24
31.5
27
84%
5
5
1
0
3
2
0
5
7-7
100%
4-7
57%
4-6
67%
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 25
19.9
5
83%
4
0
1
3
1
3
1
3
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#12 · PF · 6'6" 236 · 23
32.2
19
86%
4
0
1
0
0
5
1
3
7-8
88%
3-5
60%
2-2
100%
#11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 24
23.1
10
63%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
#26 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 23
6.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
#27 · C · 6'9" 243 · 30
6.3
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#4 · PF · 6'8" 232 · 25
5.0
1
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 27
5.0
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#13 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 29
4.4
3
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
#9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 28
NWT – Personal
#8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Instability Episode
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
127
66%
41
28
8
5
9
21
8
33
21-23
91%
23-44
52%
20-40
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.